FRIDAY SERVICE PLAYS

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Brian Marshall

Washington Nationals vs. Milwaukee Brewers
Play On: Milwaukee Brewers -1.5 Runs

The Washington Nationals will be lead by starting pitcher Colin Balester. Colin Balester has been having pitching problems this season. In fact, Colin Balester has a 4.55 ERA on the season. We see Colin Balester pitching another bad game today.

The Milwaukee Brewers will be lead by starting pitcher CC Sabathia. CC Sabathia has been pitching very well since joining the Milwaukee Brewers. In fact, CC Sabathia is a Perfect 5-0 with a 1.88 ERA. We see CC Sabathia pitching another great game today.

The Washington Nationals are 19-38 in their last 57 road games, while the Milwaukee Brewers are 20-7 in their last 27 home games.

The Milwaukee Brewers are 9-4 in their last 13 meetings against the Washington Nationals (when playing in Milwaukee), and should be able to get another blowout win tonight!

Take the Milwaukee Brewers -1.5 Runs

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Karl Garrett

NY Yankees +150 at LA ANGELS

Tonight I will give the underdog Yankees a shot against the Angels.

Los Angeles has pretty much sewn up the AL West division, so you can't fault them if they rest on their laurels just a little during the dog days of August.

The same cannot be said for the Yankees, as New York has played themselves into must win situations on a nightly basis with both the Red Sox, and Rays in front of them in the AL East.

Ian Kennedy rejoins the big club, and is in search of his first win this season. While the G-Man doesn't hold any illusions that Kennedy is going to throw a no-hitter, the Yanks should be able to get him some run support, as they just shelled Angels starter Jared Weaver the last time Weaver took the hill.

New York scored 6 runs on Weaver in 5 innings as the Yankees were able to salvage a 4-game split with the Halos after losing the first two games.

This time the Yanks strike first.

2♦ YANKEES

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Jeff Benton

Take the Marlins as a road underdog against the Mets at Shea Stadium.

Florida continues to show it's in the National League East race and the Wild Card battle, for that matter or the long haul, as it just took two of three at first-place Philadelphia. Tonight, the Fish hand the ball to Ricky Nolasco, who just continues to pitch well and give the Marlins a chance to win something Florida has now done nine times in Nolasco's last 11 starts, with the right-hander tossing a quality start in all nine victories. Not only that, but Florida is 4-0 in Nolasco's last four starts on the road, 6-0 in his last six as an underdog and 3-0 in his last three against the Mets, including 2-0 this season (both 7-3 victories).

So why are Nolasco and the Marlins catching this kind of plus price? Because the Mets have been solid at home recently (12-3 last 15), and because starter Oliver Perez, prior to Sunday's 4-0 loss at Houston, had been dealing for New York. Also, The Mets are 3-0 against the Marlins with Perez on the hill this year. However, in the one start at Shea, the Marlins got to Perez for five runs in six innings, only to lose 7-6. Also, Perez's numbers at home (3-2, 3.99 ERA) are actually worse than Nolasco's on the road (6-2, 3.91 ERA).

In the end, I look at what Nolasco has done in just his last two outings 14 innings pitched, five runs and 11 hits allowed, no walks and 21 strikeouts in wins over the Rockies (5-3) and Mets (7-3) and I gotta take a shot with the road dog here.

4♦ FLORIDA MARLINS

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Mr A

Boston Red Sox at Chicago White Sox

The Red Sox have won the last seven meetings against the White Sox, and six of the last seven played in the Windy City.

Boston's Jon Lester (10-3, 3.14), is 3-0 with a 1.69 ERA in his last three starts. The Red Sox are 4-1 in the lefty's last 5 road starts. The White Sox are 1-5 in Buehrle's last 6 starts versus the Red Sox at home.

Chicago's Mark Buehrle (8-10, 4.07 ERA) is 1-2 with a 7.02 ERA in his last three starts, but is 5-1 with a 2.16 ERA in his last seven starts at U.S. Cellular Field. The White Sox have lost four of Mark Buehrle last six starts.

Take the Red Sox to grab their fifth straight win in Chicago. Boston has crushed the White Sox in the last seven contests, outscoring them 75-17.

Boston Red Sox -110

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Tony Stoffo

Philadelphia Eagles vs. Pittsburgh Steelers
Play: Philadelphia Eagles 

First Sharp money play of the preseason goes tonight as the Eagles have received all the early action here. Makes a ton of sense as the Eagles are really deep on the offensive line and head coach Andy Reid has reported that the first and second team will play the first 3 quarters against Pittsburgh here. While Steelers head coach Mike Tomlin is saying the first team will get only a series or two with Roethlisberger limited to the first series only. I'll take my chances fading a Steelers team here that will be led by two inexperienced quarterbacks in Potts and Dixon in the second half. 

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Craig Trapp

Washington Nationals vs. Milwaukee Brewers
Play:Milwaukee Brewers -1.5     

Take MIL and run line today. WAS has been playing much better of lately but they still are one of the bottom 3 teams in the NL. Today for MIL Sabathia is taking the mound. He has pitched well since the beginning of JUNE. He won at Atlanta on Saturday, allowing two runs and striking out nine in 8 1-3 innings of a 4-2 victory. Including his interleague starts for the Indians, Sabathia is 17-6 with a 3.37 ERA against the NL, and 8-0 with a 2.10 ERA in his last 10 starts versus NL opponents. This trend should continue today take MIL and run line.

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Re: FRIDAY SERVICE PLAYS

Nelly

St. Louis + over Chicago

The Cardinals are an effective team against left-handed pitching with a .283 batting average in the last ten games and 20 wins against left-handed starters this season. The Cardinals own a stellar 31-25 road record this season and so far this season the series stands even at 3-3 between the Cubs and the Cardinals. Braden Looper has made three consecutive effective starts and he has allowed two or fewer runs in seven of his last ten starts. Looper actually owns better numbers away from home as the Cardinals are 7-3 behind him on the road and Looper allowed just two runs over seven innings against the Cubs earlier this season. The Cubs own an exceptional home record but they are just 6-5 in the last eleven home games and Ted Lilly has struggled at Wrigley Field. Lilly has a 4.94 ERA at home and the Cubs are just 3-3 in his last six starts, including a loss to the Cardinals. Watch out for St. Louis as a dangerous underdog Friday afternoon.

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Wild Bill

Pittsburgh -3 (5 units)
Eagles-Pittsburgh Under 33½ (5 units)
Seattle +2½ (5 units)


St Louis +155 (5 units)
Pirates +160 (5 units)
Astros +125 (5 units)
Mets -135 (5 units)
Rockies +110 (5 units)
Braves-Dbacks Under 9 (5 units)
Dodgers -110 (5 units)
Orioles -170 (5 units)
A's-Tigers Under 9 1/2 (5 units)
Cleveland +120 (5 units)
Twins -125 (5 units)
Boston +100 (5 units)
Angels -145 (5 units)
Seattle +150 (5 units)

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Re: FRIDAY SERVICE PLAYS

Lenny Del Genio

Minnesota Twins at Kansas City Royals
Prediction: Minnesota Twins

The Royals are one of the Twins favorite opponents. Minny has beaten their division rivals 7 of 9 this year, including 5 of 6 here in Kauffman Stadium. In their last visit here to Kansas City, the Twins pulled off a sweep winning all three games as underdogs. This time around they are favored and for good reason. A rested Twins team is a dangerous one as they?ve won 9 of 11 this season after getting the previous day off. KC is 3-12 at home after a loss by 4+ runs (lost BB games 8-2 to the Red Sox), 5-14 at home after scoring 2 runs or less and 16 games under .500 vs. right-handed starters. Take Minnesota.

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Ben Burns

New York Yankees at Los Angeles Angels
Prediction:Los Angeles Angels

This line has come down to the point where we are now getting solid value with the home favorite. The Angels are 6-4 in Weaver's 10 home starts and he has a 3.69 ERA and 1.131 WHIP over that stretch. On the other hand, the Yankees are 1-4 in Kennedy's five road starts, the most recent of which came way back in late May. Kennedy has a 7.48 ERA and 1.759 WHIP in those games. Consider LA

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Brian Hansen

Pittsburgh Pirates at Philadelphia Phillies
Prediction: Philadelphia Phillies

This very nearly qualified as one of my patented NO BRAINER releases but I decided to share it with you for FREE instead. The Pirates are 20-36 on the road and they're 9-18 the last 27 times they played a road game with a total of 10/10.5. Want more? The Phils are 12-2 as home favorites of -150 to -175 and 13-5 at home with a total of 10/10.5. B-Han says lay the wood!

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Re: FRIDAY SERVICE PLAYS

EZWINNERS

1 STAR: (951) ST. LOUIS (+$145) over Chicago
(Listing Looper only) (Risking $100 to win $145)

1 STAR: (962) COLORADO (+$116) over San Diego
(Action) (Risking $100 to win $116)

1 STAR: (977) NY YANKEES (+$123) over LA Angels
(Action) (Risking $100 to win $100)

1 STAR: (965) LA DODGERS (-$118) over San Francisco
(Action) (Risking $118 to win 4100)


CFL

1 STAR: (287) EDMONTON (+4.5) over British Columbia
(Risking $110 to win $100)

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Big AL

Red Sox / White Sox Under

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LAS VEGAS TECH REPORT (LVTR) COMPS

PHILADELPHIA EAGLES  vs PITTSBURGH STEELERS 
Play: PITTSBURGH STEELERS PK 

The beauty of pre-season is we get to know ahead of time what the coaches game plans are. we have a general idea of substitutions and possible playing time by starters. We also get insight into habits and philosophies. Two opposites collide tonight. You'll find the at the more successful teams don't give much of an effort in pre-season. The Eagles have been one of the NFL's more successful regular season team to bet on over the last eight years, winning five division titles and going to the NFC Championship Game four times. Head coach Andy Reid hasn't had a single winning preseason ATS during that span. Philadelphia is 1-9 ATS Away 1st 2 weeks of preseason. Tomlinson is what you call a tone setter meaning he wants maximum effort all the time which translates into a win tonight for the Steelers against a Andy Reid led team who could care less about pre-season results.

   
SEATTLE SEAHAWKS  vs MINNESOTA VIKINGS 
Play: MINNESOTA VIKINGS -3

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Wunderdog

St Louis at Chicago
Pick: Chicago -160

Like any good team the Cubs are prone to having a "hiccup" during the course of a 162-game season and they have experienced theirs. The Cubs went 15-18 for a stretch, but the before and after mark is an impressive 54-28. The home record during the little hiccup was just 7-6, and sandwiched around that is an impressive 36-10 mark. So when we see around 1.5-1 odds for them at home. The Cubbies have won nine of their last 11 and are back on track, so this game is chock full of value in our eyes. The Cubs bring Ted Lilly to the mound who got off to a horrendous start, but the Cubs have now been 13-5 in his last 18 starts including 8-1 in his last nine at home, and things look even better. Brandon Looper has made only two starts on the road against a team with a winning record and the Cards have dropped both games. We like the Cubs in this one at home.

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Michael Cannon

Pittsburgh +160 at PHILADELPHIA

Take the Pirates as the big road dog tonight over the Phillies.

With Paul Maholm taking the mound, why not take a chance at this price?

Maholm has easily been the Pirates best starter this season.  The left-hander is constantly giving the Bucs six or seven quality innings and his 3.95 ERA is something the Pirates only wish they could get from the rest of their staff.

Maholm is also 3-1 with a 4.67 ERA in four career games against Philadelphia.

Joe Blanton will start for the Phillies and it’s not like this guy is a Cy Young candidate.  The right-hander is just 6-12 on the year, although he’s 1-0 with Philly.

Still, at this price I’ll take my chances with Maholm and a Pirates offense that is still capable of putting up some runs despite the trades of Jason Bay and Xavier Nady.

Take the Pirates as the big road dog.

2♦ PITTSBURGH


Philadelphia at PITTSBURGH -1

Let’s make it an all-Pittsburgh free play night.  Make those steel-town people proud.

Take the Steelers over the Eagles tonight.

This line has dropped from  -3 down to  -1 or a pick, depending on your book, so all the Steelers have to do is win and we basically cover.

Coach Mike Tomlin stated that there will be a lot of Rashard Mendenhall and Limus Sweed tonight, the Steelers top-two draft picks.

I can think of worse things than showcasing young, high draft picks in the exhibition season. 

The Eagles basically know what they have on offense, so don’t look for Donovan McNabb to play more than a series, and Brian Westbrook obviously won’t be in the lineup at all.

The Steelers won’t play quarterback Ben Roethlisberger much at all either, but with Charlie Batch and Dennis Dixon following him in the rotation I’m not worried about the Steelers offense.

Take the Steelers as they grab the win and cover.

2♦ PITTSBURGH

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Drew Gordon

Florida +125 at NY METS

Needless to say, this is a critical series for both teams, but its the Marlins who are playing rock-solid baseball, taking 2 of 3 at the NL East-leading Phillies over the last 3 days! The Mets meanwhile, needed a walk-off homer from David Wright to beat a terrible San Diego club yesteday, and come into this game losers of 6 of their last 9 games.

The pitching match up is close, but you've got to give the edge to the Marlins surging ace Ricky Nolasco, who's coming off an excellent start against the Rockies, allowing 3 runs over 8 innings, while striking out 13 for the win. We should expect another solid start tonight for two reasons: A. Nolasco is 2-0 with a 2.43 ERA over his last 4 road starts. And B. He's won his last two games at Shea, posting a solid 3.60 ERA in the process.

Opposing Nolasco is the Mets Oliver Perez, who admittingly has pitched well of late. However, he's been up and down against the Marlins, pitching well in South Florida (2-0, allowing 1 run over 12 innings), but not so much at Shea, allowing 5 runs in 6 innings back on May 28th. Herein lies the problem for Perez, because the Marlins have hit lefties particulaly well over their last 10 games, batting .288 against them, with wins against lefties Hamels, Moyer (Marlin-Killer), De Los Santos, and De La Rosa over that span.

Bottom line, expect a close contest here, but in the end, its the Marlins who are playing better ball, have the better starter, and the better bullpen. So if it comes down to it (which I expect), you know the Mets are in trouble, with their 'pen posting a ridiculous 6.94 ERA over their last 10 games! Fish roll!

Take Florida behind Nolasco over the NY Mets and Perez in this MLB match up.

2♦ FLORIDA


Seattle at MINNESOTA -3

Several reasons to like the Vikings here, but let's start with a much improved Minnesota team all around, playing in their home opener. Guys, we all know the expectations surrounding this Vikings team are sky high, and players and coaches alike will be fighting hard to get off on the right foot. While Seattle could really care less about this contest (as well they shouldn't), when all is said and done.

As with all preseason games, one has to consider the QB rotation, and the fact of the matter is that its the back end of the Vikings rotation what makes the difference. Both Hasselback and Wallace are well versed in their system and should be able to move the ball, and you can say the same about Jackson and Frerrote. However, its the Vikes Bollinger and rookie John David Booty who will shine against mostly 3rd stringers late in this contest.

Also, although this is an exhibition game, let's not forget the last time these two teams played, when the 'Hawks crushed the Vikings in Seattle 30-13. Of course, beating them in August means nothing, but after looking terrible top-to-bottom against this Seattle team in their last meeting, I expect a much more focused effort this time around.

Bottom line, motivation is a key factor in exhibition, because in a meaningless game, played by mostly no-names, the team who plays harder usually wins. In this case, the Vikings are in their home opener, with a big ol' spotlight on their starting QB Jackson and the rest of this Minnesota squad. While I expect the game will be close, in the end, the Vikings protect their house and grab the cash.

Take Minnesota over Seattle in this NFL Preseason match up.

2♦ MINNESOTA

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Alex Smart 
   
Detroit Tigers -150

The Oakland As enter into this game against their hosts Detroit in a big time funk having lost 10 straight games. They are struggling so badly, that I doubt they can take advantage of the aging hurler Kenny Rogers (8-8, 4.98 ERA). The veteran of 19 years , has always pitched well against the As and in 36 starts in this series is 21-7, along with a 4.28 ERA, including a current 7-0 run in his L/9 starts again them. I expect more success is on the agenda for the southpaw against a Oakland team that has has lost seven consecutive series , and 17 of their L/19 tilts since the All-Star break.

Meanwhile, Dallas Braden (2-2, 5.10) fires back for the A's. Since being called up from the minors in July, Braden is 1-2 with a 5.29 ERA 5 outings including 3 starts. The lefty thrower has been bombed by the Tigers in the past , recording a 0-1 mark along with a 12.34 ERA in three starts . I expect the men from Motown to hammer him again in a contest that will be a one sided affair favoring the host team.

Final notes & Key Trends: Rogers team is 32-12 L/44 when he starts in night games.

Play on Detroit

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Re: FRIDAY SERVICE PLAYS

Locksmith Sports

1 Unit on Philadelphia Phillies -170

The juice is worth the squeeze in this case as the Phillies are deserving of big chalk against their inferior in-state rivals.  Right away we see a big system in our favor:  Plays against all underdogs with a money line of +100 or higher (PITTSBURGH) - after 4 straight games where they stranded 7 or less runners on base, with a struggling bullpen whose ERA is over 8.00 the last 5 games are 98-33 the last 5 seasons.  I expect a potent Phillies lineup to murder the Pittsburgh pen in this one.  Pittsburgh is also just 12-45 against the money line in road games vs. teams outscoring opponents by 0.5 or more runs/game on the season over the last 3 seasons.  We'll take Philly here.

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