Tuesday Service Plays

Re: Tuesday Service Plays

Tony Weston

The Twins obviously didn’t get the memo that they were pretty good against the Cleveland Indians. Well, Minnesota doesn’t show up and we end up taking a loss.

We’re switching leagues and going to the National League as we head to Chicago where we’re taking the Brewers over the Cubs.

With two weeks left in the season Milwaukee decided to make a managerial move and fire Ned Yost. Third-base coach Dale Sveum was promoted and will take over the Brewers’ ship to close out the season.

Milwaukee comes into tonight’s game having lost seven of its last eight games, but will win tonight in Chicago behind star pitcher CC Sabathia.

Over their last 15 games the Brewers are only 4-11. However, of those four wins, three have come with Sabathia on the mound. In that three-game stretch Sabathia has a 1.57 ERA. The Brewers are also on an 8-0 run in Sabathia’s starts and are 9-1 in his last 10.

Also, Sabathia is 6-4 on the road this year with a 2.31 ERA.

Pencil in Sabathia as your starter tonight as he’ll get the Sveum era started with a victory. Go with the Brewers on the road tonight.

3♦ BREWERS

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Re: Tuesday Service Plays

Dennis Macklin

St. Louis Cardinals at Cincinnati Reds

To their credit, the Reds have not quit and the kids are playing hard down the stretch. The Reds have won nine of Bronson Arroyo's last twelve home starts and face the slumping Cards (losers of five straight) with slumping (1-3, 4.97 L5) Braden Looper. The Reds are 7-3 in L10 and are playing at home vs team headed in the wrong direction.

Play on: Cincinnati

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Re: Tuesday Service Plays

Vegas Experts

Milwaukee Brewers at Chicago Cubs

The Milwaukee Brewers have lost just one time with CC Sabathia on the mound and that was against the team they face tonight, the Chicago Cubs. Ironically, the Cubs just got done doing what the Brew Crew has struggled to do over the last two weeks - win at Miller Park. The Cubbies counter with Ryan Dempster, who is a phenomenal 12-3 at Wrigley this season with a 2.90 ERA. He's also a perfect 3-0 vs. Milwaukee this season.

Play on: Chicago Cubs

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Re: Tuesday Service Plays

Mr A

Baltimore Orioles at Toronto Blue Jays

Baltimore's Chris Waters (2-3, 5.73) is 0-2 with a 7.63 ERA in his last three starts. The Orioles are 0-4 in Waters' last 4 starts.

Toronto's Shaun Marcum (9-6, 3.38 ERA) is 1-1 with a 3.50 ERA in his last three starts. The Blue Jays are 5-1 in Marcums last 6 starts.

The hot Blue Jays have won their last eight games and have beaten the Orioles in seven of the last 8 meetings, six straight at home. Take Toronto at Rogers Centre. The struggling Orioles have lost 17 of their last 21 games.

Toronto Blue Jays -170

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Re: Tuesday Service Plays

MJP

PHILADELPHIA PHILLIES -127 Best Bet!

WASHINGTON NATIONALS +150
FLORIDA MARLINS +135
NEW YORK YANKEES -135
CLEVELAND INDIANS +155
BOSTON RED SOX -134

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Re: Tuesday Service Plays

Tom Freese

Houston at Florida

Houston is 26-7 vs. a pitcher with a WHIP of over 1.30 and they are 9-2 their last 11 games vs. righty starters. The Astros are 38-18 their last 56 overall and starter Roy Oswalt has allowed 4 runs total in his last 6 starts! Florida is 3-7 their last 10 games vs. Roy Oswalt and they and they are 2-6 their last 8 home games vs. winning teams. The Marlins are 2-8 vs. an opponent who scored 2 or less runs in their last game. PLAY ON HOUSTON -

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Re: Tuesday Service Plays

Gina

Philadelphia Phillies at Atlanta Braves

The Phillies have been successful against Atlanta. They have won 10 of the 12 meetings versus the Braves this year, 19-7 in the last 26.  Go with Philadelphia to grab their sixth straight win in Atlanta. Philadelphia’s Jamie Moyer is 3-0 with a 2.50 ERA in his last three starts and the Phillies have won the southpaw's last 4 starts.

Philadelphia Phillies -130

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Re: Tuesday Service Plays

Jimmy Boyd

New York Mets vs. Washington Nationals
Play: New York Mets     

I like the Mets to come storming back today after getting crushed 7-2 by the lowly Nats yesterday. The Mets are a dominant 23-6 in the last 29 meetings in Washington, 14-4 in Pelfrey's last 18 starts, and a perfect 8-0 in Pelfrey's last 8 starts vs. a team with a losing record. The Nationals are just 16-37 in their last 53 vs. a team with a winning record, 14-37 in their last 51 during game 2 of a series, and just 1-5 in their last 6 vs. the National League East. The Mets will have their revenge tonight.

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Re: Tuesday Service Plays

Marc Lawrence

Play On: Houston w/Oswalt

The Houston Astros open a three game series with the Marlins tonight when ace right hander Roy Oswalt takes the hill in Miami. Aside from being in outstanding KW form with 2 walks and 13 strikeouts in his last three starts, Oswalt is a mind-boggling 26-7 in games from September 1st out - the best in MLB history. Can't fade numbers like those and we won't. Oswalt and the Astros come up big tonight.

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Re: Tuesday Service Plays

LT Profits

Chicago White Sox @ New York Yankees Under 9.5

This is the final home stand in the history of Yankee Stadium, but unfortunately the New York Yankees are no longer the Bronx Bombers and we look for another rather low scoring affair vs. the Chicago White Sox tonight.

The Yankees took the series opener 4-2 here last night, and look for more of the same here with Andy Pettitte opposing Gavin Floyd. Pettitte is not what he once was, but he is still more than serviceable, having allowed three runs or less in five of his last seven starts. Also, the Yankees bullpen has been better than at any other part of this year lately, with a nice 2.97 ERA over the last 10 games.

Floyd is having a breakout season for the Sox, currently sitting at 15-7 with a 3.77 ERA and a 1.24 WHIP in 181.1 innings. He has almost always kept his team in the game, as Chicago is 20-9 in all of his starts this year, and he has not minded pitching on the road, with a 3.93 ERA away from US Cellular Field.

Finally, neither of these offenses has been tearing the ball up lately, and we do not expect that to change vs. these pitchers tonight.

Pick: White Sox, Yankees Under 9.5


Houston Astros @ Florida Marlins Under 7.5

Roy Oswalt of the Houston Astros is the hottest pitcher in baseball right now and Chris Volstad of the Florida Marlins has been very solid in his own right, so do not look for any fireworks in Miami tonight.

All that Oswlat has done is toss 26.1 scoreless innings in his last three starts, allowing just eight hits and two walks over those outings. For those of you keeping score at home, that translates to a 0.00 ERA and an unheard of 0.38 WHIP. Furthermore, if we go back one more start, Oswalt has allowed one run in his last 33.1 innings pitched, and he has reeled off eight consecutive Quality Starts including four scoreless outings and two starts where he allowed one run.

Now do not sell Volstad short here either, as he has a 3.31 ERA in 11 starts since being recalled from the minors, and he has been very consistent, allowing three runs or less in nine of those 11 outings. He also has the advantage of facing the Astros for the first time ever, and remember that he is facing a Houston offense has managed one measly hit over the last two games.

The Under is 11-5 in the last 16 Houston games overall and 14-6-2 in the last 22 Florida games, and we see no reason why those streaks will not continue tonight.

Pick: Astros, Marlins Under 7.5

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Re: Tuesday Service Plays

Rocketman Sports

Detroit @ Texas
Play:1* Detroit +125

The Tigers come in losers of 5 in a row but things are about to change.  Detroit is scoring 5.1 runs per game overall this year and 5.0 runs per game against right handed starters this year.  Texas bullpen has a 5.13 ERA at home this season.  Zach Miner is 5-1 in all starts this year, 3-1 with a 1.48 ERA on the road this season and 1-0 his last 3 starts.  Kevin Millwood is 1-2 with a 6.62 ERA his last 3 starts.  Detroit has won 5 of 7 against Texas this year.  Miner has a 3.00 ERA overall vs Texas since 1997.  We'll recommend a small play on Detroit.

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Re: Tuesday Service Plays

Jeff Alexander Sports

1 Unit on Arizona D-backs -155

The Giants are no doubt the hotter team right now, but I like the spot we find the Snakes in tonight - at home off a win in game 1 with a pitcher going who's overdue for a solid outing. The Giants are only 5-12 in the last 17 meetings in Arizona so they have had their share of problems getting it done in the desert. The other big thing going against the Giants here is that Cain is colder than Haren and he has always struggled on the road. The Giants are 8-23 in Cain's last 31 road starts and 7-21 in Cain's last 28 starts vs. the National League West. The Diamondbacks are 5-2 in Haren's last 7 starts with 5 days of rest so I think the extra day helps get Mr. Haren back on track tonight. Bet the Snakes.

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Re: Tuesday Service Plays

Mike Wynn

Heavy Hitter Lock
Astros

Comp
Arizona 

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Re: Tuesday Service Plays

Wild Bill

Dodgers -175 (5 units)
Phils -125 (5 units)
Mets -175 (5 units)
St Louis +120 (5 units)
Florida +150 (5 units)
Cubs +115 (5 units)
Padres +160 (5 units)
White Sox +130 (5 units)
Orioles +160 (5 units)
Tigers +130 (5 units)

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Re: Tuesday Service Plays

Matt Foust

Chicago White Sox +125

The Chicago White Sox will take on the Yankees this evening in the second game of a four game set. The White Sox lost last night 4-2, but they still hold a 1.5 game lead over the Twins in the AL Central. Tonight they will send Gavin Floyd to the hill in an attempt to widen that narrow margin between themselves and Minnesota.

Floyd is having a very solid year for the White Sox, sporting a 3.77 ERA, 1.24 WHIP, and a 15-7 record. In Floyd’s last four away starts, the White Sox are 4-1 and he has allowed just eight earned runs in 34 innings pitched (average of 1.6 runs per game). In Floyd’s last five starts at any location, Chicago is 4-1 and he has allowed 15 earned runs in 35 innings pitched (average of 3 runs per game).

Andy Pettitte is not having a typical Andy Pettitte year; he has a 4.52 ERA on the season and a 1.40 WHIP. More perplexing is his 5.32 home ERA and the .298 average that opponents are posting against him. This would explain why the Yankees are 1-4 in Pettitte’s last five home starts. Pettitte has allowed 25 earned runs in those starts (31.3 innings pitched) and the opposition is averaging six runs per game versus New York in that stretch.

Floyd has not been particularly stellar against the Yankees in the past, but I look for him to keep them in the game tonight and for Chicago to do enough to get a much needed victory (at great value no less).

Key Stat: Floyd has been a stopper for Chicago all year and he has come up big when they’ve needed him to time and again. As evidence of such, the White Sox are 11-1 after a loss this season when Floyd is on the mound for them.

Pick: Take the White Sox +125

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Re: Tuesday Service Plays

Ben Burns

Philadelphia Phillies at Atlanta Braves
Prediction: Philadelphia Phillies

The Phillies have dominated the Braves this season and they won Moyer's lone start against them, a 4-3 Philadelphia win vs. Hudson back on 6/6. Including that result, the Braves are a money-burning 19-27 (-14.2) against southpaws on the season. Including that result, Moyer is 9-3 with a stellar 2.61 ERA and 1.172 WHIP on the road for the year. In his last two road starts he beat the Mets and Cubs, allowing just two runs through 12 1/3 combined innings. Overall, he's 3-0 with a 2.50 ERA and 1.111 WHIP his last three outings. The Phillies won those games by a combined score of 17-8. Consider laying the short price with the better team.

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Re: Tuesday Service Plays

Frank Rosenthal

DODGERS-170 SB
BRAVES+115 SB
NATS OVER 9 SB+
CARDS+110 SB
ASTROS-140 SB
BREWERS-105 SB
DBACKS-160 SB
UNDER 7.5 SB+
A'S+125 SB

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Re: Tuesday Service Plays

Alex Smart

Baltimore Orioles @ Toronto Blue Jays
PICK: Toronto Blue Jays

The Toronto Blue Jays look very much to be the right side against the monyeline, as they send the red hot Shaun Marcum(9-6, 3.38 ERA) out to the hill to face the Baltimore Orioles this Tuesday evening in the Rogers Center . After losing the last two games of their weekend series against the Red Sox, the Blue Jays playoffs hopes were , dealt a heavy blow, even though they have not been officially eliminated from the post season. With former World Series manager Cito Gaston at the helm of the team, he will not allow his squad to give up, until the proverbial final verdict is handed down. Like the great Yogi Berra said, Its not over tilt its over.

With that said, Im betting that Jays starter Marcum continues a current run, that has seen him allow 2 or less ERs in 5 of his L/6 overall starts, which includes allowing just 2 ERs in his L/14 + innings of work. The former South West Missouri State standout, will face a Orioles , offense that has proven to be highly inconsistent of late, scoring 2 runs or less in 6 of their L/11 games. It must also be noted that opposing batting orders are hitting just .199 against Marcum in his 2008 home outings .

Meanwhile, Baltimore will respond, with struggling hurler, Chris Waters (2-3, 5.73 ERA). The Lakeland , Flordia native , is 0-2 in his last 3 starts, while garnering a ugly 7.63 ERA and looks like he should be honing his skills down in the minors instead of the major league level. The Os southpaw in my humble opinion, will have a difficult time , averting his 4th straight loss, against a Jays team that is 43-29 at home this season .

Final notes & Key Trends: Orioles are 0-6 in their last 6 road games. Orioles are 2-9 in their last 11 games vs. a right-handed starter. Orioles are 1-7 in the last 8 meetings including a 0-4 run here in Toronto.

Play on the Blue Jays

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Re: Tuesday Service Plays

Michael Cannon

St. Louis at CINCINNATI -120 

Take the Reds tonight over the Cardinals.

Bronson Arroyo gets the start for the Reds and he’s been outstanding since the start of August, going 5-2 with a 2.14 ERA in eight starts.  The right-hander has 14 wins on the season and will set a career high with his next win.

The Cardinals will counter with Braden Looper, who has good career numbers against the Reds since moving into the starting rotation last year, but is 0-2 with a 4.86 ERA in his last three overall starts.

The Reds are 10-5 since August 29 and have won their last three series over the Cubs, Brewers and Diamondbacks – all postseason contenders.

Take the Reds as they grab the home win.

3♦ CINCINNATI

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