Saturday Service Plays

Re: Saturday Service Plays

Nick Parsons

Game: Indianapolis Colts at Carolina Panthers
Prediction: Indianapolis Colts

The Colts suffered a loss in the Hall of Fame Game on Sunday, August 3rd. However, look for that to give them an edge heading into the true Week 1 of the Preseason. With the Colts having an extra week this preseason, by virtue of playing in the Hall of Fame Game, they did not play their personnel versus the Redskins the way they will this week against the Panthers. Note that the Indianapolis was truly a bad beat for their backers on Sunday as they outgained Washington by 55 yards and they also had 24 first downs compared to just 20 for the Redskins. So, how did they lose by two touchdowns despite these solid numbers It had a lot do with an interception run back for a touchdown late in the game. That was the key turnover in the game. However, it was also simply a case of laying down a bit too early. Up 16-9 in the third quarter and seemingly in control of at least the spread victory (Indianapolis was +4.5 in most shops), the Colts somehow saw things quickly become unraveled. Even though this was just a Preseason game it was still the type of effort that will have Coach Dungy's troops a little hungrier this week. Keep in mind that Indianapolis saw Jim Sorgi complete 7 of 10 passes but he was an early exit from the game since the Colts were playing the first of five preseason games this year. Against the Panthers, who have yet to compete in a true game setting since last regular season, the Colts will have a physical edge as well as a mental edge. Couple that with the fact that Indianapolis is getting some decent points here and this certainly is a good spot for the dangerous dog! Note that the Colts have a well-deserved reputation recently of being a poor preseason performer but there are certain weeks where they perform better than others. For instance, coming into this season, the Colts were 5-2 ATS their last seven in Week One of the preseason. Of course, getting an extra preseason game in Week One this season means that the Colts are even more prepared for this game and, after letting one get away from them last week, Indianapolis will close the deal at Carolina this week. Grab the points but look for the outright upset for Indy! Note that the Panthers are just 2-7 in their last 9 as a favorite in the Preseason and we look for some sloppiness from Carolina in their first game.

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Re: Saturday Service Plays

Anthony Capone 

Astros /Reds

Play : 3 * Astros +125

Brian Moehler gets the call today for the Astros on Satuday at the Great American Ballpark .The Reds are the Favorite in this one for reason that certainly escape me . Winners of only 2 of their last 11 Games and sinking fast the Reds send ASrroyo to the mound to try to right the ship .As far as this series the Reds have only won in their last 7 timees facing the Astros .Moehler beat the Reds less than 10 days ago by a (6-2) count .Moehler has had a very nice season so far going (7-4) .As far as Arroyo his season mark is (10-8) . Both have pitched reasonably well over their last 3 , but the team cleary on a Roll here hails from Texas .The Astros have gone (7-3) their last 10 and their bullpen has stepped up Big Time with a 2.91 ERA over the last 21 Innings .Tonight it looks like Deja Vu all over again for the Reds and Arroyo and the value we are getting makes this play that much more attractive .The Astros continue their dominance over the Reds in this one .


Rangers /Orioles

Play : 3 * Rangers +110

Vincente Padilla takes the starting duties for the Rangers today and after the beating they suffered last night at the hands of the Orioles looks for a bit of payback.Padilla has been very sharp this season on the Road with 9 of his 12 victoriescoming away from home. Neither Padilla or Orioles starter Daniel Cabrera have been great lately with combined ERAs over 13.6 .Cabrera (7-7) on the season is (1-3) when he faces Texas and  that includes a scarring (30-3) loss back in 07 ' .Both teams are (6-4) in their last 10 Games but the Rangers are the better offensive team by a long shot .It seems especially true when  they are coming off a loss .Prior to the Yankee series after Texas previous 2 losses they followed each up with 8 and 9 run performances consecutively .Cabreras lost all 3 starts vs the Rangers going back to 2005 .Included among those losses was a (15-1) setback against Padilla .Tonight the Rangers get a bit of revenge and get the Win


Red Sox / White Sox

Play: 3 * Red Sox -125

Dice K takes the Hill for the Red Sox tonight and even tho they cost me and my clients last night I am coming right back with them tonight .As good as Matsuzaka is at Home he is completely dominating on the road .He is a whole different pitcher away from Fenway Park.When he travels he is (5-0) with a 2.20 ERA .In 45 Innings he has only surrendered 25 Hits , with only 2 Home Runs given up during that time .Contreras has been good this season ,but in his last 3 he has recorded no record and his ERA has skyrocketed to 8.62 .Tonight we get a bit of revenge with a Red Sox victory .


NFL

1 * Redskins -3.5

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Re: Saturday Service Plays

Kelso Sturgeon

High Rollers Club

10 units DevilRays


15 unit NFL Preseason Underdog GOY - Dallas

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Winners Inc. Guaranteed Selections

5000* BASEBALL CRUSHER WINNER
Minnesota w/Liriano -120

100 DIME NFLX WINNER
Tampa Bay +2.5

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Re: Saturday Service Plays

Jim Hurley

NFL

2* Atlanta
2* Dallas

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Wise Guy Insider Guaranteed Selections

QUADRUPLE NFLX GAME OF THE WEEK
TAMPA +2

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DOC'S

7-unit AL GOY BOSTON -140

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Hitman Guaranteed Selections

5000 LARGE PERFECT DIAMOND BASEBALL WINNER
Chicago White Sox w/Contreas +125

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Re: Saturday Service Plays

Nite Owl Sports

Tampa Bay Buccaneers @ Miami Dolphins
Pick: 2 units Tampa Bay Buccaneers +3

We'll take the Bucs here, getting 3 points in a pre-season rivalry that has seen its share of tight games, and which has seen Bucs cover 5 of last 6, and win both times (in L10Y) as a dog vs Fish. And Gruden's 15-8-1 ATS pre-season record as Bucs coach L6Y also contributes to Bucs' cause here.While Bucs are just a .500 team(2-2-2 ATS) L2Y in NFL-X, they are 3-0 L3Y in their NFL-X openers, although two of those 3 openers were at home.

While we expect Fish and their new "brain trust" of Bill Parcells as GM and Tony Sparano (not Tony Soprano?) as HC would like nothing more than to start the season with a win, even one that "doesn't count," Fish were a miserable 1-15 LY, and they have a major re-building project, and those things don't get done overnight.

We are not confident enough with Bucs here to take them on money line to win SU, but we will gladly take them and the 3 point "cushion" for two units.

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Re: Saturday Service Plays

Mike Rose

3* Cleveland Indians

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Frank Patron

Lock of a lifetime #10 IN A ROW


TWINS

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Strike Point Sports

3 units Boston -135
3 units Texas +105
3 units Tampa Bay -140

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Root

Chairman- Dolphins
Millionaire- Redskins
No Limit- Marlins
Insiders Circle- Orioles

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EZWINNERS

2 STAR: (903) ST. LOUIS (+$166) over Chicago
(Listing Wellemeyer only) (Risking $200 to win $332)

2 STAR: (901) ATLANTA (+$142) over Arizona
(Listing Jurrjens only) (Risking $200 to win $284)

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Re: Saturday Service Plays

mvbski wrote:


Seabass

50* LAD/SF Under
100* CINCY
300* MILW -1.5

Insider.....Toronto -1.5

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Re: Saturday Service Plays

Larry Ness

ANA (-160) vs NYY

The Angels beat the Yankees 10-5 last night and that shouldn't come as much of a surprise, as they have "had the Yanks number." In fact, the Angels are the only team to have a winning record against the Yankees during Torre's 12 seasons as manager, going 61-55. In recent years. The Angels have eliminated the Yankees from the playoffs in both 2002 and 2005 and have won the season series from New York in each of the last four years (lead it 3-2 in '08). With Joba Chamberlain on the disabled list with tendonitis in his rotator cuff, the Yankees recalled Ian Kennedy from Triple-A to pitch last night. He lasted just two innings, giving up nine hits and five ERs, as his mark fell to 0-4 with an 8.17 ERA in '08. This afternoon, the pitching-challenged Yanks will go with 31-year-old Dan Giese. Giese was with the Giants last year, making only eight relief appearances (0-2, 4.82 ERA). He's made 13 appearances for the Yanks in '08 (1-3, 2.51 ERA) but just two starts (on June 21 and 27). In those two games, he's allowed nine hits and six ERs over 10.2 innings (5.06 ERA), going 0-2. Giese will face the team with MLB's best record today, as the Angels are 72-43 on the season. The Angels were winning early this year while NOT hitting but now that the team's bats have come around (17 hits last night), they look like "the team to beat." The Angels were MLB's best home team last year (54-27) and after some early struggles in Anaheim, are now 34-22 at home. After 'killing' right-handers last year (75-47 overall, including 41-15 at home), the Angels got off to a slow start vs righties in '08 but enter this game a 'healthy' 50-35 vs right-handers, including an 8-3 mark in home day games. The Yanks will face John Lackey in this one and while he's 9-2 with a 3.10 ERA on the year (started late with an injury), there can be no denying he's struggled lately. Lackey owns a 6.05 ERA over his last six starts, including a start last Sunday in The Bronx, when he allowed four runs in six innings and left with a 5-4 lead before the Angels gave up 10 unearned runs. However, despite Lackey struggling in his last six starts with that 6.05 ERA, he's 3-1 during that span, with the Angels going 4-2. Yes, Lackey is only 4-7 with a 4.89 ERA against the Yankees in his career, including Lackey a 1-4 mark with a 6.75 ERA in six career home starts them. However, he's a quality pitcher, performing for MLB's best team and is up against a 31-year-old with almost no big league experience. Weekend Wipeout Winner on the LA Angels.


BOS (-135) vs CWS

The Red Sox took seven of eight games from the White Sox last year, including all four in Chicago, while outscoring them 46-7. In fact, the Red Sox had taken 15 of the last 20 games played at U.S. Cellular Field, since the start of the 2003 season. However, Chicago beat Boston 5-3 last night, as Jon Lester lost for the first time since May 25 (had been 7-0 in his previous 11 starts, with the team going 10-1). Tonight, the White Sox, who are at 38-17 home, will hope Jose Contreras is a "new man." The veteran right-hander has not pitched since July 13 and takes a 7-6 with a 4.60 ERA in 19 starts into the game (team is 11-8). However, in his seven starts prior to going on the DL with right elbow tendinitis, Contreras had allowed 63 hits and 36 ERs in just 37.2 innings, for an 8.60 ERA. While Boston has struggled on the road this year going 26-34 (just 19-29 vs right-handers), it must be noted that Contreras is only 3-4 with an 8.43 ERA in nine career starts against the Red Sox. Getting back to Boston's road woes, let's note that when Daisuke Matsuzaka (12-2, 3.04 ERA) takes the mound for Boston in a road game, the team's chances of winning greatly improves. Matsuzaka is 5-0 with a 2.20 ERA in eight road starts for Boston this year, with the Red Sox going 6-2. That's a .750 winning percentage, compared to the team's 20-32 (.385) mark with any other pitcher on the mound for Boston away from Fenway. The Red Sox are 15-4 this season with Matsuzaka on the hill and I 'love' him here going up against Contreras in his first start back from the DL. Las Vegas Insider on the Bos Red Sox.


Oddsmaker Error NFL-X

Miami Dolphins

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Re: Saturday Service Plays

Rocky Atkinson 

Texas @ Baltimore 
Play:1* Texas +105

Texas is 47-35 this year against right handed starters. Texas is scoring 6.0 runs per game against right handed starters this year.  Padilla is 12-5 overall this year, 9-2 on the road and 1-0 his last 3 starts.   Cabrera has an 8.00 ERA his last 3 starts.Cabrera is 1-6 with a 6.33 ERA overall vs Texas since 1997.We'll recommend a small play on Texas tonight! 

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Re: Saturday Service Plays

Wunderdog

Florida at New York Mets
Pick: Florida +108

The Mets send a sort of sacrificial lamb to the mound when they wheel out Brian Stokes. Stokes was unimpressive last year for Tampa Bay where he pitched to a 7.07 ERA. He has allowed 121 hits in just 86 big-league innings as well as walking 34 hitters. That is just shy of two baserunners an inning. His AAA numbers this season aren't very impressive either with a 4.41 ERA. The Marlins will counter with Scott Olsen who has pitched to an ERA of just 3.87 on the season, allowing fewer hits than innings pitched. With a Mets' bullpen that has been in shambles recently and expected to be needed early here, you have to like the value on the Marlins.

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Yankee Capper

2 Units - Pittsburgh Pirates +200

3 Units - Tennessee Titans -3

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