NFL Week 1 Trends

NFL Week 1 Trends

Detroit Lions vs. Atlanta Falcons

Oddsmakers currently have the Lions listed as 3-point favorites versus the Falcons, while the game's total is sitting at 41.

Team records:
Detroit: 7-9 SU, 6-9-1 ATS
Atlanta: 4-12 SU, 8-8 ATS

Detroit most recently:
When playing in September are 4-6
When playing on turf are 6-4
After being outgained are 5-5
When playing outside the division are 4-6

Atlanta most recently:
When playing in September are 5-5
When playing on turf are 3-7
After being outgained are 1-9
When playing outside the division are 3-7

A few trends to consider:
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Detroit's last 7 games when playing on the road against Atlanta
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Detroit's last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Detroit's last 6 games when playing Atlanta
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Detroit's last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Atlanta's last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Atlanta's last 7 games when playing at home against Detroit
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Atlanta's last 6 games when playing Detroit
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Atlanta's last 5 games at home

Next up:
Detroit home to Green Bay, Sunday, September 14
Atlanta at Tampa Bay, Sunday, September 14


Cincinnati Bengals vs. Baltimore Ravens

Oddsmakers currently have the Bengals listed as 2½-point favorites versus the Ravens, while the game's total is sitting at 38.

Team records:
Cincinnati: 7-9 SU, 6-9-1 ATS
Baltimore: 5-11 SU, 3-13 ATS

Cincinnati most recently:
When playing in September are 7-3
When playing on turf are 5-5
After outgaining opponent are 3-7
When playing within the division are 5-5

Baltimore most recently:
When playing in September are 6-4
When playing on turf are 4-6
After outgaining opponent are 6-4
When playing within the division are 4-6

A few trends to consider:
Cincinnati is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Baltimore
Cincinnati is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing Baltimore
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Cincinnati's last 6 games
Cincinnati is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Baltimore's last 7 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Baltimore's last 5 games at home
Baltimore is 13-4 ATS in its last 17 games when playing at home against Cincinnati
Baltimore is 13-4 SU in its last 17 games when playing at home against Cincinnati

Next up:
Cincinnati home to Tennessee, Sunday, September 14
Baltimore at Houston, Sunday, September 14


Cincinnati Bengals vs. Baltimore Ravens

Oddsmakers currently have the Bengals listed as 2½-point favorites versus the Ravens, while the game's total is sitting at 38.

Team records:
Cincinnati: 7-9 SU, 6-9-1 ATS
Baltimore: 5-11 SU, 3-13 ATS

Cincinnati most recently:
When playing in September are 7-3
When playing on turf are 5-5
After outgaining opponent are 3-7
When playing within the division are 5-5

Baltimore most recently:
When playing in September are 6-4
When playing on turf are 4-6
After outgaining opponent are 6-4
When playing within the division are 4-6

A few trends to consider:
Cincinnati is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Baltimore
Cincinnati is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing Baltimore
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Cincinnati's last 6 games
Cincinnati is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Baltimore's last 7 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Baltimore's last 5 games at home
Baltimore is 13-4 ATS in its last 17 games when playing at home against Cincinnati
Baltimore is 13-4 SU in its last 17 games when playing at home against Cincinnati

Next up:
Cincinnati home to Tennessee, Sunday, September 14
Baltimore at Houston, Sunday, September 14


Kansas City Chiefs vs. New England Patriots

Oddsmakers currently have the Patriots listed as 16-point favorites versus the Chiefs, while the game's total is sitting at 44.

Team records:
Kansas City: 4-12 SU, 7-8-1 ATS
New England: 16-0 SU, 10-6 ATS

Kansas City most recently:
When playing in September are 4-6
When playing on turf are 2-8
After being outgained are 3-7
When playing outside the division are 2-8

New England most recently:
When playing in September are 8-2
When playing on turf are 10-0
After being outgained are 7-3
When playing outside the division are 9-1

A few trends to consider:
Kansas City is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Kansas City's last 11 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Kansas City's last 9 games when playing New England
Kansas City is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of New England's last 5 games at home
New England is 18-1 SU in its last 19 games
New England is 14-1 SU in its last 15 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of New England's last 7 games

Next up:
Kansas City home to Oakland, Sunday, September 14
New England at NY Jets, Sunday, September 14


St. Louis Rams vs. Philadelphia Eagles

Oddsmakers currently have the Eagles listed as 8-point favorites versus the Rams, while the game's total is sitting at 44.

Team records:
St. Louis: 3-13 SU, 5-11 ATS
Philadelphia: 8-8 SU, 8-8 ATS

St. Louis most recently:
When playing in September are 4-6
When playing on grass are 5-5
After being outgained are 1-9
When playing outside the division are 2-8

Philadelphia most recently:
When playing in September are 5-5
When playing on grass are 4-6
After outgaining opponent are 4-6
When playing outside the division are 6-4

A few trends to consider:
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of St. Louis's last 6 games when playing on the road against Philadelphia
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of St. Louis's last 5 games when playing Philadelphia
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of St. Louis's last 8 games on the road
St. Louis is 3-6 SU in its last 9 games when playing Philadelphia
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Philadelphia's last 6 games when playing at home against St. Louis
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Philadelphia's last 5 games when playing St. Louis
Philadelphia is 4-0-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against St. Louis
Philadelphia is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against St. Louis

Next up:
St. Louis home to NY Giants, Sunday, September 14
Philadelphia at Dallas, Monday, September 15


Houston Texans vs. Pittsburgh Steelers

Oddsmakers currently have the Steelers listed as 6½-point favorites versus the Texans, while the game's total is sitting at 43.

Team records:
Houston: 8-8 SU, 8-8 ATS
Pittsburgh: 10-6 SU, 8-8 ATS

Houston most recently:
When playing in September are 3-7
When playing on grass are 5-5
After being outgained are 4-6
When playing outside the division are 7-3

Pittsburgh most recently:
When playing in September are 6-4
When playing on grass are 6-4
After outgaining opponent are 5-5
When playing outside the division are 4-6

A few trends to consider:
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Houston's last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Houston's last 10 games on the road
Houston is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games on the road
Houston is 1-6 ATS in its last 7 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Pittsburgh's last 5 games
Pittsburgh is 7-2 SU in its last 9 games at home
Pittsburgh is 9-4 ATS in its last 13 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 17 of Pittsburgh's last 25 games at home

Next up:
Houston home to Baltimore, Sunday, September 14
Pittsburgh at Cleveland, Sunday, September 14


Jacksonville Jaguars vs. Tennessee Titans

Oddsmakers currently have the Jaguars listed as 3-point favorites versus the Titans, while the game's total is sitting at 36½.

Team records:
Jacksonville: 11-5 SU, 11-5 ATS
Tennessee: 10-6 SU, 8-8 ATS

Jacksonville most recently:
When playing in September are 7-3
When playing on grass are 8-2
After being outgained are 7-3
When playing within the division are 4-6

Tennessee most recently:
When playing in September are 3-7
When playing on grass are 6-4
After being outgained are 9-1
When playing within the division are 7-3

A few trends to consider:
The total has gone OVER in 11 of Jacksonville's last 12 games
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Jacksonville's last 8 games on the road
Jacksonville is 8-2 ATS in its last 10 games
Jacksonville is 12-5 SU in its last 17 games
Tennessee is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games at home
Tennessee is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Tennessee's last 6 games when playing Jacksonville
Tennessee is 6-3 ATS in its last 9 games when playing at home against Jacksonville

Next up:
Jacksonville home to Buffalo, Sunday, September 14
Tennessee at Cincinnati, Sunday, September 14


New York Jets vs. Miami Dolphins

Oddsmakers currently have the Jets listed as 3-point favorites versus the Dolphins, while the game's total is sitting at 36.

Team records:
New York: 4-12 SU, 6-9-1 ATS
Miami: 1-15 SU, 5-9-2 ATS

New York most recently:
When playing in September are 4-6
When playing on grass are 5-5
After outgaining opponent are 4-6
When playing within the division are 4-6

Miami most recently:
When playing in September are 3-7
When playing on grass are 1-9
After being outgained are 1-9
When playing within the division are 1-9

A few trends to consider:
NY Jets are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games when playing on the road against Miami
NY Jets are 8-0-1 ATS in their last 9 games when playing Miami
NY Jets are 7-1 SU in their last 8 games when playing Miami
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of the NY Jets last 7 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Miami's last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Miami's last 5 games when playing NY Jets
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Miami's last 8 games at home
Miami is 5-9-2 ATS in its last 16 games

Next up:
NY Jets home to New England, Sunday, September 14
Miami at Arizona, Sunday, September 14


Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs. New Orleans Saints

Oddsmakers currently have the Saints listed as 3½-point favorites versus the Buccaneers, while the game's total is sitting at 42½.

Team records:
Tampa Bay: 9-7 SU, 9-7 ATS
New Orleans: 7-9 SU, 6-10 ATS

Tampa Bay most recently:
When playing in September are 6-4
When playing on turf are 3-7
After being outgained are 5-5
When playing within the division are 5-5

New Orleans most recently:
When playing in September are 5-5
When playing on turf are 5-5
After outgaining opponent are 3-7
When playing within the division are 6-4

A few trends to consider:
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Tampa Bay's last 5 games when playing New Orleans
Tampa Bay is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against New Orleans
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Tampa Bay's last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Tampa Bay's last 6 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 5 of New Orleans's last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of New Orleans's last 5 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 5 of New Orleans's last 5 games when playing Tampa Bay
New Orleans is 11-5 SU in its last 16 games when playing at home against Tampa Bay

Next up:
Tampa Bay home to Atlanta, Sunday, September 14
New Orleans at Washington, Sunday, September 14


Arizona Cardinals vs. San Francisco 49ers

Oddsmakers currently have the Cardinals listed as 3-point favorites versus the 49ers, while the game's total is sitting at 42.

Team records:
Arizona: 8-8 SU, 8-7-1 ATS
San Francisco: 5-11 SU, 5-10-1 ATS

Arizona most recently:
When playing in September are 3-7
When playing on grass are 6-4
After outgaining opponent are 5-5
When playing within the division are 6-4

San Francisco most recently:
When playing in September are 4-6
When playing on grass are 3-7
After being outgained are 0-10
When playing within the division are 5-5

A few trends to consider:
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Arizona's last 8 games
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Arizona's last 7 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Arizona's last 9 games when playing San Francisco
Arizona is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing San Francisco
San Francisco is 10-2 SU in its last 12 games when playing at home against Arizona
The total has gone OVER in 7 of San Francisco's last 9 games when playing Arizona
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of San Francisco's last 8 games at home
San Francisco is 16-7 SU in its last 23 games when playing Arizona

Next up:
Arizona home to Miami, Sunday, September 14
San Francisco at Seattle, Sunday, September 14


Carolina Panthers vs. San Diego Chargers

Oddsmakers currently have the Chargers listed as 9-point favorites versus the Panthers, while the game's total is sitting at 41.

Team records:
Carolina: 7-9 SU, 8-8 ATS
San Diego: 11-5 SU, 11-5 ATS

Carolina most recently:
When playing in September are 4-6
When playing on grass are 3-7
After outgaining opponent are 2-8
When playing outside the division are 4-6

San Diego most recently:
When playing in September are 4-6
When playing on grass are 9-1
After being outgained are 4-6
When playing outside the division are 7-3

A few trends to consider:
Carolina is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
Carolina is 7-3 SU in its last 10 games on the road
Carolina is 7-3 ATS in its last 10 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Carolina's last 13 games
San Diego is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
San Diego is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
San Diego is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games at home
San Diego is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games

Next up:
Carolina home to Chicago, Sunday, September 14
San Diego at Denver, Sunday, September 14


Dallas Cowboys vs. Cleveland Browns

Oddsmakers currently have the Cowboys listed as 6-point favorites versus the Browns, while the game's total is sitting at 49.

Team records:
Dallas: 13-3 SU, 9-7 ATS
Cleveland: 10-6 SU, 12-4 ATS

Dallas most recently:
When playing in September are 8-2
When playing on grass are 7-3
After outgaining opponent are 8-2
When playing outside the division are 9-1

Cleveland most recently:
When playing in September are 3-7
When playing on grass are 7-3
After outgaining opponent are 4-6
When playing outside the division are 7-3

A few trends to consider:
Dallas is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Dallas's last 5 games
Dallas is 13-4 SU in its last 17 games
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Dallas's last 8 games on the road
Cleveland is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
Cleveland is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Cleveland's last 5 games
Cleveland is 9-2 ATS in its last 11 games

Next up:
Dallas home to Philadelphia, Monday, September 15
Cleveland home to Pittsburgh, Sunday, September 14


Chicago Bears vs. Indianapolis Colts

Oddsmakers currently have the Colts listed as 10-point favorites versus the Bears, while the game's total is sitting at 44.

Team records:
Chicago: 7-9 SU, 7-9 ATS
Indianapolis: 13-3 SU, 9-7 ATS

Chicago most recently:
When playing in September are 5-5
When playing on turf are 5-5
After being outgained are 5-5
When playing outside the division are 5-5

Indianapolis most recently:
When playing in September are 10-0
When playing on turf are 7-3
After outgaining opponent are 8-2
When playing outside the division are 7-3

A few trends to consider:
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Chicago's last 7 games
Chicago is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing Indianapolis
Chicago is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
Chicago is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games
Indianapolis is 16-3 SU in its last 19 games at home
Indianapolis is 18-4 SU in its last 22 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Indianapolis's last 7 games
Indianapolis is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games

Next up:
Chicago at Carolina, Sunday, September 14
Indianapolis at Minnesota, Sunday, September 14

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Re: NFL Week 1 Trends

CINCINNATI (7 - 9) at BALTIMORE (5 - 11) - 9/7/2008, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CINCINNATI is 47-69 ATS (-28.9 Units) versus division opponents since 1992.
BALTIMORE is 3-13 ATS (-11.3 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
BALTIMORE is 3-13 ATS (-11.3 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
BALTIMORE is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) in all games where the total is between 35.5 and 42 points over the last 2 seasons.
BALTIMORE is 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
BALTIMORE is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
 
Head-to-Head Series History
CINCINNATI is 3-1 against the spread versus BALTIMORE over the last 3 seasons 
CINCINNATI is 3-1 straight up against BALTIMORE over the last 3 seasons 
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons 

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NY JETS (4 - 12) at MIAMI (1 - 15) - 9/7/2008, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MIAMI is 46-70 ATS (-31.0 Units) versus division opponents since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
NY JETS is 3-0 against the spread versus MIAMI over the last 3 seasons 
NY JETS is 4-0 straight up against MIAMI over the last 3 seasons 
3 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons 

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KANSAS CITY (4 - 12) at NEW ENGLAND (18 - 1) - 9/7/2008, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
KANSAS CITY is 11-24 ATS (-15.4 Units) against AFC East division opponents since 1992.
KANSAS CITY is 36-20 ATS (+14.0 Units) in September games since 1992.
 
Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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HOUSTON (8 - 8) at PITTSBURGH (10 - 7) - 9/7/2008, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
PITTSBURGH is 73-45 ATS (+23.5 Units) as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points since 1992.
PITTSBURGH is 35-16 ATS (+17.4 Units) as a home favorite of 3.5 to 7 points since 1992.
 
Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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JACKSONVILLE (12 - 6) at TENNESSEE (10 - 7) - 9/7/2008, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TENNESSEE is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) versus division opponents over the last 3 seasons.
 
Head-to-Head Series History
TENNESSEE is 2-2 against the spread versus JACKSONVILLE over the last 3 seasons 
TENNESSEE is 2-2 straight up against JACKSONVILLE over the last 3 seasons 
3 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons 

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DETROIT (7 - 9) at ATLANTA (4 - 12) - 9/7/2008, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DETROIT is 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) as a road favorite of 3 points or less since 1992.
DETROIT is 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) in road games against conference opponents over the last 3 seasons.
 
Head-to-Head Series History
DETROIT is 1-0 against the spread versus ATLANTA over the last 3 seasons 
DETROIT is 1-0 straight up against ATLANTA over the last 3 seasons 
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons 

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SEATTLE (11 - 7) at BUFFALO (7 - 9) - 9/7/2008, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
BUFFALO is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) in games where the line is +3 to -3 over the last 3 seasons.
BUFFALO is 15-4 ATS (+10.6 Units) against NFC West division opponents since 1992.
 
Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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TAMPA BAY (9 - 8) at NEW ORLEANS (7 - 9) - 9/7/2008, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NEW ORLEANS is 50-77 ATS (-34.7 Units) in home games since 1992.
NEW ORLEANS is 50-77 ATS (-34.7 Units) in home lined games since 1992.
NEW ORLEANS is 37-60 ATS (-29.0 Units) in home games against conference opponents since 1992.
NEW ORLEANS is 17-39 ATS (-25.9 Units) in home games versus division opponents since 1992.
NEW ORLEANS is 50-74 ATS (-31.4 Units) in home games in dome games since 1992.
NEW ORLEANS is 50-74 ATS (-31.4 Units) in home games in games played on turf since 1992.
 
Head-to-Head Series History
TAMPA BAY is 3-1 against the spread versus NEW ORLEANS over the last 3 seasons 
NEW ORLEANS is 2-2 straight up against TAMPA BAY over the last 3 seasons 
4 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons 

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ST LOUIS (3 - 13) at PHILADELPHIA (8 - 8) - 9/7/2008, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ST LOUIS is 6-16 ATS (-11.6 Units) as a road underdog of 3.5 to 7 points since 1992.
ST LOUIS is 67-93 ATS (-35.3 Units) against conference opponents since 1992.
ST LOUIS is 7-19 ATS (-13.9 Units) against NFC East division opponents since 1992.
ST LOUIS is 24-41 ATS (-21.1 Units) in games played on a grass field since 1992.
PHILADELPHIA is 118-84 ATS (+25.6 Units) against conference opponents since 1992.
 
Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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DALLAS (13 - 4) at CLEVELAND (10 - 6) - 9/7/2008, 4:15 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CLEVELAND is 12-4 ATS (+7.6 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 12-4 ATS (+7.6 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 11-1 ATS (+9.9 Units) in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
 
Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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CAROLINA (7 - 9) at SAN DIEGO (13 - 6) - 9/7/2008, 4:15 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SAN DIEGO is 14-5 ATS (+8.5 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
SAN DIEGO is 14-5 ATS (+8.5 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
SAN DIEGO is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
SAN DIEGO is 8-0 ATS (+8.0 Units) as a home favorite of 7.5 to 10 points over the last 3 seasons.
SAN DIEGO is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in home games over the last 2 seasons.
SAN DIEGO is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in home lined games over the last 2 seasons.
SAN DIEGO is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) in all games where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points over the last 2 seasons.
SAN DIEGO is 12-3 ATS (+8.7 Units) in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
CAROLINA is 72-45 ATS (+22.5 Units) as an underdog since 1992.
 
Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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ARIZONA (8 - 8) at SAN FRANCISCO (5 - 11) - 9/7/2008, 4:15 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SAN FRANCISCO is 2-9 ATS (-7.9 Units) in all games where the total is between 35.5 and 42 points over the last 2 seasons.
 
Head-to-Head Series History
SAN FRANCISCO is 2-2 against the spread versus ARIZONA over the last 3 seasons 
SAN FRANCISCO is 2-2 straight up against ARIZONA over the last 3 seasons 
3 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons 

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CHICAGO (7 - 9) at INDIANAPOLIS (13 - 4) - 9/7/2008, 8:15 PM
Top Trends for this game.
INDIANAPOLIS is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in non-conference games over the last 3 seasons.
 
Head-to-Head Series History
INDIANAPOLIS is 1-0 against the spread versus CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons 
INDIANAPOLIS is 1-0 straight up against CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons 
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons 

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Re: NFL Week 1 Trends

Cincinnati at Baltimore, 1:00 ET
Cincinnati: 13-9 ATS as road favorite
Baltimore: 3-13 ATS last season

NY Jets at Miami, 1:00 ET
NY Jets: 6-1 Over in September
Miami: 2-9 ATS vs. division

Kansas City at New England, 1:00 ET
Kansas City: 5-0 ATS as DD underdog
New England: 10-5 Over as DD favorite

Houston at Pittsburgh, 1:00 ET
Houston: 5-10 ATS as road underdog
Pittsburgh: Pit 42-19 Over in home games

Jacksonville at Tennessee, 1:00 ET
Jacksonville: 8-1 Over in road games
Tennessee: 10-2 ATS vs. division

Detroit at Atlanta, 1:00 ET
Detroit: 0-7 ATS as a road favorite of 3 points or less
Atlanta: 8-1 Over as home underdog

Seattle at Buffalo, 1:00 ET
Seattle: 13-4 Under Away 1st 2 weeks of season
Buffalo: 15-4 ATS vs. NFC West

Tampa Bay at New Orleans, 1:00 ET
Tampa Bay: 26-5 Under 1st 2 Weeks of season
New Orleans: 3-11 ATS as home favorite

St. Louis at Philadelphia, 1:00 ET
St. Louis: 7-0 Under in September
Philadelphia: 15-6 Under as favorite

Dallas at Cleveland, 4:15 ET
Dallas: 7-0 Over Away 1st half of season
Cleveland: 12-4 ATS last season

Carolina at San Diego, 4:15 ET
Carolina: 6-0 Under the total is between 42.5 and 49
San Diego: 8-1 ATS at home

Arizona at San Francisco, 4:15 ET
Arizona: 9-3 Over vs. division
San Francisco: 1-6 ATS at home the total is between 38.5 and 42

Chicago at Indianapolis, 8:15 ET NBC
Chicago: 23-9 Under Away vs. AFC
Indianapolis: 8-1 ATS vs. NFC

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Re: NFL Week 1 Trends

2008 Week 1 NFL analysis

Sunday, September 7

Bengals @ Ravens-- Baltimore starting rookie Flacco at QB by default; he is their only healthy QB. Cincinnati has injury issues at WR. Bengals won three in row, six of last seven in series; they scored 20+ points in last four visits here. Average total in the last five Bengal road openers: 51.4. Baltimore won last three openers at home: 30-13/28-6/20-13. Bengals won nine of last 12 openers on road. Palmer playing QB for Bengals with a broken nose.

Jets @ Dolphins-- Pennington has to know Jet system inside and out, plus he has lot to prove. Jets won seven of last eight series games, winning last four (three of four by three points). Miami is 0-15 in series last 15 times they scored less than 20 points. Jets are 7-3 in last ten visits to Miami- since '88, they are 3-0 as fave in road openers. Under is 12-6 in Miami's last 18 home openers, 6-3 in last Jets' last nine road openers. Best storyline of the week.

Chiefs @ Patriots-- How healthy is Brady? Patriots' backup QBs are dismal. Him not playing in preseason is not good. Pats won last six home openers (3-1-1 vs spread in last five); over is 7-2 in their last nine home openers. Chiefs' main problem is that Croyle isn't much better than Pats' backup QB. KC is 3-8 vs spread in the last 11 games as underdog in road opener. Chiefs lost last three visits to Foxboro by 30-6-3; their last win here was back in 1990.

Texans @ Steelers-- Road team won both series games; Texans won 24-6 in only visit here, six years ago. Houston is 2-4 in road openers, losing by 21-12-15-19 points. Steelers won their last five home openers, covering last three (wins by 19-3-22-27-23-11 pts). Over is 5-1 in last six Steeler home openers, 4-1 in Houston's last five road openers. Texans are 5-10 vs spread as road dog the last two years. Steelers are 10-6 as home favorites last two seasons.

Jaguars @ Titans-- Jags won three of last four visits to Nashville, with two wins by FG; they won four of last five openers on road, with only one win by more than FG. Titans lost three of last four home openers; they also lost first meeting with Jaguars in three of last four years. Underdog is 9-2 vs spread in Jags' last eleven road openers, with Jax 1-4 as favorite. Vince Young struggled in preseason with Heimerdinger's new offense.

Lions @ Falcons-- Rookie Ryan gets nod under center for Falcon club that is totally rebuilding; they're 4-7 vs spread as home dog the last three years. Detroit as road favorite? First time since '05. Lions are 11-4 in last fifteen series games, 5-2 in last seven visits here; they lost five of last seven road openers, scoring seven pts or less in four of the five losses. Atlanta covered last three times they opened season at home. Game both sides desperately need.

Seahawks @ Bills-- Seattle has injury issues on offense, with WR Branch yet to practice, and QB Hasselbeck nursing bad back, but Bills have issues too- their best OL is holding out, though they're saying they've replaced him. Holmgren covered two of last nine road openers- this is Seattle's first visit to Buffalo since '01. Bills lost five of last seven home openers. Under is 17-3 in last twenty Seattle road openers, 7-2 in Buffalo's last nine home openers.

Bucs @ Saints-- Payton's team in Indianapolis this week, waiting out hurricane; they're expected back in town late Friday. Tampa won four of last five games at the Saints, with all five decided by seven points or less. Favorite is 7-2 vs spread in Bucs' last nine road openers. New Orleans is 7-3 in last ten home openers; under is 9-2 in their last 11 home openers, 14-2 in Tampa's last 16 road openers. Tough game to peg, with so many Saints' distractions.

Rams @ Eagles-- St Louis looks like easy mark, until you realize Philly started 0-1 six of last seven seasons; they're 3-5 in their last eight home openers, and have Monday night date vs Cowboys next week. Rams failed to cover last eight road openers, losing its last six, five by 7+ points. Rams are 9-15 vs spread as a road dog the last four years; adding Saunders as offensive coordinator is going to help. Eagles just 6-13 as home fave last three seasons.

Cowboys @ Browns-- Huge game for Cleveland team with very high expectations for '08; they're 1-8 in home openers, scoring 14 or less points in seven of nine. Dallas is 3-5 in last eight openers on road, with ten of last eleven road openers going over the total Porous Cleveland secondary could get torched by Dallas aerial attack. Since '88, Dallas is 0-11 in its first road game if they score less than 26 points. Anderson had concussion, expected to play.

Panthers @ Chargers-- Carolina's best WR (Smith) is out, but the Panthers are 8-1 vs spread as underdog in road opener, 7-6 SU, with no losses by more than nine points. How effective will San Diego defense be with Merriman playing with two torn ligaments in his knee? Chargers are just 4-3 in last seven home openers, but wins are by 27-21-33-11 points. Under is 10-1 in Carolina's last 11 road openers. Road team won two of three games in this series.

Cardinals @ 49ers-- Teams split last eight series games, with all four 49er wins by three points or in OT. Arizona won two of last three visits here. O'Sullivan starting for the first time in his career; two-time MVP Warner starts for Arizona club that lost its last six road openers. Niners covered last five home openers, winning its last three by 3-5-3 points. Cards were 8-8 LY, have expectations for first time in long while. Seven of last nine series totals 46+.

Bears @ Colts-- Chicago's defense was awful in preseason, but Manning had knee scoped, didn't play in preseason, and center Saturday is out for six weeks too, so Indy not operating near full speed in opening of new Lucas Oil Stadium. Bears have revenge motive from Super Bowl 19 months ago- this is their first visit to Indy since '91. Colts won last five home openers, covering four/ Six of last seven chicago road openers stayed under the total.

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Re: NFL Week 1 Trends

Trend Sheet

1:00 PM CINCINNATI vs. BALTIMORE
Cincinnati is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Baltimore
Cincinnati is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing Baltimore
Baltimore is 3-14 ATS in its last 17 games
Baltimore is 1-9 SU in its last 10 games


1:00 PM DETROIT vs. ATLANTA
Detroit is 3-7 ATS in its last 10 games when playing Atlanta
Detroit is 11-4 SU in its last 15 games when playing Atlanta
Atlanta is 3-9 ATS in its last 12 games at home
Atlanta is 3-9 SU in its last 12 games at home


1:00 PM HOUSTON vs. PITTSBURGH
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Houston's last 5 games
Houston is 1-6 ATS in its last 7 games on the road
Pittsburgh is 9-4 ATS in its last 13 games at home
Pittsburgh is 7-2 SU in its last 9 games at home


1:00 PM JACKSONVILLE vs. TENNESSEE
Jacksonville is 7-3 ATS in its last 10 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Jacksonville's last 8 games on the road
Tennessee is 6-3 ATS in its last 9 games when playing at home against Jacksonville
Tennessee is 6-3 SU in its last 9 games when playing at home against Jacksonville


1:00 PM KANSAS CITY vs. NEW ENGLAND
Kansas City is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games
Kansas City is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games
New England is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Kansas City
New England is 6-2 ATS in its last 8 games when playing Kansas City


1:00 PM NY JETS vs. MIAMI
NY Jets are 8-0-1 ATS in their last 9 games when playing Miami
NY Jets are 7-1 SU in their last 8 games when playing Miami
Miami is 2-7 ATS in its last 9 games at home
Miami is 1-8 SU in its last 9 games at home


1:00 PM SEATTLE vs. BUFFALO
Seattle is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games on the road
Seattle is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games on the road
Buffalo is 9-4 ATS in its last 13 games
Buffalo is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games


1:00 PM ST. LOUIS vs. PHILADELPHIA
St. Louis is 5-11 ATS in its last 16 games
St. Louis is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games
Philadelphia is 4-0-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against St. Louis
Philadelphia is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against St. Louis


1:00 PM TAMPA BAY vs. NEW ORLEANS
Tampa Bay is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against New Orleans
Tampa Bay is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against New Orleans
New Orleans is 2-9 ATS in its last 11 games at home
New Orleans is 8-15 SU in its last 23 games at home


4:15 PM ARIZONA vs. SAN FRANCISCO
Arizona is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
Arizona is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games on the road
San Francisco is 10-2 SU in its last 12 games when playing at home against Arizona
The total has gone OVER in 4 of San Francisco's last 6 games when playing at home against Arizona


4:15 PM CAROLINA vs. SAN DIEGO
Carolina is 7-3 ATS in its last 10 games on the road
Carolina is 7-3 SU in its last 10 games on the road
San Diego is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
San Diego is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games


4:15 PM DALLAS vs. CLEVELAND
Dallas is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games
Dallas is 13-4 SU in its last 17 games
Cleveland is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games at home
Cleveland is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home


8:15 PM CHICAGO vs. INDIANAPOLIS
Chicago is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
Chicago is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games
Indianapolis is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing Chicago
Indianapolis is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games

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Re: NFL Week 1 Trends

Tips and Trends

Jacksonville Jaguars at Tennessee Titans [CBS | 1 PM ET]

Jaguars (-3, O/U 37): The Jaguars come into the 2008 season with one main goal: improve their pass rush. That was evident on draft day when Jacksonville selected edge rushers Derrick Harvey and Quentin Groves. The Jags have been tough against the run in recent years but susceptible to the pass and the team is hoping to change that by getting more pressure on opposing quarterbacks. Another area where improvement is needed is at receiver. Jacksonville brought in former Raider Jerry Porter, but Porter just started practicing after recovering from hamstring surgery and won?t play this week. The OVER is 8-1 in Jacksonville?s road games the last two years.

Jaguars are 8-1 ATS in their last 9 season openers.
The OVER is 10-1-1 in Jacksonville's last 12 road games.

Key Injuries - RB Maurice Jones-Drew (ankle) is probable.
WR Jerry Porter (hamstring) is questionable.

PROJECTED SCORE: 20

Titans: The Titans are hoping to find the end zone this week against Jacksonville, something they didn?t do very often in the preseason. In four preseason games, Tennessee?s starting offensive unit didn?t cross the goal line once. Last season the Titans finished 27th in passing offense and dead last in red-zone offense. Tennessee brought in TE Alge Crumpler, WR Justin McCareins and rookie RB Chris Johnson to help out Vince Young but if the preseason is any indicator, the Titans offense still has a long way to go. Luckily, Tennessee is fortunate enough to have one of the NFL?s best defensive units, led by Pro Bowl linemen Kyle Vanden Bosch and Albert Haynesworth, to keep them in most games. The Titans are 10-2 ATS in divisional games over the last two seasons.

Titans are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 vs. AFC.
Underdog is 7-2 ATS in the last 9 meetings.

Key Injuries - QB Vince Young (hand) is probable.

PROJECTED SCORE: 17



Dallas Cowboys at Cleveland Browns [FOX | 4:15 PM ET]

Cowboys (-5, O/U 49.5): The Cowboys begin the season as the favorites to represent the NFC in the Super Bowl and while they are extremely talented on both sides of the ball, wide receiver is a position of major concern. Terrell Owens and Patrick Crayton are locked in as the starters but key reserves Sam Hurd and Miles Austin are both injured and won?t play in this game. Isaiah Stanback dislocated his left shoulder in the preseason but is hoping to play against Cleveland. If he does, he?ll be Dallas? third receiver. If Stanback can?t go, the Cowboys will basically have two healthy receivers on their roster. Look for rookie RB Felix Jones to line up some at receiver and also return kicks, something the team was debating not having Jones do because they expect him to be an impact player on offense.

Cowboys are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games overall.
The OVER is 13-4-2 in Dallas' last 19 road games.

Key Injuries - LB Kevin Burnett (knee) is questionable.
WR Isaiah Stanback (shoulder) is questionable.
LB Anthony Spencer (knee) is OUT.
WR Sam Hurd (shoulder) is OUT.

PROJECTED SCORE: 31 (Side Play of the Day)

Browns: The big question in Cleveland is how healthy is this team heading into the season? Quarterback Derek Anderson (concussion) and stud WR Braylon Edwards (foot) missed time during the preseason but both players are expected to start on Sunday. That is a big boost to a Browns offense that will most likely need to score some points to upset the Cowboys. While Anderson and Edwards appear ready to go, the status of RB Jamal Lewis (hamstring), S Brodney Pool (concussion) and KR Josh Cribbs is still uncertain. The Browns' last six games in 2007 all went UNDER the total.

Browns are 1-7-1 ATS in their last 9 season openers.
The UNDER is 6-0 in Cleveland's last 6 games overall.

Key Injuries - QB Derek Anderson (concussion) is probable.
RB Jamal Lewis (hamstring) is probable.
WR Braylon Edwards (foot) is probable.
KR Josh Cribbs (ankle) is questionable.

PROJECTED SCORE: 21



Chicago Bears at Indianapolis Colts [NBC | 8:15 PM ET]

Bears: It?s now the Kyle Orton show in Chicago. Orton beat out Rex Grossman this preseason and the former Purdue standout will now be in charge of leading the Bears punchless offense. Orton could be under heavy fire tonight as Chicago?s offensive line is a mess heading into the season. Rookie Chris Williams was being counted on to be the starting left tackle but he?ll be sidelined until at least midseason after having back surgery. The Bears shuffled around their offensive line all preseason with little success. As bad as the offensive line looks, the receiver position isn?t much better. Devin Hester remains a work in progress, while Marty Booker and Brandon Lloyd lack deep speed. Expect to see a lot of Rashied Davis, who is coming off a strong preseason.

Bears are 3-1 ATS in their last 4 games overall.
The OVER is 3-1 in the last 4 meetings.

Key Injuries - DE Mark Anderson (thumb) is probable.
TE Desmond Clark (knee) is questionable.

PROJECTED SCORE: 17

Colts (-9.5, O/U 44): After missing six weeks of training camp and the entire preseason following minor knee surgery, Peyton Manning is ready to go in the season opener. And while the Colts are certainly excited to have their leader back under center, he won?t be under the normal center. Jeff Saturday was injured in a preseason game against Buffalo and is expected to be out for the first half of the season. He?ll be replaced by rookie sixth-round pick Jamey Richard. Expect the Colts to test the Bears rush defense in this game with the combination of Joseph Addai and Dominic Rhodes. The last time these two teams met in the Super Bowl, Rhodes was a major factor.

Colts are 8-1 ATS in their last 9 games vs. NFC.
The UNDER is 7-3 in Indy's last 10 September games.

Key Injuries - QB Peyton Manning (knee) is probable.
C Jeff Saturday (knee) is OUT.

PROJECTED SCORE: 27

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