Saturday Premium Service Plays
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Tulane 4.5 vs UTEP
RATING: TRIPLE DIME PLAY
This one is my Underdog Game of the Week as I feel Vegas set this number inviting action on the Home Favorite. Think about this UTEP scores 58 and 40 points in their last 2 games including winning outright as an 8 point underdog last week at S. Mississippi. Now they are at home -4 to a team who just lost as an 18 point favorite to Army. Vegas wants you to take the Favorite and I'm not falling for it. Tulane pulls the outright upset here grab the points. This is MARCO'S UNDERDOG GAME OF THE WEEK.
Marco Rated this Play a 7 STAR PLAY on his Executive Late Phone Service
Michigan St. -1.0 vs Northwestern
RATING: DOUBLE DIME PLAY
Yes Northwestern is undefeated at 5-0 but who have they played. Their best opponent was Iowa and that's not saying much. Michigan St is 5-1 with the lone loss 38-31 at California. They have beaten Notre Dame and Iowa at home as well as winning at Indiana. The Northwestern defense will get it's first test today and I feel Michigan St will be able to move the ball against it. This is MARCO'S TV GAME OF THE WEEK.
Marco Rated this Play a 5 STAR PLAY on his Executive Late Phone Service
Mississippi St 3.0 vs Vanderbilt
RATING: DOUBLE DIME PLAY
This line just doesn't smell right to me. Vandy is undefeated against a 1-4 team and yet the line is basically pick the Winner. Vanderbilt is ranked #13 in the country. This looks like a trap as on the surface Vandy looks too easy that's why I'm taking the home dog. Note that Vandy played Auburn last week and plays Georgia next week. That makes this a perfect sandwich Game as Vandy will be looking right past Mississippi St. Look for Mississippi St to pull off the upset. This is MARCO'S COLLEGE CONFERENCE GAME OF THE WEEK.
Re: Saturday Premium Service Plays
100 DIME WINNER
Notre Dame (+8') at North Carolina (46')
This is just too many points to cover for a North Carolina team playing its first game as a ranked team in seven years. No longer are they playing the role of the underdog and they will not be able to cover this large spread against an Irish team that’s beginning to show a lot of fight. Both these teams are off of misleading finals as ND dominated Stanford last week until giving up some garbage TDs. UNC was actually out-gained 378-273 and out-first downed 23-13 by UConn last Saturday, but benefited from three turnovers and three blocked kicks. Provide Notre Dame can protect the punter today in Chapel Hill, the Irish will be in this game all day and could sneak out of the Tar Hill State with the victory. Two years ago in South Bend, the Irish routed the Heels 45-26 and this ND team knows that with a win today, it will climb into the national rankings. ND’s offense is playing with confidence as QB Jimmy Clausen is able to go downfield. The Irish have 19 passing plays of 20 or more yards this year and Clausen has played solid football the last two weeks. He’ll need to protect the football, but I expect ND, which appears to have found a RB in Armando Allen, to be able to move the ball on the ground against UNC stop unit that is giving up more than 144 yards per game on the ground. On the other side of the ball, UNC has several weapons and the Irish will have to take note at all times where Brandon Tate is on the field. But their running game has been inconsistent and it must be noted that QB Cam Sexton is still the Heels’ second choice under center with starter TJ Yates out with injury. Sexton is averaging 10 of 17 passing for 179 yards with three TDs and one pick in two starts (he also tossed a pair of interceptions off the bench in the Heels’ loss to Va Tech last month). With Tate under center, I’d give UNC a chance to cover this high spread, but without, UNC will not get the kind of quarterback play they need to get the job done. Bottom line is these two teams are relatively evenly matched and ND is getting some rare line value in this spot. Grab the points and watch the Irish make a game of this until the final gun.
Bowling Green (-1) at Akron (53)
Bounce back special this evening for Bowling Green as the Falcons, who opened the year with an upset win at Pittsburgh, will improve to 3-1 SU on the road with this win at the Rubber Bowl. By the way, Akron comes into this game having dropped SU four of its last five at home. I’m just not that sold on this Akron team that has been weak along the defensive front all season long. The Zips are permitting 222 yards per game rushing (4.6 ypc) and I expect the Falcons to have much success both through the air and on the ground. Falcon QB Tyler Sheehan has completed 66 percent of his passes for more than 1200 yards and six scores this year and this is a Bowling Green attack that racked up 517 total yards in beating Akron by 24 points a year ago. Look for BG to blitz Akron QB Chris Jacquemain and force the Zip passer into mistakes. The key here though is Bowling Green, the preseason favorites to win the MAC East division, rising up and rebounding after last week’s shocking loss to Eastern Michigan. This is a game the Falcons can not afford to lose if they want to win the conference crown. They are a veteran bunch that returned 17 starters back from last year’s bowl team. As they did in the opener against the Panthers, this is a game in which Bowling Green plays up to its capacity and wins this game by a touchdown.
LSU (+6) at Florida (46)
As it was two weeks ago when Alabama marched into Athens and whipped Georgia, I like the road dog getting nearly a TD in this prime time SEC matchup. This is my College Game of the Month and the Bayou Bengals from LSU will win this game outright. This is an LSU team that is 23-2 SU in its last 25 games. They’re off a bye and will have some extra wrinkles to throw at this underachieving Gators outfit. The dog has covered five of the last six meetings and the visitor is on a 12-4 spread run in this longtime rivalry. Three of the last four meetings have been decided by four points or less and all three were LSU wins. Tim Tebow is just not the same this year and his OL is a bit banged up and opponents have devised a plan just how to slow him down. Add to that the fact that RB Percy Harvin hasn’t been healthy and tweaked his ankle in last week’s win at Arkansas and it will be difficult for the Gators (who totaled just 314 yards in last year’s loss in Baton Rouge and have averaged just 270 ypg the last three meetings) to move the football on this very quick and aggressive LSU defense that welcomes back stud LB Darry Beckwith. The Tigers enter this game with the nation’s No. 8 rushing defense. LSU will shut down Harvin and make Tebow beat them with his arm. But he won’t have much time to throw as this Gator OL has been dominated of late, including two weeks ago in a home loss to Ole Miss. If Brandon James doesn’t give the Gators prime field position every time he touches the ball, this Gator offense will not be able to produce long 12-play, 85-yard marches against this LSU defense. Two weeks ago, Ole Miss put 35 points on the board against the Gators. Last week, a weak Arkansas team pushed the Gators around at times and averaged 5.5 yards per carry. Look for the LSU OL to win the battle up front as the Tigers will control the clock with RB Charles Scott (averages 7.5 ypc and leads the SEC at 134 ypg) having a big night. Florida has an advantage at the QB spot, but the Tigers’ won’t put their passers Jarrett Lee and Andrew Hatch in too precarious of situations. Defense and running the football will be the order of the night. The Tigers have already won at Auburn and under Les Miles are 12-3 SU on the road. They’ve had an extra week to prepare for this one and there’s no way Florida can cover this many points. They won’t and in fact, LSU, behind a dominating defensive performance and solid game from the OL and running game, will win this one outright.
Boise State (-10') at Southern Miss (56')
Lots of points expected tonight in Deep South Mississippi as the scoreboard will light up in this non-conference battle that will sail over. The Broncos can score as we saw last game in which they put 38 on the board against La Tech, a game after they tallied 37 at Oregon. They’ll score their share tonight against a porous Southern Miss team that is allowing 29.2 points and 406 yards per game. Look fro Boise QB Kellen Moore (72% passing) to continue to distribute the ball over the field to a plethora of receivers, backs and tight ends. In the last two games alone, Moore has passed for 711 yards and five scores. But Southern Miss and QB Austin Davis (over 200 yards passing each game) can move the football, too, as they racked up 541 yards last time out against UTEP. They lead C-USA in rushing (198 ypg), fourth in total offense (451 ypg) and seventh in passing (253 ypg). In their last three games, they have scored 37, 27 and 24 points. This is a long travel game for the Broncos and in such similar situations in the past (most notably when they play at La Tech) they have gotten in shootouts. Last year in Boise, the Golden Eagles racked up 506 yards of total offense. Tonight on a nice evening for football, look for Southern Miss to post a big number as this one will turn into a shootout as well. Plenty of points in this game as this game sails over the total with no problem.
Tony Smith's VIP Release #1
Texas (56) at Oklahoma (-6')
OKLAHOMA (-6') VIP SELECTION
Tony Smith's VIP Release #2
LSU (46) at Florida (-6) - 8:00 p.m. EST
FLORIDA (-6) VIP SELECTION
Tony Smith's VIP Release #3
Penn State (47) at Wisconsin (+6) - 8:00 p.m. EST
WISCONSIN (+6) VIP SELECTION
King's 50 DIME Big 12 Game of the Week (BK1)
Texas (56) at Oklahoma (-6') - 12:00 p.m. EST
Oklahoma is 9-2 ATS in its last 11 outings in Big 12 Revenge when laying less than ten points. Bob Stoops is 3-0 SU and ATS versus Texas coach Mack Brown when their two teams meet undefeated.
While I don't think Oklahoma will blow out Texas I do believe a solid double digit win will make the statement to the pollsters that Stoops wants his team to deliver. Texas has covered the last three in this series but this is a much better and more mature Oklahoma team than previous installments. Just look at QB Sam Bradford who has 18 TD's against just 3 picks and is completing 73% of his passes.
I realize Colt McCoy has similar numbers but he has no support in the backfield and has yet to face a defense as tough as the one he will be facing today. Oklahoma has the edge in rushing the passer and in the secondary and with Colt McCoy the leading Texas rusher this means trouble for this one dimensional Texas offense. Oklahoma has the better overall team and are at home in this Red River Rivalry Game. The Sooners were convincing last week in their disposition of Baylor last week.
Stoops has this team focused and ready and they will get the job done today to solidify their hold on the number one ranking.
Take Oklahoma minus the points today. Oklahoma -6.5 is the play.
OKLAHOMA (-6') 50 Dimes
King's 100 DIME College Football Game of the Month (BK3)
Air Force (-10') at San Diego State (48) - 9:30 p.m. EST
For every surprise victory by San Diego State there are four nightmares like when they let Air Force run for 569 yards in last years blowout win by the Falcons.
San Diego State has the 118th rushing team in the nation and the likelihood that they will be without Red Shirt Freshman QB Lindley or that he will not be at 100% means a long day for the one dimensional San Diego State offense.
Since the arrival of new head coach Calhoun Air Force is 12-2 ATS when playing opponents besides Navy. As a matter of fact Air Force is 5-1 ATS the game after Navy and bounce back well from that match up.
Five of the last seven of these games have gone the way of the upset. I will side with the bounce back factor with Air Force here. San Diego State is catching Air Force off a tough loss to a big time rival. With an air show in San Diego today you better believe this Falcons team will want to put on a show against the Aztecs.
San Diego State has taken on some average rushing teams and had trouble allowing 245 yards per game and 4.9 yards per carry. Air Force averages 325 and 4.9. No way a San Diego State team that cannot stop the run and has a one dimensional offense slows down a focused Air Force team looking to bounce back from last weeks let down.
Lay the number with the Falcons tonight for our 100 DIME Game of the Month.
AIR FORCE (-10') 100 Dimes
Howie's Godfather Pick #1
Vanderbilt (39) at Mississippi State (+2') - 2:30 p.m. EST
Howie Feiner's CFB Godfather Pick for Saturday
Mississippi State (+2') 70 Dimes
Howie's Godfather Pick #2
Boston Red Sox (Beckett) at Tampa Bay Rays (Kazmir) - 7:30 p.m. EST
Howie Feiner's MLB Godfather Pick for Saturday
Boston Red Sox (Beckett) (Line Currently Not Posted) 30 Dimes
Re: Saturday Premium Service Plays
Nick "BookieKiller" Parsons
MIN (-130)vs BOS
Minnesota couldnt wait to get this season underway and finally their quest to repeat as Northwest Division champions begins on Saturday night. Note that the Wild won their division for the first time in their eight year history last season. However, the fact that they were quickly ousted from the playoffs means that this club is certainly still hungering for much more. That could give them an edge over a Boston team that already opened up their season on Thursday and is coming off of a big upset win at Colorado where they scored late to knock off the Avs. Note that the Bruins will be dealing with a Wild club that feels a little extra boost to start this season after they picked up Owen Nolan and Andrew Brunette in the offseason. Also, young center James Sheppard is expected to be a key catalyst now that the talented young player is on the same line as Marian Gaborik. The Wild are 6-1 all time against Boston at the Xcel Energy Center in Minnesota and their only home loss to the Bruins was in Bostons last visit to Minnesota. In other words, there is no shortage of focus for the Wild tonight and they were 25-11-5 at home last season while the Bruins won only 20 of their 41 road games last season. The Bruins enjoyed some open ice in their season opener as they faced an Avalanche team whose defense is certainly not it?s strong suit. Saturday will prove to be a much tougher test for the Bruins as the Wilds defensive strategies frustrate opponents year in and year out. Minnesota will put the clamps on the Bruins early in this one and note that the Wild do not play again until Tuesday. Also, Minnesotas next home game is not until the 23rd of this month. As you would imagine, all of the Wilds energy and emotion has gone into preparing for this game against Boston and Minnesotas home dominance of the Bruins resumes on Saturday night. They are well worth the price here!
Re: Saturday Premium Service Plays
CAL (-130)vs VAN
I'm laying the price with CALGARY. This is the second game of a home and home series. The Canucks embarrassed the Flames on Thursday, winning by a score of 6-0. Note that the Flames actually had an edge in shots though, so the score could have easily been closer. Either way, that should ensure that we get a highly motivated effort from the Flames here. Not only are they playing with immediate "revenge" but this is also their home opener. Naturally, the last thing they want to do is to start the season by dropping both games to their most hated "non-provincial" division rival. Note that Calgary was without defenseman Robyn Regehr for the game in Vancouver but that he is expected to be back in the lineup here.
While they've now lost four of their last five visits to Vancouver, the Flames have won two in a row against the Canucks here in Calgary. The Flames are 26-19 (+3.1) since 2006 when coming off a loss by two goals or more. During the same stretch, they're also a highly profitable 32-13 when playing a home game with an over/under line of five or less. Calgary forward Todd Bertuzzi and former Canuck star was quoted as saying: "We need a win, that's the only thing. I don't care how we do it or what we do, we've got to get a win. There's a whole new level and a lot of us have to raise our game up to and we'll be ready for Saturday." Look for Bertuzzi and co. to bounce back with a big effort, earning the victory in their home opener. *Personal Favorite