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NFL prop shop: Week 4 picks

NFL prop shop: Week 4 picks

NFL prop shop: Week 4 picks

After enduring a few bad breaks last week I’m back in search of a 4-0 sweep this Sunday. Take a look at the four best prop bets on the board

Houston vs. Jacksonville

Most rushing yards: Slaton vs. Jones-Drew

Play on Jones-Drew

Steve Slaton had a breakout performance against the Titans last week but also got beat up by an extremely physical front line.

Things aren’t going to get any easier this week as he runs against another divisional opponent, and arguably the most physical defense in the league.

Maurice Jones-Drew finally got into the end zone, and was the Jaguars best player on the field in their 23-21 win over Indianapolis last Sunday.

He should be in for an even bigger day against a Texans defense that has given up 168 rushing yards per game on 4.5 yards per carry. 

Cleveland vs. Cincinnati

Most rushing yards: Lewis vs. Perry

Play on Lewis

The Browns haven’t got anything out of their ground game, a big reason why they’re still winless on the season.

I’m thinking this is the week Jamal Lewis becomes the focal point of their offense. He has carried the ball 19 times or less in each of their first three games but with their passing attack struggling, he’s really their only viable option at this point.

The Bengals are giving up over 170 rushing yards per game on close to five yards per carry and htey’ve never fared well against big, physical runners like Lewis.

In two meetings last season, Lewis ran for over 300 yards.

Buffalo vs. St. Louis

Most pass receptions: Evans vs. Holt

Play on Holt

With Marc Bulger out and Trent Green in, I’ll give Torry Holt a shot against Lee Evans.

Who is Green going to rely on in his first start in almost a year? You have to think it’s going to be his most veteran receiver and that’s Holt.

Torry has caught 10 passes in the last two games and doesn’t look like he’s missed a step after catching 93 passes last season.

Lee Evans can often become invisible in this Bills offense, and that’s because he doesn’t have great chemistry with Trent Edwards. He admitted last season that J.P. Losman is his QB of choice.

While he has caught 12 passes through three games, I expect the Rams to hold him to three or less on Sunday.

Minnesota vs. Tennessee

Most sacks

Play on Minnesota

Defense will be the name of the game when the Vikings and Titans hit the field on Sunday, but which team will get into the backfield more often? My money is on the Vikings.

I’m not a big supporter of Kerry Collins. He’s an immobile target in the backfield and that spells trouble against an aggressive Vikings front line that is coming off a five-sack performance last week.

I know what you’re thinking, Gus Frerotte isn’t exactly Michael Vick. He was sacked three times last Sunday, but should be more comfortable in his second start of the season.

Of course it helps that he’s playing behind one of the best offensive lines in the business.

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