Monday Service Plays

Re: Monday Service Plays

Ben Burns

Los Angeles Angels @ Boston Red Sox
PICK: Boston Red Sox

After getting swept at LA less than two weeks ago, the Red Sox have payback on their minds this evening. As expected, they got back on track with a big win over the Yankees last night. They should be able to carry the momentum into tonight's game, particularly as they send red hot Dice-K, who has an awesome 0.87 ERA his last three starts, to the mound. The Red Sox are 8-1 when Matsuzaka has started at home this season and he's posted a 3.02 ERA in those games. Dating back to last year, they're 11-1 his last 12 home starts. On the other hand, the Angels are 4-6 when Weaver has started on the road and he has a 4.50 ERA during that stretch. Dating back to last season, the Angels are just 6-11 when Weaver has started on the road.

Matsuzaka has faced the Angels only once. That came last season (Game 2 of the ALDS) and Boston won by a score of 6-3. Conversely, the Red Sox already pounded Weaver earlier this season (10 hits, 2 HRs and five runs in five innings!) and are 5-1 all-time against him. Weaver was 0-3 with a 5.18 ERA in those games. The Red Sox, now 37-13 at Fenway, have the best home record in the American League and they've got fewer home losses than any team in baseball. Even before last night's offensive explosion, they were hitting .295 at home while averaging 5.7 runs per game here. That compares very favorably to the Angels .249 average and 4.4 runs per game scored on the road. Lastly, note that with yesterday's victory, the Red Sox are now 16-2 on the season when listed as home favorites in the -150 to -175 range. Consider a play on BOSTON

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Re: Monday Service Plays

SPORTS ADVISORS

NATIONAL LEAGUE

Chicago Cubs (61-44) at Milwaukee (60-45)

CC Sabathia (4-0, 1.36 ERA) goes for his fifth straight win as a Brewer when he leads Milwaukee against the Cubs as the top two teams in the N.L. Central begin a key four-game series at Miller Park. Chicago will counter with lefty Ted Lilly (10-6, 4.49).

The Brewers lost two of three at home to the lowly Astros over the weekend, but they’re still 9-2 in their last 11 games, and they trail Chicago by a game in the Central Division standings. Also, Milwaukee is on positive streaks of 12-5 as a home favorite, 19-8 against the N.L. Central and 14-4 versus lefty starters.

Chicago salvaged a four-game weekend split with the Marlins with Sunday’s 9-6 home victory, but Lou Piniella’s club is just 4-7 in its last 11 contests overall, 6-13 in its last 19 on the highway and 1-9 in its last 10 as an underdog.

The Brewers lead the season series 4-2, with all six games played at Wrigley Field.

Sabathia has started his Milwaukee career with four straight quality starts, giving up two earned runs or fewer in each outing, including a complete-game, three-hit, 3-0 victory in St. Louis on Wednesday. Sabathia is 2-0 with a 2.40 ERA in two starts at Miller Park.

Lilly has given up a total of four earned runs in his last two starts covering 13 innings, with Chicago losing 2-1 at Houston and winning 10-6 at Arizona. The veteran hurler is 5-3 with a 3.84 ERA in eight road starts, but 1-2 with a 5.64 ERA in four career starts against Milwaukee, including an 8-2 home loss on April 2.

The over is 4-0 in Lilly’s four career starts against the Brewers, 5-1 in his last six starts overall, 4-1 in his last five on the road and 8-2 in his last 10 against the N.L. Central. Also, the over is 7-1 in Milwaukee’s last eight at home and 7-1-2 in the last 10 series clashes at Miller Park.

ATS ADVANTAGE: MILWAUKEE and OVER


AMERICAN LEAGUE

L.A. Angels (64-40) at Boston (61-45)

Daisuke Matsuzaka (11-1, 2.63) looks to continue his incredible midseason run when he leads the Red Sox against the Angels, who are set to hand the ball to Jered Weaver (8-8, 4.08) in the opener of a three-game series at Fenway Park.

The Red Sox routed the Yankees 9-2 on Sunday night to avoid getting swept by their archrivals. Boston is still just 4-5 since the All-Star break, but Terry Francona’s squad is still riding streaks of 41-13 at home, 57-24 as a favorite and 19-5 when Matsuzaka pitches at Fenway Park.

Los Angeles had a four-game winning streak halted in Sunday’s 5-2 loss at Baltimore. Still, the Halos are on runs of 9-2 overall, 4-1 on the road, 10-3 as an underdog and 6-1 against the A.L. East.

The Angels swept a three-game set from the Red Sox in Anaheim a week ago, and they’ve won five straight meetings. Still, Los Angeles is just 8-21 in its last 29 games at Fenway Park.

Matsuzaka is 3-0 with a 0.88 ERA in his last five starts, giving up three earned runs in 30 2/3 innings. Boston is 14-3 in his 17 starts this year, including 8-1 at home.

Like Matsuzaka, Weaver is on his own hot streak, giving up two earned runs or fewer in five straight starts, posting a 1.95 ERA during this stretch. However, the Angels have alternated wins and losses in the right-hander’s last seven outings, winning 3-2 at Cleveland on Tuesday. Weaver is also 0-2 with a 5.46 ERA in five career regular-season starts against the BoSox. In fact, including one playoff start, the Angels are 1-5 when Weaver pitches against the Red Sox (0-3 in Boston).

For the Angels, the under is on streaks of 26-12-2 on the road, 12-4-1 as an underdog and 4-1 when Weaver toils on the road. The under is also 23-9-3 in Boston’s last 35 games on Mondays and 4-1 in Matsuzaka’s last five starts overall.

ATS ADVANTAGE:BOSTON and UNDER


Chicago White Sox (59-44) at Minnesota (57-47)

The top two teams in the A.L. Central duke it out in the opener of a four-game series inside the Metrodome, where the Twins’ Kevin Slowey (6-7, 4.41) is scheduled to oppose Chicago’s Mark Buehrle (8-8, 3.56).

The White Sox had a four-game winning streak halted in Sunday’s 6-4 loss at Detroit, dropping to 7-14 in their last 21 road games. They’re also 1-9 in their last 10 contests on artificial turf, but 8-2 in Buehrle’s last 10 starts against the Twins.

Minnesota has followed up a five-game slide with back-to-back wins at Cleveland on Saturday (11-4) and Sunday (4-2). Now the Twins return home, where they have won 18 of their last 23 games.

Chicago, which leads the Twins by 2½ games in the Central race, has won five straight against Minnesota, but all at home. In fact, the host is 9-2 in the 11 meetings this season, only two of which have been played in the Metrodome.

The Twins had won six straight games behind Slowey prior to Tuesday’s 8-2 loss at the Yankees. Since a four-start stretch in which he surrendered just three runs in 29 innings (0.93 ERA), Slowey has gotten tagged for 14 runs on 19 hits in his last three outings covering 15 innings (8.40 ERA).

Slowey is 1-2 with a 6.62 ERA in four career appearances (three starts) against Chicago. Both losses came exactly a month apart in Chicago earlier this season, a 12-2 defeat and a 6-2 setback, with Slowey allowing 11 runs (all earned) in eight innings.

Buehrle is 6-2 in his last nine starts, and he’s allowed three earned runs or fewer in 11 of his past 13 trips to the hill, including yielding one earned run or fewer eight times. The southpaw beat the Rangers 10-2 at home on Tuesday, giving up just a solo home run in 7 1/3 innings. He’s posted a 1.66 ERA over his last three starts.

Buehrle is 21-11 with a 3.78 ERA in 35 career games (33 starts) against Minnesota. Two of those starts came this year in Chicago, with Buehrle giving up seven runs over 5 2/3 innings of a 13-1 loss on June 7, then holding the Twins to a run in eight innings of an 11-2 victory exactly a month later.

The over is 4-0 in the last four series meetings, 6-2 in Buehrle’s last eight outings against Minnesota, 8-1-1 in Chicago’s last 10 overall, 5-2-1 in Chicago’s last eight on the road and 5-2-1 in Slowey’s last eight starts overall.

ATS ADVANTAGE: MINNESOTA and OVER

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Re: Monday Service Plays

JEFF BENTON

Today's Selection

Hey, I can't say anything negative about CC Sabathia; the hefty lefty has been a machine since slipping on a Brewers uniform for the first time, winning all four starts while posting a sub-2.00 ERA. However, to get the Cubs at this big of a plus price, with a veteran pitcher like Ted Lilly on the hill, is a gamble worth taking.

After all, Lilly has actually pitched better on the road this season (5-3, 3.84 ERA) than he has at home (5-3, 5.34 ERA). Also, Lilly has registered a quality start in eight of his last 10, including four of the last five. Finally, the overall stats tell us that the Cubs (.284 team average against lefties) have fared much better against southpaws this year than Milwaukee (.268 team average).

Bottom line: We've seen more than a few times just since the All-Star break that a team with a massive starting pitching advantage has failed to bring home the cash. And with the Cubs clinging to a one-game lead over Milwaukee in the Central Division race and in full desperation mode, I wouldn?t be at all shocked to see another big favorite go down. In fact, there's little doubt that none of Sabathia's first three N.L. opponents (Cardinals, Giants, Reds) pack the kind of offensive punch Chicago does.

Take the massive plus money with Soriano, Lee, Ramirez, Soto, Fukudome and the hard-hitting Cubbies.

2♦ CHICAGO CUBS

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Re: Monday Service Plays

MATT RIVERS

For Monday take some coin back with the Angels.

Just a total no-brainer here on the visiting Halos. Sure the Red Sox at Fenway have been brilliant overall this season but things have not been so great of late. The Yankees just came to town and won the series meaning that Boston is in a total three team dog fight the rest of the way. Big Papi has returned but then immediately Manny has some knee issues and all is just not right at this time in Beantown.

Anaheim comes to town with the best road mark in all of baseball and just beat up the Orioles at Camden Yards. Vlad and company do have some hitting issues at times but recently we have not seen that as Vlad, Hunter, Kotchman and the rest of Mike Scioscia's team is quietly getting in great position to make a World Series run.

Dice-K has been sensational this season, save that one start off of the DL at home and probably will be alright today but Jered Weaver is a quality righty himself and should be just fine as well. I do expect the hurlers to put up a bunch of gooseggs and for this game to come down to the end in a tight contest. With Shields and K-Rod on the back end how can you not take some coin back with arguably the best team in baseball right now in this spot!

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Tony Mathew's

Chicago White Sox vs. Minnesota Twins
Selection: Chicago White Sox -110

The Chicago White Sox will use starting pitcher Mark Buehrle. Mark Buehrle has been pitching very well as of late. In fact, Mark Buehrle has a 1.66 ERA in his last 3 starts. We see Mark Buehrle pitching another great game today.

The Minnesota Twins will use starting pitcher Kevin Slowey. Kevin Slowey has been struggling as of late. In fact, Kevin Slowey has a 9.00 ERA in his last 3 starts. We see Kevin Slowey pitching another bad game today.

The Chicago White Sox are a perfect 5-0 in their last 5 meetings against the Minnesota Twins, and should be able to get another win tonight!

Take the Chicago White Sox!

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Re: Monday Service Plays

JOHN FINA

Arizona/San Diego Over 8

Today we expect a high-scoring game as the Arizona Diamondbacks take on the San Diego Padres. One reason why we expect a high-scoring game is because both these teams will be sending to the mound struggling starting pitchers. This says it all... The Arizona Diamondbacks Starting Pitcher (Micah Owings) has a 5.06 ERA in his last 3 starts, while San Diego Padres Starting Pitcher (Greg Maddux) has a 6.06 ERA in his last 3 starts. As you can see, both these starting pitchers have been struggling as of late. To say the least, we should see a high-scoring game today! Take the Arizona Diamondbacks/San Diego Padres Over 8!

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Matty O'Shea Triple Dime NL Value Play O' the Year

HOU -1.5 (+135) vs CIN

You simply will not find better value in the National League this season, which is why I am making this one of my biggest plays of the year.  Astros ace Roy Oswalt comes off the DL to face a Reds team he is 19-1 lifetime against with a stellar 2.46 ERA.  Before Oswalt suffered a hip injury at Washington back on July 11th, he had allowed just two runs in his previous two home starts against NL teams in the Dodgers and Brewers while walking none and striking out 19 in 13 innings of work.  Houston is hitting .312 against righties in the last 10 games and faces Cincinnati's Johnny Cueto, who is 0-1 in his last three starts with a 6.50 ERA.  Cueto threw a career-high 120 pitches last time out on July 22nd against San Diego, and the last time he threw 115 pitches, he surrendered six runs in five innings of a 10-0 home loss to St. Louis on June 11th.  He is also just 2-6 in nine road starts with a 5.48 ERA, with all of the losses decided by at least three runs.  Offensively, the Reds are hitting just .240 against righties this season and hit just .165 in getting swept by the Rockies at home over the weekend.  Meanwhile, the Astros are coming off a big series win at Milwaukee, and they have won the last six meetings with Cincinnati by an average of 3.5 runs per game.  Taking everything into consideration, look for Oswalt to get plenty of run support here in his return and bet Houston on the runline as my Triple Dime NL Value Play O' the Year

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Re: Monday Service Plays

Black Widow Sports

1* on Colorado Rockies -113

Colorado is coming on strong as we near the end of the season. The Rockies have won 9 of their last 10 games overall and five straight heading into tonight’s contest with Pittsburgh. Their games haven’t even been close either. Two of the nine wins game by 2 runs, but the other seven came by 3 runs or more. This is a team that nobody wants to play right now. Ian Snell is in for a short outing for Pittsburgh. Snell is 3-8 with a 6.10 ERA this year. The Rockies have won four straight games over the Pirates in 2008, outscoring Pittsburgh 28-9 in the process. Take Colorado on the Money Line.

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Re: Monday Service Plays

Jeff Alexander Sports

1 Unit on Pittsburgh Pirates +105

The Rockies are rolling, but the reality is that they are still one of the worst teams in the N.L. and you have to like the Bucs in the home dog role here. The Rockies are 16-36 in their last 52 road games, 9-23 in their last 32 road games vs. a team with a winning home record, and 1-6 in their last 7 Monday games. The Pirates are 6-2 in Snell's last 8 Monday starts and 4-1 in their last 5 Monday games. This team has started week's off well throughout the season and then trailed off as the week has gone on. We'll bet the Bucs tonight.

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Info Plays

3* on Florida Marlins +105

The Marlins are showing awesome value with Ricky Nolasco at home tonight. He’s 10-6 with a 3.99 ERA this season and has easily been the most steady starter the Marlins have to offer. Nolasco has won back-to-back starts against the Mets, allowing New York to score just 4 runs off of him. Nolasco is 11-5 as an underdog of +100 or higher this season. The Mets are just 2-13 in road games after hitting 3 or more home runs in 2 consecutive games since 1997. New York’s bats will cool off tonight as Nolasco picks up his third straight win over his division rivals. Bet the Marlins at home behind Nolasco.

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IndianCowboy Comp

Texas/Seattle Under 10

Research

Hernandez faces Feldman here, Hernandez has pitched 6 of 7 quality starts, he had a 3 era at home against Boston and picked up a nd but his team still lost, he is 0-2 in 3 starts against the Rangers this year who have ended up winning all 3 of those games, Feldman is 1-0 with a 4.01 at home he pitched brilliantly against the white sox on the road, against Seatlte he did pitch a 1.29 era start but his team ended up losing 3-4 at home to Silva, if anything a lean on the under here given Seattle's weak offense and Fernandez looking to finally beat Texas this year so of course he still has his incentive to pitch well here, just surprising a bit that over 72% are betting against Seattle here in favor of Texas at home, but Texas has been money of late and especially at home, they do come off a loss to Oakland, a little surprised at the 9.5 line as well.

Write-up

It's never too good playing with fire with Texas at home in an under, but it makes sense here, Fernandez tries to avoid having his lose for the 4th time here against Texas, the majority of the public favors Texas here at 70%+ favor which likely means seattle should be competitive and hell could even win this game, but more importantly, Seattle's offense has been lax as usualy this season and Feldman has his revenge too, I'll take my chances here as the under is 13-3-2 when Seattle hits the road to face a winning team, the under is 12-3-1 for Hernandez overall and the under is 5-1 when Feldman starts with a total that is set such as this - heck (the under is also 7-1 in Feldman's last 8 starts as well).

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DREW GORDON

Neither one of tonight's starters has been particularly consistent of late, but the fact of the matter is you have to like Greg Maddux at Petco, where he's posted an above average 2.51 ERA on the season. Note that 3 of his last 4 starts have been solid, despite the fact the Padres lost all 4 of those contests. Anyone who's followed the Friars knows Maddux has been the victim of some shoddy run support and bullpen work, but with 3 straight road wins under their belts, I'm looking San Diego to keep the momentum going now back at home.

So how do they keep it going? Well, a match up against the struggling Micah Owings is a good start! He went 1-7 with a 6.92 ERA over his last 9 starts before being demoted to the bullpen. Think that was bad? In his last relief appearance, he got tagged for 5 runs in just a 1/3 of an inning against the Cubs! Look for a suddenly resurgent Padres offense to capitalize on Owings struggles tonight.

Finally, for all the talk about the Padres pathetic offense, did you know the D-Backs are just as bad on the road against righties?! Diamondbacks average just 3.7 runs per game against righties away, batting a laughable .218 in that spot! Granted, San Diego's offense isn't much better, but its important to note the Padres are batting .284 against rigthies over their last 10 games, and they crushed the last righty they faced (Pirates' Van Benschoten 7 runs allowed in just 1 2/3 innings)!

Bottom line, Padres build off their modest 3-game win streak with a solid effort behind Maddux tonight against Arizona. We've seen some life from this Padres batting order, and a match up against Owings is just what the doctor ordered to keep it going! Padres roll!

Take San Diego behind Maddux over Arizona and Owings in late MLB action.

3♦ SAN DIEGO

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Re: Monday Service Plays

CHRIS JORDAN

It was quite a showdown back on July 18, when these two pitched against one another at Tropicana Field. Both AJ Burnett and James Shields tossed seven innings for their teams, and while Shields gave up just one earned run, Burnett surrendered only two.

Tampa escaped with the win, and now it's time for revenge. Hey, I admit I've never been a Burnett fan, but the guy has impressed me all month, as he's 3-2 in July, and been most impressive in his last three outings, tossing 20-1/3 innings and given up just four earned runs an ERA of 1.77.

Forget the trade rumors swirling around his name cause he's going to be lights out for the somewhat red-hot Blue Jays, who have won five of their last six. As much as I like Shields, he's 2-5 in nine road starts and has struggled keeping the ball in the infield, as he's sporting a road ERA of 6.26. Play the Jays with Burnett against the Rays and Shields.

3♦ BLUE JAYS

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Re: Monday Service Plays

FRANK ROSENTHAL

901 ROCKIE OVER 9.5 SB
905 NYM-110 SB
UNDER 9 SB+
909 REDS+135 SB
912 PADRES-110 SB
UNDER 8 SB+
920 JAYS-110 SB
UNDER 7.5 SB+
925 CWS+105 SB

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Re: Monday Service Plays

The Sports Scholar    

Boston


CT Sports Picks

Houston -1.5    


JIM'S HOT PICKS

Houston    


Templer's Sports Picks

Milwaukee


Maddux Sports

NY Mets -120


Mighty Quinn

Mets


Armvin Sports

Rays +102
Royals +115


Rocco Spacamuro

75* Florida


Online Sports Winners    

Boston


floridabookybusters    

Florida


Cappers Access

Blue Jays
White Sox


Glen Mcgrew

Padres


Computer Sports

Brewers


Bob Donahue

Pirates


Vegas Steamline

Mets/Fla Under


Scott Spreitzer

Cards


Frank Patron

Pirates +105


Paul Leiner

10* Marlins +110


Global Sports Picks

WHITE SOX -105


Jennifer Barry

DBacks +105


Donald Tran

Oakland As -120


Chad Jordan

White Sox +105


Gamblers Ally

TWINS -105


LT's LOCKS

Twins -115


SOUTHSIDE SPORTS

DODGERS


TOTALS 4 U

CINCINNATI/HOUSTON UNDER 9


RAZOR SHARP

CINCINNATI +140


HUDDLE UP

Florida +105


THE VEGAS STEAMLINE

NY METS/FLORIDA UNDER


#1 SPORTS

ATHLETICS - 120


MIKE WYNN

Detroit/Cleveland Over


ARTHUR RALPH

Red Sox


EASY MONEY SPORTS

FLORIDA+105


PLATINUM PLAYS

DRays +105


BIG TIME SPORTS

ARIZONA /SAN DIEGO UNDER


David Page

Twins -105


JAKE TIMLIN

Rockies


JR MILLER

METS -1.5 +145


JOE WIZ

Minnesota 


SILVER KEY PLAY

MILWAUKEE -170


Insider Sports Report 

Oakland -125


NICK JONES

Devil Rays +105

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Maddux Sports

After yesterday's 2-1 day we have started out the 2nd half with a
23-8 run for members. For Today we have 3 Baseball Picks. These picks
are now ready to be sent to you within 10 minutes of purchase.As
always these picks are guaranteed to win or tomorrow's MLB Baseball
Picks are sent free of charge.

Today's Free Pick is NY Mets -120


============================================================================
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Tonight we're going for our TENTH WIN in our last ELEVEN RELEASES!!!



Get on the Red-Sox again tonight as they bring their ACE DICE-K to the mound.



We're not going to go on and on about why the Sox are going to win.



Let's just say... 11-1 with a 0.87ERA over his last three starts is a damn safe bet!



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Brian Marshall

San Francisco Giants vs. Los Angeles Dodgers
Play On: San Francisco/Los Angeles Over 8

Game Analyses: Do you love high-scoring games? If yes, you will love Monday's MLB contest between the San Francisco Giants and Los Angeles Dodgers.

The San Francisco Giants will be lead by starting pitcher Kevin Correia. Kevin Correia has struggled this entire season. In fact, Kevin Correia has a 5.71 ERA on the season. In addition, Kevin Correia has a 8.04 ERA in his last 3 starts. We see Kevin Correia giving up many runs today.

The Los Angeles Dodgers will be lead by starting pitcher Hiroki Kuroda. Hiroki Kuroda has been having huge pitching problems as of late. In fact, Hiroki Kuroda has a 7.98 ERA in his last 3 starts. We see Hiroki Kuroda giving up many runs today.

The bottom line, we should see many runs scored today!

Take the San Francisco Giants/Los Angeles Dodgers Over 8!

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Chip Chirimbes

The Houston Astros ace will try to continue his dominance of the Reds on Monday night when the teams open a three-game series at Minute Maid Park. Oswalt (7-8, 4.56 ERA) has been on the disabled list since July 19 with a left hip adductor strain. The injury forced the three-time All-Star out of his last start on July 11 after allowing one hit on 17 pitches in one inning of a 10-0 loss at Washington. The right-hander was 2-1 with a 2.49 ERA and 19 strikeouts in 21 2-3 innings in four starts prior to getting hurt. He is expected to be activated Monday after throwing 25 to 30 pitches before Friday's 3-1 win at Milwaukee. Oswalt is looking to help the Astros (48-56) build on Sunday's 11-6 win over Milwaukee, as he makes his first start of the season against Cincinnati (50-56). The eight-year veteran is 19-1 with a 2.46 ERA in 24 career games - 22 starts - against the Reds, his most wins against any opponent. He's been even better at home, going 9-0 with a 2.26 ERA in 12 appearances - 11 starts - versus Cincinnati. The Astros have won the last six matchups with Reds, sweeping a two-game road set from April 23-24.

Take the Houston Astros

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Charlies Sports

White sox @ Minnesota under 8½ (500*)

Oakland-125 (30*)

Arizona+110 (20*)

Pittsburgh+100 (20*)

Minnesota-110 (10*)

Seattle+110 (10*) free play

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Tom Stryker Guaranteed Selections

Florida vs NY Mets OVER 9

When the Mets and Marlins get together, runs are plentiful. New York and Florida has played six games this season and combined for an average of 10.3 runs per game! Both starting pitcher should help the cause too.

On the bump for the Mets will be right hander John Maine. In his last three starts, Maine was ripped for 11 earned runs and 13 hits in 16.1 innings of work and he allowed 12 free passes! That adds up to a lofty 6.06 ERA! Meanwhile, Marlins hurler Ricky Nolasco has struggled in his last three performances. With 18.0 innings in the bank, Nolasco was tagged for 11 earned runs and 20 hits. That equates to an elevated 5.50 ERA! Ricky also issued five free passes in those three performances.

This series owns a history of being offensive especially in Florida. The OVER has cashed 37 times in the last 58 meetings (with three ties) and sailed OVER the mark in 22 of the last 30 meetings (with one tie)in the Sunshine State.

Florida has generated plenty of runs facing a right-handed starter going OVER the total in 25 of its last 31 tries (with four ties). In addition, New York has gone OVER the mark in six of its last eight (two ties) with Maine favored on the mound. Expect plenty of offensive fireworks in this contest.

Take the OVER.

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