Thursday Service Plays

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Oscarxena Sports

Los Angeles +1.22 (3 Unit Play)

The Dodgers have dropped the first two games of this series and after this game they travel back out west to take on the Giants. The Dodgers will hand the ball to rookie Clayton Kershaw who has certainly had his growing pains for the Dodgers this year but he is making his 12th start of the year today and appears to be a solid addition to the Dodgers rotation as they make their push towards the playoffs. Kershaw has pitched 12 scoreless innings in his last two starts and he does have a start under his belt against the Cardinals as he did not receive a decision but pitched well allowing only two runs and striking out seven batters in six innings which was in fact his major league debut. The Cardinals will hand the ball to surprising Kyle Lohse who has been a major find for them this year as he is 13-3 with a 3.73 ERA on the year. Lohse has been showing some signs of slowing down a bit lately though and in his career against Los Angeles he is 1-1 but has a 5.40 ERA in two career starts. Today's HP umpire is Tim Welke who has seen the road teams win 12 out of 23 games this year and Lohse has not pitched well with him behind home plate going 1-3. I like the Dodgers to salvage the finale of this three game series.

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ATS Consultants

Detroit over Chicago White Sox - Preferred Play

Under in the Atlanta/Arizona game - Preferred Play

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ROBERT FERRINGO

1.5-Unit Play. Take #912 Arizona (-150) over Atlanta

1-Unit Play. Take #918 Chicago White Sox (-135) over Detroit

1-Unit Play. Take #902 New York Mets (-1.5, -120) over San Diego

2.5-Unit Play. Take ‘Over’ 9.5 Washington at Colorado
NOTE: THIS IS GAME 1 OF THE DOUBLEHEADER TODAY. SHOULD BE PEREZ VS. FRANCIS.

1-Unit Play. Take ‘Over’ 7.5 San Diego at New York Mets

1-Unit Play. Take ‘Under’ 10.0 Atlanta at Arizona

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Pointwise NFLX Phones

3* New England
2* Detroit
2* Arizona

Friday
2* Philadelphia

Saturday
3* Washington
2* Dallas

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SAPKOWSKI

Premium
Colorado (Jimenez)

Best Bet
Okland vs. Toronto over 3 in 1st 5IN

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Dave Malinsky

New York Giants @ Detroit Lions
PICK: 4* Over

No, off of a Super Bowl win the Giants do not have much anything to prove at all in a pre-season opener. Yes, much is being made about the shift in the focus of the Detroit offense, with more emphasis on running the ball as Jim Colletto takes over as coordinator from Mike Martz. But when the betting markets try to take those puzzle pieces and turn this Total into a 31, it is “go time” for us.

The Giant starters may not try very hard. But the key to them in pre-season from a Totals standpoint is outstanding depth and experience in the skill positions. There is a most healthy competition going on at the reserve QB spots, which means that David Carr and his 79 NFL starts, and Anthony Wright and his 19, get a chance to show their experience against the Detroit defensive reserves. And they will have some solid pieces to work with - there are not many depth charts anywhere in the league that have more RB’s with starting experience. There is a real potential to be making things happen long after Eli Manning has taken his helmet off.

As for the changing flow of the Detroit offense, understand that for what it is. The Lions will not suddenly become a land-locked team; their offensive strength is a WR corps that rivals any in the NFL. Instead they want to become more balanced, with the Martz offensive scheme often giving up on the run completely LY. Remember that while running more can slow the tempo a bit, it can also make an offense much more efficient, particularly in the red zone. And if they can establish play action as a genuine concern for defensive units it will mean single coverage for either Roy Williams or Calvin Johnson, and often for both, as they work their way deep. In Tatum Bell and Kevin Smith there are a couple of capable RB’s that will be competing for the #1 spot before the regular season begins. As for the QB rotation there will be no wasted snaps in the pre-season, with Dan Orlovsky and Drew Stanton battling for the #2 spot, and no one else on the roster.

This is being priced as the lowest Total on this week’s entire card, and that is wrong for what these teams are bringing to the table.

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Jeff Scott Sports

2 UNIT PLAY

Washington/ Colorado Over 9.5 (GAME 1)

The Over is 8-1-1 in Nationals last 10 games vs. a left-handed starter and  7-1-1 in the last 9 meetings in Colorado, while the Over is 6-0-2 in Rockies last 8 games as a favorite and  11-1 in Francis' last 12 starts vs. National League East. The Last 9 meetings in Colorado have averaged 13.9 rpg, including 11.5 rpg in the 2 games played there this year. Odalis Perez has struggled on the year with a 4.16 ERA overall, including a 5.96 ERA on the road and a 6.63 ERA in his last 3 starts. Jason Bergaman has faced the Rockies only once and he allowed 5 ER in just 3.2 innings of work vs them. Jason has struggled for much of the year WITH A 4.33 ERA overall, including a 5.83 ERA in his last 3 starts. Jeff Francis has also struggled on the year, posting a 5.67 ERA overall and a 5.25 ERA at home, plus he owns a 6.49 ERA in his last 4 starts. Jeff home starts have averaged 9.6 rpg, while his last 4 starts have averaged 10 rpg. Jeff has a 6.97 ERA in 2 home starts vs the Nats, with those games averaging 16.5 rpg. The Nats offense has waken up big time as they are averaging 5.6 rpg in their last 7, while the Rockies offense is averageing 5.7 rpg at home and they have averaged 8.4 rpg in their last 9 home games vs the Nats. Two nights ago a bunch of late runs gave these teams a push on the total of 10, but today I feel that 10+ run will come much easier.

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3Daily Winners

Atlanta Braves vs. Arizona D-Backs
Play: Arizona D-Backs

Arizona ran into buzzsaw with Bucs Jeff Karstens yesterday and will rebound tonight in the desert. With Atlanta only 19-37 on the road, follow this system to victory. PLAY ON all favorites like Arizona with a money line of -150 or more, having won two of their last three contests, a marginal winning team (51 to 54 percent) playing a club like the Braves with a 38 to 46 win percentage. This sweet system is 112-29, 79.4 percent since 2004.

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Indiancowboy Comp

Cleveland Browns -2.5

leveland is more than a 2/3rds favorite coming into this game, but keep in mind this was a 10 win team last year that did not make it to the playoffs, in fact, it is one of the few times that that has happened. The Jets still have some gaping holes of experience to fill, and the Browns were a playoff caliber team last year that has been chomping at the bit to play again and it would not surprise me if they went on to win this game big. Remember, Holcomb always has to feel like Quinn is over his shoulders so I expect him to be sharp and then I expect his backup to be sharp as well. I just hate to see 66% of the public on the Browns here, but I don't think in preseason that truly makes a dent with the books, similar to wnba betting when it comes to public percentages.

write-up: This is a bit of a risky play considering the public is on Cleveland, but I will take my chances with Anderson and Quinn both doing well as this scoring is likely not to stop and of course, this is still the pound a tough place for the young Jets team to play.

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Mr A

Detroit Tigers at Chicago White Sox

The White Sox have been a disaster on the road, but have played well at U.S. Cellular Field. Chicago has won 15 of their last 20 home games, 36-16 this season. They have beaten the Tigers in six of their last 8 games in the Windy City.

Detroit's Justin Verlander (8-11, 4.49), has lost his last two starts. The right-hander is 1-2 with a 6.87 ERA in his last three starts and is 2-7 in his career against the White Sox, 1-3 with a 6.15 ERA in four starts against them this season.

Chicago's John Danks (8-4, 3.31 ERA), has won his last five decisions. The left-hander is 1-0 with a 7.88 ERA in his last three starts and 1-1 with a 5.79 ERA in four career starts versus the Tigers.

Take the White Sox at home. The Tigers have lost their last five road games and nine of Verlander's last 12 starts on the road, 0-6 in the right-hander's last 6 versus the White Sox in Chicago.

Chicago White Sox -110

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Oscarxena Sports

Los Angeles +1.22 (3 Unit Play)

The Dodgers have dropped the first two games of this series and after this game they travel back out west to take on the Giants. The Dodgers will hand the ball to rookie Clayton Kershaw who has certainly had his growing pains for the Dodgers this year but he is making his 12th start of the year today and appears to be a solid addition to the Dodgers rotation as they make their push towards the playoffs. Kershaw has pitched 12 scoreless innings in his last two starts and he does have a start under his belt against the Cardinals as he did not receive a decision but pitched well allowing only two runs and striking out seven batters in six innings which was in fact his major league debut. The Cardinals will hand the ball to surprising Kyle Lohse who has been a major find for them this year as he is 13-3 with a 3.73 ERA on the year. Lohse has been showing some signs of slowing down a bit lately though and in his career against Los Angeles he is 1-1 but has a 5.40 ERA in two career starts. Today's HP umpire is Tim Welke who has seen the road teams win 12 out of 23 games this year and Lohse has not pitched well with him behind home plate going 1-3. I like the Dodgers to salvage the finale of this three game series.

Toronto -1.11 (2.5 Unit Play) & Toronto -1 1/2 Runs +1.99 (1.5 Unit Play)

The Oakland A's have been in free fall for weeks and I don't think even Justin Duchscherer will be able to improve their fortunes here tonight. Duchscherer has not won since July 8th and although he is still pitching well it will be his first career start against the Blue Jays. He has pitched solidly against them in relief as he has allowed only four runs in 18 1/3 innings of work. The A's offense is so bad though right now that unless Duchscherer throws a complete game shutout that they will probably lose. The Blue Jays will hand the ball to A.J. Burnett who has been getting better and better lately and quietly the Blue Jays are climbing up the standings in hopes of having a chance at the wild card in September. The Jays kept Burnett before the trading deadline and that tells me that he should be focused here tonight. Burnett is 7-2 in his last nine starts with a 3.28 ERA and going against this anemic A's offense should only help him here. There is a little risk laying the run line also because there is a big Under umpire in Mike Estabrook behind home plate tonight but I will take the chance as the Jays have won 13 out of their last 17 home games.


NY Yankees/Texas Over 11 1/2 +1.08 (3 Unit Play)

My last play today will be to take these two powerful offensive teams to go Over the total at plus money here. These two teams suffered some injuries last night but all year long it has proven that the ball is flying out of Arlington Ballpark and I think tonight will be no exception. The Rangers have been pounding right handed pitchers all year and although the Yankees will have Mike Mussina on the mound tonight I think the Rangers will be able to get to him here tonight. The Rangers will have Scott Feldman on the mound and so far on the year he has went 4-4 with a 4.97 ERA and has a nice outing against the Yankees earlier this year as well. All of the numbers seem to add up to an Under but today's HP umpire Rob Drake is 14-13 to the Over so far this year and while he has never worked with Feldman he has umpired four games with Mussina and the Over has cashed 3 out of 4 times. These teams have been getting runners on base all series and surprisingly A-Rod does not have a hit yet in this series. Both bullpens are hurting as well and if these starters struggle at all this game should easily reach 12 runs. I like the Over here tonight.

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Brandon Lang

20 Dime Lions
10 Dime Browns
5 Dime Chiefs/Bears Under

FREE - Astros

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KELSO

High Rollers Club 10 units

White Sox

         
Best Bets Club

5 units Yankees
4 units Astros

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Re: Thursday Service Plays

Plus10Club

Ethan Law 
Pick: DETROIT TIGERS

                                           
Opposite Action Plays   
Pick: SEATTLE MARINERS


JB Sports 
Pick: CLEVELAND BROWNS -3 


Sunday Selections   
Pick: Chiefs / Bears UNDER 34   


LT Profits 
Pick:  Saints / Cardinals UNDER 36


Mike Lineback
Pick: ARIZONA D'BACKS     


Mike Rose   
Pick: Tigers / White Sox OVER 10


Rocketman Sports 
Pick: NEW YORK JETS +3.5 


Alex Smart     
Pick: D'Rays / Mariners OVER 8 

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atslocksdotcom

Chiefs/Bears Under 35

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Marco D'Angelo

NYJ 3.5 vs  CLE

Tonight I am making my first preseason play as I am going with the Jets. This will be a unpopular play but this is Clemens game to make a statement before Favre arrives and becomes the focus. Cleveland is getting too much attention based on last years 10-6 finish. Jets will take this one to the wire and I see a outright win tonight. TAKE NY JETS as MARCO'S NFL PRESEASON POWER PLAY and make them a DOUBLE DIME PLAY.

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VEGAS RUNNER

KAN 4.0 (-120) vs CHI  2* WAGER  (Buy the 1/2 to +4)

NYJ 4.0 (-110) vs CLE  2* WAGER

CHI / KAN Over 34.0  2* TOTAL


2* NFL TEASER PLAY of the DAY

NY JETS +11 & KC CHIEFS +10.5 (2*) Teaser Bet


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VEGAS RUNNER

HOU (-145) vs CIN  2* ML WAGER

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JEFFERSONSPORTS

NFL EARLY RELEASE
CLEVELAND-3

Adding

Houston-140

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