Saturday Service Plays

Re: Saturday Service Plays

Stephen Nover

Nebraska @ Texas Tech
PICK: Texas Tech -20.5

It was noble of first-year Nebraska coach Bo Pelini to take the blame and apologize to the state for the Cornhuskers' miserable showing in a 52-17 loss to Missouri last week.

But it's not Pelini's fault. He's a good coach, better than what Nebraska has had. The problem is the Cornhuskers haven't converted to 21st century football yet.

Their defense isn't quick or fast enough to compete with high octane spread offenses such as Missouri and now Texas Tech.

The Cornhuskers can have all the motivation and turn in a great effort, but they simply are overmatched here. Now that the point spread has gone down to less than three touchdowns, the time is right to play Texas Tech.

The Red Raiders have the nation's No. 2 offense, averaging 583.3 yards per game, and the No. 1 passing attack. They beat the Cornhuskers, 70-10, when Nebraska last visited Lubbock four years ago.

Texas Tech coach Mike Leach isn't the kind of coach to let up either like Missouri actually did last week. He'll run up a score for poll purposes.

Texas Tech buried Kansas State, 58-28, last week. Graham Harrell was 38-for-51 with six touchdown passes for Texas Tech. The Red Raiders received good ground support, too, from Shannon Woods and Baron Batch.

Any semi-optimism from Nebraska's narrow loss to Virginia Tech two weeks ago faded with its surrender to Missouri. Now the Cornhuskers go on the road for the first time. They've allowed an average of 52.6 points in their last four road games.

The sad fact is Nebraska can't stop Big 12 opponents. They are giving up an average of 47 points in their last eight conference games.

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Re: Saturday Service Plays

Matty Baiungo

Vanderbilt @ Mississippi St
Play: Mississippi St + 2½

Quick, name the team in first place in the vaunted SEC East. Nope, it’s not Florida and it’s not Georgia. And it’s not even the other name programs in Tennessee and South Carolina. The geeks from Nashville are in sole possession of first place. That’s right, the Vanderbilt Commodores sit atop the perch of the Eastern division of the best conference in college football. The same Vanderbilt program that was 8-40 in conference play under head coach Bobby Johnson heading into this season. And it’s even more amazing considering not much was expected from Vanderbilt this year after they lost their “best team in ages” to graduation. Vanderbilt only returned 3 starters on offense including zero on the offensive line, and they were once again picked to finish in the basement in their division. But after five games (5-0 SU and ATS), those pundits were dead wrong. And not only does Vandy have the best record in the SEC along with Alabama and LSU, but is also ranked # 13 in the country. As far-fetched as it seems, it’s true.

But is Vanderbilt really that good? Don’t think so. They opened their season as a 3 ½-point road underdog at Miami Ohio and they won that game 34-13. But for a SEC team to be underdog to a CUSA team shows what the oddsmaker’s thought of Vandy heading into 2008. Next up was South Carolina, a game in which Vandy was a 9 ½-point home dog. They won 24-17 but were out-gained by 100 yards and benefited from 3 Carolina turnovers. They won their next game over defenseless Rice 38-21, but again, they were out-gained by close to 70 yards and benefited from another two turnovers. Do you see where this is heading? They followed that inside-out win with another at Ole Miss, winning 23-17 despite getting crushed in the stats by 183 yards. Oh yeah, they received another 4 turnovers in Oxford. And last week, they came back from a 13 point deficit to beat Auburn by a point, 14-13. In their three SEC games, Vanderbilt has offensive yardage of 225, 202, and 263. To put that into perspective, Vanderbilt has the 114th ranked offense out of 119 teams.

So how long can Vanderbilt carry-on this phoniness? Their magical ride ends this week in Starkville against Mississippi St, but not because the Bulldogs are any good. Vanderbilt’s game last week against Auburn was the biggest in the school’s history. Nashville was abuzz for the two weeks leading up to that game, and it was the perfect set-up for Vandy to “upset” Auburn. Vandy entered off a bye week while they caught Auburn off back-to-back wars with LSU and Tennessee. And the ‘Dores took advantage of the situation. But they lost their quarterback Chris Nickson to a shoulder injury and backup Mackenzi Adams led Vandy to the comeback win. Johnson has yet to say if Nickson will be back or if Adams will get the start, but regardless of who’s under center, Vanderbilt is good fade material in this spot. How can they possibly match last week’s intensity? They can’t, and the fact that they are a road favorite here makes this play much more appealing. Notice the lack of mentioning of Mississippi St. It was done on purpose because this selection is solely based on a play-against Vanderbilt. Even though they stink, Miss St still has the better offense (103-114) and defense (46-47) over Vandy in this game according to the NCAA’s national rankings. Play Mississippi St plus the points.

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Re: Saturday Service Plays

Craig Trapp

Texas vs. Oklahoma    
Play:Oklahoma -7

Love the OKL Sooners -7. Oklahoma QB Bradford has been on fire and no one can compete with there athletic fast WR's. Well bad news for TEX there pass defense is 92nd in the country. Oh by the way they were worse last year and they have played easy teams thus far. Bad news OKL will blow them out and make a claim to there right to claim the #1 spot. Get ready for a laugher. SCORE OKL 34 - TEX 19

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Re: Saturday Service Plays

SCOTT FERRALL

KENTUCKY PK over S. Carolina--I like what I saw from the Wildcats against Alabama.  They covered for me.  S. Carolina allows to many points

GEORGIA -12.5 to Tennessee--The Vols really do BLOW

MIAMI -15 to Central Florida--Canes finally light somebody up

LSU +4 from Florida--it's a field goal game brothers !  Can the Tigers dance in Gainesville is the only question--I say yes !

BALL ST -16.5 to Western Kentucky--Cardinals prove they belong in the Top 25

WESTERN MICHIGAN +1 from Buffalo--WMU is 5-1 and 3-0 in the the Mid-American

NORTHWESTERN +3 from Michigan St

NORTHERN ILLINOIS -10.5 to Miami (Ohio)--Miami has zero defense and will get lit up

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Re: Saturday Service Plays

Right Angle Sports

Ohio at Kent State +2

The Flashes have only played two true home games in their first six, have taken on two BCS schools, and opened up conference play on the road against the highest rated team in the league in Ball State. Ranking last in the MAC in turnover ratio can explain away some of their lopsided scores, but they have actually had a higher yard per play average in three of their losses at Iowa State, at Ball State, and vs Akron. This despite playing without standout RB Jarvis (ankle) in their last three games. Jarvis led the nation in rushing last year, has practiced this week, and is expected to get playing time vs Ohio. Kent finally had a winnable situation last week vs nearby rival Akron but a costly fumbled punt late in the fourth quarter led to an eventual overtime loss in a game they had led almost throughout and finished with over 100 more total yards. Senior dual threat QB Edelman (25 career starts) is coming off his best game of the season and the entire offense got a big boost from good looking freshman WR Pressley (11 touches, 70 yards) who led the team in receiving in his first game since having redshirt removed. Ohio will unfairly be playing their fifth road game in seven weeks to start the season. The Bobcats have been decimated with injuries on both sides of the ball but particularly on the defensive line which has caused speculation that two players may have their redshirt status removed this week. This does not bode well for them against the MAC's top rushing team in Kent. Ohio replacement starting QB Jackson has now thrown four interceptions in his last two games against 1-A opponents. The Bobcats were outgained by a whopping 2.8 yards per play last week at Western Michigan. With an 0-5 record vs 1-A schools and dismal efforts each of the last two weeks, Ohio should not be laying points on the road to any team with a pulse. Take the live dog.

Play: #168 Kent State +2 for 1 UNIT (Line has since moved to +1, I recommend the play down to pick'em.)

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Re: Saturday Service Plays

Matt Fargo

Rutgers @ Cincinnati
PICK: Cincinnati -7.5

Rutgers has fallen and fallen quickly. After winning 21 games over the last two seasons, the Scarlet Knights have won just once in five tries this year and that victory came against FCS team Morgan St. This past weekend, they lost at West Virginia in a game that should not have been as close as the final score ended up. Rutgers was outgained by 63 total yards including 103 yards on the ground. It was getting two touchdowns and despite the loss, its gets close to a touchdown less against an arguably better team.

The Bearcats had no problem with Marshall on Friday night and the significant part was the rushing edge. Cincinnati outgained the Thundering Herd 203-90 on the ground and it should be able to get an edge against Rutgers as well. The Bearcats have had Rutgers number the last two years as they were able to win both meetings and even more importantly, they were able to win the rushing battle both times. And this was with Ray Rice in the backfield for Rutgers who is now gone.

Right now Rutgers is relying upon the passing game to generate offense, notably receiver Kenny Britt, who is coming off his eighth 100-yard game for the Scarlet Knights. The problem now is that Rutgers squares off against arguably the two best corners in the Big East in Mike Mickens and DeAngelo Smith. Mickens has already tied Cincinnati's career record for interceptions with 12, three of which were returned for touchdowns, while Smith shared the national lead in interceptions with eight in 2007.

Overall, Rutgers is ranked 83rd in the nation in total offense and 100th in scoring offense. This comes after finishing 18th and 33rd respectively a season ago. It shows how valuable a running back like Rice means to an offense. Cincinnati is 54th in total defense but it should be ranked higher as most of the defensive damage came against Oklahoma as it allowed 592 total yards. Take that out and the defense is allowing 280.5 ypg in the other four games which would put it 22nd in the country.

This is a double revenge game for Rutgers but means little at this point, especially with it playing this one on the road. The revenge road angle is very overrated in my opinion and it is an angle that should not be used in a game such as this. The Bearcats are 7-2-1 ATS in their last 10 games against a team with a losing record and 10-3 ATS in their last 13 home games. Look for the domination to continue as Cincinnati begins Big East action with an easy victory. Play Cincinnati Bearcats 1.5 Units

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Re: Saturday Service Plays

Ross Benjamin

Notre Dame @ North Carolina
Play:North Carolina –7.5

North Carolina looks like the real deal and a team that is getting better every week. Butch Davis is mapping out the same blueprint he did at Miami with great recruiting classes filled with speed and athleticism. Notre Dame is an improved team but they will be overmatched versus the Tar Heels on the road. The Irish were dominated in their only road game thus far at Michigan St. Notre Dame’s 4 wins have come over teams with a cumulative record of 8-13.

Any non-conference home favorite of 18.0 or less that is off BB SU and ATS wins, the last of which they scored 34 points or more, they have won 10 or more of their last 22 games, and is facing an opponent off a favorite ATS win that they covered by 17.0 points or less is 0-15 SU and ATS since 1980. The favorite has won those 15 games by an average of 25.3 points per game. Play on North Carolina minus the points.

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Re: Saturday Service Plays

Captain Morgan Sports

Vanderbilt @ Mississippi St.

Vandy is still flying high over their upset win versus Auburn last Saturday. I see a let down versu a tough Miss. St. squad.Vandy is 3-7 straight-up on the road in October,Miss.St. is 3-1 ATS in this series last 4 meetings.

PLAY ON MISSISSIPPI ST.

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Re: Saturday Service Plays

Bettorsworld

3* Wisconsin +6 over Penn State

One word comes to mind when we think of Wisconsin. Desperate. It's safe to say the season hangs in the balance this week as JoePa and the Nittany Lions come to town as Wisconsin is in danger of starting 0-3 in the Big 10. The Big 10 title already looks like a lost cause but a loss here would seal that deal. A big time bowl game is also slipping away. All this for a team that was 9-4 a year ago and returned many key pieces to the puzzle from a year ago. This was a decent team a year ago that was only outclassed twice and figured to be improved this year.

What makes it all the more difficult to swallow is that Wisconsin could have won both games they lost this year. They controlled the clock against Michigan and moved the ball on the ground and thru the air for 384 total yards. Ahead 19-0 at the half and 19-7 after 3, they couldn't hold on turning the ball over and allowing 3 Michigan scores in the 4th quarter. Despite their poor performance in the 2nd half they still had chances to win it but failed.

Wisky regrouped to host one of the two teams to outclass them a year ago, Ohio State, last week. Last year saw Ohio State won 38-17. But last week, the game was dead even right across the board. Just about every major category, dead even. It came down to who could make the big plays at the end of the game, and that was Ohio State, scoring on their final drive and then intercepting Allan Evridge on Wisky's final drive to end the game.

Clearly Wisconsin has closed the gap between them and Ohio State. Ohio State, Wisky and Penn State all have similar make ups this year as far as who returned from a year ago. All lost QB's and returned just about everyone else. Both beat Wisky decisively a year ago. Wisky closed the gap one, why not the other.

The 8pm est. start time and the National TV audience only add to the already significant Wisconsin home field advantage. Wisconsin is 41-15 at home this decade. Penn State is 13-25 on the road in that time span. Sure, Penn State had a few down years, but you get the picture. Wisconsin is 5-2 all time at home against Penn State with both losses by 3 points.

The beautiful thing about college football is that with all the close heartbreaking losses and the disappointments that come with them, one win can make everything better. One win can turn an entire season around. A win here and 1-2 in the Big 10 puts them right back into the thick of things and gets them a whole lot of National publicity to boot (always helps the recruiting).

Certainly Penn State looked great their first 4 games this year but the margins tightened a bit once they got into Big 10 play. Illinois played them tough at Penn State with the score 24-17 and the game up for grabs heading into the 4th quarter and they led Purdue just 10-0 at the half last week.

Look for a huge effort from the Badgers this week. Remember, things aren't always what they seem. Already this year we have seen USC, Florida and Georgia go down. Why not upset the apple cart a little more this week. 3* Wisconsin +6  (note - if 6.5 becomes available we'd recommend buying it up to +7)


3* Texas +7 over Oklahoma

Looking at the early season schedules of some of the better teams in the country reminds me of the way heavyweight boxers are brought along with the padded records in order to gain a title shot. You know, they fight a bunch of tomato cans, get a record of 20-0, with some hype to go along with it and then 9 times out of 10 they are exposed in the big fight.

Both of these teams schedules get much tougher starting this week. Oklahoma State, Missouri, Kansas, Kansas State, Texas Tech, all await. The combined record of their opponents to date is 23-31. Approaching the game you'll here the ESPN chatterboxes talking about how great these teams are, how they are undefeated, blah, blah, blah. They may be great, but they'll need to prove it. Don't get to carried away with the results to date. Both are still untested.

Both squads delivered when they had to step it up a notch, with Texas over Colorado and Oklahoma over TCU. But clearly this is a huge test for both teams. In such a long standing rivalry between two teams you'd expect to look at past results and see a ton of games decided by a touchdown or less. No the case here. Not in recent history anyway. As a matter of fact last year was the first year in over a decade that the game wasn't decided by double digits. There was some flat out routes within the last 5 years. How about 65-13 Oklahoma in 2003. Or 45-12 Texas in 2005. Huge margins considering neither team has had a losing record in that time with both routinely winning 11 and 12 games a year.

You can break this game down and make both squads look great by highlighting some fantastic numbers. Such as Texas having yet to allow a rushing touchdown or either teams great offensive averages. But remember, these are two very good football teams that have played very soft schedules. Of course the stats are going to look good. Many are also quick to point out that the Texas pass defense is suspect. But that is also misleading as they haven't played a close game yet. When a team is way out in front in it's games it forces opponents to throw the ball frequently. The same can be said about both teams. Both have stifled opponents on the ground while both have given up more through the air as both built big early leads forcing their opponents to throw. While Texas has given up a few more yards through the air, you simply can't use that as a comparison of the two teams pass defenses.

Both teams have great QB's. McCoy had a great year in 2006 for Texas and was down a notch last year, but appears to be back in form this year. Likewise Bradford had a great first year for Oklahoma and continues to look good this year. McCoy has played well in this game two years in a row, winning it in 2006 and losing it last year. He's become a threat on the ground as well as he leads the Longhorns in rushing. (Last year he was -24 yards rushing in this game. Expect that to change this week.) He's not throwing into double coverage the way he did a year ago where Texas losses can be traced to McCoys picks. Given the choice right now at this stage of their careers we'd choose McCoy over Bradford. But the margin is slim.

This is a huge game for many reasons. The number one ranking Oklahoma holds is on the line. The Big 12 title picture is on the line. The National Title is on the line. The Heisman trophy is on the line. Yeah, it's a big game. Given the talent level of these two teams not only this year but historically, as well as all that's on the line here, we'll gladly take the touchdown with the Longhorns here in a game they can win straight up. 27 years or so of betting college football tells us we'd be ahead long term taking the touchdown in this spot. Every year the "situations" stay the same in college ball. Only the team names change. We've seen similar situations countless times. As recently as Alabama at Georgia this year. Can anyone point to an obvious mismatch anywhere in this game? Most folks are torn on who the straight up winner will be. Both returned just about an equal number of starters on offense and defense this year including both QB's and both lost a couple of key contributors from a year ago, but only 7 points separated these two last year and there's no evidence to suggest more than that will separate them this year. 3* Texas +7

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Re: Saturday Service Plays

Doc's Sports

Notre Dame vs. North Carolina 
Play: Notre Dame +7.5     

The Tar Heels are getting way too much respect since they are playing a team that has improved every week especially on the offensive side of the football. Notre Dame can score point with QB Jimmy Clausen and expect this to be a shootout that goes down to the wire. UNC is still without their No. 1 quarterback in TJ Yates and I question how strong their offense actually is. They lost to Virginia Tech at home and were down early to Miami before mounting a comeback. That game meant a lot to Coach Davis, since he had tied to the U. This will be a game that goes down to the wire and getting this many points makes it a strong play with the dog. 

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Re: Saturday Service Plays

Vegas Sports Informer

Take East Carolina -5 over Virginia

The East Carolina Pirates had a bye week to prepare for this game, so the advantage goes to the Pirates. Granted the Pirates are on the road but they have a good enough defense to slow down Virginia's offense. East Carolina has the better offense and should win this game with ease. East Carolina is 9-3 ATS following a SU loss and the Pirates are also 15-7 ATS on the road. Virginia is 2-9 ATS against Non-Conference teams.

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Re: Saturday Service Plays

Robert Ferringo

Take Florida -6 over LSU

I have absolutely no hesitation about laying the points in this matchup. First, I think it’s a huge red flag that the lower-ranked team is favored by such a significant margin in this game. Which ties into my second reason: I think LSU is overrated. Yes, the Tigers have strong offensive and defensive lines. But their resume is less than impressive to me and I don’t trust their young quarterbacks on the road. LSU’s top win was a comeback victory against an Auburn team that, frankly, isn’t as good as advertised. They were unimpressive against Mississippi State and didn’t look that great against North Texas. LSU is just 2-7-1 ATS in SEC games and Florida has covered four of five in this series.

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Re: Saturday Service Plays

Big Al

LSU v Florida
Pick: Gators

At 8 pm, our complimentary selection is on the Florida Gators minus the points over LSU. Last year, LSU defeated Florida in Baton Rouge, 28-24, and went on to win the National Championship. With revenge on its mind, look for Urban Meyer's Gators to knock off LSU, as Florida is a terrific 12-0 ATS vs. .666 (or better) conference foes, provided Florida has revenge, and is off a pointspread win. Take the Gators.

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Re: Saturday Service Plays

WILD BILL

South Carolina +1 (5 units)
San Diego State +11 (5 units)
Smu +24 1/2 (5 units)
Cincinnati U  -7 1/2 (5 units)
Stanford +6 1/2 (5 units)
Vanderbilt  -2 1/2 (5 units)
East Carolina -5 1/2 (5 units)
Tulane +4 1/2 (5 units)
Notre Dame +7 1/2 (5 units) 
Nebraska +21 (5 units)
Akron +1 (5 units)
Arizona State +27 (5 units)
N Mex State +20 (5 units)
Over 47 1/2 WVU-Syracuse (5 units)
Over 56 1/2 Minn-Illini (5 units)
Under 47 N'western-Mich St (5 units)
Over 38 S. Carolina-Ky (5 units)
Over 47 Temple-CMU (5 units)
Under 78 Ok State-Mizzou (5 units)
Over 59 1/2 Tulane-UTEP (5 units)

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Re: Saturday Service Plays

Tony George

Ohio vs. Kent
Kent State +2

Head coach Frank Solich is in dire straights for 2 reasons! The Bobcats of Ohio have played 5 road games in 7 weeks, and have suffered numerous injuries, especially on defense and the front four. It looks like red shirt frosh are now being called to duty. This is not good new as Ohio takes on the Golden Flashes who lead the MAC in rushing coming into this week, and to add insult to injury, the Flashes get all world RB Jarvis back this week, who incidentally lead the nation in rushing last year, as his backup is another stud who has filled in well as well. Ohio has played deplorable the last 2 weeks and are using a back up QB who tossed 4 picks in his last 2 games, and there is no way Ohio should be laying points here. I also like the double threat at quarterback for Kent St. here as QB Edelman can both pass and throw and is a veteran starter. he can beat you with his feet and is capable of converting 3rd downs often with his ability to run which keeps the chains moving. This is a sneaky cover here, but Kent is improving and Ohio is going backwards, and I always love to play a live home dog in mid-season.

Play on Kent State

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Re: Saturday Service Plays

Norm Hitzges

NCAA
Double Plays

North Carolina -8.5 vs Notre Dame
Texas Tech -20 vs Nebraska
Miami, FL -16.5 vs UCF
Florida -5.5 vs LSU
Oklahoma St +14.5 vs Missouri
Colorado +14 vs Kansas

Single Plays

West Virginia -24 vs Syracuse
Oklahoma -6.5 vs Texas
Baylor -5 vs Iowa St
South Carolina -2.5 vs Kentucky
Mississippi St -2.5 vs Vanderbilt
Utah -23.5 vs Wyoming
Ohio St. -19.5 vs Purdue
Miami, OH +10.5 vs No. Illinois
Oregon St -30 vs Washington St
Florida International -2 vs Middle Tennessee

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Re: Saturday Service Plays

Bryan Leonard

Tennessee U vs. Georgia
Play: Georgia -12.5

Tennessee at Georgia This Volunteer offense has been pathetic. They managed 24 points in overtime in the opener at UCLA. That was with Rick Neuheisel coaching his first game at the school and the defensive system was simply not in place. UCLA then permitted 59, 31 and 36 points to their next three opponents. The Volunteers then exploded for 35 points against UAB, a team that allowed 49 to Florida Atlantic the previous week. In the last three games Tennessee has managed 6, 12 and 13 points. In those games they had just 34 total first downs. Last week they managed just 225 total yards to MAC entrant Northern Illinois, at home! Simply put this offense will not score double digits against a defense as talented as the Bulldogs. Georgia has plenty of motivation and will take out some frustrations on the Volunteers. First off the last time they took the field they were pounded at home 41-30 by Alabama in a game that wasn't even that close. Now with an extra week to prepare they take on a Tennessee team that cost them the SEC East a year ago and a likely chance to play in the National Championship game. They lost to the Volunteers 35-14 one of only two defeats on the season. They already exacted revenge on South Carolina, now it's Tennessee's turn. The Bulldogs have been hampered by injuries but this is a very deep and talented squad. You can bet they can't wait to take the field and show the nation that they are better than they played against the Tide. Tennessee simply doesn't have the skill position talent to compete in the SEC this season. And based on their play last week winning in the MAC would even be a problem. PLAY GEORGIA 

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Tom Stryker

Vanderbilt vs. Mississippi St 
Play: Mississippi St +2.5     

With its spotless 5-0 SU record and shiny No. 13 ranking, Vanderbilt makes the voyage to Davis Wade Stadium at Scott Field in search of its sixth victory of the season. I sure hope the Commodores enjoyed their recent success because they won’t leave Starkville with a “W” in their pocket. MSU head Coach Sylvester Croom and the Bulldogs will be revved up and ready to pull of this upset. My system book agrees.

At game six of the regular season or later, the pressure for undefeated road favorites starts to mount. Since 1980, college teams in this specific set are a soft 162-211 ATS. There are a couple of tighteners to this system that makes things worse and Vanderbilt applies to one of them. If our undefeated game six or later road favorite enters off an underdog win, this situation crashes to a wallet-breaking 5-15 ATS including 1-12 ATS provided our piece of chalk is laying -14’ or less! The Commodores apply to all three sets.

Mississippi State can play a lick of defense and they’ll be able to keep Vandy’s offense in check. The Bulldogs are one of the nation’s best against the pass (ranked 11th) allowing just 153.4 yards per game. Also, MSU has recorded an average of 6.6 tackles-for-loss each game and that places State 27th in the nation in that defensive category.

Since the 1983 season, Vanderbilt has been installed a conference road favorite six times and it has produced as stiff 2-4 SU and 1-5 ATS record. Respect is certainly to the Commodores and the job they’ve done this season. However, conference road favorites that carry a winning record (greater than .500) have dropped 54 of their last 86 games to the Las Vegas number provided they just won straight up as a conference home dog in their last game. Grab all the points you can get here men. Take Mississippi State! 

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Larry Ness

Cincinnati -7 vs Rutgers

These teams have played memorable games in each of the last two seasons, with the Bearcats winning each time. Rutgers visited the "Queen City" in '06, the week after its 28-25 win over then-No.3 Louisville on a Thursday night. The Scarlet Knights came in 9-0 and ranked No. 7 but lost 30-11 as 6 1/2-point favorites. In last year's meeting at Rutgers, both schools were ranked and the Bearcats (four-point 'dogs) won again, 28-23. This year's meeting offers little drama. Rutgers limps in 1-4 with its lone win of '08 coming over Morgan State and Cincinnati, while sporting a 4-1 mark, is down to its third QB of the season. Dustin Grutza opened as Cincy's QB this season but broke his leg in the team's second game at Oklahoma. Troy Pike followed at QB with two very good efforts in back-to-back wins vs Miami-Ohio and Akron (43-of-58 for 561 yards with five TDs and 0 INTs) but broke his left arm in the fourth quarter of the team's 17-15 win at Akron. That left red-shirt freshman Chazz Anderson to make the start last Friday at Marshall and he completed 16-of-26 for 158 yards (two TDs and one INT) in the Bearcats' 33-10 win. That ATS win makes head coach Brian Kelly a remarkable 27-10-3 vs. line since 2005! Rutgers head coach Greg Schiano has led the Scarlet Knights to three straight bowl appearances but this year's team is going nowhere. Rutgers had averaged 162, 180 and 198 YPG on the ground the last three seasons with Ray Rice in the backfield but this year sans Rice, the Scarlet Knights are averaging 123.4 YPG and just 3.8 YPC. QB Mike Teel, despite two very talented WRs in Britt and Underwood, has only three TD passes after five games (neither Britt nor Underwood has one) and seven INTs. Meanwhile, the Bearcats have two solid RBs in Ramsey (271 YR / 4.6 YPC) and Goebel (235 YR / 5.0 YPC / 5 TDs) plus QB Anderson has two accomplished WRs in Gilyard (28 receptions / 5 TDs) and Goodman (34 receptions / 5 TDs). Cincy has been a good home team all decade (36-13 SU since 2000) and this win should come fairly handily. Lay the points with the Bearcats.

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Re: Saturday Service Plays

Colin Cowherd

LSU
Oklahoma
Notre Dame
Arizona State
Penn State

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