Thursday Night Football

Thursday Night Football

Pittsburgh Panthers vs. South Florida Bulls

Oddsmakers currently have the Bulls listed as 13½-point favorites versus the Panthers, while the game's total is sitting at 49½.

LaRod Stephens-Howling scored two touchdowns in the fourth quarter and Pittsburgh rallied past Syracuse 34-24 in Week 5.

The Panthers failed to cover the 14-point spread, while the combined score played OVER the day's posted total of 48.

South Florida scored 31 points in the first half as they ran away with a 41-10 victory over NC State in Week 5. South Florida covered the 10-point spread, and the 51 points made it OVER the posted total of 45.

Matt Grothe completed 20-of-29 pass attempts for 261 yards and one touchdown.

Current streak:
Pittsburgh has won 3 straight games.
South Florida has won 5 straight games.

Team records:
Pittsburgh: 3-1 SU, 0-4 ATS
South Florida: 5-0 SU, 1-3 ATS

Pittsburgh most recently:
When playing in October are 7-3
When playing on grass are 4-6
After outgaining opponent are 4-6
When playing within the conference are 4-6

South Florida most recently:
When playing in October are 4-6
When playing on grass are 8-2
After outgaining opponent are 8-2
When playing within the conference are 6-4

A few trends to consider:
Pittsburgh is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
Pittsburgh is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games on the road
South Florida is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
South Florida is 11-2 SU in its last 13 games at home

Next up:
Pittsburgh at Navy, Saturday, October 18
South Florida home to Syracuse, Saturday, October 18

Memphis Tigers vs. UAB Blazers

Oddsmakers currently have the Tigers listed as 3-point favorites versus the Blazers, while the game's total is sitting at 57.

Curtis Steele's touchdown run with just over two minutes to play sealed a 29-17 win for Memphis over Arkansas State in Week 5.

The Tigers covered the 2-point spread in the upset, while the final score played UNDER the day's posted total of 56.

UAB lost 26-13 to South Carolina in Week 5, as 26.5-point underdogs. The game's 39 points fell UNDER the posted total of 50.5.

Joe Webb threw for 131 yards and two interceptions, while rushing eight times with one TD in the loss.

Current streak:
Memphis has won 2 straight games.

Team records:
Memphis: 2-3 SU, 2-2 ATS
UAB: 1-4 SU, 2-2 ATS

Memphis most recently:
When playing in October are 5-5
When playing on turf are 5-5
After outgaining opponent are 6-4
When playing within the conference are 6-4

UAB most recently:
When playing in October are 2-8
When playing on turf are 3-7
After being outgained are 1-9
When playing within the conference are 1-9

A few trends to consider:
Memphis is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Memphis's last 12 games on the road
Memphis is 4-8 SU in its last 12 games on the road
Memphis is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games
UAB is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games when playing Memphis
UAB is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Memphis
UAB is 6-1-1 ATS in its last 8 games when playing Memphis
UAB is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games at home

Next up:
Memphis home to Louisville, Friday, October 10
UAB at Houston, Thursday, October 9

Oregon State Beavers vs. Utah Utes

Oddsmakers currently have the Utes listed as 11-point favorites versus the Beavers, while the game's total is sitting at 53.

Oregon State got out to a 21 point lead and held on to upset USC 27-21 in Week 5, as 24-point underdogs. The combined 48 points fell UNDER the posted total of 55.

Jacquizz Rodgers ran 36 times with 186 yards and two touchdowns for Oregon State.

Current streak:
Oregon State has won 2 straight games.
Utah has won 5 straight games.

Team records:
Oregon State: 2-2 SU, 2-2 ATS
Utah: 5-0 SU, 2-1-1 ATS

Oregon State most recently:
When playing in October are 7-3
When playing on turf are 9-1
After outgaining opponent are 5-5
When playing outside the conference are 7-3

Utah most recently:
When playing in October are 7-3
When playing on turf are 10-0
After outgaining opponent are 9-1
When playing outside the conference are 8-2

A few trends to consider:
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Oregon State's last 7 games on the road
Oregon State is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games
Oregon State is 6-2 ATS in its last 8 games
Utah is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
Utah is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games

Next up:
Oregon State home to Washington State, Saturday, October 11
Utah at Wyoming, Saturday, October 11

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Pittsburgh (3-1, 0-4 ATS) at (10) South Florida (5-0, 1-3)

South Florida finally gets around to its Big East opener when it plays host to Pittsburgh at Raymond James Stadium in Tampa.

The Bulls pounded the ACC’s North Carolina State 41-10 Saturday, getting their first spread-cover of the season as a 10-point road chalk. QB Matt Grothe (20 of 29, 259 yards, 1 TD) was sharp, but USF’s ground game was the real difference-maker, grinding out 245 rushing yards. The Bulls also forced two safeties and won the turnover battle, 3-0.

The Panthers rallied past Syracuse 34-24 in their Big East opener last week for their third straight win. However, they came up short as a 14-point road favorite, failing to cash for the fourth straight week – all as a favorite. Pitt dominated the stat sheet against the Orange, finishing with a 407-263 yardage edge, including 241 rushing yards, with LeSean McCoy netting 149 yards on 28 carries, and the Panthers nearly doubled Syracuse in time of possession (38:20-21:40).

South Florida has won and cashed in the last two meetings in this rivalry, following a 2-0 SU and ATS run by Pitt. Last year, USF posted a 48-37 road win giving nine points.

Although the Bulls have failed to cover in four of their last five games, they still carry positive pointspread streaks of 6-1 in Big East matchups at home and 9-3 overall at Raymond James. The Panthers are on a 4-1 ATS run as a road ‘dog, but they are in ATS funks of 1-5 on Thursday, 3-9 after a non-cover, 4-10 against winning teams and 4-9 in conference play.

The over for South Florida is on streaks of 7-1-1 overall, 5-0 at home and 4-0 against winning teams, but the under is 8-2 in Pitt’s last 10 lined games overall and 5-2 in its last seven Big East contests.


Memphis (2-3, 2-2 ATS) at UAB (1-4, 2-2 ATS)

Memphis hits the road to take on Alabama-Birmingham in a meeting of the bottom two teams in Conference USA’s East Division.

The Tigers topped Arkansas State 29-17 Saturday as a 1½-point home underdog and have now cashed in two straight lined games. RB Curtis Steele was the key, racking up 203 yards and a TD on just 22 carries (9.2 ypc) in helping Memphis to a 453-352 edge in total yards.

The Blazers are coming off Saturday’s 26-13 loss to South Carolina, but easily covered as a heavy 26-point road pup despite finishing with just 209 total yards while giving up 353. Also, the Gamecocks held the ball for 10 more minutes than UAB.

Last year, Memphis topped UAB 25-9 as a 9½-point favorite, snapping the Blazers’ seven-game winning streak (6-0-1 ATS) in this rivalry. The underdog is 6-1-1 ATS in the last eight series clashes.

The Tigers are 5-1 ATS in their last six on the highway, 7-2-1 ATS in their last 10 after a spread-cover and 6-2-1 ATS in their last nine against losing teams. On the flip side, the Blazers are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 overall and are on additional pointspread slides of 4-10-1 at home, 2-5 in Conference USA play and 2-7-1 after a spread-cover.

The under is 9-3-1 in UAB’s last 13 games overall, 6-2-1 in its last nine conference affairs and 8-3 in Memphis’ last 11 following a spread-cover,


Oregon State (2-2 SU and ATS) at (15) Utah (5-0, 2-1-1 ATS)

Coming off an incredible home upset against top-ranked USC, Oregon State steps out of the Pac-10 when it travels to Salt Lake City to take on 15th-ranked Utah of the Mountain West Conference.

The Beavers opened up a 21-0 halftime lead against the No. 1-ranked Trojans a week ago, then held on for a 27-21 victory as a massive 24-point home underdog in a prime-time Thursday game. Oregon State rode the legs of diminutive freshman running back Jacquizz Rodgers, who rushed for 186 yards and two TDs on 37 carries. The Beavers also forced two turnovers, committing none and outgained USC 343-313, including 176-86 on the ground.

The Utes had no trouble with Division I-AA Weber State on Saturday, rolling 37-21 in a non-lined home game. Utah, which led 37-7 early in the fourth quarter, got a solid start from QB Brian Johnson (18 of 22, 194 yards, 2 TDs, 1 INT), and the Utes also ran for 180 yards while yielding just 56 on the ground.

Utah is looking to avenge last year’s season-opening 24-7 loss at Oregon State, which easily covered as a 5½-point home chalk. In that contest, the Utes lost Johnson and RB Matt Asiata in the first half, helping the Beavers outscore Utah 17-0 in the second half.

The Beavers are on a 9-3 ATS run overall and are on further pointspread streaks of 4-0 after a SU win, 4-1 against the Mountain West and 39-17 after a spread-cover. Likewise, the Utes are on several ATS tears, including 8-3-1 overall, 8-4 at home, 7-2 as a double-digit favorite and 24-8-1 in non-conference games.

The over for Oregon State is on stretches of 4-0 on the road and 5-2 against winning teams, while Utah has topped the total in five straight games overall, six straight non-league contests and 20 of its last 28 at home. However, last year’s meeting in Corvalis, Ore., easily stayed under the posted total.


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What bettors need to know: Oregon State at Utah


Oregon State is 9-4-1 against Utah overall, though the Utes have won three of the last five.

In last season’s opener at Corvallis, Utah lost QB Brian Johnson and RB Matt Asiata to injury in the first half of a 24-7 loss to the Beavers.

Utah is 50-89-3 vs. the Pac-10.

Mountain West ascent

The Mountain West has been dominant this season against the Pac-10, compiling a 5-1 overall record. BYU has beaten Washington and UCLA, UNLV upset ASU, New Mexico took down Arizona, and TCU handled Stanford. The Pac-10 finally got on the board with Cal’s 42-7 win over Colorado State last week.

Short rest shouldn’t be an issue

While the Utes come in on four days rest as opposed seven days for Oregon State, they rested their starters for the entire fourth quarter Saturday after building a 34-7 lead against Weber State.

In fact, the Beavers could be the more banged-up team with WR Sammie Stroughter, RB Quizz Rogers and CB Brandon Hughes all nursing injuries from the USC game.

Two-headed monster

Utah features an excellent one-two punch at RB with Matt Asiata and Darrell Mack splitting carries.

Talk about balance – Asiata has rushed 64 times for 320 yards while Mack carried 65 times for 319.

Big D in Corvallis

The Oregon State defense played an outstanding game last week. The Beavers matched up much better against USC than most realized with a speedy crew that was equipped to handle the quickness of the Trojans.

Particular kudos to the Oregon State defensive backfield. While it was well known that the Beavers had an excellent pair of corner backs in seniors Keenan Lewis and Brandon Hughes, the big surprise on Thursday was the excellent play of safeties Greg Laybourn (11 tackles, 1 interception) and Al Afalava.

Tricky Utes

Utah pulled off another trick play last week with WR Jereme Brooks tossing a completion for 33 yards on a reverse.

At this point, opponents know they can expect at least one or two such trick plays per game against the Utes.

No Answers for this Quizz

The Beavers may have found a star at the RB position with freshman Quizz Rodgers coming off a 186 yard performance. That marked just the tenth time in the last 77 games that a runner has gone over 100 against the Trojans.

Quizz is the leading freshman rusher in the nation with 449 yards and 6 TDs.

Nationally-ranked rush defense

Utah features the top defense in the Mountain West, allowing 231 yards per game.

The unit is ranked fifth in the nation against the run.

Kicking struggles

Perhaps the only glitch in an otherwise masterful performance for Oregon State last week was the kicking game.

With starter Justin Kahut out, replacement Sean Sehnem went low on a blocked field goal attempt and later missed an extra point.

Touchback machine

Utah has a good weapon in kickoff specialist Brett Vroman. All eight of his kickoffs went for touchbacks last week, delivering a strong field position advantage for the Utes.

In search of the 60-minute performance

While Utah has played brilliantly in stretches, they have yet to play a complete game and have shot themselves in the foot at times.

QB Brian Johnson has been inconsistent, struggling in the first half against UNLV and throwing a pick on the one yard line last week against Weber State. Johnson has five picks against eight TD passes on the season.

The team hoped to come out with a dominant performance last week, but coaches were disappointed with a slow start and two late TDs surrendered by the second-string defense.

Speaking of the blowout he hoped for against Weber, coach Kyle Whittingham told reporters, "It didn't happen. Weber State is a good football team. Give them credit. We got the win. We'd like to play great every week. I think every team in the country would like to play great every week, but no team does. We certainly would have like to play better, but we're five weeks in and we're 5-0."

Line moves

The line opened with the Utes as a 10-point favorite. Strong early money drove the line as high as 12 1/2 and it continues to fluctuate in the 11/12 range.

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Thursday Night Action
By Judd Hall

A hangover could be on tap in one of the fixtures this Thursday in the land of the Latter Day Saints. Meanwhile, there is a battle of the basement in Conference USA to get action on as well.

Memphis at Alabama-Birmingham 8:00 pm EDT

Something has to give in this showdown of Conference USA East cellar dwellers, as the Tigers travel to UAB as five-point road favorites with a total of 57. Bettors can take the Blazers to win outright for a return of plus-140 (risk $100 to win $140).

Memphis has won its last two games, covering the spread in one of them. The Blazers, on the other hand, haven’t notched a victory on the Football Bowl Subdivision level…although, they have gone 2-0 ATS in their last two FBS games.

This game will hinge on who controls the air best. The Tigers have the 14th best offense in the nation, averaging 468.0 yards per game. The passing game is accounting for 277.8 YPG right now. While the yardage numbers are there for head coach Tommy West, he knows his offense must find a way to punch it into the endzone after scoring just seven passing touchdowns. Odds are pretty good that we’re going to see junior signal caller Arkelon Hall for the entirety of this week’s match.

Alabama-Birmingham hasn’t had anywhere near the consistency that they would like this season, scoring just 23.4 PPG while giving up 33 PPG this year (rank 102nd nationally). If you had to just pick one problem the Blazers to address, it would be their pass defense. UAB are ranked 114th out of 120 FBS schools when it comes to defending an aerial attack by giving up 291 passing YPG.

Given the point spread for this game, you might want to look at the kickers since they’ll make or brake that win for you. Tigers specialist Matt Reagan booted four field goals in their 25-9 victory over Alabama-Birmingham last season. Yet he missed last week’s game against Arkansas State due to a nagging hip injury. Reagan has made five of seven three-pointers this season and all 13 extra points. His health could make a difference to bettors that take Memphis.

Oregon State at Utah 9:00 pm EDT

Before last week, this matchup between the Beavers and Utes looked like a simple revenge game. Now there is the “let down” factor added into the mix.

Las Vegas Sports Consultants opened this contest up with Utah as an eight-point home “chalk” with a total of 53. That line has ballooned to 12-points while the total remained the same. Gamblers can back the Beavers to win outright at plus-360 (risk $100 to win $360).

Oregon State is playing on its second straight Thursday night, but that might be such a bad thing. The Beavers shocked then No. 1 Southern California as 24-point home ‘dogs, 27-21. OSU pulled off the upset thanks to Jacquizz Rodgers doing his best pinball impression, compiling 186 yards on 37 carries. They also were effective in defending the run against the Trojans, allowing only 86 yards with a fumble that led to an OSU touchdown. Mike Riley’s d-unit stuffed Southern California on eight of 10 third downs.

Utah was in a let down spot of sorts last week after beating conference rival Air Force the previous Saturday. The Utes didn’t let that stop them in dismantling FCS squad Weber State, 37-21, in a non-board affair. While the score was close for Utah, keep in mind that the starters were taken out of the game in the fourth quarter when they were leading 34-7.

The Utes have the better of the two defenses taking the field in Salt Lake City on Thursday, leading the Mountain West Conference in total defense by surrendering just 231.4 YPG. Rodgers will have issues running against Utah as well since they give up only 60.2 YPG on the ground.

The odds are good that the Beavers will not put as strong a defense we saw in the 24-7 win last season as 5 ½-point home favorites against Utah. Reason being is they knocked out starting running back Matt Asiata and gunslinger Brian Johnson during that matchup.

Bettors should take notice that Utah has played great against big conference competition at home. The Utes have gone 7-0 SU and 6-1 ATS when hosting a BCS school.

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Re: Thursday Night Football

Pittsburgh at South Florida
By Christian Alexander

Pittsburgh (3-1, 1-0 Big East) at #10 South Florida (5-0, 0-0 Big 12)
Raymond James Stadium (Natural Grass) Line: South Florida -13.5, O/U 49

I’m not going to try to say I thought Oregon State had much of chance to defeat Southern California last Thursday night. However, given the way the Beavers had played the Trojans in Corvallis in years past, I certainly put the prospect of an outright upset within the realm of possibility.

That said, what I gave absolutely no chance of happening was a game in which all the offensive talent of Southern Cal was shutout in the first half and ended the game with only 21 points. In fact, I think my exact quote was “There is no way the Trojans score less than 30 in this one.”

But that’s exactly what happened. A week later, I still can’t explain it. All I know is my play of ‘under’ 51.5 – which still could have been salvaged had Oregon State’s kicker made a 35-yard field goal and converted an extra point – ended up a loser when the Beavers won 27-20. The loss leaves me at 3-2 on Thursday nights this season.

Turning the page to this week, it’s back to the east coast as we head down to Florida for the Big East opener between South Florida and Pittsburgh in Tampa.

The Bulls were certainly one of the feel good stories of the 2007 college football season. Actually, that’s only true for part of 2007.

South Florida was like a hot Internet stock to start 2007, making it into the top 10 of the AP poll for three weeks and rising as high as No. 2.

However, like so many of those tech stocks that tanked when the bubble burst, the Bulls ended the season unranked. Three straight losses and then a Sun Bowl appearance that resulted in a 35-point blowout to Oregon doesn’t tend to impress the pollsters.

Given that up-and-down 2007 season, the voters have been a little more cautious with USF this year. But there is no denying that with a perfect 5-0 record, the Bulls are deserving of the No. 10 ranking they currently hold.

Not that every game has been a breeze in 2008. In fact, before taking out some pent up frustration on N.C. State last weekend in a 41-10 rout, South Florida had been in three tight ballgames. (see below for season recap)

The formula for success thus far for Coach Jim Leavitt has been combining the exciting playmaking skills of QB Matt Grothe with a rock-hard defense led by All-American lineman, George Selvie.

Grothe, who leads the Big East in passing yards per game (235) and touchdowns (8), was certainly on his game last weekend as he led the Bulls to a near perfect day, racking up 520 yards of offense against the Wolfpack.

Selvie, who has been nursing an injured ankle, is the NCAA's active career leader in tackles for loss. That ankle forced Selvie to sit against N.C. State, ending his 30-game consecutive starts streak. But Leavitt is hopeful his defensive leader will be able to go against the Panthers tonight.

Pittsburgh was expected to challenge for the Big East title and while that still could happen, the Panthers certainly didn’t start their season on a positive note.

Pitt coach Dave Wannstedt surely knew he would have his hands full with the season opener against Bowling Green but most everyone expected the Panther to prevail. However, after jumping out to a 14 point lead, turnovers turned the game upside down and Pittsburgh couldn’t recover, losing 27-17.

The good news for Pitt fans is that Wannstedt and crew have righted the ship since that point, reeling off three wins, even if the competition wasn’t that great. (see below for season recap)

The Panthers depend on a steady ground game to provide their offense. Most of that comes from LeSean “Shady” McCoy, who burst on the seen as a freshman last year by racking up seven 100-yard games. McCoy might get the bulk of the carries and the headlines but Pitt also has a very effective second option at RB in LaRod Stephens-Howling. Together, the two backs proved to be a nightmare for Syracuse last weekend as they combined for 220 rushing yards and two touchdowns.

The Panthers have a serviceable, if not spectacular passing game with QB Bill Stull, who is averaging a paltry 5.8 yards per attempt, good for seventh in the Big East. With a pair of talented backs behind him, Stull usually doesn’t have to win a game with his arm but when necessary has shown to have a nice hook up with WR Derek Kinder, who is currently 10th all-time among all Pitt receivers with 114 catches.

The bad news for Pittsburgh fans this Thursday night is the load might fall much more on Stull’s plate than usual. That’s due to the fact that South Florida is fourth in the country in rush defense at 58.8 yards per game and figure to key on McCoy and Stephens-Howling all night.

With just two touchdown passes in four games, one wonders if Stull has the ability to go into hostile territory and produce enough offense with his arm to lead the Panthers to a victory. That answer to that question will likely determine whether this one is over by the end of the 3rd quarter or goes right down to the wire.

Pittsburgh (3-1, 1-0 Big East) 0-4 ATS

Bowling Green 27, Pitt 17: Four turnovers will doom you every time. They lost despite outgaining Bowling Green 393 to 294 in yards and leading 14-0. Line: Pitt -14 ATS Result: Loss

Pitt 27, Buffalo 16: Too close for comfort but in the end McCoy bailed them out with three touchdowns to seal the win. Line: Pitt -13.5 ATS Result: Loss

Pitt 21, Iowa 20: McCoy played hero again, scoring the winning touchdown from 27 yards out. Line: Pitt -3 ATS Result: Loss

Pitt 34, Syracuse 24: The Panthers rallied from an eight-point fourth-quarter deficit to win just its second Big East opener in five years. Conor Lee came up huge by kicking a school record-tying four field goals. Line: Pitt -16 ATS Result: Loss

#10 South Florida (5-0, 0-0 Big 12) 1-3 ATS

USF 56, Tennessee Martin 7: The Bulls posted 28 first quarter points and kept going from there, outgaining the Skyhawks 520-97. NO LINE.

USF 31, UCF 24 (OT): Things seemed to be well in hand for South Florida as they led by 14 with three minutes left. However, the Golden Knights rallied to force OT before Matt Grothe scored the winning touchdown. Line: South Florida -13.5 ATS Result: Loss

USF 37, Kansas 34: Things looked dim down 20-3 but behind Grothe’s 338 yards passing and two TDs the Bulls staged the biggest comeback in school history. Line: South Florida -4.5 ATS Result: Loss

USF 17, Florida International 9: Nothing came easy for South Florida in this one but eventually the stronger team prevailed. Line: South Florida -28.5 ATS Result: Loss

USF 41, N.C. State 10: The Wolfpack couldn’t penetrate the Bulls defense while Grothe and company rang the bell early and often. Line: South Florida -10 ATS Result: Win

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Pittsburgh vs. South Florida

The line opened up here at South Florida -13 and has gone up slightly in favor of the home team to 13.5. The total opened up at 48.5 and now sits at some books at 48 and others at 49. On a side note, before I begin the research, it is kind of cool to see two top 25 teams go at it today on a Thursday Night. Truly, Thursday Night Football is more fun with a few games on as compared to just one. Nearly 60% of the public favors South Florida here as the Bulls are 3-0 and Pittsburgh struggled on the road at Syracuse. The Panthers did have a strong fourth quarter to pull away but failed to cover. Glad it worked out that way as Syracuse was my POD last Saturday as it was the highlight of my card. If you remember, South Florida beat this team 48-37 on the road last year and covered the nine point road chalk. Pittsburgh has lost its last four covers, but won its last three games straight up including a home win against Iowa. South Florida beat NC State by 31 points on the road and easily covered the ten point road chalk in their last game. Look, the bottom line in this game is that if you think Pittsburgh can hang tough on the road here, you should take the over. If you think that South Florida is going to dominate from top to bottom, you should lean on the under. As per me, I favor South Florida here as they look to continue moving up in the polls to get to keep that BCS Birth alive. However, I hate laying this many points for a ranked team at home as a public favorite. I will just stay away from this one.

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