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Monday Service Plays
Re: Monday Service Plays
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Chicago White Sox
Play: Chicago White Sox
The Chicago White Sox are proving to be as crafty as any street cat you see find walking around. For the third time in a week, Chicago staved off elimination, beating Tampa Bay 5-3, to trail the Rays 2-1 in the ALDS. The White Sox could care less how many lives they use up, as long as it leads to another World Series, who cares. The White Sox are 23-8 against the money line in home games after having lost two of their last three games this season. They will start Gavin Floyd (17-8, 3.84 ERA) who helped keep the season alive last Monday defeating Detroit 8-2 to help Chicago tie Minnesota for the Central Division lead at the conclusion of 162 games. Floyd and the Sox are 14-3 at U.S. Cellular Field this season. With Chicago having the fourth best home record in baseball, backing the Pale Hose to send it to a fifth and deciding game.
Re: Monday Service Plays
Minnesota +3 1/2 -1.10 (3 Unit Play)
Minnesota/New Orleans Under 46 1/2 +1.04 (4 Unit Play)-Okay, this is going to be a longer writeup than I normally provide but I think it is very important to view every aspect of this game tonight in order to find the winners. Let's start with the New Orleans Saints as they are 2-2 on the year and have put up so far this year 111 points on the year. They stand right now at 3-1 ATS and have went Over the total at a clip of 3-0-1 so the total for tonight's game is set high for a reason. The Saints have been very impressive through the air so far throwing for over 300 yards in three out of four games this year but according to tonight's injury report they will be without Marquez Colston(he has already been out I know), David Patten and Jeremy Shockey. These players equal 26.17% of the receptions made by the Saints so far this year and Shockey may be the biggest loss due to the fact that he opens the field up for the other WR's. Last year when Colston went out the Saints had big problems stretching the field for Devery Henderson and I really believe that due to the increased pass rush by the Vikings tonight they will have to dump the ball more to Reggie Bush and play a shorter passing game than they want to. The Vikings defense has been very solid against the run all year just like last year but the passing defense has been suspect but due to the injuries that the Saints have right now they may not be able to fully utilize that weakness that Minnesota has shown so far this year.
Meanwhile the Vikings are still fighting despite a 1-3 start and they are still relying heavily on their ground game as they have rushed for 566 yards on the ground so far this year while allowing Gus Frerotte to work into the offense. The Vikings are also plagued with key injuries on the offensive side of the ball as though these players are likely to play this evening in Kleinsasser, Berrian & Rice who have accounted so far for 16 receptions which equals 22.22% of their catches on the year they are likely to be hampered somewhat by those injuries. The other thing that is important to note here though is that Ellis for New Orleans who plays DT is out for this evening and he has accounted for 15 tackles so far this year and even with Ellis in there the Saints struggled to stop the run and I think the Vikings will take advantage of that situation tonight.
The Saints should struggle to run the ball against the Vikings defensive front tonight and with their receiving corps in some trouble I don't think they will score as much as they usually do. Brees will likely need to hold on to the ball longer to find open WR's and that could lead to more sacks by the Vikings than they have had this season. On the other side of the ball I think Minnesota will be able to move the chains by keeping the ball on the ground and I really see the Vikings trying to limit mistakes this evening and that will mean lots of runs with Adrian Peterson and grounding down the clock. The Vikes do have starting LB EJ Henderson listed as doubtful but again due to the Saints injury situation they should be able to cover that up. In what should be a good game I will call for a Minnesota victory tonight by a score of 20-17.
Re: Monday Service Plays
At the heart of this play, Minnesota is better than the public thinks and at 1-3 they'll be hungry and highly motivated. They beat & outgained a good Panthers team 2 weeks ago in Frerotte's 1st start and last week outgained but lost on the road to a strong Titans team. A -3 turnover margin was the difference. That game helps us here and their stock is down because the public just sees the final score and their season record. The Saints have a high powered offense but it will be very tough to run the ball tonight. The Minny pass D has been decent and while New Orleans has the edge in that matchup, the Vikings have the ability to minimize the damage. The big matchup tho is the Vikings offence vs the Saints D. The Saints run D has been horrible and the Vikings have a real chance to control the game there which also takes the ball out of the hands of Brees. Frerotte has played well and has 2 starts under his belt now. The Saints pass D is very beatable. New Orleans won a division game last week (49ers) to move to 2-2. I like the setup as we have the team with better fundamentals, stronger motivation, and matchup advantages catching points. As a bonus, the public is on New Orleans in a big way but the line hasn't moved. Another positive indicator for the Vikings. Take Minnesota +3 for a 5* Top Play.
Re: Monday Service Plays
Bob Balfe's MNF pick? Do we have it?
Vikings/Saints Under 46.5
Lets take it one team at a time starting with the Vikings. Minnesota has a pretty good run defense with the Williams boys in the middle and on offense Gus Frerotte is the kind of guy that can manage games, but doesn't have the ability to take over the game and light up the scoreboard when playing on the road. Minnesota wants to manage the clock keeping the Saints lethal offense off the field. Look for Peterson and Taylor to run the ball a lot tonight. New Orleans is going to without two of their top receivers tonight and the running game has yet to get going this year. Minnesota will make it hard to for the Saints to be balanced as their run defense is very good. Drew Brees is a great QB, but he stands under 6ft with a huge offensive line and a Minnesota defensive line that is just as big. Brees wont have a big target in Colston to throw the ball too and it makes a big difference when a QB cannot completely see over those trees on the line. Every MNF and Sunday Night game is going over the total with ease. This is a trend that wont continue long and this total is inflated because of how many games did go over the total. Look for a slower paced game then one would think. Take the Under.
Major League Baseball
Redsox -140 over Angels
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