Tuesday Night Football

Tuesday Night Football

Troy Trojans vs. Florida Atlantic Owls

Oddsmakers currently have the Trojans listed as 3½-point favorites versus the Owls, while the game's total is sitting at 51.

Troy was defeated 55-24 by Oklahoma State in Week 5, as a 17.5-point road underdog. The 79 points sailed OVER the posted total of 61.

Jamie Hampton completed 24-of-46 pass attempts for 256 yards with two touchdowns in the loss.

Middle Tennessee put up 14 points in the fourth quarter in Week 6 to rally past Florida Atlantic for a 14-13 victory.

The Blue Raiders failed to cover the 3-point spread in that contest, while the combined score fell well UNDER the night's posted total (52).

Current streak:
Troy has lost 2 straight games.
Florida Atlantic has lost 3 straight games.

Team records:
Troy: 2-2 SU, 2-1 ATS
Florida Atlantic: 1-4 SU, 3-2 ATS

Troy most recently:
When playing in October are 8-2
When playing on grass are 2-8
After being outgained are 5-5
When playing within the conference are 9-1

Florida Atlantic most recently:
When playing in October are 4-6
When playing on grass are 4-6
After outgaining opponent are 4-6
When playing within the conference are 8-2

A few trends to consider:
Troy is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Florida Atlantic
Troy is 10-4 SU in its last 14 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Florida Atlantic's last 5 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Florida Atlantic's last 5 games
Florida Atlantic is 6-2 ATS in its last 8 games
Florida Atlantic is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games at home

Next up:
Troy home to Florida International, Saturday, October 18
Florida Atlantic at Western Kentucky, Saturday, October 18

Blade
useravatar
Offline
207021 Posts
Administrator has disabled public posting

Re: Tuesday Night Football

What bettors need to know: Troy at Florida Atlantic
By MATT SEVERANCE

Head-to-head

The teams have met five times overall and Troy had won the first four before falling last season.

Speaking of last season, on Dec. 1, 2007, Rusty Smith passed for 291 yards and two touchdowns and Florida Atlantic had a late defensive stand to win at Troy 38-32, which sent the Owls to the New Orleans Bowl. The Owls scored 28 points in a 12-minute span of the second half (and 31 overall after trailing 9-7 at intermission) to claim a share of the Sun Belt title with the Trojans.

Last week

The Owls lost their Sun Belt opener, 14-13, on a Hail Mary to Middle Tennessee State on Sept. 30. FAU gave up two touchdowns in the final five-plus minutes of the game, and it was the Owls’ third straight setback.

Troy has lost two games in a row, albeit against BCS conference schools Ohio State and Oklahoma State. That loss to the Cowboys on Sept. 27 was the Trojans’ last game, so they will have had three more days to prepare for this game than the Owls. However, Troy allowed 612 yards of offense to Oklahoma State, the first time it had given up more than 600 yards in seven years.

In terms of a common opponent this year, Troy won at Middle Tennessee State 31-17 in the season opener.

Tuesday Football

Yes, the sole reason these teams are playing on a Tuesday is because of the lure of national TV exposure on ESPN2, which also aired FAU’s game last Tuesday vs. Middle Tennessee State. For minor conference teams, a Tuesday or Wednesday slot is their only chance to get national exposure.

''We have a chance to show the nation what FAU is,'' said Owls safety Greg Joseph. ''We just want people to recognize who we are - because a lot of people don't know.''

FAU coach Howard Schnellenberger said he would be open to FAU playing any night of the week to get national exposure - other than Fridays, because that’s reserved for high school football.

Troy played on a Tuesday last year - a 45-7 home win over MTSU – and is used to the experience.

"I like playing these mid-week games, really, because you have a little time on the weekends," offensive coordinator Neal Brown said. "Friday is Monday and, no, that's not right. Tuesday is Saturday, so Monday is Friday, so Sunday is actually a Thursday. Saturday is Tuesday. Friday is a Monday."

Troy is a master of getting on national TV among mid-majors as it will be shown eight times this season. It is 5-1 all-time playing on ESPN2.

Seraching for the century mark

Trojans WR Mykeal Terry had five catches for 153 yards and two scores in Troy’s last visit to Florida Atlantic in 2006. Terry, then a sophomore, caught the game-winning 53-yard TD pass and also scored on a 67-yard screen pass.

The week following that game, Terry had 140 yards receiving against Arkansas State – but that was his last game with more than 100 yards. He is the Trojans’ fourth-leading receiver this year with seven catches for 87 yards and two TDs.

By the numbers

Troy is averaging 32.5 points per game and 441.8 yards per game, but that total is inflated by its 736 total yards in a 65-0 win over I-AA (forget that Football Championship Subdivision stuff) Alcorn State. The Trojans had 305 yards of offense against Ohio State and 416 against Oklahoma State. QB Jamie Hampton has completed 63.4 percent of his passes and is averaging 232.5 yards passing per game, with nine touchdowns and seven interceptions. On defense, Troy allows 331.2 yards per game, which is pretty good considering what Oklahoma State did to that unit.

FAU’s offense has scored only one TD in the past three games as Smith has struggled this season, completing less than 50 percent of his passes with four TDs and seven interceptions. Smith hasn’t thrown a TD since the Owls’ lone win, against UAB in the second game of the season, and has six total interceptions in the past two games; his QB rating is No. 102 in Division I-A. In addition, the Owls only rank 101st in the nation in rushing yards, so it’s no surprise they are No. 106 in points scored (15 ppg). FAU also is minus-9 in turnover margin. Other than that …

Center of attention

FAU center Nick Paris is expected to play his first game of the season Tuesday. The senior starter injured his foot in the final preseason scrimmage but has been practicing with the first team leading up to this game.

If Paris can play, it will move players back to their normal positions. Kevin Miller had moved from guard to center to replace Paris, and Brandon Jackson from tackle to guard, with backup Lavoris Williams moving into Jackson's spot.

"Now that we have Nick back, I feel like the offense will start clicking more," Jackson said. "Having people back in certain places give people confidence."

Williams is doubtful for Troy with an ankle sprain, but the line was back to its normal setup late last week, with Jackson at left tackle, David Matlock at left guard, Paris at center, Miller at right guard and John Rizzo at right tackle.

Owls defensive end Michael Hancock (ankle) is doubtful for Tuesday.

The line

It has stayed steady favoring the Trojans by 3½ points.

Blade
useravatar
Offline
207021 Posts
Administrator has disabled public posting

Re: Tuesday Night Football

Tips and Trends

Troy at Florida Atlantic [ESPN2 | 8 PM ET]

Troy (-3.5): After getting hammered by Oklahoma State in its last outing, Troy had a week off to prepare for this Tuesday night matchup with Florida Atlantic. This will be the Trojans fourth road game already this season. They beat Middle Tennessee on the road and played Ohio State tough before getting blown out by Oklahoma State. The Troy offense is averaging 441 yards a game but their Achilles heel has been a rush defense that’s given up an average of 171 yards per game on the year.

Troy is 8-2 ATS in its last 10 conference games.
Troy is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 road games.

Key Injuries - NONE

PROJECTED SCORE: 34 (Side Play of the Day)

FAU: Florida Atlantic returns home after dropping three straight on the road, including a heartbreaker to Middle Tennessee last Tuesday night when the Blue Raiders scored on the final play of the game to win by one. FAU expected to have a dynamic offense with several playmakers returning. But the Owls have struggled to put points on the board, scoring just 17 points in their last three games. The passing game has been surprisingly anemic, with junior quarterback Rusty Smith throwing no touchdowns and six interceptions during the three-game span.

FAU is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games in October.
The OVER is 5-0 in FAU’s last 5 home games.

Key Injuries - DE Michael Hancock (ankle) is doubtful.

PROJECTED SCORE: 24

Blade
useravatar
Offline
207021 Posts
Administrator has disabled public posting

Re: Tuesday Night Football

Remember the good old days when Football was on Saturday, Sunday and Monday?

Cable and Satellite TV is ruining Football. Don't get me wrong, I make my living off the stuff but everyday man by week 7, can a guy get a little break. Geesh

Michael Cash
77% Avoid Me
useravatar
Offline
6526 Posts
User info in posts
Administrator has disabled public posting

Re: Tuesday Night Football

Troy (2-2, 2-1 ATS) at Florida Atlantic (1-4, 3-2 ATS)

Florida Atlantic will try to bounce back from last week’s crushing last-second loss to Middle Tennessee State when it returns home for another Sun Belt Conference showdown, this one against Troy.

After settling for a 25-yard field goal with 1:15 to play to take a 13-7 lead at Middle Tennessee a week ago tonight, the Owls let the Blue Raiders march down the field and complete a 32-yard touchdown pass as time expired to tie the game, with the ensuing extra-point sending Florida Atlantic to a 14-13 loss. The Owls finished with a 363-323 edge in total offense, including 153-55 on the ground, but it wasn’t enough for Howard Schnellenberger’s squad to avoid its third straight defeat.

Florida Atlantic did get the cash as 2½-poit road underdog last week, improving to 6-2 ATS in its last eight games (3-1 ATS in the last four).

Troy is coming off consecutive blowout road losses to BCS schools Ohio State (28-10) and Oklahoma State (55-24). The Trojans got the cash as a 21-point underdog at Ohio State and even outgained the Buckeyes (315-309), but they failed to cover as a 17½-point pup against Oklahoma State, which had a whopping 612-416 yard edge in total offense, including 358-144 on the ground.

Troy won the first three meetings of this rivalry from 2002-06, going 3-0 ATS in lined contests. However, with the Sun Belt championship on the line in the regular-season finale for both teams last year, Florida Atlantic turned the tables on the Trojans, prevailing 38-32 as a 16-point road underdog. The teams combined for 878 yards of total offense, including 446 for the Trojans.

In addition to their current 6-2 ATS run, Florida Atlantic is on pointspread streaks of 5-2 at home, 8-2 in Sun Belt action, 7-2 after a SU loss and 5-1 in October. Meanwhile, Troy sports a bevy of positive ATS runs, including 13-4 overall, 4-1 on the road, 8-2 in conference play, 7-1 against losing teams and 4-0 after a non-cover. In fact, the Trojans haven’t had consecutive ATS setbacks since October 2006, a span of 22 contests.

All three lined meetings between these schools have gone over the total. Also, the over is 5-0 in FAU’s last five at home and 5-1 in its last six Sun Belt games. However, the over is on runs of 4-1 for the Owls overall, 7-3 for the Trojans overall, 6-1 for the Trojans in conference and 4-0 for the Trojans in October.

ATS ADVANTAGE: TROY

Gametimepicks.com

Blade
useravatar
Offline
207021 Posts
Administrator has disabled public posting

Re: Tuesday Night Football

Michael_Cash wrote:


Remember the good old days when Football was on Saturday, Sunday and Monday?

Cable and Satellite TV is ruining Football. Don't get me wrong, I make my living off the stuff but everyday man by week 7, can a guy get a little break. Geesh

If it wasn't for this game we wouldn't have a thing to bet tonight.  ;D

Blade
useravatar
Offline
207021 Posts
Administrator has disabled public posting

Re: Tuesday Night Football

Good point.

Speaking of that the public is all over Troy -3.5.

78% as of this morning

http://www.thespread.com/ncaa-college-f … ting-chart

Michael Cash
77% Avoid Me
useravatar
Offline
6526 Posts
User info in posts
Administrator has disabled public posting

Re: Tuesday Night Football

Good observation Cash - the betting public is all over Troy pounding them.  This line could move to 4.5 or even 5 in some places by game-time.  I just called my "librarian" and he says Troy costs 4.5 right now, but the books have not made the move yet. 

It's tough to go against the Trojans who have been so very good to backers.  Then again, so have the Owls, especially in prime time affairs and night games.  You almost have to back the home dogs here being the situation.  Rusty Smith is a pretty good QB, and you have to believe he is due for a breakout soon. 

I am going to wait until game-time to make a move and see where the line is at.  Tough one, I wouldn't say any pick on this game is a lock, not even the totals. 

Samson Prime
useravatar
Offline
297 Posts
Administrator has disabled public posting

Re: Tuesday Night Football

I would be very surprised to see many books even go to 4. Bodog has them at 4.5 now but I am pretty confident the shops that don't cater mainly to squares like Bodog does to hold steady at 3.5.

Michael Cash
77% Avoid Me
useravatar
Offline
6526 Posts
User info in posts
Administrator has disabled public posting

Re: Tuesday Night Football

Just FYI if your interested in a good Owls line right now - BetJamaicca, Diamond, and Legendz currently have them at +4, but you may want to wait because this thing will go up by game-time as long as the public money keeps puring in on Troy.

Word is a few sportsbooks in Vegas have it at +4.5 right now (too bad I don't live in Vegas).  I will wait until it gets to 4.5 around 30 minutes before game-time then jump it.

 

Samson Prime
useravatar
Offline
297 Posts
Administrator has disabled public posting

Re: Tuesday Night Football

INDIAN COWBOY'S NCAAF RESEARCH

Troy vs. Florida Atlantic


I would have had this research done much sooner but I wanted to wait and see if there will be any line movement in this game. The line opened up at -3.5 for Troy and has remained rock steady. The line opened up at 50 and has remained steady for the most part going up 1 point. Over 63% of the public is on Troy here and the line has yet to move. You know this reminds me of the Memphis UAB game. I wouldn't be surprised if Troy wins by 3 and Florida Atlantic ends up covering by a half a point. Troy does have revenge on the road here as Florida Atlantic won last year 38-32. In fact, Florida Atlantic won outright as a 15 point dog on the road. Oklahoma State just beat Troy by 31 points so Troy is coming off an ugly loss. Troy did beat Middle Tennessee State comfortably as a 6 point favorite. Florida Atlantic has actually covered 3 of their last 4 ballgames. They barely lost to Middle Tennessee State by a point on the road by a point. Look, the bottom line is I hate picking a side here b/c Troy is the public favorite, but they are the better team with the revenge. In the same token, the public slightly favors the over and with having a home dog on a weekday football game, it typically means the over. But, this is a conference game and it can go under. The last 3 times these 2 teams have met the games have steadily gone over. So, my lean here is the over, but it is a conference game so I am staying away. There is always the weekend with full of action and especially the Wednesday night through Friday night games are far more appealing.

Blade
useravatar
Offline
207021 Posts
Administrator has disabled public posting

Re: Tuesday Night Football

Good call Samson, it did peak at 4.5 right before game time. Unfortunately the end result wasn't what we wanted but you were spot on with the line analysis

Michael Cash
77% Avoid Me
useravatar
Offline
6526 Posts
User info in posts
Administrator has disabled public posting

Board Info

Board Stats:
 
Total Topics:
44232
Total Polls:
2
Total Posts:
274512
Average Posts Per Hour:
2.8
User Info:
 
Total Users:
3446
Newest User:
Erron
Members Online:
0
Guests Online:
2165

Online: 
There are no members online

Forum Legend:

 Topic
 New
 Locked
 Sticky
 Active
 New/Locked
 Sticky/Locked

Privacy Policy | Terms of Service | Contact Us | Advertising | 888-99-SPREAD

THIS IS NOT A GAMBLING SITE – If you think you have a gambling problem click here.

Disclaimer: This site is for informational and entertainment purposes only. Individual users are responsible for the laws regarding accessing gambling information from their jurisdictions. Many countries around the world prohibit gambling, please check the laws in your location. Any use of this information that may violate any federal, state, local or international law is strictly prohibited.

Copyright: The information contained on TheSpread.com website is protected by international copyright and may not be reproduced, or redistributed in any way without expressed written consent.

About: TheSpread.com is the largest sports betting news site in the United States. We provide point spread news, odds, statistics and information to over 199 countries around the world each year. Our coverage includes all North American College and Professional Sports as well as entertainment, political and proposition wagering news.

©1999-2013 TheSpread.com