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Tom Freese

Tampa Bay Rays at Kansas City Royals
Prediction: Tampa Bay Rays

Tampa Bay is 36-16 their last 52 games as favorites and they are 22-10 after scoring 5 or more runs in their last game. The Rays are 7-0 on Saturday with Scott Kazmir on the mound and they are 12-5 with Kazmir if he has 4 days of rest. Kansas City is 29-81 their last 110 games vs. a starter with a WHIP of less than 1.15 and they are 37-85 their last 122 games vs. AL East foes. The Royals are 2-7 their last 9 games vs. winning teams and they are 2-7 in 9 starts made by Luke Hochevar vs. winning teams. The Royals are 7-16 their last 23 games vs. the Rays. PLAY ON TAMPA BAY -

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Alex Smart

Chicago White Sox @ Detroit Tigers
PICK: Detroit Tigers -147

The Detroit Tigers look like the right side on most nights when they send the ace of their staff Justin Verlander (8-9, 3.95 ERA to the hill. The right hander started his season, very slowly, but has really gotten into a groove of late, going 6-0 along with a very stingy 2.30 ERA in his last 8 starts. In his last outing against tonights opponents the White Sox, he pitched a complete game 4 hitter, and I am expecting more of the same out of him in this spot.

Meanwhile, his pitching opponent, from the Pale Hose John Danks (7-4, 3.04 ERA) despite of usually being a capable contributor in his teams pitching rotation, is off a lackluster start ,where he looked uncomfortable , allowing 6 runs on nine hits and two walks. Im predicting things will not get much better for the lefty against a Motown batting order that has hammered southpaws this season for an average of 5.1 RPG via a .283 BA.

Final notes & Key Trends: Tigers, are 20-7 against left handers this season. White Sox are 1-5 in Danks' last 6 starts as an underdog of +110 to +150 . Tigers are 7-0 in Verlanders last 7 starts as a favorite.

I am recommending we back Verlander in the Tigers

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Chris Chirimbes

Chicago Cubs

Rich Harden has been outstanding since joining the Chicago Cubs, but so far, his record doesn't show it. The Cubs' newest starter will try again for his first win with his new club as Chicago continues its four-game series with the Florida Marlins on Saturday at Wrigley Field. Harden (0-1, 0.73 ERA) was acquired in a July 8 trade with the Oakland Athletics and has allowed just one run in 10 1-3 innings in his first two starts with the Cubs (60-43). However, Chicago blew the right-hander's 7-0 lead against San Francisco on July 12 before winning 8-7 in 11 innings, and gave him no run support Monday in Arizona. Harden went seven innings against the Diamondbacks, allowing only a solo home run, but was saddled with the 2-0 loss.

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Vegas Experts

Houston Astros at Milwaukee Brewers

Milwaukee was the hottest team in baseball right now following a 7-0 road trip, but they laid an egg last night at home, falling to the Astros 3-1. It was Houston's first win in five games and it was pretty surprising given they were swept here by the Brew Crew back in late May. Look for the Brewers to bounce back tonight behind Dave Bush, who has a 9-0 TSR at home if he allowed 1 walk or less in BB outings.

Play on: Milwaukee

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JB's Computer Picks

New York Yankees +105

New York Mets -135

Arizona Diamondbacks -120

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Charlies Sports

Minnesota @ Cleveland Under 8½ (500*)

Boston-120 (30*)

Cincinnati-125 (20*)

Pittsburgh-115 (20*)

Mets-135 (10*)

Cleveland-125 (10*) free play

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SAPKOWSKI 

Best Bet
Colorado vs. CIN over 5 in 1st 5 IN

Premium
Colorado
Milwauke

Free
Pass

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Gamblers World Tip of the Day

San Diego Padres vs. Pittsburgh Pirates

Prediction: Pittsburgh Pirates

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PlusLineSports Daily Baseball Pick

LA Angels vs Baltimore Orioles

LA Angels -1.5 +125

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Michael Cannon

NY Yankees at BOSTON 

Yes, I'm jumping ship and siding with the Yankees today.

I just can't see Andy Pettitte losing to Tim Wakefield right now with the way the Yankees are playing.

New York has won three straight over Boston and seven in a row overall.  In fact, the Yankees have yet to lose since the All-Star break and are a whopping 24-12 since June 11.

And they just got tougher with the acquisition of Xavier Nady and Damaso Marte from the Pirates.

Nady gives them an outfielder who has been knocking the cover off the ball this year and Marte is one of the best left-handed relievers in the game.

Like I said, I don't see Wakefield getting the better of Pettitte today, especially with the additions the Yankees made.

Take the Yankees as they grab the road win.

3♦ NY YANKEES

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EZ WINNERS

5 STAR: (905) SAN DIEGO (-$105) over Pittsburgh
(Action) (Risking $525 to win $500)

2 STAR: (901) FLORIDA (+$220) over Chicago
(Action) (Risking $200 to win $440)

2 STAR: (919) NY YANKEES (+$103) over Boston
(Listing Pettitte only) (Risking $200 to win $206)

2 STAR: (905) CINCINNATI (-$120) over Colorado
(Listing Baily and De La Rosa) (Risking $240 to win $200)

2 STAR: (907) HOUSTON (+$153) over Milwaukee
(Action) (Risking $200 to win $306)

2 STAR: (925) MINNESOTA (+$113) over Cleveland
(Listing Baker only) (Risking $200 to win $226)

2 STAR: (927) CHICAGO (+$138) over Detroit
(Action) (Risking $200 to win $276)

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The King Maker

MIN (+105) vs CLE  2-Units

I am almost certain that we will see Fausto Carmona for only 5 innings tonight.
If you knew this, for certain, then I think you would pound the Twins tonight, am I correct?
There are several reasons why I'm taking a position on Minnesota and it begins and ends with Fausto.
Fausto had control issues, even before his hip injury, and his splits show that he walked 38 batters and only struck out 23 before he went down. So, even at his best, he was faltering in the zone.
He is a candidtate for juiced bags right from the start.

extended pitch counts and deadly hitter's counts are a distinct possibility today EVEN WHEN YOU DON'T FACTOR IN TWO VERY IMPORTANT ISSUES FOR FAUSTO TONIGHT.

#1 Jim Joyce is calling the game: Fausto had one of his worst starts of the season, this year, in the Joyce strike zone. I'm sure most of you understand that Fausto needs the low zone in order to be successful. IT'S JUST NOT THERE TODAY FOR FAUSTO.

In fact, Fausto LOCATES his pitches in many of the same zones that the following pitchers locate, so lets do a COMPARATIVE ZONE ANALYSIS for Carmona. Who throws like him, and what did they do in Joyce's Strike Zone:Aaron Laffey: Lost 9-6 on July 5th

John Maine: Lost 9-5 on June 10th

Johan Santana Lost in this zone 5-2 Last year.

Fausto Carmona couldn't get to the 6th inning against KC on April 24th in this strike zone. So let's start there:

He gave up NINE HITS, FOUR WALKS, and even coughed up a HOME RUN in that KC game!
Here are your splits from that game:

Cleveland Indians
Pitchers IP  H  R ER BB SO HR PC-ST ERA
F Carmona (W, 3-1) 5.0 9 4 4 4 1 1 98-59 2.89

Clearly, the walks and hits are a teling set of splits here, but the Home Run may be just as compelling! This set of splits shows a man that was forced to leave the low-zone and play ball in the meat of the plate.

And this is what Jim Joyce does to a Low Ball pitcher like Fausto. He elevates the ball, elevates the pitch count, and he elevates the likeihood of seeing a horrible bullpen by the 5th inning!

Fausto reached 98 pitches in that game against lowly KC. He left at the end of 5 innings.

Why is that high pitch count important?
Because..........

#2 Fausto is on a pitch count

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Investment Playmakers

20* Guaranteed Game - TWINS

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Jeffmoney

DBacks -110 (pod)
Twins +105

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Frank Rosenthal

902 CUBS-225
OVER 7.5
904 PHILLY-230
912 NYM-130
913 DBACKS-105
919 YANKS+110
923 ANGELS-115
OVER 9.5
925 TWINS+110
927 CWS+140

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Elite Sports Circle Guaranteed Selections

5000* ELITE STEAM BASEBALL WINNER
Detroit w/Verlander -150

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Locksmith Sports

1 Unit on Twins +102

There's usually no doubting Carmona's stuff, but he'll be rusty in his first start in two months.  The Twins are 5-1 in their last 6 Saturday games and 6-1 in Baker's last 7 Saturday starts.  The Twins are also 8-2 in their last 10 vs. the American League Central and 9-3 in their last 12 during game 2 of a series.  The Indians are a terrible 3-12 in their last 15 during game 2 of a series and 7-20 in their last 27 vs. American League Central.  Take the Twins to break out of their slump here.

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Wunderdog

Seattle at Toronto
Pick: Toronto -1.5 runs +144

The Mariners are back at what they have done best this season and that is losing! The latest streak has reached six games, and with it, the dubious distinction of becoming the worst team in baseball. A bad team playing at its worst presents a good opportunity to play the runline. Specifically against a hot and cold team that has turned hot as the Jays have now won four straight themselves and 10 of 14. The M's have churned out even poorer performances on the road turning out a 34% win rate, so we will back the Jays to win comfortably here.

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Black Widow Sports

1* on Colorado Rockies +110

Colorado is making a run at the NL West title just as they did late last season.  Only this year they are starting much sooner at that run.  The Rockies are 7-1 in their last 8 games overall heading into Saturday’s match-up with the Reds.  Cincinnati starter Homer Bailey is 0-2 with a 9.49 ERA in three home starts this season.  Colorado is 33-16 (+20.0 Units) against the money line vs. an NL team with a batting average of .255 or worse in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.  The Rockies are 35-17 (+23.0 Units) against the money line after batting .290 or better over a 20 game span over the last 2 seasons.  Look for the bats to stay red hot against a struggling Bailey Saturday.  Take the Rockies on the Money Line.

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The Parlay King

NY METS - 1.5 + 145 


PARLAY

NY METS -1.5 + 145
LA ANGELES - 1.5 + 130

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