TUESDAY SERVICE PLAYS

TUESDAY SERVICE PLAYS

Gator Report

MLB 70% Super Situations:

MLB Tuesday:  Play On MLB (NL) home teams with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 4.20 to 4.70 on the season, with a starting pitcher whose WHIP is >= 2.250 over his last 3 starts, 31-10 SU since 1997 (75.6%).

PLAY: San Francisco -125

MLB Tuesday:  Play Over MLB (NL) road teams where the total is 9 to 9.5 with a starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.250 or better on the season, in August games.38-13 Over the last five seasons. (74.5%) 

PLAY: Milwaukee / Cincinnati OVER 9 (-120)


MLB Top Angles:

MLB Tuesday:  Moyer (Phil) is 11-1 SU against the money line after giving up 2 or more home runs last outing over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record).

MLB Tuesday:  Carpenter (Stl) is 40-7 SU against the money line vs. NL teams scoring 4.3 or less runs per game on the season since 1997. (Team's Record).

MLB Tuesday:  Pittsburgh is 1-16 SU against the money line in road games versus teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times per game in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.

MLB Tuesday:  Dickey (Sea) is 1-14 SU against the money line versus teams whose hitters strike out 6 or less times per game since 1997. (Team's Record).

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Jimmy The Moose

Oakland Athletics at Toronto Blue Jays
Prediction: Toronto Blue Jays

Oakland is 1-11 in their last 12 road games. The A's are 8-21 in their last 29 games overall. Oakland is 8-25 in their last 33 games as an underdog. In their last 15 games vs. AL East opponents the A's are 2-13. The A's have lost Smith's last 3 starts. Oakland is 1-7 in his last 8 starts as an underdog. Toronto is 11-4 in their last 15 home games. In their last 12 games as a favorite they are 10-2. Toronto is 6-1 in their last 7 vs. a team with a losing record. The Jays Scott Richmond will be making his second career start and he looked pretty good in his first one. Play on the Toronto Blue Jays -.

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Marc Lawrence

Minnesota Twins at Seattle Mariners
Prediction: Minnesota Twins

The Twins take on the Mariners in Game Two of this three-game series tonight when Scott Baker battles knuckleballer R.A. Dickey in Seattle. Aside from being in rotten current KW form with 8 walks and 5 strikeouts in his last three stars, Dickey owns a sky-high 7.61 ERA in his home starts this season. Enter Baker who is in solid current form while cashing in 11 of his 17 team starts this season. With the Twins scoring runs on a consistent basis, look for Baker to improve to 5-1 on the road in August here this evening.

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Lee Kostroski

Minnesota Twins @ Seattle Mariners
PICK: Minnesota Twins

The Twins crushed Tim Wakefield earlier this season, posting seven runs in less than three innings. Facing another knuckleball pitcher should be a welcome sight in Seattle. The Mariners are just 4-15 in games that R. A. Dickey has pitched in and just 3-7 when he starts. Dickey has allowed 14 runs over his last three starts and at home he is 0-4 with a 4.78 ERA and a 1.73 WHIP. Seattle is also just 15-20 in games decided in the bullpen and facing one of the top hitting teams in baseball will be a difficult situation for Dickey and the Mariners.

The Twins are 11-6 in games that Scott Baker has started this season and 6-2 in his last eight outings. The Twins have won three of his last four road starts and he has strong overall numbers with a 3.53 ERA and a 1.13 WHIP. Minnesota also owns one of the strongest bullpens in the American League. Seattle is hitting just .251 against right-handed pitching at home and facing Baker will be a difficult challenge.

The Twins are 23-7 in the last 30 games as a favorite and this is still a cheap price for a team that quietly has one of the best records in the AL against a team with the worst record in AL. Seattle is just 21-34 at home this season and the Twins have won four of the last six road series. The road team actually won seven of nine meetings between these teams last season so the Twins should be able to deliver the victory despite long travel.

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Scott Ferrall

Ariz -280 and Brandon Webb over the Pirates in the desert--Zach Duke will get jacked up

SF -125 over Atlanta--Dirty Sanchez over Mike Hampton in the Bay

Oakland +115 at Toronto--Greg Smith with a mini stunner on the road in T-Town

CLEVELAND +110 at Tampa--Carmona at the Trop over Edwin Jackson

TEXAS +150 over NY Yanks--I think Harrison and the homey's get it done over the Bombers and Pettitte in 105 temps in Dallas.  Yanks wilt this week on the road

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Nelly

Washington + over Colorado

The Nats have won four straight games and although the season has not gone well Washington is starting to see some of the production they expected with some of the key pieces finally back in the lineup. Washington has scored 28 runs in the last four games and playing in Colorado should allow the Nationals to continue at a strong pace. The Rockies have lost five of the last eight games and this could be a tough series for the Rockies as it follows a long road trip on the East coast. John Lannan has allowed three or fewer runs in eight of the last ten starts and he has much better numbers than his record indicates with a 3.61 ERA. Jorge De La Rose has allowed six or more runs in three of his last six starts and he owns a 6.94 ERA despite playing as a big favorite tonight. Look for Washington’s offense to stay hot and have a great chance for another win.

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Dwayne Bryant

Washington Nationals at Colorado Rockies
Pick:Colorado Rockies -167

I like the Rockies coming off last night's series-opening loss, 9-4, especially facing a lefty tonight. Colorado is batting .324 and scoring 7.2 runs per game at home vs. lefty starters this season. Washington's win last night snapped a seven-game losing streak for the Nats at Coors Field. Washington owns the worst offense in the league and I can't see them keeping up with Colorado's bats tonight after they plated nine runs last night.

Take Colorado

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Great Lakes Sports

Cleveland at Tampa 
Play : Cleveland Indians

The Cleveland Indians are an amazing 19-3 vs the Tampa Bay Devil Rays the last three years in this series including a perfect 5-0 vs the Tam Pa Bay Devil Rays this year. The Cleveland Indians is also 7-3 at Tampa Bay the last three years, and the Cleveland Indians are a respectable 36-30 when playing on Tuesday's the last three years. We look for the Cleveland Indians to beat the Tampa Bay Devil Rays in this key American League showdown for the road win tonight.

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Scott Ferrall

BASEBALL LOCKS FOR TUESDAY
   
ChiCubs -245 over Astors at Wrigley--Wandy Rodriguez can't beat Harden on the North Side.  You got to lay it to get it

Florida +140 at Philly--Johnson with the upset special in Citizens against Moyer

Twins -125 at Seattle--I still have to take Baker and Minney over RA Dickey in the Emerald City

ChiSox -145 over Detroit--Gavin Floyd is the man and he'll take out Robertson on the South Side

Cincy -110 and Volquez over Milwaukee in the Queen City--Bush isn't beating him on the road

METS -165 and Pelfrey over Chris Young and Padres at Shea

BECKETT -165 and Red Sox at Kansas City over Bannister

St.Louis -110 over LA Dodgers--I'm on Chris Carpenter in his second start since Tommy John surgery.  I don't like Billingsley on the road

Washington +155 over Colorado--Taking a risk here with Lannan on the road in the Rockies den


BASEBALL OVER-UNDERS FOR TUESDAY
   
SEATT-MINNEY OVER 8.5 RUNS

DET-CHISOX UNDER 10.5 RUNS

BOST-KC OVER 8.5 RUNS

NY-TEX OVER 11 RUNS

CLEVE-TB UNDER 8.5 RUNS

OAK-TOR UNDER 8.5 RUNS

SF-ATL UNDER 8.5 RUNS

PITT-ARIZ OVER 8.5 RUNS

WASH-COLO UNDER 10 RUNS

CARDS-DODGERS OVER 8 RUNS

SD-NY METS UNDER 8 RUNS

MILW-CINCY UNDER 9 RUNS

FLA-PHILLY OVER 9.5 RUNS

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Jeff Scott Sports 

3 UNIT PLAY 

Oakland/ Toronto Under 8.5

The Under is 21-5-1 in Athletics last 27 road games with the total set at 7.0-8.5 and 11-2 in Athletics last 13 road games, while the Under is 40-16 in Blue Jays last 56 games as a home favorite of -110 to -150 and 18-7-1 in Blue Jays last 26 vs. American League West. Greg Smith's ERA hasn't been the greatest this year at 4.04 overall and 4.61 on the road, but his games have been low scoring as his overall starts have averaged just 6.9 rpg and his home starts have also averaged 6.9 rpg. Greg has struggled in his last 3 starts, wityh an 8.10 ERA, but those games have still averaged just 7.3 rpg. Greg has faced the Jays twice in his career (both this year) and he has a 1.42 ERA in those starts this year. Here are a couple of Totals Trends for Greg: The Under is 12-0-1 in Smiths last 13 starts with the total set at 7.0-8.5 and 15-1-1 in his last 17 starts overall. Greg will be taking on a Jays squad that hits just .246 and scores only 3.4 rpg vs lefty starters. Toronto comes in scoring just 4.4 rpg at home, with their home games averaging 8.1 rpg and the Jays have averaged just 3.8 rpg in their last 8 games overall. The Oakland offense has really been struggling of late as they have averaged 1.9 rpg in their last 7 games and have not scored more than 3 runs in any of those 7 games. Oakland scores just 4.2 rpg on the road and 3.8 rpg at night, with their night games averaging 7.7 rpg. Scott Richmond is making his second career start and he allowed 3 ER in 5.1 innings of work in his first start, with just 5 total runs being scored in that start. Both teams are struggling to score right now and with Greg Smith being an UNDER machine it should easily be another low scoring affair north of the border.

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JEFFERSONSPORTS

MLB EARLY RELEASE FOR TUESDAY
TAMPA BAY-128
MINNESOTA-126
NEW YORK METS-160
ST. LOUIS-107

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Jim Feist

SD Padres and NYM Mets
Take Under

Light hitting San Diego continues to be an under machine, at 5-2 under the last 7 games. Their offense won't score much in Shea stadium, a huge pitcher-friendly park. Southpaw Chris Young has excellent stuff, fanning 59 in 59 innings, and his last start went under the total (3 total runs), and the team is 7-3 under the total in his starts. Mets starter Mike Pelfrey knows how to throw strikes (44 walks in 126 innings) and has a 2.25 ERA at home. Don't look for many runs, play the Padres/Mets under the total!

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Dave Cokin

MIN Twins and SEA Mariners
Take MIN Twins

The Twins really let one get away Monday night, blowing a 6-0 lead en route to an ugly loss at Seattle. The Mariners have actually won two straight after last night's heroics! But don't look for that to continue here. The Twins will be intent on rebounding quickly and Scott Baker has a commanding edge over R.A. Dickey in the pitching category. I'll spot the number with the Twins.

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PlusLineSports

Detroit vs Chicago White Sox

Chicago White Sox -1.5 +132

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EZWINNERS

2 STAR: (910) ST. LOUIS (-$107) over LA Dodgers
(Listing Carpenter only) (Risking $214 to win $200)

2 STAR: (929) MINNESOTA (-$124) over Seattle
(Listing Baker only) (Risking $248 to win $200)

1 STAR: (901) HOUSTON (+$205) over Chicago
(Listing Rodriguez only) (Risking $100 to win $205)

1 STAR: (917) OAKLAND (+$117) over Toronto
(Listing Smith only) (Risking $100 to win $117)

1 STAR: (913) PITTSBURGH (+$230) over Arizona
(Action) (Risking $100 to win $230)

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LAS VEGAS SPORTS ADVISORS

Boston/Josh Beckett -170
Play of the Day 5*

Philadelphia/Jamie Moyer -155 5*

Minnesota/Scott Baker -130
FREE PICK 5*

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MoneyonU$

Chicago White Sox -140

NY Mets -1.5 +130

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Alex Smart

New York Yankees vs. Texas Rangers
Play:New York Yankees   

The NY Yankees (61-51) enter into this road tilt against the Texas Rangers (59-54) , in search of some consistency as they continue their run for a postseason appearance. Yesterday in game one of this series , the Yanks ended a 10 game winning streak here in Arlington, with a 9-5 loss. NY has now lost 6 of their L/9 overall, after coming out on fire, with a 8 game winning streak after the all star break. Despite of their current inefficiencies, I expect the Zoo Crew will get back on track today as they send one of their most reliable starters , Andy Pettitte ( 12-8, 4.18 ERA) out to hill. I know the Yankees veteran hurler, is off a ugly outing, last time out, allowing 9 runs on a season high 11 hits in a 12-6 loss to the Angels, however, because of that dismal appearance , you can bet the southpaw will be primed and very motivated for a bounce back effort . It must be noted that the Yankee hurler, was 7-2 along with a 2.11 ERA in his nine starts prior to the above mentioned debacle. Meanwhile, the Texas Rangers will return fire with rookie lefty Matt Harrison (2-2, 7.40), who will be going against the Yankees for the first time in his career. Facing the Bronx Bombers, is almost never a good venture, for a young pitcher, especially one that has ,seemed very vulnerable of late. The former Carolina League thrower is on a current run that has seen him go 1-2 while garnering a ugly 9.35 ERA in his last four overall starts. Needless to say he could easily end up as cannon fodder for a hungry Yankee offense in this spot. The Yankees have to turn to things around in a hurry, if they have any hopes of playing in October, and because of this sense of urgency , they become a dangerous opponent for any team right now. Final notes & Key Trends: Yankees are 21-7 L/28 meetings in this series. Yankees are 11-4 in Pettittes last 15 starts as a road favorite. Rangers are 1-5 in their last 6 games vs. a left-handed starter. The Rangers have lost 7 of their L/9 as home underdogs of +125 to +150. Play on the NY Yankees

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Craig Trapp

Houston Astros vs. Chicago Cubs
Play: Chicago Cubs

Yesterday was a rough day. Lost all three plays. Look for a big comeback of winners today. Love the CHI Cubs today. Harden is pitching for the CUBS and think he will shut down the Astros. The right-hander looks for his second straight victory while trying to help the Cubs bounce back from a loss as they continue their home series with the surging Houston Astros on Tuesday afternoon. Harden (1-1, 1.11 ERA) enters this contest after allowing a run and six hits while striking out nine in seven innings of an 11-4 win at Milwaukee on Thursday for his first victory since being traded from Oakland on July 8.

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KARL GARRETT

Let's go with the Reds tonight over the slumping Milwaukee Brewers.

Milwaukee has just 2 wins their last 9 games, and last night's loss saw Prince Fielder mix it up with Manny Parra in the dugout. That can't be good for team chemistry.

It also can't be good when the pitcher you send out there is just 1-6 with an over 7 ERA on the road this year.

Cincy starter Edinson Volquez righted his ship with a solid 6 inning, 1 run win at Houston his last time out, and he is 6-1 at home this year. Volquez has also bested the Brewers in his lone start against them, working 7 strong, while allowing only 1 run to score.

As for Dave Bush, he is 0-2 his last 5 starts against the Reds with 26 runs allowed in just 19 innings of work.

This call is easy.

4♦ CINCINNATI

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