Thursday Service Plays

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Great Lakes Sports

New York Mets at Washington
Play on: New York Mets

The New York Mets are 17-5 vs the Washington Nationals the last three years, and are 26-17 when the total is between 8 to 8.5 runs this year. The New York Mets is also 33-22 when playing on Thursday's the last three years, and are a very solid 40-28 when playing in the month of August the last three years. We look for the New York Mets to roll over the Washington Nationals in this National League divisional showdown for the road win tonight.

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Tom Stryker

MILWAUKEE with Sheets (-) over San Diego

If Milwaukee wants to give Chicago a run for its money, then the Brewers must pick up wins at this stage of the season against bottom feeders like San Diego. Granted, knocking off Padres ace Jake Peavy won't be easy. However, the Brew Crew have veteran Ben Sheets on the bump and he knows how to get the job done.

Except for a start on July 29th at home against Chicago where Ben got pounded for six earned runs and 11 hits in 5.1 innings of work, Sheets has been outstanding in his other six outings. In 38.2 innings of work, "Big Ben" has been touched for only 10 earned runs and 37 hits. That breaks down to a respectable 2.33 ERA. Foreign soil hasn't been an issue for Baton Rouge, Louisiana product either. As a guest, Sheets has tossed 92.1 frames and been nicked for only 29 earned runs and 81 hits. That equates to a solid 6-2 record and a stellar 2.83 ERA!

San Diego ace Jake Peavy has great numbers at home this season. With 69.0 innings completed, Peavy has been scratched for only 11 earned runs and 47 hits. That translates into a stellar 1.43 ERA but an average 4-4 overall record. The reason why Jake can't get any "W's" in the win column is he rarely gets any run support. Peavy has made 10 starts at home this season and the Padres have scored more than four runs only once! Overall, in their own backyard and with No. 44 on the hill, San Diego is averaging only 2.2 runs per game!

This is a sweet technical spot for Milwaukee too. The Brewers have nailed 36 of their last 52 as chalk and 29 of their last 42 with Big Ben on the mound. Meanwhile, the Padres have dropped 18 of their last 22 at home and six of their last eight with Peavy pitching in his own backyard. Take Milwaukee with listed pitcher Ben Sheets.

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Matt Fargo

Tampa Bay Rays at Oakland Athletics
Prediction: Tampa Bay Rays

Tampa Bay continues its road trip following another solid win last night over Oakland. The Rays have won three of four and 11 of their last 14 games to remain three games in front of Boston in the American League East. The pitching has been outstanding as the Rays have allowed three runs or fewer in nine of those games and they have posted a 3.09 ERA over that span. The Rays are 19-7 in their last 26 games after allowing two runs or less in their previous game.

Oakland continues to struggle following a dismal roadtrip where is went just 1-9. Heading home is not necessarily a good thing as the A's have lost four of five and eight of their last 10 games. Going back even further, Oakland is 4-22 in its last 26 overall. The problem is the offense as it has mustered three runs or fewer in 21 of those games, averaging only 2.67 rpg over that stretch. The A's are 1-6 in their last seven home games against a team with a losing road record.

James Shields continues to move forward with his solid pitching as he is now 10-7 with a 3.65 ERA on the year. He has tossed nine quality outings over his last 10 starts including three of four on the road. He has not had great success overall on the road but it is made up by his success during the day as he is 4-1 with a 2.49 ERA in seven starts with Tampa Bay going 6-1 in those games. Sean Gallagher has now gone four straight starts without a quality performance and he has been bother by a balky right shoulder. Play Tampa Bay Rays 1.5 Units

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Ross Benjamin

Minnesota @ Baltimore
Pick: Minnesota +3.0   

Any NFL preseason home favorite that is off an away underdog SU win, and is playing an opponent off a home favorite SU loss is 7-20 ATS since 1980. Play on the Minnesota Vikings plus the points.

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Sean Higgs

San Francisco Giants vs. Houston Astros    
Play: Houston Astros     

We will back the Astros here. Giants are just 1-7 in Correia's last 8 road starts and 3-12 his last 12 overall. Mohler is 5-1 his last 6 starts, 4-1 his last 5 at home, and 3-0 his last 3 with a 1.21 era. Giants are 0-5 in their last 5 with the Astros, and just 1-5 last 6 in Houston. FREE MONEY on the Astros today

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Vegas Sports Experts

10* Take Carolina +3.5 over Philadelphia (NFL Power Play)

Carolina
• 12-3 ATS in pre-season vs. NFC  Conference Opponents since 1993
• 8-3 ATS in pre-season vs. NFL East Division Opponents
• 443 yards on offense in their last pre-season game

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Valley Sports

MLB

Milwaukee

NFL

Carolina/Philadelphia Over

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Jeff Scott Sports 

HOUSTON -145 over San Francisco

The Giants are 2-9 in Correias last 11 starts as an underdog and 2-10 in their last 12 vs. a team with a winning record, while the Astros are 12-1 in their last 13 games with the total set at 9.0-10.5 and 5-1 in Moehlers last 6 starts. The Astros are on fire right now as they come in having won 14 of their last 17 games overall and 7 of their last 8 at home. Briam Moehler gets the nod for them today and he has been super of late. Overall Brian is 8-4 with a 3.83 ERA, including a 4-2 mark with a 3.99 ERA at home, but in his last 3 starts he is 3-0 with a stellar 1.31 ERA. Brian will be facing a Giants squad that is having real problems scoring right now as they have scored just 2.8 rpg in their last 12 games and just 1.6 rpg in their last 8 road games. The Giants score just 3.9 rpg on the road overall and just 3.8 rpg vs righty starters. The Astros offense has been hot of late as they come in averaging 7.1 rpg in their last 9 games, including 7.6 rpg in their current 7 game win streak. Houston has outscored opponents by 4.6 rpg in the 7 game win streak. Kevin Correia has not had a great year as he is 2-6 with a 5.21 ERA overall, while the Giants have gone just 4-14 in his starts. Kevin is also 1-4 with a 5.82 ERA on the road and 0-4 with a 7.57 ERA in day games. The Giants are 1-6 in his road starts and 0-5 in his day starts. Houston is just too hot right now to think that the Giants will be able to steal one here.

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Nostradamus

Tor/Det Under 9.5

Tampa Bay -135

Pittsburgh -125

Baltimore -115

St Louis +110

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Chris Jordan

Toronto at DETROIT

Let’s count on Armando Galarraga in this one, as he’s been the best starter for the team this season and comes into this one having won three straight decisions. He also has a rather stingy 2.52 ERA over his last four starts, and should have confidence thank to an April performance at Rogers Centre, where he tossed five shutout innings and got the win over these same Jays.

Jesse Litsch is going for Detroit, and right now he’s mired in a 1-6 slum, with a 6.12 ERA. Today marks his first big-league start since July 21, as he was reassigned to Triple-A Syracuse after giving up six earned runs over five innings in Baltimore. It was the second straight road game he gave up six earned runs.

Lay the run line and take the money in this game.

2♦ TIGERS RUN LINE

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Drew Gordon

Chi. Cubs -135 at ATLANTA

Got to like the Cubs in this spot for several reasons, but let's start with the fact they're red-hot, going 13-3 over their last 16 games! Also, for all the talk about their "road woes," the Cubs have now won 7 straight away, including crushing the Braves in both games of their doubleheader yesterday! Needless to say, I'm looking for Chicago to break out the brooms tonight, and they've got just the pitching match up to do it.

Can't argue with Ted Lilly's success since the Break, going 2-0 with a 2.76 ERA over his last 5 starts. Not only that, but he's been extremely effective on the road, going 3-1 with a 2.53 ERA over his last 7 away! Also, remember he already beat the Braves once this season, back on June 10th, allowing 3 runs 6 2/3 innings! Look guys, with the way the Braves have been swinging the bats lately, there's no question Lilly can and will deliver tonight.

Tom Glavine on the other hand is hardly a lock, as the veteran lefty is coming off the DL, and has yet to prove he can be consistently effective this season, going 2-3 with a 4.85 ERA. He's facing off against a Cubs team that has eaten him alive the last 5 times they've seen him, going 1-3 with an ugly 6.08 ERA over that span! Not only that, but if there's one team that loves to hit lefties, its the Cubs, averaging 5.3 runs per game against them on the road, batting .270 in the process!

Bottom line, the Braves are sputtering, while the Cubs are surging, and that much will be very clear at the end of this contest. Lilly has been razor sharp since the Break, and light out over his last 7 road starts, and there's little reason not to expect more of the same tonight. Glavine meanwhile, faces an uphill climb against a red-hot Cubs batting order, that has not been kind to the veteran lefty in the past. Cubs roll!

Take the Chicago Cubs behind Lilly over Atlanta and Glavine in this MLB match up.

2♦ CHI. CUBS

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Brad Diamond Sports

Play on:St. Louis over Florida

Always liked lefty Scott Olsen of the Marlins, but can’t trust his history marks against the pesky Cardinals that illustrate a 1-2 life time record with a 7.00 ERA. Currently, the Marlins have dropped the last four starts with Olsen. RHP Wellemeyer of St. Louis opposes this evening with a 3-0 road mark and a decent 3.36 ERA. He is normally on a pitch count and accrues an average of six innings per outing, so the Cards pen will be tested. With St. Louis 8-2 at Florida I’ll lean to the visitor on Thursday.

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Dennis Macklin

Tampa Bay Rays at Oakland Athletics

The Rays just keeping way to get it done (pitching/defense) despite their top two position players shelved with injuries. Tampa Bay is 6-2 in L8 and James Shields is rock steady 3-1 and 3.03 in his L5 starts. The A's are in freefall losing eight of ten homies and has scored one run or less an unbelievable 33 times in 2008. Sean Gallagher is rocking an 8.38 ERA in his L3 and doesn't figure to provide much help.

Play on: Tampa Bay

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Yankee Capper

3 Units - Cardinals/Marlins Over 8.5

2 Units - Panthers/Eagles Over 35.5

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Maddux Sports

Buffalo +2


PlayByPlayInc.

PITTSBURGH/BUFFALO Over 33


Tony Stoffo

Pitt/Buff Under 33


Rocco Spacamuro

100* Bills +2


Kerbysbaseball

DETROIT TIGERS -163


MIGHTY QUINN

Tigers


The Scout

Cubs


Dark Horse Sports

Dbacks


Cappers Access

Panthers
Brewers


Online Sports Winners

Detroit    


JerseySteveWins

Milwaukee    


lasvegassportsadvisors

Boston -1.5    


floridabookybusters    

Florida    


Guido's Sports Page

Chi Cubs    


JIM'S HOT PICKS    

Chi Cubs


Global Sports Picks

MARLINS -115


JH-SPORTSLINE

LA Dodgers -125


John Fina

Arizona -145


FAO SPORTS

Pittsburgh/Buffalo Under


JOE WIZ

Arizona -145


NICK JONES

ROCKIES +130


Insider Sports Report

Philadelphia +105


PAUL LEINER

10* Brewers -105


TRACE ADAMS

Oakland A's


SCOTT DELANEY

BREWERS


TONY MATHEWS 

Padres


NEVADA SHARPSHOOTER

PHILLIES +120


THE  SCOUT

Cubs -115


ARTHUR RALPH

Astros


HUDDLE UP

Cincinnati +115


BOB HARVEY 

Eagles
Panthers/Eagles Over
Pitt/Buff Over


DARK HORSE

Arizona -140


TV HOTLINE

PITT/BUFF UNDER


THE VEGAS STEAMLINE

CINCINNATI/PITTSBURGH UNDER


SOUTHSIDE SPORTS

MILWAUKEE


PLATINUM PLAYS

PIRATES -120


MIKE WYNN

NY Mets -150


RAZOR SHARP

PHILADELPHIA/LA DODGERS OVER


#1 SPORTS

MARLINS - 115


BIG TIME SPORTS

BALTIMORE/CLEVELAND OVER


LEE STEVENS

FLORIDA -115


COMPUTER SPORTS

D-BACKS-140

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Priceless Picks

1 Unit on LA Dodgers -130

LA has had Philly's number in this series and I like the blue and white to pull off the sweep tonight.  The Dodgers are 5-0 in their last 5 home games, 7-0 in their last 7 vs. the National League East, 5-0 in their last 5 home games vs. a team with a winning record, and 9-3 in Kuroda's last 12 starts as a favorite of -110 to -150.  The Phillies are just 3-12 in Myers' last 15 road starts and 1-6 in Myers' last 7 road starts vs. a team with a winning record.  Take the Dodgers.

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Jason Lowry

Arizona D-Backs vs. Colorado Rockies    
Play: Colorado Rockies

We are thinking an upset is in the making in Colorado on Thursday. The Rockies not only bring a 22-12 record against the money line as a home underdog of +100 or higher over the last 2 seasons, but they are a very nice 27-13 against the money line vs. an NL starting pitcher whose ERA is 3.00 or better over the last 2 seasons. This all works out well for the Rockies as starter Dan Haren has not only struggled of late with a 6.38 ERA in his last 3 starts, he has never won at Coors Field. Look for the Rockies bats to come alive at home, and for them to win this one pretty easily.

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Dustin Hawkins

Chicago Cubs vs. Atlanta Braves    
Play:Chicago Cubs

The soft throwing lefty Lilly has been getting it done for the Cubs this year!! They keep winning and keeping putting the pressure on the Cards and Brewers!!! Glavine is back off the DL, but the Cubs wont give him a nice welcome back. He wont getting any scoring help the way the Braves have been swinging the bats. Take the Cubs - 130

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Steve Janus

Milwaukee Brewers vs. San Diego Padres    
Play: Milwaukee Brewers

The Padres host the Brewers Thursday. Milwaukee has everything moving in the right direction, while the Pardes couldn't be having a more disappointing season. San Diego is just 13-39 in their last 52 games against teams with a winning record and they've lost 17 of their last 21 home games. Even behind their ace, Jake Peavy, the Padres can't get anything going. They've lost 6 of Peavy's last 8 home starts and 4 of his starts in a row against winning teams. Milwaukee continues to make a run at the Cubs for the NL Central title. They've been getting it done in every imaginable situation. They've won 6 in a row against right-handed starters, they are 12-3 as favorites on the road, and they've won an impressive 35 of the last 51 games they have been favored in. These numbers tell us a simple but important fact about each team. The Brewers have been winning, and winning in bunches when they are expected to do so, and the Padres are living down to the expectations everyone has for them at this point in the year. No surprises here, Brewers get another important win on the road Thursday night.

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