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FRIDAY PREMIUM SERVICE PLAYS

FRIDAY PREMIUM SERVICE PLAYS

Erin Rynning

Playmaker Louisville

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Brandon Lang

10 Dime Memphis

FREE - Rays

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JEFFERSONSPORTS

DODGERS -106

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EZWINNERS

1 STAR: (905) LA DODGERS (-$109) over Philadelphia
(Listing Billingsley only) (Risking $109 to win $100)

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Charlies

500* Louisville / Memphis Over 56
30* Memphis +6½
20* Boston / Tampa Bay Over 8 
20* Dodgers -105
10* Dodgers  / Phillies Over 8½
10* Boston +105 free play

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Bob Balfe

Rays -115 over Redsox
Shields/Matsuzaka

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Larry Ness

15* Friday Night Game of the Month

Louisville and Memphis met almost yearly from 1961 through 2004 and have played each other 40 times. The two programs used to be C-USA rivals before Louisville left for the Big East in 2005. Louisville has played just four games (2-2) this year, as the Cards were last in action losing 26-21 at home to U Conn on September 26. Unlike Louisville, Memphis has played every weekend this year and will enter with a 3-3 mark. Which Louisville team will show up here, in its first road game of the season? In their season-opener vs Kentucky, the Cards were held to two points, as QB Cantwell completed 20-of-43 for 157 yards with three interceptions. After beating Tenn Tech, the Louisville offense was terrific against Kansas St on a Wednesday night, as Cantwell threw for 274 yards with two TDs and RB Anderson had 176 YR with TD runs of 29, 56 and 52 yards. Then against U Conn, the Cards let a 21-10 lead slip away in the late third quarter, losing 26-21 (final score was a 45-yard interception TD with 2:45 by the Huskies). Cantwell was not 100 percent in that game (especially late in the game) and despite out-gaining the Huskies 508-279 in yards (with two RBs topping 100 yards), the Cards lost. Friday, Louisville will FINALLY play a road game (hard to believe). The Tigers have turned an 0-3 start around with three straight wins. They lost 41-24 to Ole Miss in their season-opener but played the Rebels even, out-gaining them 453-438 in yards. In Game 2, Memphis led Rice 35-20 in the 4th quarter but lost 42-35, as the game-winner came on a 69-yard interception TD with 11 seconds left in the contest. Memphis gained 462 yards the next week against Marshall but scored just 16 points in a one-point loss. Tommy West (in his eighth year as the Memphis head coach) could have let his team quit after that 0-3 start but actually, just the opposite has been true. Memphis has rebounded to average 31.0 PPG in three consecutive wins over Nicholls St, Arkansas St and UAB (not exactly a murderer's row). After passing for 373 and 364 yards in back-to-back losses to Rice and Marshall, QB Hall has averaged a modest 186.7 YPG in the team's three-game winning streak. RB Steele has led the way during the team's winning streak, averaging 137.7 YPG on the ground, while averaging 7.4 YPC. Both teams have nice balance on offense but I strongly favor the home 'dog. Steele's solid running has sure helped Hall, who had four TD passes in his last game. Remember, the Tigers return their top-seven pass-catchers from last year and five different receivers have TD receptions through six games in '08. Steve Kragthorpe took over at Louisville as its head coach in '07. The Cardinals had gone to nine straight bowls and since the beginning of this decade, had posted a 68-20 (.773) record. Louisville went just 6-6 last year and ended its nine-year bowl run. The school's 2-2 start this year is again a huge disappointment (remember, all four games have been at home) and I have no interest at all in laying points with this team in its first road game.

Friday Night Game of the Month 15* Memphis.

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Ben Burns

Main Event - Memphis

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Vegas Sports Experts

10* Take Louisville (-6) over Memphis (NCAA Power Play)

Memphis
• 0-9 SU as an underdog of 3.5 to 10 points the last 3 years
• 4-10 SU coming off an OVER the total the last 3 seasons
• 1-4 SU when the total posted is between 49.5 and 56 runs
• 2-10 SU vs. Louisville the last 12 games

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Mike Rose

3 Units Red Sox / Rays Over 8 

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BIG AL

Dodgers / Phillies Over

Red Sox / Rays Over

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NSA

20* LOUISVILLE
10* MEM/LOU OVER

10* LAD
10* LAD/PHI UNDER
10* BOSTON
10* BOS/TB OVER

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Cajun-Sports CFB Executive Report

14-4 L18 (Lost last night w/5* Clemson)

3 STAR SELECTION (Rated 1 to 6 Units)

MEMPHIS +6½ over Louisville

The Cardinals and Tigers renew their football rivalry on Friday as the 2 teams meet on the field for the first time since 2004 when the schools scored a combined 105 points and racked up over 1,200 yards in a game the Cards won 56-49.

Louisville is looking to rebound from a tough home loss in their Big East opener to Connecticut last Friday, in which the Cards’ offense amassed more than 500 yards of total offense and held the Huskies under 300 total yards.

Meanwhile, Memphis will enter the game with an offense that ranks among the best in the nation. The Tigers rank in the top 20 in the nation in passing yards and total offense.

The Cards secondary will be in for a difficult task when matching up with the Tiger’s physically intimidating crop of veteran receivers, which have an average height of six-foot six-inches. They are led by junior Carlos Singleton, who is listed at six-foot-eight. Singleton is joined by senior Maurice Jones and junior Duke Calhoun at the wideout position.

While the Tigers have been most effective in the passing game, they have maintained a balanced threat on offense with a running attack that is averaging 190 yards per game. Curtis Steele leads the team in rushing and is had his best performance of the season running for 203 yards and a touchdown against Arkansas State 2 games back.

Louisville comes in with quite a bit of baggage that is full of negative numbers. The Cardinals are 0-8 ATS (-18.1 ppg) as a favorite of 3+ points vs. opponents not off a SU loss of 22+ points since the start of last season and 0-7 ATS (-9.6 ppg) as a non-Saturday road favorite of 3+ points since 1999, including 0-2 ATS at Memphis.

Some may think that Louisville comes in well rested, as this will be their first road game of the season; however, after 3 straight home games, teams have gotten stale and have been unprepared for the role of solid favorite in non-Saturday games against foes not coming in on a long losing streak. Specifically, from Game on, non-Saturday favorites of 4+ points with less than 19 days rest off 3 home games are 0-9 ATS vs. opponents not off 3 SU losses, failing to cover the spread by more than 2 TDs per game on average..

Memphis looked horrible early in the season, but are now on a 3-game win streak. This fits in nicely with a handicapping strategy of ours that says to play ON a rebuilding team that started the season losing at least its first few games. Off to such a poor start, the team will be butt of jokes in all local sports media and nobody will want to bet on the sorry bunch; however, this will generate line value on the team as they will be very determined to win, while upcoming opponents may take them lightly. These teams should be ones in which there wasn’t much expected anyway, as they’re in a rebuilding mode. Teams whose coaches have a long-term commitment from the athletic department will receive better efforts from the players, while coaches whose job is as good as gone after the season may find players more likely to quit on them. The Tigers have rebounded nicely in their rebuilding mode and should only get stronger as the season progresses now that they have found their identity and play makers.

After 3 victories to erase a 3-game losing skid to start the season, teams with new life have been quite strong as confirmed by an NCAA Football POWER SYSTEM that states: In Game 7, play ON a .500% team off 3 SU wins (not 3 home games) and not seeking revenge for a conference road underdog SU & ATS loss in the previous matchup last season. Since 1993, these teams are 9-0 ATS, beating the spread by 2 TDs per game on average.

Of course, Memphis qualifies as the PLAY ON team for that system as it does the following POWER SYSTEM showing that home underdogs and small favorites on a winning streak and coming off a road win, have done extremely well. It states:

In Games 5-10, play ON a home team (not a favorite of more than 5 points) off a road SU win (not as a favorite of 8+ points) in its last game and a home underdog SU win before that. Since 1992, these teams are an amazing 17-0-1 ATS, beating the spread by nearly 2 TDs per game on average.

Finally, we also note that non-Saturday home underdogs have been very strong off 3 consecutive victories. This POWER SYSTEM that also qualifies the Tigers declares:

Play ON a non-Saturday home underdog of more than 2 points off a SU win of less than 30 points in its last game and 2 SU wins before that.

These teams are a perfect 10-0 ATS all time, beating the spread by a dozen points per game on average.

Memphis has always played well in this neighborhood rivalry, as they are 9-0 ATS (+8.6 ppg) as an underdog vs. Louisville and not seeking revenge for a 1-point SU loss since at least 1980. We expect a hot Tigers team to again give the Cardinals all they can handle and take this game down to the wire and at least cover the spread.

PROJECTED FINAL SCORE: MEMPHIS 24 LOUISVILLE 23

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SEABASS

MLB

50* Red Sox
50* Bos/Tampa Over
20* LAD

Steam 100* LAD/PHI OVER


30* BOSTON SERIES

CFB

100* MEM/LOU OVER
30 LOUISVILLE

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Rocky Atkinson

Triple-Dime Bet

Nashville / St Louis
5* Nashville +100

Nashville is 12-4 SU and ATS overall vs St Louis the past 3 years. Blues are 5-11 in their last 16 vs. Central. Blues are 17-39 in their last 56 overall. Blues are 15-37 in their last 52 vs. Western Conference. Blues are 2-6 in their last 8 home games. Predators are 21-5-1 in the last 27 meetings. Predators are 9-3 in the last 12 meetings in St. Louis. Nashville goalie Ellis is 2-0 in his career against St Louis and is 24-10 overall in all his career games. We'll play Nashville for 5 units tonight!

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Jeff Bonds

Memphis / Louisville Over 55.5 

Louisville heads out on the road for the first time this season, but it will not catch the Cardinals coaching staff by surprise - traveling to face off against a Conference-USA opponent. Louisville head coach Steve Kragthorpe spent two years in the conference and will undoubtedly want to bounce back in a big way after suffering a home loss against UConn.

The OVER is 4-1 in the Cardinals last five matchups against Conference USA and that bodes well for a Louisville team that has a balanced attack - but loves to establish the run early. The OVER is also 4-1 in Memphis' last five games following a game that the defense allowed over 200 yards rushing.

The Cardinals missed a golden opportunity to put up some MAJOR POINTS against UConn in its previous game - but that shouldn't happen tonight with QB Hunter Cantwell at the controls.

Memphis has scored at least 24 points in each of its three home games this season and should be pumped to be on the national stage against a former rival in Louisville. They are coming off a SU win that surely improves confidence offensively and has led to the OVER to go on a nice 15-7 run following a win.

The Cardinals run defense was certainly tested against UConn - now the entire unit will be tested against a very capable mid-major offense.

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Nick "BookieKiller" Parsons

Double-Dime Bet

CAR (-150) vs FLA

Look for the Canes to take advantage of facing a weak Panthers club with a new head coach, Peter DeBoer. Florida is quite likely to endure some growing pains early this season and that makes the Canes well worth the price in their season opener. Carolina won the Stanley Cup three seasons ago but they haven't made the playoffs since so they're extra hungry as they look to start off the new season with a big win. The Hurricanes also have revenge on their minds here as they were still in the running for a playoff spot last season when the Panthers upset them at the RBC Center on April 4th. How unlikely was that? Florida had previously lost 14 straight at Carolina! In other words, the Canes are certainly still upset about that loss and they'll look to make amends for that tonight and start a new home winning streak against the Panthers! Overall, the Hurricanes have won 12 of their last 15 meetings against Florida! The Canes scored well last season but they had trouble stopping the opposition. Look for a couple of offseason additions to the blue line to pay bid dividends right away for the Hurricanes. As for the Panthers, coach DeBoer has performed very well at lower levels but note that he has no NHL coaching experience! The Panthers do have a solid netminder in Tomas Vokoun but he faced more shots on goal than any other goalie last season and the Panthers defense remains a weak spot. Look for Florida's defense to struggle against the high powered offense of the Canes tonight and, as a result, it's a home rout for Carolina to open up their season as they get big revenge on opening night!

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LENNY STEVENS

10* PHILLIES
10* RED SOX

FOOTBALL PASS

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