NFL - Week 5 Trends

NFL - Week 5 Trends

Nellys Sportsline

All trends are Against the Spread unless noted:

Abbreviations:
S/U = straight-up
H = home
R = road
F = favorite
D = dog
L = last (or 'in the last')
DD = double-digit
b2b = back-to-back
Some team names are also abbreviated.

Indianapolis is 11-1 all-time S/U vs. Houston – Houston is 6-0 L6 as H/D
Tennessee is 5-10 vs. Baltimore since ’97 – Baltimore is 4-7 L11 as H/D
San Diego is 23-10 as R/F since ’92 – Miami is 2-8 L10 as H/D
Kansas City is 7-2 L9 as R/D – Carolina is 12-21-1 as H/F since ‘03
Wash. is 8-15-3 vs. Philly since ’95 – Philadelphia is 8-12-1 as H/F since ‘05
Chicago is 5-13 S/U at Detroit since ’90 – Detroit is 53-39-1 as H/D since ‘80
Atlanta is 9-4 L13 vs. Green Bay – Green Bay is 6-1 L7 as H/F
Seattle is 6-13 on road since ’06 – NY Giants are 3-8 L11 as H/F
Tampa Bay is 16-26 on the road since ’03 – Denver is 2-11 L13 as H/F
New England is 21-8 as R/F since ’03 – San Fran. is 14-19-1 home since ‘04
Buffalo is 19-26-2 as R/F since ’91 – Arizona is 10-5 L15 at home
Cincinnati is 8-3 L11 as DD dog – Dallas is 5-8 L13 as H/F
Pittsburgh is 3-10 L13 vs. Jacksonville – Jacksonville is 9-6 as H/F since ‘06
Minnesota is 18-24 on road since ’03 – New Orleans is 30-48 at home since ‘03

Blade
useravatar
Offline
207588 Posts
Administrator has disabled public posting

Re: NFL - Week 5 Trends

INDIANAPOLIS (1 - 2) at HOUSTON (0 - 3) - 10/5/2008, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
INDIANAPOLIS is 32-51 ATS (-24.1 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record since 1992.
HOUSTON is 25-12 ATS (+11.8 Units) after 2 or more consecutive losses since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
HOUSTON is 2-2 against the spread versus INDIANAPOLIS over the last 3 seasons
INDIANAPOLIS is 3-1 straight up against HOUSTON over the last 3 seasons
4 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

TENNESSEE (4 - 0) at BALTIMORE (2 - 1) - 10/5/2008, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
BALTIMORE is 2-11 ATS (-10.1 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
TENNESSEE is 1-0 against the spread versus BALTIMORE over the last 3 seasons
BALTIMORE is 1-0 straight up against TENNESSEE over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

SAN DIEGO (2 - 2) at MIAMI (1 - 2) - 10/5/2008, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MIAMI is 28-11 ATS (+15.9 Units) against AFC West division opponents since 1992.
SAN DIEGO is 17-6 ATS (+10.4 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
SAN DIEGO is 15-3 ATS (+11.7 Units) against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
SAN DIEGO is 13-5 ATS (+7.5 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 2 seasons.
SAN DIEGO is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) off a division game over the last 2 seasons.
SAN DIEGO is 15-4 ATS (+10.6 Units) in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
SAN DIEGO is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) after 2 or more consecutive wins over the last 2 seasons.
SAN DIEGO is 17-6 ATS (+10.4 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
SAN DIEGO is 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
SAN DIEGO is 78-54 ATS (+18.6 Units) in road games since 1992.
SAN DIEGO is 78-54 ATS (+18.6 Units) in road lined games since 1992.
SAN DIEGO is 12-2 ATS (+9.8 Units) in all games where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points over the last 2 seasons.
MIAMI is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) off a division game over the last 3 seasons.
MIAMI is 8-18 ATS (-11.8 Units) in games played on a grass field over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

KANSAS CITY (1 - 3) at CAROLI)NA (3 - 1) - 10/5/2008, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
KANSAS CITY is 12-26 ATS (-16.6 Units) in road games off a win against a division rival since 1992.
CAROLINA is 50-28 ATS (+19.2 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

WASHINGTON (3 - 1) at PHILADELPHIA (2 - 2) - 10/5/2008, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
PHILADELPHIA is 120-85 ATS (+26.5 Units) against conference opponents since 1992.
WASHINGTON is 46-28 ATS (+15.2 Units) as an underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 points since 1992.
WASHINGTON is 28-12 ATS (+14.8 Units) as a road underdog of 3.5 to 7 points since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
PHILADELPHIA is 2-1 against the spread versus WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
PHILADELPHIA is 3-1 straight up against WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

CHICAGO (2 - 2) at DETROIT (0 - 3) - 10/5/2008, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DETROIT is 8-18 ATS (-11.8 Units) against conference opponents over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
DETROIT is 3-1 against the spread versus CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
DETROIT is 2-2 straight up against CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

ATLANTA (2 - 2) at GREEN BAY (2 - 2) - 10/5/2008, 1:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

SEATTLE (1 - 2) at NY GIANTS (3 - 0) - 10/5/2008, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SEATTLE is 4-14 ATS (-11.4 Units) when playing with 2 weeks or more of rest since 1992.
SEATTLE is 46-70 ATS (-31.0 Units) off a division game since 1992.
SEATTLE is 17-42 ATS (-29.2 Units) in October games since 1992.
SEATTLE is 16-36 ATS (-23.6 Units) off a win against a division rival since 1992.
SEATTLE is 24-44 ATS (-24.4 Units) in weeks 5 through 9 since 1992.
NY GIANTS are 16-7 ATS (+8.3 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
NY GIANTS are 20-9 ATS (+10.1 Units) against conference opponents over the last 3 seasons.
NY GIANTS are 16-7 ATS (+8.3 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
SEATTLE is 1-0 against the spread versus NY GIANTS over the last 3 seasons
SEATTLE is 1-0 straight up against NY GIANTS over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

TAMPA BAY (3 - 1) at DENVER (3 - 1) - 10/5/2008, 4:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DENVER is 37-19 ATS (+16.1 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record since 1992.
DENVER is 11-25 ATS (-16.5 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
DENVER is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 2 seasons.
DENVER is 10-21 ATS (-13.1 Units) in games played on a grass field over the last 3 seasons.
DENVER is 11-25 ATS (-16.5 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.
DENVER is 6-18 ATS (-13.8 Units) as a favorite over the last 3 seasons.
DENVER is 0-9 ATS (-9.9 Units) in all games where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

NEW ENGLAND (2 - 1) at SAN FRANCISCO (2 - 2) - 10/5/2008, 4:15 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NEW ENGLAND is 9-0 ATS (+9.0 Units) in October games over the last 3 seasons.
NEW ENGLAND is 14-5 ATS (+8.5 Units) in road games over the last 3 seasons.
NEW ENGLAND is 14-5 ATS (+8.5 Units) in road lined games over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

BUFFALO (4 - 0) at ARIZONA (2 - 2) - 10/5/2008, 4:15 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ARIZONA is 33-16 ATS (+15.4 Units) in home games after 2 or more consecutive losses since 1992.
BUFFALO is 11-2 ATS (+8.8 Units) in games where the line is +3 to -3 over the last 3 seasons.
BUFFALO is 17-4 ATS (+12.6 Units) against NFC West division opponents since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

CINCINNATI (0 - 4) at DALLAS (3 - 1) - 10/5/2008, 4:15 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

PITTSBURGH (3 - 1) at JACKSONVILLE (2 - 2) - 10/5/2008, 8:15 PM
Top Trends for this game.
PITTSBURGH is 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) in road games in games played on a grass field over the last 3 seasons.
JACKSONVILLE is 22-9 ATS (+12.1 Units) in home games off a win against a division rival since 1992.
PITTSBURGH is 38-20 ATS (+16.0 Units) in October games since 1992.
PITTSBURGH is 43-24 ATS (+16.6 Units) in weeks 5 through 9 since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
JACKSONVILLE is 2-1 against the spread versus PITTSBURGH over the last 3 seasons
JACKSONVILLE is 3-0 straight up against PITTSBURGH over the last 3 seasons
2 of 3 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons


--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Monday, October 6
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

MINNESOTA (1 - 3) at NEW ORLEANS (2 - 2) - 10/6/2008, 8:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NEW ORLEANS is 39-60 ATS (-27.0 Units) in home games against conference opponents since 1992.
NEW ORLEANS is 16-35 ATS (-22.5 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a losing record since 1992.
NEW ORLEANS is 52-77 ATS (-32.7 Units) in home games since 1992.
NEW ORLEANS is 52-77 ATS (-32.7 Units) in home lined games since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

Blade
useravatar
Offline
207588 Posts
Administrator has disabled public posting

Re: NFL - Week 5 Trends

NFL Week 5

Sunday, October 5th

Indianapolis at Houston, 1:00 ET
Indianapolis: 21-6 Over Away off SU loss as favorite
Houston: 8-0 Over vs. division

Tennessee at Baltimore, 1:00 ET
Tennessee: 12-3 ATS Away off DD home win
Baltimore: 2-9 ATS off SU loss

San Diego at Miami, 1:00 ET
San Diego: 13-4 ATS as favorite
Miami: 11-28 ATS off SU win as underdog

Kansas City at Carolina, 1:00 ET
Kansas City: 12-26 ATS Away off division win
Carolina: 8-0 Under at home off DD home win

Washington at Philadelphia, 1:00 ET
Washington: 28-12 ATS as a road underdog of 3.5 to 7 points
Philadelphia: 12-3 Under as home favorite

Chicago at Detroit, 1:00 ET
Chicago: 18-6 Over as favorite
Detroit: 8-18 ATS vs. conference

Atlanta at Green Bay, 1:00 ET
Atlanta: 4-0 ATS off Away division loss
Green Bay: 9-2 Over off SU loss

Seattle at NY Giants, 1:00 ET
Seattle: 0-6 ATS Away off win by 14+ points
NY Giants: 16-7 ATS L23 games

Tampa Bay at Denver, 4:05 ET
Tampa Bay: 41-22 Under off BB wins
Denver: 0-11 ATS after gaining 6 or more yards/play

New England at San Francisco, 4:15 ET
New England: 9-0 ATS in October
San Francisco: 5-10 ATS in road game

Buffalo at Arizona, 4:15 ET
Buffalo: 17-4 ATS vs. NFC West
Arizona: 17-6 Over on turf

Cincinnati at Dallas, 4:15 ET
Cincinnati: 7-2 Under off SU loss as favorite
Dallas: 3-10 ATS off SU loss as DD favorite

Pittsburgh at Jacksonville, 8:15 ET NBC
Pittsburgh: 0-7 ATS Away off SU win
Jacksonville: 9-1 ATS at home vs. Pittsburgh

Monday, October 6th

Minnesota at New Orleans, 8:30 ET ESPN
Minnesota: 42-19 Over Away off ATS loss
New Orleans: 8-1 Over off home win

Blade
useravatar
Offline
207588 Posts
Administrator has disabled public posting

Re: NFL - Week 5 Trends

Trend Sheet

Sunday, October 4

ATLANTA vs. GREEN BAY
Atlanta is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Green Bay
Atlanta is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing Green Bay
Green Bay is 6-2 ATS in its last 8 games at home
Green Bay is 11-3 SU in its last 14 games at home

CHICAGO vs. DETROIT
Chicago is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Detroit
Chicago is 5-13 SU in its last 18 games when playing on the road against Detroit
Detroit is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games
Detroit is 1-10 SU in its last 11 games

INDIANAPOLIS vs. HOUSTON
Indianapolis is 11-1 SU in its last 12 games when playing Houston
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Indianapolis's last 5 games when playing Houston
Houston is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Indianapolis
Houston is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Indianapolis

KANSAS CITY vs. CAROLINA
Kansas City is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games
Kansas City is 1-12 SU in its last 13 games
Carolina is 4-0-1 ATS in its last 5 games at home
Carolina is 4-7-1 ATS in its last 12 games at home

SAN DIEGO vs. MIAMI
San Diego is 11-1-1 ATS in its last 13 games
San Diego is 10-3 SU in its last 13 games
Miami is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against San Diego
Miami is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing San Diego

SEATTLE vs. NY GIANTS
Seattle is 4-1-1 ATS in their last 6 games when playing NY Giants
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Seattle's last 6 games when playing NY Giants
NY Giants are 4-1 SU in their last 5 games when playing at home against Seattle
NY Giants are 2-4 ATS in their last 6 games at home

TENNESSEE vs. BALTIMORE
Tennessee is 4-8 ATS in its last 12 games when playing Baltimore
Tennessee is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games when playing Baltimore
Baltimore is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
Baltimore is 6-14 ATS in its last 20 games

WASHINGTON vs. PHILADELPHIA
Washington is 7-2 ATS in its last 9 games
Washington is 7-2 SU in its last 9 games
Philadelphia is 12-5 SU in its last 17 games when playing at home against Washington
Philadelphia is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Washington

TAMPA BAY vs. DENVER
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Tampa Bay's last 10 games
Tampa Bay is 5-14 SU in its last 19 games on the road
Denver is 4-11-1 ATS in its last 16 games at home
Denver is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home

BUFFALO vs. ARIZONA
Buffalo is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
Buffalo is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
Arizona is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Buffalo
Arizona is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing Buffalo

CINCINNATI vs. DALLAS
Cincinnati is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Dallas
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Cincinnati's last 7 games when playing Dallas
Dallas is 2-7 ATS in its last 9 games
Dallas is 16-5 SU in its last 21 games

NEW ENGLAND vs. SAN FRANCISCO
New England is 14-5 ATS in its last 19 games on the road
New England is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games on the road
San Francisco is 5-10 ATS in its last 15 games
San Francisco is 5-13 SU in its last 18 games

PITTSBURGH vs. JACKSONVILLE
Pittsburgh is 4-9 ATS in its last 13 games
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Pittsburgh's last 8 games
Jacksonville is 9-1 ATS in its last 10 games when playing at home against Pittsburgh
Jacksonville is 7-3 SU in its last 10 games when playing at home against Pittsburgh

Monday, October 6

MINNESOTA vs. NEW ORLEANS
Minnesota is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games on the road
Minnesota is 4-11 SU in its last 15 games on the road
New Orleans is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 8 of New Orleans's last 9 games

Blade
useravatar
Offline
207588 Posts
Administrator has disabled public posting

Re: NFL - Week 5 Trends

Week 5 NFL games

Colts (1-2) @ Texans (0-3)-- Home opener for Houston squad that lost 11 of 12 to Colts, allowing 30+ points in five of last six series games. Colts are 5-1 in Reliant, with wins by 20-3-9-18-6; last six series totals were all 48+. Texan offense showed some life last week; Schaub passed for 29-40/307, averaging 7.7 ypa with no turnovers. Colts are off bye, after last two games were decided by total of five points. Only win for Indy this year was at Minnesota, when they trailed 15-0 in 3rd quarter. Keep an eye on weather; roof at Reliant will be open all year, and field wasn't designed to drain well. AFC South division dogs are 3-1.

Titans (4-0) @ Ravens (3-0)-- Short week off very physical game for the Ravens; rookie Flacco passed first road test easily; Baltimore is 6-2 vs Titans, with six of last seven series totals 37 or less. Tennessee split last eight visits here, are 4-0 so far this year, running ball for 136 yards/game. Titans have 12 takeaways (+6), forced 20 three/outs on 49 opponent drives. Interesting to see if Titans can run ball on Raven defense that is giving up just 69 yds/game on ground- they've forced 19 three/outs on 36 drives, allowing just two TDs. Titans outscored foes 47-10 in the second half of games. Titans scored 24-31-30 points in their last three games.

Chargers (2-2) @ Dolphins (1-2)-- San Diego averted disaster last week in Oakland, rallying from 15-0 halftime deficit for 28-18 win; this is the third road game in four weeks for Bolts, while Dolphins are off its bye. Miami won last six series games, with four of six by 10+ points. SD lost last five visits herem with three losses by 21+ poinrs; they get Cooper back (NFL suspension), which really helps defense that allowed foes to convert just four of last 23 on third down. Not sure what to make of the Fish after 38-13 win in Foxboro, week after they got pasted by Arizona in the desert. All four San Diego games in 2008 have gone over the total.

Chiefs (1-3) @ Panthers (3-1)-- Carolina won both its home games, by 20-17 (-3)/24-9 (-7) scores, allowing one offensive TD on 23 drives (9 three/outs). Panther OL was banged up last week, but Smith's return has revitalized passing game- they gained 10.1 ypa last week, after gaining 5.9/4.3/4.6 in first three games. Chiefs ran ball for 213 yards in first win last week, have 397 rushing yards in last two games- they're 0-2 on road losing 17-10 in Foxboro (+16), 38-14 in Atlanta (+5), with 11 three/outs on 23 road drives. Panthers giving up 114.3 rushing yards/game, average figure. NFC South teams are 7-2 vs spread, in non-divisional contests.

Redskins (3-1) @ Eagles (2-2)-- Health of Westbrook huge Eagle worry after they couldn't run ball in from 1-yard with game on line in Chicago Sunday night; they split last six games vs Redskins, after winning seven in row before that. Eagles didn't allowed TD in first two away games (11 three/outs, 23 drives). Road team won five of last seven in series; Skins won two of last three games played here. Washington is off big win vs Cowboys in Dallas (gained 381 yards) as Campbell improves more and more with each game. Redskins had 11-yard edge in field position in last two games. Three of last four series totals at this site were 34 or less.

Bears (2-2) @ Lions (0-3)-- Detroit trailed 21-0/21-0/21-3 in first three games, so even though GM Millen finallhy got the boot, his handiwork remains, although fans figure to be more supportive with Millen finally gone. Last three Chicago games were decided by total of 10 points; dogs are 3-0-1 vs spread in Bear games this season. Lion defense allowed an average of 207.7 rushing yards per game, with only one takeaway (TO ratio, -5). QB Kitna got hurt at very end of their last game, not sure of status for this- would be fairly big dropoff to backup. Bears had double digit leads in both losses. Lions are just 38-76 passing in last two games.

Falcons (2-2) @ Packers (2-2)-- Ryan averaged 3.5 ypa in both road tilts so far, both 24-9 Atlanta losses; he averaged 11.1/10.7 yps in his home games, both wins. Rodgers has some kind of shoulder injury; severity is unknown, but there is chance LSU rookie Flynn could see time. Packers allowed 27.3 ppg last three weeks- they ran ball for 139-123 yards the first two games, 84-28 in last two. Passing averages are also down, from 8.1/8.3, to 5.7/4.4, as teams study Rodgers on film. This is Falcons' first visit to Lambeau since frigid '02 playoff win. Four of last five totals in this series were 45+. Atlanta covered just one of last five road games.

Seahawks (1-2) @ Giants (3-0)-- Plaxico Burress is out (suspension) for this game, so NY without its best offensive player. Home side won last eight series games, with Seattle losing last four visits here, three by a FG each; four of last five series games were won by three points or less. In Coughlin era, Giants are 1-3 after their bye; both sides here are coming off bye. SEahawks lost only road game 34-10 in Buffalo, then gave up 33 at home to 49ers; over is 3-0 in their games. Red flag for Giants is the one takeaway in three games. Seattle ran ball for 414 yards in last two games, is capable underdog, but NFC West non-division road dogs: 0-5.

Buccaneers (3-1) @ Broncos (3-1)-- Another homecoming for Greise, as Bucs visit Mile High City for first time in dozen years. Tampa won lita last three games, scoring 27 ppg (seven TDs, 37 drives, only 10 3/outs). Defense has scored TD in three of four games. Bucs split first two road games, losing 24-20 in Superdome, winning in OT at Chicago, as Greise threw 67 passes without being sacked. Denver allowed 213 yards on the ground in upset loss at Arrowhead last week; they've allowed 38-32-33 points in last three games (10 TDs, 11 FGA on last 38 drives). NFC has 7-6 lead over AFC, even after 0-3 Sunday in Week 4. NFC South clubs are 7-2 vs spread nin non-conference games.

Patriots (2-1) @ 49ers (2-2)-- Niners scored 33-31 points in their wins, 13-17 in losses; hard to believe they would get 30+ vs Belichick defense, especially with NE off its bye. Pats allowed 10-10-38 points so far this year. In two games Cassel started, patriots gained 260-216 total yards. Interesting to see what adjustments theymade during off week. Eight of 49ers' last 32 drives started in enemy territory, so O'Sullivan is getting good field position, but he tossed pair of end zone INTs last week, as Niners lost to Saint club that had two turnovers, 13 penalties. Three of four 49er games stayed under. NFC West underdogs are 0-7 vs spread.

Bills (4-0) @ Cardinals (2-2)-- Arizona scored 35 points in one half last week, still lost by 21, as they turned the ball over five times in first half, trailed 34-0 at halftime. Buffalo barely beat Raiders at home, trailed by a point in fourth quarter at St Louis, now they go up in class, visiting an explosive Arizona team that averaged 13 ypa in its only home game, a 31-10 win vs Miami. In first four games, Arizona rushing attempts have dropped every game: 39-31-23-15, so expect them to re-emphasize run here, especially if dynamic WR Boldin (head) unable to play. Bills have at least one 80+-yard TD drive in every game, scored 20+ in every game

Bengals (0-4) @ Cowboys (3-1)-- If Palmer plays, 17 points is awful lot to give potentially potent Bengal offense; if he sits out again (elbow), 17 might not get you to halftime, vs Dallas squad smarting from last week's loss to rival Redskins. Cowboys scoring 30 ppg in first four games, but are allowing 31.5 ppg at home- Dallas wins are by 18-4-11 points. Cincy lost four of five viists here, with lone win 20 years ago; all four losses were by 12+ points. NFC East favorites are 6-1 vs spread, but favorites of 10+ points are 0-5 in NFL this season. Bengals' last two losses were in OT in Swamp, 20-12 vs Cleveland (led 6-3 at half); so they're not as bad as the record might indicate.

Steelers (3-1) @ Jaguars (2-2)-- Pittsburgh travelling on short week after physical, emotional OT win in divisional game Monday night, that saw several Steelers get hurt, including two for season. Jags are also off win in OT, vs divisional foe; their last three games were all decided by four points or less. Jacksonville won last four series games (three of four at Heinz Field), as home side lost five of last six in series. Streelers are 3-7 in Jacksonville. In last three weeks, Steelers scored 10-6-23 points, with offense scoring just two TDs on 33 drives- they kicked FGs on their last three red zone visits, and have one TD in 21 drives in road games. Jags ran ball for 375 yards in last two games; another physical contest looms.

Monday, October 6

Vikings (1-3) @ Saints (2-2)-- Expect heavier dose of Peterson running ball now that star OT McKinnie (NFL suspension) is back; Vikings are 7-1 in last eight series games, scoring 32-38 in last two Superdome trips (32-31/38-31). Only once in last eight series meetings have Saints held Vikings under 31. Saints had eight TDs on 21 drives in last two games, converting 14 of last 25 on third down- only Redskins held them under 435 total yards, 8.4 ypa. Minnesota scored just two TDs, six FGs on first nine red zone drives- their ypa was 6.0/5.3 in Frerotte's starts, after they averaged 4.7/4.4 with Jackson udner center. Loser here is in trouble in playoff race. Should be entertaining Monday night game.

Blade
useravatar
Offline
207588 Posts
Administrator has disabled public posting

Re: NFL - Week 5 Trends

Indianapolis at Houston: Colts are 11-1 SU (6-6 ATS) all-time vs. Texans, but 0-8 ATS off SU/ATS division loss. Teams have gone Over in each of last six meetings and Houston has gone Over in seven straight division games. Colts are 8-1 Over L9 post-bye week games. We like the Under.

Tennessee at Baltimore: Both teams have covered every game they've been in and they rank 1-2 in scoring defense in the entire league.

San Diego at Miami: Chargers are 15-3 ATS L18 vs. AFC. Visitor is 7-1 ATS in this series. Over has cashed in each of the last seven meetings.

Kansas City at Carolina: Chiefs snapped a 12-game SU losing skid last week. Carolina is just 1-6 ATS in non-conference play.

Washington at Philadelphia: Under has cashed in 20 of L31 meetings. This will be Washington's final road division game. Road team is on 4-1 SU/ATS run.

Chicago at Detroit: Lions are allowing 37.7 PPG, but are 3-1 SU/4-0 ATS off a bye week. Under has cashed L4 meetings. Underdog is 14-3-2 ATS L19 meetings.

Atlanta at Green Bay: Game is currently OFF THE BOARD due to Rodgers injury. Atlanta has lost both road games 24-9 (1-10 SU L11 road games overall). Underdog has covered five straight in this series and Atlanta has covered the last three. Packers are 10-3 SU/8-4-1 ATS as home chalk under McCarthy.

Seattle at NY Giants: Off a bye, Seattle is just 5-13 SU/4-14 ATS and 7-0 Over. Giants are just 3-10 SU/3-9-1 ATS off a bye and 15-5 Under. Seahawks are 0-4 SU/ATS L4 road games.

Tampa Bay at Denver: Broncos are just 6-18 ATS L24 as a favorite.

New England at San Francisco: Home team is 4-0 SU/ATS in this series, but Pats are 4-1 ATS/5-0 SU off a bye. They are also 13-4 ATS under Belichick coming off a DD loss.

Buffalo at Arizona: Cards are 5-0 ATS vs. AFC under Wisenhunt, but Buffalo is 17-4 ATS vs. NFC West. Bills are 0-9 SU/2-6-1 ATS before a bye.

Cincinnati at Dallas: DD NFL Favorites are 0-6 ATS/3-3 SU this season. Dallas is 6-2 ATS vs. AFC, but 1-5 ATS as DD favorite, including outright loss to Washington last week.

Pittsburgh at Jacksonville: Jaguars have won four straight in the series, including both meetings (at Pittsburgh) last year. Jags are 7-2 ATS L9 vs. the Steelers and 7-3 SU/9-1 ATS at home vs. Pittsburgh.

Blade
useravatar
Offline
207588 Posts
Administrator has disabled public posting

Board Info

Board Stats:
 
Total Topics:
44294
Total Polls:
2
Total Posts:
275020
Average Posts Per Hour:
3.4
User Info:
 
Total Users:
3455
Newest User:
Johnny Galloway
Members Online:
0
Guests Online:
2187

Online: 
There are no members online

Forum Legend:

 Topic
 New
 Locked
 Sticky
 Active
 New/Locked
 Sticky/Locked

Privacy Policy | Terms of Service | Contact Us | Advertising | 888-99-SPREAD

THIS IS NOT A GAMBLING SITE – If you think you have a gambling problem click here.

Disclaimer: This site is for informational and entertainment purposes only. Individual users are responsible for the laws regarding accessing gambling information from their jurisdictions. Many countries around the world prohibit gambling, please check the laws in your location. Any use of this information that may violate any federal, state, local or international law is strictly prohibited.

Copyright: The information contained on TheSpread.com website is protected by international copyright and may not be reproduced, or redistributed in any way without expressed written consent.

About: TheSpread.com is the largest sports betting news site in the United States. We provide point spread news, odds, statistics and information to over 199 countries around the world each year. Our coverage includes all North American College and Professional Sports as well as entertainment, political and proposition wagering news.

©1999-2013 TheSpread.com