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Monday Service Plays
Re: Monday Service Plays
At 8:30 pm, our selection is on the Baltimore Ravens plus the points over Pittsburgh, as Baltimore falls into 45-26, 34-15, 13-0, 11-0, 31-9, 18-0 and 39-15 ATS systems of mine. Let's take a look at our 18-0 ATS angle. What we want to do is play on any 2-0 team priced from -6.5 to +5.5 points which is off a SU/ATS win of 4+ points, and is matched up against a foe off a straight-up loss as an underdog. Last week, the Philadelphia Eagles' aggressive, blitzing defense sacked Pitt QB Ben Roethlisberger eight times en route to a 15-6 victory. And don't think that new Ravens head coach John Harbaugh didn't take notes. After all, Harbaugh was the defensive backs coach in Philly for the previous 10 seasons, and still watches their games, and talks to his former Philly colleagues every week. Look for Baltimore -- always one of the NFL's Top 10 defensive units for the past five years, and currently ranked #1 this year at 161 yards per game -- to employ a similar strategy, especially with Steeler RB Willie Parker out with an injury, and Roethlisberger still banged up. These two teams also met on Monday Night Football last year, and Pittsburgh rewarded us with a 38-7 victory for our Monday Night Game of the Year. This year, we're switching sides and taking the Ravens. Monday Night Football Game of the Month on Baltimore.
Re: Monday Service Plays
Kevin Kavitch very late release 14-8-1 +20.20 ytd
Baltimore is not a good offensive team and will rely heavily on their running game to take the pressure off their rookie QB. Definitely a tough environment for the Baltimore offence to play. This is the same passing attack that threw for less than 130 yards vs defensively challenged Cincy and Cleveland. Offensively the Steelers have injures and pass protection problems. Their big play ability has been limited as a result. Missing Willie Parker is also a setback and the Baltimore D has been playing very well as a group. They've thrived on Monday night in the past and I'm expecting Ray Lewis to have them fired up tonite. The small number is a concern but having it above the important number 34 helps. Lots can always happen turnover wise to blow up an Under play on a low total but I expect a smashmouth game that would stay under the number 6 or 7 times out of 10 even factoring in those types of breaks. Past meetings have seen more points than expected but these teams are quite different going into tonite and I'm definitely not a supporter of trend handicapping. Play Under 34.5 for a 3* Regular Play