Thursday Service Plays

Re: Thursday Service Plays

Tom Freese

Toronto at Detroit

Detroit is 83-32 in home non-conference games and they are 218-78-16 their last 312 home games We like the Red Wings in this game but we can't ask you to lay -300. We suggest the puck line which is -1.5 at even money. Toronto which is a team on the decline. They will be in way over their heads in this game. The Maple Leafs are 1-4 their last 5 visits to the Motor City. PLAY ON DETROIT - 1.5 Pucks.

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Sportsbettingstats

L.A. Dodgers at Philadelphia Phillies

The Dodgers come into game 1 of the National League Championship Series after sweeping the Cubs in the first round, while the Phillies dispatched the Brewers in 4 games in the first round. Taking the mound tonight for the Phillies is Cole Hammels (14-10 3.09 ERA), who in his last outing went 8 innings and gave up 0 earned runs and only 2 hits in winning game 1 of the Phillies first round series against the Brewers. Taking the mound for the Dodgers in game 1 is Derek Lowe (14-11 3.24 ERA), who in his last outing went 6 innings and gave up only 2 earned runs in winning game 1 of the Dodgers first round series against the Cubs. In their series win over the Cubs the Dodger scored a total of 20 runs in 3 games, while the Phillies scored 15 runs in 4 games in their series against the Brew Crew.

Staff Pick: The Dodgers come into this series full of confidence after sweeping the Cubs, who had the best record in the NL in the regular season. Both pitchers looked good in their last starts, but Hammels was dominant, 2 hitting the Brewers en route to a win. The Phillies played the Dodgers tough this season and torched their pitching for 43 runs in only 8 games. This game will depend on which Phillies offense shows up. The dominant one that includes Chase Utley, Ryan Howard, and Pat Burrell, or the one that was only 5-31 with runners in scoring position in the Milwaukee series. The Dodgers are a different team now that Manny is there and Rafael Furcal came back from an injury. Lowe is an unflappable pitcher, who is no stranger to big games, so he may have the slight edge in tonight's game. The Dodgers scored 5 more runs that the Phillies in their respective series' and the Dodgers played in 1 less game. The Dodgers offense is playing great and they are getting great pitching. Even though the Phillies won the season series they are playing a different Dodgers team. Even with all these things look for Hammels to have a great game in the City of Brotherly Love and for the Phillies to take game 1 of this series in a close game.

Phillies 5 Dodgers 4


Clemson Tigers at Wake Forrest Demon Deacons -2.5

Last week both teams had the week off top prepare for this big ACC game. There is a lot at stake in this game, as both want to win the ACC and the Demon Deacons still have National Title hopes, but that may be a long shot. The Tigers lost their first game of the season to Alabama and then got back on track winning 3 in a row before losing 2 weeks ago to Maryland. The Demon Deacons were rolling at 3-0 before losing a shocker to Navy 2 weeks back. The Demon Deacons are led by QB Riley Skinner (974 yds 6 TD 4 INT) and his main targets are WR D.J. Boldin (28 rec 276 yds) and TE Ben Wooster (15 rec 156 yds 1 TD). Wake's rushing attack, if you can all it that, is led by RB Josh Adams (151 yds 2 TD). The Tigers are led by QB Cullen Harper (944 yds 3 TD 5 INT) and his main targets are WR's Jacoby Ford (21 rec 261 yds 1 TD) and Aaron Kelly (25 rec 253 yds). The Tigers rushing attack is led by the RB duo of James Davis (375 yds 5 TD) and C.J. Spiller (304 yds 5 TD).

Staff Pick: The Demon Deacons have an early lead in the ACC race, as they are the only team that does not have a conference loss. Skinner has to play better than he did in the Deacons loss to Navy, as he was responsible for 5 of the 6 turnovers that Wake had in the game. The Demon Deacons defense is ranked 26th in the country and they will have to stop the strong running game of Clemson. Conversely, the Tigers have the 36th ranked defense and they have to contain the passing attack of the Deacons, which is their strength. Clemson also has to avoid mistakes, as in their last loss to Maryland they had 3 turnovers and had a holding penalty negate a 59 TD run in the second half. The keys to this game are each team's defense and if they can play well against the other team's strength, which is Clemson's running game and Wake's passing game. One factor that may help the Tigers is the fact that there is a good chance of rain for this game, which will benefit the team that can rush the ball. Wake's rushing game is just plain weak, as the rank 115th in the nation and their leading RB is averaging only 2.7 yards per carry. Interesting fact in that in 4 Thursday night games this year unranked opponents have beat ranked opponents in Vanderbilt beating #24 South Carolina 24-17, Colorado beating #21 West Virginia 17-14 two weeks later, Oregon State stunning #1 USC 27-21, and Pittsburgh beating #10 South Florida 26-21 last week. Look for a low scoring game and for Clemson to play good D, as the Thursday upset streak will continue as the Tigers will beat the Demon Deacons and take over a share of 1st place in the ACC.

Tigers 24 Demon Deacons 21

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Re: Thursday Service Plays

LT Profits

Boston Bruins +115

The Boston Bruins were a surprise playoff entrant last year, thanks to a defensive-minded trapping style implemented by Coach Claude Julien and great goaltending.

With very little personnel turnover in the off season, look for the Bruins to use that style to upset the Colorado Avalanche on the road on opening night.

All-Star Tim Thomas is expected to get the start in goal here, and he is coming off of a breakout season where he has an excellent 2.44 GAA and a 92.1 percent save percentage. Now granted, he did not see as many shots as many other goalies do because of the Bruins suffocating defense, but that figures to be the case here again.

The most important player on the ice tonight though may just be Patrice Bergeron, who was knocked out for the season in the first month last year with a concussion. Bergeron topped 70 points each of the previous two seasons, and he should provide the added offensive punch that they lacked last season.

Meanwhile, the Avs are a year older and have very suspect goaltending. Also, they are not accustomed to facing teams like this in the much more wide open Western Conference. Yes, they were beset with injuries last year, but the corps of this team is still old and they just may back down vs. the Bruins physical style.

This is a vote for defense over offense at an underdog price.

Pick: Bruins +115

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Re: Thursday Service Plays

Matt Foust

Ala Birmingham @ Houston Over 66.5

Tonight the UAB Blazers will take on a Conference USA rival in the Houston Cougars. Both of these teams have shown an ability to move the ball against lesser defenses, so, we are going with the over 66.5 game total.

Houston has continued to display a potent offense even with the departure of former coach Art Briles to Baylor. The Cougars are averaging 37.2 points per game and 545.2 yards per game. They have a particularly effective passing game with sophomore quarterback Chase Keenum leading the way. Keenum has thrown 19 touchdowns and just five interceptions; he also boasts an impressive 150 passer rating. The Cougars are posting a staggering 399 passing yards per game and they are also averaging 7.5 yards per pass.

UAB, while not possessing the same high powered offense that Houston does, can put points on the scoreboard. They are averaging 24.5 points per contest, but if you remove their efforts against two of the better defenses in the country (Tennessee and South Carolina) that average jumps to 32.75. And make no mistake, Houston’s defense is not anywhere near the class of the Volunteers or the Gamecocks.

This match-up is tailor made to be a scoring fest. Each team’s defensive weakness is their opponents’ offensive strength. UAB is very effective in the running game (174.2 rushing yards per game) and Houston cannot stop the run (212.3 rushing yards per game allowed). Houston, as mentioned, can throw the ball all over the field and UAB cannot stop the pass (283.2 passing yards per game allowed and 8.8 yards per pass allowed). Both teams could easily crest the 30 point mark (Houston definitely will) and a total in the high seventies or low eighties would not surprise me at all.

Things to consider: Houston put up 621 yards and 41 points on East Carolina last week despite turning the ball over four times. The Over is 7-2-1 the last four years when Houston played as a home favorite coming off of a win.

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Drew Gordon

Uab +18½ at HOUSTON

While clearly we see the Cougars winning this contest, covering a bloated number is another story. Coming off a huge win a East Carolina, Houston comes into this contest a little overvalued, and the fact their 1-5 ATS as a home favorite since last season should give their backers A LOT to think about.

Also, while they're coming off a bye, I don't believe the focus will be there for Houston, facing a 1-5 Blazers team that most believe will be easy pickings tonight on the road. True, the Blazers are terrible on the highway, but they have several match up edges, and with a lack of focus on the Cougars side, the backdoor is wide open in this contest.

Speaking of match ups, I know everyone loves to talk about Case Keenum, who's 19 TDs and just 5 picks are impressive. And while he does have a strong advantage against a porous UAB secondary, you've also got to like Joseph Webb's edge against this Houston defense. Webb is the epitome of a "dual-threat" QB, passing for 1227 yards and 7 TDs (6 picks) while rushing for 516 yards and 5 TDs this season! Webb almost single-handedly beat Memphis last week at home, accounting for 328 total yards and 4 TDs, and he'll be just as capable against this Cougars stop-unit tonight.

Finally, I mentioned the Memphis game, which despite going down as a loss for the Blazers, was a big step forward for them. Their defense showed signs of improvement (38% coversion on 3rd down, two INTs) while their offense out-gained Memphis 456 to 436 yards. Let me stress, the Cougars will win this contest, but with Webb playing well, and a possible letdown here for Houston against a below average foe (after a bigtime win at East Carolina), look for the Blazers to grab the cash on the road in this Thursday nighter.

Small play on UAB plus the points over Houston in this college football match up.

1♦ UAB

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Re: Thursday Service Plays

Jake Timlin

UAB Blazers at Houston Cougars

In a game that is going to be dominated by both offenses I say take the Over tonight in Houston. Well mostly thanks to the Cougars offense that has gone Over in 3 of their 4 lines games I like tonight’s game to go high. After all thanks to Houston averaging 37 ppg on the season and facing a UAB team that is allowing 33 ppg, including 49 points last season to the Cougars I don’t see the home team being slowed down tonight. But in order for this one to go high UAB will have to get a few scores and thanks to the Cougars defense that is allowing 28 ppg, including 35 ppg over their last four games the Blazers will score just enough to send this one Over the total. So look high and take the Over tonight in Houston.

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Re: Thursday Service Plays

WUNDERDOG

Game: Toronto at Detroit
Pick:UNDER 5.5

The Detroit Red Wings will begin defense of their Stanley Cup at home against the Maple Leafs. The Red Wings have gotten great goaltending by Chris Osgood, who allowed just 1.55 goals throughout the playoffs and late last season. Over their last 21 at home last year Detroit played in 14 of those 21 games that produced a total of less than 5.5 goals for 67%! The Maple Leafs finished last year with 20 of their last 28 road games producing less than 5.5 goals per game. Part of their problem was that they produced just 2.57 goals a game during that stretch. With this being the first time out for both teams and the history of unders produced, I like this game to go UNDER the total.

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Re: Thursday Service Plays

Nostradamus

Philadelphia -130

Clemson +2.5
UAB +18

Toronto +1.5 -110
San Jose -145
Calg/Van Over 5 -130

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Re: Thursday Service Plays

John Ryan

Game: Clemson at Wake Forest
Prediction: Wake Forest

Ai Simulator 3* graded play on Wake Forest AiS shows a 73% probability that Wake Forest will win this game by 3 or more points. Supporting this graded play is a system that has gone 76-39 ATS for 66% since 2002. Play against all teams where the line is +3 to -3 after 1 or more consecutive losses against the spread and is a good team, winning 60-80% or more of their games on the season. Wake is in a solid role for this game noting that they are 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) when playing against a good team sporting a win percentage of 60% to 75% over the last 3 seasons; 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons. Wake Forest is also 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) when the line is +3 to -3 over the last 3 seasons. HC Bowden has not displayed much resiliency when on an ATS losing streak. He is 10 ATS (-9.0 Units) after 3 or more consecutive losses against the spread as the coach of Clemson. Further, Clemson has a 3-2 mark with 3 of those wins coming against some of the worst teams in the country. They lost to Maryland and Alabama while defeating the Citadel, South Carolina State, and NC State. Wake has had a far more challenging schedule having defeated Mississippi ( who defeated Florida) Baylor, and won at Florida State. They got caught looking ahead to this game losing to Navy last week. Well, now there is NO look ahead and their focus is squarely on this important ACC conference game. Take Wake Forest.

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Re: Thursday Service Plays

Ben Burns

Game: Boston Bruins at Colorado Avalanche
Prediction: Colorado Avalanche

The Bruins made the playoffs last season but they're still not one of the league's more talented teams. Tonight, they'll take on a solid Colorado squad which will be determined to start Granato's second stint as head coach with a victory. The Avalanche have been the best team in the league at winning their home opener. The franchise is 16-5-7 in 28 home openers. Additionally, the Avs have fared very well against teams from the Eastern Conference in recent seasons. In fact, they're an extremely profitable 15-5 (+10.8) their last 20 non-conference games. The Avs have also dominated the Bruins, going 8-2-1 the last 11 meetings. They should continue that success this evening. Consider Colorado

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Re: Thursday Service Plays

3Daily Winners

Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Philadelphia Phillies 
Play:Los Angeles Dodgers

Call it a hunch or whatever you like, but we have think the Dodgers can win the opener. Los Angeles has won 8 games in a row against teams with winning records and won't be intimidated by surroundings. Despite an unimpressive road record, the Dodgers have won 10 of last 14. Cole Hamels is the best pitcher in the series, but the Dodgers are 8-2 against lefties of late. The clincher is Derek Lowe has not allowed more than two runs in his last 10 starts and is 40-20 vs. NL teams scoring 4.8 or more runs a game on the season. (Teams record)The money line is down to +120 on L.A. from opening +135 for a reason, they are going to win.

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Re: Thursday Service Plays

GINA

Los Angeles Dodgers at Philadelphia Phillies

Anticipating today’s contest to be awesome between the Phillies and Dodgers in Philadelphia. Phillies' young southpaw Cole Hamels is presently pitching terrifically and is 1-0 with a 2.57 ERA in two starts against the LA Dodgers this season. Dodgers’ veteran righty Derek Lowe is 4-1 with a 3.02 ERA in 11 career appearances against the Phillies, 4-0 with a 2.58 in his last six. But, Philadelphia at home has the upper hand in this contest. The Phillies have won 20 of its last 26 games at home, 50-33 this season and have outscored the Dodgers 27-5 in the last four games at Citizens Bank.  Go with the Phillies to take their fifth straight victory over the Dodgers in their ballpark.


Philadelphia Phillies -130

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Johnny Guild

UAB Blazers at Houston Cougars

Simple! The Blazers pathetic defense will not stop the Cougars potent offense. The favorite in this series has covered the spread in the last four meetings. In the last meeting on October 20 2007, Houston beat Alabama-Birmingham, 49-10 at Legion Field.

Houston Cougars - 18

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JB's Computer Picks

Philadelphia Phillies - 130

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Mr A

Los Angeles Dodgers at Philadelphia Phillies

Los Angeles Dodgers have struggle with the Philadelphia Phillies playing on the East Coast. Los Angeles has lost the last four meetings versus Philadelphia and 20 of the last 28 meetings in Philadelphia. Take the Phillies in Game 1 at Citizens Bank. The home team in this series has won the last eight regular-season games.

Dodgers' right-hander Derek Lowe is 4-1 with a 3.02 ERA in 11 career games, including seven starts against the Phillies. Phillies' lefthander Cole Hamels is 1-0 with a 2.57 ERA in two starts against the Dodgers this year.

Philadelphia Phillies -130


Clemson at Wake Forest 

Tonight's ACC clash between Clemson and Wake Forest could go either way, but the Tigers will take advantage of Wake Forest’s vulnerable defense, struggling against the run.

Clemson Tigers +1½

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Nite Owl Sports

Game: Clemson Tigers @ Wake Forest Demon Deacons
Pick: 2 units Clemson Tigers +112

While we have other FB games this WE that we like better than this one (see below), we believe the best value at these "prices" is taking Clemson on the money line at +112, a much better deal than laying -110 (> a 20 cent difference in the odds) to get Tigers ATS with just 2.5 points.We will wait and see if point spread ever goes up to +3, in which case we will also take Clemson ATS, for two or 3 units, while if it stays at +2 or 2.5, we may "officially" take them ATS at that line for one unit, but in such event would recommend "buying up" to +3 if you can do so for -125 or less in "juice." We may also have one or two individual team totals picks on this game, but those lines have not yet been posted by the books that offer them.

Looking at this match-up and the performances of both teams to date, we are struck mostly by the huge edge Clemson has over Wake in the running game, as well as the projected rushing edge they should have in this game. For example, Clemson averaged 5.4 YPC in disappointing home loss two weeks ago to maryland (caused mostly by 3 Tiger turnovers), and 5.7 YPC in their non-covering 27-9 win earlier over a struggling NC State team. Contrast that to Wake's miserable rushing #s TY, not only averaging only about two YPC on offense, but on defense allowing good rushing offenses to control the ball and the clock by putting together long, time consuming sustained drives, which is what Navy did to Deacons LW in Winston-Salem, where Middies ran for nearly 300 yards and averaged 5 YPC, in upsetting Wake 24-17 as 11 point dogs, while Deacons were equally ineffective running (just 43 YR on 1.4 YPC and two lost fumbles) and passing, with 4 INTs by QB Riley Skinner. So even a "mentally challenged" HC like Clemson's Tommy Bowden should be able to figure out a run-oriented game plan complimented with lots of play action passes by accurate passer QB Harper, to monopolize the game clock and limit Wake's offensive possessions.

Clemson has been a bit hard to figure so far TY, as despite their under-achieving record both SU (1-2 vs Div I opponents) and ATS (0-3 in lined games), Clemson both runs and passes well, and why shouldn't they, with the return TY of not only QB Cullen Harper (who LY passed for nearly 3000 yards on 65% completions and a stellar 27/6 TD/INT ratio) but also top two RBs James Davis and CJ Spiller, who together rushed for > 1900 yards LY, with each averaging at least 5 YPC)? But Tigers just have not been "in sync" very often this season, with their season opening "dud" performance vs Alabama (which now does not look as bad as it did then) and surprising home upset loss to maryland, with those 3 TOs. But Tigers have had two weeks (bye week LW) since that maryland loss to figure things out and get back "on the same page," and based on LY's score and #s vs Wake, it's no 'stretch" to assume they will do exactly that tonite, as in that game they pounded the Deacons 44-10, and outrushed them 4.3 YPC to 2.2 YPC.

So how have these two combatants tonite done in their respective modes for this game (Clemson as a small road pup and Wake as a small home fave)? While Clemson had no opportunities LY as a road dog, they have gone 4-0 ATS and 3-1 SU (only SU loss being by one point, at Ga Tech, in 2006) in the two prior seassons (2005 and 2006) as road dogs of 1-4 points, with the same HC and a similar team. And if you expand the point spread range to road games L3Y in which Tigers were either faves or dogs in this 1-4 point spread range, you get a larger sampling (9 games) in which they went 6-3 SU. Contrast to Wake, which has been a model of inconsistency L2+Y as a home fave, having gone 0-2 as same (but double digit faves) in 2006 (their "glory year" when they finished 11-3 and played in their only BCS bowl in school history), then went 3-0 LY as home faves of 1-6 points, with average MOV (margin of victory) of 18 points, but then regressed to 0-2 ATS TY (1-1 SU), with a two point squeaker over Ole Miss as 7 point faves and that dreadful  upset loss to Navy discussed in detail above.

So based on the above, we suggest going with Clemson on the money line at this good "plus odds" price, and also taking them ATS, but only at +3 (if your line is +2.5 but you can "buy up" to +3 for -125 juice or less, we would recommend that).Once individual team totals lines are released, we will do an update for our subscribers, in which we will likely have at least one individual team totals play as part of our full betting attack strategy for this game.

While we like Clemson in this game both on the "plus money line" and ATS at +3, there are several FB games this WE (both CFB and NFL) that we like even better, such as our 5 unit Mountain West Round-Up Game of the Week on saturday. So we strongly recommend either our 7 day CFB/NFL combo pack for just $99, with ALL OF OUR FB PICKS through this WE and MNF, or our 7 day All Sports Pass for $129, which also includes our MLB Playoff picks. And speaking of MLB, we are already 4-1 on our playoff side picks TY, and were 10-1 for +23 units in LY's playoffs.

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Re: Thursday Service Plays

Chris Jordan

Los Angeles at PHILADELPHIA -135

Everyone seems to be in love with the Dodgers, whether it is in Game 1 or in the entire series. Fact of the matter is, one person cannot win a series, so to rest the hopes on Manny Ramirez's bat is absolutely ludicrous - especially when he was shut down by the Phils this season.

In fact, Citizens Bank Park is Manny's kryptonite, and tonight you're going to see L.A.'s latest Superman fail to reach tall buildings in a single bound.

In 14 games in Philadelphia, Ramirez has hit a paltry .155 (9-for-58) with a mere three home runs and nine RBI. His career on-base percentage there, a meager .219.

The key, the one thing the Phillies' pitchers have not been afraid to do - throw at Manny inside.

It's no secret this guys has made his living on the outside corner, and really, anywhere out over the plate. Just take a look at these numbers: Low inside he hits .118, inside and down the pipe he hits .200 and high-and-inside a staggering .083.

Just over the last three seasons his .121 average (4-for-33) at CBP ranks second-worst among non-pitchers with a minimum of 30 at-bats. Don't get me wrong, Manny can hit this staff at Chavez Ravine - and he will; but tonight, he and the Dodgers will be silenced.

Lay the low chalk here, as the Phils roll to the Game 1 win.

1♦ PHILLIES

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Re: Thursday Service Plays

TONY WESTON

OK, so we were a little off our last time out as Troy and Florida Atlantic fell a little short of the total with the over failing to come in.

Well, we’re starting a winning run tonight as we’re switching gears and going with some ACC action. Tonight, we’re taking the Over on the Clemson-Wake Forest game in a matchup that will blow right past that set total that’s sitting at around 42 points.

Consider, first, that so far this year these teams have been putting up strong offensive numbers. These teams have scored 27 or more points in a game five of their nine total games played.

Also, Clemson comes into this game averaging 30.6 points per game, while Wake Forest is averaging 25 points per game. Also, over their last four games the Tigers have averaged 35.7 points per game, while Wake Forest has averaged 23.5 points per game at home this year.

Keep in mind, too, that the Over is 5-1 in the last six meetings between these two teams and is 2-1 the last three times Wake Forest has hosted this game. Also, in the eight meetings between these two teams this decade, they’ve combined to average 54.5 points per game.

It’ll be another high-scoring affair with the teams blowing right past that total. Take the Over tonight.

3♦ CLEMSON-WAKE FOREST OVER

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FRANK JORDAN

UAB is 1-5 on the year and are coming off a tough 3 point late loss to Memphis. Houston snapped a 3 game losing streak last time out with a 41-24 point win at East Carolina. Look for Houston to win but by no more than 2 scores resulting in UAB to cover. Play UAB


Clemson is 3-2 and 1-1 in conference play, but did lose by 3 last time out to Maryland. Wake Forest is the 17th team in the country with a 3-1 record and has won their only ACC game to this point, but are also coming off a lost as they dropped their last game 24-17 to Navy. Look for Clemson to come up with the big road win at Wake Forest. Play Clemson

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Stewart Grainger

Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Philadelphia Phillies
Play Under 7½

Having completed the first round of the playoffs, let’s look at our OU scoreboard. The fifteen games played so far have gone 4-10-1 OU!, including PHI/MIL 0-4 OU, TBR/CWS 1-3 OU, and LAA/BOS 1-2-1 OU. LAD/CHC went 2-1 OU, as the Cub starters' control problems continued from the regular season.

While there are numerous factors involved in this strong Under trend, let’s just look at one of them. Since most teams come in to the playoffs on a few extra days rest, a manager can do a lot more with pitching matchups than in the regular season. A good example of this is how the Dodgers stacked their rotation vs. the Cubs so that their better road starters, Lowe and Billingsley, pitched at Chicago, reserving Kuroda and Maddux for home starts, where they are much stronger; that potent Cubs offense scored only 6 runs in the 3 game series.

All four of the Phillies’ playoff games with MIL went Under the number. 3 of their 4 August home games with LAD went Under. Tonight’s starter Cole Hamels (L, 14-10, 3.09 ERA) has had a great 2nd half; in his last 5 home starts he has thrown a 2.07 ERA! In his two lifetime starts vs. the Dodgers, he has allowed only 4 earned runs in 14 innings, a 2.57 ERA.
The Phillies are 3-6 OU in their home games since mid-September, allowing only 3.2 runs per game. And playing a team that has won at least 2 straight(LAD), PHI is 14-24 OU since 9/07, 7-12 OU at home.

The Dodgers’ starter Derek Lowe(R, 14-11, 3.24 ERA) has also had a great 2nd half, especially on the road. In his last 5 road starts, Lowe has allowed only 4 runs in 29 1/3 innings, for a ridiculous 1.22 ERA! In his 3 lifetime starts at PHI, Lowe has allowed only 5 earned runs in 20 innings, a 2.25 ERA.

In their Sept/Oct road games, the Dodgers have allowed an average of only 3.26 runs per game. Playing on the road after a game where they allowed fewer than 2 runs (like Saturday), the Dodgers are 2-8-1 OU this year. And playing on the road after a win where they had fewer than 6 hits(Saturday), LAD is 13-24-3 OU, including 4-8-1 OU over the last 2 seasons.

The 8 matchups between these teams this year have gone 3-4-1 OU with an average of exactly 7.5 runs per game. Given that we have LAD's hottest road starter vs. PHI's hottest home starter, I think we will be under this number. What can go wrong?: If one or both starters come back really, really rusty after a week off. But, I see both starters going deep into this game (7+ innings) and no more than 4 or 5 runs being scored, so I am on the Under!

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Re: Thursday Service Plays

Jack Jones

Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Philadelphia Phillies
Play: Philadelphia Phillies -130 

This is going to be a series in which the home team mops up. Derek Lowe has pitched terrible on the road this year, even if he's been hot since the end of August. Hamels has been lights out and was dominate against the Brewers. Each team went 4-0 and swept the board against the other in their home parks this year, and with Philadelphia's ability to make it an eight inning game with Lidge closing it out I see this one going Philly's way.

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Re: Thursday Service Plays

hey whats up any body have maddox sports picks or indian cowboy picks thanks

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