Thursday Service Plays

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Oscarxena Sports

Milwaukee/San Diego Under 6 1/2 (3 Unit Play)

In what should be a superb pitching matchup I am recommending my last baseball play on the Under between these two clubs today. San Diego has managed to score only three runs all series and will have their hands full today trying to get to Ben Sheets who is off a shutout win. Sheets on the year has a 2.83 ERA on the road in 92 1/3 innings of work with a 1.13 WHIP and the Brewers are 2-1 when Sheets starts against the Padres. The Padres have Jake Peavy on the mound who has still been battling despite a lack of run support and at home he is nearly unhittable as he has a 1.43 ERA in 69 innings of work with a 0.90 WHIP. The Brewers are likely still without Ryan Braun here so that is another bat that is out of today's lineup. Today's HP umpire is Mike Everitt who is 11-11 on the total so far this year but in four career appearances Sheets has went Under three of four times with Everitt while Peavy has went Under in both career starts with Peavy. I like the Under here in this game today although it is very low but it is low for a reason.

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Tom Freese

Philadelphia at Los Angeles

Philadelphia is 15-6-2 UNDER their last 23 games vs. winning teams and they are 7-1 UNDER on Thursday. The Phillies are 10-4-1 UNDER with Brett Myers when he has 4 days of rest. Myers is in great KW form with a 5 to strikeout to walk ratio in his last 3 starts. Los Angeles is 18-8-1 UNDER their last 27 home games and they are 19-9 UNDER their last 28 home games vs. righty starters. The Dodgers are 12-4-1 UNDER vs. an opponent who allowed 5 or more runs in their last game and starter Hiroki Kuroda is in great KW form with a 6 to 1 strikeout to walk ratio in his last 3 starts. PLAY ON 'UNDER' Philadlephia at Los Angeles

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Triple Threat Sports

Pittsburgh over Buffalo

Not a big fan of laying points on the road in preseason, but fact that Steelers are 5-1 SU overall for Tomlin in preseason while Bills are 0-4 SU/ATS at home for Juaron - who dropped his last four HG's as coach of the Bears as well - leads us to the Steelers side. Also, expect newly acquired Byron Leftwich to play all the 2Q and most if not all of the 2H, and he should be well agaisnt the Buffalo backups.

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Erin Rynning

Playmaker: Dodgers/Phillies Under 8.5

Washington Nationals

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Bob Balfe

NFL Preseason Football
Bills +1.5 over Steelers
The Bills will be playing eight games in Toronto in the next five years. The NFL wants to expand its reach north of the border. It would be an ideal situation for them if the Bills won the most of those games. Considering this is preseason and the first game in Toronto for the Bills you might see Buffalo trying very hard in the second half. Pittsburgh got a big scare when backup Charlie Batch went down with an injury. The Steelers picked up Byron Leftwich who will probably get a lot of time tonight just to get used to the new system. The last thing the Steelers need is another backup getting hurt. Buffalo has a QB race on with J.P Losman and Trent Edwards. Both are young QB's who are starting to get the grasp of the Bills system. Look for Buffalo to win and cover.

Major League Baseball
Padres -110 over Brewers


Savannah Sports

2 Units on Detroit

2 units on Buffalo +2

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Beat Your Bookie

MLB
100-Tampa Bay
50-Arizona
50-Detroit

NFL
100-Carolina
100-Buffalo

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Anthony Capone

Panthers / Eagles

Play : Eagle -3 -125

If you can't get - 3 than buy the number down as it will cost the same price .We don't lay extra .5 off of Prime Numbers in the NFL.Tonight I just don't see the Panthers doing much business against a beefed up Eagle D Line .I know the starters are playing the entire half + and with the secondary that the Eagles have between CB Sheppeard , Samuel , and Brown  and safety's Mikell , Demps and Consadine the Panthers aren't doing much through the air either .Lets lay the -3 as I think this one will climb to 4 + later in the day .The Eagles here comfortably .

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The Hitman Guaranteed Selections

5000 LARGE DIAMOND DAYTIME DOMINATOR
Houston w/Moeller -166

5000 LARGE RUN LINE DOMINATOR
Boston w/Matzuzaka -1.5

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Elite Sports Circle Guaranteed Selections

5000* BASEBALL DOMINATOR WINNER
NY Mets w/Perez -150

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Black Magic Sports

1 Unit on Chicago Cubs -140

The Chicago Cubs have won 7 road games in a row, outscoring their opponents 59-19 in the process.  This is a Cubs’ team that I’ll back every time at this price when they are as hot as they have been of late.  Tom Glavine makes his first start back from the disabled list, and it’s not going to be pretty for the veteran lefty.  The Cubs are 35-14 vs. poor power teams - averaging 0.9 or less HR's/game this season.  Glavine is 3-11 vs. NL teams scoring 4.8 or more runs/game on the season over the last 2 seasons.  Chicago is 37-13 as a favorite of -125 to -175 this season.  Cash in with the Cubbies as the favorite in an 8th straight road win.

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Pointwise NFLX Phones

2* Philadelphia (-3 1/2)


Saturday

3* Houston (+3 or 3 1/2)
2* Jacksonville (-3 1/2 or 4)
2* Denver (-2 1/2 or 3)


Sunday

3* Cincinnati (-3 1/2)

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BIG AL

Getaway Day Total of the Month

At 2:05pm our selection is on the San Francisco Giants and Houston Astros 'under' the total. 36-year-old righthander Brian Moehler doesn't seem to mind that his team is out of contention with a sub-.500 record, and over 10 games back in its division. At 8-4 with a 3.83 ERA, Moehler seems to be on the verge of putting together his best season ever, in a Major League career that began way back in 1996 with the Detroit Tigers, the first of five Major League uniforms that he has worn. Moehler has always been a good control pitcher and this year has been no exception, as Moehler has only issued a total of 26 walks in almost 106 innings. Moehler has really found his groove lately, going 3-0 with a 1.31 ERA in his last three starts and is arguably the biggest surprise on this Houston squad for 2008. Even more of an enigma than Moehler, 27-year-old righthander Kevin Correia finds himself in a rotation that features Matt Cain and Tim Lincecum for the Giants, and now Correia also seems to be hitting his stride as a starter on this losing team that is also, for all intent and purpose, out of the postseason. But unlike Moehler, Correia's success is perhaps not all that surprising due to the fact that in his last two seasons he has had ERAs under three-and-a-half runs, albeit primarily as a reliever for this squad. With the recent collapse of starter Jonathan O. Sanchez, the Giants have shown increasing confidence in Correia by giving him more and more innings in his starts, and he has rewarded them in his last two, going 6+ innings in both while only giving up a total of nine hits and three earned runs. Getaway Day Total of the Month on the 'under'.

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Re: Thursday Service Plays

Ben Burns

4* Detroit Tigers

4* Diamondbacks/Rockies Under 10

4* San Diego Padres

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Teddy Covers

3* Brewers/Padres Under 6.5

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King Creole

PHI (+121) vs LOS

Just what the Phillies need to salvage a win in this 4-game set.... a starting pitcher who's a PERFECT 7-0 vs tonight's opponent since the 2003 season. The Pound loves playing on UNDERDOGS starters who are in better current form than their favored counterpart... and we have that going for us tonight. At least Philly has had success when closing out a large set, going 9-3 in Game Four of a series and 16-6 on Thursdays.

On the surface, it does not look good for Brett Myers tonight if you look at his YTD record in road starts (6.61 ERA and a 3-9 team record). But we're all about CURRENT form. And in the 'what have you done for me LATELY' department, we note that Myers is actually 2-0 in his last 2 road starts with an ERA of 1.38 (only 2 earned runs in 13 innings pitched). So what's more pertinent for tonight's gambler? Recent form or year-to-date numbers? Myers come in with 'last 3 starts' edges in ERA (1.31 to 4.26)... opponent team batting average (.230 vs .291)... wins (3-0 vs 1-2)... and WHIP (0.73 to 1.21). Hiroki Kuroda comes in with an ERA of 5.94 in his last 3 home starts dating back to the middle July. To top things off, we save the best for last. Myers is a PERFECT 7-0 vs the Dodgers in 7 teams starts since the 2003 season... with an ERA of only 2.37.

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Lenny Del Genio

MIL (+105) vs SDP

We know how tough it is to go against the Padres Jake Peavy at home, but with the way Milwaukee has been playing as of late, it's even harder to against them. They jumped all over San Diego last night en route to a 7-1 win behind hired gun CC Sabathia. Now they have original team ace, Ben Sheets, on the hill and he's an underdog! Sheets is 6-2 with a 2.83 ERA away from home this year. Last night's win was the Brew Crew's eighth straight and kept them cemented as the Wild Card leaders in the National League as well as kept them just 3.5 games behind the Cubs in the Central Division. Milwaukee has now won 15 of its last 18 on the road. Meanwhile, can you believe that San Diego is just 14-22 as a home favorite this year? Ouch! Of course, when you're averaging just 3.5 runs per game in your own backyard, that's to be expected. Milwaukee has outscored opponents 49-12 during its eight game win streak and are on pace for the franchise's best finish in 25 years. San Diego, meanwhile, is headed for a 100 loss season. Take Milwaukee.


PIT (-120) vs CIN

We just can't believe how off this line is. The Pirates' Ian Snell owns a 17-5 team start record in the role of favorite over the last two seasons, with most of those starts obviously coming at PNC Park (14-3 TSR as home favorite), so we'll look past the fact that he's been "off" this year and realize that this is his situation to get back on track. As a team, the Bucs are 15-4 in the home favorite role in 2008. They'll be opposed by Johnny Cueto on Thursday and that's good news considering Pittsburgh is now a perfect 8-0 vs. starters who allow an average of more than 1 HR/game this year at home following yesterday's relatively easy 5-2 win that took just 2 hours and 14 minutes to play. The Pirates offense is now getting a much needed boost at 1B Adam LaRouche has been activated. The Reds have just been so bad on the road (22-37) and so bad recently (2-10 in August), plus starter Johnny Cueto has really struggled inside the division this year (2-9 TSR). Take PIttsburgh.


CHC (-125) vs ATL

The Cubs just annihilated the Braves in yesterday's doubleheader, winning the two games by a combined score of 18-2. Thus far, it's been a year to remember for the Cubbies and tonight they aim for their eighth consecutive road win, something the franchise hasn't done in 63 years. Overall, Lou Pinella's team has won 13 of its last 16, but during its road winning streak is where the troops have really done the damage, outscoring the opposition 59-19 in seven games. Atlanta is heading in the totally opposite direction as they've lost 9 of 11 at home and have managed just three runs over their last three games (all losses). An 8-0 loss in yesterday's Game 2 marked the 12th time this team has been shutout this season. The lefty vs. lefty matchup of Lilly vs. Glavine greatly favors the Cubs as they average 6.3 runs/game vs. southpaws with the Braves are just 16-22 vs. southpaws. Lilly has just one loss in his last 12 starts and has been doing his best work on the road as of late, going 3-1 with a 2.53 ERA in his last seven road outings. Take Chicago Cubs.

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Marc Lawrence

LOS (-120) vs  PHI

The Dodgers and Phillies conclude this 4-game series tonight when Hiroki Kuroda takes on Brett Myers in Los Angeles.   The inclusion of Manny Ramirez' bat into the Dodger lineup has proven highly beneficial as they've scored 4 or more runs in ten their last eleven games. On the flip side Myers has been horrible hurling away from home, dropping 12 of his last 15 road starts.  In his eight road starts this season he's issued 21 walks to go with 21 strikeouts.  His 6.61 road ERA this season is more than three full runs worse than his 3.48 home ERA.  Meanwhile, Kuroda's 3.29 home ERA ins nearly a run and half better than his 4.75 road ERA this season. With Kuroda owning a 1/30 strikeout to walk ratio in his last six home starts, look for the Dodgers to grab the win here tonight.

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Black Widow Sports

1* on New York Mets -149

This will be a complete mismatch from start to finish, similar to the Mets’ 12-0 victory over the Nationals last night.  Oliver Perez is keeping the Mets in this NL East race.  He’s 8-7 with a 3.90 ERA this year and 2-1 with a 2.37 ERA in his last 3 starts.  The Mets are 17-5 in their last 22 meetings at Washington.  They simply avoid letdowns against the Nationals.  Perez is 15-1 (+15.7 Units) against the money line vs. NL teams scoring 4.3 or less runs/game in the second half of the season since 1997.  Enough said.  Take the Mets on the Money Line.

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Info Plays

3* on Philadelphia Phillies +115

The Phillies will not get swept by the Dodgers tonight.  Play On - Road teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (PHILADELPHIA) - with a very good bullpen whose ERA is 3.33 or better on the season, after a game where their bullpen blew a save.  This is a 124-74 ML System hitting 62.6% (+53.2 Units) since 1997.  It took a 2-out double in the bottom of the eighth and a walk off homer in the 9th for the Dodgers to beat Philly last night.  Look for the Phillies to come out more hungry tonight and get a big enough lead that can’t possibly be blown again.  Bet Philly on the road.

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