MLB TRENDS AUGUST 4

MLB TRENDS AUGUST 4

Hot Pitchers
-- Reds won six of last seven Arroyo home starts.
-- Dempster is 2-0, 0.82 in his last three starts.
-- Cook is 3-0, 2.89 in his last four starts.
-- Haren is 5-1, 1.71 in his last eight starts.
-- Jurrjens is 4-0, 0.30 (1 run/29.1 IP) in last four road starts. Cain has a 1.86 RA in his last four starts.

-- Halladay has 2.40 RA in his last two starts, but Toronto lost three of his last four starts at Rogers Centre.
-- Lee has 2.30 RA in his last four road starts. Garza is 6-1, 1.43 in his last eight home starts.
-- Chamberlain is 2-0, 1.42 in his last three starts. Rangers won Padilla's last three starts (1-0, 3.60).
-- Meche is 3-0, 1.31 in his last three starts.
-- Angels are 8-2 at home when Saunders starts.
-- Perkins is 6-1, 4.21 in his last eight starts.

Cold Pitchers
-- Parra is 1-2, 5.33 in his last four starts.
-- Moehler has 5.40 RA in his last five starts.
-- Nationals lost Redding's last four road starts (0-2, 4.70).
-- Herrera is 1-1, 9.00 in four starts this season.

-- Smith is 0-3, 8.10 in his last three starts.
-- Red Sox are 1-6 on road when Buchholz starts.
-- Sarfate allowed five runs in four IP in his first '08 start.
-- Batista is 0-3, 7.03 in his last five starts.

Hot Teams
-- Cubs won seven of their last eight games. Astros won six of their last seven games.
-- Nationals won their last three games, but are 2-12 in their last 14 on road. Colorado is 11-2 in its last thirteen home games.
-- Diamondbacks are 9-4 in their last thirteen games.

-- Rays are 39-9 in last 48 home games.
-- Rangers are 8-5 in their last thirteen home games. Bronx won its last two games, scoring 22 runs.
-- Red Sox allowed just five runs in winning last three games. Royals won six of their last seven games.
-- Orioles won five of their last seven games. Angels are 14-4 in their last eighteen games.
-- Minnesota won seven of its last nine games.

Cold Teams
-- Brewers lost six of their last eight games. Reds lost eight of their last nine games.
-- Pirates are 3-6 since the Nady/Marte trade.
-- Braves lost seven of their last nine games. Giants lost seven of last ten home games.

-- Oakland is 2-15 in its last seventeen games. Blue Jays lost five of their last seven games.
-- Indians lost eight of their last twelve games.
-- Mariners lost eleven of their last fifteen games.

Totals
-- Under is 4-1 in Arroyo's last five home starts.
-- Six of last eight Cub games went over the total.
-- Four of last five Cook starts went over the total.
-- Under is 6-2 in last eight Haren home starts.
-- Under is 7-2 in Giants' last nine games.

-- Last nine Smith starts stayed under the total.
-- Over is 5-2-1 in Lee's last eight road starts.
-- Over is 8-1 in last nine Bronx games.
-- Over is 7-2-1 in last ten Buchholz starts.
-- Over is 20-6-1 in Orioles' last 27 road games.
-- Five of last six Perkins starts stayed under the total.

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Re: MLB TRENDS AUGUST 4

Trend Sheet

6:07 PM OAKLAND vs. TORONTO
Oakland is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Oakland's last 6 games
Toronto is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Oakland
The total has gone OVER in 16 of Toronto's last 23 games when playing at home against Oakland


7:10 PM CLEVELAND vs. TAMPA BAY
Cleveland is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Cleveland's last 6 games
Tampa Bay is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games when playing at home against Cleveland
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Tampa Bay's last 6 games when playing at home against Cleveland


7:10 PM MILWAUKEE vs. CINCINNATI
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Milwaukee's last 11 games when playing Cincinnati
Milwaukee is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Cincinnati
Cincinnati is 1-8 SU in its last 9 games
Cincinnati is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games at home


8:05 PM HOUSTON vs. CHI CUBS
Houston is 4-1 SU in their last 5 games when playing Chi Cubs
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Houston's last 7 games when playing Chi Cubs
Chi Cubs are 7-1 SU in their last 8 games
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Chi Cubs's last 8 games


8:05 PM NY YANKEES vs. TEXAS
NY Yankees are 11-5 SU in their last 16 games
The total has gone OVER in 8 of NY Yankees's last 9 games
Texas is 0-5 SU in their last 5 games when playing at home against NY Yankees
Texas is 5-19 SU in their last 24 games when playing NY Yankees


8:10 PM BOSTON vs. KANSAS CITY
Boston is 5-10 SU in its last 15 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Boston's last 5 games on the road
Kansas City is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games when playing at home against Boston
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Kansas City's last 5 games when playing at home against Boston


9:05 PM WASHINGTON vs. COLORADO
Washington is 3-12 SU in its last 15 games when playing Colorado
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Washington's last 6 games when playing Colorado
Colorado is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games at home
Colorado is 12-5 SU in its last 17 games


9:40 PM PITTSBURGH vs. ARIZONA
Pittsburgh is 6-12 SU in its last 18 games when playing Arizona
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Pittsburgh's last 6 games when playing Arizona
Arizona is 12-6 SU in its last 18 games when playing Pittsburgh
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Arizona's last 6 games when playing Pittsburgh


10:05 PM BALTIMORE vs. LA ANGELS
Baltimore is 1-4 SU in their last 5 games when playing LA Angels
Baltimore is 1-5 SU in their last 6 games when playing on the road against LA Angels
LA Angels are 14-4 SU in their last 18 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of LA Angels's last 5 games


10:10 PM MINNESOTA vs. SEATTLE
Minnesota is 7-2 SU in its last 9 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Minnesota's last 6 games
Seattle is 3-7 SU in its last 10 games when playing Minnesota
The total has gone OVER in 9 of Seattle's last 11 games when playing Minnesota


10:15 PM ATLANTA vs. SAN FRANCISCO
The total has gone OVER in 11 of Atlanta's last 16 games when playing San Francisco
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Atlanta's last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 11 of San Francisco's last 16 games when playing Atlanta
San Francisco is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Atlanta

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Re: MLB TRENDS AUGUST 4

MILWAUKEE (62 - 50) at CINCINNATI (51 - 61) - 7:10 PM
MANNY PARRA (L) vs. BRONSON ARROYO (R)
Top Trends for this game.
MILWAUKEE is 89-130 (-35.6 Units) against the money line in road games over the last 3 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 86-124 (-32.7 Units) against the money line in road games in games played on a grass field over the last 3 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 64-98 (-29.1 Units) against the money line in road games against right-handed starters over the last 3 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 108-116 (-28.7 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 34-37 (-13.2 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
CINCINNATI is 51-61 (-13.5 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
CINCINNATI is 24-33 (-19.2 Units) against the money line in home games against division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
CINCINNATI is 50-59 (-12.9 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
CINCINNATI is 25-35 (-13.2 Units) against the money line after a loss this season.
ARROYO is 8-16 (-9.6 Units) against the money line after a loss over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)

Head-to-Head Series History
CINCINNATI is 5-4 (+1.5 Units) against MILWAUKEE this season
6 of 9 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+2.7 Units)

MANNY PARRA vs. CINCINNATI since 1997
PARRA is 0-0 when starting against CINCINNATI with an ERA of 4.27 and a WHIP of 1.106.
His team's record is 0-1 (-1.9 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 0-1. (-1.1 units)

BRONSON ARROYO vs. MILWAUKEE since 1997
ARROYO is 6-3 when starting against MILWAUKEE with an ERA of 3.76 and a WHIP of 1.283.
His team's record is 7-3 (+3.7 units) in these starts. The OVER is 5-5. (-0.8 units)

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HOUSTON (53 - 57) at CHICAGO CUBS (67 - 45) - 7:05 PM
BRIAN MOEHLER (R) vs. RYAN DEMPSTER (R)
Top Trends for this game.
CHICAGO CUBS are 24-7 (+11.9 Units) against the money line in home games when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
CHICAGO CUBS are 67-45 (+11.7 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
CHICAGO CUBS are 41-15 (+16.8 Units) against the money line in home games this season.
CHICAGO CUBS are 65-41 (+13.1 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
CHICAGO CUBS are 16-3 (+12.2 Units) against the money line in home games in night games this season.
CHICAGO CUBS are 30-13 (+9.8 Units) against the money line in home games against right-handed starters this season.
DEMPSTER is 96-89 (+23.2 Units) against the money line in all games since 1997. (Team's Record)
DEMPSTER is 55-32 (+27.3 Units) against the money line in home games since 1997. (Team's Record)
DEMPSTER is 43-33 (+18.6 Units) against the money line against division opponents since 1997. (Team's Record)
DEMPSTER is 83-77 (+18.9 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field since 1997. (Team's Record)
DEMPSTER is 35-23 (+14.5 Units) against the money line in home games in night games since 1997. (Team's Record)
HOUSTON is 32-26 (+11.2 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
HOUSTON is 8-2 (+8.1 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season this season.
CHICAGO CUBS are 444-481 (-118.7 Units) against the money line after a win since 1997.
CHICAGO CUBS are 132-184 (-63.8 Units) against the money line in August games since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
HOUSTON is 5-4 (+2.1 Units) against CHICAGO CUBS this season
7 of 9 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+5.0 Units)

BRIAN MOEHLER vs. CHICAGO CUBS since 1997
MOEHLER is 1-1 when starting against CHICAGO CUBS with an ERA of 3.48 and a WHIP of 1.097.
His team's record is 4-1 (+3.9 units) in these starts. The OVER is 2-3. (-1.3 units)

RYAN DEMPSTER vs. HOUSTON since 1997
DEMPSTER is 4-7 when starting against HOUSTON with an ERA of 5.40 and a WHIP of 1.538.
His team's record is 4-9 (-3.3 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 8-4. (+3.8 units)

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WASHINGTON (41 - 70) at COLORADO (51 - 62) - 9:05 PM
TIM REDDING (R) vs. AARON COOK (R)
Top Trends for this game.
WASHINGTON is 41-70 (-19.8 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
WASHINGTON is 41-67 (-16.8 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
WASHINGTON is 28-51 (-16.5 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
COLORADO is 85-55 (+19.3 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 2 seasons.
COLORADO is 107-97 (+15.3 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons.
COLORADO is 81-65 (+19.2 Units) against the money line after a win over the last 2 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 79-65 (+37.0 Units) against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 over the last 2 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 32-35 (+14.1 Units) against the money line on the road when the total is 9 to 9.5 over the last 2 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 58-60 (+13.3 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
REDDING is 15-8 (+10.1 Units) against the money line in all games this season. (Team's Record)
REDDING is 10-3 (+9.0 Units) against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 this season. (Team's Record)
REDDING is 15-8 (+10.1 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season. (Team's Record)
COLORADO is 50-62 (-14.1 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
COLORADO is 50-62 (-14.1 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
COLORADO is 32-49 (-18.0 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
COOK is 4-13 (-11.4 Units) against the money line in home games after a win over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

TIM REDDING vs. COLORADO since 1997
REDDING is 0-1 when starting against COLORADO with an ERA of 3.06 and a WHIP of 1.302.
His team's record is 2-1 (+1.0 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 3-0. (+3.0 units)

AARON COOK vs. WASHINGTON since 1997
COOK is 1-0 when starting against WASHINGTON with an ERA of 1.80 and a WHIP of 1.000.
His team's record is 2-1 (+1.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-2. (-1.4 units)

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PITTSBURGH (51 - 60) at ARIZONA (57 - 54) - 9:40 PM
YOSLAN HERRERA (R) vs. DAN HAREN (R)
Top Trends for this game.
PITTSBURGH is 74-141 (-35.7 Units) against the money line in road games in games played on a grass field over the last 3 seasons.
PITTSBURGH is 33-79 (-31.5 Units) against the money line in road games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.
PITTSBURGH is 74-141 (-35.7 Units) against the money line in road games over the last 3 seasons.
ARIZONA is 150-130 (+11.0 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
ARIZONA is 150-127 (+14.6 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
ARIZONA is 109-88 (+13.5 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons.
ARIZONA is 80-52 (+18.7 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
HAREN is 22-7 (+11.9 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
PITTSBURGH is 30-29 (+9.2 Units) against the money line after a loss this season.
ARIZONA is 16-23 (-11.8 Units) against the money line when the total is 8 to 8.5 this season.
ARIZONA is 35-39 (-10.7 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
PITTSBURGH is 2-2 (+0.1 Units) against ARIZONA this season
3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+2.0 Units)

YOSLAN HERRERA vs. ARIZONA since 1997
No recent starts.

DAN HAREN vs. PITTSBURGH since 1997
HAREN is 2-0 when starting against PITTSBURGH with an ERA of 2.96 and a WHIP of 1.274.
His team's record is 3-1 (+1.4 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 2-2. (-0.3 units)

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ATLANTA (51 - 60) at SAN FRANCISCO (46 - 64) - 10:15 PM
JAIR JURRJENS (R) vs. MATT CAIN (R)
Top Trends for this game.
ATLANTA is 50-58 (-17.5 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
ATLANTA is 33-42 (-16.0 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
ATLANTA is 63-70 (-19.7 Units) against the money line after a win over the last 2 seasons.
ATLANTA is 9-21 (-13.7 Units) against the money line in road games when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
ATLANTA is 51-60 (-18.4 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
ATLANTA is 18-35 (-19.0 Units) against the money line in road games this season.
SAN FRANCISCO is 122-69 (+52.2 Units) against the money line when playing on Monday since 1997.
SAN FRANCISCO is 646-532 (+89.4 Units) against the money line in night games since 1997.
SAN FRANCISCO is 117-155 (-31.4 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
SAN FRANCISCO is 20-34 (-14.9 Units) against the money line in home games this season.
SAN FRANCISCO is 20-34 (-14.9 Units) against the money line in home games in games played on a grass field this season.
SAN FRANCISCO is 43-54 (-17.4 Units) against the money line in home games against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
SAN FRANCISCO is 28-41 (-18.5 Units) against the money line in home games after a loss over the last 2 seasons.
CAIN is 17-38 (-24.7 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
CAIN is 10-19 (-12.9 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
CAIN is 17-38 (-24.7 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
CAIN is 11-25 (-16.9 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
CAIN is 11-23 (-13.8 Units) against the money line after a loss over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

JAIR JURRJENS vs. SAN FRANCISCO since 1997
No recent starts.

MATT CAIN vs. ATLANTA since 1997
CAIN is 0-1 when starting against ATLANTA with an ERA of 6.97 and a WHIP of 1.936.
His team's record is 0-2 (-2.2 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 1-1. (-0.1 units)

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Re: MLB TRENDS AUGUST 4

OAKLAND (53 - 57) at TORONTO (55 - 56) - 6:07 PM
GREG SMITH (L) vs. ROY HALLADAY (R)
Top Trends for this game.
OAKLAND is 129-143 (-22.3 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
OAKLAND is 88-101 (-19.8 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
TORONTO is 119-89 (+26.0 Units) against the money line after a loss over the last 3 seasons.
HALLADAY is 96-44 (+31.7 Units) against the money line in games played on artificial turf since 1997. (Team's Record)
OAKLAND is 18-15 (+18.3 Units) against the money line as a road underdog of +175 to +200 since 1997.
OAKLAND is 38-21 (+16.8 Units) against the money line in August games over the last 3 seasons.
TORONTO is 33-41 (-14.9 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
TORONTO is 10-18 (-11.8 Units) against the money line against left-handed starters this season.
TORONTO is 60-61 (-15.2 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
TORONTO is 55-56 (-9.3 Units) against the money line in all games this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
OAKLAND is 4-2 (+2.9 Units) against TORONTO this season
3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+0.7 Units)

GREG SMITH vs. TORONTO since 1997
SMITH is 1-0 when starting against TORONTO with an ERA of 1.42 and a WHIP of 1.105.
His team's record is 2-0 (+2.6 units) in these starts. The OVER is 0-1. (-1.0 units)

ROY HALLADAY vs. OAKLAND since 1997
HALLADAY is 5-4 when starting against OAKLAND with an ERA of 4.90 and a WHIP of 1.619.
His team's record is 5-7 (-3.9 units) in these starts. The OVER is 8-3. (+4.7 units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

CLEVELAND (48 - 62) at TAMPA BAY (66 - 44) - 7:10 PM
CLIFF LEE (L) vs. MATT GARZA (R)
Top Trends for this game.
CLEVELAND is 36-41 (-12.7 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
CLEVELAND is 37-45 (-14.7 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
CLEVELAND is 26-35 (-15.3 Units) against the money line after a loss this season.
CLEVELAND is 17-26 (-10.7 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
CLEVELAND is 48-62 (-25.2 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
CLEVELAND is 4-14 (-9.6 Units) against the money line as a road underdog of +100 to +125 this season.
CLEVELAND is 19-36 (-16.9 Units) against the money line in road games this season.
TAMPA BAY is 66-44 (+17.6 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
TAMPA BAY is 43-16 (+22.4 Units) against the money line in home games this season.
TAMPA BAY is 43-17 (+21.1 Units) against the money line in games played in a dome this season.
TAMPA BAY is 41-29 (+10.8 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
TAMPA BAY is 47-19 (+23.8 Units) against the money line in games played on artificial turf this season.
TAMPA BAY is 29-13 (+11.7 Units) against the money line in home games after a win this season.
CLEVELAND is 61-38 (+27.6 Units) against the money line in road games when playing on Monday since 1997.
LEE is 46-31 (+18.5 Units) against the money line in road games since 1997. (Team's Record)
TAMPA BAY is 39-58 (-24.6 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
TAMPA BAY is 22-41 (-20.2 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
GARZA is 1-7 (-7.9 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record this season. (Team's Record)

Head-to-Head Series History
CLEVELAND is 4-0 (+4.6 Units) against TAMPA BAY this season
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=-0.1 Units, Under=-0.3 Units)

CLIFF LEE vs. TAMPA BAY since 1997
LEE is 5-2 when starting against TAMPA BAY with an ERA of 2.29 and a WHIP of 0.945.
His team's record is 5-4 (-2.1 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 5-3. (+1.6 units)

MATT GARZA vs. CLEVELAND since 1997
GARZA is 0-2 when starting against CLEVELAND with an ERA of 5.85 and a WHIP of 1.800.
His team's record is 2-2 (+0.3 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 3-1. (+1.9 units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

NY YANKEES (61 - 50) at TEXAS (58 - 54) - 8:05 PM
JOBA CHAMBERLAIN (R) vs. VICENTE PADILLA (R)
Top Trends for this game.
NY YANKEES are 138-105 (-19.0 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
NY YANKEES are 36-37 (-13.4 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
NY YANKEES are 156-121 (-21.9 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
NY YANKEES are 12-17 (-15.0 Units) against the money line as a road favorite of -150 to -175 over the last 2 seasons.
TEXAS is 31-28 (+9.2 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
TEXAS is 32-27 (+15.6 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
TEXAS is 58-54 (+14.1 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
TEXAS is 76-58 (+18.3 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 2 seasons.
TEXAS is 52-48 (+12.2 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
TEXAS is 43-36 (+14.9 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
TEXAS is 46-32 (+22.6 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
PADILLA is 16-5 (+14.2 Units) against the money line in all games this season. (Team's Record)
PADILLA is 12-5 (+8.9 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season. (Team's Record)
PADILLA is 11-4 (+9.4 Units) against the money line in night games this season. (Team's Record)
PADILLA is 17-8 (+11.8 Units) against the money line after a win over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
NY YANKEES are 40-21 (+11.9 Units) against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
TEXAS is 2-1 (+2.7 Units) against NY YANKEES this season
2 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+1.0 Units)

JOBA CHAMBERLAIN vs. TEXAS since 1997
CHAMBERLAIN is 0-0 when starting against TEXAS with an ERA of 4.50 and a WHIP of 2.250.
His team's record is 0-1 (-2.2 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 1-0. (+1.0 units)

VICENTE PADILLA vs. NY YANKEES since 1997
PADILLA is 1-1 when starting against NY YANKEES with an ERA of 5.22 and a WHIP of 1.644.
His team's record is 1-1 (+0.2 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-1. (-0.2 units)

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BOSTON (64 - 48) at KANSAS CITY (52 - 60) - 8:10 PM
CLAY BUCHHOLZ (R) vs. GIL MECHE (R)
Top Trends for this game.
BOSTON is 23-31 (-10.6 Units) against the money line in road games this season.
BOSTON is 17-28 (-13.9 Units) against the money line in road games against right-handed starters this season.
BUCHHOLZ is 3-9 (-8.4 Units) against the money line in all games this season. (Team's Record)
BUCHHOLZ is 1-8 (-9.4 Units) against the money line in night games this season. (Team's Record)
KANSAS CITY is 50-51 (+7.3 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
KANSAS CITY is 28-23 (+9.1 Units) against the money line after a win this season.
KANSAS CITY is 108-145 (+22.1 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.
MECHE is 22-11 (+15.3 Units) against the money line after a win over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
MECHE is 59-46 (+27.0 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record since 1997. (Team's Record)
BOSTON is 63-36 (+17.5 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
BOSTON is 37-12 (+22.7 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
KANSAS CITY is 22-43 (-20.9 Units) against the money line at home when the total is 9 to 9.5 over the last 2 seasons.
KANSAS CITY is 16-26 (-11.6 Units) against the money line in home games in night games this season.
MECHE is 5-15 (-9.7 Units) against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)

Head-to-Head Series History
BOSTON is 4-0 (+4.0 Units) against KANSAS CITY this season
3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+1.9 Units)

CLAY BUCHHOLZ vs. KANSAS CITY since 1997
No recent starts.

GIL MECHE vs. BOSTON since 1997
MECHE is 4-2 when starting against BOSTON with an ERA of 3.69 and a WHIP of 1.174.
His team's record is 5-3 (+3.7 units) in these starts. The OVER is 2-6. (-4.6 units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

BALTIMORE (53 - 57) at LA ANGELS (69 - 42) - 10:05 PM
DENNIS SARFATE (R) vs. JOE SAUNDERS (L)
Top Trends for this game.
BALTIMORE is 47-77 (-33.7 Units) against the money line against left-handed starters over the last 3 seasons.
BALTIMORE is 85-149 (-41.4 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.
LA ANGELS are 27-14 (+11.0 Units) against the money line after a loss this season.
LA ANGELS are 69-42 (+20.9 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
LA ANGELS are 30-13 (+15.4 Units) against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 this season.
LA ANGELS are 64-37 (+21.1 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
LA ANGELS are 49-33 (+10.3 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
LA ANGELS are 49-35 (+8.3 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
SAUNDERS is 16-5 (+11.2 Units) against the money line in all games this season. (Team's Record)
SAUNDERS is 16-5 (+10.3 Units) against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
SAUNDERS is 15-4 (+11.2 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season. (Team's Record)
SAUNDERS is 28-10 (+17.9 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
SAUNDERS is 16-4 (+12.4 Units) against the money line after a loss over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
BALTIMORE is 53-57 (+3.4 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
BALTIMORE is 48-47 (+6.9 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
BALTIMORE is 43-32 (+17.9 Units) against the money line in night games this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
LA ANGELS is 4-2 (+1.1 Units) against BALTIMORE this season
3 of 6 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=-0.1 Units, Under=-0.3 Units)

DENNIS SARFATE vs. LA ANGELS since 1997
No recent starts.

JOE SAUNDERS vs. BALTIMORE since 1997
SAUNDERS is 4-0 when starting against BALTIMORE with an ERA of 5.16 and a WHIP of 1.676.
His team's record is 4-0 (+4.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 4-0. (+4.0 units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

MINNESOTA (62 - 49) at SEATTLE (42 - 69) - 10:10 PM
GLEN PERKINS (L) vs. MIGUEL BATISTA (R)
Top Trends for this game.
BATISTA is 64-48 (+19.9 Units) against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 since 1997. (Team's Record)
BATISTA is 44-19 (+24.8 Units) against the money line at home when the total is 9 to 9.5 since 1997. (Team's Record)
MINNESOTA is 62-49 (+17.5 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
MINNESOTA is 34-30 (+6.6 Units) against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 this season.
MINNESOTA is 45-31 (+17.9 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
MINNESOTA is 43-34 (+12.4 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
MINNESOTA is 36-25 (+12.2 Units) against the money line after a win this season.
MINNESOTA is 31-24 (+8.7 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
SEATTLE is 37-65 (-30.8 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
SEATTLE is 28-48 (-21.8 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
SEATTLE is 11-22 (-11.5 Units) against the money line against left-handed starters this season.
SEATTLE is 14-27 (-14.4 Units) against the money line after a win this season.
SEATTLE is 42-69 (-28.5 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
SEATTLE is 12-29 (-15.7 Units) against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 this season.
SEATTLE is 21-34 (-19.2 Units) against the money line in home games this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

GLEN PERKINS vs. SEATTLE since 1997
No recent starts.

MIGUEL BATISTA vs. MINNESOTA since 1997
BATISTA is 2-1 when starting against MINNESOTA with an ERA of 5.14 and a WHIP of 1.571.
His team's record is 2-2 (+0.1 units) in these starts. The OVER is 3-1. (+2.0 units)

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Re: MLB TRENDS AUGUST 4

Tips and Trends

Houston Astros at Chicago Cubs [ESPN | 7:05 PM ET]

Astros: Brian Moehler has enjoyed some success against the Cubs during his career, going 1-1 with a 3.60 ERA in eight appearances. Moehler earned the win in his last start vs. Chicago on July 18, giving up just one run and four hits in seven innings with one walk and three strikeouts. The Astros are 5-2 in his last seven starts overall, and he is 2-2 away from home this season with a 4.63 ERA.

Astros are 2-8 in the last 10 meetings at Chicago.
The UNDER is 13-3-1 in Moehler's last 17 starts on grass.

Key Injuries - OF Michael Bourn (.235; ankle) is day-to-day.

PROJECTED SCORE: 4

Cubs (-210): After seeing his team win his first 11 home starts to open the season, Ryan Dempster has not had the same luck in his last two outings at Wrigley Field. Dempster has received just two runs of support in each of his last two outings at Wrigley, both resulting in losses. That doesn't mean he hasn't pitched well lately though. Dempster has allowed just two runs combined over his last three starts totaling 21 innings, including eight shutout innings at Houston in a win on July 20th.

Cubs are 8-1 in their last 9 games on grass.
The UNDER is 6-1 in the last 7 meetings.

Key Injuries - Closer Kerry Wood (24 saves; finger) is on the 15-day DL.

PROJECTED SCORE: 5



Cleveland Indians at Tampa Bay Rays [7:10 PM ET]

Indians: Cliff Lee will try to bounce back from his roughest outing of the season and beat the Rays for the second time in five starts. Lee got pounded for six runs and 10 hits in just five innings of an eventual 14-12 loss to Detroit. He served up two homers for only the second time this season but was able to escape with a no-decision. Lee pitched six shutout innings in his last start vs. Tampa Bay on July 11th, and he is 5-2 lifetime against the Rays with a 2.30 ERA. He is also 8-2 on the road with a 2.69 ERA.

Indians are 1-7 in their last 8 games on field turf.
Indians are 9-26 in their last 35 games as an underdog.

Key Injuries - NONE

PROJECTED SCORE: 2 (UNDER - Total Play of the Day)

Rays (-130, O/U 7.5): Matt Garza has struggled against the Indians during his career, going 0-2 with a 5.85 ERA in four starts. Garza surrendered seven runs and 11 hits in five innings at Cleveland on July 12, but he is 2-1 in three starts since then with both wins coming against Toronto. He is coming off a complete-game shutout against the Blue Jays on Tuesday, allowing five hits with one walk and five strikeouts. Garza has been outstanding at home this season, as he is 6-1 there with a 2.10 ERA.

Rays are 40-11 in their last 51 home games.
The UNDER is 9-2 in Tampa Bay's last 11 games overall.

Key Injuries - OF Rocco Baldelli (mitochondrial disorder) is questionable.

PROJECTED SCORE: 4



New York Yankees at Texas Rangers [YES | 8:10 PM ET]

Yankees (-165, O/U 9.5): Joba Chamberlain has been outstanding on the road this season, but that hasn't necessarily translated to wins. Chamberlain owns a 1.42 ERA away from home, but the Yankees have scored just one run combined over his last two road starts resulting in a 1-1 record. New York has still managed to go 8-2 in his starts this season, although one of the losses came against the Rangers at home back on July 1.

Yankees are 8-2 in Chamberlain's 10 starts this season.
The OVER is 8-1 in New York's last 9 games overall.

Key Injuries - C Jorge Posada (.268; shoulder) is OUT for the season.

PROJECTED SCORE: 4

Rangers: Vicente Padilla has not enjoyed as much success at home, going 3-3 with a 3.98 ERA in eight starts. Texas is 13-3 in Padilla's last 16 starts overall but just 2-2 in his last four at home. He walked away with a no-decision last time out there against Seattle, giving up three runs and 10 hits in seven innings of an eventual 4-3 victory. He is 1-1 in two career starts against the Yankees with a 4.52 ERA.

Rangers are 6-21 in the last 27 meetings at Texas.
The OVER is 9-2-1 in Texas' last 12 games overall.

Key Injuries - OF Milton Bradley (.320; quad) is day-to-day.

PROJECTED SCORE: 5 (Side Play of the Day)

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Re: MLB TRENDS AUGUST 4

Ron Raymond's 80% Club Stats

Today’s Stats and Trends

Milwaukee vs. Cincinnati: When MILWAUKEE team played as a Road team - Total is between 9.5 to 10.0 - Before a conference game - Coming off a lost in game 3 of a series - Coming off vs. Right handed pitcher; The UNDER is 9-2-0 for the Brewers in this role.

Houston vs. Chicago Cubs: When CHICAGO CUBS team Played as Home team as a Favorite - Vs. Right handed pitchers - During a night game - Coming off 1 over - Coming off a series win; The OVER is 8-2-0 for the Cubs in this spot.

Washington vs. Colorado: When WASHINGTON team Played as Road team as a Underdog - Vs NL Conference - Before a non division game - Coming off 1 under - Coming off a Win vs. NL CENTRAL opponent; The OVER is 10-2-1 for the Nationals in this situation.

Pittsburgh vs. Arizona: When ARIZONA team Played as Home team as a Favorite - Last 5 years - During a night game - Coming off a Loss vs. NL WEST opponent - Coming off 1 over; The Diamondbacks are 10-2 SU in this role the L5Y.

Atlanta vs. San Francisco: When ATLANTA team played as a Road team - During a night game - Vs. Right handed pitchers - Coming off a Home win - Coming off a series loss; The UNDER is 9-2-0 for the Braves in this role.

Oakland vs. Toronto: When OAKLAND team played as a Road team - Coming off vs. American League opponent - During a night game - Coming off a Loss vs. AL EAST opponent - Coming off a 3 run lost; The A’s are 8-2 SU in this position since ’97.

Cleveland vs. Tampa Bay: When TAMPA BAY team Played as home team as a Favorite - After a non division game - Total is between 7.5 to 8.0; The Rays are 8-2 SU in this spot.

New York Yankees vs. Texas: When NY YANKEES team played as a Road team - During the month of August - Before a conference game - Coming off a day game - Coming off a Home win as a Favorite; The Yankees are 7-3 SU in this situation since ’97.

Boston vs. Kansas City: When BOSTON team played as a Road team - Before a conference game - Coming off vs. American League opponent - Coming off a Win vs. AL WEST opponent - Coming off a Home win as a Favorite; The Red Sox are 9-3 SU in this role.

Baltimore vs. Los Angeles Angels: When BALTIMORE team Played as road team as a Underdog - Vs. Left handed pitchers - Before a non conference game; The OVER is 9-2-0 for the Orioles in this spot since ’05.

Minnesota vs. Seattle: When MINNESOTA team played as a Road team - After a conference game - Last 5 years - Coming off a Win vs. AL CENTRAL opponent - Coming off a Home win as a Favorite; The UNDER is 8-2-1 for the Twins in this situation L5Y.

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Re: MLB TRENDS AUGUST 4

National League

Milwaukee at Cincinnati, 7:10 ET
Manny Parra (L) vs. Bronson Arroyo (R)
Parra: MIL 11-2 in the second half
Arroyo: CIN 2-12 revenging a one run loss

Houston at Chicago Cubs, 7:05 ET
Brian Moehler (R) vs. Ryan Dempster (R)
Moehler: 4-1 TSR against Chicago Cubs
Dempster: CHC 27-9 UNDER against Houston

Washington at Colorado, 9:05 ET
Tim Redding (R) vs. Aaron Cook (R)
Redding: 10-3 TSR when the total is 9 to 9.5
Cook: 4-13 TSR AWAY after a team win

Pittsburgh at Arizona, 9:40 ET
Yoslan Herrera (R) vs. Dan Haren (R)
Herrera: PIT 55-109 AWAY when the total is 8.5 to 10
Haren: ARI 22-9 against NL Central

Atlanta at San Francisco, 10:15 ET
Jair Jurrjens (R) vs. Matt Cain (R)
Jurrjens: 9-2 TSR as an underdog of +100 to +150
Cain: 4-12 TSR when the money line is +125 to -125

American League

Oakland at Toronto, 6:05 ET
Greg Smith (L) vs. Roy Halladay (R)
Smith: OAK 9-24 after scoring 3 runs or less 3 straight games
Halladay: 96-44 TSR on artificial turf

Cleveland at Tampa Bay, 7:10 ET
Cliff Lee (L) vs. Matt Garza (R)
Lee: CLE 6-21 as a road underdog of +100 to +150
Garza: TB 28-8 at home when the total is 7 to 8.5

NY Yankees at Texas, 8:05 ET
Joba Chamberlain (R) vs. Vicente Padilla (R)
Chamberlain: NYY 12-17 as a road favorite of -150 to -175
Padilla: 16-5 TSR this season

Boston at Kansas City, 8:10 ET
Clay Buchholz (R) vs. Gil Meche (R)
Buchholz: BOS 141-71 as a favorite of -110 or higher
Meche: 5-15 TSR when the total is 9 to 9.5

Baltimore at LA Angels, 10:05 ET
Dennis Sarfate (R) vs. Joe Saunders (L)
Sarfate: BAL 47-77 against left-handed starters
Saunders: 16-4 TSR after a team loss

Minnesota at Seattle, 10:10 ET
Glen Perkins (L) vs. Miguel Batista (R)
Perkins: MIN 25-10 when the money line is -100 to -150
Batista: SEA 12-29 when the total is 9 to 9.5

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