SUNDAY SERVICE PLAYS
Re: SUNDAY SERVICE PLAYS
4.5-Unit Play. Take #961 Los Angeles Dodgers (-125) over San Francisco (4 p.m.)
Note: This is our Game of the Week.
I simply believe that the Dodgers are the better team here and that they are going to win this series. Simple, yet effective capping. We also have a strong pitching edge. Billingsley has won four of five starts against San Fran and is 7-3 overall. He simply finds a way to win. Matt Cain simply finds a way to lose. He is 18-41 in his 59 starts and is 6-20 as an underdog. He is 0-5 in his career against the Dodgers and the Giants are 1-6 in his last seven starts against L.A. I like fading the Giants when Benji Molina is going to have a day off, since he is their cleanup man. That's the case today. Look for a much higher scoring game than folks expect, and look for the Dodgers to improve their record in The Bay to 17-5 recently.
2-Unit Play. Take #954 Cincinnati (-130) over Houston (1 p.m.)
Aaron Harang is making his first start off the D.L. and like we saw with Brad Penny on Friday I think the real Harang will come forward. Carlos Lee is out today with a broken pinky and I think the Reds manage to avoid the sweep behind their ace.
1.5-Unit Play. Take #974 Chicago White Sox (-115) over Boston (2 p.m.)
Clay Buchholz is a wreck and I think the White Sox light him up today. I see Boston winning tomorrow to forge a split of the series, but Gavin Floyd will get the W today. He is 6-1 with a 2.49 ERA while Buchholz has been an absolutely disaster on the road. These are great odds with such a severe pitching mismatch.
1-Unit Play. #978 Los Angeles Angels (-120) over New York Yankees (3:30 p.m.)
The Angels are 20-7 in their last 27 games against a left-handed starter and they are simply rolling right now. Let's ride the hot hand.
1-Unit Play. Take #975 Minnesota (-105) over Kansas City (2 p.m.)
I was going to stay away here, but the bad blood from yesterday favors the Twins. Scott Baker won't have two bad starts in a row and the fact that the Royals were shut down against a lefty yesterday - and they have been hitting southpaws very well - shows me that they may be running out of steam and their mini-run could be over.
1-Unit Play. Take #978 Tampa Bay (-130) over Seattle (4 p.m.)
R.A. Dickey is 4-10 in his 14 starts this year. Edwin Jackson has won three straight and has been one of the best road bets in the league this year. Tampa Bay is the better team, and we're getting a premium price here. Dickey has an ERA over 7.00 in his career against the Rays and I think he gets lit today.
1.5-Unit Play. Take #951 Florida (+120) over New York Mets (1 p.m.)
1-Unit Play. Take #971 Texas (+125) over Baltimore (1:30 p.m.)
2-Unit Play. Take ‘Over’ 7.0 Los Angeles Dodgers at San Francisco (4 p.m.)
1.5-Unit Play. Take ‘Over’ 8.5 Washington at Milwaukee (2 p.m.)
Re: SUNDAY SERVICE PLAYS
John Ryan Guaranteed Pick
Ryan's Sunday Night ESPN 7* Monster Massacre
Game: St Louis Cardinals at Chicago Cubs
Prediction: St Louis Cardinals
Reason: Ai Simulator 7* graded play on Cardinals – Yep, we nailed the Cardinals yesterday as a 7* Monster winner and it is not surprising that my simulator comes right back with another solid play on the red birds. Supporting this graded play is a system that has gone 52-24 making 28.4 units since 2002. Play on any team that is a good hitting team batting >=.275 and starting a pitcher who gave up <=2 earned runs in his last 2 outings and is now facing a good NL starting pitcher posting an ERA <=3.70. Cardinals are 10-4 (+8.1 Units) against the money line versus a NL starting pitcher whose ERA is 3.50 or better this season; 12-4 (+10.3 Units) against the money line vs. an NL starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.250 or better this season. Take the Cardinals
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