Saturday Service Plays

Re: Saturday Service Plays

KING CREOLE

EAST CAROLINA PIRATES minus the points vs the Houston Cougars

Here are the specifics of this very unique situation that's occurred only EIGHT times in the history of our database:

8-0 ATS since 1980: College HOME teams playing off a SU non-conference road loss as favorites of - 6 or greater points (EAST CAROLINA) versus any opponent that's also off a SU favorite loss (Houston). With the Pirates losing OUTRIGHT in overtime last week on the road versus NC State (as favs of -7).... and the cougars off a SU road loss to Colorado State (as favs of -3) points, we have a QUALIFIER on Saturday. I felt confident enough of this play to make it one of my WISEGUY selections for this week.

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Re: Saturday Service Plays

Lenny Del Genio

Colorado St. at California
Prediction: California

California had last week off to recoup from its outright loss at Maryland two weeks ago as a late rally was not enough to avoid an eight-point loss as 13.5-point chalk. After a good looking 2-0 start that saw them beat a ranked Michigan State team and then Washington State on the road (66-3!), the Bears offense took the week off against the Terps as they did not score a TD until the 4th quarter. However, Colorado State is a weak opponent that they will be able to rack up a lot of points against.

Last year, these teams played a tight game in Fort Collins with Cal coming out on top 34-28. Now, that the matchup is in Berkley, expect a far different result. This is Colorado State?s first ?true? road game of the season. The Rams were 0-5 away from home last year. The aforementioned 2007 meeting with Cal wasn?t nearly as close as the final score might indicate as CSU scored a pair of late touchdowns to pull within six. They are 7-41 all-time vs. Pac 10 teams. They've lost their last nine road games overall. In their only venture off campus this year (against Colorado), they allowed 38 points, a number that is very likely to be topped here against a Cal team that has averaged nearly 44 PPG so far this season. Take California

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Re: Saturday Service Plays

Sean Higgs

Army vs. Texas A&M    
Play:Army +26.5

Free Money will RAIN from the Big 12 Specialist. I was hitting 73% in my Big 12 plays until last week's lack-luster 2-4 showing. Today, EVERYONE can see why SEAN HIGGS OWNS the Big 12. Your FREE MONEY today will come in on Army. We are backing the service academy today over the Aggies. Too much of a number to lay here as the kids at Army have this game circled. A heavy dose of Texas players will be pumped for this match-up. A&M in a tough spot off a bad home loss to the 'Canes and with Ok St on deck. Let's say they do enough to win, but not come near the cover.

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Re: Saturday Service Plays

Priceless Picks

1 Unit on Purdue Boilermakers +1.5

The Notre Dame defense will not be ready for a passing attack as explosive and as well crafted as Purdue's.  This game may turn out to be a bit of a shootout, but there's no way that the Boilers aren't on top when the final whistle blows.  Notre Dame is only 3-12 ATS in home games when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 75%) since 1992 and 11-25 ATS in home games when playing against a team with a winning record since 1992.   The Irish are also just 9-21 ATS off a road loss since 1992.  There's a lot or numbers going against Notre Dame here.  Take the Boilermakers.

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Re: Saturday Service Plays

Jeff Alexander Sports

1 Unit on Western Michigan -4

The odds makers are giving us a gift with this line as I like Western Michigan by a touchdown easily.  Temple is just 5-16 ATS versus good offensive teams - averaging >=425 yards/game since 1992, losing these games by an average score of 43.7 to 9.3.  Temple is also just 19-36 ATS in September games since 1992.  Western Mich has crushed Temple by double digits in each of the past two season and we'll lay the points with the Broncos again here.

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Locksmith Sports

1 Unit on TCU +18.5

No. 24 ranked TCU heads to Oklahoma to take on the No. 2 ranked Sooners this Saturday in a matchup that should show the true colors of each of these teams.  While the Horned Frogs have managed to get themselves into the top 25, odds makers don’t appear all that impressed and have listed TCU as a heavy 18.5-point underdog with the total set at 54.5. Jimmy Boyd will take a look at both sides of this matchup and ultimately reveal his against the spread winner in this preview.  TCU is one of only two teams that can say that it has defeated Oklahoma on its home field in the last decade. The Frogs will look to add to their distinction by doing it again this weekend.

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Re: Saturday Service Plays

Tom Freese

Illinois at Penn St

Penn St is 18-5 ATS their last 23 home games after gaining 475 or more yards in their last game. The Nittany Lions have taken no prisoners this year out gaining their three lined opponents this year by 1021 yards! Illinois is 7-20 ATS their last 27 games following an ATS loss and they are 3-12 ATS last 15 games on grass. The Illini are 4-15 ATS vs. a team that is averaging 450 or more yards a game. PLAY ON #174 PENN ST -

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Ross Benjamin

Bowling Green @ Wyoming
Play: Bowling Green –3.0

Bowling Green should have no excuses in this game as they match up very well versus Wyoming. The Falcons already own a quality road win on the road versus Pittsburgh who is a far superior opponent than Wyoming. The Cowboys come off a lambasting at the hands of BYU 44-0. The Cowboys 2 wins on the season were by a grand total of 4 points.Any non-conference home underdog of 6.0 or less off an away underdog ATS loss in which they failed to cover by 16.0 points or more, and they allowed 35 or more points in that contest is 0-15 SU and ATS since 1980. The favorite has won those 15 games by an average of 17.1 points per game. Play on Bowling Green minus the small number as my college football free selection of the week.

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Re: Saturday Service Plays

Johnny Guild

Navy Midshipmen at Wake Forest Demon Deacons

The Demon Deacons have won six straight games, 12 of their last 14 overall and the last four clashes versus the Midshipmen. Wake Forest Quarterback Riley Skinner and crew should be able to move the ball easily against Navy’s vulnerable defense, playing poorly against the run and allowing 276 passing yards per game. Wake Forest is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 home games and 4-2 ATS in its last 6 versus Navy.Take the Deacons at BB&T Field.

Wake Forest Demon Deacons -16

Clemson Tigers -11
Fresno State Bulldogs -7
Wake Forest Demon Deacons -16
Oklahoma State Cowboys -17
Penn State Nittany Lions -16

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Re: Saturday Service Plays

GOLDEN CONTENDER

On Saturday afternoon the system club play is on the Michigan St Spartans.Game 115 at 12 pm eastern.These system club plays are 3-0 the last 3 weeks,lets see if we can keep it going here.The spartans are 11-3 su vs Indiana over the years and apply to a nice 19-4 system that dates to 1980.The system pertains to week 4 home dogs less than 666 win percentage, coming off a home favored loss if they were a favorite of more than 3 points and lost by double digits.Playing against these home dgos in there next game has been very profitable.Indy has been a poor home dog in this range just 2-6 in there last 8 tries.Better yet put them in a game where they have revenge and there off a su favorite loss and they are just 1-9 ats.Take the spartans minus the points here on Saturday.Also available is a tremendous card,featurign a 6 unit bomb from a 96% system, a 28-2 totals play, a 19-2 blowout system,and a dog where the wrong team is favored.For those looking for something a little stronger.

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Re: Saturday Service Plays

Michael Alexander

Arkansas vs. Texas    
Play:Texas -27.5

The Arkansas Razorbacks hope to get back on track after a blowout loss to Alabama when they travel to Austin to take on the Texas Longhorns. After losing their head coach and two top players Darren McFadden and Felix Jones to the NFL from last years Cotton Bowl team, the Razorbacks are hoping that new coach Petrino and his spread offense will keep things going in the right direction. However, the passing game last season ranked only 112th as the rushing game averaged over 300 yards per game. This season the Razorbacks have averaged only 117 yards per game on the ground while their passing game has averaged 286. The defense is in the process of working in six new starters, including all four in the secondary.

The Longhorns come into this game off a 3-0 start but the faithful are restless as they haven't participated in a meaningful Bowl Game since their championship game of three seasons ago. Texas has a veteran QB in Colt McCoy who is the fourth quarterback in Texas history to throw for 3,000 yards in a season. That fact gives some solace to Longhorn fans since they still haven't settled on a replacement for running back Jamaal Charles. The defense gave up a whopping 25.2 points per game last season so Texas brought in defensive coordinator Will Muschamp from Auburn. So far, although their opponents have been less than stellar, their defense has given up only 11 points per game.

SUPPORTING ANGLES: TEXAS is 28-13 ATS (+13.7 Units) after a game with a turnover margin of -2 or worse since 1992. Playing on home favorites of 21.5 or more points (TEXAS) who rushes for more than 4.8 YPR against a team with a terrible rushing defense who gives up more than 4.8 YPR in non-conference games is 23-4 ATS since 1992.

New Texas defensive coordinator Will Muschamp coached against Dick while at Auburn, and knows his weaknesses while veteran Texas QB will pick apart a terrible Arkansas defense. I'm taking Texas in a blowout

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Re: Saturday Service Plays

Great Lakes Sports

South Florida at NC State
Play: 4* South Florida Bulls

The South Florida Bulls are a solid 12-6 ATS as a favorite of 3.5 to 10 points since 1992, and they are 2-0 vs the ACC conference opponents the last three years. The NC State Wolf Pack is a terrible 3-6 ATS when playing in September the last three years, and they are a dismal 2-6 ATS in non-conference games the last three years. We look for the South Florida Bulls to roll over the NC State Wolf Pack for the road ATS win & cover tonight.

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Re: Saturday Service Plays

Info Plays

3* on Penn State -14

The Penn State Nittany Lions are the real deal this season. Illinois is struggling after beating LA Lafayette 20-17 last week as a 25.5-point favorite. This game will be a blowout from start to finish with Penn State winning by at least three touchdowns. Penn State is 4-0, winning their games by an average of 42.7 points per contest. They are putting up 538 yards per game while yielding just 222 yards per game. Illinoir is 4-15 ATS versus excellent offensive teams - averaging >=450 yards/game since 1992. We’ll Play On - Home favorites of 10.5 to 21 points (PENN ST) - off a home blowout win by 28 points or more, with 4+ more total starters returning than opponent. This is a 28-7 ATS System hitting 80% since 1992. The Nittany Lions have a load of talent back this season, while the Fighting Illini are still trying to find their identity. Penn State continues to roll at home Saturday. Bet the Nittany Lions at home.

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Re: Saturday Service Plays

Jimmy Thompson


Northwestern vs. Iowa
Pick:Northwestern

Iowa is not very good as their last 2 games have shown. They were fortunate to win at home against Iowa St. and were bad at Pitt last week. They do not have the ability to make plays in the passing game and that is because there QB's are horrible so we like Northwestern not only to cover this game, but win it outright!

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Re: Saturday Service Plays

Jimmy Moore

Virginia Tech @ Nebraska
Pick: Nebraska -7

The Cornhuskers have been impressive this season under coach Pelini and now they get to take on the Hokies and their struggling offense. Look for Nebraska to make a statement on ABC Saturday night against V Tech

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Re: Saturday Service Plays

Marc Lawrence

Play On: Mississippi

Ole MIss travels to the Swamp to meet the Gators in a SEC clash this afternoon in a matchup of two teams each off 'Inside-Out' results. That occurred when the Rebels lost. 23-17. against Vanderbilt last week despite winning the stats, 385-202 while Florida trounced Tennessee, 30-6, in a game they were outgained, 258-243. It all leads to the point that Florida's offense isn't holding up its end of the deal as they average 37 PPG despite gaining only 332 YPG. With Mississippi head coach Houston Nutt a perfect 5-0 ATS in his career as a conference dog of 14 or more points, look for another upset of major proportion here today. Grab the points with the Rebels.

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Re: Saturday Service Plays

John Ryan

Purdue vs. Notre Dame     
Play:UNDER 46.5

Ai Simulator 3* graded play UNDER Purdue/Notre Dame – AiS shows a 74% probability that fewer than 45 points will be scored in this game. Supporting this graded play is a system that has gone an amazing 32-4 UNDER for 89% since 2002 and is a perfect 4-0 this season. Play under with all teams where the total is between 42.5 and 49 in a game involving two average passing teams gaining 6.4-7.5 PYA in non-conference games. Purdue is 14-3 UNDER (+10.7 Units) versus good passing defenses allowing 5.75 or less passing yards/att. since 1992. Purdue is also in a strong UNDER role noting that they are 9-2 UNDER (+6.8 Units) in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons. Notre Dame also in two strong under roles noting they are 11-3 UNDER (+7.7 Units) in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons; 9-2 UNDER (+6.8 Units) when the total is between 42.5 and 49 over the last 2 seasons. If you think this play looks strong being reinforced by an 89% winning system then make certain you get all of Ryan’s CFB cards today including his 2nd 10* Monster play – a play in the SEC that you cannot afford to miss. Take the UNDER

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Re: Saturday Service Plays

Jim Feist

San Jose St / Hawaii
Take:San Jose State

San Jose State (2-2 SU, 2-1 ATS) has a terrific coach in Dick Tomey. The offense has been very good under Tomey, and they return 8 starters on offense and 7 on defense. Also, RB Yonus Davis is back for a sixth season at tailback after missing virtually all of last season with an ankle injury. San Jose State has been thrilled with the play of starter junior QB Kyle Reed. After three games, he was the No. 2-rated passer in the Western Athletic Conference with a completion percentage of 76. Hawaii (1-2 SU, 0-2 ATS) has had two weeks to prepare -- and needs it! They got flattened at Florida in the opener, 56-10, and have had two weeks to rest since a 45-7 loss at Oregon State, surrendering 485 yards (217 rushing). Poor Hawaii lost QB Colt Brennan, a ton of offensive talent and Head Coach June Jones. New head coach Greg McMackin is running the show and has kept the same offense, but has new personnel. Senior QB Tyler Graunke, Hawaii's third starter this season, injured his thumb and his wrist the last game. He was replaced by junior QB Inoke Funaki. San Jose was a 17-point dog last season, but Hawaii won just 42-35 in OT. San Jose is 8-3 ATS the last 11 meetings with Hawaii. Play San Jose State.

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Re: Saturday Service Plays

Terron Chapman

Kansas City Royals vs. Minnesota Twins    
Play: Kansas City Royals   

As we stated before last night's contest, the Kansas City Royals should not be taken lightly heading into the last weekend of the regular season. They are playing solid baseball down the stretch, winner's of 12 of their last 14 overall.

The next best thing to making the playoffs is keeping a division rival from getting there, and the Royals find themselves in good position to do just that this weekend. The Royals will send Gil Meche to the mound in game 2. He was a winner in his last start against the Twins. The Royals are 7-0 in Meche's last 7 starts against a team with a winning record. He will be opposed on the mound by Glen Perkins of the Twins who will be making his first start against the Royals. Perkins could struggle against a Royals team who has had success against southpaws all season. In fact, the Royals are 32-22 against left handed starters this season.

The pressure is back on the Twins as they continue to hold a slim lead in the AL central standings. We'll continue to back the hot Royals as they continue to relish in the spoiler's role.Play on the Kansas City Royals for 2 units.

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Re: Saturday Service Plays

Scott Ferrall

Mich St -9 to IU

Northwestern +8 from Iowa

North Carolina +7.5 from Miami

Ol Miss +23 from Florida

Mississippi St +24.5 from LSU--if they play like they did against Auburn--the Bulldogs will cover on Home Coming at Baton Rouge

Central Mich -6.5 to Buffalo

Minnesota +17.5 from Ohio St

Purdue +2 from Notre Dame

Va Tech +7 from Nebraska

Washington -3.5 to Stanford

Clemson -11.5 to Maryland

MLB

MINNESOTA -150 over Kansas City--Perkins is automatic over Meche--COUNT ON IT !  Twins aren't messing around

Cleveland +170 and Jackson UPSET SPECIAL over the White Sox and Vazquez in Chicago

St.Louis -145 over Cincy--Wellemeyer over Harang at Busch 2

BACKE -120 and Astros over the Braves in Houston

NO EARLY LINES ON THESE GAMES--TAKE ANYWAY:

Angels over the Rangers--Ervin Santana is the take

TB in Detroit--Garza over Dontrelle Willis

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