NFL - Week 3 Trends

NFL - Week 3 Trends

Cincinnati Bengals vs. New York Giants

Oddsmakers currently have the Giants listed as 13½-point favorites versus the Bengals, while the game's total has not yet been posted.

The Bengals lost to Tennessee 24-7 as a pick'em in Week 2. The combined score fell UNDER the posted over/under total (37).

Carson Palmer passed for only 134 yards with two interceptions for Cincinnati and Chris Perry racked up 64 yards on 21 carries with a touchdown.

The Giants defeated St. Louis 41-13 as an 8-point favorite in Week 2. The combined score went OVER the posted over/under total (43.5).

Eli Manning threw for 260 yards with three touchdowns for the Giants, while Ahmad Bradshaw rushed for 52 yards on five carries with a touchdown and he also caught a touchdown pass in the win.

Current streak:
Cincinnati has lost 2 straight games.
New York has won 2 straight games.

Team records:
Cincinnati: 0-2 SU, 0-2 ATS
New York: 2-0 SU, 2-0 ATS

Cincinnati most recently:
When playing in September are 6-4
When playing on turf are 5-5
After being outgained are 4-6
When playing outside the division are 4-6

New York most recently:
When playing in September are 5-5
When playing on turf are 6-4
After outgaining opponent are 8-2
When playing outside the division are 8-2

A few trends to consider:
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Cincinnati's last 8 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Cincinnati's last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Cincinnati's last 5 games when playing NY Giants
Cincinnati is 7-14 SU in its last 21 games
NY Giants are 5-0 SU in their last 5 games
NY Giants are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of the NY Giants last 5 games when playing Cincinnati
The total has gone OVER in 5 of the NY Giants last 7 games at home

Next up:
Cincinnati home to Cleveland, Sunday, September 28
NY Giants home to Seattle, Sunday, October 5


Arizona Cardinals vs. Washington Redskins

Oddsmakers currently have the Redskins listed as 3-point favorites versus the Cardinals, while the game's total has not yet been posted.

The Cardinals crushed Miami 31-10 as a 6.5-point favorite in Week 2. The combined score went OVER the posted over/under total (40.5).

Kurt Warner passed for 361 yards with three touchdowns for Arizona, while Anquan Boldin hauled in six passes for 140 yards with three touchdowns in the win.

The Redskins defeated New Orleans 29-24 as a 1-point favorite in Week 2. The combined score went OVER the posted over/under total (43.5).

Clinton Portis rushed for 96 yards on 21 carries with two touchdowns for Washington, while ason Campbell passed for 321 yards with a touchdown.

Current streak:
Arizona has won 2 straight games.

Team records:
Arizona: 2-0 SU, 2-0 ATS
Washington: 1-1 SU, 1-1 ATS

Arizona most recently:
When playing in September are 5-5
When playing on grass are 6-4
After outgaining opponent are 5-5
When playing outside the division are 6-4

Washington most recently:
When playing in September are 6-4
When playing on grass are 5-5
After outgaining opponent are 4-6
When playing outside the division are 5-5

A few trends to consider:
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Arizona's last 6 games
Arizona is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 10 of Arizona's last 13 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Arizona's last 9 games when playing Washington
Washington is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Arizona
Washington is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Arizona
Washington is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games at home
Washington is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games

Next up:
Arizona at NY Jets, Sunday, September 28
Washington at Dallas, Sunday, September 28


Houston Texans vs. Tennessee Titans

Oddsmakers currently have the Titans listed as 5½-point favorites versus the Texans, while the game's total has not yet been posted.

The Titans defeated Cincinnati 24-7 as a pick'em in Week 2. The combined score fell UNDER the posted over/under total (37).

Kerry Collins threw for 128 yards with a touchdown strike to Justin Gage for Tennessee, while Chris Johnson rushed for 109 yards on 19 carries in the win.

Current streak:
Tennessee has won 2 straight games.

Team records:
Houston: 0-1 SU, 0-1 ATS
Tennessee: 2-0 SU, 2-0 ATS

Houston most recently:
When playing in September are 2-8
When playing on grass are 5-5
After being outgained are 4-6
When playing within the division are 3-7

Tennessee most recently:
When playing in September are 5-5
When playing on grass are 6-4
After outgaining opponent are 4-6
When playing within the division are 8-2

A few trends to consider:
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Houston's last 7 games when playing Tennessee
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Houston's last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Houston's last 11 games on the road
Houston is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Tennessee
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Tennessee's last 5 games
Tennessee is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Houston
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Tennessee's last 7 games when playing Houston
Tennessee is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games

Next up:
Houston at Jacksonville, Sunday, September 28
Tennessee home to Minnesota, Sunday, September 28


Miami Dolphins vs. New England Patriots

Oddsmakers currently have the Patriots listed as 13-point favorites versus the Dolphins, while the game's total has not yet been posted.

The Dolphins lost to Arizona 31-10 as a 6.5-point underdog in Week 2. The combined score went OVER the posted over/under total (40.5).

Chad Pennington threw for 112 yards with no touchdowns for Miami and Ronne Brown rushed for 25 yards and a touchdown on 11 carries.

The Patriots defeated the Jets 19-10 as a 1-point favorite in Week 2. The combined score fell UNDER the posted over/under total (37.5).

Stephen Gostkowski kicked four field goals in the game and Matt Cassel passed for 165 yards with no touchdowns in the win.

Current streak:
Miami has lost 2 straight games.
New England has won 2 straight games.

Team records:
Miami: 0-2 SU, 0-2 ATS
New England: 2-0 SU, 1-1 ATS

Miami most recently:
When playing in September are 2-8
When playing on turf are 1-9
After being outgained are 1-9
When playing within the division are 1-9

New England most recently:
When playing in September are 8-2
When playing on turf are 10-0
After outgaining opponent are 9-1
When playing within the division are 8-2

A few trends to consider:
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Miami's last 7 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Miami's last 6 games when playing New England
Miami is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
Miami is 5-11-2 ATS in its last 18 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of New England's last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of New England's last 5 games at home
New England is 20-1 SU in its last 21 games
New England is 15-1 SU in its last 16 games at home

Next up:
Miami home to San Diego, Sunday, October 5
New England at San Francisco, Sunday, October 5


Oakland Raiders vs. Buffalo Bills

Oddsmakers currently have the Bills listed as 9½-point favorites versus the Raiders, while the game's total has not yet been posted.

The Raiders upset Kansas City 23-8 as a 3.5-point underdog in Week 2. The combined score fell UNDER the posted over/under total (36).

Darren McFadden rushed for 164 yards on 21 carries with a touchdown for Oakland, while Michael Bush rushed for 90 yards on 16 carries with a touchdown.

The Bills defeated Jacksonville 20-16 as a 4-point underdog in Week 2. The combined score fell UNDER the posted over/under total (37).

Trent Edwards passed for 239 yards with a touchdown for Buffalo, while Marshawn Lynch rushed for 59 yards and a touchdown on 19 carries.

Current streak:
Buffalo has won 2 straight games.

Team records:
Oakland: 1-1 SU, 1-1 ATS
Buffalo: 2-0 SU, 2-0 ATS

Oakland most recently:
When playing in September are 3-7
When playing on turf are 0-10
After outgaining opponent are 3-7
When playing outside the division are 2-8

Buffalo most recently:
When playing in September are 4-6
When playing on turf are 6-4
After outgaining opponent are 8-2
When playing outside the division are 5-5

A few trends to consider:
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Oakland's last 5 games on the road
Oakland is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Buffalo
Oakland is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Buffalo
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Oakland's last 9 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Buffalo's last 5 games at home
Buffalo is 11-3 ATS in its last 14 games at home
Buffalo is 11-4 ATS in its last 15 games
Buffalo is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games at home

Next up:
Oakland home to San Diego, Sunday, September 28
Buffalo at St. Louis, Sunday, September 28


Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs. Chicago Bears

Oddsmakers currently have the Bears listed as 3-point favorites versus the Buccaneers, while the game's total has not yet been posted.

The Buccaneers defeated Atlanta 24-9 as a 7.5-point favorite in Week 2. The combined score fell UNDER the posted over/under total (37.5).

Earnest Graham rumbled for 116 yards and a touchdown on 15 carries for Tampa Bay, while Brian Griese passed for 160 yards with a touchdown in the win.

The Bears lost to Carolina 20-17 as a 3-point underdog in Week 2. The combined score fell UNDER the posted over/under total (37.5).

Kyle Orton passed for 149 yards for Chicago and Matt Forte rushed for 92 yards on 23 carries in the loss.

Team records:
Tampa Bay: 1-1 SU, 1-1 ATS
Chicago: 1-1 SU, 1-0-1 ATS

Tampa Bay most recently:
When playing in September are 5-5
When playing on grass are 5-5
After outgaining opponent are 5-5
When playing outside the division are 4-6

Chicago most recently:
When playing in September are 5-5
When playing on grass are 5-5
After outgaining opponent are 4-6
When playing outside the division are 5-5

A few trends to consider:
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Tampa Bay's last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Tampa Bay's last 5 games when playing Chicago
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Tampa Bay's last 5 games when playing on the road against Chicago
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Tampa Bay's last 8 games
Chicago is 19-4 SU in its last 23 games when playing at home against Tampa Bay
Chicago is 4-0-1 ATS in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Chicago's last 5 games when playing Tampa Bay
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Chicago's last 5 games when playing at home against Tampa Bay

Next up:
Tampa Bay home to Green Bay, Sunday, September 28
Chicago home to Philadelphia, Sunday, September 28


Kansas City Chiefs vs. Atlanta Falcons

Oddsmakers currently have the Falcons listed as 5-point favorites versus the Chiefs, while the game's total has not yet been posted.

The Chiefs lost to Oakland 23-8 as a 3.5-point underdog in Week 2. The combined score fell UNDER the posted over/under total (36).

Tyler Thigpen replaced the injured Damon Huard for Kansas City and passed for 151 yards with a touchdown and an interception, while Larry Johnson was held to 22 yards on 12 carries in the loss.

The Falcons lost to Tampa Bay 24-9 as a 7.5-point underdog in Week 2. The combined score fell UNDER the posted over/under total (37.5).

Matt Ryan threw for 158 yards with two interceptions for Atlanta, while Michael Turner was held to 43 yards on 14 carries.

Current streak:
Kansas City has lost 2 straight games.

Team records:
Kansas City: 0-2 SU, 1-1 ATS
Atlanta: 1-1 SU, 1-1 ATS

Kansas City most recently:
When playing in September are 3-7
When playing on turf are 1-9
After being outgained are 3-7
When playing outside the division are 2-8

Atlanta most recently:
When playing in September are 5-5
When playing on turf are 4-6
After being outgained are 1-9
When playing outside the division are 4-6

A few trends to consider:
Kansas City is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Kansas City's last 6 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Kansas City's last 5 games
Kansas City is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Atlanta
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Atlanta's last 5 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Atlanta's last 9 games
Atlanta is 3-6 ATS in its last 9 games
Atlanta is 4-9 SU in its last 13 games at home

Next up:
Kansas City home to Denver, Sunday, September 28
Atlanta at Carolina, Sunday, September 28


Carolina Panthers vs. Minnesota Vikings

Oddsmakers currently have the Vikings listed as 3½-point favorites versus the Panthers, while the game's total has not yet been posted.

The Panthers defeated Chicago 20-17 as a 3-point favorite in Week 2. The combined score fell UNDER the posted over/under total (37.5).

Jonathan Stewart rushed for 77 yards on 14 carries with a pair of touchdowns for Carolina, while Jake Delhomme passed for 128 yards with an interception.

The Vikings lost to Indianapolis 18-15 as a 1-point underdog on Sunday. The combined score fell UNDER the posted over/under total (43.5).

Adrian Peterson rushed for 160 yards on 29 carries for Minnesota, while Tarvaris Jackson threw for 130 yards with no touchdowns.

Current streak:
Carolina has won 2 straight games.
Minnesota has lost 2 straight games.

Team records:
Carolina: 2-0 SU, 1-0-1 ATS
Minnesota: 0-2 SU, 0-2 ATS

Carolina most recently:
When playing in September are 5-5
When playing on turf are 7-3
After being outgained are 6-4
When playing outside the division are 5-5

Minnesota most recently:
When playing in September are 4-6
When playing on turf are 5-5
After being outgained are 5-5
When playing outside the division are 4-6

A few trends to consider:
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Carolina's last 6 games when playing on the road against Minnesota
Carolina is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
Carolina is 4-0-1 ATS in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Carolina's last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Minnesota's last 6 games when playing at home against Carolina
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Minnesota's last 8 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Minnesota's last 7 games when playing Carolina
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Minnesota's last 6 games

Next up:
Carolina home to Atlanta, Sunday, September 28
Minnesota at Tennessee, Sunday, September 28


New Orleans Saints vs. Denver Broncos


Oddsmakers currently have the Broncos listed as 6-point favorites versus the Saints, while the game's total has not yet been posted.

The Saints lost to Washington 29-24 as a 1-point underdog in Week 2. The combined score went OVER the posted over/under total (43.5).

Drew Brees threw for 216 yards with a touchdown and two interceptions for New Orleans and Reggie Bush returned a punt 55 yards for a touchdown.

The Broncos defeated San Diego 39-38 as a 1-point favorite in Week 2. The combined score went OVER the posted over/under total (46.5).

Jay Cutler passed for 350 yards with four touchdowns and an interception for Denver, while Brandon Marshall caught 18 passes for 166 yards with a touchdown in the win.

Current streak:
Denver has won 2 straight games.

Team records:
New Orleans: 1-1 SU, 1-1 ATS
Denver: 2-0 SU, 1-0-1 ATS

New Orleans most recently:
When playing in September are 4-6
When playing on grass are 3-7
After being outgained are 6-4
When playing outside the division are 4-6

Denver most recently:
When playing in September are 7-3
When playing on grass are 6-4
After outgaining opponent are 4-6
When playing outside the division are 4-6

A few trends to consider:
The total has gone OVER in 5 of New Orleans's last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of New Orleans's last 5 games when playing Denver
The total has gone OVER in 6 of New Orleans's last 8 games on the road
New Orleans is 7-14 ATS in its last 21 games
Denver is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Denver's last 5 games when playing New Orleans
The total has gone OVER in 11 of Denver's last 14 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 17 of Denver's last 23 games

Next up:
New Orleans home to San Francisco, Sunday, September 28
Denver at Kansas City, Sunday, September 28


Detroit Lions vs. San Francisco 49ers

Oddsmakers currently have the 49ers listed as 4-point favorites versus the Lions, while the game's total has not yet been posted.

The Lions lost to Green Bay 48-25 as a 3-point underdog in Week 2. The combined score went OVER the posted over/under total (47).

Jon Kitna passed for 276 yards with two touchdowns and three interceptions for Detroit and Calvin Johnson caught six passes for 129 yards with a pair of touchdowns.

The 49ers upset Seattle 33-30 as a 6.5-point underdog in Week 2. The combined score went OVER the posted over/under total (38).

J.T. O'Sullivan passed for 321 yards with a touchdown for San Francisco and Frank Gore rushed for 61 yards and a touchdown on 19 carries.

Current streak:
Detroit has lost 2 straight games.

Team records:
Detroit: 0-2 SU, 0-2 ATS
San Francisco: 1-1 SU, 1-1 ATS

Detroit most recently:
When playing in September are 3-7
When playing on grass are 2-8
After being outgained are 5-5
When playing outside the division are 3-7

San Francisco most recently:
When playing in September are 4-6
When playing on grass are 3-7
After outgaining opponent are 6-4
When playing outside the division are 2-8

A few trends to consider:
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Detroit's last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Detroit's last 8 games
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Detroit's last 7 games when playing on the road against San Francisco
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Detroit's last 5 games when playing San Francisco
San Francisco is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Detroit
San Francisco is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Detroit
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of San Francisco's last 7 games when playing at home against Detroit
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of San Francisco's last 5 games at home

Next up:
Detroit home to Chicago, Sunday, October 5
San Francisco at New Orleans, Sunday, September 28

mvbski
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Re: NFL - Week 3 Trends

St. Louis Rams vs. Seattle Seahawks

Oddsmakers currently have the Seahawks listed as 10-point favorites versus the Rams, while the game's total has not yet been posted.

The Rams lost to the Giants 41-13 as an 8-point underdog in Week 2. The combined score went OVER the posted over/under total (43.5).

Marc Bulger passed for 177 yards with a touchdown and an interception for St. Louis, while Torry Holt caught six passes for 76 yards with a touchdown.

The Seahawks lost to San Francisco 33-30 as a 6.5-point favorite in Week 2. The combined score went OVER the posted over/under total (38).

Julius Jones rushed for 127 yards on 26 carries with a touchdown for Seattle, while Matt Hasselbeck threw for 189 yards with two interceptions.

Current streak:
St. Louis has lost 2 straight games.
Seattle has lost 2 straight games.

Team records:
St. Louis: 0-2 SU, 0-2 ATS
Seattle: 0-2 SU, 0-2 ATS

St. Louis most recently:
When playing in September are 3-7
When playing on turf are 2-8
After being outgained are 1-9
When playing within the division are 2-8

Seattle most recently:
When playing in September are 7-3
When playing on turf are 7-3
After being outgained are 6-4
When playing within the division are 5-5

A few trends to consider:
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of St. Louis's last 9 games on the road
St. Louis is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Seattle
St. Louis is 3-6 ATS in its last 9 games on the road
St. Louis is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Seattle
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Seattle's last 5 games
Seattle is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing St. Louis
Seattle is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games at home
Seattle is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games at home

Next up:
St. Louis home to Buffalo, Sunday, September 28
Seattle at NY Giants, Sunday, October 5


Cleveland Browns vs. Baltimore Ravens

Oddsmakers currently have the Ravens listed as 2½-point favorites versus the Browns, while the game's total has not yet been posted.

The Browns lost to Pittsburgh 10-6 as a 6.5-point underdog in Week 2. The combined score fell UNDER the posted over/under total (43).

Derek Anderson threw for 166 yards with two interceptions for Cleveland and Kellen Winslow caught seven passes for 55 yards.

Current streak:
Cleveland has lost 2 straight games.

Team records:
Cleveland: 0-2 SU, 1-1 ATS
Baltimore: 1-0 SU, 1-0 ATS

Cleveland most recently:
When playing in September are 2-8
When playing on turf are 4-6
After being outgained are 6-4
When playing within the division are 3-7

Baltimore most recently:
When playing in September are 6-4
When playing on turf are 4-6
After outgaining opponent are 6-4
When playing within the division are 4-6

A few trends to consider:
Cleveland is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Baltimore
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Cleveland's last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Cleveland's last 5 games when playing on the road against Baltimore
Cleveland is 10-3 ATS in its last 13 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Baltimore's last 5 games at home
Baltimore is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Cleveland
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Baltimore's last 5 games when playing at home against Cleveland
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Baltimore's last 8 games

Next up:
Cleveland at Cincinnati, Sunday, September 28
Baltimore at Pittsburgh, Monday, September 29


Jacksonville Jaguars vs. Indianapolis Colts

Oddsmakers currently have the Colts listed as 6-point favorites versus the Jaguars, while the game's total has not yet been posted.

The Jaguars lost to Buffalo 20-16 as a 4-point favorite in Week 2. The combined score fell UNDER the posted over/under total (37).

David Garrard passed for 168 yards with an interception for Jacksonville, while Maurice Jones-Drew rushed for only 17 yards on seven carries with a touchdown.

The Colts defeated Minnesota 18-15 as a 1-point favorite on Sunday. The combined score fell UNDER the posted over/under total (43.5).

Peyton Manning passed for 311 yards with a touchdown and two interceptions for the Colts and Joseph Addai rushed for 20 yards on 15 carries with a touchdown.

Current streak:
Jacksonville has lost 2 straight games.

Team records:
Jacksonville: 0-2 SU, 0-2 ATS
Indianapolis: 1-1 SU, 1-1 ATS

Jacksonville most recently:
When playing in September are 5-5
When playing on turf are 2-8
After being outgained are 6-4
When playing within the division are 3-7

Indianapolis most recently:
When playing in September are 9-1
When playing on turf are 6-4
After outgaining opponent are 8-2
When playing within the division are 6-4

A few trends to consider:
The total has gone OVER in 11 of Jacksonville's last 14 games
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Jacksonville's last 9 games on the road
Jacksonville is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Indianapolis
Jacksonville is 8-4 ATS in its last 12 games
Indianapolis is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing at home against Jacksonville
Indianapolis is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Jacksonville
Indianapolis is 16-4 SU in its last 20 games at home
Indianapolis is 19-5 SU in its last 24 games

Next up:
Jacksonville home to Houston, Sunday, September 28
Indianapolis at Houston, Sunday, October 5


Pittsburgh Steelers vs. Philadelphia Eagles

Oddsmakers currently have the Eagles listed as 3-point favorites versus the Steelers, while the game's total has not yet been posted.

The Steelers defeated Cleveland 10-6 as a 6.5-point favorite in Week 2. The combined score fell UNDER the posted over/under total (43).

Ben Roethlisberger passed for 186 yards with a touchdown for Pittsburgh, while Willie Parker rushed for 105 yards on 28 carries in the win.

Donovan McNabb went 25-for-37 for 280 yards with a touchdown for Philadelphia in its 41-37 loss to Dallas in Week 2 action on Monday night.

Dallas failed to cover as 7.5-point home favorites as the teams played over the 48-point total set by oddsmakers.

Current streak:
Pittsburgh has won 2 straight games.

Team records:
Pittsburgh: 2-0 SU, 1-1 ATS
Philadelphia: 1-1 SU, 2-0 ATS

Pittsburgh most recently:
When playing in September are 6-4
When playing on grass are 7-3
After outgaining opponent are 5-5
When playing outside the division are 4-6

Philadelphia most recently:
When playing in September are 5-5
When playing on grass are 5-5
After being outgained are 7-3
When playing outside the division are 7-3

A few trends to consider:
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Pittsburgh's last 6 games
Pittsburgh is 16-8 SU in its last 24 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Pittsburgh's last 6 games on the road
Pittsburgh is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing Philadelphia
Philadelphia is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
Philadelphia is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Philadelphia's last 5 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Philadelphia's last 6 games

Next up:
Pittsburgh home to Baltimore, Monday, September 29
Philadelphia at Chicago, Sunday, September 28


Dallas Cowboys vs. Green Bay Packers

Oddsmakers currently have the Cowboys listed as 3-point favorites versus the Packers, while the game's total has not yet been posted.

Marion Barber's 1-yard touchdown run with 4:35 remaining lifted the Cowboys to a 41-37 win over the Eagles in Week 2 action on Monday night.

Dallas failed to cover as 7.5-point home favorites as the teams played over the 48-point total set by oddsmakers.

The Packers defeated Detroit 48-25 as a 3-point favorite in Week 2. The combined score went OVER the posted over/under total (47).

Aaron Rodgers passed for 328 yards with three touchdowns for Green Bay, while Charles Woodson and Nick Collins both ran back an interception for a touchdown in the win.

Current streak:
Dallas has won 2 straight games.
Green Bay has won 2 straight games.

Team records:
Dallas: 2-0 SU, 1-1 ATS
Green Bay: 2-0 SU, 2-0 ATS

Dallas most recently:
When playing in September are 8-2
When playing on grass are 7-3
After outgaining opponent are 8-2
When playing outside the division are 9-1

Green Bay most recently:
When playing in September are 7-3
When playing on grass are 8-2
After outgaining opponent are 7-3
When playing outside the division are 8-2

A few trends to consider:
The total has gone OVER in 11 of Dallas's last 12 games when playing Green Bay
Dallas is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Dallas's last 6 games
Dallas is 10-2 SU in its last 12 games when playing Green Bay
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Green Bay's last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Green Bay's last 5 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 11 of Green Bay's last 12 games when playing Dallas
Green Bay is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games at home

Next up:
Dallas home to Washington, Sunday, September 28
Green Bay at Tampa Bay, Sunday, September 28


New York Jets vs. San Diego Chargers

Oddsmakers currently have the Chargers listed as 9-point favorites versus the Jets, while the game's total has not yet been posted.

The Jets lost to New England 19-10 as a 1-point underdog in Week 2. The combined score fell UNDER the posted over/under total (37.5).

Brett Favre threw for 181 yards with a touchdown and an interception for the Jets and Thomas Jones rushed for 70 yards on 17 carries.

The Chargers lost to Denver 39-38 as a 1-point underdog in Week 2. The combined score went OVER the posted over/under total (46.5).

Philip Rivers passes for 377 yards with three touchdowns and an interception for San Diego, while Chris Chambers had four catches for 83 yards and two touchdowns.

Current streak:
San Diego has lost 2 straight games.

Team records:
New York: 1-1 SU, 1-1 ATS
San Diego: 0-2 SU, 0-1-1 ATS

New York most recently:
When playing in September are 4-6
When playing on grass are 6-4
After being outgained are 3-7
When playing outside the division are 2-8

San Diego most recently:
When playing in September are 4-6
When playing on grass are 7-3
After being outgained are 3-7
When playing outside the division are 6-4

A few trends to consider:
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of the NY Jets last 5 games
NY Jets are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games when playing San Diego
NY Jets are 5-1 SU in their last 6 games when playing on the road against San Diego
NY Jets are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games on the road
San Diego is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games at home
San Diego is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games at home
San Diego is 9-1-1 ATS in its last 11 games
San Diego is 8-3 SU in its last 11 games

Next up:
NY Jets home to Arizona, Sunday, September 28
San Diego at Oakland, Sunday, September 28

mvbski
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Re: NFL - Week 3 Trends

TREND SHEET

ARIZONA vs. WASHINGTON
# Arizona is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Washington
# The total has gone OVER in 4 of Arizona's last 6 games when playing on the road against Washington
# Washington is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Arizona
# Washington is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Arizona

CAROLINA vs. MINNESOTA
# Carolina is 4-0-1 ATS in its last 5 games
# Carolina is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
# Minnesota is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Carolina
# The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Minnesota's last 6 games when playing at home against Carolina

CINCINNATI vs. NY GIANTS
# Cincinnati is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games
# Cincinnati is 7-14 SU in its last 21 games
# NY Giants are 1-4 SU in their last 5 games at home
# The total has gone OVER in 5 of the NY Giants last 7 games at home

HOUSTON vs. TENNESSEE
# Houston is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Tennessee
# Houston is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing Tennessee
# Tennessee is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Houston
# Tennessee is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games

KANSAS CITY vs. ATLANTA
# Kansas City is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games on the road
# Kansas City is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games on the road
# Atlanta is 3-6 ATS in its last 9 games
# Atlanta is 2-7 SU in its last 9 games

MIAMI vs. NEW ENGLAND
# Miami is 2-6 ATS in its last 8 games when playing on the road against New England
# Miami is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games when playing on the road against New England
# New England is 8-3 SU in its last 11 games when playing Miami
# The total has gone UNDER in 4 of New England's last 6 games when playing Miami

OAKLAND vs. BUFFALO
# Oakland is 3-17 SU in its last 20 games on the road
# The total has gone OVER in 4 of Oakland's last 5 games on the road
# Buffalo is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Oakland
# Buffalo is 11-3 ATS in its last 14 games at home

TAMPA BAY vs. CHICAGO
# Tampa Bay is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games on the road
# Tampa Bay is 4-14 SU in its last 18 games on the road
# Chicago is 14-6 ATS in its last 20 games when playing at home against Tampa Bay
# Chicago is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against Tampa Bay

DETROIT vs. SAN FRANCISCO
# Detroit is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games
# Detroit is 1-9 SU in its last 10 games
# San Francisco is 4-1-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against Detroit
# San Francisco is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Detroit

NEW ORLEANS vs. DENVER
# The total has gone OVER in 4 of New Orleans's last 5 games when playing Denver
# The total has gone OVER in 6 of New Orleans's last 8 games on the road
# Denver is 4-1-1 ATS in its last 6 games at home
# Denver is 4-10-1 ATS in its last 15 games at home

ST. LOUIS vs. SEATTLE
# St. Louis is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games
# St. Louis is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games
# Seattle is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against St. Louis
# Seattle is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games when playing at home against St. Louis

CLEVELAND vs. BALTIMORE
# Cleveland is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Baltimore
# The total has gone OVER in 4 of Cleveland's last 5 games when playing on the road against Baltimore
# Baltimore is 16-6 SU in its last 22 games at home
# Baltimore is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games at home

JACKSONVILLE vs. INDIANAPOLIS
# Jacksonville is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Indianapolis
# Jacksonville is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Indianapolis
# Indianapolis is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games
# Indianapolis is 19-5 SU in its last 24 games

PITTSBURGH vs. PHILADELPHIA
# Pittsburgh is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing Philadelphia
# Pittsburgh is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
# Philadelphia is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
# Philadelphia is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games

DALLAS vs. GREEN BAY
# Dallas is 1-6 ATS in its last 7 games
# Dallas is 15-4 SU in its last 19 games
# Green Bay is 2-7 ATS in its last 9 games when playing Dallas
# Green Bay is 2-10 SU in its last 12 games when playing Dallas

NY JETS vs. SAN DIEGO
# NY Jets are 5-14 SU in their last 19 games
# The total has gone UNDER in 5 of the NY Jets last 5 games
# San Diego is 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games when playing at home against NY Jets
# San Diego is 1-5 SU in their last 6 games when playing at home against NY Jets

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Re: NFL - Week 3 Trends

KANSAS CITY (0 - 2) at ATLANTA (1 - 1) - 9/21/2008, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
KANSAS CITY is 37-21 ATS (+13.9 Units) in September games since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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OAKLAND (1 - 1) at BUFFALO (2 - 0) - 9/21/2008, 1:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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HOUSTON (0 - 1) at TENNESSEE (2 - 0) - 9/21/2008, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TENNESSEE is 11-2 ATS (+8.8 Units) versus division opponents over the last 3 seasons.
TENNESSEE is 9-22 ATS (-15.2 Units) as a home favorite of 3.5 to 7 points since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
TENNESSEE is 4-0 against the spread versus HOUSTON over the last 3 seasons
TENNESSEE is 4-0 straight up against HOUSTON over the last 3 seasons
4 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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CINCINNATI (0 - 2) at NY GIANTS (2 - 0) - 9/21/2008, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NY GIANTS are 16-6 ATS (+9.4 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
NY GIANTS are 16-6 ATS (+9.4 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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ARIZONA (2 - 0) at WASHINGTON (1 - 1) - 9/21/2008, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ARIZONA is 8-20 ATS (-14.0 Units) after 2 or more consecutive wins since 1992.
ARIZONA is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in September games over the last 2 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 8-21 ATS (-15.1 Units) in home games in September games since 1992.
WASHINGTON is 43-67 ATS (-30.7 Units) as a favorite since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
ARIZONA is 1-0 against the spread versus WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
WASHINGTON is 1-0 straight up against ARIZONA over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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MIAMI (0 - 2) at NEW ENGLAND (2 - 0) - 9/21/2008, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MIAMI is 7-17 ATS (-11.7 Units) against conference opponents over the last 3 seasons.
MIAMI is 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) versus division opponents over the last 3 seasons.
MIAMI is 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) in September games over the last 3 seasons.
NEW ENGLAND is 68-46 ATS (+17.4 Units) versus division opponents since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
NEW ENGLAND is 2-2 against the spread versus MIAMI over the last 3 seasons
NEW ENGLAND is 3-1 straight up against MIAMI over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

TAMPA BAY (1 - 1) at CHICAGO (1 - 1) - 9/21/2008, 1:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
TAMPA BAY is 1-0 against the spread versus CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
CHICAGO is 1-0 straight up against TAMPA BAY over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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CAROLINA (2 - 0) at MINNESOTA (0 - 2) - 9/21/2008, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CAROLINA is 73-45 ATS (+23.5 Units) as an underdog since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
MINNESOTA is 1-0 against the spread versus CAROLINA over the last 3 seasons
MINNESOTA is 1-0 straight up against CAROLINA over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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ST LOUIS (0 - 2) at SEATTLE (0 - 2) - 9/21/2008, 4:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ST LOUIS is 5-13 ATS (-9.3 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
ST LOUIS is 67-95 ATS (-37.5 Units) against conference opponents since 1992.
ST LOUIS is 24-42 ATS (-22.2 Units) in games played on a grass field since 1992.
ST LOUIS is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in September games over the last 2 seasons.
ST LOUIS is 5-13 ATS (-9.3 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
ST LOUIS is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
ST LOUIS is 2-9 ATS (-7.9 Units) in all games where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points over the last 2 seasons.
SEATTLE is 45-70 ATS (-32.0 Units) off a division game since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
SEATTLE is 2-2 against the spread versus ST LOUIS over the last 3 seasons
SEATTLE is 4-0 straight up against ST LOUIS over the last 3 seasons
2 of 3 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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DETROIT (0 - 2) at SAN FRANCISCO (1 - 1) - 9/21/2008, 4:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DETROIT is 2-11 ATS (-10.1 Units) in road games against conference opponents over the last 3 seasons.
DETROIT is 7-19 ATS (-13.9 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 3 seasons.
DETROIT is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) as a road underdog of 3.5 to 7 points over the last 3 seasons.
DETROIT is 4-13 ATS (-10.3 Units) in road games over the last 3 seasons.
DETROIT is 4-13 ATS (-10.3 Units) in road lined games over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
SAN FRANCISCO is 1-0 against the spread versus DETROIT over the last 3 seasons
SAN FRANCISCO is 1-0 straight up against DETROIT over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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NEW ORLEANS (1 - 1) at DENVER (2 - 0) - 9/21/2008, 4:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DENVER is 11-23 ATS (-14.3 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
DENVER is 7-18 ATS (-12.8 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 3 seasons.
DENVER is 11-23 ATS (-14.3 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.
DENVER is 6-16 ATS (-11.6 Units) as a favorite over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

PITTSBURGH (2 - 0) at PHILADELPHIA (1 - 1) - 9/21/2008, 4:15 PM
Top Trends for this game.
PHILADELPHIA is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) off a division game over the last 2 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) in home games after playing on Monday night football since 1992.
PHILADELPHIA is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) off a loss against a division rival over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

JACKSONVILLE (0 - 2) at INDIANAPOLIS (1 - 1) - 9/21/2008, 4:15 PM
Top Trends for this game.
JACKSONVILLE is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in a road game where the total is between 38.5 and 42 points over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
INDIANAPOLIS is 2-2 against the spread versus JACKSONVILLE over the last 3 seasons
INDIANAPOLIS is 3-1 straight up against JACKSONVILLE over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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CLEVELAND (0 - 2) at BALTIMORE (1 - 0) - 9/21/2008, 4:15 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CLEVELAND is 13-5 ATS (+7.5 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 12-3 ATS (+8.7 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 2 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 12-2 ATS (+9.8 Units) in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 13-5 ATS (+7.5 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
BALTIMORE is 4-13 ATS (-10.3 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
BALTIMORE is 4-13 ATS (-10.3 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
CLEVELAND is 4-0 against the spread versus BALTIMORE over the last 3 seasons
BALTIMORE is 2-2 straight up against CLEVELAND over the last 3 seasons
2 of 3 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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DALLAS (2 - 0) at GREEN BAY (2 - 0) - 9/21/2008, 8:15 PM
Top Trends for this game.
GREEN BAY is 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) in games where the line is +3 to -3 over the last 2 seasons.
GREEN BAY is 15-4 ATS (+10.6 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
GREEN BAY is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
GREEN BAY is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in September games over the last 2 seasons.
GREEN BAY is 15-4 ATS (+10.6 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
DALLAS is 1-0 against the spread versus GREEN BAY over the last 3 seasons
DALLAS is 1-0 straight up against GREEN BAY over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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Monday, September 22

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NY JETS (1 - 1) at SAN DIEGO (0 - 2) - 9/22/2008, 8:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SAN DIEGO is 15-6 ATS (+8.4 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
SAN DIEGO is 13-3 ATS (+9.7 Units) against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
SAN DIEGO is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) off a division game over the last 2 seasons.
SAN DIEGO is 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
SAN DIEGO is 15-6 ATS (+8.4 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
SAN DIEGO is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) as a home favorite of 7.5 to 10 points over the last 3 seasons.
SAN DIEGO is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) in all games where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points over the last 2 seasons.
SAN DIEGO is 10-24 ATS (-16.4 Units) in home games off a loss against a division rival since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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Re: NFL - Week 3 Trends

Kansas City at Atlanta, 1:00 ET
Kansas City: 7-1 Under in September
Atlanta: 9-1 Under as a favorite

Oakland at Buffalo, 1:00 ET
Oakland: 12-4 Under off an Under
Buffalo: 8-1 ATS off SU win as an underdog

Houston at Tennessee, 1:00 ET
Houston: 6-0 Over vs. division
Tennessee: 11-2 ATS vs. division

Cincinnati at NY Giants, 1:00 ET
Cincinnati: 7-0 Under as an underdog
NY Giants: 11-3 ATS off ATS win

Arizona at Washington, 1:00 ET
Arizona: 6-0 ATS in September
Washington: 8-22 ATS at home 1st month of season

Miami at New England, 1:00 ET
Miami: 0-7 ATS in September
New England: 25-10 at home off BB Unders

Tampa Bay at Chicago, 1:00 ET
Tampa Bay: 6-11 ATS in road games
Chicago: 14-4 Over in home games

Carolina at Minnesota, 1:00 ET
Carolina: 6-0 Under after a win by 3 or less points
Minnesota: 15-3 Under as a home favorite of 3 points or less

St. Louis at Seattle, 4:05 ET
St. Louis: 3-11 ATS as an underdog
Seattle: 12-2 ATS after scoring and allowing 30 pts

Detroit at San Francisco, 4:05 ET
Detroit: 4-13 ATS in road games
San Francisco: 10-1 Over at home off SU division win as dog

New Orleans at Denver, 4:05 ET
New Orleans: 48-23 ATS Away off ATS loss
Denver: 6-16 ATS as a favorite

Pittsburgh at Philadelphia, 4:15 ET
Pittsburgh: 0-6 ATS Away off SU win
Philadelphia: 6-0 ATS off division loss

Jacksonville at Indianapolis, 4:15 ET
Jacksonville: 7-0 Over as road underdog
Indianapolis: 5-1 ATS as a home favorite of 7 points or less

Cleveland at Baltimore, 4:15 ET
Cleveland: 7-0 ATS off a SU loss
Baltimore: 0-7 ATS off home game

Dallas at Green Bay, 8:15 ET NBC
Dallas: 8-2 Over off home win
Green Bay: 6-0 ATS in September


Monday, September 22nd

NY Jets at San Diego, 8:30 ET ESPN
NY Jets: 3-0 ATS at San Diego
San Diego: 11-24 ATS off road division loss

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Re: NFL - Week 3 Trends

Chiefs (0-2) @ Falcons (1-1)-- Third different starting QB in the first three games for Chiefs; Tyler Thigpen makes first start for 0-2 Kansas City squad that was outrushed 426-127, outsacked 9-2 in its first two games- they have two TDs, nine 3/outs in 21 drives. Rookie Ryan just 22-46 passing in first two games; Falcons ran ball for 318 yards in the Week 1 win. Chiefs won five of last six series games, winning 56-10 in last meeting, at Arrowhead in '04. Falcon defense has been spunky; on six opponent drives that began in Falcon territory, they allowed just a single touchdown and three field goals.

Raiders (1-1) @ Bills (2-0)-- Buffalo beat pair of playoff teams in their 2-0 start; they averaged 7.2/7.5 yards per pass attempt first two games, as Edwards proves to be great find under center. Raiders won last week at Arrowhead, but were just 6-17/55 passing and are 8-26 on 3rd down this season. Bills allowed total of 183 yards on 48 carries, so doubtful Raiders will run for 300 yards, like they did last week. Oakland has won last four series games, but Raiders are 0-3-1 vs spread in last four road games that followed a road win the week before. Buffalo is 13-5 vs the spread in last 18 tries as a home favorite.

Texans (0-1) @ Titans (2-0)-- We learned from '06 Saints that teams do not prosper when taken out of their routine; city of Houston has been disrupted by hurricane/cleanup, so Texans already used their bye week for year. Tennessee won 10 of last 12 series games, winning last six in row, with four of last five wins by six or less points. Six of last seven series totals were 46+. Titans forced ten 3/outs, allowed just two TDs on 23 drives in their 2-0 start. Houston is 5-11 vs spread in last 16 as a road underdog. Titans are 5-12 in last 17 tries as home favorite. Texans gave up 183 rushing yards in their opening loss at Pittsburgh.

Bengals (0-2) @ Giants (2-0)-- Two teams going in different directions, as Cincy has been outrushed 406-143, scored just one TD on 23 drives, with 13 3/outs- they even gave up TD on blocked punt vs Titans last week. Bengals haven't scored a point on four drives that started in their opponents' territory. Giants outrushed first two foes 354-152, but the two opponents ae both learning new offensive systems. Giants have converted 11-23 on third down. Home side won last seven series games, with last six series totals 43+. Hard to believe team with Carson Palmer at QB would have just 216 passing yards in two games.

Cardinals (2-0) @ Redskins (1-1)-- Arizona lost 21-19 here last year, in game they outgained Redskins 364-180, but turnovers did them in. So far in 2008, Redbirds have yet to turn ball over (+5 TO ratio). Skins won six in row vs Arizona, with three of last four wins by four points or less. Warner-led Cardinal offense has six TDs, five FG tries on its 17 drives- they averaged 13 yards/pass attempt last week. Redskins were behind at half in both games so far- they tried five FGs, scored three TDs on ten drives for last week, gaining 455 yards after they gained 209 in opening loss at Meadowlands.

Dolphins (0-2) @ Patriots (2-0)-- New England will be conservative on offense with Cassel at QB; he was 16-23/156 passing last week, making lot of short throws. Patriots kicked four FGs in five trips to RED ZONE , not recipe for covering 12-point spread, but Miami allowed 13 yards a pass attempt in desert last week- their opponents are 35-48/545 thru air so far, so interesting to see if Cassel can exploit that weakness. Miami lost six of last seven visits to Foxboro, but only two of losses were by more than 10 points. Patriots are moving chains, converting 13-27 3rd down plays. Three of last four series totals were 35 or less.

Bucs (1-1) @ Bears (1-1)-- Chicago won five of last seven series games, with four of last five series totals 30 or less. Brian Greise starts against his old team; Bucs are just 9-16 against spread in last 25 tries as dog on road. Tampa outrushed foes 310-206 so far, but are just 8-26 on third down- they've had 18 penalties for 160 yards. Chicago blew 17-3 lead at Carolina last week, or else they would have opened season with pair of road wins- they're 16-31 on third down, as Orton proves to be a better fit at QB than Grossman was. Chicago is 12-10 vs spread as favorite at home the last three seasons.

Panthers (2-0) @ Vikings (0-2)-- Gus Frerotte is Viking QB for rest of season, a reaction to Minnesota kicking five FGs without scoring TD vs Colts last week. With OT McKinnie still out this week and next, unsure if less mobile Frerotte will thrive vs Panther defense that has forced 11 3/outs on 22 drives this year. Carolina gets Steve Smith back at WR-- they trailed first two games in second half; Panthers are 7-28 on third down, a stat Smith should help. Vikings have 367 rushing yards in two games, so if Carolina gets behind here, it'll be harder to catch up. Main reason Frerotte is in: Vikes tried eight FGs, two TDs on 23 drives.

Rams (0-2) @ Seahawks (0-2)-- Desperate times for both sides; Hawks signed pair of WRs during week, and they're expected to play, sign of how banged-up Seattle's offense is. Seahawk defense allowed 67 points in first two games; on nine drives that started 80+ yards from end zone, Seattle allowed two TDs, three FGs, a terrible mark. Seattle won last six series games, with three of last four wins by five or less points. Kicker Brown was signed by Rams away from Seattle; he and punter Jones are only bright spots in hideous 0-2 start. St Louis allowed 79 points in its losses, but in fairness, they opened with two of the NFL's best

Lions (0-2) @ 49ers (1-1)-- Martz was Detroit's offensive coordinator LY, got canned for not running ball enough; guaranteed he comes out on first series and runs Gore over and over- thats just the way he is, even though Detroit allowed 11.1/8.3 ypp in first two games. Lions lost 10 of last 11 series games, losing last five, all by 6+ points- they've lost last nine visits here, with only one of the nine by less than seven pts. 49ers are 6-8 vs spread as favorite last four years. Detroit is 4-12 as road dog the last 2+ years. Lions trailed 21-0 in both of first two games- in last week's loss, they rallied to lead 25-24, then lost 48-25 to Packers.

Saints (1-1) @ Broncos (2-0)-- Denver scored 75 points in winning its first two games; letdown possible here, since first two wins were vs the AFC West, and they have third division rival on deck. Broncos are just 3-10 vs spread as home favorite the last two years. Saints scored five TDs on 23 drives; Bush could run amuck vs Denver's special teams, in same way Sproles did last week. Cutler is 52-77/640 passing so far, and Denver also has 287 rushing yards- they have ten TDs on 19 drives, but we'll see how they do as favorite. New Orleans is 16-11 as road dog the last four seasons. 14 of their 23 drives started 80+ yds from goal line.

Steelers (2-0) @ Eagles (1-1)-- Home side won 11 of last 13 intrastate rivalry games; Steelers lost last seven visits here, but they also haven't been here since '97. Eagles on short week after great game Monday nite; they've scored 75 points in first two games, but are just 7-13 vs spread in last 20 tries as home fave.. Roethlisberger has sore shoulder, but Pitt is still 2-0, scoring TDs on all six RED ZONE drives- defense allowed just two TDs on 20 drives. Steelers are 1-3 vs spread as dog the last 2+ seasons. Pitt ran ball 70 times, passed just 37 in first two games; vs the Philly blitzes, will be interesting to see if they maintain that ratio.

Jaguars (0-2) @ Colts (1-1)-- Both sides really banged up, mostly on offensive line. Indy won 11 of last 14 series meetings, winning the first meeting the last six years. Jaguars lost six of last seven trips here, with five of six losses by 7+ points. Colts have just one takeaway, three TDs on 22 drives, very un-Colt like- they were down nine points at half in both games so far. They've run ball 34 times for 78 yards in two games, so they're struggling. Jags have two TDs, seven 3/outs on 22 drives so far, with only two FGs, two TDs in seven RED ZONE trips- they're 7 for 25 on third down. Offensive line woes make it hard to run an offense.

Browns (0-2) @ Ravens (1-0)-- Cleveland lost four of last five visits to Baltimore, with all four losses by 10+ points; six of last eight totals in series at this site were 40+. Browns are off to dreadful start, scoring a single TD on 16 drives, with nine 3/outs- they've been outrushed in the first two games 284-144 and averaged just 4.6 ypp in both games. How long before natives start calling for Brady Quinn? Ravens unexpectedly had last Sunday off- they beat Bengals 17-10 in Week 1, running ball for 229 yards, forcing seven 3/outs on 12 drives. Baltimore won six of last nine first meetings of season in this divisional rivalry.

Cowboys (2-0) @ Packers (2-0)-- Dallas travelling on short work week after emotional home win over divisional rival Monday; home team won last 11 series games, with Cowboys losing last five visits to Lambeau. Packers scored 72 points in winning Rodgers' first two starts; they've run ball for 262 yards, passed for 502 (8.1/8.3 ypp), converted 13-26 on 3rd down, and picked off four passes. 38 of the 44 points they gave up came in second half. Dallas scored 69 points in its two wins-- they are 7-5 vs spread as road favorite last 2+ years. Packers are 3-6-1 vs spread as home underdog last 3+ years.


Monday, September 22

Jets (1-1) @ Chargers (0-2)-- Hard to remember team starting season in more agonizing fashion than San Diego, losing opener on last play, then getting hosed by bad call at end of Denver game, losing 39-38; they have allowed 874 yards in two games, 287 on ground, with two takeaways. Injuries to Tomlinson, Merriman ain't helping. Jets have three TDs and FG on six RED ZONE drives; heard guy from NFL Films suggest on radio that Favre hasn't picked up as much of offense as you might think, and that he looks unconfortable with Jet protection schemes. Jet defense gave up three TDs on 19 drives, but this is best offense they've faced.

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Re: NFL - Week 3 Trends

Tips and Trends

Carolina Panthers at Minnesota Vikings [FOX | 1 PM ET]

Panthers: The Panthers are 2-0 after two tough wins over San Diego and Chicago and now they get star receiver Steve Smith back this week. Smith was suspended two games after punching teammate Ken Lucas but the two say they have made amends and are ready to move on. Smith will join Muhsin Muhammad and D.J. Hackett to give Carolina a formidable trio of receivers. The Panthers will present a stiff challenge for young quarterback Tarvaris Jackson. In the first two weeks, Carolina?s defense is only giving up 176 yards per game through the air.

Panthers are 4-0-1 ATS in their last 5 games overall.
The OVER is 4-0 in Carolina's last 4 road games.

Key Injuries - OT Travelle Wharton (knee) is day-to-day.

PROJECTED SCORE: 17

Vikings (-3.5, O/U 37): The Vikings came into the season with Super Bowl aspirations but are a disappointing 0-2, losing two games they could have easily won. Quarterback Tarvaris Jackson shouldered much of the blame for Minnesota's slow start, and head coach Brad Childress has made the switch to veteran Gus Frerotte for Sunday?s game. Childress is hoping Frerotte will be able to help generate more big plays out of the passing game. This is a pivotal game for the Vikings, who don?t want to start out 0-3. As always, they have been extremely tough to run the ball on, holding the opposition to 82 yards per game on the ground.

Vikings are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games overall.
Vikings are 4-10 ATS in their last 14 home games.

Key Injuries - WR Sidney Rice (knee) is day-to-day.
OT Bryant McKinnie (suspension) is OUT.

PROJECTED SCORE: 20



Pittsburgh Steelers at Philadelphia Eagles [CBS | 4:15 PM ET]

Steelers: The Steelers have jumped out 2-0 to start the season and with some of the conferences preseason favorites floundering, Pittsburgh is setting itself up nicely to be a major factor in the AFC. After dismantling Houston in their opener, the Steelers are coming off a hard-fought win over bitter rival Cleveland. Last week NBC reported that quarterback Ben Roethlisberger had a separated shoulder but the Steelers referred to the report as ?nonsense.? ?They know more than I do,? Coach Mike Tomlin said. ?That?s good television, I guess.? As usual, defense is the name of the game in Pittsburgh. Through two weeks, the Steelers defense has allowed just 11.5 points and 221.0 yards per game.

Steelers are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 road games.
The OVER is 5-1 in Steelers last 6 games overall.

Key Injuries - CB Deshea Townsend (heel) is day-to-day.
DE Brett Keisel (calf) is OUT.

PROJECTED SCORE: 20 (UNDER - Total Play of the Day)

Eagles (-3, O/U 46): The Eagles have to recharge the batteries after a gut-wrenching 41-37 emotional loss at Dallas last Monday night. The game had a playoff feel to it but now the Eagles have to refocus and prepare to take on a tough Steelers squad. Donovan McNabb has been on fire to start the year, throwing for 642 yards and four touchdowns in the season?s first two weeks. After stifling the lowly Rams, the Eagles defense was torched by the Cowboys to the tune of 41 points and 380 yards of total offense. There is a new star emerging in the city of Brotherly Love. Rookie receiver DeSean Jackson is becoming McNabb?s go-to receiver and he?s an exceptional return man as well. Jackson just needs to make sure he holds onto the football until he crosses the goal line, something he didn?t do against Dallas.

Eagles are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games overall.
Eagles are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games in Week 3.

Key Injuries - WR Reggie Brown (hamstring) is questionable.
OT Shawn Andrews (back) is questionable.

PROJECTED SCORE: 23



Dallas Cowboys at Green Bay Packers [NBC | 8:15 PM ET]

Cowboys (-3, O/U 51.5): After defeating bitter rival Philadelphia in one of the most thrilling Monday night games ever, the Cowboys must now take to the road to face the 2-0 Packers. This will be a tall order for the Cowboys, who have never won a game at Lambeau Field in the franchise?s illustrious history. Led by Tony Romo, Marion Barber and Terrell Owens, the Cowboys offense has been a well-oiled machine in the first two weeks of the season, averaging 34.5 points and 433.5 yards per game. The defense struggled badly against the Eagles. If there was one bright spot it was that after allowing 30 points in the first half, the Cowboys held Philly to just one touchdown in the final two quarters.

Cowboys are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games in September.
The OVER is 7-0 in Dallas' last 7 games in Week 3.

Key Injuries - S Roy Williams (forearm) is OUT.
TE Jason Witten (shoulder) is probable.

PROJECTED SCORE: 30 (Side Play of the Day)

Packers: Fans in Green Bay have to be ecstatic with the performance of quarterback Aaron Rodgers thus far. Rodgers has thrown for 506 yards and four scores in leading the Pack to wins over division foes Minnesota and Detroit. Rodgers may need another big game through the air because running back Ryan Grant hasn?t been 100 percent healthy in the first two games. Grant continues to be bothered by a sore hamstring, which kept him out most of the preseason. His workload was scaled back in the first two games, and he wasn?t able to finish either of them. The Packers secondary allowed some big plays last week against Detroit and that area will need to be tightened up with the high-flying Cowboys offense coming to town.

Packers are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 home games.
The OVER is 6-0 in Green Bay's last 6 home games.

Key Injuries - S Atari Bigby (hamstring) is day-to-day.

PROJECTED SCORE: 21

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Re: NFL - Week 3 Trends

Football Trends - Sep. 17-22

All trends are Against the Spread unless noted:

Abbreviations:
S/U = straight-up
H = home
R = road
F = favorite
D = dog
L = last (or 'in the last')
DD = double-digit
b2b = back-to-back
Some team names are also abbreviated.

Kansas City is 8-4 L12 as a dog – Atlanta is 4-9 L13 home games
Oakland is 18-27 as a 7+ dog since ’81 – Buffalo is 11-5 as H/F since ‘04
Houston is 0-4 L2 years vs. Tennessee – Tennessee is 6-14 L20 as H/F
Cincinnati is 6-2 L8 as DD dog – NY Giants are 3-7 L10 as H/F
Arizona is 10-4-1 L15 as dog – Washington is 20-30-5 as H/F since ‘00
Miami is 10-3 as DD dog since ’80 – New England is 17-11 vs. MIA at home
Tampa Bay is 17-29-1 vs. Chicago – Chicago is 3-7 L10 at home
Carolina is 50-30-2 as R/D since ’95 – Minnesota is 10-5 as H/F since ‘05
St. Louis is 4-9 as DD dog since ’95 – Seattle is 8-1-1 L10 as favorite of 7+
Detroit is 1-7 L8 as dog – San Francisco is 5-17-1 L23 as a favorite
New Orleans is 11-7 L18 on the road – Denver is 6-13 at home since ‘06
Pittsburgh is 5-12 L17 on the road – Philadelphia is 6-12-1 L19 as H/F
Jacksonville is 8-4 vs. Indy since ’02 – Indianapolis is 4-6 L10 as favorite
Cleveland is 4-1 L5 vs. Baltimore – Baltimore is 13-7 L20 at home
Dallas is 12-5 vs. Green Bay since ’80 – Green Bay is 2-5-1 L8 as H/D
NY Jets are 7-3 vs. SD since ’83 – San Diego is 31-18-1 L50 as 7+ favorite

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