Saturday Service Plays
Re: Saturday Service Plays
Syracuse Orange -4 1/2 2-Units
Syracuse still has a few question marks going into today's game against Akron. One of the main concerns will be if they will be able to move the ball on the ground. They managed 122 rushing yards last week against the Wildcats of Northwestern, but that was against a Northwestern team that basically had no rush defense whatsoever last season. Either Northwestern has gotten better, or Syarcuse has a weak running attack. We will find out today, as the Orange take on an Akron team that gave up over 400 rushing yard to a much improved Wisconsin team. Wisconsin had so much success rushing the ball that they only had to attempt 10 passes last week. Both teams have veteran quarterbacks, but I look for Syarcuse to come out on top. Losing to a Big 10 opponent is one thing, but losing at home to an Akron team that went 4-8 last season will cost you your job, especially if you are on the hot seat.
Take the Syracuse Orange -4 1/2 for 2-Units.
Re: Saturday Service Plays
Buffalo vs Pitt
The Pitt Panthers play host to Buffalo today. Dave Wannstedt's seat was already warm before the season even started and after last week's disturbing loss to Bowling Green this may just be his last year as Head Coach at Pitt. With that said last weeks loss was due to turnovers as the Pitt defense really held Bowling Green in check as they only had 68 yards rushing and 190 passing. Not exactly high flying numbers for a MAC team known for scoring. What did Pitt in was the TO's as PITT had 4 of them. Pitt stormed out to a 14-0 lead and had 129 yards rushing and 264 passing in the game. Expect Wannstedt to have pounded this team all week long in practice and the result should be a very focused error free performance from the Panthers. Pitt WINS this 41-17.
Re: Saturday Service Plays
Jeff Scott Sports
4 UNIT PLAY (Side Play Of The Week)
KANSAS -21 over Louisiana Tech
LA Tech is 2-11 ATS as non-conf dogs of 3 or more and 0-5 ATS as dogs vs the Big 12, while Kansas is 6-0 ATS vs an opponent off a SU win and Jayhawks are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 vs. WAC. The Jayhawks really beat up pn non-conf foes at hopme last year and their 1 game this year, as they have outscored those foes by an average of 44.2 ppg in the 5 games. Overall Kansas is 6-1 ATS in their last 7 lined home games as a favoprite and they have outscored those 7 foes by an average of 40.3 ppg. This team really polays well at home. Last year the Kansas offense put up 43 ppg and they could come close to those numbers this year with 6 starters back, including Todd Reesing. Last week this offense put up 384 yards and 40 points vs FIU and this week Todd and that powerfull offense will take on a LA tech school that was 111th in pass defense last year and returns just 5 starters to that side of the ball. Todd may get 400 yards passing in this one. The Kansas offense gets much of the pub, but this defense is one of the better in the nation. Last year KU allowed just 16 ppg and 317 ypg and they ruturn 9 starters to that side of the ball, so they may be even stingier this season. Last week KU allowed FIU just 10 points and 139 yards of total offense. LA Tech may have beaten Miss State last week, 22-14, but they were still outgained on the day by 88 yards and allowed the Bulldogs to pass for 257 yards. That pass defense is just as bad as last year's and could be in for a very long night tonight. Kansas kinda slept walked through their first game, but the spread is lower in their one, Todd Ressing is going up against one of the worst pass defenses in the nation and the KU defense is far superior to the LA Tech offense. KU should put 50 points on the board in this one and cover the 21 spot with ease.
3 UNIT PLAYS (Includes Systems of the Week)
FLORIDA -23 over Miami-Fla
Game 2 home teams are 6-1 ATS, if both teams are off a win of 35 or more in week 1 and one team face a lined opponent and the other faced a non-lined opponent. The home team is also 3-0 ATS if they are a DD fav. That is a very solid system, but technical handicapping is only 33% of the deal and there are other factors to this pick. First is that the ACC ids down this year and the Canes return just 10 total starters to a team that finished 5-7 (2-6 in the ACC) last year. The Canes offense has put up just 20 and 21 ppg the last 2 years and they return just 4 starters and no QB this year. The sledding could be tough vs this Florida defense that is much improved over last year and could be one of the better ones in the SEC. The Canes defense allowed 26 ppg last year and even with 6 starters back I see them having all sorts of problems with the powerful Florida offense. Tim Tebow and Co averaged 42 ppg last year and they picked up where they left off as they hung 56 points on Hawaii last week and they did it without top WR Percy Harvin. He returns this week and should have an immediate impact for them. The defense for the Gators may also get a boost from the return of LB Brandon Spikes and he will really help put the clamps on a Miami team that will have all sorts of problems scoring against FBS teams this year. The Canes have actually won the last 6 in the series, but the teams have not played since '03 and I fully expect the Gators to break that string in a big way tonight. Gators by 4 TD's.
EAST CAROLINA +7.5 over West Virginia
This game features another solid system. In Game 2, play on any CFB that won 14 or more of their previous 22 games and they were in a bowl game last year, plus they were a dog in thier first game of this year. This is system is 20-3 the last 23 times it came up. With a sytem like that, I should just stop right there, but you know me no writeup would be complete with outme tossing even more numbers your way. The ECU roster consists of more than 50% upperclassmen that set or tied 37 team records last year and all that experience was never more evident than last week as the team just would not give up after being down 22-13 in the 4th quarter vs a very good VA Tech squad. ECU really outplayed the Hokies as they outgained them by 122 yards. West virginia's offense is very good, but they could have a rough go of it at time today vs a tough ECU defense and a weather forecasts that includes plenty of rain. West Virginia's defense will be down this year and it showed in their opening game vs FCS opponent Villanova, as they allowed them 21 points and were actually outgained on the day by 40 yards. Ouch. ECU is in the 3rd year of the Skip Holtz era and that is usually when the biggest improvement are noticed. The Pirates are one of the top players in Conference USA this year and a big win here may just propell this to a BCS bowl at the end of the year.
1 UNIT PLAY
Michigan State -21 over Eastern Michigan
Yes E. Michigan beat Indiana State 52-0 last week, but the Sycamores were off an 0-11 season and are one of the worst teams in the FCS. Michigan State took a tough loss to Cal last week but the and a home date vs the Eagles may be just what the doctor ordered. E. Mich is 0-23 all-time vs the Big 10, while Michigan state is 36-62 vs the MAC and 7-0 vs the Eagles, with the Spartans winning the last 4 in the series by 43 ppg. Eastern Michigan was an improved team last year, but they really struggled on the road, allowing 36 ppg and now they take on a powerful Spartan offense. The Spartan returns 6 starters, including QB Brian Hoyer, to a unit that put up 33 ppg last year. They should get over 40 in this one, while the defense will step it up after their bad showing vs Cal. The Spartans will win by 25+ here.
Re: Saturday Service Plays
Jimmy Moore Guaranteed Selections
7* Northwestern -6
No, I'm not crazy going with the Wildcats here. There are many reasons to go against Duke: They are 2-8 ATS as single digit dogs and they are 1-12 home against non-conference teams. Also their defense is pitiful which will play very well into the hands of Northwestern's senior QB. The Wildcats have big time revenge against Duke having lost at home last year to Duke as 17 points favorites. Northwestern is 3-0 their last 3 road favorite roles. Duke's win over James Madison last week gives us great line value here as well. Lay the short number with Northwestern to win big with Jimmy.