Tuesday Service Plays
Re: Tuesday Service Plays
5* Chicago Cubs -105
An interesting 3 game series opens up here at Wrigley with CC Sabathia getting the start for the Brewers and Ryan Dempster for the Cubs. Brewers who have been in midst of a major late season collapse including getting swept in 4 games over the week have lost 7 of their last 8 and 12 of their last 15. In an unprecedented move they fired manager Ned Yost yesterday and 3B coach Dale Sveum will take over as the interim manager. According to ESPN this is the first time in MLB history except the 1981 strike season a manger has been fired in August or later with his team in playoff contention. Things dont look to be getting any better this week for them as the man who has normally been their stopper this season, Sabathia, will face off against a squad that has hammered him. While Sabathia has been able to smoke through some of the NL cupcakes the Cubs have hit him hard. In 9 career innings against the Cubs in two starts he has given up 17 hits, 12 ER, an ERA of 12.00, a whip of 2.33 and against BA of .378. It doesn?t help tonight that he faces them at Wrigley where the Cubs have absolutely smashed left-handed pitching. At home this season Chicago has hit .308 and scored 6.48 runs per game against left-handers. On the other side Ryan Dempster is starting and he has been having a great year at 15-6 with a 3.02 ERA. But more importantly for us he loves to pitch against the Brewers. In his career he is 7-2 with 10 saves and has a 2.45 ERA including .197 BAA. Combine that with his already strong home numbers this season posting a 2.90 ERA, 1.25 WHIP and .222 BAA against and he should be poised for a great outing tonight. He should also be helped tonight by a Brewers ball club that has been ice cold at the plate batting a mere .181 against right-handed pitching in their last 10 ball games including only scoring 2.54 runs per game. The wind is blowing out a bit tonight at Wrigley so we should see a few runs here. Brewers are going to need a miracle to make the playoffs at this point after the Phillies series and I just think they are coming into this really deflated. Cubs are the better club, playing better right now as they have won 4 straight, have the better the bullpen, are looking to seal their fate in the playoffs and are at a value price tonight.
5* SF Giants/Arizona Diamondbacks Over 7.5
The Diamondbacks continue to tailspin out of the playoffs as they have lost 8 of their last 10 ball games and now sit 4.5 games behind. The Giants meanwhile have been quietly playing pretty good baseball as they have won 8 of 10. Diamondbacks send Dan Haren to the hill tonight who has a number things going against him. For one he has gotten caught up in this weird scheduling situation where for about a month now he has faced the same 3 ball clubs. He faced SD twice in a row, then LA twice in a row and now SF twice in a row. To compound the issues Haren as I chronicled in August has been a terrible 2nd half pitcher in his career particularly the last two seasons. In August he had a 5.63 ERA including 1.59 WHIP and a BAA of .337. In September it has only gotten worse as he owns a 6.75 ERA, 2.38 WHIP and .324 BAA. This is nothing new for Haren as last season he owned an ERA in the high 4's in August and September and in his career owns a post all star break ERA 1 run higher in the 2nd half than first of the year. It wont help him today that the Giants bats have been red hot as of late against right-handers as they have hit .318 against them and averaged 6.75 runs per game. On the other side Matt Cain gets the start for the Giants and you?ll notice if you follow Cain closely he's either hot or cold and there's really no in-between with him. Lately he has been getting absolutely rocked as he owns a 9.00 ERA in his last 3 starts which has included him giving up 27 hits in only 15 innings and 7 walks during that as well. In his last two road starts he has given up 11 ER, 17 hits and only last 8.1 innings. The Diamondbacks have no question struggled at the plate recently but in their friendly confines at home their bats have been alive this year. Before going on the woeful road trip recently they were hot at home with their bats and I expect that to resume here again. It is noteworthy that the over is 8-3 the last 11 meetings between these two ball clubs.
Re: Tuesday Service Plays
Los Angeles Angels -130
Now that the Angels have clinched the MLB's first playoff spot, they will not feel pressured to make things happen. Sometimes that is a good thing, as players get more relaxed and just play to have fun. However, the Athletics can't be happy that John Lackey will be facing them on Tuesday night. In 25 career starts against Oakland, Lackey is 14-3 while maintaining a low 2.67 Era. He has been even more impressive over his last 10 starts vs the Athletics, going 8-1 with a 1.71 Era. Oakland's Sean Gallagher will get the start opposite of Lackey. Gallagher pitched well in his first start back from the DL with shoulder fatigue, and he has won his only start vs the Angels. The Athletics are 1-6 in Gallaghers last 7 starts, and are 0-4 in his last 4 starts against teams with winning records. It's probably worth noting that Lackey is 7-2 with a 2.76 Era in his night starts, while Gallagher is 1-2 with a 7.52 Era in games he started at night. All the numbers point towards an Angels victory, and we are getting them at a decent price.
Take the Los Angeles Angels -130 for 3-Units.