Today's Free Pick is Green Bay -2

Thanks and good luck with all your wagers,
feel free to contact us anytime,

Maddux Sports Staff


We're now 5-2 in our last 7 and looking to move to 6-2 today.
Get on the Vikings tonight! Minnesota is now 7-1ATS in their last 8 trips to
Green Bay... They aren't intimidated AT ALL by the frozen tundra of Lambeau
1, but Minnesota's defense should be VERY strong this season, and with
Aaron Rodgers starting his first ever Monday night football game tonight, I
look for him to have his share of turnovers while the Vikings simply feed the
rock to Adrian Peterson and let him work. Vikings plus the 3pts. tonight. ***

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We are doing some updates today and will get everything up in a bit guys.

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ok thanks for the update. Was wondering  ;D

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jeb467 wrote:

ok thanks for the update. Was wondering  ;D

As you can tell the bugs are giving the boss fits so please be paitent

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Carlo Campanella

Cincinnati Reds at Milwaukee Brewers

Milwaukee starts Dave Bush on the mound as they host the Reds on Monday. Bush is coming off one of his worst performances of the season, a 9-2 loss to the NY Mets in which he was shelled for 6 Earned Runs in just 5 Innings Pitched! Bush is a solid pitcher that's 6-4 with a 3.62 ERA when starting at home this season and has rebounded with a 3-1 record after allowing 6 Earned Runs or more this year, including 3 victories in a row! Expecting him to turn this around once again tonight.

Play on: Milwaukee


Vegas Experts

Minnesota Vikings at Green Bay Packers

Tough to bypass a trend that has seen the underdog cash 23 of the last 32 tickets in this head-to-head rivalry, but considering the pressure that will be on both QB's, we expect conservative playcalling and possibly multiple turnovers. The Vikings are 16-6 Under on Monday Night appearances since 1992 and have started 2-0 Under each of the last two seasons. Pressure will be on Rogers and it's going to be no walk in the park against the league's best run defense.

Play on: Under


Alex Smart

Los Angeles Dodgers -140

The LA Dodgers enter into tonights road tilt against the San Diego Padres on a 8 game winning streak, and I expect they will make it 9 in a row after tonight , as they send veteran Greg Maddux ( 7-11, 4.18 ERA) out to the hill to face his former team mates.

The right hander allowed allowed two runs and six hits in 5 2-3 innings of work against the Padres in a 5-2 victory last Monday. The future Hall of Famer has pitched well at PETCO this season ,as is evident by a 2.62 ERA and 0.98 WHIP in 14 starts , and should be primed to stop what has to be considered MLBs worst hitting team.

Meanwhile, the Padres will return fire with struggling thrower Cha Seung Baek (4-9, 5.34) . The right-hander in his last outing, which came against the Dodgers, was awful, as he allowed seven runs and eight hits in 3 2-3 innings of an 8-4 loss . The native of Korea is 0-4 with along with a bloated 6.35 ERA in his last five starts overall, and could easily end up as cannon fodder , against a Dodgers offense, that has churned out 6.5 RPG during their current hot run.

Final notes & Key Trends: Maddux when he starts has seen his team go 31-15 L/46 against division foes. Dodgers have won 7 straight, against righties like Baek. Padres have lost 6 of Baeks last 7 home starts.

With that said, I am recommend riding the momentum of the Dodgers on the moneyline


Bob Harvey

Minnesota Vikings @ Green Bay Packers Under 38.0

Aaron Rodgers and the Packers begin the post-Brett Favre era in Green Bay tonight when they host the Vikings. The focus (and I’m guessing a considerable amount of pressure) will be on Rodgers, who has just 443 fewer NFL touchdown passes than #4. No quarterback other than Favre has started a game for Green Bay in 16 years. In fact the only action Rodgers saw in his three years was in mop-up duty. He's thrown just 59 passes and one touchdown in his brief career, but he did play well in the preseason. However the game will speed up considerably for Rodgers tonight and the Pack will need to run the ball effectively to help him out. Lost in the whole Favre drama were the tampering charges against the Vikings, etc. That will add even more emotion and hard hitting then we might see between these bitter NFC North rivals. Defense will determine this one. Green Bay allowed only 18.2 points per game last season, second in the NFC. Meanwhile, no team was tougher to run on than the Vikings last season. Minnesota allowed an average of just 74.1 yards on the ground in 2007, though opponents had plenty of success in the air.

Offensively, I’m not sold on Tavarius Jackson as an NFL caliber quarterback and I expect Green Bay’s play-calling to be pretty conservative tonight will Rodgers gets his feet wet. Speaking of wet, there’s a chance of rain tonight in Green Bay. The weather, the running game, the conservative nature of this two teams all have me thinking long and hard about an UNDER play in this one.


LT Profits

Minnesota Vikings +2.5

The Aaron Rodgers era begins for the Green Bay Packers tonight, but look for a very good Minnesota Vikings defense to make his debut as a starter unpleasant, and for a couple of turnovers to lead to a Vikings victory.

Yes, Rodgers did look good for the most part in the preseason, but remember after all that is was preseason. Moreover, the teams that Rodgers faced (Cincinnati, San Francisco, Denver) have trouble stopping teams in real games, let alone the vanilla preseason versions of their defenses, and the Packers are now facing a stout defense here.

In fact, given what happened to the New York Giants in the offseason and preseason, a solid case can be made that Minnesota now has the best defensive line in the NFL. We look for the new Purple People Eaters to spend quite a bit of time in the Green Bay backfield, and the jury is still out on whether or not Rodgers can handle that kind of pressure.

Now we are not expecting the Minnesota offense to be explosive by any means, especially with the mobility of Tarvaris Jackson limited by his MCL injury. However, Adrian Peterson by himself will probably be enough for the Vikings to score just enough points to get the win here, unless Rodgers exceeds our expectations in his first pro start.

The Vikings are probably the favorite to win the NFC North this season, and we look for them to take a step in that direction by going on the road an upending the reining division champs on the national TV stage.

Pick: Vikings +2.5

Los Angeles Dodgers @ San Diego Padres Over 7.5

The Los Angeles Dodgers have suddenly won eight straight games after being left for dead following a 10-game losing streak less than two weeks ago, as Manny Ramirez has refused to let them die by carrying the offense.

The San Diego Padres scored 10 runs themselves yesterday, and they are very familiar with Greg Maddux, who was with San Diego until July and is starting for the Dodgers tonight. Given that Padres starter Cha Seung Baek is coming back to earth after a good start, we feel these teams should fly Over this low total with relative ease.

Baek has failed to record a Quality Start in his last three outings, posting a bloated 7.71 ERA and 1.59 WHIP in 16.1 innings in the process. He faced these Dodgers just last week in Los Angeles, and the results were not pretty, as he was roughed up for seven earned runs and eight hits while lasting just 3.2 innings

Now normally, we like to take a long look at the opposite result of the first meeting when a pitcher faces the same team for the second time in less than a week, as baseball is about making the proper adjustments. However, the Dodgers are pummeling everyone right now, scoring at least five runs in every games of their eight-game winning streak, so we do not expect Baek to slow them down tonight either.

Now Maddux has not been great since putting on the Dodger uniform, with a 5.94 ERA and a very un-Maddux-like 1.50 WHIP in three starts for LA. He has also yet to six innings since coming over, so it is obvious that the sunset to a brilliant career is not too far off. It also does not help his cause that the Padres are actually hitting right-handers well lately, batting .281 against them over the past 10 games.

Now we are well aware of what a pitchers paradise this stadium is, but this still seems like a very low total when you consider the current state of both these starting pitchers and these offenses.

Pick: Dodgers, Padres Over 7.5


Matt Foust

Cincinnati Reds @ Milwaukee Brewers Over 8.0

Tonight the Brewers will look to get things straightened out against one of their division rivals, the Cincinnati Reds. The Brewer bats have been ice cold lately and they will be dealing with Edinson Volquez, one of the best road pitchers in baseball. The Reds are out of the playoff race but they are trying to inch toward some amount of respectability. They too will need to get their bats working. Ever the contrarian, we are going to go with the Over 8 in this NL Central division battle.

The Reds aspirations are far different from the Brewers at this point but they would like to finish out of the NL Central cellar and they have a legitimate shot to do that. Dave Bush may be a nice elixir for what has been some weak Reds production of late. Bush has given up 20 earned runs in his last five home starts, and after looking good for a stretch, he has reverted to his mediocre form.

The best way for Milwaukee to get out of their funk will be to pound out some runs against the tough Volquez. The Brew Crew’s offense has generated just 11 runs in their last five games, but I look for that to change this evening. They have seen some great pitching recently and that may help them tonight.

Suffice it to say that Dave Bush would be pleased if he never saw a Reds uniform for the rest of his pitching life. Cincinnati has been the equivalent of acid to an ulcer when facing Bush. In Bush’s nine career starts versus the Reds, the total has gone over eight times by an average of four runs per game (Over 8-0-1, Average game score = 12.80). Bush has given up 37 earned runs in his last nine starts versus the Reds and the total has never been fewer than eight runs. The Brewers are just 3-6 in those Bush starts.

Pick: Brewers/Reds OVER 8


Jimmy Boyd
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Chicago White Sox   
Play: Chicago White Sox     

The Blue Jays are red hot but they'll run into a cooler tonight as the Sox have been among the most dominant home teams in baseball this season. The White Sox are 40-15 in their last 55 home games, 12-3 in Vazquez's last 15 starts during game 1 of a series, and 4-0 in Vazquezs last 4 starts with 4 days of rest. The Jays have only won once in their last 5 meetings on the South Side and are just 1-6 in Burnett's last 7 road starts vs. a team with a winning record. Take the Sox at a nice price at home tonight.


Will Cover
Packers/Vikings UNDER

First of two games to kick off the MNF season and we see a relatively low-scoring affair in this Green Bay Packers/Minnesota Vikings affair. QB Rodgers makes his first start for the Pack after replacing the legendary Favre who now resides in the Big Apple. Inexperience and first game jitters should slow down this Packers offense under Rodgers who will be facing a fierce Minny defensive line. Vikes' QB Tavares also lacks experience and we expect him to struggle especially on the road at Green Bay, never an easy place to play. Defensive battle has us on the UNDER!


Greg Daraban

NYY at LA Angels

Both teams must travel to as LA comes home from Chicago after the road trip. The Yankees were in Seattle playing the Mariners in Seattle. At the present moment LA has just about rapped up the West leading by 17 games. The Yankees are 8.5 back of
of Boston in the Wild Card. Pavano 2-0 takes on Garland 12-8 Low scoring Game

Take NYY/LAA Under


Great Lakes Sports

Cincinnati at Milwaukee
Play: 4* Cincinnati Reds

The Cincinnati Reds starting pitcher Volquez has been one of the few bright spots for the Reds this season as he has an outstanding 16-4 record with a 3.15era this year, and the Cincinnati Reds are 4-2 when playing at Milwaukee this year. The Milwaukee Brewers are a terrible 2-5 when playing in September this year, and have struggled of late going 2-5 in their last seven games. We look for the Cincinnati Red to beat the Milwaukee Brewers in this key National League showdown for the road win tonight.


Tom Freese

Cleveland at Baltimore

Cleveland is 11-1 their last 12 road games and they are 26-10 their last 36 Monday gamees. The Indians are 14-6 vs. a pitcher with a WHIP of over 1.30 and they are 8-1 behind Fausto Carmona vs. losing teams. Baltimore is 18-37 their last 55 games and they are 1-11 off a loss. The Orioles are 0-8 their last 8 games vs. righty starters and they are 3-7 in the last 10 starts made by Garrett Olson. PLAY ON CLEVELAND - (Carmona vs. Olson)


Jimmy The Moose

Florida Marlins at Philadelphia Phillies
Prediction: Philadelphia Phillies

The Marlins are 4-13 in their last 17 games vs. a right-handed starter. Florida has lost 6 of their last 7 road games vs. a right-handed starter. Florida is 1-6 in Sanchez's last 7 road starts. Florida has lost his last 5 starts vs. division opponents. Philadelphia has won 5 of their last 6 home games. In their last 14 home games following a road trip of 7 days or more the Phillies are 12-2. Philadelphia is 45-22 in their last 67 series openers. The Marlins are 7-15 in their lsat 22 trips to Philadelphia. Play on the Phillies -.


Matt Fargo

Cincinnati Reds at Milwaukee Brewers
Prediction: Milwaukee Brewers

This is a great price for Milwaukee. Teams vying for the playoffs often get their prices pushed way up but the Brewers are getting solid value here especially playing at home. Milwaukee remains in first place in the Wild Card standings, leading the Phillies by four games and Cardinals by five games. With seven games coming up against the Phillies and Cubs on the road, this series becomes even more important. Despite allowing 10 runs yesterday, the team ERA is 3.10 over the last 10 games.

The Reds defeated the Cubs yesterday to win the three-game set but now it is off to the road where they have struggled all season. Cincinnati is 26-43 away from home and coming off that Sunday win doesn?t bode well as the Reds are 3-11 in their last 14 games following a win. The offense did some damage during its homestand but the Reds are hitting just .241 on the road which is the third worst average in all of baseball. This includes a .239 mark against righties.

David Bush is coming off a horrendous start but it was limited to just one inning and it can be chalked up as an aberration. Bush was 4-0 with a 2.12 ERA in five August starts with all five out those games being quality outings. Even more unusual was that the last game was at home where Bush has been solid, posting a 3.21 ERA prior to that start. Still, he has a 3.62 ERA at Miller Park compared to 5.32 on the road so it is a given where he likes to pitch.

Edinson Volquez started the season superbly but he has been very inconsistent lately. In 19 starts leading up to the All-Star break, he was 12-3 with a 2.29 ERA and 1.24 WHIP, In nine starts since then he is 4-2 with a 4.99 ERA and 1.51 WHIP. This is the time of the year where young pitchers tend to implode as their innings keep rising. Fatigue plays a big role and it looks at though Edinson is starting to feel it. The Brewers tagged him for five runs in five innings last month. Play Milwaukee Brewers 1.5 Units


Lenny Del Genio

Cleveland Indians at Baltimore Orioles M
Prediction: Baltimore Orioles

The Indians have lost money vs. lefties this season and Fausto Carmona simply has not regained 07 form. Therefore, well take a shot with the underdog O's, noting they have made a nice profit vs. righties in night games this season (+$1640). Take Baltimore.

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Ben Burns

Arizona Diamondbacks at San Francisco Giants
Prediction: San Francisco Giants

This price has come down to the point where I now believe we're getting solid value with the favorite. The Diamondbacks are struggling. In fact, they've lost three straight and 11 of 15. Things don't get any easier, as tonight they'll have to deal with Tim Lincecum. The Giants' ace has proven to be one of the best in the game and is in the running for this year's NL CY Young award. Lincecum is 4-0 with a 2.14 ERA over his last eight starts and is 15-3 with an outstanding 2.60 ERA on the season. He's 1-0 against the Diamondbacks this year and 2-0 with a 2.25 ERA against them for his career. Petit, who has a 5.11 ERA for his career, gets the call for the visitors. He gave up three home runs in just 4 2/3 innings his last start. By comparison, Lincecum has allowed just one home in his last eight starts combined. Consider San Francisco.


Frank Rosenthal

901 FISH OVER 9.5 SB
904 ASTROS-120 SB
905 REDS UNDER 8.5 SB+
908 PADRES+130 SB
OVER 7.5 SB+
914 COOKIES+115 SB
918 CWS-115 SB

479 VIKINGS+2.5 SB
UNDER 41.5 SB+


Jeff Hochman

Los Angeles Dodgers vs. San Diego Padres
Play: Los Angeles Dodgers   

The Dodgers are 8-0 since Jeff Kent left the team for knee surgery. That makes me look good as I told Tony K three weeks ago that the Dodgers might be better off without the future Hall of Famer. Makes you wonder about the problems he had with the younger players last season. Blake Dewitt has played a tremendous 2B with a .300 batting average. Greg Maddux has an ERA of under 2 in all games on the West Coast. Baek is 0-1 when starting against the Dodgers with an ERA of 17.17 and a WHIP of 2.725. Light play on the Dodgers.


Gregg Price

New York Yankees vs. LAA Angels    
Play: New York Yankees     

Yanks - Lets take the Yanks here. Angels coming off a road trip, and a grueling series with the W.S. The yanks were already on the west coast, so they won't be tired. Plus with the Yanks just about being out of it there is no pressure to beat the angels, cause we all know when it counts they have no chance against these guys. Plus Pavano is pitching for a new contract somewhere.


Sean Higgs

Denver Broncos vs. Oakland Raiders    
Play: Denver Broncos     

We will back the Broncos here. Mike Shanahan loves to stick it to Al Davis. Russell and McFadden will show fashes of brilliance, but right now we will take the more veteran team and the better coach


Larry Ness

New York Yankees @ Los Angeles Angels
PICK: Los Angeles Angels

The Angels were the only AL team to own a winning record over the Yankees in the Joe Torre era and the Angels have FIVE of seven meetings with the Yankees in '08, including a three-game sweep here in Anaheim from August 8-10. The Angels "magic number" is down to just three (can clinch the AL West during this series), while the Yankees are almost assured of missing the playoffs for the first time in 14 years. The 76-67 Yankees have fallen into fourth place in the AL East (now behind Toronto) and with just 19 games remaining, trail the Red Sox by 8 1/2 games in the wild card race (bye-bye Yanks!). The Angels own MLB's best record at 86-56 and the Yankees are a rather pedestrian 36-36 on the road, as the team which hit a MLB-high .290 last year and averaged 6.0 RPG (also a ML-high), is hitting just .272 as a team in '08, while scoring 4.85 RPG (4.56 on the road). Carl Pavano continues his remarkable comeback story, making his fourth consecutive start. Pavano rode an 18-8 season in '04 with the Marlins to sign a four-year $40-million deal with the Yanks but injuries have kept him on the sidelines for almost the entire time. He made just 17 starts in '05 (4-6 with a 4.77 ERA), NONE in '06 and just two April starts in '07. He finally returned to the mound two Saturdays ago at Baltimore and is 2-0 with a 4.20 ERA in three starts (team is 3-0). He'll be opposed by LA's top off-season pitching acquisition, Jon Garland. Garland has been a disappointment, going 12-8 with a 4.64 ERA. He's made nine starts since the break, allowing exactly five ERs in five of those nine games, posting a 5.59 ERA. Surprisingly, he's 4-2 and the Angels are 6-3 in those games. Pavano's been lucky up to now but the Angels are known "Yankee killers" and get the win tonight. Take the Angels.


Stephen Nover

Cleveland Indians @ Baltimore Orioles
PICK: Cleveland Indians

When talking about dead teams, the Baltimore Orioles have to be near the head of the class.

The Orioles have dropped 13 of their last 14, including their last eight in a row. During their past eight games, Baltimore has been outscored, 76-29. That's an average loss of more than six runs per game.

Cleveland, by contrast, is surging winning 21 of its past 29. This includes 11 victories in its last 12 road games.

Helping pump up the Indians is the return of All-Star catcher Victor Martinez.

The pitching matchup heavily favors Cleveland, too. Fausto Carmona is getting back to his excellent 2007 groove. Out since late July because of a hip strain, Carmona has rounded into shape. He's 3-1 with a 3.28 ERA during his past four starts, facing four strong hitting clubs - the White Sox, Tigers, Rangers and Angels.

Orioles starter Garrett Olson has been exposed going through the league a second time. He has an 11.81 ERA with a 2.38 WHIP during his past four starts.

The price should be much, much higher here. But because it isn't, the Indians make a good sound value investment.


Black Widow Sports

1* on Cleveland Indians -122

The Cleveland Indians are playing much better baseball in the second half of the season.  They are trying to build some momentum heading into next season, as the Indians are now just 3 games below .500.  We know that Cleveland is playing for pride knowing that they want to finish the year above .500.  The Orioles are not a team playing for pride, as they’ve lost 8 straight games heading into tonight.  Fausto Carmona is finding his groove, going 3-0 with a 3.57 ERA in his last three starts.  Garrett Olson has been putrid, going 0-1 with a 10.12 ERA in his last three starts for Baltimore.  Cleveland is 8-1 (+9.1 Units) against the money line in road games with an on base percentage of .350 or better over their last 20 games this season.  Baltimore is 0-7 (-8.6 Units) against the money line in home games after 6 or more consecutive losses over the last 2 seasons.  Take the Indians on the Money Line.



Minnesota at Green Bay

The post-Favre era takes center stage on Monday Night Football's early game. Aaron Rodgers and the Packers look to put Favre, and his 17 seasons as the face of the Packers, behind them with a victory over the Vikings. This team still has high expectations, despite the departure of their Hall of Fame QB, thanks to a strong defense and surprisingly strong running game with the emergence of Ryan Grant in the second half of last season. The Vikings are similar in several ways in that they have a very tough defense and very strong ground game. As a result, this game will probably come down to which QB plays better. The underdog is 23-9 ATS the past 32 games in this series. Thirteen of Green Bay's seventeen games last season went OVER the total.

Denver at Oakland

This is a big game for both teams. Denver has high hopes after a dissapointing 2007 campaign. With Jay Cutler's diabetes in check, Denver has hopes for reaching the playoffs this year behind the 3rd year emerging star. Lane Kiffin enters his second year with the pressure building. Oakland has been no less than the worst team in football since the 2003 season, posting a combined 19-61 record. That losing has enabled the Raiders to draft into skill positions that will hopefully begin paying dividends this season. DeMarcus Russell, a former #1 pick, finally inherits this team. The Darren McFadden era also starts tonight. Jay Cutler will be without his favorite target tonight, Brandon Marshall, who is serving a suspension. Denver is just 2-10 ATS inside of the divison the last two years. But, Oakland is 1-8 ATS over the same time span in close games (lined at -3 to +3).

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1 Unit on Houston Astros -125

Houston finds themselves only 6 games out of the N.L. Wild Card.  It’s clear that this team is not going to give up on their season until they are mathematically eliminated.  This series against the Pirates offers a great opportunity for the Astros to inch even closer to the Wild Card spot.  The Astros are 10-1 in their last 11 games overall, dominating teams like the Cubs, Cards and Rockies along the way.  Pirates’ starter Ian Snell is 3-7 with a 6.63 ERA on the road in 2008.  Pittsburgh is 9-31 in road games after allowing 8 runs or more over the last 2 seasons.  The Pirates are 2-17 in road games after allowing 10 runs or more over the last 2 seasons.  After a terrible pitching performance, the Pirates never seem to be able to get things turned around right away, especially when playing on the road.  Cash in with the red-hot Astros as the favorite Monday.


Locksmith Sports

1 Unit on Chicago White Sox -110

The Blue Jays are red hot but they'll run into a cooler tonight as the Sox have been among the most dominant home teams in baseball this season.  The White Sox are 40-15 in their last 55 home games, 12-3 in Vazquez's last 15 starts during game 1 of a series, and 4-0 in Vazquez's last 4 starts with 4 days of rest.  The Jays have only won once in their last 5 meetings on the South Side and are just 1-6 in Burnett's last 7 road starts vs. a team with a winning record.  Take the Sox at a nice price at home tonight.


Mr East

Cleveland Indians @ Baltimore Orioles
Pick: 3 units Cleveland Indians -135

The Indians have quietly gone on a 20-8 run and are flirting with the .500 mark which they would love to attain after a horrible, injury laden start. It is no coincidence that the Indians have gotten better with the return of Victor Martinez after elbow surgery. Martinez drove in all 3 runs in the Tribe's win yesterday. It also helps having Fausto Carmona back in the rotation as he has pitched to a 3.28 ERA over his last 4 starts. The O's have really gone down the toilet, having dropped 8 in a row and 13 of 14. The O's are giving up nearly 10 runs a game in the 8 game skid. have to back the Tribe in this one.


3Daily Winners

Cleveland Indians vs. Baltimore Orioles
Play: Cleveland Indians

Baltimore has lost eight straight, giving us reason to back Cleveland. Play On all favorites with a money line of -110 or higher, with a team batting average of .265 or worse on the season (AL), after allowing three runs or less three straight games. The logic here is the pitching is overcoming the hitting. Baltimore has allowed 8.3 runs per game in last seven losses. This system is 119-43,73.5 percent the last five seasons. Take the Tribe.


Joseph D'Amico

Tampa Bay Rays vs. Boston Red Sox
Play: Boston Red Sox -1.5

Wow. What a week we had in football. We went 4-1 on Saturday and Sunday. Tonight we release our 1st Monday Night Football Winner. Last season we were 10-3 on Monday Night. Don't miss this Guaranteed Winner. Hello my name is Joseph D'Amico. Today's Free Winner is the Boston Red Sox on the RUN LINE over the Tampa Bay Devil Ray's. In the big race for A.L. East suprmacy, Tampa Bay has a 1 1/2 game lead over the 2nd place Red Sox. The season serires is tied at 6 games apiece. But the D-Ray's come into this game ice cold losing 3 straight. Tampa Bay is a dismal 9-45 their last 54 meetings in Boston. Boston owns one of the Major league's best home records at 48-19 and over their last 75 home games the Boys from Beantown are a whopping 55-20 at home. On the mound for Boston today is Lester. He is 8-1 at home with an ERA of 2.87. In the left-handers 12.1 innings pitched against Tampa Bay this season,he is 2-0 with a 1.46 ERA. Tampa Bay sends Jackson to the bump. He is 6-3 on the road with an ERA of 3.26. In the right-hander's 16.0 innings vs. Boston this season,he is 0-2 with a 6.19 ERA. The Red Sox average 5.44 RPG compared to the 4.74 RPG average of the Devil Ray's. With the big stick of Boston combined with the contrast in pitching ,take the Red Sox on the RUN LINE.


Dave Cokin

NYY Yankees @ LA Angels
Take LA Angels

It's going to seem mighty weird to watch a baseball post-season that doesn't include the Yankees. They're finished for this year, and they're playing like it right now. The Yanks just dropped two of three to lowly Seattle and now have to continue their long road trip with three in Anaheim. Jon Garland has been lousy lately for the Halos, but I'll still give him an edge over Carl Pavano. The Angels have the far superior bullpen and I think they'll be up for this series as they get back home. I'll go with the Angels as moderate chalk tonight.


Jim Feist

NYY Yankees @ LA Angels
Take NYY Yankees

The Yankees' 7-4 victory over the Mariners got them a little closer in the pennant race. "We are not dead yet," manager Joe Girardi said. "It's a big hill, but we still have life. We need help." The victory sliced the Red Sox' wild-card lead to 7.5 games with 19 games remaining. Starter Carl Pavano (2-0) has been decent, with a good sinker, his best pitch when he was healthy and going good. And, of course, this offense is still potent. The Angels have had little to play for the last month with such a huge lead and have been resting players. The Yankees have been all over starter Jered Weaver this season as he has a 9.00 ERA against them. For his career (22 innings) he has a 6.14 ERA against the Bronx Bombers. A good spot for the hungry dog. Play the Yankees



Minnesota Vikings vs Green Bay Packers

Monday Night Football has the Favre-less Green Bay Packers at home versus the Minnesota Vikings. You would think that “the solid Packer playoff team” from last year lost half of their team in addition to their aging star, Brett Favre.

The visiting Minnesota Vikings are collecting about 70% of the bets. All of this public money has pushed the “number” off of the huge key number of 3. There is good value in getting Green Bay -2 at home. We’ll “bet against the public” and grab this contrarian value.

Green Bay Packers -2


Sports Reporter newsletter



We all know Mike Shanahan has long held an axe to grind against Al Davis’ skull for past transgressions, but does his team have the personnel to fulfill his blood grudge against the silver and black? Oakland experienced yet another offseason full of turmoil, but unquestionably upgraded their team. Coach Lane Kiffin finds himself with nothing to lose, knowing that if he is fired he will collect the full balance remaining on his contract – giving him the rare freedom to do as he pleases without fear of reprisal. That might mean the traditionally high-flying Raiders run the ball more than most teams in the NFL, featuring great depth at running back, including top draft pick Darren McFadden – this year’s version of Adrian Peterson. Denver is hoping to unveil a high-flying aerial attack to complement shaky depth at running back, but will be held back in the first game due to Brandon Marshall’s suspension and an improved Raiders’ secondary. Will any of Denver’s slow-footed back-up receivers be able to find room to manuever against Nnamdi Asomugha and DeAngelo Hall? Look for a game decided on the ground and by the respective defenses. DENVER, 16-13

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20* American League Selection of the Day

Cleveland Indians


20* Broncos


2 STAR: (905) CINCINNATI (+$123) over Milwaukee
(Listing Volquez only) (Risking $200 to win $246)

2 STAR: (909) ARIZONA (+$164) over San Francisco
(Action) (Risking $200 to win $328)

Arthur Ralph

Super Pick Chicago White Sox

900 Blue Ribbon Green Bay -2

Ben Burns



Vikings/Packers Under

Players of America

Cincinnati Reds vs. Milwaukee Brewers
The Play: Milwaukee Brewers -130.0
Star Value: 3* (30 Units)

Good day. We're going to fire one more time at this regular season thing, and if it doesn't work out we'll be pocketing our profits for the MLB regular season and passing until the post season. It's been a rough runaround these last few weeks and we refuse to give any more of our hard earned profits back to the books this time of year. We're coming out firing at the books today with two decent size plays in baseball to jumpstart some big time momentum. Below is a brief overview of our progress through the current season:

Major League Baseball
1* 106-103 +541.20 Units
3* 35-25
5* 6-5
10* GOY 1-0

As we waltz into Monday and start a new week, it's time to start taking advantage of some of these positional teams. Our first release will come from Milwaukee as the Brewers are set to host the visiting Cincinnati Reds. Milwaukee is coming off a disaster night at home, while the Reds come in stealing one from the Cubs at Great American Ballpark. These two teams couldn't be further away from each other on the spectrum, the Brewers at 82-60 and the Reds at 63-79.

The big right hander, David Bush, will start for Milwaukee Monday night. David comes in 9-10 overall with a WHIP of 1.15 and an ERA right around 4.30. Bush has been rather solid his last few times out. He's 2-1 in his last three appearances and has gone 18 plus innings respectively. Both of these squads are an even 5-5 in their last ten totals, but one is playing for position in the playoffs while the other is playing for pride. The Brewers need this one just a wee bit more than the Reds, and coming off that embarrassing loss, it's a great spot to take advantage of a hungry ballclub.

The Reds will give it to Edinson Volquez to start. Edinson comes in at a very good 16-5 overall in 170 total innings, with a WHIP of 1.32. He is 1-0 in his last three starts with two no decisions, but has gotten pretty roughed up. He has racked up an ERA of 6.39 in those three starts, and a WHIP of 1.47. Whether his confidence is still there is subjective, but you don't want to be "slumping" against a line up like the Brewers. Milwaukee is finally healthy and really has something to prove tonight.and that is that they belong in the 2008 MLB Playoffs.

Believe it or not, a rather reasonable price here on Milwaukee. A small amount of chalk to lay on a vastly better team, and we'll do it. We're going to lay 30 units for a 3* wager on the Brewers as they take care of business at home Monday night.

-The Brewers are 20-8 in their last 28 games on grass
-The Brewers are 20-8 in their last 28 games overall

Milwaukee 6, Cincinnati 4

Toronto Blue Jays vs. Chicago White Sox
The Play: Chicago White Sox -125.0
Star Value: 3* (30 Units)

Next, and for our final release, we'll be riding another team in a big time pennant race.this time from the American League. The Chicago White Sox are scheduled to host the visiting Toronto Blue Jays Monday night at 8:10PM EST. The White Sox are coming off a very hard fought battle with western foe Anaheim Angels, but now is the time to capitalize and put some space between themselves and the Twins in the AL Central.

Chicago comes in at 80-61 overall. A lot of bettors might shy away from this one because of Burnett being on the mound for Toronto, but not us. Guillen and staff have elected to start righty Javier Vazquez. Javier is 11-12 overall, and has pitched very, very consistently all season long. He's a hard spot in the White Sox rotation and never an easy guy to hit. His WHIP is solid at 1.30 and his ERA is legit at 4.34 (in over 183 innings).

Toronto gives it to the infamous A.J. Burnett. There is no putting this guy down, he is a very good pitcher. He is also a solid spot in Toronto's rotation, but he is human and he is very hittable, especially to a line up like Chicago's. He's 16-10 overall, with a WHIP of 1.40 and an ERA of about 4.50. A.J. is 0-1 in his last three games giving up over 20 hits in about 21 total innings pitched.

There is a ton of energy flowing through Chicago this time of year. The Cubbies are among the best in baseball, but the White Sox have other things to say about that. Again, the Sox are very affordable Monday night. We'll lay the small juice for a 3* / 30 unit wager to get us all back on track heading into a very near post season.

-The White Sox are 40-14 in their last 54 home games

Chicago 5, Toronto 2


20* Broncos/Raiders Under
200* Minny

Inside Play Clev
20* Cincy
200* White Sox

Big Al

3* Raiders

LT Profits

2 Units Denver

Ron Raymond


Denver Broncos

Larry Ness

Las Vegas Insider-MLB (now 50-28 since May 26)

My Las Vegas Insider is on the Mil Brewers at 8:05 ET. All of a sudden, the Brewers have stopped scoring. They are trying to catch the Cubs in the NL Central plus want to maintain their edge as the NL's wild card team, if nothing else. However, the Brewers have dropped FIVE of their last seven games, while scoring a measly 16 runs (that's 2.29 per). Prince Fielder's bat has been quiet for 10 games now (hitting just .132 over that span), while Ryan Braun hasn't driven in a run in six games. With a chance to take three of four games from the Padres on Sunday, Gabe Kapler had to break up Chris Young's perfect game with an eighth-inning HR (Milwaukee lost 10-1). The Brewers open a three-game series with the Reds tonight, who actually helped the Brewers this past weekend, by taking two of three games from the Cubs in Cincy. The Reds will send All Star Edinson Volquez (16-5, 3.12 ERA) to the mound Monday night but Volquez has not been the same in the second half. He was 12-3 with a 2.29 ERA at the break in 19 starts (team was 14-5), allowing only 30 ERs over 117.2 innings. However, in nine starts since then, he's 4-2 (team is 4-5), allowing almost as many ERs (29) in just 52.1 innings, as he did in his 117.2 innings (30 ERs) prior to the break. His second-half ERA is 4.99 and he's pitching for a team with one of MLB's worst road records (26-43 / minus-$1,177). Milwaukee will send Dave Bush to the hill, who is coming off a brutal start in his last outing. The Mets won at Milwaukee last Monday and Tuesday and in Wednesday's "getaway day" game, Bush allowed six first-inning runs. He hung around for four more scoreless innings but the damage was done, as the Brewers lost 9-2 and were swept. However, it's impossible to ignore that Bush had been pitching very well prior to that, having allowed three ERs or less in NINE of his previous 12 starts, with the Brewers going 10-2. In '06 and '07 Bush saw the Brewers go 20-10 in his home starts but just 10-23 in his road starts and while recently he's pitched better on the road, his '08 record still reveals that his home ERA is 3.62 with Milwaukee going 10-4 and his road ERA is 5.32, with Milwaukee going 4-7. I expect Bush to bounce back from last Wednesday's terrible outing and for Milwaukee to win here. Las Vegas Insider on the Mil Brewers.

15* NFC North Game of the Month

Can Rodgers rise to the challenge? Favre opened with a win yesterday, as the Jets beat the Dolphins in Miami (two TD passes) and all eyes turn to Lambeau Field night where for the first time since September 20, 1992, someone other than Brett Favre will be the Packers' starting QB in a regular or postseason game. It's true that Rodgers has attempted only 59 passes in his NFL career but he was better that most people give him credit for in the preseason, completing 37-of-54 passes (68.5 percent) for 436 yards with three TDs and an interception, finishing with a 103.6 QB rating. His counterpart on Minnesota is Tarvaris Jackson, who completed 58.2 percent last year for 1,911 passing yards with just nine TDs and 12 INTs. His QB rating of 70.8 leaves a lot to be desired. Jackson missed the final two games of what was developing into a productive preseason with a knee sprain but will start on Monday. It doesn't help that LT Bryant McKinnie will serve the first week of a four-game suspension for violation of the NFL personal conduct policy, as his absence in protecting Jackson's blind side could have a major impact. In the end though, the Minnesota offense relies on last year's rookie-of-the-year, Adrian Peterson. AP led the NFC with 1,341 yards (5.6 per) and scored 12 rushing TDs. Rodgers will have many more 'weapons' at his disposal than Jackson. GB's receiver corps "came into its own" last year and Rodgers will have to prove that it wasn't all due to Brett. WRs Donald Driver (82 receptions, 2 TD), Greg Jennings (53 receptions, 12 TD) and James Jones (47 receptions, 2 TD) were terrific last year, as was TE Donald Lee (48 receptions, 6 TD). Jones (knee) may not play Monday, meaning second-round pick Jordy Nelson (Kansas State) will get increased opportunities. The OL faces a tough challenge against the Vikings' DL (has added Jared Allen and his 15 1/2 sacks with Kansas City) but last season this unit only allowed 19 sacks. It also paved the wave for the emergence of RB Ryan Grant, who is intent on proving that last year's second-half 'explosion' was no fluke. Minnesota had the league's top-ranked run defense the past two seasons, in large part because of the outstanding DT tandem of Pat Williams and Kevin Williams but the Vikings were among the worst pass defenses in '07. They finished last in passing yards allowed and 18th in yards allowed per pass. Allen figures to provide the pass rush they so desperately need but if Green Bay's OL plays well, Rodgers will too. The Packers have beaten the Vikings four straight times and Minnesota has gone just 3-5 SU in each of the last three seasons on the road. This pointspread has dipped below a FG, meaning the Vikings are almost forced to win the game to get the cover. I don't see that happening and I'm predicting a very good game from Rodgers.

NFC North Game of the Month 15* GB Packers.

ATS Lock Club

4 units Oakland




Cleveland -1.5

Jeff Bonds


GBP / MIN Under 38.0

A significant 2008 trend has formed early in Week 1 of the NFL and we're going to exploit it on Monday Night.

There were four intra-divisional games on Sunday - with all four games going under the total by an average of 7.5 points.

This proves important with the Vikings/Packers facing off against each other. The UNDER is also 2-0 the last two times Green Bay has started a season within the division. The pattern continues even further with the UNDER being 5-1-1 in the last seven meetings and 4-0 the last four times in Green Bay.Finally - the weather is expected to be rainy in Green Bay, which may cause the offensive coordinators to be even more cautious in such an important game.

Bob Balfe

NFL Football

Packers -2.5 over Vikings

All eyes will be on Aaron Rogers in this game as the Brett Favre era officially ends with a new QB on the field tonight. The Packers will be ok with Rogers. The Green Bay receivers are very talented and Ryan Grant is a good running back. The real question is how will the Vikings be able to score on the tough Packers defense. Tavaris Jackson is not the best throwing QB and injuries have slowed him on his feet. This is the very building where Adrian Peterson got hurt last year and he looked awful in the preseason. The Vikings suspended LT McKinney is suspended so you can beat Jackson will feel uncomfortable all night. The Packers have handled the Vikings in all four meetings dating back to two seasons ago. This Packers team is unchanged except for the QB position. This game will be won of defense. Take the Packers.

Raiders +3 over Broncos

The Broncos are going to struggle on offense this season. Denver has a young offensive line and their offensive backfield is also unproven. Tonight Brandon Marshall will not play so they are extremely thin in the receiver slot. One thing Oakland brings on offense is size. This team is huge and they will run the ball all night. JaMarcus Russell has a year under his belt and should be much improved. The Broncos are really going to be worn out in this game. Oakland should pound the ball running and when Russell takes off you better not tackle him high at 6-6 260. The Oakland defense will be stacked in the secondary and should take care of the Broncos offensive line to limit the running game. Oakland might surprise some people this year and make a playoff push. Take the Raiders.

Major League Baseball

Brewers -125 over Reds



"2 UNIT" MONDAY FOOTBALL EARLY PERCENTAGE WAGER (Packers -2 at home versus Vikings in a 7:05 eastern kickoff on ESPN): Even though Green Bay is coming off a spectacular 13-3 campaign and was an overtime session away from participating in the Super Bowl, there has actually been more betting excitement with a Minnesota squad that has suddenly become a chic playoff pick. At most offshore locations the line for tonight's contest has dropped ONE full point and I am taking full advantage of the value created. It is easy to see why many question tonight's home team since the Packers for the first time since 1992 will not have Brett Favre as their starting quarterback. Since the issue has been dealt with non-stop in the media, there is no reason for me to elaborate on the Favre issue, but the bottom line is that a WIN this evening would give Green Bay fans a breather from the infamous offseason soap opera. The fact of the matter is that new starter Aaron Rodgers has had plenty of time to observe the legend as he is entering his FOURTH year on the roster. Rodgers has only been given the chance to take the field 7 times in that long time span and definitely deserves a shot to lead this team after being a very high draft pick out of California. We all got a glimpse of how good Rodgers canbe in an NFL Network Thursday primetime telecast a year ago when the Packers upset the talent-landen Cowboys in Dallas. Due to an injury, Rodgers entered the contest and completed 18-of-26 passes for 200 yards in what was a very tough environment. Another reason why tonight's line is dropping has to do with Green Bay INJURIES which has effected 5 different defensive starters including linebacker A.J. Hawk (chest), tackle Ryan Pickett (hamstring) who have had to cope with significant injuries. The Packers offensive line is also unsettled as starting center Scott Wells (back) and rookie guard Josh Sitton (knee) have created some negative issues. Even star rusher Ryan Grant has missed time with a bad hamstring. Of course it was Grant who rushed for 956 yards last year even though not becoming a starter until midseason. He set a Packers playoff record with 201 yards on the ground in an opening round victory against Seattle. While I will admit that they Aaron Rodgers has to deal with some injury issues in his long awaited quarterback debut, the fact of the matter is that he is going to face a Minnesota defense that was ranked dead LAST in the league a year ago against the pass, permitting a startling average of 264 aerial yards per contest. That awful Minnesota pass defense has already taken a hit as newly acquired safety Madieu Williams has been lost for SIX weeks due to a neck injury. On the other side of the football, Minnesota quarterback Tavaris Jackson missed alot of preseason time due to injury which is bad news since YOUNG players like him need more preparation time than veterans. A year ago Jackson has threw more interceptions (12) than touchdown passes (9). He also had a subpar completion percentage (58.2) and passer rating (70.8). To make a long story short, Jackson's leaguewie quarterback ranking was way down at the #28 mark. I am aware that for the moment Vikings star rusher Adrian Peterson is healthy, but he gained only 157 total yards in two games against the Packers. For those of you who may not be aware, Green Bay has been one of the league's most productive teams where it counts as they have successfully COVERED the spread 13 times in the past 17 outings. I did some database research involving WEEK ONE of a brand new regular campaign and found that DIVISIONAL home favorites of 3-or-less points (Green Bay) have COVERED the spread at a 78-PERCENT clip (7-2 ATS) in week-one. Meanwhile opening week home favorites (Green Bay) who are going up against an opponent who is coming off a .500 season or better, have COVERED 60% of the time long term (30-20 ATS) in week-one. Thus we have both percenta ges and "value" on our side with the early evening home favorite

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Charlies Sports

Vikings @ Packers Under 38 (500*)
Packers-2 (30*)
Raiders+3 (20*)
Broncos @ Raiders Over 41 (20*)
Cleveland-135 (10*)
Angels-130. (10*) free play


4 units Minnesota/Green Bay Over 37.5

Wise Guy Handicapping

4 Units Minnesota Vikings +2
1 Unit Oakland Raiders +3

4 Units Houston Astros -135
3 Units Los Angeles Angels -125
2 Units Tampa Bay Rays +1.5
2 Units Florida Marlins +155
1 Unit Cincinnati Reds +120

John Ryan

Cleveland Indians vs. Baltimore Orioles    
Play: Baltimore Orioles   

Ai Simulator 5* graded play on the Baltimore Orioles – The only way I have found to make consistent returns in the money line sports of the NHL and MLB is identify DOGS that win. AiS does that and also assesses that the risk/reward profile is acceptable. Let’s take a look at the technical side where systems and angles reinforce the AiS graded play. Supporting this graded play is a system that has gone 112-82 making 70.3 units for 58% since 1997. Play on home dogs with a money line of +100 or higher with an overused bullpen that pitches more than 3.2 innings per game and with a cold starting pitcher sporting an ERA >= 6.50 over his last 10 starts. Baltimore starter Garett Olsen has been struggling, but Cleveland has not consistently taken advantage of these situations in past seasons. Note that Cleveland is 68-65 (-35.1 Units) against the money line versus an AL starting pitcher whose ERA is 6.20 or worse since 1997. Baltimore has lost 8 straight and has essentially packed in the season, but you have to always remember that nearly all of these players on this roster are still trying to perform at a high level to ensure a spot on next year’s roster. Plus, with the losing ways the public jumps on board and almost assumes these losing ways will continue indefinitely.

Brandon Lang

15 Dime Packers

Cajun-Sports Executive NFL Report

Minnesota Vikings vs. Green Bay Packers
Prediction: 3* Minnesota Vikings +2.5

The Green Bay Packers begin the 2008 campaign with a new leader, QB Aaron Rodgers and he begins his era on the NFL’s second largest stage, Monday Night Football.

Rodgers and the Pack will face Adrian Peterson and the Minnesota Vikings at Lambeau Field on Monday night. This divisional series was dominated by the Packers last season as they won 34 to 20 at home. That was their first SU/ATS win in this series at Lambeau since 2000.

There is a lot of excitement in Minnesota as fans anticipate what they believe will be a Vikings team that will make a run into the playoffs. The Vikings added All-Pro DE Jared Allen to an already stout defensive line to make the Vikings defense among the best in the NFL. The Vikings have two of the league’s best defensive tackles in Pat Williams and Kevin Williams and teams have simply stopped trying to run the ball against them.
Last season the Vikings allowed just 3.2 yards per rush and opponents only tried running the ball thirty-five percent of the time, which is below the NFL average of forty-three percent.

Minnesota’s offense revolves around second year back Adrian Peterson, who averaged 5.6 yards per rush while backup Chester Taylor ran for 848 yards at 5.4 yards per carry. While we do not believe they can keep up those incredible numbers they should still average around 5 yards per carry.

Quarterback Tarvaris Jackson posted pretty decent numbers for a first time starter, averaging 6.0 yards per pass play. QB Jackson should improve in his second full season as the starter and adding WR Bernard Berrian upgrades the receiving corps. Jackson needs to cut down on his interception rate, but it’s not a huge problem since the Vikings don’t throw the ball as much as most teams.

Rodgers looked good last season when he played against the Dallas Cowboys. Dallas has a solid defensive unit and Rodgers averaged 6.3 yards per play in that contest. Rodgers has also looked good in the preseason, completing 68.5% of his passes for 8.1 yards per attempt on just one INT on 54 pass attempts. One complaint against Rodgers is he tends to hold onto the ball too long which has allowed him to be sacked 7 times in only 61 pass plays this preseason.

Ryan Grant became the Packs full time running back in Week 4 of the season last year and he averaged 4.7 yards per rush during that time. We don’t expect him to have that kind of success versus this Vikings defensive unit which is solid against the run, they allowed a league best 73.8 yards rushing per contest last season.

With the Packers thin at defensive tackle and having to contend with Adrian Peterson could spell trouble for this Packers team on Monday night. Too many questions for the Packers overall and a Vikings team with another year under their belts with Jackson and Peterson should have the advantage here.

On the technical front we see that in this series the underdog is 23-9 ATS. While the underdog when Minnesota plays on Monday night has a record of 12-2 ATS and the Vikings are 5-1 ATS their last six season openers.

Finally we have a system that tells us to Play Against teams that outgained their opponents by 0.75 yards per play last season, the record for this system is 36-12 ATS and tells us to Play On the Minnesota Vikings.


Denver Broncos vs. Oakland Raiders
Prediction: 4* Denver Broncos -3

The Denver Broncos and the Oakland Raiders wrap up Week One of the NFL season. These divisional rivals square-off in California for the second game of Monday nights featured double-header.

Its common knowledge that Denver Coach Mike Shanahan takes great pride in defeating the “Silver and Black” whenever the opportunity arises. Coach Shanahan is actually 20-6 SU versus Oakland including 5-1 ATS when seeking revenge. If his Broncos are installed as a favorite in that role they are a perfect 4-0 ATS and average winning by 17 points per game.

The Broncos out-gained their opponents 5.8 yards per play to 5.5 yards per play and were plus one in turnover margin but somehow managed to be out-scored by 5.6 points per game. Quarterback Jay Cutler took advantage of his first full season as the starting quarterback, averaging 6.8 yards per pass play. We expect him to have another solid season especially when his top receiver Brandon Marshall returns from his one-game suspension.

The Broncos defense with strong safety Ferguson starting allowed 7.4 yards per pass play during the first eight games of the season. We saw a much improved Denver defense when Ferguson was replaced by Hamza Abdullah. With Abdullah in the lineup the Broncos “D” on allowed 5.5 yards per pass play the final eight games of the season. Abdullah’s presence in the lineup allowed cornerbacks Champ Bailey and Dre Bly to play more bump and run coverage rather than wasting their man-to-man skills in zone defenses.

The Raiders are coming in off a 4-12 season and didn’t take advantage of their position in the draft. They chose RB Darrin McFadden who will more than likely be a terrific running back but that is not where they needed improvement. The Raiders need help on the defensive front and also in the wide receiving department where they are awful.

Raiders WR Jevon Walker was signed to a free agent deal that was truly a waste of money especially since he has limited abilities at this time in his career. Walker averaged a meager 5.7 yards per pass play and that for a WR is horrible. Once again the Raiders owner and front office have made terrible personnel decisions.

JaMarcus Russell get’s the starting job at QB for the Raiders and from all reports he is not close to being ready for the NFL. Last season Russell only averaged 4.6 yards per pass on seventy-two pass plays and was terrible during this preseason. He had a 52% completion rate during the preseason averaging only 3.2 yards per pass play.

For Raider’s fans they certainly cannot be optimistic by the team’s performance in Game Three of the preseason when their first team got blanked 24 to 0 by Arizona. That particular game in the preseason is used to get the starters ready for Game One of the regular season and if that is any indication of what to expect this game wont be close.

The Raiders defense was not good last season allowing 5.9 yards per play. Although they should see some overall improvement as they acquired Gibril Wilson via free agency to play strong safety. Wilson was a solid rush defender for the Giants last season and will be a huge upgrade from Huff who will be moved to free safety which is his natural position. That one change helps their defense overall because Wilson can help with run defense and Huff will be able to help defend against the pass.

Even with these changes they will not be enough to offset this Broncos team that is certainly focused on improving their record from last season and getting back to the playoffs in 08. The Raiders are not coming off one or two rough seasons but five, they have a long way to go and tonight will not be the beginning of their new start.

On the technical front we see that Oakland is 0-10 ATS at home when facing a divisional opponent for the first time in the season. They average losing against the spread in these games by 11.0 points per game. The Raiders also struggle when the line is within three of pick’em going 0-4 ATS last season in this role and 3-25-1 ATS their last 29. If the game is against a divisional rival they are even worse they have posted a record of 0-9 both SU and ATS losing by an average of 13.4 points per game.

Oakland is also 24-49 ATS in games where the line is +3 to -3 since 1992, 7-19 ATS as a home underdog of 7 or less points, 66-91 ATS against conference opponents since 1992 and 16-30 ATS versus division opponents since 1992.

The Broncos on the other hand are a perfect 5-0 ATS since 03 on the road facing a divisional rival and the line is within three of pick, covering the spread in these contests by more than 15 points per game.

Finally we have an NFL Power System that says; In Game 1, play ON an AFC road favorite of 3 points or less with a TOTAL of 38+ points. This system is 8-0 ATS since 2001 and averages covering the spread by 8.8 points per game.


FairWay Jay

3* Minnesota Vikings +2.5

Special K

20* Super K -Oakland Raiders




Ethan Law   


Opposite Action Plays

Vikings / Packers OVER 37.5   

JB Sports


Sunday Selections 


LT Profits


Mike Rose 


Pacific Star


Rocketman Sports 

Oakland Raiders +3

Alex Smart   


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Oscarxena Sports

Cincinnati/Milwaukee Over 8 +1.03 (3 Unit Play)

Despite the recent struggles by the Brewers lineup this total appears to be low to me tonight between these two clubs. The Reds will have All Star pitcher Edinson Volquez on the mound but he has not been pitching like an All-Star lately as he is 1-0 but has a 6.38 ERA over his last three starts and every one of those starts went Over the total. Milwaukee still leads in the Wild Card chase and will hand the ball to Dave Bush who has also not been pitching well lately going 2-1 but recording a 4.82 ERA in his past three starts and in his last five starts at home he is 2-2 with a 5.87 ERA. In Bush's nine starts against the Reds the Over has cashed 8 times with a push while in Volquez's two starts against the Brewers the Over has cashed once with a push. The public has already bet this game down and I think it is a great spot for an Over play tonight.

Denver/Oakland Under 41 -1.10 (3 Unit Play)

Another division clash as the Broncos travel to take on the Raiders. These teams obviously meet twice a year and last year both games went Over the posted total and again like above the Broncos went Over the posted total 11 out of 16 times last year while the Raiders went Over 10 out of 16 times so the total appears to be a little high to me here tonight. The Broncos will play this game without leading WR Marshall as he serves his one game suspension so they should be more conservative and try and take advantage of what I believe is the Raiders weak spot on defense which is their run stopping. Both teams have made upgrades on their defense this year and I think both teams will have trouble throwing for substantial gains here tonight. The Raiders best bet is to utilize a ball control offense tonight and try and take some of the pressure off of Russell this evening. I can't see these teams reaching this total unless mistakes are made offensively tonight.

Steve Merril

1 unit Green Bay -2

Erin Rynning

Playmaker Detroit/Oakland Over


High Rollers MLB
10 units Phillies

Best Bets MLB
5 units Angels
3 units Indians

Best Bets NFL
5 units Vikings

Ken Jenkins

Green Bay Packers

Wise Guy Insider

Green Bay Packers -2

LA Angels w/Garland -115


Elite Special - Green Bay

Platinum - Denver/Oakland UNDER

Wayne Root

Chairman- Blue Jays
Millionaire- Packers
Insiders Circle- Angels


250% Packers


Monday Night Magic Play
2* Minnesota

Monday Night Marquee Play
Denver/Oakland Under


20* Broncos
10* Denver/Oakland Under
10* Packers
10* Minnesota/Green Bay Over

10* Dodgers
10* Angels

Tim Trushel

20* Oakland

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The Hammer Guaranteed Selections

Denver and Oakland UNDER 40.5

Steam On-Line Guaranteed Selections

Minnesota and Green Bay UNDER 37.5

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The Hitman Guaranteed Selections

Minnesota +8.5 & Denver +3

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Fairway Jay

20* Big Drive Minn/GB Under
Big Drive Minn

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Winners Inc. Guaranteed Selections

Oakland +3

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OAK / DEN Over 40.0  MNF 3* BEST BET of the DAY

Last night we saw a perfect example of why I always stress getting the best number, even if it costs you 10cents vig to get it...Tonight, we have the opportunity to buy the hook and take the Total down to 40 which is huge...I also recommend waiting until as close to kick-off as possible because this is the late game tonight and I expect to see continued money coming in from the Public on the other side, from what I've been told by the books...You may find that there isn't a need to buy the hook since I saw most of the Vegas shops get to 40.5 already...and with 4 hours until kick-off...they may be forced to move it some more...Let's go ahead and take the OVER 40 in this match-up and see some points get scored...VR

OAK (-130) vs DEN Money Line Double-Dime Bet


OAKLAND +10 & OVER 33.5 (2*)

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Steam On-Line Guaranteed Selections

Minnesota and Green Bay UNDER 37.5

Philadelphia w/Blanton -165

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Teddy June

Minnesota/Green Bay Under

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