Monday Premium Service Plays

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Opposite Action Plays

Baltimore Orioles

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STADIUM CLUB SPORTS

Philadelphia RL +115 1 unit

Tampa Bay -137 2 units

St. Louis +113 Home dog of the week 2 units

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BEN BURNS

BIG GAME ALERT

I'm laying the points with SAN DIEGO. The public will see Brett Favre's team getting all these points on a Monday night and will be quick to back the underdog Jets. The Chargers are favored by this much for good reason though. This is a San Diego team which has been very close the last couple of years and which was expected to be a serious contender for the Super Bowl this season. They could easily be 2-0 (and should be at least 1-1) but instead are 0-2. That makes this an absolutely critical game. That's particularly true when considering that no team this millennium has made it to the playoffs after starting 0-3 - the Bills were the last to do so and that was back in 1998. While Favre was fairly impressive in his opener, he struggled last week. The Jets lost 19-10 at home vs. the Patriots. After watching the Patriots get crushed 38-13 by Miami - the Jets' loss arguably looks even worse. Favre will face another formidable defense this week. While the Chargers defense does miss Merriman, they are still a very strong unit and they'll be looking to make amends for their performance through the first two weeks. Keep in mind that prior to Week 1 (when Carolina got 26) the Chargers had held seven straight opponents here to 21 points or less and six of those opponents to 14 points or less. Those seven opponents averaged a mere 11.7 points. In other words, this defense is much better than it has shown, particularly here at home. On the other side of the ball, QB Rivers is looking better than ever. Through two games, he already has six touchdown passes and 594 passing yards to go along with an impressive 122 QB rating. It's true that Tomlinson hasn't been his usual 'super' self. However, he's had an extra week to get healthy and I expect the bright lights to bring out his best. He was quoted as saying: "...I'm hoping that it's going to make big progress this week and by Monday night hopefully I'll be as close to 100 percent as possible... " Despite failing to cover in Week 1 vs. Carolina, the Chargers are still a highly profitable 8-1 SU/ATS the last nine times that they were listed as home favorites in the -7.5 to -10 point range. During the same stretch, the Chargers have gone a terrific 13-0 SU and 10-3 ATS when coming off a game vs. a divisional opponent. Look for them to improve on those numbers with a double-digit victory on primetime. *GOW

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mvbski wrote:


Sixth Sense

Opinion

SAN DIEGO –8.5 NY Jets 44.5

SD lost in the last 30 seconds of the game last week for the second time in two weeks. To add insult to injury, they lost because of the wrong call on a fumble as well as having a call go against them early in the game because of a faulty review machine. They out gained Denver from the line of scrimmage, 8.8yppl to 6.5yppl, including 11.1yps. They did allow Denver 6.0ypr and 6.5yps. The Jets lost at home to NE 19-10 but out gained NE 5.2yppl to 4.4yppl. NE scored 13 of their 19 points on drives of 31 yards or less. The Jets average 4.2ypr against 3.6ypr but just 6.3yps against 7.6yps for a total of 5.2yppl against 5.7yppl. They allow just 4.4yppl against 4.6ypr so they have played good defense this year. SD has looked very good on offense, averaging 9.5yps against 7.3yps and 7.2yppl against 5.9yppl. They are allowing 5.4ypr against 4.8ypr but just 6.3yps against 7.0yps on defense for a total of 6.0yppl against 5.9yppl. SD qualifies in a negative situation based on their play from last week, which is 76-28-2 and plays against SD here. The Jets qualify in a fundamental rushing situation, which is 636-517-42, including a subset, which is 510-393-30. Numbers only favor SD by a half point and predict about 48 points. The Jets defense is good enough to stay in this game and Brett Favre should be able to do enough to move their offense to be able to stay within the generous points here. SAN DIEGO 24 NY JETS 23

My mistake this is a best bet from him

YTD 8-1 +20.70%

3% TENNESSEE –4.5
3% WASHINGTON –3
3% SAN FRANCISCO –4
3% JACKSONVILLE +5
3% BALTIMORE –2.5
3% GREEN BAY +3
3% NY JETS +8.5

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Vegas Runner

3* Chargers

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Jeff Scott Sports

3 UNIT PLAY

San Diego/ NY Jets Over 46

The Over is 10-2 in the Jets last 12 off a SU division loss, while the Over is 10-2 in San Diego's last 12 games following a ATS loss and 5-0 in their last 5 games when favored off a 1-3 point loss to a divisional opponent.  With Merriman out for the Chargers they are beginning to resemble their teams of the early 80's when Dan Fouts was around, when they would put up 28 ppg, but also allow 28 ppg. The Chargers offense will be able to score on any defense this year, even if LT is hobbling, but the problem for this team is a defense that has allowed 32.5 ppg and 437 ypg in their 1st 2 games of the year. Yes Merriman was that much of a difference for this team. Tonight they take on a Jets team, with a QB that is known for finding a teams weakness and exploiting it. Brett Favre could have his best day as a Jet tonight. With LT nursing a sore toe look for QB Rivers (594 YP, 6 TD's, 1 INT, 122.5 QB Rating) to air it out and take aim at a Jets defense this is prone to give up some big plays. Both teams should be able to score on the others defense and that will lead to a game played in the 50's.

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Did VR have a write-up or just a pick?

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jeb467 wrote:


Did VR have a write-up or just a pick?

All I saw was pick

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Billy Coleman

5* Sacramento GOY
3* Cubs
3* Rangers

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Northcoast Sports

Monday Night Magic

Jets / Chargers Over

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Marc Lawreence

Double Perfect Never Lost Monday Night Key Play!

Play On: NY Jets

When the Jets meet the Chargers in San Diego under the Monday Night lights they'll do so knowing QB Brett Favre is 5-0 SU and ATS on Monday nights against an opponent off a loss when the Over/Under total in the game is more than 44 points. That fits nicely with San Diego head coach Norv Turner's 0-8 ATS career mark off BB SU and ATS losses when facing a .500 or greater opponent. With the Chargers 1-10 ATS at home in September when playing off a SU and ATS loss, look for the Jets to get the cash here tonight.

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SCORE

200% Chargers


Sports Bank

400% Jets / Chargers Under

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Al DeMarco

15 Dime - Chargers

Are you kidding me? Honestly guys, I don't think one team has ever had such shockingly bad luck in the first two weeks of the season, for as long as I've been doing this. First, the Panthers score with a last-second touchdown to win in San Diego in Week 1, then, last week, the Chargers are deflated by a blown whistle, which essentially fave Denver new life and the eventual victory in Week 2.

So here we are, with a San Diego team that is supposed to represent the AFC in the Super Bowl, yet is 0-2 on the season and is extremely pissed off to say the least at how things have gone thus far. I just can't imagine these Bolts allowing themselves to be struck by anymore lightning, and see them manhandling a Jets team that is mediocre, at best.

I know they appeared to play the Patriots tough last week, but yesterday's game with the Dolphins should give you an indication of just how good, or not-so good, New England is. It should also tell you that with a better rushing game in Week 1, the Fins might be 1-1, rather than 0-2.

New York might be 1-1 on the season, but it hasn't necessarily played like it. Its offense ranks 25th in the league, and that won't cut it against the Chargers' offense, which is 5th in the league with 386 yards per game. And when you mention the phrase must-win with a seasoned group like San Diego, you're putting a lot of pressure on a team that is likely to repsond after the way it has lost the first two weeks.

Quarterback Philip Rivers has been sharp in both losses, definite plus in our favor since he is the leader in the group. He's been the one who has provided San Diego with its six offensive touchdowns, using that right arm of his, and that will help against the 14th ranked passing defense.

San Diego has covered seven of its last eight at home, while the straight-up winner in the series is on an 8-1 ATS run. I do believe San Diego gets the straight-up win, so bank on the Bolts to nab the cover as well.

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  smile Anybody have vegas-runner mlb picks for tonight ?  Thanks !!!

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VEGAS RUNNER

Mon, 09/22/08 - 8:15 PMvegas-runner | MLB Money Line Double-Dime Bet
907 ARI (-120) Sportsbetting.com vs 908 STL
Analysis: ** 2* ML WAGER ** (Webb vs Wellemeyer)




Mon, 09/22/08 - 7:05 PMvegas-runner | MLB Money Line Double-Dime Bet
909 KAN (+110) Sportsbetting.com vs 910 DET
Analysis:
** 2* ML WAGER ** (Meche vs Miner)





Please Check Back for Possible 3* UPGRADE...if this wasn't the Final Week of the Season, it would definately qualify, although we do have a good reason to believe we will get a full effort from KC who can actually pass Detroit in the standings with a good series...and as much as Detoit don't want to end up in last place in the division either, they had World Series hopes at the start of the year so ending up in 4th instead of 5th has never been their goal, VR...






Mon, 09/22/08 - 7:05 PMvegas-runner | MLB RunLine Double-Dime Bet
912 BOS -1.5 (-125) Sportsbetting.com vs 911 CLE
Analysis:
** 2* RUN-LINE WAGER ** (-1.5 & -125...Beckett vs Jackson)



This is a great spot to lay the RL and try to avoid the Big Chalk and I suggest getting down quickly because this should only rise...I expect the Red Sox, who watched the Yanks game last night after their win to see if they would clinch the playoffs to come into tonight ready to take care of business themselves...I think Ortiz said it best when he stated, he and the team would like to clinch this one at their Home Park themselves, rather than have to celebrate it in their private homes...where the champagne can get messy...VR




Mon, 09/22/08 - 7:05 PMvegas-runner | MLB Money Line Single-Dime Bet
904 PHI (+170) Bodog vs 903 ATL
Analysis:
* All-Access 1* MLB PARLAY BET *

TM 1: PHILLIES -169 (Happ vs Jurrjens)



TM 2: LA ANGELS -144 (Santana vs Row-Smith)



1 UNIT PARLAY BET to WIN 1.7 UNITS (+170)






Based on the Fact we just don't have as much Data on Happ, and Santana is going on 7 Days rest...I decided to down-grade the Parlay to 1unit and make it an All-Access Wager...VR



vegas-runner | NFL Side Triple-Dime Bet
422 SDC 8.0 (-110) SportBet vs 421 NYJ
Analysis: *** NFL 3* "Prime-Time" GAME of the WEEK ***




Mon, 09/22/08 - 8:35 PMvegas-runner | NFL Total Triple-Dime Bet
422 SDC / 421 NYJ Under 46.5 Bodog
Analysis:
*** MNF 3* TOTAL PLAY of the DAY ***



Guys, I highly suggest waiting to take this Total because the Number we are really hoping for is 47...and as long as we can get 46.5...We are going to BUY the 1/2 Point to take it to 47...The only reason that I haven't adjusted it here yet is because most shops are still using 46...but with all the OVER work that will be coming in as bettors get down...We really expect them to have to move it...And we may get 47 without even having to buy it...VR



Since I am not in the office late...I will not be able to adjust the total for Grading purposes Tonight, but will do so later if the concensus does as we expect...VR

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  wink Thanks a lot panos1 !  Have a nice evening and good luck for tonight !!!! wink

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panos1 wrote:


VEGAS RUNNER


vegas-runner | NFL Side Triple-Dime Bet
422 SDC 8.0 (-110) SportBet vs 421 NYJ
Analysis: *** NFL 3* "Prime-Time" GAME of the WEEK ***




Mon, 09/22/08 - 8:35 PMvegas-runner | NFL Total Triple-Dime Bet
422 SDC / 421 NYJ Under 46.5 Bodog
Analysis:
*** MNF 3* TOTAL PLAY of the DAY ***



Guys, I highly suggest waiting to take this Total because the Number we are really hoping for is 47...and as long as we can get 46.5...We are going to BUY the 1/2 Point to take it to 47...The only reason that I haven't adjusted it here yet is because most shops are still using 46...but with all the OVER work that will be coming in as bettors get down...We really expect them to have to move it...And we may get 47 without even having to buy it...VR



Since I am not in the office late...I will not be able to adjust the total for Grading purposes Tonight, but will do so later if the concensus does as we expect...VR

Thanks. What I was looking for. I got it at 45.5. Could have waited. Seen it go to 46.5 and now its back down to 46.

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Re: Monday Premium Service Plays


Dave Cokin

3* Jets


Jim Feist

5* Jets


Scott Spreitzer

Jets / Chargers Under

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