Friday Service Plays

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CHRIS CHIRIMBES

MILWAUKEE BREWERS

Pittsburgh will hand the ball to Zach Duke (4-11, 5.26), who's 0-7 with a 6.65 ERA in his last 12 starts and has allowed 13 homers in his last eight. The rough stretch includes an 11-6 loss at Milwaukee on July 6, when the left-hander gave up six runs in 2 1-3 innings, including a homer to Braun. Duke didn't factor in the decision.Duke is 0-3 with a 7.76 ERA in six games at Miller Park.

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NELLY

Oakland at Seattle Over

As bad as the record for the Mariners is, the offensive numbers are pretty decent. On the season Seattle has enjoyed solid success against left-handed pitching with a .282 season average and although Seattle is 6-14 in the last 20 games the Mariners are averaging nearly five runs per game. The over has cashed in eight of the last ten games as Seattle?s pitching has not held up. Pitching some of the season in the big leagues last year Ryan Feierabend struggled with an 8.03 ERA and this year he has not been any better in his lone start, allowing ten hits and six runs over three innings. Oakland rookie Gio Gonzalez has great potential but he has been hit hard in two of his three outings. Walks have been a problem so he will not be able to deep into this game, leaving the bullpens likely exposed to a heavy workload. Oakland has been the ultimate under team with good pitching and weak offensive numbers but the A?s should find plenty of opportunities to score against Seattle and the Mariners have been hitting left-handers well of late.

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Tom Freese

Boston at Toronto 

Boston starter Paul Byrd is 16-6 on the road vs. AL teams that score 4.7 or less runs in the second half of the year. Boston is 128-59 with revenge from a loss a sa home favorite of -150 or more. The Red Sox are swinging hot bats scoring 4 or more runs in 9 of their last 10 starts. Toronto is just 4-13 their last 17 games after winning 6 or 7 of their last 8 games. PLAY ON BOSTON

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Cajun-Sports

1 STAR SELECTION

Green Bay +2 1/2 over DENVER

Aaron Rodgers and the Packers travel to the Mile High City on Friday when they meet up with the Broncos in the third preseason tune-up for each club.

This game will be a pivotal outing for Rodgers who has had his struggles thus far in the preseason, sustaining six sacks in two games and posting a middling 71.3 passer rating. Unlike his counterpart with the Packers, Denver quarterback Jay Cutler has been mostly sharp in the preseason to date. The former first-round pick is 24-of-30 for 237 yards and a touchdown during the tune-up period, and will put am impressive passer rating of 110.7 on the line in Friday's contest.

We expect things to be a little different here, as we have a very motivated Green Bay club rolling into Denver.

Said G Jason Spitz, "It was an embarrassment. I expect to play well regardless. It’s my job. We didn’t come out and play well - I didn’t play well."

We also have a team in the Broncos that was very motivated last week and came away with a win over the Cowboys. Here, we expect a letdown.
Finally, a couple of NFLX POWER SYSTEMS point to a Packers cover.

Our first system advises: Play ON a road team off a SU loss of 21+ points its last game and a SU loss before that. (14-4 ATS). We also have one that states: Play AGAINST a favorite off a SU win of 10+ points in its last game and no SU wins before that vs. a sub-.500 opponent off a SU loss of 10+ points. This system is a strong 15-2 ATS.

With an embarrassed, motivated Green Bay team taking on a satisfied Broncos squad, we'll take the points and back the visitors.

PROJECTED FINAL MARGIN: GREEN BAY OVER DENVER BY 3 POINTS

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SPORTS GAMBLING HOTLINE

Philadelphia at NEW ENGLAND -3

Tonight in the NFL we are interested in laying the points with the Patriots regardless of Tom Brady's playing status.

New England has yet to win in the preseason, but with a battle going on for the back-up QB spot, you can expect the Pats to be ready to roll this evening at home.

Week 3 of the exhibition season has been the week that Bill Belichick has regularly pointed to as the week his teams show up, as New England sports a 5-1 straight up, and against the spread record the last 6 summers, and they are a perfect 3-for-3 the last 3 years.

Philadelphia comes into this one off a 24-point 4th quarter eruption in their home win, and cover over Carolina last week, but the Birds are just 3-6 straight up, and 2-7 against the spread in Week 3 of the preseason under Andy Reid, and we definitely see New England showing up in this spot as they erase the last 2 weeks of preseason rust.

Play on the Patriots.

2♦ NEW ENGLAND

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Yankee Capper

3 Units - Nationals +1.5 (+130)     
3 Units - Pirates +1.5 (+110) 

Titans vs. Falcons 3 Units - Under 36     
Eagles vs. Patriots 3 Units - Under 37

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PlusLineSports

Pittsburg vs Milwaukee

Milwaukee -1.5

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TONY KARPINSKI

Tennessee Titans vs. Atlanta Falcons
Play:Over     

Rookie gunslinger Matt Ryan has arguably been the most effective quarterback for the Falcons during the exhibition campaign, and with this being the most important week of the preseason, you?d have to imagine he'll bring his A-Game to the Georgia Dome tonight. He's expected to play well into the third quarter, which means he'll be allowed to expand the playbook, utilize balance on several drives and properly lead the offense. He's already considered the favorite for the starting job. Ryan will be able to shine. On the other hand, we have a Tennessee offense that posted 34 points in the season opener, and a mere 17 last week against the Raiders. A bit deceptive, and the thing is, Vince Young has yet to give us his best game. The starting offense scored just one touchdown in that exhibition opener, so imagine what it will do on the turf tonight, if the Falcons decide to speed things up. Remember, Atlanta's defense is nothing to write in about. Play on the OVER

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MICHAEL CANNON

Boston at TORONTO -105

Take the Blue Jays tonight over the Red Sox.

Boston will send the recently acquired Paul Byrd to the hill and the right-hander has been solid lately.  He?s 2-1 with a 2.70 ERA in his last three starts.

But for how good Byrd has been, Toronto?s Shaun Marcum has been better.

The right-hander is 3-0 with a 2.00 ERA in his last three starts and he?s also had good success against Boston in his career.

Marcum is 4-1 with a 2.84 ERA in five career games against the BoSox, including a 2-0 mark with a 3.00 ERA in two starts this year.

Take the Blue Jays as they grab the home win.

3♦ TORONTO

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DREW GORDON

Philadelphia at NEW ENGLAND -3

First things first, Brady's status is a relative unknown, due in large part to coach Belichek's cryptic ways. However, he did practice Wednesday and should play at least a couple series in this contest. However, what really matters is the Patriots are sitting at 0-2, and in tonight's dress rehearsal, I say we see their best effort of the preseason, plain and simple.

Why? Well, we all know Belichek is one of the few coaches who really cares about winning preseason games, and its especially true in this all-important Week 3 match up, where he's 5-1 SUATS over the last 6 preseasons! Patriots need to get on track, and I suspect Belichek will make that loud and clear to his team in tonight's contest

The biggest reason I believe  the Patriot win and cover this contest comes down to one unit - the defense. Overall New England's vaunted stop-unit has been porous this preseason, getting torched by Tampa Bay in last week's 27-10 loss. Now back at Gillete Stadium, in extended minutes, look for the veterans to step it up a notch tonight.

Finally, while many in the media are spending time tearing down Cassel, Guttierez, and O'Connell in this match up, fact is the Eagles backups have been far from good either. Kolb 54% completion 66 QB rating & Feeley 42% completion and 53 QB rating, not exactly mind-boggling numbers. Look guys, this game comes down to defense, and with the Patriots at home, off back-to-back losses, you know they're coming to play tonight, and it'll show in the final score!

Take New England over Philadelphia in this NFL Preseason match up.

2♦ NEW ENGLAND

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Dave Malinsky

Houston Astros @ New York Mets
PICK: Houston Astros  3*

The oddsmakers have been forced to deal some favorites in awfully high ranges over the course of this week, and the books have had to sweat through most of them cashing. That is going to work well for our purposes in the weeks ahead, as it creates the kind of value we find in games like this one. It is one thing for a struggling side that lacks talent and intensity to be taking on a contender, but it is another matter entirely when we have what Houston brings to the table tonight.

The Astros sport a winning record, and have gone on a 17-7 run in their last 24 games. Included in that stretch was a 3-0 home sweep of the Mets in which they out-scored them by nine runs, despite having seven fewer outs to work with. In Roy Oswalt we have a veteran with an ace mentality that will relish this kind of spotlight, and note just how good Oswalt?s form has been as he makes up for lost time following a sub-par start to the season ? it is a 3-0/1.64 over his last three starts, and the only time that Houston has lost in his last seven outings came when an injury forced him out of a game after only a single inning. With Thursday off, the entire bullpen also comes in rested and ready.

Yes, Johan Santana brings a 2-0/1.96 over his last three starts, but when you get to face the Padres, Nationals and Pirates in succession there is nothing all that special about the numbers. This will be a quick ?second look? for the Astros after facing him at home on August 2nd, and in facing a left-hander for the fourth time in five games, the adjustments are easier to make. It all adds up to the Mets being vastly over-priced in this one.

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Vegas Sports Experts

The VSE NFL Power Play for Friday

10* Take Atlanta (-3) over Tennessee (NFL Power Play)

Atlanta
•    9-3 ATS in pre-season after scoring 14 points or less the last game
•    8-0 ATS in pre-season after a turnover margin of -3 or worse
•    10-4 ATS in pre-season as a home favorite of 3 points or less

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Locksmith Sports

1 Unit on Padres/Giants UNDER 7

San Diego is 17-8 Under when the total is 7 or less this season and 30-15 Under vs. poor power teams - averaging 0.9 or less HR's/game this season.  The Under is 5-0 in the last 5 meetings between these two teams and 6-0 in Lincecums last 6 starts vs. the Padres.  The Under is 7-1 in the Giants last 8 vs. the National League West and  6-0 in the Giants last 6 during game 1 of a series.  Neither of these teams pack much fire power and with a pair of solid pitchers on the mound, I don't expect many runs to be scored.  Bet the UNDER.

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Winners Inc. Guaranteed Selections

5000* POWER HOUSE BASEBALL GAME OF THE MONTH
NY Yankees w/Mussina -183 

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EZWINNERS

2 STAR: (970) TORONTO (-$107) over Boston
(Action)
(Risking $214 to win $200)

2 STAR: (955) HOUSTON (+$198) over NY Mets
(Listing Oswalt only)
(Risking $200 to win $396)

2 STAR: (972) TEXAS (-$116) over Cleveland
(Action)
(Risking $232 to win $200)

2 STAR: (974) KANSAS CITY (+$168) over Detroit
(Listing Bannister only)
(Risking $200 to win $336)

2 STAR: (963) FLORIDA (+$188) over Arizona
(Action)
(Risking $200 to win $376)

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Paul Leiner

100* NFLX Cowboys -5
25* MLB Rangers -115
10* MLB Blue Jays -105

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Re: Friday Service Plays

Bob Balfe

NFL Preseason Football
Eagles +2.5 over Patriots
New England has looked like the team with the most problems this preseason, but it is just the preseason. Its obvious they don't want to get hurt and without Brady in the lineup they have no shot at winning games. Brady probably wont play tonight so it will be the Patriots backups vs Donovan McNabb. Take the Eagles.

Cowboys -5 over Texans
This game is for all the Texas bragging rights. NOT! Both teams will play their starters for at least a half and if week 3 preseason football is the closest thing to a regular season game then my money would have to be on the team with the most pro ball players from last year that have yet to win a preseason game and are at home tonight. Dallas needs a good performance from their starters so they can rest in week four of the preseason to stay healthy for opening day. Take the Cowboys at home.

Major League Baseball
Whitesox -165 over Rays
Danks/Jackson

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Beat Your Bookie

100 Cubs
50 Milwaukee
50 St Louis

100 New England
100 Houston

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ROCKETMAN

Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Philadelphia Phillies
Los Angeles Dodgers +113

LA Dodgers are 12-5 overall vs Philadelphia last 3 years and 4-0 against the Phillies this year. Maddux is 10-9 with a 3.44 ERA overall vs Phillies since 1997 and Kendrick is 1-2 with a 9.39 ERA overall vs Dodgers since 1997. Philadelphia is 3-12 this year at home when the line is -100 to -125. We'll recommend a small play on the LA Dodgers

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Triple Crown

4* Bos/Tor Under 9.5

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