NFL - Week 1 Trends

NFL - Week 1 Trends

DUNKEL

Washington at NY Giants
Jim Zorn takes over the helm of a Washington team that upset the Giants on the road (22-10) in Week 14 of last season.  The Redskins are the underdog pick (+3 1/2) in the opener according to Dunkel, which has the game even.  Dunkel Pick: Washington (+3 1/2).  Here are all of this week's picks.

THURSDAY, SEPTEMBER 4

Game 451-452: Washington at NY Giants
Dunkel Ratings: Washington 135.248; NY Giants 135.636
Dunkel Line: Even; 37
Vegas Line: NY Giants by 3 1/2; 40
Dunkel Pick: Washington (+3 1/2); Under


SUNDAY, SEPTEMBER 7

Game 453-454: Cincinnati at Baltimore
Dunkel Ratings: Cincinnati 128.092; Baltimore 130.817
Dunkel Line: Baltimore by 3; 38
Vegas Line: Cincinnati by 1; 40 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Baltimore (+1); Under

Game 455-456: NY Jets at Miami
Dunkel Ratings: NY Jets 128.618; Miami 123.637
Dunkel Line: NY Jets by 5; 32
Vegas Line: NY Jets by 3; 36
Dunkel Pick: NY Jets (-3); Under

Game 457-458: Kansas City at New England
Dunkel Ratings: Kansas City 129.212; New England 143.292
Dunkel Line: New England by 14; 51
Vegas Line: New England by 17; 48
Dunkel Pick: Kansas City (+17); Over

Game 459-460: Houston at Pittsburgh
Dunkel Ratings: Houston 129.678; Pittsburgh 138.473
Dunkel Line: Pittsburgh by 9; 41
Vegas Line: Pittsburgh by 6 1/2; 43 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Pittsburgh (-6 1/2); Under

Game 461-462: Jacksonville at Tennessee
Dunkel Ratings: Jacksonville 136.712; Tennessee 136.458
Dunkel Line: Even; 33
Vegas Line: Jacksonville by 3; 37
Dunkel Pick: Tennessee (+3); Under

Game 463-464: Detroit at Atlanta
Dunkel Ratings: Detroit 123.425; Atlanta 124.899
Dunkel Line: Atlanta by 1 1/2; 39
Vegas Line: Detroit by 3; 41
Dunkel Pick: Atlanta (+3); Under

Game 465-466: Seattle at Buffalo
Dunkel Ratings: Seattle 131.097; Buffalo 129.061
Dunkel Line: Seattle by 2; 36
Vegas Line: Pick; 39 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Seattle; Under

Game 467-468: Tampa Bay at New Orleans
Dunkel Ratings: Tampa Bay 127.936; New Orleans 133.538
Dunkel Line: New Orleans by 5 1/2; 45
Vegas Line: New Orleans by 3 1/2; 42 1/2
Dunkel Pick: New Orleans (-3 1/2); Over

Game 469-470: St. Louis at Philadelphia
Dunkel Ratings: St. Louis 125.390; Philadelphia 131.242
Dunkel Line: Philadelphia by 6; 48
Vegas Line: Philadelphia by 7 1/2; 45
Dunkel Pick: St. Louis (+7 1/2); Over

Game 471-472: Dallas at Cleveland
Dunkel Ratings: Dallas 132.356; Cleveland 133.450
Dunkel Line: Cleveland by 1; 51
Vegas Line: Dallas by 4 1/2; 48 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Cleveland (+4 1/2); Over

Game 473-474: Carolina at San Diego
Dunkel Ratings: Carolina 129.950; San Diego 137.624
Dunkel Line: San Diego by 8; 44
Vegas Line: San Diego by 9 1/2; 42 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Carolina (+9 1/2); Over

Game 475-476: Arizona at San Francisco
Dunkel Ratings: Arizona 126.237; San Francisco 125.916
Dunkel Line: Even; 37
Vegas Line: Arizona by 3; 41 1/2
Dunkel Pick: San Francisco (+3); Under

Game 477-478: Chicago at Indianapolis
Dunkel Ratings: Chicago 133.231; Indianapolis 140.920
Dunkel Line: Indianapolis by 7 1/2; 41
Vegas Line: Indianapolis by 9 1/2; 44 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Chicago (+9 1/2); Under


MONDAY, SEPTEMBER 8

Game 479-480: Minnesota at Green Bay
Dunkel Ratings: Minnesota 132.394; Green Bay 132.714
Dunkel Line: Even; 37
Vegas Line: Green Bay by 3; 38 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Minnesota (+3); Under

Game 481-482: Denver at Oakland
Dunkel Ratings: Denver 130.277; Oakland 126.408
Dunkel Line: Denver by 4; 36
Vegas Line: Denver by 3; 41 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Denver (-3); Under

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Re: NFL - Week 1 Trends

Trend Sheet

Thursday, September 4

7:00 PM WASHINGTON vs. NY GIANTS
Washington is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
Washington is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
NY Giants are 5-2 SU in their last 7 games when playing at home against Washington
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of the NY Giants last 5 games when playing at home against Washington


Sunday, September 7

1:00 PM CINCINNATI vs. BALTIMORE
Cincinnati is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Baltimore
Cincinnati is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing Baltimore
Baltimore is 3-14 ATS in its last 17 games
Baltimore is 1-9 SU in its last 10 games


1:00 PM DETROIT vs. ATLANTA
Detroit is 3-7 ATS in its last 10 games when playing Atlanta
Detroit is 11-4 SU in its last 15 games when playing Atlanta
Atlanta is 3-9 ATS in its last 12 games at home
Atlanta is 3-9 SU in its last 12 games at home


1:00 PM HOUSTON vs. PITTSBURGH
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Houston's last 5 games
Houston is 1-6 ATS in its last 7 games on the road
Pittsburgh is 9-4 ATS in its last 13 games at home
Pittsburgh is 7-2 SU in its last 9 games at home


1:00 PM JACKSONVILLE vs. TENNESSEE
Jacksonville is 7-3 ATS in its last 10 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Jacksonville's last 8 games on the road
Tennessee is 6-3 ATS in its last 9 games when playing at home against Jacksonville
Tennessee is 6-3 SU in its last 9 games when playing at home against Jacksonville


1:00 PM KANSAS CITY vs. NEW ENGLAND
Kansas City is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games
Kansas City is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games
New England is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Kansas City
New England is 6-2 ATS in its last 8 games when playing Kansas City


1:00 PM NY JETS vs. MIAMI
NY Jets are 8-0-1 ATS in their last 9 games when playing Miami
NY Jets are 7-1 SU in their last 8 games when playing Miami
Miami is 2-7 ATS in its last 9 games at home
Miami is 1-8 SU in its last 9 games at home


1:00 PM SEATTLE vs. BUFFALO
Seattle is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games on the road
Seattle is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games on the road
Buffalo is 9-4 ATS in its last 13 games
Buffalo is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games


1:00 PM ST. LOUIS vs. PHILADELPHIA
St. Louis is 5-11 ATS in its last 16 games
St. Louis is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games
Philadelphia is 4-0-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against St. Louis
Philadelphia is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against St. Louis


1:00 PM TAMPA BAY vs. NEW ORLEANS
Tampa Bay is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against New Orleans
Tampa Bay is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against New Orleans
New Orleans is 2-9 ATS in its last 11 games at home
New Orleans is 8-15 SU in its last 23 games at home


4:15 PM ARIZONA vs. SAN FRANCISCO
Arizona is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
Arizona is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games on the road
San Francisco is 10-2 SU in its last 12 games when playing at home against Arizona
The total has gone OVER in 4 of San Francisco's last 6 games when playing at home against Arizona


4:15 PM CAROLINA vs. SAN DIEGO
Carolina is 7-3 ATS in its last 10 games on the road
Carolina is 7-3 SU in its last 10 games on the road
San Diego is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
San Diego is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games


4:15 PM DALLAS vs. CLEVELAND
Dallas is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games
Dallas is 13-4 SU in its last 17 games
Cleveland is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games at home
Cleveland is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home


8:15 PM CHICAGO vs. INDIANAPOLIS
Chicago is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
Chicago is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games
Indianapolis is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing Chicago
Indianapolis is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games


Monday, September 8

7:00 PM MINNESOTA vs. GREEN BAY
Minnesota is 10-5 ATS in its last 15 games when playing Green Bay
Minnesota is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing Green Bay
Green Bay is 9-3 ATS in its last 12 games
Green Bay is 18-4 SU in its last 22 games


10:15 PM DENVER vs. OAKLAND
Denver is 1-7 ATS in its last 8 games on the road
Denver is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games on the road
Oakland is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Denver
Oakland is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing Denver

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Re: NFL - Week 1 Trends

Thursday, September 4

WASHINGTON (9 - 8) at NY GIANTS (14 - 6) - 9/4/2008, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
WASHINGTON is 45-27 ATS (+15.3 Units) as an underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 points since 1992.
WASHINGTON is 28-11 ATS (+15.9 Units) as a road underdog of 3.5 to 7 points since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
NY GIANTS is 3-1 against the spread versus WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
NY GIANTS is 3-1 straight up against WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons


Sunday, September 7

CINCINNATI (7 - 9) at BALTIMORE (5 - 11) - 9/7/2008, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CINCINNATI is 47-69 ATS (-28.9 Units) versus division opponents since 1992.
BALTIMORE is 3-13 ATS (-11.3 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
BALTIMORE is 3-13 ATS (-11.3 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
BALTIMORE is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) in all games where the total is between 35.5 and 42 points over the last 2 seasons.
BALTIMORE is 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
BALTIMORE is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
CINCINNATI is 3-1 against the spread versus BALTIMORE over the last 3 seasons
CINCINNATI is 3-1 straight up against BALTIMORE over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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NY JETS (4 - 12) at MIAMI (1 - 15) - 9/7/2008, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MIAMI is 46-70 ATS (-31.0 Units) versus division opponents since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
NY JETS is 3-0 against the spread versus MIAMI over the last 3 seasons
NY JETS is 4-0 straight up against MIAMI over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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KANSAS CITY (4 - 12) at NEW ENGLAND (18 - 1) - 9/7/2008, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
KANSAS CITY is 11-24 ATS (-15.4 Units) against AFC East division opponents since 1992.
KANSAS CITY is 36-20 ATS (+14.0 Units) in September games since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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HOUSTON (8 - 8) at PITTSBURGH (10 - 7) - 9/7/2008, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
PITTSBURGH is 73-45 ATS (+23.5 Units) as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points since 1992.
PITTSBURGH is 35-16 ATS (+17.4 Units) as a home favorite of 3.5 to 7 points since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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JACKSONVILLE (12 - 6) at TENNESSEE (10 - 7) - 9/7/2008, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TENNESSEE is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) versus division opponents over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
TENNESSEE is 2-2 against the spread versus JACKSONVILLE over the last 3 seasons
TENNESSEE is 2-2 straight up against JACKSONVILLE over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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DETROIT (7 - 9) at ATLANTA (4 - 12) - 9/7/2008, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DETROIT is 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) as a road favorite of 3 points or less since 1992.
DETROIT is 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) in road games against conference opponents over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
DETROIT is 1-0 against the spread versus ATLANTA over the last 3 seasons
DETROIT is 1-0 straight up against ATLANTA over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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SEATTLE (11 - 7) at BUFFALO (7 - 9) - 9/7/2008, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
BUFFALO is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) in games where the line is +3 to -3 over the last 3 seasons.
BUFFALO is 15-4 ATS (+10.6 Units) against NFC West division opponents since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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TAMPA BAY (9 - 8) at NEW ORLEANS (7 - 9) - 9/7/2008, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NEW ORLEANS is 50-77 ATS (-34.7 Units) in home games since 1992.
NEW ORLEANS is 50-77 ATS (-34.7 Units) in home lined games since 1992.
NEW ORLEANS is 37-60 ATS (-29.0 Units) in home games against conference opponents since 1992.
NEW ORLEANS is 17-39 ATS (-25.9 Units) in home games versus division opponents since 1992.
NEW ORLEANS is 50-74 ATS (-31.4 Units) in home games in dome games since 1992.
NEW ORLEANS is 50-74 ATS (-31.4 Units) in home games in games played on turf since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
TAMPA BAY is 3-1 against the spread versus NEW ORLEANS over the last 3 seasons
NEW ORLEANS is 2-2 straight up against TAMPA BAY over the last 3 seasons
4 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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ST LOUIS (3 - 13) at PHILADELPHIA (8 - 8) - 9/7/2008, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ST LOUIS is 6-16 ATS (-11.6 Units) as a road underdog of 3.5 to 7 points since 1992.
ST LOUIS is 67-93 ATS (-35.3 Units) against conference opponents since 1992.
ST LOUIS is 7-19 ATS (-13.9 Units) against NFC East division opponents since 1992.
ST LOUIS is 24-41 ATS (-21.1 Units) in games played on a grass field since 1992.
PHILADELPHIA is 118-84 ATS (+25.6 Units) against conference opponents since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

DALLAS (13 - 4) at CLEVELAND (10 - 6) - 9/7/2008, 4:15 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CLEVELAND is 12-4 ATS (+7.6 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 12-4 ATS (+7.6 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 11-1 ATS (+9.9 Units) in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

CAROLINA (7 - 9) at SAN DIEGO (13 - 6) - 9/7/2008, 4:15 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SAN DIEGO is 14-5 ATS (+8.5 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
SAN DIEGO is 14-5 ATS (+8.5 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
SAN DIEGO is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
SAN DIEGO is 8-0 ATS (+8.0 Units) as a home favorite of 7.5 to 10 points over the last 3 seasons.
SAN DIEGO is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in home games over the last 2 seasons.
SAN DIEGO is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in home lined games over the last 2 seasons.
SAN DIEGO is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) in all games where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points over the last 2 seasons.
SAN DIEGO is 12-3 ATS (+8.7 Units) in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
CAROLINA is 72-45 ATS (+22.5 Units) as an underdog since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

ARIZONA (8 - 8) at SAN FRANCISCO (5 - 11) - 9/7/2008, 4:15 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SAN FRANCISCO is 2-9 ATS (-7.9 Units) in all games where the total is between 35.5 and 42 points over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
SAN FRANCISCO is 2-2 against the spread versus ARIZONA over the last 3 seasons
SAN FRANCISCO is 2-2 straight up against ARIZONA over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

CHICAGO (7 - 9) at INDIANAPOLIS (13 - 4) - 9/7/2008, 8:15 PM
Top Trends for this game.
INDIANAPOLIS is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in non-conference games over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
INDIANAPOLIS is 1-0 against the spread versus CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
INDIANAPOLIS is 1-0 straight up against CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons


Monday, September 8

MINNESOTA (8 - 8) at GREEN BAY (14 - 4) - 9/8/2008, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
GREEN BAY is 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
GREEN BAY is 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
GREEN BAY is 112-84 ATS (+19.6 Units) in games played on a grass field since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
GREEN BAY is 3-1 against the spread versus MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
GREEN BAY is 4-0 straight up against MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
2 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

DENVER (7 - 9) at OAKLAND (4 - 12) - 9/8/2008, 10:15 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DENVER is 10-22 ATS (-14.2 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
DENVER is 10-22 ATS (-14.2 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.
DENVER is 5-15 ATS (-11.5 Units) as a favorite over the last 3 seasons.
DENVER is 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) versus division opponents over the last 3 seasons.
OAKLAND is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) in games where the line is +3 to -3 over the last 3 seasons.
OAKLAND is 66-91 ATS (-34.1 Units) against conference opponents since 1992.
OAKLAND is 16-30 ATS (-17.0 Units) in home games versus division opponents since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
OAKLAND is 4-0 against the spread versus DENVER over the last 3 seasons
DENVER is 3-1 straight up against OAKLAND over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons 

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Re: NFL - Week 1 Trends

Thursday, September 4th

Washington at NY Giants, 7:00 ET NBC
Washington: 28-11 ATS as a road underdog of 3.5 to 7 points
NY Giants: 4-0 Over at home the total is between 38.5 and 42 points


Sunday, September 7th

Cincinnati at Baltimore, 1:00 ET
Cincinnati: 13-9 ATS as road favorite
Baltimore: 3-13 ATS last season

NY Jets at Miami, 1:00 ET
NY Jets: 6-1 Over in September
Miami: 2-9 ATS vs. division

Kansas City at New England, 1:00 ET
Kansas City: 5-0 ATS as DD underdog
New England: 10-5 Over as DD favorite

Houston at Pittsburgh, 1:00 ET
Houston: 5-10 ATS as road underdog
Pittsburgh: Pit 42-19 Over in home games

Jacksonville at Tennessee, 1:00 ET
Jacksonville: 8-1 Over in road games
Tennessee: 10-2 ATS vs. division

Detroit at Atlanta, 1:00 ET
Detroit: 0-7 ATS as a road favorite of 3 points or less
Atlanta: 8-1 Over as home underdog

Seattle at Buffalo, 1:00 ET
Seattle: 13-4 Under Away 1st 2 weeks of season
Buffalo: 15-4 ATS vs. NFC West

Tampa Bay at New Orleans, 1:00 ET
Tampa Bay: 26-5 Under 1st 2 Weeks of season
New Orleans: 3-11 ATS as home favorite

St. Louis at Philadelphia, 1:00 ET
St. Louis: 7-0 Under in September
Philadelphia: 15-6 Under as favorite

Dallas at Cleveland, 4:15 ET
Dallas: 7-0 Over Away 1st half of season
Cleveland: 12-4 ATS last season

Carolina at San Diego, 4:15 ET
Carolina: 6-0 Under the total is between 42.5 and 49
San Diego: 8-1 ATS at home

Arizona at San Francisco, 4:15 ET
Arizona: 9-3 Over vs. division
San Francisco: 1-6 ATS at home the total is between 38.5 and 42

Chicago at Indianapolis, 8:15 ET NBC
Chicago: 23-9 Under Away vs. AFC
Indianapolis: 8-1 ATS vs. NFC


Monday, September 8th

Minnesota at Green Bay, 7:00 ET ESPN
Minnesota: 3-0 ATS 1st two weeks season
Green Bay: 13-4 Over in all lined games

Denver at Oakland, 10:15 ET ESPN
Denver: 5-15 ATS as favorite
Oakland: 4-0 ATS vs. Denver

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