Thursday Service Plays

Re: Thursday Service Plays

Matt Rivers

For Thursday take the price back with the Pirates.

Sure we should lose this game but come on!?!?!? Roy Oswalt has certainly been a ton better of late than over the first four or so months of the season but I am still not 100% sold that the righty can continually dominate right now and will pay to make him do just that with a small play here. Oswalt just dazzled in that two hitter at Coors and could come back down to Earth a bit here and I would not be at all surprised.

Zack Duke is certainly inferior to Oswalt and fairly sketchy at times. He could struggle here against the red hot Astros but this price is still way too much!

No matter how great Houston has been of late they are still far from a great team that can be laying a number like this. Carlos Lee is out and the 'Stros still do not scare me as such a hefty chalk as they can fail against anybody at anytime. Obviously Lance Berkman is great and the home boys are definitely better than what the Pirates have to offer but this takeback is still way too much to pass up.

Hopefully Duke can keep this thing in range and we will take our chances late but if not it's still a no-brainer on this too big of a number!

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Re: Thursday Service Plays

The Gold Medal Club

N.Carolina vs Rutgers
PLAY: RUTGERS -5.5

Teams playing in front of a national television audience can do wonders for the betting edge, especially when they flop. We will gladly lay the points here, as the odds makers have low balled the Scarlet Knights.Rutgers offense struggled mightily in there opener with Fresno State, failing to put up any points in the first half despite having control of the ball in Fresno territory 4 times.We take note N.Carolina is 0-3 ats vs the Big East Conference during the last 3 years, while Rutgers is 9-2 ats home in non conference action during the last 3 years.

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Re: Thursday Service Plays

DUNKEL

Toronto at Chicago White Sox   
The Blue Jays look to bounce back from their first loss of the month and build on their 16-14 record as a road underdog from +100 to +125.  Toronto is the underdog pick (+105) according to Dunkel, which has the Blue Jays favored straight up by 1 1/2.  Dunkel Pick: Toronto (+105).  Here are all of today's games

THURSDAY, SEPTEMBER 11

Game 951-952: Milwaukee at Philadelphia
Dunkel Ratings: Milwaukee (Sheets) 14.345; Philadelphia (Moyer) 15.795
Dunkel Line: Philadelphia by 1 1/2; 7 1/2
Vegas Line: Milwaukee (-120); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Philadelphia (+110); Under

Game 953-954: Colorado at Atlanta
Dunkel Ratings: Colorado (Jimenez) 15.056; Atlanta (Jurrjens) 13.951
Dunkel Line: Colorado by 1; 9 1/2
Vegas Line: Atlanta (-125); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Colorado (+115); Over

Game 955-956: Pittsburgh at Houston
Dunkel Ratings: Pittsburgh (Duke) 13.737; Houston (Oswalt) 16.306
Dunkel Line: Houston by 2 1/2; 9 1/2
Vegas Line: Houston (-300); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Houston (-300); Over

Game 957-958: Chicago Cubs at St. Louis
Dunkel Ratings: Chicago Cubs (Harden) 15.949; St. Louis (Wellemeyer) 14.607
Dunkel Line: Chicago Cubs by 1 1/2; 8 1/2
Vegas Line: Chicago Cubs (-140); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Chicago Cubs (-140); Over

Game 959-960: San Francisco at San Diego
Dunkel Ratings: San Francisco (Cain) 15.822; San Diego (Geer) 14.124
Dunkel Line: San Francisco by 2; 7
Vegas Line: San Francisco (-140); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: San Francisco (-140); Under

Game 961-962: Kansas City at Minnesota
Dunkel Ratings: Kansas City (Duckworth) 13.673; Minnesota (Liriano) 15.494
Dunkel Line: Minnesota by 2; 9 1/2
Vegas Line: Minnesota (-275); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Minnesota (-275); Over

Game 963-964: Cleveland at Baltimore
Dunkel Ratings: Cleveland (Jackson) 14.654; Baltimore (Bass) 13.460
Dunkel Line: Cleveland by 1; 10
Vegas Line: Baltimore (-115); 11
Dunkel Pick: Cleveland (+105); Under

Game 965-966: Toronto at Chicago White Sox
Dunkel Ratings: Toronto (Marcum) 17.098; White Sox (Floyd) 15.505
Dunkel Line: Toronto by 1 1/2; 10
Vegas Line: Chicago White Sox (-115); 9
Dunkel Pick: Toronto (+105); Over

Game 967-968: Seattle at LA Angels
Dunkel Ratings: Seattle (Morrow) 15.769; LA Angels (Weaver) 15.378
Dunkel Line: Seattle by 1/2; 9
Vegas Line: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 969-970: Texas at Oakland
Dunkel Ratings: Texas (Nippert) 17.132; Oakland (Braden) 15.061
Dunkel Line: Texas by 2; 10
Vegas Line: Oakland (-110); 9
Dunkel Pick: Texas (+100); Over


North Carolina at Rutgers
The Scarlet Knights try to bounce back from a Week 1 loss to Fresno State, but come into the game with just a 1-4 ATS record over the last three seasons as a favorite between 3 1/2 and 10 points. North Carolina is the underdog pick (+5 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has Rutgers favored by only 1.  Dunkel Pick: North Carolina (+5 1/2).

Game 101-102: North Carolina at Rutgers
Dunkel Ratings: North Carolina 86.328; Rutgers 87.544
Dunkel Line: Rutgers by 1; 48
Vegas Line: Rutgers by 5 1/2; 43 1/2
Dunkel Pick: North Carolina (+5 1/2); Over

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Re: Thursday Service Plays

JB's Computer Picks

Atlanta Braves -130
Houston Astros - 300 * * *
Los Angeles Angels -150

Best Bet ***

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Re: Thursday Service Plays

Psychic Sports Picks


PSYCHIC

1 unit NC/Rut OVER 45.5


DA STICK

10 units Rutgers -5

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Re: Thursday Service Plays

Tony Matthews

Oakland A's -125

We will side with the Oakland Athletics as they face-off against the Texas Rangers in Thursday's MLB contest. The Texas Rangers will use starting pitcher Dustin Nippert. Dustin Nippert has struggled pitching this entire season. In fact, Dustin Nippert has a 6.59 ERA on the season. We see Dustin Nippert pitching another bad game today. The Oakland Athletics will use starting pitcher Dallas Braden. Dallas Braden has been pitching very well as of late. In fact, Dallas Braden has a 1.50 ERA in his last 3 starts. We see Dallas Braden pitching another great game today. To say the least, there is a lot of value with the Oakland Athletics tonight! Take the Oakland Athletics!

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Re: Thursday Service Plays

Jeff Alexander Sports

Chicago Cubs vs. St Louis Cardinals   
Play: Over   

There hasn't been much for offense in this series thus far, but I like both teams to slug it out tonight, shattering this small number in the process. The Over is an impressive 15-5 in the Cubs last 20 road games, 8-1 in the Cubs last 9 Thursday games, and 20-8 in the Cubs last 28 road games vs. a right-handed starter. The Over is 5-1 in Cardinals last 6 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15 and 17-8-1 in the Cardinals last 26 games vs. a right-handed starter. Bet Over 7½ Runs tonight.

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Re: Thursday Service Plays

Drew Gordon

San Francisco -130 at SAN DIEGO 

Got to like the Giants here behind Matt Cain, even if his last two starts were shaky, he gets just what the doctor ordered with a soft-hitting, struggling Padres club tonight. The fact the Giants have won 5 in a row, including a 3-game sweep of Arizona in their last series, proves they're still playing hard. While the Padres on the other hand, appear to have thrown in the towel and it'll show in tonight's match up.

Despite going 0-4 in his last 9 career starts against the Padres, Matt Cain has posted a rock-solid 2.88 ERA over that span, losing in large part to lack of run support as opposed to bad pitching. In his last start at Petco, he limited the Friars to 1 run on 5 hits over 7 strong innings, striking out 7, back on April 23rd, and I expect more of the same tonight. Note, the Padres average 4.0 runs per game against righties at Petco, batting just .249 in the process!

Speaking of run support, look for the suddenly surging Giants to get plenty of oppurtunities against Josh Greer, making his 3rd Major League start tonight. While he's shown promise, his high pitch counts and penchant for walks do not bode well in this match up, especially with Giants crushing righties of late, batting a blistering .326 against them over their last 10 games! Greer is catching this Giants team at the wrong time, as they build off their 3-game sweep of the D-Backs to add another "W" tonight!

Bottom line, Cain finally gets rewarded for his consistently strong efforts against the Padres tonight, getting the support he needs, while he locks down a sputtering Padres offense that's counting down the days until seasons end. Giants extend their winning streak behind one of their best late Thursday at Petco!

Take San Francisco behind Cain over San Diego and Greer in late MLB action.

3♦ SAN FRANCISCO

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Re: Thursday Service Plays

SportsKingz

MLB

WHITESOX -120


CFB

N.CAROLINA/RUTGERS OVER 46

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Re: Thursday Service Plays

Tom Freese

Chicago at St. Louis

Chicago is 6-0 in the last 6 starts made by Rich Harden and they are 10-4 their last 14 road games vs. righty starters. The Cubs are 15-4 their last 19 road games and they are 9-3 in Game 3 of a series. St. Louis is 3-7 in the last 10 starts made by Todd Wellemeyer and they are 2-9 their last 11 Thursday games. The Red Birds are at a disadvantage here as they have never faced the Cubs Rich Harden. PLAY ON CHICAGO 

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Re: Thursday Service Plays

Mr A

Pittsburgh Pirates at Houston Astros
 
The hot Astros have won 13 of its last 14 games, and their last seven at home. Meanwhile, the struggling Pirates have lost 16 of their last 19 games, 1-6 in its last five on the road.

Pittsburgh's  Zach Duke (5-13, 4.87) is 1-2 with a 2.35 ERA in his last three starts. The lefthander  is 1-3 in seven career starts against the Astros, but is 1-0 with a 2.08 ERA in his last last three starts versus Houston..

Houston's Roy Oswalt (14-9, 3.72 ERA) is 3-0 with a 0.37 ERA in his last three starts. The right-hander is 11-6 with a 2.59 ERA in 22 starts versus Pittsburgh.

Houston has won 13 of their last 14 games at Minute Maid Park, 18-5 in their last 22 at home and has won eight of Oswalt's last 9 starts. Contrary, the plunging Pirates have lost 12 of their last 16 road games and sixth straight against Houston. Pittsburgh is 2-9 in Duke’s last 11 starts.

Let's stay on the hot Astros bandwagon with their ace Roy Oswalt on the hill for a four-game sweep of the Pirates tonight in Texas.

Houston Astros -300


North Carolina at Rutgers Rutgers

Rutgers' offense was sluggish last week against Fresno State in a 24-7 defeat, but should be able to handle the Tar Heels defense. Take the Scarlet Knights at home

Scarlet Knights -5

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Re: Thursday Service Plays

Gina

Kansas City Royals at Minnesota Twins

The Royals are struggling, especially on the road. Kansas City has lost 13 of their last 15 games away from home, 28-42 this season. To boot, they have been unsuccessful against Minnesota. Kansas City has lost 11 of the last 14 meetings against the Twins and four of the last five in Minnesota.

Go with the Twins and southpaw Francisco Liriano this afternoon at the Metrodome. The Twins have won nine of their last 12 games at home and Liriano’s last four home starts.


Minnesota Twins -290

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Re: Thursday Service Plays

Rocketman Sports

Toronto @ Chicago White Sox
Play:1* Toronto +115

Toronto is 8-1 in September this year. Toronto finally lost one last night after winning 10 in a row. Toronto bullpen has a very nice 2.85 ERA overall this year and a 3.25 ERA on the road this season. Marcum has a 3.42 ERA overall this year and a 3.45 ERA his last 3 starts. Toronto is 6-1 overall vs Chicago White Sox this year. Marcum is 2-0 with a 2.04 ERA overall vs Chicago White Sox since 1997. We'll recommend a small play on the Toronto Blue Jays! 

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Re: Thursday Service Plays

Ben Burns

Game: Chicago Cubs at St Louis Cardinals
Prediction: Chicago Cubs

The banged-up Cardinals lost last night and now tonight they've got to face one of the top pitchers in the game. Harden is 9-2 with an outstanding 1.99 ERA on the season. Over his last three starts he's 2-0 with a remarkable 0.95 ERA and 0.579 WHIP. Wellemeyer has also pitched well. However, his 4.57 ERA at home and 1.408 WHIP don't compare favorably to Harden's numbers. Consider CHICAGO

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Re: Thursday Service Plays

WUNDERDOG

MLB

Kansas City at Minnesota
Pick: Minnesota -299

This one may appear a bit "chalky" laying some heavy wood, but not chalky enough for the overall expectation. Francisco Liriano was by far the best pitcher in baseball with a 1.93 ERA before he was injured, and since he has been totally healthy again, he is again the best pitcher in baseball. When you put him on the mound at home over that time period he is 9-1 with a 1.22 ERA, and the Twins have outscored the opponents 56-19! The problem for the oddsmakers, how can you get action on a team if you put this one where it belongs at -550? Over 10 home starts the expected outcome is the Royals score 1 run here, so unless the Twins get shutout by a pitcher with a 6.60 ERA I look to be in good shape here. Since the Royal staff hasn't recorded a shutout since May 14th, this looks like a lot of value to me, and I'll back the Twins here.


WNBA

New York at Indiana
Pick: Indiana -3.5

The New York Liberty makes the trip to Indiana to take on the Fever. The Fever have had the Liberty’s number this season. These teams have met three times with the Fever winning by double digits at home and in New York, and in the second meeting in New York the Fever blew a seven-point halftime lead only to fall in overtime. The Liberty has had some ugly quarters trying to solve the Fever’s defense, hanging a single digit number twice as well as an 11 and 13. This is an opportunity to feel good at the end of the season by beating a good team they match-up well against at home, and I'll back the Fever in this one.


NCAAF

North Carolina at Rutgers
Pick: North Carolina +5.5

Rutgers has found that life after Ray Rice is going to be difficult. Last week they were held to less than 10 points in a game for just the second time in 29 games. Mike Teel moved the team between the 20s, but Rutgers had problems all game long getting into the end-zone. They were only able to generate just 3.1 yards per carry and that put a lot of pressure on Teel, who ultimately made two key mistakes, both ending in interceptions. The Rutgers defense also showed some shortcomings as they allowed 5.3 yards per carry and 422 yards in total. The Tar Heels had to come from behind to win against McNeese State and it took a tremendous effort by Brandon Tate to do it. Tate will be the most explosive man on the field for this one, as he netted 397all-purpose yards last week. He returned a punt 82 yards for a TDand a kickoff 54 yards. He also carried the ball three times for over 100 yards, and caught a TD pass for 57 yards. Overall, this North Carolina team has 10 starters back from their offense last season. Rutgers really struggled on offense, and if Tate gets free for an easy one, it is going to be hard for the Scarlet Knights to get it back. Both of these teams should play better in their second game, but unless Rutgers finds some consistent yardage in the backfield, Carolina will be right there at the end. I like the points here.

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Re: Thursday Service Plays

winning points ULTRASHARP perferred N.C. by 4, revenge calender cards cubs over 7.5  :-X

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Re: Thursday Service Plays

BRANDON LANG

20 Dime Southern Cal (Advanced Release)

5 Dime Rutgers

FREE - UNC/Rutgers Under

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Re: Thursday Service Plays

Black Magic Sports

1 Unit on Blue Jays/White Sox U 9

Two solid starting pitchers square off in Marcum vs. Floyd tonight.  This will be a pitcher’s duel from start to finish and I don’t foresee more than 6 runs crossing the plate Thursday.  Shaun Marcum is 8-6 with a 3.42 ERA this season, and he’s coming off an outing against Tampa Bay in which he pitched seven scoreless innings, allowing 4 hits and three walks while striking out seven.  Marcum didn’t allow a single run in his last start against the White Sox, a 2-0 Toronto victory.  Gavin Floyd is 9-2 with a 3.57 ERA at home.  He’s 2-0 with a 3.20 ERA through his last three starts as well.  Both pitchers have saved their best stuff for the end of the season.  The White Sox are 24-8 UNDER on a good fielding streak, 15 straight games with one or less errors this season.  Marcum is 13-3 UNDER vs. poor base-running teams - averaging 0.5 or less SB's/game over the last 3 seasons.  Cash in with the UNDER 9 runs.

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Re: Thursday Service Plays

Locksmith Sports

1 Unit on St. Louis Cardinals +130

I like the Cards showing great value in the home dog role in the deciding game of this series.  The Cubs have been struggling at 2-8 in their last 10 overall and only 1-6 in their last 7 vs. a team with a winning record.  Harden has had a solid season for both the A's and the Cubs, but I expect him to show some rust after an extended stay away from the rotation.  The Cardinals are an impressive 13-6 in their last 19 home games vs. a team with a winning road record and 4-0 in Wellemeyer's last 4 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance.  The Cards need every win they can get the rest of the way out to try to claw their way into the NL Wild Card.  I like their chances in tonight's spot.

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