Sunday Service Plays

Sunday Service Plays

LT Profits

Green Bay Packers +1.0

The Green Bay Packers and Tampa Bay Buccaneers renew their Bay of Pigs rivalry from the old NFL Central days this week, and we look for the cold-climate Packers to prevail in the Florida heat.

The Buccaneers have been a pleasant surprise at 2-1, and they could easily be 3-0 as they blew a late lead in their only loss at New Orleans. Still, Brian Griese is coming off of a career day in a 27-24 overtime victory vs. the Chicago Bears, passing for 407 years while throwing the ball an ungodly 67 times.

Simply put, Griese is not good enough to have two solid games in a row, and if the Tampa Bay running game gets stuffed again, we feel that the Bucs would be in for a very long day. Do not forget that for all the yardage that Griese passed for last week, he did also toss three interceptions.

Meanwhile, Packers quarterback Aaron Rodgers must be salivating at the opportunity to pass against a Tampa Bay secondary that was shredded b Kyle Orton of all people last week. If the likes of Brandon Lloyd could garner 134 receiving yards vs. the Bucs, how are they supposed to contain the duo of Greg Jennings and Donald Driver?

The answer is probably that they cannot, so look for Rodgers to pass the Pack to a big road win.

Pick: Packers +1


Minnesota Vikings +3.0

We feel that this matchup between the Minnesota Vikings and the Tennessee Titans is a battle between a slightly underrated team and a slightly overrated team, and that the underrated team is the underdog.

Remember that the Vikings were the preseason pick by many to win the NFC North, but many people soured on them after an 0-2 start. Well, they could have gone 2-0 in those games with any quarterback play whatsoever, and they did indeed break through the win column vs. the Carolina Panthers last week after finally making the switch to Gus Frerotte under center.

Meantime, the Titans are 3-0 but they have yet to face a team that is capable of stopping the run. That is not the case here vs. a Minnesota defense that is surrendering a miniscule 70.3 rushing yards per game on 3.2 yards per rush, and we do not trust Kerry Collins to stand in vs. probably the best defensive line in all of football.

Finally, this game means a lot more to the Vikings, as they are still chasing the Green Bay Packers while the Titans already have a two-game lead in the AFC South. Look for an outright upset.

Pick: Vikings +3

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Ben Burns

Buffalo Bills vs. St. Louis Rams
Opinion: Under

This week, we've got the 3-0 Bills traveling to St. Louis to take on the 0-3 Rams. Buffalo has scored the most points in the AFC East, while allowing the fewest. Conversely, the Rams have allowed the most points in the NFC, while scoring the fewest.

Both teams finished above the total last week. That helped keep this week's line above the key number 41, which I feel is providing us with solid value. The line is currently 42 at most books.

St. Louis will try to do whatever it takes to control the ball and keep the Bills' offense off the field after three straight terrible defensive performances to start its season.

Regardless of the Rams' overall struggles, Steven Jackson is still a capable back and he should see plenty of action. Jackson, who was limited in Wednesday's practice due to a sore groin, is expected to be fine for Sunday.

He had 28 touches last week (including receptions), and if the Rams can stay a little closer he should get even more than that this week.

Meanwhile, the Bills are averaging 28.3 rushing attempts per game so far, which is slightly above the league average. As we all know, a heavy dose of the ground game from both teams helps keep the clock moving.

I think it was probably a wise move to insert Trent Green in at quarterback seeing how St. Louis managed a mere 29 points in three games (no other NFC team has scored less than 54).

That being said, things aren't nearly the same in St. Louis as they were when Green was here back in 1999 and 2000. The "greatest show on turf" is a distant memory. Jim Haslett's defense should get a boost from the return of defensive end Leonard Little who missed the last two games with a sore hamstring. Little was limited in practice Wednesday but reportedly returned to full action on Thursday.

Buffalo still relies heavily on its defense to win football games. That's particularly true when the Bills are away from Ralph Wilson Stadium. Buffalo limited Jacksonville to 16 points en route to a 20-16 victory in its lone road game this season. That game snuck below the number bringing the under to 4-0 the Bills' last four road games and 8-2 the last 10.

The Bills finished with 24 points last weekend against the Raiders but they had just seven heading into the fourth quarter.

Bettors shouldn't underestimate the significance of Roscoe Parrish's absence. The speedster is a special-teams monster and a solid option in the passing game. He set a Buffalo record and led the NFL in punt return average last year and he was already third this season at 15.2.

Add it all up and I feel that the number is fairly generous. Consider the under.

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Doc's

Philadelphia Eagles @ Chicago Bears
PICK: Chicago Bears +3

The Eagles are coming off an impressive victory against their in-state rivals, the Pittsburgh Steelers but really got banged up in that affair. QB McNabb will play but had to leave the game in the third quarter with a chest injury and RB Westbrook is questionable for this one with an ankle injury. The Bears should be 3-0 but blew two leads against the NFC South and now are in a must win situation when the take the field on Sunday. They won in Philly in 2007, 19-16 and have owned this series winning 25 of the 33 match-ups (1 tie). The Bears will not beat themselves as we collect in a big way on yet another Sunday night. Doc’s Sports has a full card going this week in College and NFL so check out our winning card! 

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Platinum Plays

San Francisco 49ers @ New Orelans

This Sunday we’ll get to find out if the San Francisco 49ers are for real and contenders for the NFC West or just an average team that caught the Seahawks unprepared and expectedly defeated the one of the NFC’s punching bags, the Detroit Lions.  I tend to think the Niners are on the upswing but, probably not ready to challenge for a playoff spot or the NFC West.

Despite the fact, there are thirteen games remaining on the regular season schedule, the Saints need to win this Sunday to even their record at (2-2) against a team they are expected to beat and give their team a chance to be in the playoff hunt when they return some key people from injuries.  (WR Marques Colston, TE Jeremy Shockey)  The Saints will also need to evaluate their special teams and determine if K Martin Gramatica is the guy they want to stick with for the rest of the season or bring in someone else who if nothing else, would have a stronger leg, better accuracy and can perform in the clutch.  Grammatica missed a 43 yard attempt in the closing seconds of Sunday’s game with the Broncos which could have had the Saints sitting comfortably at (2-1) with a little cushion in the standings.

The 49ers still have suit-wearing head coach Mike Nolan, a no-nonsense guy who is in his fourth year at the helm and needs this year’s team to show it is on the verge of challenging for the playoffs or he will probably be gone.  His best year was 2006 (7-9) when number one overall draft pick, QB Alex Smith, was running the offense and being tutored by the well-respected, offensive mind of Norv Turner.  Turner left after 2006 to become the Chargers head coach and Smith and the offense took a couple of steps backwards.  Nolan brought in Mike Martz to run the offense, who’s always looking for a head coaching job to step into.  Smith lost his job to journeyman J.T. O’Sullivan and the offense has begun to show signs of returning to life.  Martz, who would throw on every down if he could, must not forget to include the offense’s biggest and most reliable weapon, RB Frank Gore who’s already run for 287 yds. and 3 TDs in three games while averaging 4.8 yard per carry.  The wide receiver corps in nondescript now, but could be well known in a short time with Bryant Johnson, Arnaz Battle, Isaac Bruce and TE Vernon Davis who has the tools to be a superstar.  The defense is young and improving with 2n year LB Patrick Willis who in his first season. was voted to the Pro Bowl and named the NFC defensive rookie of the year.  Strong-legged PK Joe Nedney is battle tested and very consistent to fortify the special teams.

The Saints have been beset by injuries early and their season may depend on how soon and how well those injured bodies come back.  Despite the injuries, head coach Sean Payton’s offense should be able to weather the storm over the short term while it needs the defense to step up and make some stops.  The secondary has been and remains the sore spot on this team and with basically the same personnel as years past, it’s hard to believe this deficiency can be shored up short term or for the season.  RB Reggie Bush is an all-purpose player that gives opposing defenses fits.  It doesn’t look like Duece McAllister is going to return to form from knee surgery so the ground game cannot be depended on.  Drew Brees is a decent quarterback and sometimes phenomenal when given time despite being smallish in size for the position.  The NFC South is a wide open race between the Saints, Tampa Bay and Carolina so making the playoffs is not out of the question for New Orleans.  However, they can’t afford to lose anymore games with a subpar kicker if they hope to make the postseason.

The line on this game opened with the New Orleans - 6 points and a total of 51.  That total has since dropped to 48.  I’m thinking this game is going to be a track meet with both offenses shredding the opposing defenses.  Take this one to go over 48 points

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Computer Sports

Houston Texans @ Jacksonville Jaguars

AFC action in the Florida sun between two teams at crossroads in their seasons. Houston, dramitically affected by Hurricane Ike is o-2 following last weeks thrashing by the Titans 31-12.  Starting QB Matt Schaub has been ineffective 17-37 for 188yds and 3 int last week, and WR Andre Johnson is struggling along with Schaub. Rookie RB Steve Slaton out of West Virginia has been a bright spot in the absence of Ahman Green. Slaton rushed for 116 yds and a score last week.

Jacksonville has problems of it’s own. Their last second win at Indy 23-21 got the Jags to 1-2 on the campaign. Last season QB David Garrard was very effective at managing the offense and not making game changing mistakes.  This season Garrard’s 4 int’s have eclipsed his total  from last year behind a make-shift offensive line which has adversely affected his play. Last week the ground game got going behind 100 yd+ performances from Maurice Jones-Drew and Fred Taylor . The Jags need more of that if a playoff run is in their future.

CSS ANALYSIS:

Houston’s offensive woes and defensive shortcomings will shine through this weekend again. Schaub is on the verge of being benched and a bad performance this weekend should seal the deal. Look for big #’s from the Jags ground game and a better effort from Garrard to equal a big Jacksonville win to get back to .500!

TAKE THE JAGUARS-7 1/2

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Wunderdog

Green Bay at Tampa Bay
Pick: Green Bay +1

Green Bay is a dog here? What? How soon people forget the Packers are 19-4 SU in their last 23 regular season games, and 19-0 SU vs teams not named Dallas or Chicago! I say this because at the beginning of the season most thought without Favre the Packers were headed south. That certainly has not been the case as Aaron Rodgers has simply shined. To this point of the season (yes, it's still early), he has been an upgrade at QB with a 102.9 rating and no INTs. To me, this guy looks to be for real. I say that not just based on the numbers. Watch him play, he works through his progressions like a vet, utilizing many different weapons, making it very difficult on opposing defenses. The emergence of Greg Jennings at wideout gives the Packers top recievers on both sides of the field. The Bucs defense is much softer than it has been in many years, and the only legit QB they have seen this season was Drew Brees who lit them up for 343 yards and three TDs. Brian Greise was run out of Chicago (and Denver before that) for a reason. He makes too many mistakes. He did it last week, throwing two INTs that almost cost the Bucs the game. Against a better opponent like Green Bay, it will. Don't be fooled - Brian Griese is not a savior, nor a long-term starting QB in this league. The difference between these teams is that Green Bay and Rodgers take care of the ball and in a close game, mistakes are deadly. Greise has shown a penchant for delivering those mistakes time and time again. I'll go with the Packers and Rodgers, over Griese. The Pack are still surprisingly under the radar despite winning 19 straight vs all but two teams and posting a 13-4 ATS mark on the road under their current coach. We get exceptional value on them thanks to their loss to a superb Dallas team last week. Wrong team favored in this one.

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Mike Rose

Philadelphia Eagles -3.0

The (2-1 SU, 3-0 ATS) Philadelphia Eagles stroll into Soldier Field for its Week 4 battle with the (1-2 SU, 1-1-1 ATS) Chicago Bears riding high after dominating the Pittsburgh Steelers at “The Linc” last Sunday. The same can’t be said about Chicago who choked another one away in the second half against the Tampa Bay Buccaneers. Philadelphia has dominated the last six of the recent series going 5-1 SU but just 3-3 ATS.

Philadelphia bounced back in style off its MNF loss to division rival Dallas its last time out against in-state rival Pittsburgh. Even though the 15-6 final verdict doesn’t portray a beatdown, don’t let the final score deceive you. Philly dominated from the onset limiting the Steelers to less than 200 total yards of offense, forced three turnovers, and sacked Pitt QB Ben Roethlisberger nine freaking times. The nine point victory cashed Philly bettors tickets laying the 3.5-points, and the combined 21 points never seriously threatened the closing ‘total’ of 44.5. The ATS cash was the birds third straight to start their ‘08 campaign, and they’ve rattled off six straight pointspread covers per the closing NFL lines.

Last weeks OT loss at home to Tampa was extremely tough for Chicago to swallow, but even more so for NFL sportsbettors that backed them as three-point home chalks. The Bears held a 10-point lead with less than four minutes to go in the game, but somehow managed to allow Brian Griese and the Bucs offense to rattle off 10 straight points to force the extra session. After the defense pinned the Bucs deep in their own territory, CB Charles Tillman got caught defending his teammate and got flagged for unnecessary roughness allowing the Bucs drive to continue. Already exhausted, the Bears “D” let up a number of big pass plays that allowed Matt Bryant to nail the chip shot eight yarder to seal the Bears fate.

Chicago’s now a pathetic 4-10 ATS its L/14 overall home games; look for McNabb and the “Iggles” to avenge last years shocking home loss with ease…..

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Sports Insights

San Diego Chargers at Oakland Raiders

The public is overwhelmingly on San Diego in this match-up.  The constant pounding of bets on San Diego (75% of sides and a huge 90% of teasers and parlays), has pushed the line off of the "key" number of 7.  This is creating a nice value of Oakland +7.5 instead of the opener of +7. 

We like cashing in on San Diego's impressive Monday Night win over the Jets.  Oakland getting +7.5 points at home looks like a great value -- especially in a tough divisional match-up.  Let's "bet against the public" and take the home dog.

Oakland Raiders +7.5 


Buffalo Bills at St. Louis Rams

Our offshore contacts circled this game due to Smart Money coming in on St. Louis.  Including teaser and parlays, almost 80% of all bets are on Buffalo.  Even so, early, and big Smart Money landed on St. Louis -- moving the line from its opener of Buffalo -9.5 to the more generally available -8.  Our readers know that we will follow the Smart Money and especially like the big home underdogs.

St. Louis is 0-3 and has been outscored by almost 30 points per game this season.  They weren't much better last year, going just 3-13.  On the other hand, Buffalo has been "fast out of the gate," going 3-0.  We often find value by taking the ugliest-looking games on the board and taking the ugly duckling.  Last week, Miami showed us that on any given Sunday, anything is possible. 

St. Louis Rams +8


Denver Broncos at Kansas City Chiefs

This is our Pepto Bismol play of the day -- so take a shot of Pepto and put your hard-earned cash on KC.  It goes against everything you think -- but that's exactly why these types of plays are profitable in the long run.  Denver has started the season off 3-0, while KC is 0-3.  This game looks ugly and the public is piling on Denver.

Almost 3 out of 4 "regular" side bets are coming in on Denver.  The large point spread might be making some betters go to teasers and parlays -- where a huge, almost 90% of the bets are landing on Denver.  In addition to our traditional philosophy of "betting against the public," we like this play for several other major factors:

* KC is a huge home dog value, receiving 9.5 points. 
* Traditionally strong divisional rivalry. 
* We are "buying low" with KC and "selling high" with Denver.
* Note also that both teams were mediocre last year.  9.5 points is a huge amount to cover.

Kansas City Chiefs +9.5

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Matt Fargo

Denver Broncos at Kansas City Chiefs
Pick:Kansas City Chiefs +9.5

Are the Chiefs ever going to win again? They have lost 12 straight games dating back to last season and currently are squaring off with the Rams and Lions for the worst team in football. This is the NFL and we know the crazy things that take place so we cannot discount Kansas City at home this weekend. The Chiefs lost by 24 points last Sunday in Atlanta but the game was not that bad. They were outgained by only 77 yards but were hurt by three interceptions by Tyler Thigpen.

The Broncos head to Kansas City to try and improve to 4-0 for the first time since 2003 but as it easy as this may look on paper, it is not going to be that easy. Denver is coming off two wins that were games that could have gone either way. The Broncos made a two-point conversion in the final seconds against the Chargers and last week, escaped thanks to a 43-yard missed field goal. The most disturbing part for a Bronco fan is that it was the second straight week they blew a 21-3 lead.

Speaking of Thigpen, he will take a seat after that rough performance as Damon Huard will be making his second start this season. He hasn’t been great but he has the best passer rating of the three quarterbacks. He may actually be able to move the ball against the Broncos as their defense is actually worse than that of the Chiefs. The Broncos have allowed the third-most yards in the league with 432.0 ypg and the fifth-most points with 28.0 ppg. In their last two games, they've given up 70 points and 958 yards.

One big positive last week for Kansas City was running back Larry Johnson as he ran for 121 yards and if he is running strong, the offense is much better off for it. Overall, the Chiefs piled up 184 yards against the Falcons which was the highest output from them since the Broncos were pounded for 223 yards on Thanksgiving night in 2006. Last season their running game was absolutely throttled in September and October and Kansas City finished dead last in the league in rushing after 16 games. This start was huge.

The Chiefs fall into a very good contrarian situation. Play on home underdogs that have won fewer than 25 percent of their games after failing to cover the spread in two out of their last two games and now playing a team with a winning record. This situation is 94-44 ATS (68.1 percent) since 1983. The average point differential is just -3.8 ppg and it would not be surprising for this one to end with a margin of a field goal as well with that going either way. Play Kansas City Chiefs 1.5 Units

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WILD BILL

Browns +3 1/2 (5 units)
Over 45 Arizona-Jets (5 units)
New Orleans -6 (5 units)
Atlanta +7 (5 units)
Titans -3 (5 units)
Packers +1 (5 units)
Washington +12 1/2 (5 units)
Steelers -7 1/2 (5 units)

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Alex Smart

Kansas City Chiefs +10.0

Sunday afternoons conflict between the Kansas City Chiefs and Denver Broncos is a game that has the public money pouring in all over the Broncos. Denver right now are media darlings , after coming out of the gate with 3 straight victories , including back and forth exiting wins against the high flying Saints and Chargers.

Most of the pundits are caught up in Broncomania while at the same time, taking note of the Chiefs current 0-3 start, and unlucky 13 game SU losing streak that dates back to last season.

I know the Broncos QB Jay Cutler(914 yds,8 TDs) is a top flight talent with some surprising down field weapons , but what a lot of pundits are ignoring is their extremely vulnerable defense. With that said,look for KC QB Damon Huard and his under performing but viable down field weapons to open the playbook, for some surprising success, against a Denver defensive secondary, that is giving up 316 passing yards per game.

It is never easy laying money down on a downtrodden team like the Chiefs, but you have to remember this is a long standing divisional rivalry that is sure to bring out the best in the home dog.

Final notes & Key Trends: Denver has failed to cover 13 of their L/17 against division foes. Home team is 11-3-1 ATS in their last 15 meetings.

I'll call this wager, my Ugly Betty Game of the Week. Best of luck, and God Bless.

Play on the Chiefs

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Bob Harvey

Green Bay Packers +1.0

The Packers need to step up their defense when they battle Chucky’s Bucs today. Last week the Cowboys and Tony Romo shredded the Packers D for 453 yards including 217 on the ground. On the offensive side, the Pack’ had to settle for three field goals of less than 40 yards. However, three games into the season, the Packers look like they made the right decision at QB. Aaron Rodgers is 2-1 as the Green Bay starter. Even though he didn’t have a touchdown pass against Dallas last week, Rodgers threw for 290 yards, ran for a touchdown and for the third straight outing, didn’t throw a pick. FYI, he’s 7th in the NFL with a passer rating of 102.9.Green Bay (2-1) has been rewarded for sticking with Rodgers after Brett Favre came out of retirement in July, as Rodgers led the Packers to victories in his first two starts. There are a couple of interesting trends associated with this game. Green Bay is 7-0 ATS on the road off ATS loss. Tampa Bay is 0-7 ATS at home off a road game where both teams scored 24+ points. What do those numbers say about today’s game? They’re possible hints to what could happen today. The Packers defense will harass QB Brian Griese. Without an established running game, Griese and the Bucs are going to have a tough time against a Green Bay defense, which looks to atone for a poor effort against the Cowboys last week.

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Michael Alexander

Houston Texans vs. Jacksonville Jaguars
Play: Houston Texans 

The Houston Texans started the season with high hopes after finishing last season at the .500 mark for the first time in their history. Unfortunately things haven't turned out well to date as they come into this one 0-2 SU and sit last in their division. Their offense has been horrible as they are averaging only 14.5 points per game while their defense has given up a whopping 34.5 per game.

The Jacksonville Jaguars could very well be winless as well if it were not for their last second field goal that beat the Colts last week. The Jaguars offense has been just about as anemic as Houston's as they are averaging only 16.3 points per game. Their defense however has been their usual stout self allowing only 19.3 per game.

SUPPORTING ANGLES: HOUSTON is 12-3 ATS (+8.7 Units) in road games after 2 or more consecutive losses since 1992. Playing against home favorites (JACKSONVILLE) after allowing 7 or more passing yards/attempt in 2 straight games against opponent after gaining 5.5 or less passing yards/attempt in last game is 47-21 ATS over the last 10 seasons.

Both teams haven't shown that they belong in the upper echelon but a loss by either might signal the end to their season. However, Houston seems to have history on their side as teams in Game Three that have allowed more than 30 points in each game to open the season are 4-1 SU and ATS when taking on an opponent off a SU and ATS win. In addition Jack Del Rio is 2-4 SU and 1-5 ATS as a favorite against division opponents off a loss. Kubiak will have the Texans ready. I'm taking Houston in this one.

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Tony Karpinski

Houston Texans vs. Jacksonville Jaguars
Play: Houston Texans   

Houston sits at 0-2 and a lack a focus hurt them last week vs Tennessee. They had numerous chances and didn't execute so the 31-12 score is very deceiving. They've had 2 strong opponents and finally have a chance to mentally regroup after all that happened recently. Their running game was quite encouraging last week vs Tennessee and they catch the Jags at a good time off a win vs Indy. Jaguar O-line injuries will also help the Texans as Jax could very easily be 0-3.

Public money and the squares has poured in on Jacksonville but the line has held at -7. We've seen this movie before as smart money is holding the line. Take Houston PLUS THE POINTS as your Sunday NFL Free Pick.

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Tom Freese

Buffalo at St. Louis

How bad are things in St. Louis? The answer is real bad. The Rams have been outscored 116 to 29 in their first 3 games. That is an average score of 39-10. There is nothing to suggest that things are going to get any better this week against a Buffalo team that is 3-0 Straight Up. The Bills thrive on losing teams going 38-13-3 ATS their last 54 games in that role. Buffalo is 10-4-1 ATS off a straight up win and they are 6-2-1 ATS after passing for over 250 yards. PLAY ON BUFFALO -

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Jim Feist

CLE Browns / CIN Bengals
Take:Over

Reason: The Browns (0-3 SU, 1-2 ATS) have yet to find their offensive groove: After ranking 8th in total offense in 2007 the Browns are dead last now. One reason is the schedule: They lost to Dallas (28-10), Steelers (10-6) and Ravens (28-10). Those teams are ranked 10, 2 and 1 in total defense. The Cleveland defense has been awful, 30th in total defense last year and 23rd in 2008. 25-year old QB Derek Anderson (2 TDs, 5 picks, 405 yards) has good targets to work with, but has struggled, as has the offensive line. RB Jamal Lewis has 156 yds, just 3.5 ypc (In 2007: 1,304 yards, 4.4 yards per carry.) They add former Patriots speedy WR Donte Stallworth, but he hasn't played yet. After ranking 27th at stopping the run in 2007, the Browns are 25th this season. After getting smacked around by the Ravens Sunday, a 28-10 loss, players were frustrated: "This hurts big time. Oh-and-three is pathetic," said running back Jamal Lewis. "This sucks," said center Hank Fraley. "Before we blink, we could be 0-4 and looking to rebuild." The Browns are 11-7-1 over the total since last season. The Bengals (0-3 SU, 1-2 ATS) aren't any better, despite a 26-23 loss in OT at the NY Giants. Offense is supposed to be the strength, but they are ranked 30th with 238 yards per game, 13.3 points. QB Carson Palmer (514 yards, 1 TD, 3 INTs, 9 sacks) has a weak offensive line, while RB Chris Perry has just 3.0 ypc, 180 yards to lead the team. There are still good WRs in Chad Johnson (88 yards, 0 TDs) and T.J. Houshmandzadeh (18 catches, 216, 1 TD). The Bengals are off their best game, striking for 347 yards in a 26-23 OT loss at the NY Giants. Better clock management and they probably would have won it. Cincy had to force OT with a field goal with 1 second left, instead of having a few shots at the end zone to win it. QB Carson Palmer was strong: 27-of-39 for 286 yards, 1 TD, no picks and WR T.J. Houshmandzadeh had 12 catches for 146 yards and a touchdown. The problem is still defense: the Bengals were 27th in defense last year, 24th this season (28th against the run allowing 174 yds rushing pg). The Bengals have allowed nine sacks in three games after giving up a single-season franchise low 17 in 2007. Palmer said the game plan Sunday consisted of pass plays designed for him to throw the ball quickly. These teams met in Week 2 a year ago and the Browns won 51-45! Cleveland had 554 yards, the Bengals had 531. Palmer had 401 yards, a career-high 6 TDs, 2 picks, while Browns QB Derek Anderson had 328 yards, 5 TDs one pick. Look for both offense to get on track against these terrible defenses.

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Jimmy The Moose

Arizona Cardinals at New York Jets
Prediction: Arizona Cardinals

The Cardinals played on the East Coast in week 3 and instead of going home and then travelling back to New York for week 4 they stayed in the East Coast, and that will be a plus this afternoon. The Cardinals are 2-1 SU and ATS this season. Arizona is 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games played in September. The Cardinals are 10-3 ATS in their last 13 games following a SU loss. The Jets are 1-2 SU and ATS this season. Brett Favre should play but he won't be 100% for this game and that means mistake are sure to happen. The Jets are 2-6-1 ATS in their last 9 home games. Look for the visiting Cardinals leave with the win today. Play on the Arizona Cardinals +.

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MARK LAWRENCE

Washington Redskins @ Dallas Cowboys
PICK: Washington Redskins

A big battle in the NFC East Division kicks off in the Big 'D' Sunday afternoon when the Cowboys take on the Redskins.

Jim Zorn has done a terrific job as the Head Hog in his first year on the sidelines as Washington has turned the ball over only one time in three games.

Meanwhile, Wade Phillips has his troops off to a 3-0 start for the 2nd year in a row.

In a series that has seen the underdog bark 17 of the last 21 games and with Dallas just 3-11 ATS as a favorite against a .500 or greater opponent, we'll grab the points with the Redskins in this division dukeout today.

We recommend a 1-unit play on the Redskins.

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Craig Trapp

Cleveland Browns vs. Cincinnati Bengals    
Play: Cincinnati Bengals   

The Bengals started to get on track last week against the Giants. They took the Superbowl champs into OT before losing. The defense will create some to's vs cleveland. Last year at Cincy Anderson threw a ton of bad balls and 4 int's. Expect the same today. Might even see Quinn in to relieve Anderson. SCORE CIN 27 - CLE 16

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Jimmy Moore

Minnesota / Tennessee
Pick:Tennessee -3

The Titans are 3-0 and showing no signs of slowing down. They have overcome the Vince Young drama and just keep on winning. The Vikings were very fortunate last week getting a gift TD late in the first half to turn the momentum of the game and get the win. Look for the Vikings to return to reality today and the Titans to get the win and cover.

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