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Tom Freese

Boston at Chicago

Boston is 14-5 their last 19 road games vs. lefty starters and they are 49-22 vs. a starter with a WHIP of over 1.30. The Red Sox are 35-16 if they were off yesterday and they are 6-0 with Jon Lester in his last 6 starts vs. winning teams. Chicago is 1-6 their last meetings vs. the Red Sox are 1-7 their last 8 game vs. AL East foes. The White Sox are 1-4 their last 5 games vs. winning teams and they are 1-4 with Mark Buehrle AL East foes. PLAY ON BOSTON

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Sports Advisors

NFL PRESEASON

Philadelphia at Pittsburgh

The in-state rivalry between the Eagles and Steelers opens the preseason for both teams at Heinz Field in Pittsburgh.

Philadelphia was 0-2 SU and ATS on the highway last preseason and they are just 1-7 SU (3-5 ATS) on the road the last three summers. Meanwhile, Pittsburgh finished last August 4-1 SU and 3-2 ATS and has gone 5-5 SU and ATS at home the last five preseasons.

The home team is 3-0 SU and ATS in the last three preseason meetings between these two, including last year when the Steelers scored a 27-13 win as three-point favorites in Pittsburgh.

Steelers’ fans won’t see much of starting QB Ben Roethlisberger, who will play just the opening series for coach Mike Tomlin. Veteran backup Charlie Batch will follow Roethlisberger for about three series and then rookies Dennis Dixon and Mike Potts will split the rest of the action under center. The Steelers will be without several key players, including safety Troy Polamalu.

Philadelphia’s QB rotation is set with starter Donovan McNabb playing the first quarter, followed by A.J. Feeley, who will play the middle two quarters with Kevin Kolb mopping up the fourth quarter. The Eagles are thin on the defensive side of the ball due to injuries, and among the key players sitting out will be newly acquired cornerback Asante Samuel.

The over is 4-1 in the Eagles’ last five preseason games while the under is 8-1 in the Steelers’ last two preseasons and 10-3 the last three.

ATS ADVANTAGE:PITTSBURGH


Seattle at Minnesota

Mike Holmgren takes his Seahawks east to Minneapolis for their preseason opener against third-year coach Brad Childress and the Vikings inside the Metrodome.

The Seahawks went 3-1 SU and ATS last summer, and they are 12-8 SU and 11-9 ATS over the last five preseasons. The straight-up winner is 12-0 ATS in their last three preseasons and 19-1 ATS in their last five Augusts.

Minnesota is 4-3-1 SU and 5-3 ATS in Childress’ first two preseasons, and the Vikings are 2-2 SU and ATS at home during this span.

These two squared off in Week 3 of the preseason last August with Seattle scoring a 30-13 victory at home as a seven-point favorite.

Seahawks starting QB Matt Hasselbeck will likely only play two series, giving way to tested backup Seneca Wallace for the rest of the half. QB Charlie Frye, acquired from the Browns early last season, is slated to play most of the second half with Dalton Bell possibly getting some mop-up action.

Minnesota starts QB Tavaris Jackson, who will play the first quarter, followed by veteran Gus Frerotte, who was held out of practice early in the week but still should see some playing time. Rookie John David Booty will play most of the second half, with Brooks Bollinger possibly getting some fourth-quarter action.

For Seattle, the over is 8-4 the last three Augusts, while the Vikings have topped the total in seven of 12 games the last three preseasons, including last year’s head-to-head matchup between these two topping the 38-point total.   

ATS ADVANTAGE:OVER


San Francisco at Oakland

The Raiders and 49ers kick off their preseasons with their annual August clash for Bay Area bragging rights, with this one taking place at McAfee Coliseum in Oakland.

The Raiders went 2-2 SU and ATS in coach Lane Kiffin’s first preseason in 2007, going 2-0 SU and ATS at home. They are 4-0 SU and ATS in front of the home fans the last two Augusts and 7-3 (6-4 ATS) in Oakland the last five summers.

Meanwhile, San Francisco has been a disaster on the road in the preseason lately, going 1-9 SU and 4-6 ATS dating to 2003, including 0-6 (3-3 ATS) on the road under third-year coach Mike Nolan. Over the last five seasons, the 49ers are 5-7 overall in August, but 8-4 ATS.

The 49ers won last season’s preseason battle 26-21 at home, covering as a three-point chalk. In 2006 in Oakland, the Raiders dominated San Francisco, winning 23-7 as three-point home favorites.

San Francisco’s J.T. O’Sullivan gets the start at QB and will lead the starters through the first quarter. Former starter Alex Smith will play the second quarter and into the third with Shaun Hill finishing the game.

Former No. 1 overall pick JaMarcuss Russell, who missed the entire 2007 preseason in a contract holdout, will start his first under center for Oakland and lead the first-string in the first quarter. Russell will give way to Andrew Walter in the second quarter, with Marques Tuiasosopo and Sam Keller splitting time in second half.

The Raiders have stayed under the total in 10 of their last 13 preseason contests, and the last time these two met in Oakland, the game stayed under the posted price.

ATS ADVANTAGE:OAKLAND and UNDER


NATIONAL LEAGUE

Florida (61-54) at N.Y. Mets (60-54)

The two teams trying to run down the Phillies in the N.L. East race kick off a three-game series at Shea Stadium in New York, where the Marlins send Ricky Nolasco (11-6, 3.91 ERA) to the hill to meet Mets’ southpaw Oliver Perez (7-7, 4.12).

Florida trails Philadelphia by 1½ games and sits just a half-game ahead of the Mets after both squads scored wins Thursday. New York got a two-run, walk-off homer from David Wright to beat the Padres 5-3, while the Marlins were blanking the Phillies 3-0 in Philadelphia. The Marlins are 6-4 in their last 10 games, while the Mets have stumbled of late, losing six of their last nine overall.

Nolasco has struggled recently, posting a 4.74 ERA in his last three starts, but he is still 6-2 on the road this season with a 3.91 ERA. The Marlins have won nine of his last 11 starts but they are just 2-2 in his last four and he’s allowed three runs or more in three of the four outings. He’s seen the Mets twice this season and beaten them both starts, allowing a combined five runs on 16 hits in 11 innings. For his career he is 2-3 with a 8.13 ERA in eight appearances against New York.

Perez has had an up-and-down season, but lately he’s been on, posting a 2.75 ERA in his last three outings, including a six-inning stint in Florida on July 20 when he gave up one run in six innings of a 4-1 victory. The Mets have won seven of his last 10 starts, and they’ve won all three of his outings against the Marlins this season as he’s given them six innings in each effort. New York is 8-2 in his last 10 versus Florida.

The Marlins are 6-0 in Nolasco’s last six starts as an underdog and 12-5 in their last 17 games as a ‘dog overall, while New York is 6-1 in Perez’s last seven home starts and 13-3 in their last 16 home games.

The over is 8-1 in Nolasco’s last nine road outings and 40-20-6 in the Marlins last 66 on the highway. For the Mets, the under is on a 7-0 run when Perez takes the mound, but the over is 8-3 in their last 11 overall. Finally, in this rivalry, the over is on streaks of 36-17-3 overall, 6-0-2 in games at Shea, 4-1 with Perez on the hill at Shea and 5-1 when Nolasco toes the rubber against the Mets.

ATS ADVANTAGE:OVER


AMERICAN LEAGUE

Boston (66-49) at Chicago White Sox (63-49)

The Red Sox shoot for their eighth straight victory over the White Sox when they send lefty Jon Lester (10-3, 3.14) to the mound opposite southpaw Mark Buehrle (8-10, 4.07) to open a three-game weekend set at U.S. Cellular Field.

Boston lost the first matchup with Chicago last season and then proceeded to win seven straight, including a four-game sweep in the Windy City in late August, pounding White Sox pitching for 46 runs in the four games. Most recently, the Red Sox come into this one having won five of six overall, including back-to-back 8-2 wins in Kansas City on Tuesday and Wednesday before taking Thursday off.

Chicago is just 4-4 in its last eight after losing 8-3 at home against Detroit last night.

Lester has been locked in lately, going 3-0 with a 1.69 ERA in his last three starts, and the Red Sox have gone 27-9 the last 36 times he’s taken the ball. On Saturday, he gave up two runs in seven innings of a 12-2 win over the A’s, and he’s allowed two runs or less in eight of his last 10 outings. In his lone start against the White Sox Lester gave up two runs in six innings of a 7-2 win in July 2006.

Buehrle has a whopping 7.02 ERA in his last three games and gave up eight runs on 14 hits in just 4 1/3 innings of action of a 9-7 loss in Kansas City six days ago. The White Sox have dropped four of his last six starts overall and five of his last six against the Red Sox, against whom Buehrle is 4-4 with a 4.46 ERA in 68 2/3 innings.

Boston is on runs of 21-8 against southpaws and 43-21 against teams from the A.L. Central. Meanwhile, the White Sox are 41-18 in their last 59 home games and 13-3 in their past 16 at home against left-handed starters, but just 1-7 in their last eight against A.L. East squads.

The over is 8-2-3 in Boston’s last 13 games following an off day. Meanwhile the over is 7-2 in the Chicago’s last nine at home and 16-4-1 in its last 21 overall. Finally, in this rivalry, the over is on streaks of 7-0 overall, 6-0 in Chicago and 4-1-1 the last six times Buehrle has faced the Red Sox. 

ATS ADVANTAGE:BOSTON and OVER

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JB's Computer Picks

Chicago Cubs -155

Toronto Blue Jays -130

Milwaukee Brewers -310 * * *

Colorado Rockies +105


Best Bet ***

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King Creole

I came across this WEEK ONE tendency in the NFL pre-season while skimming through some of the online forums. It is not something that I researched myself. But it IS worth noting. And since we ALL have the common goal of 'taking down the MAN', the more information that we can share with each other.... the better (or BETTOR!) it is for all of us.

In week one of the NFL "X" season, play ON any team that missed the Playoffs last year.... when they are taking on a team that WON at least one Playoff game last year. If you had played this situation each of the last two seasons, you would have gone a PERFECT 7-0 ATS.

Now, this shouldn't be your only reason to play ON these non-playoff teams. You must also factor in previous pre-season Systems, Trends, and Tendencies. And a sharp player will also address the Head Coach... the projected quarterback rotations... and the relative youth or experience of the two teams that are playing each other. At the very least, this Systems will PREVENT me from playing ON the Giants, Seahawks, Jaguars, Packers, and Patriots in GAME ONE.

So we'll take a possible look at the following "Play ON" teams in week one:

MINNESOTA VIKINGS over the seattle seahawks
CINCINNATI BENGALS over the green bay packers
ATLANTA FALCONS over the jacksonville jaguars

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FAO Sports

San Francisco at Raiders
Play: UNDER

It is presently at 34 PTS. The first game of the preeason for both of these teams have gone under 1-5 O/U the L3Y.Also, the Raiders are 1-5 O/U at home the L3Y.

Take the 49ers Raiders UNDER 

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TONY MATHEWS

Los Angeles Dodgers vs. San Francisco Giants 
Selection: Los Angeles/San Francisco Over 8 

The Los Angeles Dodgers will use starting pitcher Brad Penny. Brad Penny has been struggling this season. In fact, Brad Penny has a 5.88 ERA on the season. We see Brad Penny giving up many runs once again today.

The San Francisco Giants will use starting pitcher Barry Zito. Barry Zito has also struggled this season. In fact, Barry Zito has a 5.40 ERA on the season. We see Barry Zito also giving up many runs once again today.

Trend: The Over is 10-3 in the San Francisco Giants last 13 home games.

Take the Los Angeles Dodgers/San Francisco Giants Over 8

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Las Vegas Sports Advisors

Tampa Bay/James Shields -170
Play of the Day

San Diego/Jake Peavy -125

LA Dodgers/Brad Penny -115

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Carlo Campanella

Washington Nationals at Milwaukee Brewers
Prediction: Milwaukee Brewers

Reason: Milwaukee sends CC Sabathia to the mound as they host Washington on Friday evening. Washington 15-26 against southpaws this year and now faces a Milwaukee squad that's an incredible 5-1 behind Sabathia since he joined the team two months back. Expect another strong home performance from the former Indian's ace.

7* Play On Milwaukee

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TONY WESTON

I'm switching gears and going back to the diamond where the Texas Rangers will get over on the Baltimore Orioles tonight.

The Rangers come into this game installed as a pretty big dog and we're going to take advantage of that. While the Rangers have lost their last two games at home against the New York Yankees, they are still 6-4 their last 10 games and are 4-3 their last seven, including two wins against Yankee studs Joba Chamberlain and Andy Pettitte.

The Orioles, on the other hand, come into this game 1-3 their last four games and only 3-4 their last seven.

But most importantly, these teams have played each other six times this season with Texas holding a 4-2 advantage, including wins in four of their last five meetings and victories in their last two matchups.

Look for Texas to continue its winning ways against the Orioles and get over easily. Take the Rangers on the road tonight.

3♦ RANGERS

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ANTHONY CAPONE:

TAMPA BAY RAYS  vs SEATTLE MARINERS 
Play: TAMPA BAY RAYS

Tonight it's James Shields that gets the win over a bad Seattle club and a worse starter in Carlos Silva . Silvas season has been lousyto put it mildly by any standards .He is (4-12) on the season surrendering over 35 more hits than Innings pitched .His last 3 have been no better as his ERA has ballooned to over 10 .James Shields has been very steady all year with a (9-7) record and an ERA of barely over 3 .The D'Rays have won 8 of their last 10 games , as the Mariners continue to slide .They have played decent ball lately but it won't be enough tonight against a far superior team and pitcher . Play the Tampa Bay Rays

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STEVE JANUS

REDSOX

The Red Sox are really pushing to make a run at the Rays for the AL East Pennant. They've won 5 of their last 6 on the road for starters. Boston has really rallied behind John Lester this year and just some of that proof can be see in their numbers when Lester starts against any team with a winning record where the Red Sox have won his last 6 starts in a row. Chicago, on the other hand, has lost 4 of their last 5 against teams with a winning record and they've lost 5 in a row as the underdog in their matchup.

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SAPKOWSKI

Best Bet
Det vs. Oak over 4.5 in 1st 5IN

Premium
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Seattle Mariners over 4 in 1st 5IN
San Francisco Giants vs. Los Angeles Dodgers over 3.5 in 1st 5IN

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K & B SPORTS

The Raiders were subpar for the 2007 regular season posting a record of 4-12 SU and 6-10 ATS overall. However, for the 2007 preseason the Raiders posted a home record of 2-0 SU and ATS. Also, the Raiders are 5-0 SU and ATS in their last five home preseason games. The average score in those five games was Raiders 20.8 and opponents 9.8 Play:OAKLAND RAIDERS


The Redskins showed some offense scoring 30 points in the Hall of Fame game and most of the in the second-half. With one game played and a solid offensive game at that I give the edge to the Redskins. Dating back to last year’s regular season and the one playoff game the Redskins have won five of their last six games. Play:WASHINGTON REDSKINS

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Gold Medal Club

Atlanta @ Arizona
PLAY UNDER

Two solid pitchers square off on the mound tonight. Campillo goes for the Braves is taking an era of 1.15 in his last 3 starts! Lefty Doug Davis who goes for Arizona has also been solid. The Braves have struggled all year when facing lefties, going 15-22, averaging 4 runs per game. We will also take note of a road batting average of .249, and the key stat of them being 5-20 to the UNDER on the road with a Total 9-9.5. The Braves will struggle to score in this one, and Campillo is good enough to keep the D-Backs under 5 runs.

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PlusLineSports

Washington vs Milwaukee

Milwaukee -1.5

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DUNKEL

Texas at Baltimore   
After losing two straight against the Yankees, Texas looks to bounce back on the road where they have a winning record (12-10) when listed as an underdog between +125 and +150 and have won four of the last five matchups at Camden Yards.  The Rangers are the underdog pick (+150) according to Dunkel, which has Texas favored straight up by 1.  Dunkel Pick: Texas (+150).  Here are all of today's games.

FRIDAY, AUGUST 8

Game 951-952: St. Louis at Chicago Cubs
Dunkel Ratings: St. Louis (Looper) 16.295; Cubs (Lilly) 15.548
Dunkel Line: St. Louis by 1/2; 11
Vegas Line: Chicago Cubs (-155); No Run Line
Dunkel Pick: St. Louis (+145); N/A

Game 953-954: Pittsburgh at Philadelphia
Dunkel Ratings: Pittsburgh (Maholm) 14.842; Philadelphia (Blanton) 16.010
Dunkel Line: Philadelphia by 1; 9 1/2
Vegas Line: Philadelphia (-170); 10
Dunkel Pick: Philadelphia (-170); Under

Game 955-956: Houston at Cincinnati
Dunkel Ratings: Houston (Wolf) 14.049; Cincinnati (Cueto) 14.368
Dunkel Line: Cincinnati by 1/2; 10 1/2
Vegas Line: Cincinnati (-125); 9 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Cincinnati (-125); Over

Game 957-958: Florida at NY Mets
Dunkel Ratings: Florida (Nolasco) 14.713; NY Mets (Perez) 15.424
Dunkel Line: NY Mets by 1/2; 9
Vegas Line: NY Mets (-140); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: NY Mets (-140); Over

Game 959-960: Washington at Milwaukee
Dunkel Ratings: Washington (Balester) 14.789; Milwaukee (Sabathia) 15.424
Dunkel Line: Milwaukee by 1/2; 7 1/2
Vegas Line: Milwaukee (-285); 8
Dunkel Pick: Milwaukee (-285); Under

Game 961-962: San Diego at Colorado
Dunkel Ratings: San Diego (Peavy) 15.320; Colorado (Rusch) 13.614
Dunkel Line: San Diego by 1 1/2; 8 1/2
Vegas Line: San Diego (-125); 9
Dunkel Pick: San Diego (-125); Under

Game 963-964: Atlanta at Arizona
Dunkel Ratings: Atlanta (Campillo) 15.908; Arizona (Davis) 14.764
Dunkel Line: Atlanta by 1; 8 1/2
Vegas Line: Arizona (-130); 9
Dunkel Pick: Atlanta (+120); Under

Game 965-966: LA Dodgers at San Francisco
Dunkel Ratings: LA Dodgers (Penny) 15.210; San Francisco (Zito) 15.662
Dunkel Line: San Francisco by 1/2; 9
Vegas Line: LA Dodgers (-115); 8
Dunkel Pick: San Francisco (+105); Over


Game 967-968: Texas at Baltimore
Dunkel Ratings: Texas (Mendoza) 16.509; Baltimore (Guthrie) 15.284
Dunkel Line: Texas by 1; 9
Vegas Line: Baltimore (-160); 9 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Texas (+150); Under

Game 969-970: Oakland at Detroit
Dunkel Ratings: Oakland (Braden) 12.698; Detroit (Rogers) 15.192
Dunkel Line: Detroit by 2 1/2; 8 1/2
Vegas Line: Detroit (-150); 9 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Detroit (-150); Under

Game 971-972: Cleveland at Toronto
Dunkel Ratings: Cleveland (Reyes) 16.354; Toronto (Purcey) 14.807
Dunkel Line: Cleveland by 1 1/2; 9
Vegas Line: Toronto (-125); 9 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Cleveland (+115); Under

Game 973-974: Minnesota at Kansas City
Dunkel Ratings: Minnesota (Slowey) 15.165; Kansas City (Davies) 15.685
Dunkel Line: Kansas City by 1/2; 10 1/2
Vegas Line: Minnesota (-130); 9 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Kansas City (+120); Over

Game 975-976: Boston at Chicago White Sox
Dunkel Ratings: Boston (Lester) 15.745; White Sox (Buehrle) 15.297
Dunkel Line: Boston by 1/2; 10
Vegas Line: Boston (-105); 9
Dunkel Pick: Boston (-105); Over

Game 977-978: NY Yankees at LA Angels
Dunkel Ratings: NY Yankees (Kennedy) 15.597; LA Angels (Weaver) 17.058
Dunkel Line: LA Angels by 1 1/2; 10 1/2
Vegas Line: LA Angels (-160); 9 1/2
Dunkel Pick: LA Angels (-160); Over

Game 979-980: Tampa Bay at Seattle
Dunkel Ratings: Tampa Bay (Shields) 17.079; Seattle (Silva) 15.764
Dunkel Line: Tampa Bay by 1 1/2; 7 1/2
Vegas Line: Tampa Bay (-165); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Tampa Bay (-165); Under

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Best Bets

Baltimore (-170) over Texas -> Guthrie 3-1 in his last 4 home starts and has allowed only 4 runs (22 innings) in his last 3 games. Beat Texas on 7/4 10-4. Luis Mendoza has allowed 16 runs in 16.1 innings pitched.

Detroit (-160) over Okland A's -> Detroit better lineup and can score runs. Oakland well...not to good.

LA Dodgers (-125) over SF Giants -> Brad Penny coming back from the DL will be very interesting to see how he pitches in the first 3 innings. Zito is playing good lately has allowed 9 runs in 19 innings. He is 2-1 in his last 3 games. Don't worry the Giants can score any runs. Manny will score more runs than the Giants.

AMERICAS MOST WANTED
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Touthouse

Seattle Seahawks +3.0

The Seattle Seahawks fits nicely into what we like to call a GAP system on Friday night, and they get the call as road underdogs when they visit the Minnesota Vikings. The first step in this system to group each team into either the Good, Average or Poor category (ergo, GAP) based solely on their win totals of last season. Well, the Seahawks grade out as Good while the Vikings grade out as Average, This is significant because higher classed road underdogs are 77-51, 60.2 percent against the spread the last seven preseasons. Looking at the specific teams, the Seahawks are a nice 6-2 straight up and ATS on the road during the preseason over the last four years. They also like to get off on the right foot in these exhibition games, going 4-1 both SU and ATS in the last five openers. Conversely, the Vikings have lost their last two August openers and since they are a popular pick to win the NFC Central, they will in all likelihood be more concerned with staying healthy than posting wins during this preseason. Finally, the Vikings have been distracted lately by all of the talk concerning the acquisition of Brett Favre, which may result in their corps of young quarterbacks pressing a bit in an attempt to impress. Pick: Seahawks +3


San Francisco 49ers +3.0

The San Francisco 49ers and the Oakland Raiders have had a couple of joint practices this summer, so they are both somewhat familiar with what to expect this week, which automatically gives value to the underdog. Besides the 49ers are a very young team that may seemingly get as many wins this preseason as they do the entire regular season, so they probably have the greater motivation to win early between these two teams. Then again, that would be nothing new considering that the Niners are 3-2 straight up and 3-1-1 against the spread vs. their Bay Area rivals the last five years in preseason. Now the Raiders are expected to improve this season, thanks to their first round draft pick Darren McFadden, but you just know that they will handle Run DMC with kid gloves during the exhibition season, not wanting to risk a serious injury. Thus, we will see the same last place team as last year for the most part, at least in the early weeks. Look for the underdog Niners to pull a confidence-building upset here. Pick: 49ers +3

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John Ryan

Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Philadelphia Phillies
Play: Philadelphia Phillies     

Ai Simulator 3* graded play on Philadelphia ? Phillies are making things difficult for themselves losing 2 of 3 to the Fish and lost yesterday with their ace Hamels on the hill. Phillies play their best on the road sporting the 2nd best record in all of baseball; second to only Anaheim. There are only 5 other teams with worse home records than the Phillies and that that must change now. Enter the Pirates, for 3 games, and this is exactly what the doctor has ordered. Phils know they must take at a minimum 2 of these 3 games before they embark on a huge West Coast trip Monday. Winning game 1 will make it a near lock they will win this series. Pirates batting 260 and scoring only 3.3 RPG over the past week. Their bullpen has been terrible sporting a 6.97 ERA and a 1.935 WHIP over the past 7 games. Supporting this graded play is a system that has gone 98-33 making 48.3 units since 2002 for 75%. Play against all dogs with a money line of +100 or higher after 4 straight games where they stranded 7 or less runners on base and with a struggling bullpen whose ERA is over 8.00 the last 5 games. Pirates in a very weak role noting that they are just 12-45 (-26.5 Units) against the money line in road games versus teams outscored by opponents by 0.5 or more runs/game on the season over the last 3 seasons. Phils starter Blanton in a great winning role as he is 12-3 (+9.1 Units) against the money line versus poor base running teams averaging 0.5 or less SB's/game in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons. 

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Priceless Picks

1 Unit on Detroit Tigers -156

The struggling A's will have their work cut out for themselves against one of the most effective home pitchers in baseball.  The Athletics are just 6-22 in their last 28 overall, 0-5 in their last 5 against the AL Central, and 0-6 in their last 6 series openers.  The Tigers are an impressive 22-7 in Rogers ' last 29 home starts and 31-12 in Rogers ' last 43 starts as a favorite.  The Tigers are 24-9 in their last 33 games as a favorite.  Take the Tigers tonight.

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