SATURDAY SERVICE PLAYS

SATURDAY SERVICE PLAYS

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1 Unit on Minnesota Twins -162

This is a play against Byrd.  The Indians are 2-10 in Byrd's last 12 road starts, 3-15 in Byrd's last 18 starts as a road underdog of +110 to +150, and 0-6 in Byrd's last 6 starts during game 2 of a series.  The Indians are just 10-28 in their last 38 road games and 6-20 in their last 26 road games vs. a team with a winning record.  The Twins are 7-1 in Slowey's last 8 starts.  Bet the Twins at home Saturday.

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Jeff Alexander Sports

1 Unit on Washington Nationals -118

This is a good spot to take the Nats against a struggling Reds club.  Washington is an impressive 28-13 against the money line in home games when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons and 32-19 against the money line in home games vs. NL teams allowing 4.8 or more runs/game in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons.  Cincy is a pathetic 18-43 against the money line vs. terrible power teams - averaging 0.75 or less HR's/game over the last 2 seasons and 6-16 against the money line vs. an NL starting pitcher whose ERA is 3.50 to 4.20 this season.  Bergmann has been much better than his numbers might indicate and I like him here against a weakened Reds order.

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Locksmith Sports

1 Unit on St. Louis Cardinals -106

The Phillies have really struggled on Saturday's winning just 3 of their last 13 Saturday games.  The Cardinals are an impressive 25-11 in their last 36 during game 2 of a series, 19-7 in their last 26 Saturday games, and 10-2 in their last 12 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.  Looper is coming off of a quality start and the Cardinals are 12-5 in Looper's last 17 starts as a favorite.  Take the Red Birds at home.

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Marc Lawrence

Philadelphia Phillies at St Louis Cardinals
Prediction: St Louis Cardinals

Cardinals and Phillies resume their critical weekend series in St. Louis this evening when Joe Blanton faces Braden Looper at Busch Stadium. Blanton enters the game in rocky form while owning a 5.28 ERA in his road starts this season. On the flip side, Looper is in solid KW form with 2 walks and 10 strikeouts in his last three starts. With the Red Birds 16-4 on Saturdays and the Phils 3-10 on Saturdays, we recommend you stay at home with Looper and the Cardinals here tonight.

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Scott Ferrall

CUBS -200 and Lilly over the Bucs--The Pirates aren't beating them twice in a row

MILWAUKEE -180 in Atlanta--Sabathia stops the bleeding

New York -140 in Houston--Mets Santan looked great-going the distance in his last outing  He'll beat Oswalt

Marlins -145 over Colorado--I like Nolasco--they win when he pitches, especially in S.Fla

Cincy +105 in Washington--Fogg over Bergmann in DC

PHILLY +110 over St.Louis--Blanton over Looper at Busch, but it won't be easy.  This one goes to the bullpens

SEATTLE -125 over Baltimore--King Felix shows up about once a month, so this is the start he wins

Texas +105 over Toronto--Feldman with the upset special over AJ Burnett

Chicago -150 at Kansas City--Buerhle tops Davies in KC

MILW-ATL UNDER 8.5 RUNS

METS-ASTROS UNDER 8 RUNS

COLO-FLA OVER 9.5 RUNS

CINCY-WASH OVER 9 RUNS

PHILS-CARDS UNDER 9.5 RUNS

SF-SD OVER 7 RUNS

ARIZ-LA OVER 8 RUNS

ANGELS-YANKS OVER 9.5 RUNS

DET-TB UNDER 10 RUNS

OAK-BOS UNDER 9 RUNS

CLEVE-MINN OVER 9 RUNS

CHI-KC UNDER 9.5 RUNS

TOR-TEX UNDER 10 RUNS

BALT-SEATT OVER 7.5 RUNS


Comp Plays

Minney -155 over Cleveland--Slowey and the smokin hot Twins are the take

OAKLAND +190 over Boston--no one in the world think Eveland can beat Lester at Fenway, but I say the Sox are about to implode.  The pay out is huge

Detroit +110 at Tampa--Kenny Rogers looks good for once and beats Sonnanstine at the Trop

Angels +115 over Yanks--Mussina got lit up like a bong his last outing and the LA lineup will spit him out.  Weaver wins

KURODA -140 and Dodgers over Diamondbacks--this series is going back and forth and Manny gets involved on Saturday with the stick and his new #28

San Fran +180 at San Diego--Hoping for some love here with crappy Barry Zito showing up for once in the last three years.  Peavy is too easy to jump on.  I'm praying for errors and bullpen disasters

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Jimmy The Moose

Los Angeles Angels at New York Yankees
Prediction: Los Angeles Angels

The Angels won again on Friday night and have won won 9 of their last 10 games. LA is 37-16 in their last 53 games. In their last 23 games vs. AL East opponents the Angels are 18-5. The Angels are 38-18 in their last 56 road games. LA is 9-4 in Weaver's last 13 starts. The Angels have won 5 of his last 7 starts vs. a team with a winning record. The Yankees have lost 5 of their last 6 games. Mussina is on the mound today and he didn't look good in his last start and faces a team he's struggles against. The Yankees have lost 3 of his last 4 starts vs. LA. and they have dropped his alst 4 home starts vs. them. The Angels are 8-3 in the last 11 meetings between the clubs. Play on the red hot Angels +.

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Jimmy Boyd

Philadelphia Phillies vs. St Louis Cardinals     
Play: St Louis Cardinals   

The Phillies have really struggled on Saturday's winning just 3 of their last 13 Saturday games. The Cardinals are an impressive 25-11 in their last 36 during game 2 of a series, 19-7 in their last 26 Saturday games, and 10-2 in their last 12 home games vs. a team with a winning road record. Looper is coming off of a quality start and the Cardinals are 12-5 in Looper's last 17 starts as a favorite. Take the Red Birds at home.

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Jim Feist

TAMPA BAY DEVIL RAYS

The oldest player in the AL starts today for the Tigers in the person of Kenny Rogers. Rogers has been a fair pitcher this year with a 8-7 mark and 4.69 era. He hasn't pitched very well at Tropicana field though, where he is 1-4 lifetime with a 5.04 era. Andy Sonnastine starts for the Rays. Sonnastine is 10-6 on the year with a 4.65 era. He's been very consistent going both 5-3 at home and on the road. The Tigers dealt All-Star catcher "pudge" Rodriguez to the Yankees for a pitcher and that will not only hurt the defense, but the offense too which was second in the league in runs scored (5.09 per game). We'll stick with the first place Rays here on Saturday.

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Dave Cokin

WASHINGTON NATIONALS

Sean Bergmann has one of the uglier records in baseball this season. But the fact is the Nationals righty hasn't really been all that bad. His peripherals are pretty good, and his sorry W/L record is more bad luck than anything else. I think Bergmann is in good shape to garner a win here as he faces a sorry Reds squad that's showing very little life right now. Add in the fact the Nats seemed really energized last night following the release of a couple of old vets who could not have been happy in Washington and you've got a team that now has a little fire. I'm on the Nationals to make it two straight over the Reds.

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Tony Matthews

TORONTO BLUE JAYS -125

We will side with the Toronto Blue Jays as they face-off against the Texas Rangers in Saturday's MLB contest. The Toronto Blue Jays will use starting pitcher A.J. Burnett. A.J. Burnett has been pitching very well as of late. In fact, A.J. Burnett has a 1.42 ERA in his last 3 starts. We see A.J. Burnett pitching another great game today. The Texas Rangers will use starting pitcher Scott Feldman. Scott Feldman has been struggling as of late. In fact, Scott Feldman has a 8.04 ERA in his last 3 starts. We see Scott Feldman pitching another bad game today. The Toronto Blue Jays are 7-2 in their last 9 meetings against the Texas Rangers, and should be able to get another win today! Take the Toronto Blue Jays!

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Jeff Alexander

WASHINGTON NATIONALS -118

This is a good spot to take the Nats against a struggling Reds club. Washington is an impressive 28-13 against the money line in home games when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons and 32-19 against the money line in home games vs. NL teams allowing 4.8 or more runs/game in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons. Cincy is a pathetic 18-43 against the money line vs. terrible power teams - averaging 0.75 or less HR's/game over the last 2 seasons and 6-16 against the money line vs. an NL starting pitcher whose ERA is 3.50 to 4.20 this season. Bergmann has been much better than his numbers might indicate and I like him here against a weakened Reds order.

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Dave Price

MINNESOTA TWINS -162

This is a play against Byrd. The Indians are 2-10 in Byrd's last 12 road starts, 3-15 in Byrd's last 18 starts as a road underdog of +110 to +150, and 0-6 in Byrd's last 6 starts during game 2 of a series. The Indians are just 10-28 in their last 38 road games and 6-20 in their last 26 road games vs. a team with a winning record. The Twins are 7-1 in Slowey's last 8 starts. Bet the Twins at home Saturday.

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Bob Harvey

MILWAUKEE BREWERS -1½

Milwaukee ended a five-game losing streak last night and they've got the right man on the mound as they look for a second straight win over Atlanta. Sabathia has been nearly untouchable in his two road starts for the Brew Crew, allowing one run and seven hits with 17 strikeouts in 18 innings in winning both games. Charlie Morton who has struggled mightily since being called up from the minors will oppose Sabathia. Morton was tagged for a career-high eight runs and seven hits in 3 2-3 innings of a 12-3 loss to St. Louis. The right-hander is 1-3 with a 9.53 ERA in his last five starts. Atlanta managed five hits in Friday's opener as it was shut out for the second time in 10 games and the 11th time on the season. The Braves, who are without Chipper Jones and Tim Hudson, have lost six of seven. This is definitely the right place and right time to make a nice run line profit on the Brewers.

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John Fina

ARIZONA DIAMONDBACKS +110

Today the Arizona Diamondbacks will be on the road as they take on the Los Angeles Dodgers. We will side with the Arizona Diamondbacks! One reason why we will side with the Arizona Diamondbacks is because they will be sending to the mound the much better starting pitcher. This says it all... The Arizona Diamondbacks Starting Pitcher (Yusmeiro Petit) has a 1.64 ERA in his last 3 starts, while Los Angeles Dodgers Starting Pitcher (Hiroki Kuroda) has a 13.11 ERA in his last 3 starts. As you can see, the Arizona Diamondbacks will be sending to the mound the much better starting pitcher. To say the least, the Arizona Diamondbacks should be able to get another win tonight! Take the Arizona Diamondbacks!

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Bobby Maxwell

4♦ HOUSTON ASTROS +120

We're taking the plus-money with the home team Astros in this one as they have Roy Oswalt (8-8, 4.67 ERA) going tonight against the Mets' Johan Santana (9-7, 2.93 ERA). The Astros scored the win over New York on Friday and they'll do it again tonight. The Mets have lost three of four on their current road trip while the Astros have quietly won four of their last five games, including three of four on this homestand. Oswalt is 2-0 in his last three starts with a 3.75 ERA and the Astros have won three of his last four over the Mets. On Monday he gave up four runs in five innings of a 5-4 win over the Reds. Santana was touched up in his last road outing, giving up five runs in four innings but his offense bailed him out with a 10-8 win in Cincinnati. The Mets have lost seven of his last 10 starts and he comes into this one having never faced the Astros. The Mets are 1-5 in their last six on the road against right-handed starters and just 2-10 in their last 12 as a road favorite. Meanwhile the Astros are 49-18 in Oswalt's last 67 home starts and 32-15 when he faces a team with a winning record. We're playing Houston in this one.

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Matt Rivers

SAN FRANCISCO GIANTS

Obviously the dominant Cy Young Barry Zito is not walking through that door as the lefty is a complete joke when compared with the great Jake Peavy but this San Diego team cannot be laying a price like this to anybody. Besides Adrian Gonzalez the Friars are a complete inept group offensively. This team has been dreadful and miserable all season long and despite probably being due for some wins in the near future and espcially against an awful San Fran. team I can't help but take back such a price against this San Diego offense. There is not much good that I can say at all about Bruce Bochy's new team. The Giants are a bunch of old slow veterans and fairly mediocre at the very best young guys. But they still have enough to muster a run or two whereas this San Diego team can get shut down by anybody at anytime at the drop of a hat. Zito certainly frightens me as the record alone attests to but this number is just too much in a ballpark where runs are at a premium and one swing of the bat can determine a win or a loss. Peavy may shove it straight up my butt here but it's still too high of a price to pass up a small play on.

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Scott Delaney

3♦ MINNESOTA TWINS

These two faced one another last week in Cleveland, and neither recorded a decision. Tonight there will be no question which pitcher will prevail, as we side with the team that has won five of six and that is making a run at the AL Central-leading White Sox after winning its series with them the past several days. In come the struggling Indians, and since Jeremy Sowers has done nothing impressive on the road this season – he’s 1-4 with a 7.28 ERA – I suspect this will be a rough one for him in side the Homer Domer. I like our chances with Nick Blackburn, who pitched well enough to win against the Tribe five days ago, allowing one run and four hits in seven innings. The right-hander is 2-0 in three starts against Cleveland this season, as he’s allowed three earned runs in 20-1/3 innings. We take the home team in this one, as Minnesota is the clear choice in this AL Central showdown

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Jeff Benton

4♦ ARIZONA DIAMONDBACKS

This is strictly a play against L.A. starter Hiroki Kuroda, who is in the midst of a miserable slump. How miserable? He’s 0-2 with a 13.11 ERA in his last three starts, giving up 18 runs (17 earned) in 11 2/3 innings. That includes a disastrous outing at Arizona on July 18, when Kuroda lasted just two innings after giving up six runs and eight hits. Now, the Dodgers did bail him out in that contest, rallying for an 8-7 win in extra innings. However, the fact remains that Kuroda has now faced Arizona twice in his career and given up 10 runs and 17 hits in just 7 2/3 innings. As for the DBacks, they’re going with spot-starter Yusmeiro Petit, a right-hander who has made two starts this season, and he was terrific in both against two powerful offenses. He gave up one run on two hits in six innings against the Brewers and also held the Cubs to a run on three hits in five innings. Throw in the fact that Arizona has now won four in a row and seven of eight – all on the road – as well as 10 of its last 14 against the Dodgers, and I’ll take the plus price and continue to fade Kuroda.

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Jake Timlin

CINCINNTI REDS

Despite losing to the hapless Nationals last night I say lets take a shot on the Red plus the money. After all given the fact that Washington has just one win over their last ten ballgames as they continue to be the worst team in all of baseball there is just no reason to back the Nationals ever. Especially at home where the Nationals have lost 19 of their last 27 and now turn to Bergman who is just 1-8 on the year with Washington just 2-13 in his 15 starts. Flat out even though the Reds are not much better they are still good enough to steal one tonight and should not be an underdog to Washington. Take the Reds plus the money.

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Tony Weston

3♦ HOUSTON ASTROS

The Astros got over on the Mets last night to improve to 5-2 their last seven games and 4-1 their last five. The Mets, on the other hand, are now 2-4 their last six games and are 1-3 on this recent road trip. But the most important key to tonight’s game is New York starting pitcher Johan Santana. While Santana has been pretty strong this season with a 9-7 record and a 2.93 ERA, he has struggled a little on the road. He’s only 4-4 with a 3.47 ERA in 11 road starts and the Mets are only 6-5 in those starts. But over Santana’s last five road starts the Mets are only 1-4. Also, the Mets are 3-7 in Santana’s last 10 overall starts. Santana will get roughed up again and the Astros will get over on the Mets. Take Houston at home tonight.

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