MLB TRENDS JULY 24

MLB TRENDS JULY 24

Trend Sheet

12:10 PM PHILADELPHIA vs. NY METS
Philadelphia is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing NY Mets
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Philadelphia's last 5 games when playing NY Mets
NY Mets are 8-1 SU in its last 9 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of NY Mets's last 11 games at home


12:35 PM TORONTO vs. BALTIMORE
Toronto is 5-1-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing Baltimore
Toronto is 5-14-1 SU in its last 20 games on the road
Baltimore is 4-10-1 SU in its last 15 games
Baltimore is 3-5-1 SU in its last 9 games at home


3:45 PM WASHINGTON vs. SAN FRANCISCO
Washington is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing San Francisco
Washington is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games when playing on the road against San Francisco
San Francisco is 6-14 SU in its last 20 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 5 of San Francisco's last 5 games at home


7:05 PM SAN DIEGO vs. PITTSBURGH
San Diego is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Pittsburgh
San Diego is 1-8 SU in its last 9 games
Pittsburgh is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games when playing at home against San Diego
The total has gone OVER in 10 of Pittsburgh's last 15 games when playing at home against San Diego


8:05 PM FLORIDA vs. CHI CUBS
Florida is 4-1 SU in their last 5 games when playing on the road against Chi Cubs
The total has gone OVER in 14 of Florida's last 20 games when playing on the road against Chi Cubs
Chi Cubs are 19-4 SU in their last 23 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Chi Cubs's last 9 games at home


8:10 PM TAMPA BAY vs. KANSAS CITY
Tampa Bay is 15-6 SU in its last 21 games when playing Kansas City
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Tampa Bay's last 7 games when playing Kansas City
Kansas City is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Kansas City's last 7 games at home


8:15 PM MILWAUKEE vs. ST. LOUIS
Milwaukee is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Milwaukee is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
St. Louis is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Milwaukee
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of St. Louis's last 6 games when playing at home against Milwaukee

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Re: MLB TRENDS JULY 24

Hot Pitchers
-- Perez has 1.73 RA in his last four starts. Moyer is 2-0, 2.75 in his last three starts.
-- Zambrano is 2-1, 2.21 in his last three starts.
-- Brewers are 9-3 when Sheets starts on the road.

-- Halladay is 3-1, 2.03 in his last four starts.
-- Royals won last three Meche home starts (1-0, 3.26).

Cold Pitchers
-- Giants are 1-5 in Cain's last six home starts. Redding has 5.43 RA in his last eleven starts.
-- Hensley is 15-16, 3.85 in 39 career starts, most of which were back in 2006. Herrera allowed 13 runs in six IP in his first two '08 starts.
-- Olsen has 6.82 RA in his last six road starts.
-- Wellemeyer is 1-2, 7.15 in his last four starts.

-- Cabrera is 0-1, 7.57 in his last three starts.
-- Rays lost five of Garza's last six road starts.

Hot Teams
-- Mets won twelve of last fifteen games.
-- Pirates won last three games, scoring 25 runs.
-- Marlins won six of their last eight road games.
-- Brewers won eight of last nine road games.

Cold Teams
-- Phillies lost three of their last four games.
-- Padres lost eleven of their last fourteen games.
-- Giants lost nine of their last twelve games. Nationals are 2-8 in their last ten road games.
-- Cubs lost five of last seven games, but are 20-4 in last 24 tilts at Wrigley Field.
-- Cardinals lost first three games of Brewer series: 6-3/4-3/3-0.

-- Toronto lost seven of its last ten road games. Orioles lost ten of their last fourteen games.
-- Royals lost last four home games, outscored 37-9. Rays lost their last six games away from home.

Totals
-- Under is 8-2 in Mets' last ten home games.
-- Over is 8-1 in Giants' last nine home games.
-- Last six San Diego games went over the total.
-- Last five Zambrano starts stayed under the total.
-- Over is 5-1-1 in last seven St Louis games.

-- Over is 10-3 in last thirteen games at Camden Yards.
-- Five of last seven Royal games went over the total.

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Re: MLB TRENDS JULY 24

PHILADELPHIA (54 - 47) at NY METS (54 - 47) - 12:10 PM
JAMIE MOYER (L) vs. OLIVER PEREZ (L)
Top Trends for this game.
PHILADELPHIA is 12-18 (-9.7 Units) against the money line in day games this season.
MOYER is 19-5 (+16.1 Units) against the money line against division opponents over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
MOYER is 48-37 (+17.6 Units) against the money line in road games when playing against a team with a winning record since 1997. (Team's Record)
NY METS are 70-59 (-21.7 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 2 seasons.
NY METS are 29-33 (-24.9 Units) against the money line at home when the total is 9 to 9.5 over the last 2 seasons.
NY METS are 54-54 (-23.3 Units) against the money line against division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
NY METS are 70-59 (-21.7 Units) against the money line in home games in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
 
Head-to-Head Series History
NY METS is 8-4 (+2.7 Units) against PHILADELPHIA this season 
6 of 11 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+0.1 Units)
 
JAMIE MOYER vs. NY METS since 1997
MOYER is 4-3 when starting against NY METS with an ERA of 2.89 and a WHIP of 1.224.
His team's record is 6-4 (+3.5 units) in these starts. The OVER is 2-8. (-6.6 units)
 
OLIVER PEREZ vs. PHILADELPHIA since 1997
PEREZ is 2-3 when starting against PHILADELPHIA with an ERA of 3.39 and a WHIP of 1.508.
His team's record is 5-6 (-2.4 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 8-3. (+4.8 units)

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WASHINGTON (38 - 63) at SAN FRANCISCO (42 - 58) - 3:35 PM
TIM REDDING (R) vs. MATT CAIN (R)
Top Trends for this game.
WASHINGTON is 38-63 (-16.0 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
WASHINGTON is 21-61 (-29.5 Units) against the money line when the total is 8 to 8.5 over the last 2 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 55-56 (+14.2 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 63-64 (+15.7 Units) against the money line in day games over the last 3 seasons.
REDDING is 15-6 (+12.1 Units) against the money line in all games this season. (Team's Record) 
REDDING is 15-6 (+12.1 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season. (Team's Record) 
REDDING is 10-3 (+9.0 Units) against the money line after a loss this season. (Team's Record) 
SAN FRANCISCO is 113-149 (-31.4 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
SAN FRANCISCO is 19-31 (-12.9 Units) against the money line in home games this season.
SAN FRANCISCO is 11-27 (-16.0 Units) against the money line in day games this season.
SAN FRANCISCO is 19-31 (-12.9 Units) against the money line in home games in games played on a grass field this season.
CAIN is 16-37 (-24.7 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
CAIN is 8-20 (-15.6 Units) against the money line when the total is 8 to 8.5 over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
CAIN is 9-19 (-13.9 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
CAIN is 5-11 (-9.6 Units) against the money line at home when the total is 8 to 8.5 over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
CAIN is 0-8 (-8.4 Units) against the money line in day games this season. (Team's Record)
CAIN is 16-37 (-24.7 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
CAIN is 5-14 (-10.9 Units) against the money line after a win over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
 
Head-to-Head Series History
SAN FRANCISCO is 6-0 (+6.1 Units) against WASHINGTON this season 
4 of 6 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+2.0 Units)
 
TIM REDDING vs. SAN FRANCISCO since 1997
REDDING is 0-4 when starting against SAN FRANCISCO with an ERA of 8.02 and a WHIP of 2.016.
His team's record is 0-5 (-5.3 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 2-3. (-1.2 units)
 
MATT CAIN vs. WASHINGTON since 1997
CAIN is 2-2 when starting against WASHINGTON with an ERA of 3.00 and a WHIP of 1.061.
His team's record is 3-2 (+0.4 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 4-1. (+3.0 units)

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SAN DIEGO (38 - 64) at PITTSBURGH (47 - 54) - 7:05 PM
CLAY HENSLEY (R) vs. YOSLAN HERRERA (R)
Top Trends for this game.
SAN DIEGO is 38-63 (-27.7 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
SAN DIEGO is 15-34 (-16.9 Units) against the money line in road games this season.
SAN DIEGO is 15-29 (-18.0 Units) against the money line in July games over the last 2 seasons.
SAN DIEGO is 38-63 (-27.7 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
SAN DIEGO is 26-44 (-20.0 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
SAN DIEGO is 26-42 (-17.9 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
SAN DIEGO is 25-37 (-13.2 Units) against the money line after a loss this season.
PITTSBURGH is 29-22 (+8.4 Units) against the money line in home games this season.
PITTSBURGH is 29-22 (+8.4 Units) against the money line in home games in games played on a grass field this season.
PITTSBURGH is 342-321 (+39.1 Units) against the money line in home games in night games since 1997.
PITTSBURGH is 81-71 (+14.8 Units) against the money line in home games against right-handed starters over the last 3 seasons.
 
Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.
 
CLAY HENSLEY vs. PITTSBURGH since 1997
HENSLEY is 1-0 when starting against PITTSBURGH with an ERA of 1.50 and a WHIP of 1.167.
His team's record is 1-0 (+1.0 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 1-0. (+1.0 units)
 
YOSLAN HERRERA vs. SAN DIEGO since 1997
No recent starts.

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FLORIDA (53 - 48) at CHICAGO CUBS (59 - 42) - 8:05 PM
SCOTT OLSEN (L) vs. CARLOS ZAMBRANO (R)
Top Trends for this game.
CHICAGO CUBS are 59-42 (+9.3 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
CHICAGO CUBS are 37-12 (+19.0 Units) against the money line in home games this season.
CHICAGO CUBS are 57-38 (+10.7 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
CHICAGO CUBS are 15-3 (+11.2 Units) against the money line in home games in night games this season.
CHICAGO CUBS are 26-9 (+12.0 Units) against the money line in home games after a win this season.
ZAMBRANO is 13-2 (+10.4 Units) against the money line in July games over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
FLORIDA is 28-20 (+13.0 Units) against the money line after a loss this season.
FLORIDA is 429-485 (+30.7 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record since 1997.
FLORIDA is 231-244 (+41.6 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season since 1997.
FLORIDA is 53-48 (+14.0 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
FLORIDA is 52-46 (+14.7 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
FLORIDA is 39-38 (+7.3 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
FLORIDA is 40-33 (+13.2 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
ZAMBRANO is 2-8 (-10.5 Units) against the money line in home games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
 
Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.
 
SCOTT OLSEN vs. CHICAGO CUBS since 1997
OLSEN is 1-0 when starting against CHICAGO CUBS with an ERA of 3.80 and a WHIP of 1.266.
His team's record is 3-1 (+2.4 units) in these starts. The OVER is 3-1. (+2.0 units)
 
CARLOS ZAMBRANO vs. FLORIDA since 1997
ZAMBRANO is 3-2 when starting against FLORIDA with an ERA of 3.16 and a WHIP of 1.456.
His team's record is 5-4 (+2.1 units) in these starts. The OVER is 5-3. (+1.9 units)

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MILWAUKEE (58 - 43) at ST LOUIS (57 - 46) - 8:15 PM
BEN SHEETS (R) vs. TODD WELLEMEYER (R)
Top Trends for this game.
MILWAUKEE is 86-129 (-37.2 Units) against the money line in road games over the last 3 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 62-97 (-29.7 Units) against the money line in road games against right-handed starters over the last 3 seasons.
ST LOUIS is 11-2 (+9.4 Units) against the money line after getting shut out over the last 2 seasons.
ST LOUIS is 27-18 (+9.9 Units) against the money line after a loss this season.
ST LOUIS is 57-46 (+11.2 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
ST LOUIS is 57-46 (+11.2 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
ST LOUIS is 38-28 (+11.1 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
MILWAUKEE is 28-19 (+7.5 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
MILWAUKEE is 58-43 (+10.4 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
MILWAUKEE is 8-1 (+7.8 Units) against the money line in road games in July games this season.
MILWAUKEE is 57-41 (+11.6 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
 
Head-to-Head Series History
MILWAUKEE is 8-4 (+3.7 Units) against ST LOUIS this season 
8 of 11 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+4.7 Units)
 
BEN SHEETS vs. ST LOUIS since 1997
SHEETS is 5-14 when starting against ST LOUIS with an ERA of 4.28 and a WHIP of 1.373.
His team's record is 7-17 (-9.4 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 15-7. (+7.3 units)
 
TODD WELLEMEYER vs. MILWAUKEE since 1997
WELLEMEYER is 0-0 when starting against MILWAUKEE with an ERA of 0.00 and a WHIP of 1.000.
His team's record is 0-1 (-1.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 0-1. (-1.1 units)

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TORONTO (49 - 51) at BALTIMORE (48 - 51) - 12:35 PM
ROY HALLADAY (R) vs. DANIEL CABRERA (R)
Top Trends for this game.
TORONTO is 49-51 (-9.4 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
TORONTO is 51-66 (-38.4 Units) against the money line as a road favorite of -125 to -150 since 1997.
TORONTO is 16-29 (-14.9 Units) against the money line on the road when the total is 8 to 8.5 over the last 2 seasons.
TORONTO is 62-69 (-16.9 Units) against the money line after a win over the last 2 seasons.
TORONTO is 19-24 (-10.8 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
BALTIMORE is 28-19 (+9.2 Units) against the money line in home games this season.
BALTIMORE is 21-14 (+10.5 Units) against the money line when playing with a day off over the last 2 seasons.
BALTIMORE is 43-41 (+6.6 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
BALTIMORE is 38-35 (+9.3 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
BALTIMORE is 211-265 (-84.1 Units) against the money line in home games after a loss since 1997.
BALTIMORE is 9-22 (-12.6 Units) against the money line in day games this season.
 
Head-to-Head Series History
TORONTO is 6-4 (+0.7 Units) against BALTIMORE this season 
9 of 10 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+8.1 Units)
 
ROY HALLADAY vs. BALTIMORE since 1997
HALLADAY is 16-4 when starting against BALTIMORE with an ERA of 3.09 and a WHIP of 1.114.
His team's record is 18-5 (+11.2 units) in these starts. The OVER is 10-10. (-0.8 units)
 
DANIEL CABRERA vs. TORONTO since 1997
CABRERA is 4-7 when starting against TORONTO with an ERA of 4.48 and a WHIP of 1.438.
His team's record is 7-8 (-2.5 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 6-9. (-3.5 units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
 
TAMPA BAY (59 - 41) at KANSAS CITY (45 - 57) - 8:10 PM
MATT GARZA (R) vs. GIL MECHE (R)
Top Trends for this game.
TAMPA BAY is 60-120 (-39.5 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 3 seasons.
TAMPA BAY is 44-95 (-36.2 Units) against the money line in road games in night games over the last 3 seasons.
TAMPA BAY is 37-56 (-24.1 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
TAMPA BAY is 20-39 (-19.8 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
TAMPA BAY is 68-139 (-44.8 Units) against the money line in road games over the last 3 seasons.
TAMPA BAY is 2-19 (-16.7 Units) against the money line in road games in July games over the last 2 seasons.
KANSAS CITY is 102-142 (+18.3 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.
KANSAS CITY is 43-37 (+15.9 Units) against the money line when the total is 8 to 8.5 over the last 2 seasons.
MECHE is 17-10 (+11.5 Units) against the money line when the total is 8 to 8.5 over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
MECHE is 57-46 (+24.8 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record since 1997. (Team's Record)
TAMPA BAY is 42-26 (+12.6 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
TAMPA BAY is 59-41 (+13.7 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
KANSAS CITY is 27-43 (-12.7 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
KANSAS CITY is 20-36 (-12.5 Units) against the money line after a loss this season.
 
Head-to-Head Series History
TAMPA BAY is 3-1 (+1.3 Units) against KANSAS CITY this season 
3 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+2.1 Units)
 
MATT GARZA vs. KANSAS CITY since 1997
GARZA is 0-3 when starting against KANSAS CITY with an ERA of 3.42 and a WHIP of 1.215.
His team's record is 0-4 (-7.0 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 2-2. (-0.2 units)
 
GIL MECHE vs. TAMPA BAY since 1997
MECHE is 1-4 when starting against TAMPA BAY with an ERA of 5.40 and a WHIP of 1.511.
His team's record is 3-6 (-4.7 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 3-5. (-2.7 units)

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Re: MLB TRENDS JULY 24

National League

Philadelphia at NY Mets, 12:10 ET
Jamie Moyer (L) vs. Oliver Perez (R)
Moyer: 7-1 TSR AWAY when the total is 8.5 to 10
Perez: NYM 18-26 as a favorite of -125 to -175

Washington at San Francisco, 3:35 ET
Tim Redding (R) vs. Matt Cain (R)
Redding: 11-2 TSR as an underdog of +100 to +150
Cain: 0-8 TSR in day games

San Diego at Pittsburgh, 7:05 ET
Clay Hensley (R) vs. Yoslan Herrera (R)
Hensley: SD 15-34 in road games
Herrera: PIT 23-14 at home when the money line is +125 to -125

Florida at Chicago Cubs, 8:05 ET
Scott Olsen (L) vs. Carlos Zambrano (R)
Olsen: 16-3 TSR against NL Central
Zambrano: CHC 32-47 against NL East

Milwaukee at St. Louis, 8:15 ET
Ben Sheets (L) vs. Todd Wellemeyer (R)
Sheets: Mil 62-97 AWAY against right-handed starters
Wellemeyer: StL 11-1 revenging 4+ straight losses

American League

Toronto at Baltimore, 2:05 ET
Roy Halladay (R) vs. Daniel Cabrera (R)
Halladay: 18-5 TSR against Baltimore
Cabrera: BAL 9-31 as a home underdog of +125 to +175

Tampa Bay at Kansas City, 8:10 ET
Matt Garza (R) vs. Gil Meche (R)
Garza: TB 2-19 AWAY in July
Meche: 17-10 TSR when the total is 8 to 8.5

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Re: MLB TRENDS JULY 24

Around the Horn ATS Style
By Ron Raymond

Today’s Baseball Pick

San Diego – Pittsburgh: OVER 10.5 -110

Keys to selection: The Pirates bats have spoken! Pittsburgh has scored 25 runs in their last 3 games and averaging 8.5 Runs per game in their last 5 outings. Furthermore, both the Padres and Bucs are having pitching issues of late, both teams are averaging a combined 6.2 runs against average in their last 5 contest.

Here are a couple of baseball team systems backing up this selection this evening. In fact, when the Pirates are a Home Favorite at night and they are coming off a division road game that went OVER the posted total; the OVER is 10-1-0 for the Bucs in this spot since 1997.

On the other side of the fence, the Padres have seen the OVER go 13-2-0 in the road dog role vs. Right handed hurlers, while coming off a game 3 series lost vs. NL Central opponents.

Plus, this total opened up at 10.0 -120 and it’s been bet up to 10.5 -110, so keep an eye out during the day to see which direction this total will move.


Baseball Streakers

• Who’s Hot: Milwaukee 7 SU Wins, NY Yankees 6 SU Wins, Detroit 4 SU Wins, Boston 3 SU Wins, Pittsburgh 3 SU Wins

• Who’s Not: Seattle 4 SU Losses, Minnesota 3 SU Losses, and Houston 3 SU Losses.

• O/U Streaks: Washington 5 Over, San Francisco 5 Over, Toronto 4 Over, St Louis 3 Under, Milwaukee 3 Under


Today’s Stats and Trends

Philadelphia vs. New York Mets: When NY METS team played as a Home team - During the month of July - Vs Division Opponent - Coming off a 1 game win - Coming off a Home win; The Mets are 13-3 SU in this role.


Washington vs. San Francisco: When WASHINGTON team played as a 100 to 120 road Underdog - During the month of July - During a day game; The Nats are 3-7 SU in this role.


San Diego vs. Pittsburgh: When PITTSBURGH team Played as home team as a Favorite - During the 2008 season - Vs. Right handed pitchers; The Pirates are 9-2 SU in this role this season.


Florida vs. Chicago Cubs: When CHICAGO CUBS team played as a home team - During the 2008 season - During a night game; The Cubs are 15-3 SU in this spot this season.


Milwaukee vs. St.Louis: When ANY MLB Team played as a Road team - Vs NL Conference - Last 5 years - Before a conference game - Coming off a 7 game winning streak; The OVER is 13-3-2 for the Road Team (Brewers) in this spot L5Y.


Toronto vs. Baltimore: When TORONTO team played as a road team - Total is 8.5 - During the month of July; The Jays are 5-14 SU in this spot since ’97.


Tampa Bay vs. Kansas City: When TAMPA BAY team played as a road team - 1st game of a series - During the 2008 season; The OVER is 12-3-0 for the Rays in this spot this year.

*Note: When a line is a PK -110; the Favorites are identified by the run line. Example: Kansas City PK -110 (-1.5 +180)

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