Thursday Service Plays

Thursday Service Plays

Gator Report

MLB 70% Super Situations:

MLB Thursday: Play Against MLB (AL) underdogs with a money line of +125 to +175 with a starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.500 to 1.600 on the season, in August games. 40-7 SU last five seasons (85.1%)

PLAY: Tampa Bay Rays -135


MLB Top Angles:

MLB Thursday: Moehler (Houston) 14-2 Under this season.

MLB Thursday: Pittsburgh is 7-0 SU against the money line in home games versus a starting pitcher who gives up 1 or more HR's per start this season.

MLB Thursday: Snell (Pitt) is 14-3 SU against the money line as a home favorite of -110 or higher over the last 2 seasons (Team's Record)

MLB Thursday: Atlanta is 3-11 SU against the money line in home games when playing against a team with a win percentage of 54% to 62% in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.

MLB Thursday: Olsen (Fla) is 1-11 SU against the money line versus teams who strand 7.5 or more runners on base per game in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons (Team's Record)

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Doc's Sports

Philadelphia Phillies vs. Los Angeles Dodgers     
Play: Los Angeles Dodgers   

The finale of this critical series takes place on Thursday @ Dodger Stadium in Los Angeles, CA. We like the Dodgers in this match-up since they will be up against Brett Myers, a player that has been a starter and reliever and a minor leaguer this season. He has terrible numbers going 5-9 with a 5.09 E.R.A. His WHIP is 1.43 and this newly created Dodgers line-up should be running the bases all night long. His opponent will be Hiroki Kuroda and he is coming off back-2-back outstanding starts in which he went over 15 innings and allowed just two runs. After tonight’s performance we will lower his E.R.A. under four runs per game and the Dodgers will inch closer to the Diamondbacks in the standings.

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Nelly

Milwaukee – over San Diego

Although Jake Peavy remains one of the top pitchers in the National League, being stuck on the struggling Padres makes him a go-against pitcher. San Diego is 8-12 when Peavy starts and actually just 5-12 in his last 17 starts despite being favored in 15 of those games. Peavy still has good numbers but he has been inconsistent with his control at times. He has allowed three or more walks in the three of his last four starts and the Padres are just 4-17 in the last 21 home games. The Brewers are a hot team right now with wins in seven straight games heading into Wednesday and Milwaukee is one of the few teams in baseball with a winning road record. The Brewers do not hit for a high average but Milwaukee is scoring runs, with five or more runs scored in each of the past seven games. Ben Sheets enters this game off a brilliant outing last week and the Brewers are 10-4 behind him in his road starts. Look for Milwaukee to solve Peavy and send the Padres to another loss.

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Jimmy The Moose

Milwaukee Brewers at San Diego Padres
Prediction: Milwaukee Brewers

Two solid pitchers meet up in this one with Sheets facing off vs. Peavy. Prior to last night's game the Brewers had won 7 straight. Milwaukee is 19-7 in their last 26 road games. In their last 12 road games vs. a right-handed starter the Brewers are 10-2. Milwaukee is 13-4 in Sheets last 17 road starts. In his last 14 starts vs. a team with a losing record the Brewers are 10-4. SD is 16-35 in their last 51 games overall. In their last 55 games as a dog they are 18-37. San Diego has lost 4 of Peavy's last 5 starts overall and 6 of his last 8 home starts. Brewers are just that much better than the Padres and will take this one. Play on the Miwaulee Brewers -.

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Big Al McMordie

Toronto Blue Jays vs. Detroit Tigers    
Play:Toronto Blue Jays   

At 1:05pm our complimentary selection is on the Toronto Blue Jays over the Detroit Tigers. The 2008 version of the Toronto Blue Jays could feature one of the weakest hitting lineups of this franchise in recent memory, but should get a boost from the return of outfielder Vernon Wells, who, if he can finally stay healthy may make an impact for this team in the last six weeks of the season. 26-year-old Tigers rookie Armando Galarraga has been a huge surprise for Detroit, and perhaps its best overall starter in 2008 as he has clearly added his name to the list as a contender for American League Rookie of the Year. Somewhat surprisingly, though, Galarraga has done by far his best work on the road this year, going 7-2 with an incredible ERA of 2.72 when pitching away from Comerica Park. At home, the Rookie is mediocre, with a 4.11 ERA and 1.36 WHIP. Right-handed starter Jesse Litsch will take the mound for Toronto this afternoon, and Detroit continues to under-perform vs. righties this season, going 35-50, and down almost 24 net games on the money line. Take the Jays.

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Scott Ferrall

BASEBALL LOCKS FOR THURSDAY
   
Colorado +130 with Rusch upsetting Haren at Coors--The Rockies have been sucking lately and need a win at home

Sheets and Milwaukee (even odds) at San Diego over Jake Peavy--The Brewers have been hotter than a pancake on a skillet

Cincy and Cueto +105 at PNC over Ian Snell and the Bucs--The Pirates are melting

Glavine +115 at Turner over the Cubs and Ted Lilly--Tommy gets the Braves a much needed win

Dice K -280 at Fenway over the Rangers and Hunter--The Sox are simply dominant in Boston these days

Baltimore -120 at Cleveland--Cabrera wins this one over Zach Johnson--hey, isn't that the guy that won the Master's a couple of years ago ?  Either way--I don't like his chances--even at the Jake

TB -145 at Oakland--Shields over Gallagher in the East Bay--the Rays have some problems with injuries and can't start slipping now !


BASEBALL OVER-UNDERS FOR THURSDAY
   
BOST-TEXAS UNDER 10.5 RUNS

BALT-CLEVE OVER 10 RUNS

TB-OAK OVER 7.5 RUNS

CHISOX-KC OVER 10 RUNS

TOR-DET UNDER 9.5 RUNS

PHIL-LA OVER 8 RUNS

NY-WASH OVER 8.5 RUNS

CARDS-MARLINS UNDER 8.5 RUNS

CUBS-BRAVOS UNDER 9.5 RUNS

CINCY-PITT OVER 9.5 RUNS

MILW-SD OVER 6.5 RUNS

ARIZ-COLO UNDER 9.5 RUNS

SF-HOUS OVER 9.5 RUNS


BASEBALL FREE B's FOR THURSDAY
   
Kansas City and Davies at +145 over Corrasco and the ChiSox in the Windy City--love the price

Detroit and Galarraga -165 over the Jays in Motown--The Tigers starter has been their best pitcher this year and is looking for his 11th win

Myers and the Phillies at +115 in LA against the Dodgers and Kuroda--The Phils win this one with their sticks

OLY PEREZ -155 in DC vs the NATS and Balester, who's miserable.  The Nats are 11 games under .500 in their new home in the nations capital

Wellemeyer and the Cards do it to the Marlins in S. Fla again (even odds)--he'll knock off Scott Olsen, who's been struggling

Houston and Moehler -155 over the Giants at Minute Maid--The Astros are smokin right now and SF is falling to pieces


THURSDAY'S NFL PRE-SEASON GAMES
   
PITTSBURGH +2 at Buffalo--I just think the STeelers are flat out better than the Bills-even with a bunch of reserves playing.  Take the OVER 33

Philly -3 to Carolina--I'm on the Eagles at home over the Panthers--Take the UNDER 36

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Robert Ferringo

Take Philadelphia -3 over Carolina

Philadelphia is 9-0 in its last nine preseason games in Week 2, including 5-0 when they play at home. Andy Reid generally doesn¹t take the preseason seriously, but I think the Eagles will be focused after they were pushed around by in-state rival Pittsburgh last week and with people questioning whether or not the team should be heading in a different direction. I think the Eagles and Reid answer the bell with a win in front of the home faithful.

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TONY STEVENS

TAMPA BAY RAYS -125

CHICAGO CUBS -1.5 +130

NEW YORK METS -1.5 +105

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Moneyonus

Red Sox/Rangers Over 10.5

Giants/Astros Under 9.5

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Karl Garrett

Milwaukee +105 at SAN DIEGO 

G-Man takes the Brewers once again today, as Ben Sheets and Jake Peavy go at it.

No doubt Peavy has been stingy, as his home ERA this year stands at 1.43 this season, but Ben Sheets is no slouch either, and is coming off a complete game shutout of the Nats.

Sheets is 6-2 on the road this season with a 2.83 ERA, and against this anemic San Diego offense, Sheets figures to be right there matching pitches with Peavy.

With the loss last night, San Diego is now a major league-worst 4-18 their last 22 games at home!

Milwaukee will find a way to win this game, and run their wining streak to 9 straight.

3♦ MILWAUKEE

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Sports Gambling Hotline

Pittsburgh +2½ vs. BUFFALO - at Toronto

We will grab the points with the Steelers tonight, as Pittsburgh does have an extra days rest under their belts, and are coming into this one off a nice 16-10 come-from-behind win over Philadelphia last Friday.

Buffalo was on field, and on the road no less last Saturday in a road loss at Washington. The Bills did cover as the underdog, but tonight they are not getting enough in our estimation in this neutral site game for these teams.

The Steelers have gone 5-1 straight up in the preseason under Mike Tomlin, and they have covered in 4 of those 6.

Byron Leftwich was just picked up by Pittsburgh after Charlie Batch went down with an injury last week. By all accounts, Leftwich has looked sharp, and we expect the Steelers to put some points up on the board when he is on the field relieving Ben Roethlisberger.

Trent Edwards starts again for the Bills, and he was just 1-for-5 in his pass attempts. The Bills have plenty of injuries on their offense, so don't expect too much from the starters in this one tonight.

Small chalk to lay in this spot, and we say "lay it"!

Play on the Steelers.

3♦ PITTSBURGH

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Bobby Maxwell

Carolina at PHILADELPHIA -3½ 

No-brainer when it comes to this one, Carolina is not a very good football team and the Eagles are coming out with a big dose of the starters tonight. Play Philadelphia in a big way in this one.

The Panthers needed OT to beat the Colts 23-20 last week but failed to cash as a four-point home chalk. Carolina is now just 1-4 ATS in the preseason dating back to last season and coach John Fox has said he will not play the starters much tonight. QB Jake Delhomme and the rest of the first unit will not get more than two series tonight and WRs Steve Smith and Dwayne Jarrett won't even take the field in this one.

Fox is waiting until Week 3 of the preseason to let his starters stretch their legs a bit.

Meanwhile on the other side, Philadelphia is playing QB Donovan McNabb and the starters the entire first half. McNabb went 10-of-13 for 97 yards and a TD last week against the Steelers and looked pretty good against a good defense. Veteran backup QB A.J. Feeley will play most of the second half as coach Andy Reid plans to get his QBs ready for the season.

Last year in Week 2 of the exhibition campaign, Philadelphia beat the crap out of the Panthers 27-10 as a three-point home chalk. No reason to think tonight will be any different. Play the Eagles in this one.

4♦ PHILADELPHIA

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LAS VEGAS SPORTS ADVISORS

Milwaukee/Ben Sheets +106
Play of the Day

Arizona/Dan Haren -135

Tampa Bay/James Shields -125

St. Louis/Todd Wellemeyer +104

Boston/Daisuke Matsuzaka -1.5 -126
FREE PICK

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Dave Cokin

PHI Phillies and LA Dodgers
Take LA Dodgers

The Dodgers are enjoying a huge series against the Phillies, who are really missing the presence of Brad Lidge in the bullpen. Brett Myers has finally gotten it together for the Phils, but so has Hiroki Kuroda, who's seemingly back in decent form for LA. I prefer the hot entry here and that's definitely the Dodgers.

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JEFFERSONSPORTS

NFL EARLY RELEASE
EAGLES-2.5 1st half

MLB EARLY RELEASE
Detroit-165
Tampa Bay-125
Houston-155

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PlusLineSports

Texas Rangers vs Boston Red Sox

Boston-1.5

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ARMVIN SPORTS

BUFFALO +1.5

PHILADELPHIA -3

CAROLINA/PHILADELPHIA Over 35.5

SAN FRANCISCO GIANTS +147

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Jim Feist

TEX Rangers and BOS Red Sox
Take Under

Everyone's fired up about the stunning 19-17 game on Tuesday to open this series, but there's a big difference with the pitcher's on the mound in this one. Texas righty Vicente Padilla has had a decent season at 12-6. The team is 2-1 under the total his last 3 starts. Boston righty Daisuke Matsuzaka is the ace of the team, at 13-2 with a 2.90 ERA. Boston is 5-1 under the total his last 6 starts. Oddsmakers have overvalued this total, play the Rangers/Red Sox under the total.

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DUNKEL

Cincinnati at Pittsburgh   
The Pirates look to make it two straight over the Reds and build on their 12-7 record as a home favorite between -100 and -125.  Pittsburgh is the pick (-120) according to Dunkel, which has the Pirates favored by 1 1/2.  Dunkel Pick: Pittsburgh (-120).  Here are all of today's games.

THURSDAY, AUGUST 14

Game 951-952: San Francisco at Houston
Dunkel Ratings: San Francisco (Correia) 14.644; Houston (Moehler) 14.353
Dunkel Line: San Francisco by 1/2; 10
Vegas Line: Houston (-150); 9 1/2
Dunkel Pick: San Francisco (+140); Over

Game 963-954: Arizona at Colorado
Dunkel Ratings: Arizona (Haren) 13.531; Colorado (Rusch) 14.744
Dunkel Line: Colorado by 1; 9
Vegas Line: Arizona (-145); 10
Dunkel Pick: Colorado (+135); Under

Game 955-956: Milwaukee at San Diego
Dunkel Ratings: Milwaukee (Sheets) 16.687; San Diego (Peavy) 15.789
Dunkel Line: Milwaukee by 1; 5 1/2
Vegas Line: San Diego (-115); 6 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Milwaukee (+105); Under

Game 957-958: Cincinnati at Pittsburgh
Dunkel Ratings: Cincinnati (Cueto) 13.377; Pittsburgh (Snell) 14.978
Dunkel Line: Pittsburgh by 1 1/2; 10
Vegas Line: Pittsburgh (-120); 9
Dunkel Pick: Pittsburgh (-120); Over

Game 959-960: Chicago Cubs at Atlanta
Dunkel Ratings: Chicago Cubs (Lilly) 16.785; Atlanta (Glavine) 14.232
Dunkel Line: Chicago Cubs by 2 1/2; 10
Vegas Line: Chicago Cubs (-130); 9 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Chicago Cubs (-130); Over

Game 961-962: St. Louis at Florida
Dunkel Ratings: St. Louis (Wellemeyer) 15.059; Florida (Olsen) 16.476
Dunkel Line: Florida by 1 1/2; 9 1/2
Vegas Line: Florida (-110); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Florida (-110); Over

Game 963-964: NY Mets at Washington
Dunkel Ratings: NY Mets (Perez) 13.740; Washington (Balester) 14.571
Dunkel Line: Washington by 1; 7 1/2
Vegas Line: NY Mets (-155); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Washington (+145); Under

Game 965-966: Philadelphia at LA Dodgers
Dunkel Ratings: Philadelphia (Myers) 15.090; LA Dodgers (Kuroda) 15.786
Dunkel Line: LA Dodgers by 1; 9
Vegas Line: LA Dodgers (-125); 8
Dunkel Pick: LA Dodgers (-125); Over

Game 967-968: Toronto at Detroit
Dunkel Ratings: Toronto (Litsch) 15.261; Detroit (Galarraga) 14.091
Dunkel Line: Toronto by 1; 10
Vegas Line: Detroit (-170); 9 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Toronto (+160); Over

Game 969-970: Kansas City at Chicago White Sox
Dunkel Ratings: Kansas City (Davies) 13.805; White Sox (Broadway) 15.471
Dunkel Line: Chicago White Sox by 1 1/2; 7 1/2
Vegas Line: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 971-972: Tampa Bay at Oakland
Dunkel Ratings: Tampa Bay (Shields) 14.913; Oakland (Gallagher) 15.023
Dunkel Line: Oakland by 1/2; 8
Vegas Line: Tampa Bay (-150); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Oakland (+140); Over

Game 973-974: Baltimore at Cleveland
Dunkel Ratings: Baltimore (Cabrera) 16.844; Cleveland (Jackson) 15.313
Dunkel Line: Baltimore by 1 1/2; 12
Vegas Line: Baltimore (-110); 10 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Baltimore (-110); Over

Game 975-976: Texas at Boston
Dunkel Ratings: Texas (Hunter) 15.187; Boston (Matsuzaka) 16.802
Dunkel Line: Boston by 2; 12
Vegas Line: Boston (-280); 10 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Boston (-280); Over

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Vegas Experts

Chicago Cubs at Atlanta Braves

As mentioned at the outset, yesterday's twinbill was not pretty if you were a Braves fan as the team was outscored 18-2 in the two games. The Cubs are now a perfect 5 for 5 against Atlanta this year, including a win back on 6/10 with tonight's exact pitching matchup - Lilly vs. Glavine. Atlanta has now dropped 13 of 18 at home and are a not-so-good 16-22 vs. lefties this year. With the way the crowds were yesterday, this is almost a home series for the Cubs.

Play on: Chicago Cubs

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