WNBA News and Notes September 23

WNBA News and Notes September 23

INDIANA (18 - 18) at DETROIT (23 - 13) - 9/23/2008, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
INDIANA is 62-91 ATS (-38.1 Units) as an underdog since 1997.
INDIANA is 64-92 ATS (-37.2 Units) in road games since 1997.
INDIANA is 7-16 ATS (-10.6 Units) in road games after a division game over the last 2 seasons.
INDIANA is 2-12 ATS (-11.2 Units) in road games after 3 or more consecutive overs since 1997.
INDIANA is 4-12 ATS (-9.2 Units) after allowing 75 points or more this season.
INDIANA is 3-13 ATS (-11.3 Units) after scoring 75 points or more this season.
DETROIT is 4-13 ATS (-10.3 Units) as a home favorite of 6.5 to 9 points over the last 2 seasons.
DETROIT is 8-18 ATS (-11.8 Units) in home games after scoring 75 points or more over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
DETROIT is 9-9 against the spread versus INDIANA over the last 3 seasons
DETROIT is 12-6 straight up against INDIANA over the last 3 seasons
8 of 16 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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LOS ANGELES (21 - 15) at SEATTLE (23 - 13) - 9/23/2008, 9:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
LOS ANGELES is 5-16 ATS (-12.6 Units) in road games vs. division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
SEATTLE is 22-14 ATS (+6.6 Units) in all games this season.
SEATTLE is 15-7 ATS (+7.3 Units) as a favorite this season.
SEATTLE is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) as a home favorite of 3.5 to 6 points this season.
SEATTLE is 14-4 ATS (+9.6 Units) in home games this season.
SEATTLE is 10-1 ATS (+8.9 Units) in home games vs. division opponents this season.
SEATTLE is 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) after a win by 10 points or more this season.
SEATTLE is 12-5 ATS (+6.5 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
SEATTLE is 8-2 ATS (+5.8 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15+ games this season.
LOS ANGELES is 14-4 ATS (+9.6 Units) revenging a loss versus opponent this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
SEATTLE is 11-4 against the spread versus LOS ANGELES over the last 3 seasons
SEATTLE is 9-6 straight up against LOS ANGELES over the last 3 seasons
9 of 14 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons 

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Re: WNBA News and Notes September 23

Trend Sheet

INDIANA vs. DETROIT
Indiana is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Detroit
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Indiana's last 6 games when playing on the road against Detroit
Detroit is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games
Detroit is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games


LOS ANGELES vs. SEATTLE
Los Angeles is 8-3 ATS in its last 11 games
Los Angeles is 7-3 SU in its last 10 games
Seattle is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Los Angeles
Seattle is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Los Angeles

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INDIAN COWBOY'S WNBA RESEARCH

Indiana vs. Detroit


Let's talk about this game. Currently, the line sits at -8.5 in most places after opening up at -8. Indiana traditionally has not been good on the road, but elimination games are different - heck, look at Sacramento who went into San Antonio and nearly beat that team outright on the road. For someone who likes to fade the public mostly, it is a bit disappointing that there the public is not more heavily sided one way or another. But, I guess, that's just the way it goes. The public is even on both ends of these ballgames. This is why Saturday and Sunday yields far more value, because there is more games to be selective and choose from. Detroit first beat this team on the road by 8, then Indiana shows incredible heart and wins on the road in overtime. Now, Detroit looks to avenge that loss, similar to San Antonio yesterday. Of course, that didn't prevent Sacramento from covering that ballgame while also sending it well over. Notice, both of those games went over, and in the regular season, Detroit went 3-0 SU and 2-1 ATS against Indiana. Hence, Indiana beat Detroit for the first time all year with that outright win in OT their last game. Remember, whenever the first 2 games go over, and then the line is not adjusted the next game and is about the same such as this game, it typically means the game is going under. The same is true for when the first 2 games go over in the WNBA such as with the NY and Conn games yesterday, you saw the game go under - in essence, the total never goes all 3 times for one way or the other, it alternates on the third game. Based on this, I wouldn't be surprised to see an under here today.

Los Angeles vs. Seattle

Note, that most of the public actually favors Seattle in this game at home. Yet, the line opened up at -5 and has taken a hit down to -3.5 now. The total has also surprisingly come down roughly 2 points as well. Don't forget, Seattle is no joke, especially at home where they are 16-1, best record in all of Beaver Ball. Tough call here if you ask me, after all, how do you against the Sparks who come off a 14 point loss at home, both teams have covered at home thus far, the Sparks have the ability to lose but cover the 3.5, or even with this game outright as this team is fiery and both teams are competing for a spot in the playoffs. Frankly, I it is tough to go against the Storm, as that would be my lean here, but having said that, I don't want to challenge the Sparks here as I believe they have it within them to win this game outright. The total is too "tight" for me and rich for my blood as I see no value in today's action.

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