Monday Service Plays

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WILD BILL

Eagles +7 (5 units)
Eagles-Cowboys Under 47 (5 units)

Boston Red Sox +110 (5 units)
Detroit Tigers +125 (5 units)
San Diego Padres +165 (5 units)
San Francisco Giants (+155 (5 units)
Rangers-Detroit Tigers Under 12 (5 units)

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LT Profits

New York Yankees -120

The New York Yankees are trying to make their last homestand at Yankee Stadium a memorable one, as they played spoiler vs. the Tampa Bay Rays the last two games and will now look to do the same vs. another division leader, the Chicago White Sox.

White Sox starter Mark Buehrle has been brilliant in his last two starts, but he has never pitched well against the Yankees. In fact, he has allowed 20 earned runs in just 11 innings in his last three starts against the Bronx Bombers, allowing at least five runs on each occasion. While he does have a nice 3.88 ERA overall this season, he has actually been very erratic, either pitching like he has his last two outing or pitching like he has against the Yankees, with nothing in between.

Young Alfredo Aceves pitched very well in his first major league start, allowing just one run on five hits with no walks in seven innings in a 7-1 win at Anaheim over the Los Angeles Angels. He may be tough his first time through the league and he is catching a White Sox lineup here that is batting a rather modest .252 vs. right-handing pitching in the last 10 games.

Throw in the fact that the Yankees are 7-2 in the last nine head-to-head meetings, and look for the Yankees to play spoilers again.

Pick: Yankees -120


Boston Red Sox @ Tampa Bay Rays Under 8.5

The Tampa Bay Rays begin the biggest series in the history of the franchise tonight vs. the Boston Red Sox, and we look for the pitchers to dominate Game 1.

This is a pitching rematch from last Tuesday, a game that snuck Over late in a 5-4 Rays win. Scott Kazmir did his part though, allowing only two runs and five hits in six innings. This marked the ninth time in the last 10 starts that Kazmir has allowed three runs or less, lowering his ERA for the season to a sparkling 2.99. Furthermore, he has been brilliant here at home, where he is 7-1 with a 2.10 ERA, with the Rays as a team going 11-1 in all of his home starts.

Do not lose sight of the fact that Daisuke Matsuzaka is 16-2 with a 2.97 ERA in his own right however. Sure, he did not have his best stuff vs. the Rays last week while putting men on in every inning, and he was lucky to allow only three runs in five innings. Sill, Dice-K does not usually turn in back-to-back bad efforts, so look for a return to normalcy for him tonight. He has still allowed three runs or less seven of his last eight outings.

If not for the Rays reaching Boston closer Jonathan Papelbon for two runs in the ninth inning of this pitching matchup last week, all three games of the that series in Fenway Park would have gone Under. Look for another Under here tonight.

Pick: Red Sox, Rays Under 8.5

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INDIAN COWBOY COMP

Cowboys/Eagles Under 47 (1 unit)

Cowboys play their nemesis in the Eagles today.  The spread opened up at -7 and has remained relatively steady as it has gone down slightly as the public are favoring the Cowboys to a tune of 55% today.  The Cowboys and Eagles split the season series last year at 1:1 but the most recent game featured Dallas getting beat home by the Eagles in what was a defensive 6-10 battle.  The Cowboys were dominant easily covering the 6 point road chalk against Cleveland and give Philly some credit for pounding the Rams by 35 points at home easily covering the 9 point chalk.  Frankly, this game could go either way, but note I love the Eagles defense this year as I do the Cowboys.  However, I think the Eagles are still more physical, but of course, when it comes to offense the Cowboys have given Romo far more weapons and frankly, the Cowboys running game is much better than it was last year and you will see that throughout this game.  In essence, you will see a balanced running and passing attack. However, in an NFC East battle such as this 7 points is quite a lot and I know I normally favor the dog and the over here, but not in this game.  McNabb has a QB rating of 130+ here and Romo with over a 106 rating.  I actually lean on the Eagles and the Under here but do note that I do not have a play on this game, and will have wnba selections, college and nfl to come later this week. However, in such a rivalry, with the total being 46.5 and the public favoring the over by a 2:1 margin, don't be surprised to see an under shape up here.  No play for me, but my free play will be on the under here as the under is 12-2 for the Eagles after scoring 30 points in their previous game and the under is 4-0 for the Cowboys when playing the tough defenses that the NFC East features.

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Dr. Bob

Philadelphia (+7) 21 DALLAS 23

Philadelphia appears to be an underrated team to start this season. My ratings favored the Eagles by 14 points last week against the Rams (a 38-3 win) and my ratings favor Dallas by only 3 points in this game, as I have these teams rated the same. The Eagles have a great running back in Brian Westbrook and Donavan McNabb looks completely healthy after spending last season recovering from his knee surgery. The addition of rookie DeSean Jackson has been a bigger factor than most anticipated, as Jackson led the Eagles in receiving yards last week (6 catches for 106 yards) while also setting up a touchdown with a 60 yard punt return. Philly's defense was pretty good last season (5.2 yards per play allowed to teams that would average 5.4 yppl against an average team) and they've added top cornerback Asante Samuel to make the pass defense even better. The Rams were limited to 166 total yards at 3.7 yppl last week and the Eagles are capable of slowing down an explosive Dallas attack. I actually rate Dallas as being slightly better than the Eagles offensively and 0.2 yppl better on defense, but McNabb is the current all-time leader in lowest interception percentage (2.1%) while Dallas quarterback Tony Romo is intercepted 3.7% of the time during his career, which is worse than the league average. Aside from the line value, I also like the fact that Eagles? head coach Andy Reid is 41-21-2 ATS in his career as an underdog or pick. I'll consider Philadelphia a Strong Opinion at +7 points or more.

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MJP Sports

SAN FRANCISCO GIANTS   151
MINNESOTA TWINS   -118
NEW YORK YANKEES   -122

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Bryan Leonard

2* Minnesota at Cleveland

Cheap number here when you consider that Cleveland starter Jensen Lewis will be making his major league starting debut. Normally a one inning relief pitcher Lewis will be on a strict pitch count. That means an early call to the bullpen which has been a major Tribe problem all season. Coming off three games in the past two days where Cleveland allowed 29 combined runs to a weak Kansas City lineup, the early bullpen call isn't something Cleveland fans cherish.Minnesota sends their hottest starter Kevin Slowey to the hill. They have won 12 of his last 16 starts and one of those losses came against these Indians. We watched that game and Slowey was one pitch away from getting out of trouble. You can be sure the youngster has been waiting for this opportunity to avenge the defeat.With Minnesota in the thick of the playoff race and the Tribe long out of contention we will back the better team with the proven starter at a cheap price.PLAY MINNESOTA
         

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Tom Freese

San Francisco at Arizona

San Francisco is 8-1 their last 9 games and they and they are 7-1 their last 8 games vs. NL West foes. The Giants are 7-1 their last 8 games vs. losing teams and they are 9-3 in Brad Hennessey's last 12 road starts. Arizona has scored 24 runs Total in their last 10 games and they are 5-16 their last 21 games. The Diamondbacks are 1-11 their last 12 games vs. NL West teams and they are 4-9 in the last 13 starts made by Doug Davis. PLAY ON SAN FRANCISCO +

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Gamblersworld

Philadelphia Eagles vs. Dallas Cowboys
Prediction: Dallas Cowboys

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MARC LAWRENCE  PLAYBOOK

DALLAS over Philadelphia by 7
Impressive outings by both teams puts this game in the national spotlight,under the Monday Night lights to boot. Good numbers abound for both sides, too. The Eagles are 11-6 SU and ATS on Mondays behind Andy Reid,including 7-0 SU and ATS when playing off a win of 7 or more points. They are also 19-12 SU and 21-10 ATS on the division road under Andy. The Cowboys counter at 17-11 ATS in Monday night division duels, including 9-3 in Games 1 thru 3. Wade Phillips chips in at 12-3 SU and ATS at home off a win versus an opponent off a win, including 6-1 in division games. His 1-6 ATS mark in Monday night games is the only negative note.

DALLAS  5-1 Game Two… SEPT: 2-10 favs vs .500 > opp… PHILLIPS: 12-3 H off win vs opp off win


SPORTS REPORTER

*DALLAS over PHILADELPHIA by 4
The early gauntlet was thrown down when Philly won by 35 points, Dallas by 18 on opening day. Tony Romo got banged around by Cleveland?s pass rush, which wasn't very good last year, and Philly will get in his face, too. Important, new speedy offensive playmakers on both teams this season. Felix Jones on Dallas, DeSean Jackson on the Eagles. The Cowboys got a lead and padded it on the ground last week against that statue of a Cleveland quarterback who their new defensive assistant Grantham knew he could rattle, hence the Best Bet winner on the Cowboys. But the Dallas D can't be as confidently prepared vs. McNabb,Westbrook and the rest. Let the shootout start. DALLAS, 30-26.


WINNING POINTS

*Dallas over Philadelphia by 4
Both teams are hurting for depth at wide receiver because of numerous injuries to their wideouts. But Donovan McNabb and Tony Romo still have big-play targets. The Eagles have played the Cowboys tough at Texas Stadium, winning and covering six of their past eight visits. This includes the last two when the Eagles held Dallas to a combined 13 points. The Eagles have no love lost for former teammate Terrell Owens. The Eagles have covered nine of the past 11 times they've been underdogs during the past two plus seasons. DALLAS 24-20.


CKO

Philadelphia...Donovan McNabb is back and so apparently is the deep ball in Philly!  All McNabb did was pass for 361 yards in the Birds' 38-3 romp past the Rams on opening day, with three different Philly receivers (Hank Baskett, Greg Lewis, and Cal rookie DeSean Jackson) each cracking the 100-yard barrier, the first time that was done by the Eagles since their 1960 championship year when Timmy Brown, Pete Retzlaff, and Tommy McDonald all turned the trick in a 38-28 win over the Redskins on December 18.  What's interesting is that the Eagles' top two wideouts, Reggie Brown and Kevin Curtis, both missed the game due to injury.  Pittsburgh...Willie Parker is apparently back from a broken leg, at least based upon his opening-week performance against Houston (138 YR and 3Tds) in the Steelers' 38-17 romp.  Illinois rookie RB Rashard Mendenhall, expectred to get the bulk of the short-yardage carries (and cracks at the goal line from close range), indeed carried 10 times, but didn't record a TD against the Texans.

TECH EDGE

PHILADELPHIA at DALLAS (Monday, September 15).Birds have won and covered last 2 (as dog each time) and 3 of last 4 at Dallas.  Andy 4-1 as dog LY, 8-2 in role since '06, and 19-8 last 27 as dog away from home.  Tech edge-Eagles, based on team and series trends.


POINTWISE

DALLAS 23 - Philadelphia 20 - What a match this shapes up to be. The Cowboys were methodical in their destruction of the hopeful Browns, with Romo's 24-of-32 for 320 yds the catalyst. A year ago, Dallas scored 45, 37, 34, & 35 pts in its 1st 4 games, so a possible repeat. But Philly's entourage finally includes a healthy McNabb, who opened with a 21-of-33 effort for 361 yds & 3 TDs (no INTs). Three Eagle receivers reached 100 yds in catches in that one for the first time since 1960. Philly 20-10 ATS on division road, & the visitor is on a 10-2 ATS run in Eagle games. This could go into OT, so we'll grab the TD spot.


THE GOLD SHEET

*DALLAS 27 - Philadelphia 23—Both impressive in opener, but pointspread roomy enough to consider Philly, especially with McNabb & Westbrook healthy, the attack invigorated by WR DeSean Jackson (6 for 106 receiving in opener), and the defense reinforced by former N.E. CB Asante Samuel. Eagles play with confidence in Dallas, winning and covering 3 of last 4 meetings. Philly also has the pass rushers in quantity that Browns did not when Tony Romo had plenty of time to spot his targets last week.

(07-Dal. 38-PHIL. 17...D.24-21 D.32/110 P.19/66 D.20/25/1/324 P.27/46/2/250 D.0 P.1)
(07-Phil. 10-DAL. 6...P.20-11 P.27/134 D.15/53 D.13/36/3/187 P.23/41/0/181 P.1 D.0)
(07-Dallas -3 38-17, Philadelphia +10 10-6...SR: Dallas 54-43)

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Bob Majors

TAM (-115) vs BOS

Boston Red Sox are playing at the Tampa Bay Rays in an evening game.  This game is very important for both teams as the Red Sox are one game out in the AL Eastern Division behind the Rays.

Red Sox pitcher Daisuke Matsuzaka is pitching against Rays Scott Kazmir.  Matsuzaka is 7-0 with a 2.67 ERA on the road and team is 9-2 when he starts.  In the last 3 starts, he has pitched 19.0 innngs with a 2.84 ERA and a 11.4 MBA .  His previous starts against the Rays is 0-0 in 10.0 innings and a 3.60 ERA.

Rays Kazmir is 7-1 at home this season with a2.10 ERA and his team is 11-1 when he starts. In his last 3 starts, Kazmir is 2-0 in 17.1 innings and a 1.04 ERA and a 10.4 MBA.  In his previous starts against the Red Sox, Kazmir is 01 in 15.0 innings and a 5.40 ERA.

The Rays had a rough road trip and try to rebound back to their winning ways at home.  The Rays are 49-14 in the last 63 Home Games and 4-0 last 4 home games following a road trip of 7 or more days.

I like the Home Team to prevail here as your Monday free pick of the day.

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BIG AL

San Diego Padres and Colorado Rockies Over 9½

Colorado's Ubaldo Jimenez is working on short rest while San Diego's bullpen is worn out.  Look for the Over to cash on Monday in Denver when the Rockies host the Padres.

Our Monday night MLB selection is on the San Diego Padres and Colorado Rockies going over the total at Coors Field in Denver.

After a promising end to last season, Rockies young righthander Ubaldo Jimenez hasn't really progressed this year and has looked very average for most of the 2008 season.  Lately, Jimenez has been battling some nagging injuries and hasn't gone very deep into the innings in his outings.  In fact, Jimenez hasn't gone more than six innings since his start way back on August 1 against the Marlins. But that hasn't stopped Colorado from winning when the 24-year-old steps to the mound, especially at home, as the Rockies are 6-2 in Jimenez's last eight starts at Coors Field.

Another 24-year-old by the name of Wade LeBlanc takes the mound for the Padres tonight, and although his name sounds perhaps more like that of an NHL player, the Padres have high hopes for the young southpaw and he figures to be in their starting pitching plans prominently for 2009.  But although he's one of their top prospects, LeBlanc did not put up major league-type numbers in his 25 starts this season with AAA-Portland, winning 11 times but posting an ERA of 5.32.  LeBlanc has two starts in the bigs, and both were against the Dodgers with one being good and the other being not so good, so the jury is still out.

Look for some balls to be flying out tonight in the thin air in Denver, as San Diego's bullpen is taxed after the Padres used eight pitchers yesterday, while Jimenez is pitching on three days of rest.  Take the Over.

Pick: Padres-Rockies Over 9½

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YourWinningPicks

****BEST BET****

DALLAS COWBOYS (-7) VS. Philadelphia Eagles: This is an early battle for supremacy in the ultra-competitive NFC East as the Cowboys and Eagles both come off demolitions in Week 1. Dallas QB Tony Romo doesn't have good history against the Eagles at home as he has thrown only 1 TD and 5 INT's in his last two such outings against the Birds. The Eagles are also a great bet as an underdog under Andy Reid as they are 41-21-2 ATS in that role. This will be a close game and should go right down to the wire. THE PICK: Philadelphia Eagles +7

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Frank Jordan

Philadelphia Eagles vs. Dallas Cowboys    
Play: Over     

Each team put up at least 28 points last week expect more of the same as they shall find themselves in a shoot out. Play the over
 

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Sportsbettingstats

Philadelphia Eagles at Dallas Cowboys -3

The Cowboys come into this early season NFC East match up after beating up on the Cleveland Browns 28-10, while the Eagles crushed the Rams in their opening game 38-3. Even though it is only the 2nd game of the season it is an important one, especially for the Eagles who want to show the league they are still one of the premier teams in the NFL. The Eagles are led by QB Donovan McNabb (361 yds 3 TD) and his main targets are WR's Greg Lewis (5 rec 104 yds) and rookie DeSean Jackson (6 rec 106 yds). The Eagles rushing attack is led by RB Michael Westbrook (91 yds 1 TD). The Cowboys are led by QB Tony Romo (320 yds 1 TD 1 INT) and his main targets are TE Jason Witten (6 rec 96 yds) and WR Terrell Owens (5 rec 87 yds). The Cowboys rushing attack is no longer a 2 man backfield, as Marion Barber III (80 yds 2 TD) is the main man.

Staff Pick: Both teams looked impressive in their opening wins and both QB's looked good getting great pass protection. The key to this game may be which team's D can get to other team's QB. The Cowboys have to find a way to contain Westbrook, as their defense has to balanced because if they focus too much on stopping the run the rejuvenated McNabb will hurt you, but if they only focus on McNabb, Westbrook will put up big numbers. The Eagles secondary is much improved with CB Assante Samuel, as he may match up with Owens, which will be a battle. Eagles rookie WR DeSean Jackson looked stellar in the win over the Rams, with over 100 receiving yards, and if he develops into a legit weapon for McNabb the Eagles may soar into the playoffs. The Eagles are filled with confidence, but playing Dallas, which is the premier team in the NFC, in the Big D will be a test to see how good the Eagles are, as smoking the lowly Rams was not really a test, but merely a tune-up for this big game. The Cowboys own the regular season and this game will be no different, as even though the game will be close Romo and company will beat the Eagles and cover the spread.

Dallas 23 Eagles 18

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Sixth Sense Sports

DALLAS –6.5 Philadelphia 46.5

Both teams looked great last week. Dallas averaged 7.7yppl, including 5.4ypr and 10.0yps. They allowed Cleveland just 4.8yppl, including just 4.6yps. Philly racked up 7.4yppl, including 10.6yps and allowed the Rams just 3.7yppl, 2.4ypr and 4.3yps. Philly has dominated Dallas in Dallas winning the last two years here and six of the past eight years. One of those two losses was by just two points so getting 6.5 points in this game looks like a lot with a good Philly defense. I don’t have any situations on this game and my numbers favor Dallas by about six points and predict about 45 points.

DALLAS 26 PHILADELPHIA 20

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Karl Garrett

Philadelphia at DALLAS

Tonight a total play, as I see Philly and Dallas strapping it on for a tight one in Big "D".

I know both teams generated some offense last week, but upon closer look, it ain't too hard to get the points on the board against Cleveland, and St. Louis.

The G-Man expects the yards, and the points to be harder to come by in this division rivalry contest.

Remember, the Cowboys defense yielded just 6 points in their win at Cleveland, while the Eagles held St. Louis to only a field goal in their blowout win.

Last year the series meeting in Dallas produced a 10-6 final, making it 3 straight games played at Dallas between the teams that have stayed LOW.

Included last week's results, the Cowboys have stayed UNDER the total in 5 in a row dating back to last season (playoffs included), while the Eagles have stayed UNDER in 4 of their last 5 dating back to a season ago.

Stick with the defense here, and play the LOW.

1♦ UNDER

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Drew Gordon

Minnesota -115 at CLEVELAND 

Look guys, I know after watching the young lefty Scott Lewis toss 8 scoreless innings at Baltimore in his Major League debut, that plenty of bettors will be all over the Tribe in this one. But as is the case with most young hurlers, I say:

not so fast! Let's not forget, this is a rookie we're talking about, and he's about to face-off against a solid Twins club, that also happens to hit lefties well.

Speaking of hitting lefties well, the Twins average 5.5 runs per game against lefties on the road this season, batting a solid .273! Not only that, but just two days ago they completely dismantled Orioles lefty Garret Olson, tagging him for 6 runs in just 2/3 of an inning! Note, the Twins are 2nd in the AL in RBI off lefties, at 227!

Opposing Lewis is Minnesota's Kevin Slowey, who's 5-1 with a stellar 2.27 ERA in his last 7 starts! That includes an excellent effort against the Royals in his last one, allowing 1 run over 7 strong innings. While his numbers aren't great against the Indians this season, two things to consider: A. Slowey's been downright nasty since he last lost to Cleveland August 2nd (5-1, 2.27 ERA L7 starts). And B. The Indians have hit a lull in their offense, losing 4 of 5, as their offense has fallen asleep at the wheel.

Bottom line, look for the Twins, who are the midst of tight race with the White Sox, to come out focused behind one of their hottest arms in this one. On the flip side, look for the Indians young lefty to come back down to Earth, after an excellent debut. Twins have won 10 of 15 games against the Tribe this season, make it 11 of 16 after tonight!

Take Minnesota behind Slowey over Cleveland and Lewis in this MLB match up.

2♦ MINNESOTA

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Bobby Maxwell

Chicago White Sox at N.Y. YANKEES -120

Every game is a must-win for the Yankees from here on out and that might not even be enough to get this team in the playoffs. But this team has a lot of fight in it and we think they will get the win over the White Sox tonight.

New York took two of three over Chicago in April in the first series between these two this year and the Yankees have won seven of the last nine head-to-head clashes overall and six of seven in New York.

Today the Yankees send rookie Alfredo Aceves (1-0, 1.29) to the mound to face the White Sox Mark Buehrle (13-11, 3.88). Aceves was spectacular in his major league debut on Tuesday, giving up just one run on five hits and no walks in seven innings of a win at the Angels.

Buehrle is just 3-8 with a 5.34 ERA on the road this season and the White Sox are just 3-11 in his 14 roadies this year. He is 1-5 with a 6.58 ERA in his career against the Yankees and in his last three outings, he's 0-3 with a 16.36 ERA dating back to 2004 against the Bronx Bombers.

Chicago is clinging to a narrow one-game lead in the A.L. Central race over Minnesota and they might be a little tight if they fall behind today. We like the veterans in New York tonight.

2♦ N.Y. YANKEES

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Michael Cannon

Boston +110 at TAMPA BAY

Take the Red Sox as the small road dog tonight over the Rays.

Hey, anytime I can get a pitcher who is 16-2 on the year as an underdog I’m taking it, regardless of the opponent or venue.

Daisuke Matsuzaka will start for the BoSox and he brings that sparkling record into Tampa.  The Red Sox are on a two-game winning streak while the Rays have dropped their last two.

Scott Kazmir will start for Tampa and he’s clearly their ace, but in three starts against the Red Sox this year the left-hander is 0-1 with a 5.40 ERA in 15 innings.

Take the Red Sox as they grab the road win

2♦ BOSTON

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