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SUNDAY SERVICE PLAYS
Re: SUNDAY SERVICE PLAYS
Houston Astros +150 / 2 units
We said all along that Milwaukee starter Jeff Suppan was not nearly as good as his early season gaudy numbers, and he is finally reverting to his normal level. Suppan has gone five consecutive starts without recording a Quality Start, and he has an 8.40 ERA and 1.87 WHIP in his last three outings. Randy Wolf is making his Houston debut, and he has had success vs. the Brewers, allowing three earned runs or less in five of his last six starts against them. Besides, the Brewers have one eye on their huge series with the Chicago Cubs coming up next.
Re: SUNDAY SERVICE PLAYS
Florida Marlins/Chicago Cubs Over 10.0 / 5 units
Florida is off B2B 3-2 late-inning wins over Chicago, and will face some ornery Cubbies today. Chicago has the National Leagues best home record and leads the NL in hitting, runs scored and slugging, but the Marlins have managed to 'Fish' their way to a pair of tight, low scoring victories. Florida starter Rick VandenHurk will make his first road start since last season, and the young hurler was effectively wild in his first major league start in three months following a call-up from Double-A Carolina. He walked five Braves batters last time out while not allowing a hit in five innings. He relied on a slider throughout and worked out of a bases-loaded, no outs jam. Chicago hitters have struggled since the All-Star break, but they lead the majors in walks this season (409) and will be more patient and prepared to bust out of their recent hitting and scoring slump. The Florida bullpen should see plenty of action Sunday, and they combine with the starters to produce the NL's second highest WHIP. Florida hurlers will be hard-pressed to slow Chicago batters that hit .315 and score 7 runs-per-game when they win. The heavily favored Cubs should come focused and determined to bring the bats Sunday prior to their showdown series beginning Monday in Milwaukee. Florida also has a big series beginning Monday vs. the Mets, and should enjoy facing Jason Marquis following four-straight games against top-level starters. The Marlins lead the majors in home runs, but have also struggled at the plate recently, especially with runners in scoring position (RISP). The Marlins are just 5/43 (.116) in their last six games with RISP, including 1 for 8 in Saturday's win over Chicago. However, that one key hit came in the 12th inning when Jorge Cantu doubled home Jeremy Hermida, who had doubled just prior. Still, the Marlins hitters are better facing right-handed pitchers and should have success against Chicago starter Jason Marquis, who has really only been moderately successful against the leagues weakest hitting teams. Marquis sports a 4.44 ERA including 5.44 at Wrigley Field and has a taxed bullpen behind him. Marquis has a poor history against Florida with a 6.88 ERA in 17 games including 0-2 with a 7.20 ERA in two starts last season against the Marlins. Hot temps should be met by many base runners and base hits facing sub-par pitching to produce plenty of scoring chances. Play 'over' the total.
Re: SUNDAY SERVICE PLAYS
San Jose Sabercats vs. Philadelphia Soul
Play: San Jose Sabercats
Quarterbacks – Mark Grieb of San Jose (13-5, 10-7-1 ATS) is wily veteran and leads an offense that scores 60.6 points a game. Grieb and the SaberCats started slowly, as nine new players did not come together cohesively, along with being a little full of themselves being defending champions. Grieb and offensive coordinator Terry Malley kept working towards finding the right combinations and suddenly everything clicked. San Jose is on eight-game winning streak (6-1-1 ATS) and SaberCats signal caller threw 50 touchdowns in last six regular season games (100 for the season). Matt D'Orazio ended being the right person in the right place for Philadelphia (15-3, 10-8 ATS). Signed after being released by Chicago, D’Orazio took over when normal starter Tony Graziani was hurt again. D’Orazio ended up 10-3 straight up as starter and has tremendous presence in the pocket, rarely making miscues. He also has great mobility, scoring 11 rushing touchdowns. He’s led them to five consecutive wins. For this championship contest, slight edge to Philly’s D’Orazio with ability to make plays with his feet and less likely to force a throw than Grieb. Offense- Philadelphia was the top scoring team in the AFL at 61.7 PPG, with San Jose second. The Soul owns a slight edge in total offense (297.2 vs 291.3) and did play in better conference. AFL Player of the Year Chris Jackson truly was in a league of his own, with 140 catches, 49 touchdowns at 12.2 yards per catch. The rest of the receivers are enhanced with Jackson’s presence. The offensive line and fullback were dubbed “The Fantastic Four”, doing yeomen work as pass protectors. San Jose uses the run for no apparent reason, preferring to out-scheme opponents and challenge them vertically. Grieb runs “read” offense almost to perfection and is as hot as any signal caller coming into this huge ballgame. The offensive line is solid, with Grieb having to make better decisions in the moment, after leading the league with 18 picks. Defense- The SaberCats defense might have been middle of the road statistically, but don’t be fooled. They boast what most consider the best secondary in the AFL, led by Clevan Thomas, who is the best press cover corner in the league. San Jose defenders are disruptive group and regularly throw timing off of opposing passing attacks. If this wasn’t enough, the ‘Cats led the league in sacks with 30 and takeaways with 45. The Philadelphia defense was third in points allowed in the regular season at 50.6 per game and they have stepped it up even further, begrudgingly giving up 41.5 in the postseason. The Soul has power and strength up the middle with LB Eddie Moten and NT Brian Save. When they create push up the gut, playmakers are on the perimeter to create havoc. Intangibles – San Jose will be without its most veteran wide receiver James Roe, who holds three career pass catching records for this franchise. He’s suffering from strained MCL to left knee. This means receivers like Jason Gaethers, Cleannord Saintil and Rodney Wright will have to elevate their games on the sports biggest stage. Philadelphia has unusual potential distraction, as Soul head coach Bret Munsey left Thursday to be with his pregnant wife. Continuity and familiarity are part of being a football player and when chain in broken, hard to guess on how a team and individuals react. Munsey is presumed to be back, however final preparations are somewhat thrown off. While it seems easy for players to want to win consecutive championships, Philadelphia comes in as the hungrier team, looking to lay claim to title. Betting News- Sportsbook.com has established Philadelphia as a 4-point favorite with total of 118. The Soul was 6-2 and 5-3 ATS on the road and San Jose arrives at 5-3 and 3-5 against the spread as the visitor. San Jose is built for momentum and is 9-0 ATS after scoring 53 points or more in five straight games over the last two seasons. In addition, they are stunning 17-0 ATS after covering the spread in two out of their last three games. Philadelphia has never been a great spread cover team and is only 1-8 ATS after covering the spread in two out of their last three contests. The Soul needs to play at their pace, otherwise they are 2-9 ATS vs. very good offensive teams scoring 55 or more points a game. To their credit, Philly is 7-2 ATS playing teams with winning records. The total is also set for suspense, as SaberCats are 10-2 OVER when playing with two weeks or more of rest and the Soul is 6-0 UNDER in playoff games. These teams met in Week 7 in San Jose, in a crazy contest. The SaberCats had built a 33-7 lead, before Philadelphia mounted furious comeback, to take a 58-57 lead with 10 seconds remaining. San Jose still had a chance, unfortunately for them, the ball hit the right upright and the Soul had stirring victory. This sets up to be classic ArenaBowl and is worth wagering on and tuning in on Sunday at 3 Eastern on ABC. Take San Jose +4 points.
Re: SUNDAY SERVICE PLAYS
LAA Angels vs. Baltimore Orioles
Play: LAA Angels
The Angel's continue to show us that they are the best team in baseball They have won 4 straight and 9 of their last 10 games including their last two over Baltimore 6-5 and 11-6. On the mound today for L.A. is right-hander Santana He is 8-1 on the road this season with a 3.44 ERA. Over his last three starts ,he is 2-1 with a 3.86 ERA. He is facing left-hander Olson for Baltimore. When Olson starts at home ,the team is 4-4 behind him. Over his last three starts ,he is 0-2 with an ERA of 11.30. Today he faces perhaps the best 1-9 lineup in the league.The Angel's are also the best road team in baseball at a remarkable 33-18. Take the Angel's. Make sure you check out my two Huge Guaranteed Winner's today.Finish your wek off right. Thank you.