Monday Service Plays
Re: Monday Service Plays
Chris James Sports
Tonight is the opening game of the series between the Red Sox and Baltimore Orioles. The Orioles send Jeremy Guthrie to the mound who is 10-8 on the year with a 3.18 ERA. He is 1-1 vs the Red Sox this year with a 4.76 ERA. He has really come on strong his last few outings, posting a 1.17 ERA over his last 3 starts with a 3-0 record. The Orioles are 5-1 in Guthrie's last 6 home starts and 7-0 in his last 7 home starts vs. a team with a winning record. Look for Guthrie to continue his home dominance tonight as the Orioles take Game 1 of this series! Chris James Free Play Selection is on the Baltimore Orioles.
Re: Monday Service Plays
Jeff Scott Sports
2 UNIT PLAY
Cleveland/ Giants Under 35.5
These teams will meet in week 6 so don't expect the offenses to show too much. I do see alot of running in this one. Cleveland last week allowed just 59 yrds rushing, while the Giants run D allowed just 84 yds. Could be a lot of 3 and outs in this one.
1 UNIT PLAY
Cleveland +2 over NY Giants
As I stated above I expect plenty of running in the one and that should nuetralize the effectiveness of Manning. After Manning is out I really like the combo of Quinn and Dorsey over the rest of the Giants QB contingency. Last week Cleveland entered the 4th quarter with a 20-10 lead and allowed the Jets to comeback for the win and you can bet that Romeo has been in their ears all week long about finishing games strong. Look for them to grab the lead in the 3rd quarter and then hold onto it this time.
5 UNIT PLAY
MINNESOTA -138 over Oakland
The Athletics are 6-20 in their last 26 road games and 3-13 in their last 16 road games vs. a right-handed starter, while the Twins are 25-10 in their last 35 games following a win and 16-5 in their last 21 when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game. Minnesota has done well vs the lesser teams in the league as they are 37-27 vs teams with losing records this year, including a superb 11-1 mark in their last 12 home games vs losing teams. Minnesota has also been excellent at home overall this year, going 44-22, while hitting .288 and scoring 5.3 rpg in the process. Minnesota sends Nick Blackburn to the mound tonight and he has been solid for them on the year, going 9-6 with a 3.73 ERA overall, including a 6-2 mark with a 2.90 ERA at home. The Twins are just 13-11 in his starts overall, but 8-3 in his home starts, including 5-1 in his last 6 starts at the Metrodome, while outscoring opponents by 2.8 rpg in the 6 games. The A's come in just 5-25 in their last last 30 games, including a 2-14 mark on the road during that stretch. The Oakland offense has been horrible the last month or so, as they have averaged just 2.7 rpg over their last 30 games, including just 2.3 rpg in their last 16 on the road. The A's have scored 3 runs or less in 13 of the 16 road games and now must face a Twins staff that has a a solid 3.37 ERA at home. Justin Duchscherer has been good for the A's this year, with a 10-8 mark and a 2.59 ERA overall, but he has struggled of late going 0-2 with a 6.17 ERA inhis last 4 starts. This should be a good series for the Twins as they look to keep pace with the ChiSox and they will begin it with an easy win tonight.
3 UNIT PLAY
LA Angels +108 over TAMPA BAY
Boy this is one of the games I wished I had put out last night, before realizing it was a top play of others on here as well. Jeff Bonds gave great insight on the travel of Tampa and what they're heading into, so I won't go into all that, but what I will go into is my usual key trends and stats that give this play even more merit. The Angels are 21-6 in their last 27 vs. American League East and 6-1 in their last 7 during game 1 of a series, while the Rays are 20-48 in the last 68 meetings and just 2-5 in their last 7 game 1 of a series. Jon Garland has pitched very well for the Halos, going 11-7 with a 4.26 ERA overall, including a 7-2 mark with 4.57 ERA on the road. Johnhas also always pitched well vs the Rays going 5-1 with a 3.04 ERA in 10 career starts vs them, including a 3-0 mark with a 2.13 ERA in 6 starts at the Trop. Andy Sonnanstine has also had a nice year so far, going 12-6 with a 4.35 ERA overall, including a 6-3 mark with a 4.36 ERA at home, but he has struggled in 2 starts vs the Halos, going 0-1 with a 6.00 ERA. The Rays are 5-2 without Longoria and Crawford, scoring 5.1 rpg in the process, but the loss of the two should begin to take its toll. The Rays score just 4.6 rpg at home and 4.5 rpg at night. The Angels are the best road team in the league, with a 39-24 mark, including a 10-2 mark in their last 12 road openers of a series. The last time the Angels were at the Trop they were swept by the Rays and only scored 5 total runs in the 3 games. Payback starts tonight as the halos have all the edges in this one, including the emotional and mental edges and that should propell them to a solid win vs a team that they just might meet later in the playoffs.
2 UNIT PLAY
Detroit/ Texas Over 11.5
The Over is 6-0 in Tigers last 6 road games vs. a right-handed starter and 7-3-1 in Rogers' last 11 starts following a team loss in their previous game, while the Over is 24-7-1 in Rangers last 32 vs. American League Central and 7-0-1 in Rangers last 8 games vs. a left-handed starter. Kenny Rogers has really struggling of late, as he owns a 7.66 ERA in his last 4 starts. Overall Kenny has a 5.10 ERA, including a 5.40 ERA on the road, plus he owns a 5.58 ERA in his last 3 trips to Texas. The Detroit Offense does come in struggling a bit averaging just 4.1 rpg in their last 7, but they do score 5 rpg vs lefties on the year and they will be facing a stuggling one in this one. Scott Feldman comes in with a 6.60 ERA in his last 3 starts and in his last start he allowed 6 ER (12 runs overall) on 10 hits and 3 walks in just 2.2 innings of work. The Rangers offense has put up 6.1 rpg in their last 7 games, with those games averaging 14.4 rpg. Ranger night games are averaging 11.8 on the year, while their home games have averaged 12 rpg. This is the best hitting park in the majors, with two struggling pitchers and two good offenses. Sounds like an Over to me.
1 UNIT PLAY
NY Mets -132 over PITTSBURGH: The Mets are 28-11 in Maines last 39 starts vs. a team with a losing record and 9-2 in their last 11 games vs. a left-handed starter, while the Pirates are 1-8 in their last 9 home games vs. a right-handed starter and 8-20 in their last 28 vs. a team with a winning record. The Mets have won 5 of the last 6 games played here and they really need to win games like these if they are to keep pace with the Phillies, who atre now at home for an extened home stand. The Mets have taken the 1st 3 in this series and they have done it with superb pitching as they have held the Pirates to just 5 total runs in the 3 games. John Maine takes the hill for them today and he has been solid for them this year. John is 10-7 with a 3.97 ERA overall this year, including 2-0 with a 2.20 ERA in his last 3 starts. This is his second start since coming off the DL and in his first one he allowed 0 ER on 1 hit in 5 innings of work an a 12-0 Met rout of the Nats. How important was Jason Bay to this offense? The Pirates had been averaging 5 rpg on the year prior to his trade, but the Pirates have put up just 2.8 rpg in their last 16 games since the trade, including scoring just 2 rpg in their current 6 game homestand. The Met offense has not had many problems lately, as they come in averaging 5.9 rpg over their last 9 games, including 6.3 rpg in their current 6 game win streak. The Mets are 24-13 vs lefty starters on the year, hitting .279 and scoring 4.9 rpg vs them in the process. Paul Maholm has been very good for the Pirates this year, going 8-7 with 3.69 ERA overall, including a 6-1 mark with a 3.06 ERA at home, but he has struggled in day games going 1-2 with a 4.79 ERA in his 7 day starts. The Pirates just don't have the offense to hang with the hot Mets here and the should translate in to the 7th win in a row for NY. (Loss -1.32 Units)
San Francisco/ Atlanta Over 8
The Over is 5-0 in Zitos last 5 starts vs. National League East and 11-4 in his last 15 starts after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game, while the Over is 13-3 in Braves last 16 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30 and 8-1 in Braves last 9 games vs. a left-handed starter, plus the Over is 21-9-2 in the last 32 meetings in Atlanta. Not a lengthy writeup on this one. Just the basics. Barry Zito has a rough 8.50 ERA in day games, with those games averaging 8.1 rpg. Jorge does have a solid 2.05 ERA in day games, but his day starts have still averaged 9 rpg. Giants day games have averaged 9.7 rpg on the year, while Atlanta day games have averaged 9.6 rpg. The Giants last 7 overall have averaged 9.3 rpg, while the Braves last 7 have averaged 10.2 rpg, plus their home games have averaged 9.7 rpg on the year. I do see double digits being scored in this one.
Re: Monday Service Plays
Tom Freese Guaranteed Pick
10* MLB Super System Game of the Month!
Detroit Tigers at Texas Rangers Aug 18 2008 8:05PM
Prediction: Texas Rangers
Texas is in a 35-11 Super System that says to Play On all teams when the line is -$125 to +$125 if the have a batting average between .265 and .279 if the pitcher they are facing has an ERA between 4.70 and 5.70. Detroit is 16-35 their last 51 games vs. righty starters and they are 0-7 when playing Game 1 of a series. The Tigers are 3-8 after allowing 5 or more runs in their last game and they are 3-7 in the last 10 road starts made by Kenny Rogers. 10* SUPER SYSTEM GAME OF THE MONTH! PLAY ON TEXAS vs. Rogers