TUESDAY SERVICE PLAYS

Re: TUESDAY SERVICE PLAYS

BOBBY MAXWELL

Improved to 36-28 with FREE plays on Monday with a big plus-money win on the Rangers over the Yankees. Today we'll hit another winner with the Twins getting a road win in Seattle.

The Twins will show up for this one after losing in Seattle on Monday. Scott Baker (7-3, 3.53 ERA) is on the mound for Minnesota and they are 7-3 in the Twins' last 10 overall and 23-8 in their last 31 games as a favorite.

We will put our money behind Scott Baker over the Mariners' R.A. Dickey (3-6, 4.41). Baker is 4-2 on the road this season and the Twins are 6-2 in Baker's last eight overall. His last road start was in Cleveland when he gave up three runs on five hits of an 11-4 win.

Dickey has been roughed up lately, giving up 14 runs in his last 19 innings of work and the Mariners are just 3-7 in his last 10 outings. He hasn't faced the Twins since 2003 when he gave up 11 runs in 7.1 innings of work as a starter for Texas.

The Twins are 11-4 in the second game of a series and 5-1 in their last six as a road favorite. Meanwhile Seattle is just 8-19 in its last 27 at home and 5-11 in their last 16 overall. The Mariners have mailed it in with the bats, but look for the Twins to hang on enough to get in the Mariners bullpen and then deliver an easy win.

3♦ MINNESOTA

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SPORTS GAMBLING HOTLINE

We like the mojo the Dodgers have now that #99 Manny Ramirez has joined the lineup, and we will back them tonight in their opener against St. Louis.

Chad Billingsley comes into this start off a complete game shutout of San Francisco to improve to 11-9 for the season with a 3.04 ERA.

Chris Carpenter will counter, and is making just his second start of the season. Carpenter worked just 4 innings in his first start back from injury, and we certainly won't count on him to go deep in this ball game. That being the case, we all know how shaky the Cards' pen has been, so we will back the Dodgers to pull away in this game.

Los Angeles has won their last pair, and 7 of their last 10, while St. Louis has dropped 3 of their last 4.
Stick with the Los Angeles 9 in this one tonight.

Play on the Dodgers.

2♦ LOS ANGELES

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Steve Janus

Cleveland Indians vs. Tampa Bay Rays    
Play:Tampa Bay Rays

The Rays are back on track winning 5 of their last 6 overall. Tonight they look from another well-pitched game by Edwin Jackson. Tampa is 6-2 with Jackson on the mound against teams with a losing record in his last 8 starts. The Indians are just 6-23 in their last 29 games as a road underdog and they've lost 30 of their last 42 overall on the road.

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DUNKEL

Atlanta at San Francisco   
The Giants will look to follow up last night's win and take advantage of starter Mike Hampton, who has a 10.00 ERA since coming off the disabled list.  San Francisco is the pick (-120) according to Dunkel, which has the Giants favored by 1 1/2.  Dunkel Pick: San Francisco (-120).   Here are all of today's games.

TUESDAY, AUGUST 5

Game 901-902: Houston at Chicago Cubs
Dunkel Ratings: Houston (Rodriguez) 14.912; Cubs (Harden) 16.582
Dunkel Line: Chicago Cubs by 1 1/2; 7
Vegas Line: Chicago Cubs (-230); No Run Line
Dunkel Pick: Chicago Cubs (-230); N/A

Game 903-904: Florida at Philadelphia
Dunkel Ratings: Florida (Johnson) 16.407; Philadephia (Moyer) 15.316
Dunkel Line: Florida by 1; 11
Vegas Line: Philadelphia (-150); 9 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Florida (+140); Over

Game 905-906: Milwaukee at Cincinnati
Dunkel Ratings: Milwaukee (Bush) 14.248; Cincinnati (Volquez) 13.147
Dunkel Line: Milwaukee by 1; 8
Vegas Line: Cincinnati (-110); 9
Dunkel Pick: Milwaukee (+100); Under

Game 907-908: San Diego at NY Mets
Dunkel Ratings: San Diego (Young) 14.367; NY Mets (Pelfrey) 15.377
Dunkel Line: NY Mets by 1; 9 1/2
Vegas Line: NY Mets (-160); 8
Dunkel Pick: NY Mets (-160); Over

Game 909-910: LA Dodgers at St. Louis
Dunkel Ratings: LA Dodgers (Billingsley) 15.473; St. Louis (Carpenter) 16.032
Dunkel Line: St. Louis by 1/2; 9
Vegas Line: St. Louis (-105); 8
Dunkel Pick: St. Louis (-105); Over

Game 911-912: Washington at Colorado
Dunkel Ratings: Washington (Lannan) 14.753; Colorado (De La Rosa) 15.650
Dunkel Line: Colorado by 1; 9 1/2
Vegas Line: Colorado (-165); 10
Dunkel Pick: Colorado (-165); Under

Game 913-914: Pittsburgh at Arizona
Dunkel Ratings: Pittsburgh (Duke) 14.298; Arizona (Webb) 15.772
Dunkel Line: Arizona by 1 1/2; 7 1/2
Vegas Line: Arizona (-265); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Arizona (-265); Under

Game 915-916: Atlanta at San Francisco
Dunkel Ratings: Atlanta (Hampton) 13.835; San Francisco (Sanchez) 15.271
Dunkel Line: San Francisco by 1 1/2; 8
Vegas Line: San Francisco (-120); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: San Francisco (-120); Under

Game 917-918: Oakland at Toronto
Dunkel Ratings: Oakland (Smith) 13.834; Toronto (Richmond) 13.671
Dunkel Line: Oakland by 1/2; 9 1/2
Vegas Line: Toronto (-125); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Oakland (+115); Over

Game 919-920: Cleveland at Tampa Bay
Dunkel Ratings: Cleveland (Carmona) 16.206; Tampa Bay (Jackson) 15.446
Dunkel Line: Cleveland by 1; 9 1/2
Vegas Line: Tampa Bay (-120); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Cleveland (+110); Over

Game 921-922: NY Yankees at Texas
Dunkel Ratings: NY Yankees (Pettitte) 17.330; Texas (Harrison) 15.776
Dunkel Line: NY Yankees by 1 1/2; 12
Vegas Line: NY Yankees (-160); 11
Dunkel Pick: NY Yankees (-160); Over

Game 923-924: Boston at Kansas City
Dunkel Ratings: Boston (Beckett) 16.458; Kansas City (Bannister) 14.872
Dunkel Line: Boston by 1 1/2; 9
Vegas Line: Boston (-165); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Boston (-165); Over

Game 925-926: Detroit at Chicago White Sox
Dunkel Ratings: Detroit (Robertson) 15.590; White Sox (Floyd) 13.899
Dunkel Line: Detroit by 1 1/2; 11 1/2
Vegas Line: Chicago White Sox (-140); 10 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Detroit (+130); Over

Game 927-928: Baltimore at LA Angels
Dunkel Ratings: Baltimore (Waters) 15.397; LA Angels (Garland) 16.945
Dunkel Line: LA Angels by 1 1/2; 10 1/2
Vegas Line: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 929-930: Minnesota at Seattle
Dunkel Ratings: Minnesota (Baker) 15.311; Seattle (Dickey) 16.398
Dunkel Line: Seattle by 1; 8
Vegas Line: Minnesota (-125); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Seattle (+115); Under

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JB's Computer Picks

New York Mets -170

Chicago White Sox -145

Los Angeles Angels -210

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Nick "BookieKiller" Parsons

Play Giants

As I noted in yesterdays analysis, the Braves are a different team right now and with Jonathan Sanchez on the mound for the Giants, San Francisco can surely take advantage! Atlanta traded away Mark Texeira and Chipper Jones is on the disabled list. Tim Hudson is also now on the disabled list for the Braves and Atlantas win on Sunday was a rare one. Prior to defeating the Brewers 5-0 Sunday, Atlanta had lost seven of their last eight games! Mike Hampton gets the start for the Braves on Tuesday and hes struggled badly in each of his first two starts since coming off of the disabled list. Note that the Braves are just 18-36 on the road this season after last nights loss. Hampton has allowed ten earned runs on fifteen hits and six walks while striking out just one in nine innings of work in his first two starts for the Braves. With Sanchez on the mound for the Giants, it shouldnt take many runs for the Giants to get the win Tuesday night. San Franciscos lineup struggled on their recent road trip but theyve been hitting better at home. At AT & T Park the Giants have averaged over four runs per game in their last 15 games and again, with Sanchez on the mound, it shouldnt take many runs for the Giants to secure this victory! The Giants southpaw struggled in July but note that, prior to last months struggles, Sanchez was 6-1 with a 3.06 ERA in his eight prior outings. Hes capable of reproducing that success against a depleted Braves lineup that is lacking in confidence right now. As a result, this one will be all Giants!

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ANTHONY CAPONE

FLORIDA MARLINS  vs PHILADELPHIA PHILLIES 
Play: PHILADELPHIA PHILLIES

Jamie Moyer takes to the mound on Tuesday to face the Marlins and Josh Johnson.Johnson won his only start for the Fish and he has an ERA in the low 4's .For the Phillies the ageless one Jamie Moyer looks for his 11th Win on the season .The Phils have certainly been playing well of late going (7-3) in their last 10 games .They are (7-0) on games played on Grass , and when Moyer takes the ball , not too bad either at (10-0) .I think the Marlins who are a dead fastball hitting team will be completely off balance as Moyer mixes up his pitches well and throws alot of off speed stuff .Lets lay the wood and go to the bank with the Phillies .

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Big Al

A's vs. Blue Jays
Play: Oakland A's

At 7:05pm our complimentary selection is on the Oakland Athletics over the Toronto Blue Jays. With the continuing injury to starting pitcher Dustin McGowan, the Jays will continue to give a look to rookie righthander Scott Richmond. The fact that Richmond is 29 years old and getting his second ever start in the Major Leagues should tell you something about him as a potential long-term prospect for the Jays.

Richmond is certainly not one of Toronto's top prospects by any stretch, and in fact in the Minors, Richmond has never pitched above the AA level. In his first start in the Bigs last week, Richmond turned in a less-than-inspiring performance, giving up seven hits and three earned runs in slightly more than five innings. Even with the Jays winning Monday night's game, the road team has dominated this series this season, with the visitors taking five of the seven games. The A's in particular, have used the road to their advantage lately against this Blue Jays team. In their last eight meetings at Toronto's Rogers Centre, the A's have won seven, with last night's victory by Toronto the Blue Jays' first at home over Oakland since August of 2006.

Take the A's.

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Re: TUESDAY SERVICE PLAYS

Maddux Sports

Colorado -170


Jimmy Moore

Cincinnati


Jack Clayton

Cardinals


JIM'S HOT PICKS    

Boston


Templer's Sports Picks

White Sox    


JerseySteveWins

White Sox


Mighty Quinn

Brewers


Armvin Sports

Cardinals -107


JOE WIZ

Twins
Cards


Insider Sports Report

Boston/Kansas City OVER 8


TRACE ADAMS

Yankees-Texas OVER


TOTALS 4 U

CLEVELAND/TAMPA BAY UNDER 9


THE VEGAS STEAMLINE

PITTSBURGH/ARIZONA UNDER


NEVADA SHARPSHOOTER

TWINS -125


PLATINUM PLAYS

METS - 160


JOHN FINA

Tampa Bay Rays -130


MIKE WYNN

Yankees -160


ARTHUR RALPH

PHILLIES


COMPUTER SPORTS

RED SOX-165


TV HOTLINE

ATLANTA +120


FRANK PATRON

Reds -120


TONY MATHEWS

Twins -130


Kyle Baugues

Cubs -217


BIG TIME SPORTS

MILWAUKEE / CINCINNATI UNDER


RAZOR SHARP

WASHINGTON/COLORADO UNDER


#1 SPORTS

GIANTS -115


HUDDLE UP

Detroit +125


DARK HORSE

St. Louis -110


THE  SCOUT

Minnesota -115


GLEN McGREW

Blue Jays


Bob Harvey Sports

LAD/ STL Over


Cappers Access

Reds
Indians

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Yankee Capper

3 Units - Oakland Athletics +115

3 Units - Pirates/D-Backs Over 8.5

2 Units - Nationals/Rockies Over 10

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Vegas Experts

Florida Marlins at Philadelphia Phillies

Throughout his career, Jamie Moyer has absolutely dominated the Florida Marlins, winning all ten starts while amassing a 3.03 ERA. This year alone, he's beaten them three times, including one outing of eight-inning, two-hit, shutout ball. Moyer has been pitching pretty well regardless of opponent lately (2.84 ERA L3 starts) and has a TSR of 11-1 if he allowed multiple HR in his last outing.

Play on: Philadelphia

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LT Profits

Tampa Bay Rays -130

We cashed a ticket with the Cleveland Indians as an underdog with Cliff Lee last night, but we look for the Tampa Bay Rays to get some payback tonight.

After all, the Rays are still an amazing 43-17 at home this season, so they should bounce back well vs. right-hander Fausto Carmona, who has not looked good in his two comeback starts off of the Disabled List. Granted, his second start back was better, but he still allowed four runs in 6.1 innings with only three strikeouts. He is facing a Rays lineup that has hit much better vs. right-handers than left-handers over the last 10 games.

Edwin Jackson may be having his best season in the major leagues for Tampa Bay, and he has now allowed three runs or less in six of his last seven starts, allowing two runs or less in five of those outings. He is also a perfect three for three in Quality Starts vs. the Indians, with all three of those career starts coming last season when Cleveland was better offensively.

Finally, the Rays have the far superior bullpen here, which is significant because we do not expect Carmona to work as deeply into this contest in his third start back as Lee did last night.

Pick: Rays -130


Pittsburgh Pirates @ Arizona Diamondbacks Over 8.5

It is not too often that we would recommend an Over in a game started by Brandon Webb of the Arizona Diamondbacks, but the Pittsburgh Pirates have been an Over machine on the road and they got to another stud pitcher in Danny Haren here last night.

The Pirates managed four runs and eight hits in six innings off of Haren in a game ultimately won by the Diamondbacks 13-9. This brings the record for the Over to an incredible 36-15-3 this season, primarily due to a dreadful pitching rotation that has a bloated 6.44 ERA on the road.

Zach Duke gets the start for the Bucs tonight, and he has been simply horrendous in his last five starts, allowing a total of 30 earned runs and 51 baserunners in just 24.1 innings. For those of you scoring at home, this translates to an 11.10 ERA and a 2.10 WHIP! Duke also has a 6.24 ERA and an ugly 1.71 WHIP on the road for the entire season, with the Over going 7-2 in those starts.

Now Webb has been his usual self lately, but we would not be surprised to see Arizona score at least seven runs on their own tonight given the current form of Duke and the Pittsburgh bullpen, which was used up for 6.2 innings while allowing 10 earned runs last night. Besides, the Over is surprisingly 8-1 in all Webb home starts this season.

Finally, the last five head-to-head meetings between these clubs here in the desert have averaged a combined 13.4 runs with four of those games reaching double-digits.

Pick: Pirates, Diamondbacks Over 8.5

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John Ryan

San Diego Padres vs. New York Mets    
Play: New York Mets   

Ai Simulator 3* graded play on the NY Mets– SD has struggled all season long to score runs. For the season they are batting just 245 and scoring 3.7 RPG and are even worse over the past 7 games hitting 179 and scoring just 2.9 RPG. SD bullpen has done well recently, but they have been terrible in road situations sporting a 5.04 ERA and a 1.548 WHIP in 157 IP on the road. Mets are hitting 293 over the past 7 days, but have stranded 53 men on base. Supporting this graded play is a system that has gone 39-6 making 30.2 units for 87% since 1997. Play against road dogs with a money line of +125 to +175 that is a poor hitting team batting <=.250 and is now facing a decent NL starting pitcher with An ERA=3.70 to 4.20 and also a cold hitting team batting .240 or worse over their last 10 games. Pelfry has been inconsistent over his past several starts – alternating strong starts with weak ones. He is coming off a poor 4 IP 5 ER 8 hit start, but that does not imply he will pitch well tonight. He does his best pitching at Schea posting a 2.25 ERA and a 1.139 WHIP in 11 starts this season. Plus, the AiS shows an 83% probability that he will complete 6+ IP and should that occur the Mets have an 84% probability of winning. SD starter Young is just 1-8 (-10.2 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons. Take the Mets.

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Matt Fargo

Boston Red Sox @ Kansas City Royals
PICK: Boston Red Sox

For Boston, losses like last night are not going to send this back to the World Series. Granted, it was on the road but nonetheless, these are the games that need to be won if it is going to be making a run at Tampa Bay in the American League East. The loss comes after a home sweep over the A’s so it was a big momentum killer as well. Even though they have struggles on the road, the Red Sox are 27-9 in their last 36 road games against a team with a losing home record.

The Royals are streaking again, this time in the good way as they have won seven of their last eight games. How long can this continue? It is a good bet that it ends here as it is finally going up against a top quality pitcher. Kansas City remains under .500 at home and a lot of that can be attributed to the pitching as well as its season long issues. The Royals have a 4.58 ERA on the season which is 5th worst in all of baseball. The pitching has been solid of late but that ends tonight.

Kansas City goes with Brian Bannister who has been pitching extremely poorly over the last three months. He has gone six straight starts without a quality outing, posting a dreadful 8.19 ERA over that span. He has been much better at home but he is facing a team that has hurt him twice. He is 0-2 with an 8.73 ERA in two starts against the Red Sox, one which occurred this season. The Royals are 3-8 in Bannister’s last 11 starts as an underdog.

Boston counters with Josh Beckett and things have not been going well for him either. The good thing is that he is capable of coming out of his slump at anytime and this is a great spot for it to happen. He has a 3.44 ERA on the road to go along with a solid 1.16 WHIP. He had tossed four straight quality starts before running into the Angels, who have now roughed him up twice over his last four outings. Boston is 20-8 in Beckett’s last 28 starts as a road favorite. Play Boston Red Sox 1.5 Units

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Re: TUESDAY SERVICE PLAYS

Locksmith Sports

1 Unit on NY Mets -156

I like the Mets to mop up the floor with one of the worst road teams in baseball tonight behind the red hot Pelfrey.  The Mets are 9-1 in Pelfrey's last 10 starts, 5-0 in Pelfrey's last 5 home starts, and 4-0 in Pelfrey's last 4 starts vs. the National League West.  The Mets are 7-0 in their last 7 vs. the National League West and 11-2 in their last 13 home games.  The Padres are just 12-30 in their last 42 overall and 14-41 in their last 55 vs. a team with a winning record.  Take the Mets.

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Re: TUESDAY SERVICE PLAYS

Ron Raymond

Cleveland – Tampa Bay: UNDER 9.0 -130

Keys to selection: Today’s baseball pick will be the UNDER 9.0 -130 between the Indians and Rays. The Indians have been involved in some low scoring games of late, as the UNDER is now 4-0 in their last 4 contests and they send Fausto Carmona to the Hill this evening vs. Erwin Jackson. The UNDER is 22-10-2 for Cleveland in their last 35 games at home or away vs. AL East opponents.

Furthermore, the UNDER is 6-3-1 when Cleveland travels to Tampa Bay in their last 10 games and the last 4 games in Tampa Bay have gone UNDER the posted total.
Here’s a great system on the season that backs up our UNDER selection tonight.

Whenever you have a -120 to -140 Home Favorite this season playing under these current situations:

• During a night game

• Vs. Right handed pitchers

• Coming off a 1 game loss

• Coming off a lost in game 1 of a series

The UNDER is 17-2-0 for the Home Faves in this role this season.

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Re: TUESDAY SERVICE PLAYS

Tom Freese

Detroit at Chicago

Chicago is 7-0 off a day off and they are 7-0 their last 7 games vs. lefty starters. The White Sox are 22-8 their last 30 games vs. losing teams and they are 12-2 with Gavin Floyd if their opponent scored 5 or more runs in their last game. Detroit is 7-21 their last 28 games as underdogs and they are 2-10 their last 12 games vs. winning teams. The Tigers are 16-36 in the last 52 road starts made by Nate Robertson and they are 4-13 in his last 17 August starts. Detroit is 2-7 the last 9 starts made by Robertson vs. the White Sox. PLAY ON CHICAGO -

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Dave Malinsky

Washington Nationals @ Colorado Rockies
PICK: Washington Nationals 3*

Should a team that is 12 games under .500, and sending the 6.94 ERA of Jorge de la Rosa to the mound as the starter, be favored by more than -160 against anyone? That can be a case to get involved here by itself. But the Nationals are not just an anyone right now, particularly with John Lannan taking the mound.

Washington enters this game not just on a 4-0 run, but it has been an explosive stretch in which they have out-scored the opposition by 14 runs, despite having nine fewer outs to work with. It seemed that by cutting a few veterans last week there has been a cathartic impact on what had been a struggling team, and they have responded by playing with passion. Meanwhile Lannan has been one of the true tough luck stories of recent years, managing just six wins in 21 starts despite working to a solid 3.61 tune over 124.2 innings vs. an upper-tier schedule. And on the road he has flat out been one of the best pitchers in the National League, with a 2.57 over 77 innings. There are no flukes there - he only allowed 73 hits in that span, and note that the 2.57 is the real allowance, with zero unearned runs through the stretch. He also has a significant advantage tonight in that no Colorado hitter has ever had a single plate appearance against him, which means a chance to set the tempo on his first couple of passes through the lineup.

Lannan is league's above de la Rosa, who may not be around for multiple passes through the Washington hitters. The Rocky left-hander has been the opposite of Lannan in terms of luck, with the Rockies going .500 in his starts despite his 6.94 ERA and 1.65 WHIP, and that will catch up to him before the season is over. In nine of his 14 starts he has only managed to complete five innings or less, and his confidence will be at a low ebb, lasting only 1.2 innings in a dismal performance at Florida in his last outing. In no way does either he, or the team behind him, merit this price range.

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Scott Delaney

Travel couldn't slow the Halos, and with the first game off an East Coast junket out of the way, we'll play the Angels tonight against visiting Baltimore. And oh yes, list Jon Garland here, as he?ll continue his domination of the Orioles. He's won his last six starts against Baltimore and is 2-0 with a 4.05 ERA against it this season.

The veteran right-hander is also an impressive 6-0 with a 3.30 ERA in nine outings versus AL East opponents on the year, and will be gunning for his third straight win overall. I like his chances, as hell oppose Chris Waters, who is making his Major League-debut after being called up from Triple-A Norfolk.

He began the season at Double-A Bowie, where he was an impressive 5-0 with a 1.69 ERA in six starts but he then went 3-6 with a 5.70 ERA in 18 games, including 16 starts, with Norfolk. And while I'd normally be excited to take a pitcher making his Major League-debut, it's very hard to overlook this Angels team, given it's atop the Major League right now with that 70-42 mark and is on pace to win 101 games.

Play the Halos on the Run Line in this one.

4&#9830; ANGELS

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