SUNDAY SERVICE PLAYS

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KELSO

High Rollers Club

10 unit - Red Sox
10 unit - Red Sox Over
10 unit - Parlay

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Red Dog Sports

LAA -138

The Orioles are 0-15 in their last 15 games on Sunday. I started noticing this streak when it was at 11. The Angels have won the first two games of this series by 6-5 and 11-6. The Angels have won 9 of 10 and are 33-18 on the road and now face a bad pitcher on the hill for the Birds.

Garrett Olson's ERA is 11.30 in his last 3 starts:

Tor 4.2 inn, 9 hits, 6 runs
Det 6 inn, 7 hits, 5 runs
Tor 3.2 inn, 7 hits, 7 runs

He walked either 3 or 4 in each one of those starts.

On the mound for LAA is Ervin Santana and the team is 12-8 when he starts. He is not the best pitcher in the league and is inconsistent. He could pitch a shutout or give up 6 runs to an Oriole team that is not bad with Brian Roberts, Melvin Mora, Aubrey Huff, Kevin Millar, Markakis, etc. However, his ERA is a decent 3.86 in his last 3.

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The King Maker

PHI / ATL Over 9.5 1-Unit

Phillies OVER 4.5 -135 1/2-Unit

Braves OVER 4 -140 1/2-Unit

A "Scavenger Total" is a play where the books set a line for the overall total that is a FULL RUN less in the Team totals. We take all three totals, expecting to win all three, but definitley hoping for a split at the worst. The idea here is to pick a total clean.

*In this case, the Team Totals equal 8.5 runs and the Overall Total is 9.5 Runs.

The Umpire is a "stringer"!

A "stringer" is an Ump that runs up a high pitch count and strings the pitching staffs along.

I'm going to start with Alfonzo Marquez. He's our Umpire, and nobody strings out a pitch count like Alfonzo. The Fonz AVERAGES 325 pitches per game!

The league wants 280!

He's going to call the zone in such a way as to allow for more than 8 walks per game, that's 8 base runners at a minimum today.

Jorge Campillo has made 3 quality starts in a row, those teams were FLA, LAD, and SD. I saw the Florida game, and that was an inspired performance. Then we have pathetic San Diego, and Questionable LA.

The 4th game was against the Phillies, and that was NOT a quality start!

Atlanta BravesPitchersIP H RERBBSOHRPC-STERAJ Campillo (L, 3-3)5.085520286-512.99

The Umpire was Lance Barksdale, an OVER monger, just like Alfonzo Marquez!

I like our chances at 5 innings from Campillo, then a nice dose of Buddy Carlyle. I think this is what we will see if Campy gets shoved out and, by then, we may get to 5 runs for Philly.

Campillio has faced Philly twice this year and he lasted 5.0 and 5.1 innings. So we have a team that is familiar with Campy, and a team that racked up 8 runs in 10.1 innings, all earned!

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Players of America

New York Yankees vs. Boston Red Sox
The Play: Boston Red Sox -155.0
Star Value: 3* (30 Units)

Call us crazy, but we're not buying into the whole road sweep thing by these new world beating New York Yankees. Yes, we realize they are THE New York Yankees and this late season run stuff is common, but let's break things down a bit before we jump on that train for the rest of the season.

Some call the faint playoff hopes for the Yankees exactly that...hope, but we're not ruling them out of anything yet. However, an ideal spot has been presented to us Sunday night between these two rivals. The spot is on the Red Sox.

This fierce rivalry is one of the best in sports. Sunday night at 8:05PM, the Yankees play their third game of a series set at Fenway Park in Boston. The BoSox are set to put young stud Jon Lester on the mound to start. Lester is an impressive 8-3 this season, 3-0 his last three games. He's got a WHIP of 1.31 and an ERA right around 3.10. The series between these two teams this year is split right down the middle at 5-5, but Sunday Boston pulls ahead. The big stick of David "Papi" Ortiz is back in the line up and the spark that offense needs starts now. Manny sat Saturday with knee soreness but is expected to also be healthy and in the line up come Monday night. With no other significant injuries, the Red Sox are ready to start playing ball and heading down that post season stretch. Lester threw against this Yankees squad on July 3 and threw an absolute gem and a 7-0 shutout. The Red Sox are stellar at home at 36-11 and the Yanks aren't going to be the ones to keep putting dents in that.

The Yankees aren't putting any slouch out there themselves Monday. The righty Sidney Ponson is 6-1 this season. He's got an ERA over 4.00 and a WHIP of 1.61 but manages to win ball games. In their last ten, the Yankees are 8-2 and playing out of their you know whats. All joyrides come to an end, especially when these two teams clash. New York is a bit more banged up offensively and in the field. Alex Rodriquez injured his elbow in Saturday's game against the Red Sox and is listed as "Doubtful" for Sunday's action. Joining him on the DL is catcher Jorge Posada and Hideki Matsui...both out indefinitely.

Stats are stats, trends are trends but rivalry games like this speak for themselves. As we've preached before...don't let the price scare you. Yes, it is a bit chalkier than we'd like, but hey-that's gambling. Boston wins this one in convincing fashion at Fenway in front of a fired up home crowd, opening up a new week. Play this one for a nice size, 30 unit wager and forget about the juice...

TRENDS OF THE GAME:
- The Red Sox are 40-11 in their last 51 home games.
- The Red Sox are 65-31 in their last 96 games on grass.
- The Red Sox are 21-5 in Lester's last 26 starts on grass.

Boston 8, New York 3


Los Angeles Angels vs. Baltimore Orioles
The Play: Under 10.0
Star Value: 1* (10 Units)

Our only other selection worthy of a plan on Sunday takes place at Camden Yards in Balitmore. The visiting Anaheim Angels take part of their set and are hosted by the Baltimore Orioles. The Halo's come in well above the .500 mark while the O's are salvaging anything they can the rest of the season and playing more or less for pride.

For Anaheim, Ervin Santana gets the nod and he comes in at a remarkable 11-4 overall, 2-1 his last three appearances. Santana is notorious for keeping totals low this year, doing so 12 of the last 16 times out. He has a solid, respectable ERA of 3.35 and a WHIP of 1.11 in just over 136 total innings pitched.

For Baltimore, their putting their faith in left hander Garret Olson who is 6-5 on the year in just 84 innings pitched. Both teams have an averaged bullpen of around a 3.15 ERA with an estimated 2.60 ERA available for Monday's match up. Meeting four times this season, two games have stayed under the total while the other two have been right on the edge of an over and a push. Anaheim holds the series lead at 3-1.

This is a huge gut check here for both teams, more the Angels than Baltimore. We've got a funny feeling this one is going to be a struggle. With the bats a little tired from last night's shootout, expect a low scoring affair with a few lousy runs here and there. Odds makers setting this total opener at expressed figure has over bettors licking their chops and biting on the bait like public squares...and more times than not, they lose. Simply put, Anaheim wins this one in a low scoring battle in Maryland. 10 units on the UNDER here.

TREND OF THE GAME:
- The UNDER is 25-11-2 in the Angel's last 38 road games.

Anaheim 4, Baltimore 1

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JEFFERSONSPORTS

COLORADO-123
LA ANGELS-142

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Drew Gordon

Colorado -130 at CINCINNATI 

I know early on there were plenty of reasons to fade the Rockies Ubaldo Jimenez, especially on the road. But that time has come and gone, as the young righty has clearly turned a corner, going 5-3 with a 2.28 ERA over his last 9 starts! That stretch includes rock-solid efforts in his last two starts on the highway, allowing 3 runs over his last 13 innings away, striking out 15 in the process!

Moreover, while the Reds Josh Fogg did get the win in his last start, I'm not nearly convinced. He's been far too inconsisent for my liking, and his career numbers against his former team hardly inspire confidence, going 3-2 with an average 4.54 ERA in 6 starts against his former team. That leads me to my final point, Fogg is catching this Rockies offense at precisely the wrong time.

We knew eventually the Rockies bats would come alive, and its safe to say their offense is very much alive right now, batting .373 and averaging 7.2 runs per game over their last 9! They're absolutely crushing right-handed pitching, batting a blistering .354 against them over their last 10, which should send up a red flag for any and all Reds-backers! Reds meanwhile are batting just .239 at home against righties, averaging 4.2 runs in that spot.

Bottom line, its time to give the Rockies Jimenez his due, as he's been nothing short of excellent over the last month and a half. Couple that with the Rockies recent surge at the plate, and you've got a deadly/winning combo in this afternoon's match up with Cincinnati. Rockies roll!

Take Colorado behind Jimenez over Cincinnati and Fogg in afternoon MLB action.

2♦ COLORADO

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Michael Cannon

San Diego -125 at PITTSBURGH 

Take the Padres as the road chalk this afternoon over the Pirates.

This should be a good pitching matchup with Jake Peavy starting opposite Paul Maholm.

But I like the Padres to get it done behind Peavy, who is 4-0 with a 1.30 ERA in his last five starts against the Pirates.

Maholm has been good for Pittsburgh as well, but with the Bucs shipping Xavier Nady and Damaso Marte to the Yankees you have to wonder about their collective mindset right now.  Is this going to be the start of the fire-sale, who's going to be dealt next, etc.?

Take the Padres as they grab the road win.

3♦ SAN DIEGO

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Chris Jordan

Anaheim -140 at BALTIMORE 

Never a big fan of taking a team from the West Coast, visiting a team on the East Coast. It’s simply a tough chore every time around. But these Halos are as good as it gets, having won four straight and nine of 10. Anaheim owns the best record in the majors and has widened its AL West-margin to a whopping 10-1/2 games over Texas.

On top of that, we’re going to side against an Orioles team that has lost a season-high six straight after yesterday’s setback to the Angels, and 15 consecutive Sunday losses. Makes for an easy outing for Ervin Santana, who has been stellar on the highway en route to his 11-4 mark this season. The right-hander is 8-1 with a 3.44 ERA in 12 road starts this season, going 4-0 in six outings since losing at Toronto on May 22.

Anaheim is an easy play here boys, and we’ll go ahead an list Garrett Olson as well, as the left-hander is 1-4 with an 8.62 ERA in his last eight games.

3♦ ANGELS

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LT Profits

Cleveland Indians -105

The Cleveland Indians have been a major disappointment, but a win over the Minnesota Twins today would move them to nine games behind the Twins in the loss column, at least showing that the Tribe have a pulse.

Besides, this is cheap price for the Indians at home. Sure, Nick Blackburn has had some nice moments for the Twins, but the bottom line is that he is only 2-4 with a 4.83 ERA on the road, so this line appears to give him too much respect. Also, there has been virtually no difference in these offenses the last 10 games, with Cleveland hitting .283 as a team in the last 10 games and Minnesota batting .282 over this same span.

Now Jeremy Sowers has been one of the worst pitchers in the majors this season, and he is probably the primary reason this line is close to a pick. However, he has looked a bit better in his last two starts and he also does have Quality Stats in each of his last two appearances vs. the Twins.

Besides, Minnesota is just 22-28 on the road, so we will stay home with the Indians at this price.

Pick: Indians -105


Texas Rangers +110

After stumbling out of the All-Star break, the Texas Rangers have exploded for 31 runs in the last 10 games and we look for that onslaught to continue as small underdogs today vs. the Oakland Athletics.

Dana Eveland has been a pleasant surprise for the Athletics, but it appears that his bubble has burst and he is regressing to his normal mediocre level. Eveland has gone four straight outings without recording a Quality Start, and he has a 5.17 ERA and a disgusting 2.17 WHIP over his last three starts. The hot-hitting Rangers are probably the last team he wants to face right now.

Eric Hurley has shown promise in his brief stint in the majors this year, allowing two runs or less in his last three starts. It certainly helps that he is making his return to the bigs vs. a weak-hitting Oakland lineup that is batting a woeful .219 as a team over the last 10 games. The fact that the Athletics have never faced him before is an added plus.

We will take the superior offensive club as an underdog in this matchup of young hurlers.

Pick: Rangers +110

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Larry Ness

Houston Astros @ Milwaukee Brewers
PICK: Milwaukee Brewers

The Brewers, not noted as a good road team, returned from the All Star break to go 7-0 on a road trip (team's 14-5 mark on the road since June 11 is a ML-best!) but then returned home to Miller Park on Friday, only to lose to the "sad-sack" Astros, 3-1. The Brewers were in danger of dropping a second straight game to Houston last night but rallied from a 4-2 deficit with two runs in both the 7th and 8th innings, for a 6-4 win. Milwaukee's now won EIGHT of nine since the break and moved into a first-place tie with the Cubs in the NL Central. With the Cubs coming to town tomorrow to open a four-game series, the Brewers surely don't want a slip-up here. Jeff Suppan will get the start for Milwaukee and he's again pitching well here in Miller Park for the Brewers. In his first season with Milwaukee (2007), Suppan went just 12-12 with a 4.62 but the Brewers were 12-5 (3.87 ERA) in his home starts, compared to just 6-11 (5.38 ERA) in his road starts. Suppan just returned from the 15-day DL (elbow irritation) and looked pretty good, allowing three ERs over seven innings at St Louis last Tuesday. His road ERA is 5.79 this year (team is 6-5) but his home ERA is just 3.21 (team is 5-3). The Astros will counter with the newly acquired Randy Wolf. I'm still confused as to what they saw in Wolf's performance this year with the Padres, to warrant any interest. Wolf lost SIX of his last seven starts for San Diego (6.94 ERA), leaving him 6-10 with a 4.74 ERA on the season. In 10 road starts in '08, he's gone 1-6 with a 6.63 ERA, as the Padres lost NINE of the 10 games. Those numbers look even worse when one considers that the Brewers are an impressive 22-11 vs lefties this year, including a downright 'scary' 11-1 mark in day games (averaging 7.7 RPG!). Look out below. Take the Brewers.

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Tony Karpinski

New York Yankees vs. Boston Red Sox     
Play: Over   

Overall for the Yankees, the under is on streaks of 21-8-2 overall, 7-1 on the highway and 28-11-1 against the A.L. East. For Boston, the under is 8-4-2 in its last 14 home games against teams with a winning record and 5-2 overall. In this rivalry, the over is on runs of 23-7 at Fenway Park, 5-0 at night in Boston. Look for hot Yankees bats to continue and the Red Sox to hit Ponson at home after struggling to score the past 2 days. Play on the OVER

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Matty O'Shea

STL (+165) vs NYM

Both starting pitchers will be expected to go deep into this game after Saturday night's 14-inning marathon.  The Cardinals got the upper hand in that game on a two-run homer by Albert Pujols for a 10-8 victory, ending their season-high five-game losing streak and giving them some solid momentum heading into the series finale.  They will have ace Kyle Lohse in the mound, and he has not suffered a loss since May 8th at Colorado.  St. Louis has gone 11-3 in Lohse's starts since then while New York's Johan Santana has not had nearly the same luck.  The Mets have dropped seven of Santana's last nine starts, including four of five at home.  He has also been hit rather hard since the All-Star break, surrendering 14 hits and seven runs - including three homers - in just 12 innings of work.  That's why I'm taking a shot on the Cards at a great price as my Double Dime NL Underdog Play O' the Week.

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King Creole

TEX (+110) vs OAK  2** BEST BET on: TEXAS RANGERS

The host Oakland A's are in the midst of a massive FREE FALL as they have lost each of the first tow games of this series.... and NINE of their last TEN games overall. And the best news is that we have a "play ON" situation for a 'SWEEPING DOG" on Sunday afternoon. The highly profitable "Sweeping Dog" System tells us to play ON a road Underdog if they have won EACH of the first two games of a series... as long as they were priced as a dog in each of those first two games. And since the HOT Rangers were priced as Dogs of +166 and +105 in the first two games of this series, we have a qualifying situation on Sunday.

With the winds blowing straight OUT to Center Field this afternoon )14+ MPH), the big-time hitting advantage for the Rangers is magnified even more on Sunday. Oakland has 3 big sticks still on the DL in Thomas, Chavez, and Mike Sweeney. Their top hitter (Ryan Sweeney) did not play on Saturday (finger) and his status is also up in the air for this third game of the series. This Oakland/Texas series has been pretty one-sided for 2+ seasons now. Texas is 9-3 in the last 12 meetings... and 5-1 "In THIS Park".

We know all about Dana Eveland of the Okaland A's as he is one of the pitchers on the fantasy baseball teams of Speedee's master. And his recent numbers are prime "play AGAINST" material. We start off with the fact that he has allowed more WALKS (13) than STRIKEOUTS (9) in his last 3 starts. This is usually a pretty good indicator of potential "Blow Up" material. Eveland's ERA in those last three starts is 5.17 and opponents are hitting .425 vs him. He has not made it to the 6th inning in ANY of his last 4 starts. And he already face the Rangers once this season (back in May)... and lost 6-4. He's also a PERFECT 0-5 in his last 5 starts against the better teams (> .500) in the American League. Meanwhile, young Eric Hurley has looked very sharp in each of his last three starts, and hasn't given up more than TWO earned runs in any of 'em (2.70 ERA). There's always a clear-cut advantage for a pitcher who has NEVER faced the opponent he is going against... and that's the case for the youngster this afternoon.

SUNDAYS are not a good day of the week for the Athletics (0-4 last 4) while it certainly IS for the Rangers (4-0 last 4). Texas is also 12-3 when facing starting pitchers with high WHIPS of 1/30 or higher.... and 5-1 in Game Three of a series. Oakland is a PERFECT 0-7 in Game Three of a series... 1-6 in their last 7 games vs righty starters... and 1-9 in their last 10 vs winning teams. The WRONG team is favored on Sunday afternoon. We'll run with the SWEEPING DOG!

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Stan Sharp

CHC -1.5 (+120) vs FLA

Stan is Betting the CHICAGO CUBS (-1.5 RUNS) today. Stan notes that Chicago starter Jason Marquis is 19-6 in Day Games the last 2 seasons winning by an average of 2 runs or more.  Also note that the Cubs are 16-3 in home games following scoring 3 runs or less 2 straight games this season winning those games by an average of 3 runs or more. TAKE THE CHICAGO CUBS (-1.5 RUNS) as STAN'S MISMATCH BIG BET OF THE WEEK and make them a SINGLE DIME PLAY

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Brian Graves

Pick: Colorado -125

The Reds have just about reached the quitting stage of the season and on the other side Colorado has started playing like the team that made history last September. For the past week the numbers are staggering as Colorado has 4 players hitting better than .500 playing everyday. That spells doom for an average pitcher like Fogg on his best day. Take Colorado to win big!


Pick: Boston -175

All signs point to the Sox tonight and I love the fact this is the Sunday Night game on ESPN. Ponson gets hammered by Boston and especially Big Papi with a +6 ERA in his career. The Yankees have won 8 in a row so the streak is due to come crashing down and the Sox couldn't get a better pitching matchup. Girardi is likely to rest Giambi or Damon and those guys are getting on base at a .400 clip. Lester just finished a dominant shutout of the Yanks in New York before the All-Star break and has been the Red Sox most consistent starter as of late. Look for Lester to go deep into the game and for Papelbon to even be called on in the 8th if necessary. I doubt it will be as the Red Sox BOMB the Bombers

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DutchMaster

St. Louis    

Templer's Sports Picks

NY Mets    


JIM'S HOT PICKS

NY Mets    


CT Sports Picks

LA Angels    


Guido's Sports Page    

San Diego/Pittsburgh Over 7.5    

The Sports Scholar    

Pittsburgh    


Online Sports Winners        

Chi Cubs    


lasvegassportsadvisors   

Arizona


Frank Patron

Rockies -130


Global Sports Picks

DBACKS/GIANTS UNDER 8


Donald Tran

Texas at Oakland Over


Jennifer Barry

DBacks -145


Chad Jordan

Padres -120

Insider Sports Report 

White Sox/Detroit UNDER


MIKE WYNN

Cincinnati/Colorado Over


ROCCO SPACAMURO

100* Blue Jays


THE VEGAS STEAMLINE

SAN DIEGO/PITTSBURGH OVER


COMPUTER SPORTS

MILWAUKEE BREWERS


ARTHUR RALPH

LA Dodgers


JAKE TIMLIN

Diamondbacks


JOHN FINA

Athletics


PLATINUM PLAYS

WHITE SOX


DR VEGAS

Cleveland


BIG TIME SPORTS

ANGELS/ORIOLES OVER 9.5


TONY MATHEWS

Nationals


SOUTHSIDE SPORTS

MILWAUKEE


Fast Eddie Sports

San Jose


MIGHTY QUINN

Sabercats


ARMVIN SPORTS 

Detroit Tigers -119
Baltimore Orioles +129


RAZOR SHARP

TEXAS/OAKLAND OVER


#1 SPORTS

TEXAS/OAKLAND OVER


TOTALS 4 U

YANKEES/RED SOX OVER 10


Glen Mcgrew

DBacks


CAPPERS ACCESS

Tigers
Yankees


Jack Clayton

Diamondbacks


Matty O'Shea

Soul -3.5


floridabookybusters
   
Cleveland -1.5


Mike Volpe    

Boston


Paul Leiner

10* Twins -105


PowerPlayWins

Rays -130


Gamblers Data

Red Sox -152


MIKE NERI SPORTS 

Padres -125


HOT LOCK SPORTS

Angels -142


Brandon Banks

Pirates +109


David Page

Pirates +109


Silvas Sports

Angels -145


Joey Hannigan

White Sox +104


VERNON CROY

Detroit

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Frank Rosenthal

951 CARDS UNDER 7.5
953 ROCKIES-120
955 PADRES-115
UNDER 7.5
957 BRAVES+125
961 FISH UNDER 10
963 DBACKS-140
971 CWS+110
973 ANGELS-135
979 YANKS+165
OVER 10

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Matt Fargo **86% American League Game of the Year**

Two teams that are going in complete opposite directions square off again tonight. The Orioles are now a season-high seven games under .500 after losing their fifth straight and 14th in their last 18. The recent homestand has been a disaster as Baltimore is 3-7 and it has dropped nine of its last 12 games at Camden Yards to drop to 28-23. Pitching has been an absolute disaster as the ERA from the starters is a whopping 8.35 over the last 10 games while allowing 6.7 rpg over that span. Baltimore is now 1-9 in its last 10 against the A.L. West.

While the Orioles are losing, the Angels are winning and starting to run away with the American League West. They have won four straight and nine of their last 10 games to remain 10.5 games over the Rangers. Los Angeles is 33-18 on the road which is the best road record in all of baseball and by a wide margin. The Angels have a 3.52 ERA away from home which is also best in baseball. Los Angeles is 14-3 in its last 17 games as a road favorite between -110 to -150.

Ervin Santana can consider this season a turnaround season simply because he has been able to cure his road pitching woes. He is 8-1 with a 3.44 ERA in 12 starts which is remarkable considering he went 1-10 with an 8.38 ERA last season and posted a 5.95 ERA in 2006. He has tossed two straight quality starts and his K/BB ratio is a solid 18:2. In five career starts against the Orioles, he is 1-1 with a 3.86 ERA. The Angels are 8-1 in his last nine starts as a favorite between -110 to -150.

Baltimore sends another one of its battered and beaten starters to the hill as now it is Garrett Olsen's turn. He has been horrendous after a very good start to the season. Through his first eight starts, Olsen posted a 3.86 ERA which included four quality outings. In his eight starts since then, he posted an 8.62 ERA with not a single quality start in the mix. Olson has given up no less than five runs in any of his starts in July. The Orioles are 1-6 in Olson's last seven starts as an underdog of +110 to +150. The Angels roll once again. Play Los Angeles Angels 5 Units

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Sports Pro Unlimited

STL +171
CHC -160
CIN +117
MIL -157
MIN -105
LAA -142 POD

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SportsKingz

DODGERS -150

ANGELS -160

ST. LOUIS +170

TAMPA BAY -140

MINNESOTA -110

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