Wednesday Service Plays

Re: Wednesday Service Plays

Oscarxena Sports

Baltimore +1.62 (3 Unit Play)

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Re: Wednesday Service Plays

NSA

20* K St
10* K St/Louv Over
10* Brewers
10* Red Sox
10* Hou/Fla under
10* SF/Az Under

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Re: Wednesday Service Plays

Andre Gomes

Double-Dime Bet

WAS / NYM Over 9

The Mets who had a good advantage of 3 games over the Phillies in the NL East lead have suddenly stopped playing baseball by losing 4 of their last 5 games and they are now once again behind the Phillies and with a little advantage over the Brewers in the fight for the NL Wildcard. Yesterday the team went scoreless with just .133 BA and .295 OPS! Terrible numbers for a team which is trying to reach the postseason. Today I expect a bounce back from the offense of the Mets, as the spot is much different. In the two defeats of the Mets, they face 2 pitchers who are in a good moment and are able to go deep into the games, while making good quality starts. That was the case of Lannan and Perez yesterday. Today the scenario will be much different.

The Nationals will send Shairon Martis, who will make his third start for the Nats. Martis allowed 2 runs in each game, while pitching for 5 innings in both outings against the Braves and the Marlins. However there are some details that shows us that under pressure, Martis will struggle a lot. The truth is that Marquis allowed 5 walks against the Braves and 3 walks against the Marlins. Take also note that from the first game to the second, he had 7 days of rest and for this game he had just 4 days and on his last outing against the Marlins, he threw more than 100 pitches, in an high count number game. So, I expect the offense of the Mets to take advantage of this, especially as they are 20-11 Over after scoring 2 runs or less this season.

On the other side, I also expect the Nationals to be better offensively today. First of all, the team isn't the same weak offensive club that they were a couple of months ago. Just look that even though they are 2-5 in their last 7 games, they averaged 5.1 runs and .354 BA! Today the Mets will send Brandon Michael Knight, who has just made one outing this season as a SP, in July, where he allowed 4 runs and 7 hits in 5 innings against the Cardinals. After this outing, he has played as a reliever in 2 outings and as a matter of fact, on his last outing, he faced the Nationals, where he struggled a lot in just 1 inning, allowing 1 run and 1 walk, while needing 24 pitches to close the inning! So, I also expect Knight to struggle today and the Nationals should be able to take advantage of this.

The Over is 5-0 in the last 5 Games of the Nationals in a Game 3 of a series and 7-2-1 in the Nats last 10 home games. It's also curious to see that Washington is 10-1 Over in home games after allowing 2 runs or less in two straight games over the last 3 seasons. I expect a game with a lot of runs, as the team won't have good pitchers on the field and the fact that the two previous games of this series have been such low scoring affairs has sent this line from 9,5 to 9 runs, which gave a lot more value than the line had when it was opened. On my research, I've also found out a really interesting trend for the over:

All teams where the total is 9 to 9,5 and are off from 2 straight upset wins over division rivals as a home underdog and have just won 38% to 46% of their games on the season are 31-9 Over since 1997.

So, I'm taking the over in here. Double Dime Play

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Re: Wednesday Service Plays

Stan Sharp

Double-Dime Bet

TOR -1.5 (+115)  vs BAL

Stan notes that Baltimore pulled the upset as a road dog last night and when they have done that against a division rival they are just 5-25 in their next game the last 3 years. TAKE TORONTO(-1.5 RUNS) as STAN'S REVENGE GAME OF THE MONTH and make them a DOUBLE DIME PLAY.

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Re: Wednesday Service Plays

Jeffersonsports

MLB Early Release
St. Louis-106

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Re: Wednesday Service Plays

Indian Cowboy

Louisville +4 (3 units) (POD)

You might want to look at the ML for this game. But, given that I will always take the points in any given wager as some points are better than none, I will take it at the spread. After all, one can see this game coming down to a field goal or a push. But, I have always believed in taking dogs that can win outright, unless in cases of revenge where my research points the other way. As per this game, this is a ballgame that Louisville can win outright. Why not? Over 70% of the public is on the visiting Kansas State and no one is giving Louisville a chance here. I'm not saying shady things happen on weekday football. But, I'm saying that on a weekday football game, when the whole world is on one team, and over 70% are riding that team, and making it a road team on top of that, I can see the Cardinals feeling disrespected here and getting fired up at home. Look, it is now or never for Louisville in many ways. Their coaching staff is on the hot seat, this team has started off the season getting pounded by in-sate rivals Kentucky at home scoring just 2 points. Remember, they came back fired up and put up 50+ points on Tennessee Tech showing that they can still be the Louisville of recent memory. Yes, Kansas State has won 2 ballgames big, by scores of 69-10 and 45-6. But, they played a bunch of scrub teams in Montana State and North Texas. Now, this team has to play on the road and their first road game at that. I'm a fan of Big 12 Football in Kansas State, but this just sets up to be a public burial today. No one is respecting Louisville here, and although K-State is a talented team, this game is on National night-time television and I can see Louisville getting pumped for this game. I'll take my chances on the home team that is feeling disrespected for a possible outright here.

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Cajun-Sports CFB Executive Report

2 STAR SELECTION

LOUISVILLE +4 over Kansas State

The Wildcats make their first road trip of the season when they take on the Cardinals in a Wednesday night game on ESPN 2.

Kansas State comes into this one 2-0 after blowing out 2 clearly inferior teams in Montana State and North Texas. The Wildcats have been able to do what just about whatever they want on both sides of the ball in the early going. Now, they make a huge step up in competition.

After a terrible loss to rival Kentucky to start the season, the Cardinals came storming back with a 51-10 rout of Tennessee Tech last week. Heading into this season, the team had dropped the game following a loss to Kentucky four of the last five times. Last season's team fell to a woeful Syracuse squad. But this victory wasn't just a narrow win over a less-powerful squad, it was the blowout victory the team sorely needed to erase the taste of a bitter defeat to an archrival.

Of course, the 1-AA Eagles aren't a very good measuring stick in a lot of ways, and the blowout victory doesn't mean the next stop for the Cardinals is a BCS appearance, but considering that a year ago Louisville followed the Kentucky loss by going into a tailspin that left the team out of the bowl season entirely, it's a good sign for coach Steve Kragthorpe that this year's disappointment proved easier to recover from.

Both coaches and players said that the team came to practice determined to show that it was better than it showed in the season-opening defeat. That mission was accomplished on Saturday.

"Last season, after a loss like that, you'd have seen some heads hanging. But this year everybody was upbeat. We have this thing in the locker room we just want to get better, win, lose or draw." Louisville defensive lineman Earl Heyman told the Louisville Courier-Journal.

Louisville's defense played well again this week and has been very effective for seven of the eight quarters this season. It held the Eagles to 33 yards rushing and put points on the scoreboard for the second week a row with a fumble recovery for a touchdown.

It was the offense that cost the Cardinals the game against the Kentucky Wildcats, and it should be much stronger here against these Wildcats. It’s been several seasons since Louisville has been a home underdog, and they will certainly take notice of the line here. As it is, they are 4-0 ATS as a home underdog since 1998. Meanwhile, Kansas State has little business in this role as they are a horrible 0-7 ATS (-18.4 ppg!) as a road favorite/pick ‘em since 2003.

That’s just the tip of the iceberg as far as ugly numbers go in regards to the visitors here. The Wildcats hosted the Cardinals 2 years ago, and lost SU & ATS as a home dog. They have been absolutely frightening as a road revenger, going 1-10 SU (-20.6 ppg) & 0-11 ATS (-14.7 ppg) on the road seeking revenge for a SU loss of 4+ points since 1995, including 0-6 ATS (-21.8 ppg) under Ron Prince.

Meanwhile, non-Saturday home teams have been tremendous against non-conference opponents and coming off a non-conference victory. This is detailed by an NCAA Football POWER SYSTEM which notes:

Play ON a non-Saturday non-conference home team (not a favorite of 11+ points or underdog of more than 10 points) off a non-OT SU win vs. an opponent off a non-conference game.

Since 2001, these teams are a perfect 11-0 SU & ATS, crushing the spread by more than 17 ppg on average. Louisville qualifies as a PLAY ON team, and we also note that non-Saturday home teams at the right price have successfully used a non-lined home game as a helpful tune-up for the highlighted contest. Non-Saturday home teams (not a favorite of 39+ points or underdog of less than 8 points) off a non-lined home SU win are 8-0 SU & ATS over the past several seasons, beating the spread by more than 2 TDs per game on average.

Finally, we generally look to play AGAINST a team that is a public consensus play, especially in TV games. These teams backed by 70%+ of the betting masses at contest sites and sportsbooks are fool's gold. When 7 out of 10 bettors think they know more than the oddsmakers, it's time to get out of the way and allow the sportsbooks to show why once again how they stay in business.

Here, at the numerous sportsbooks we monitor, we have more than 75% of the public bets going for the Wildcats. We’ll gladly take the points, fade the public, and back the home underdog Cardinals to at least cover the spread in what looks to be a razor-close contest.

PROJECTED FINAL SCORE: LOUISVILLE 34 KANSAS STATE 33

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Re: Wednesday Service Plays

Bob Balfe

Kansas State/Louisville Under 56

Kansas State has rolled up a ton of points early in the season, but tonight on they will face their first game away from home and their first game against an opponent any of us have heard of. Louisville is a big and physical team which is not the same high powered offense we were used to seeing with Brian Brohm. The Cardinals are going to run the ball and on defense will not allow KState to score a ton of points. I cant get over how Louisville only scored 2 pts against Kentucky. This offense will struggle against better opponents this year. 56 points is a lot of points even if Navy and Texas Tech were playing. Both teams are very young and to put up that many points we would have to see a lot of turnovers and special team plays for touchdowns. Since stuff like that is impossible to predict lets take our chances with the Under.

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Re: Wednesday Service Plays

Matty O'Shea

Triple-Dime Bet

STL (-120) vs CIN

Cincinnati's Aaron Harang is just 1-9 against NL Central opponents this season with a 6.14 ERA. That includes an 0-2 mark and 10.61 ERA against the Cardinals, who will be looking to end a season-high six-game losing streak. St. Louis has won three of the last four road starts for Todd Wellemeyer, and he is 4-1 with a 2.87 ERA overall away from home this season. Another key factor here is that Cardinals slugger Albert Pujols is making a late run at the NL MVP award and has battered both Harang and the Reds during his career. Pujols is hitting .356 (11-for-31) vs. Cincy this season and .359 (14-for-39) lifetime vs. Harang. He is also hitting .416 in his last 26 games overall. Look for Pujols to be the difference yet again on Wednesday and bet the Cardinals to end their skid as my Triple Dime NL Favorite Play O' the Month

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Re: Wednesday Service Plays

AJ Apollo

3* Minnesota Twins

3* Pittsburgh Pirates

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Re: Wednesday Service Plays

PlusLineSports

2 games today!!

Game # 1

LA Dodgers vs Pittsburg

LAA Dodgers -1.5


Game #2

Minnesota vs Cleveland

Cleveland-1.5

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EZWINNERS

3 STAR: (960) CINCINNATI (+$105) over St. Louis
(Action) (Risking $300 to win $315)

3 STAR: (962) WASHINGTON (+$108) over NY Mets
(Action) (Risking $300 to win $324)

3 STAR: (971) MINNESOTA (+$156) over Cleveland
(Listing Baker only) (Risking $300 to win $468)

3 STAR: (980) OAKLAND (+$107) over LA Angels
(Action) (Risking $300 to win $321)

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Re: Wednesday Service Plays

Wayne Root

Chairman-Cubs
Millionaire- Rays

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Wizard of Odds Guaranteed Selections

TOP RATED BASEBALL SURE THING PLAY OF THE DAY
Kansas City w/Meche -154

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Re: Wednesday Service Plays

Steam On-Line Guaranteed Selections

5000* INSIDE STEAM BASEBALL WINNER
Florida w/Nolasco -175

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Elite Sports Circle Guaranteed Selections

5000* ELITE COLLEGE FOOTBALL WEDNESDAY NIGHT TOTALS WINNER
Kansas St and Louisville UNDER 56

5000* ELITE COLLEGE FOOTBALL WEDNESDAY NIGHT WINNER
LOUISVILLE +4

5000* ELITE BASEBALL GAME OF THE MONTH WINNER
Cleveland w/Lee -165

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Re: Wednesday Service Plays

Vegas Runner

Kansas St. -4.0 (-120) vs Louisville  2* WAGER  (Buy the 1/2 to -4)

MIL (-101) vs CHC  MLB 3* GAME of the WEEK

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Winners Inc. Guaranteed Selections

5000* GRAND SLAM BASEBALL DOMINATOR
Kansas City w/Meche -158

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