MLB TRENDS JULY 23

MLB TRENDS JULY 23

Hot Pitchers
-- Reds won five of last six Arroyo home starts.
-- Astros won five of last six Moehler home starts.
-- Rusch is 2-0, 2.31 in his last couple of starts.
-- Nolasco is 3-1, 2.50 in his last five starts.
-- Sabathia is 3-0, 2.25 in three starts as a Brewer.

-- Rays are 10-1 at home when Shields starts, winning last six.
-- Perkins is 5-0, 3.00 in his last six starts. Mussina is 2-0, 1.50 in his last three starts.
-- Royals won six of seven Greinke home starts.
-- Angels won eight of Lackey's last nine starts.
-- Hernandez is 5-1, 2.25 in his last seven starts.
-- Orioles are 7-2 in Guthrie's last nine home starts. Burnett has a 1.76 RA in his last two starts; Toronto lost his last five on road.

Cold Pitchers
-- Maddux is 0-4, 7.14 in his last seven starts; his last win was way back on May 10.
-- Pirates lost seven of last eight Snell road starts.
-- Kuroda has 11.57 RA in his last four road starts.
-- Braves lost Hudson's last six road starts.
-- Maine is 0-2, 7.58 in his last four starts. Phillies lost last six Myers road starts.
-- Looper is 0-2, 6.86 in his last four starts.
-- Davis is 0-1, 5.82 in his last three starts. Cubs lost last three Lilly starts (0-1, 4.02).
-- Giants lost nine of ten Correia starts this season. Balestar is 0-2, 9.58 in his last couple of starts.

-- Smith is 0-2, 6.14 in his last three starts.
-- Richard was 12-6, 2.44 in 19 minor league starts; batter hit just .206 against him this season. Millwood is 1-2, 8.10 in last three starts; Rangers are 3-7 in his road starts.
-- Detroit lost last three Galarraga starts (0-1, 3.93).
-- Indians are 1-5 on the road when Laffey starts.
-- Red Sox are 0-6 when Buchholz starts on foreign soil.

Hot Teams
-- Marlins won nine of their last thirteen games. Braves are 3-1 in their last four road games.
-- Mets won eleven of last fourteen games. Phillies won six of their last nine games.
-- Reds are 10-6 in their last sixteen home games.
-- Astros are 5-3 in their last eight games.
-- Brewers won seven of last eight road games. Cardinals won four of their last six games; last three came down to last at-bat.
-- Arizona won three of its last four games.
-- Colorado won nine of its last eleven home games. Dodgers won eight of their last eleven road games.

-- Bronx won its last nine home games.
-- Rays are 35-9 in their last 44 home games.
-- Tigers won last three games, scoring 31 runs.
-- Rangers are 10-2 in game after their last dozen losses.
-- Angels won seven of their last nine games. Indians are 7-2 in their last nine games.

Cold Teams
-- Padres lost ten of their last thirteen games.
-- Pirates lost twelve of their last seventeen road games.
-- Cubs are 5-13 in their last eighteen road games.
-- Giants lost nine of their last eleven games. Nationals are 2-7 in their last nine road games.

-- Twins lost their last three games, scoring total of six runs.
-- Oakland lost ten of last fourteen road games.
-- Toronto lost seven of its last ten road games. Orioles lost ten of their last fourteen games.
-- Royals lost last three home games, outscored 30-8.
-- White Sox lost three of its last four games.
-- Mariners are 3-10 in their last thirteen games. Red Sox lost ten of their last fourteen road games, but won last two.

Totals
-- Over is 7-4 in last eleven Florida home games.
-- Under is 8-1 in Mets' last ten home games.
-- Last five San Diego games went over the total.
-- Under is 6-3 in last nine games at Minute Maid Park.
-- Over is 5-0-1 in last six St Louis games.
-- Last seven Jimenez starts stayed under the total.
-- Six of last eight Arizona games went over the total.
-- Over is 7-1 in Giants' last eight home games.

-- Under is 7-2-1 in last ten games in the Bronx.
-- Over is 10-3 in last thirteen games at Camden Yards.
-- Six of last nine Tampa home games went over total.
-- Five of last six White Sox games went over the total.
-- Five of last six Royal games went over the total.
-- Over is 7-2-1 in Cleveland's last ten road games.
-- Under is 4-1-1 in Boston's last six road games.

Umpires
-- Atl-Fla-- Four of last five Eddings games stayed under.
-- Phil-NY-- Under is 5-2 in last seven Hernandez games.
-- SD-Cin-- Under is 6-0-2 in last eight Hoye games.
-- Pitt-Hst-- Under is 2-0-1 in sub ump Tiller's games.
-- Mil-StL-- Underdog is 6-3 in last nine Rapuano games.
-- LA-Colo-- Last four O'Nora games stayed under the total.
-- Chi-Az-- Favorite won six of last seven Holbrook games.
-- Wsh-SF-- Over is 8-2 in Darling's last ten games behind dish.

-- Min-NY-- Last four Dimuro games went over the total.
-- Tor-Balt-- Over is 10-4-1 in last fifteen Barry games.
-- A's-TB-- Underdog is 7-4 in last eleven Fletcher games.
-- Tex-Chi-- Over is 9-4 in last thirteen Drake games.
-- Det-KC-- Under is 11-3 in Estabrook games this season.
-- Clev-LA-- Home side won six of last seven Cuzzi games.
-- Bos-Sea-- Under is 10-1-1 in last dozen Kulpa games.

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Re: MLB TRENDS JULY 23

Trend Sheet

12:35 PM SAN DIEGO vs. CINCINNATI
San Diego is 1-7 SU in its last 8 games
San Diego is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games on the road
Cincinnati is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games when playing at home against San Diego
Cincinnati is 7-3 SU in its last 10 games at home


12:40 PM OAKLAND vs. TAMPA BAY
Oakland is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games
Oakland is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games on the road
Tampa Bay is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games when playing Oakland
Tampa Bay is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Oakland


1:05 PM MINNESOTA vs. NY YANKEES
Minnesota is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games
Minnesota is 3-6 SU in its last 9 games on the road
NY Yankees are 6-1 SU in their last 7 games when playing at home against Minnesota
NY Yankees are 5-2 SU in their last 7 games when playing Minnesota


2:05 PM PITTSBURGH vs. HOUSTON
Pittsburgh is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games
Pittsburgh is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing Houston
Houston is 3-8 SU in its last 11 games when playing at home against Pittsburgh
Houston is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games when playing Pittsburgh


2:05 PM TEXAS vs. CHI WHITE SOX
Texas is 6-2 SU in their last 8 games when playing Chi White Sox
Texas is 2-4 SU in their last 6 games when playing on the road against Chi White Sox
Chi White Sox are 13-5 SU in their last 18 games at home
Chi White Sox are 2-4 SU in their last 6 games


2:10 PM DETROIT vs. KANSAS CITY
Detroit is 17-6 SU in its last 23 games when playing on the road against Kansas City
Detroit is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games when playing Kansas City
Kansas City is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games
Kansas City is 3-7 SU in its last 10 games at home


3:05 PM LA DODGERS vs. COLORADO
LA Dodgers are 4-2 SU in their last 6 games
LA Dodgers are 2-4 SU in their last 6 games when playing Colorado
Colorado is 8-3 SU in their last 11 games when playing at home against LA Dodgers
Colorado is 4-2 SU in their last 6 games when playing LA Dodgers


3:35 PM CLEVELAND vs. LA ANGELS
Cleveland is 7-2 SU in its last 9 games
Cleveland is 3-11 SU in its last 14 games on the road
LA Angels are 5-1 SU in their last 6 games at home
LA Angels are 6-1 SU in their last 7 games


4:40 PM BOSTON vs. SEATTLE
Boston is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games on the road
Boston is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Seattle
Seattle is 11-5 SU in its last 16 games when playing at home against Boston
Seattle is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games when playing at home against Boston


7:05 PM TORONTO vs. BALTIMORE
Toronto is 5-14 SU in its last 19 games on the road
Toronto is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Baltimore
Baltimore is 4-10 SU in its last 14 games
Baltimore is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing Toronto


7:10 PM ATLANTA vs. FLORIDA
Atlanta is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games when playing Florida
Florida is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games when playing Atlanta
Florida is 7-3 SU in its last 10 games


7:10 PM PHILADELPHIA vs. NY METS
Philadelphia is 8-2 SU in its last 10 games when playing on the road against NY Mets
Philadelphia is 3-7 SU in its last 10 games when playing NY Mets
NY Mets are 7-1 SU in its last 8 games at home
NY Mets are 11-3 SU in its last 14 games


8:15 PM MILWAUKEE vs. ST. LOUIS
Milwaukee is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Milwaukee is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games on the road
St. Louis is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games when playing Milwaukee
St. Louis is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games


9:40 PM CHI CUBS vs. ARIZONA
Chi Cubs are 0-5 SU in their last 5 games when playing on the road against Arizona
Chi Cubs are 3-7 SU in their last 10 games when playing Arizona
Arizona is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games at home
Arizona is 7-3 SU in their last 10 games when playing Chi Cubs


10:15 PM WASHINGTON vs. SAN FRANCISCO
Washington is 4-11 SU in its last 15 games
Washington is 3-11 SU in its last 14 games on the road
San Francisco is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Washington
San Francisco is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Washington

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Re: MLB TRENDS JULY 23

SAN DIEGO (38 - 63) at CINCINNATI (49 - 53) - 12:35 PM
GREG MADDUX (R) vs. BRONSON ARROYO (R)
Top Trends for this game.
SAN DIEGO is 38-62 (-26.7 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
SAN DIEGO is 15-33 (-15.9 Units) against the money line in road games this season.
SAN DIEGO is 15-28 (-17.0 Units) against the money line in July games over the last 2 seasons.
SAN DIEGO is 3-12 (-11.5 Units) against the money line when playing on Wednesday this season.
SAN DIEGO is 38-62 (-26.7 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
SAN DIEGO is 26-41 (-16.9 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
SAN DIEGO is 25-36 (-12.2 Units) against the money line after a loss this season.
CINCINNATI is 212-244 (-61.8 Units) against the money line in home games after a win since 1997.
CINCINNATI is 17-24 (-11.2 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
ARROYO is 9-17 (-10.2 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)

Head-to-Head Series History
SAN DIEGO is 3-3 (+0.2 Units) against CINCINNATI this season
3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+1.0 Units)

GREG MADDUX vs. CINCINNATI since 1997
MADDUX is 14-5 when starting against CINCINNATI with an ERA of 3.40 and a WHIP of 1.057.
His team's record is 15-9 (-0.7 units) in these starts. The OVER is 16-8. (+7.5 units)

BRONSON ARROYO vs. SAN DIEGO since 1997
ARROYO is 3-4 when starting against SAN DIEGO with an ERA of 3.98 and a WHIP of 1.525.
His team's record is 3-4 (-1.2 units) in these starts. The OVER is 4-2. (+1.8 units)

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PITTSBURGH (46 - 54) at HOUSTON (46 - 54) - 2:05 PM
IAN SNELL (R) vs. BRIAN MOEHLER (R)
Top Trends for this game.
PITTSBURGH is 3-15 (-11.2 Units) against the money line in road games after a win this season.
PITTSBURGH is 17-38 (-18.5 Units) against the money line as a road underdog of +100 to +125 over the last 3 seasons.
PITTSBURGH is 72-139 (-36.8 Units) against the money line in road games over the last 3 seasons.
PITTSBURGH is 31-71 (-28.2 Units) against the money line on the road when the total is 9 to 9.5 over the last 3 seasons.
PITTSBURGH is 72-139 (-36.8 Units) against the money line in road games in games played on a grass field over the last 3 seasons.
HOUSTON is 117-142 (-24.4 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
HOUSTON is 48-63 (-18.9 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
HOUSTON is 310-321 (-72.7 Units) against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
PITTSBURGH is 6-2 (+4.2 Units) against HOUSTON this season
5 of 7 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+2.6 Units)

IAN SNELL vs. HOUSTON since 1997
SNELL is 2-3 when starting against HOUSTON with an ERA of 3.95 and a WHIP of 1.452.
His team's record is 6-3 (+5.1 units) in these starts. The OVER is 4-5. (-1.1 units)

BRIAN MOEHLER vs. PITTSBURGH since 1997
MOEHLER is 4-3 when starting against PITTSBURGH with an ERA of 5.19 and a WHIP of 1.657.
His team's record is 4-4 (-0.7 units) in these starts. The OVER is 6-2. (+4.0 units)

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LA DODGERS (49 - 51) at COLORADO (44 - 58) - 3:05 PM
HIROKI KURODA (R) vs. GLENDON RUSCH (L)
Top Trends for this game.
COLORADO is 77-62 (+18.0 Units) against the money line after a win over the last 2 seasons.
COLORADO is 105-88 (+27.0 Units) against the money line as a home underdog of +100 to +125 since 1997.
COLORADO is 84-55 (+18.2 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 2 seasons.
COLORADO is 19-5 (+13.0 Units) against the money line in home games in July games over the last 2 seasons.
COLORADO is 26-16 (+14.1 Units) against the money line when playing on Wednesday over the last 2 seasons.
LA DODGERS are 120-79 (+29.3 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons.
LA DODGERS are 60-34 (+18.4 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
COLORADO is 9-20 (-13.8 Units) against the money line in day games this season.
COLORADO is 43-58 (-17.2 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
COLORADO is 27-45 (-19.0 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
COLORADO is 43-58 (-17.2 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
COLORADO is 13-24 (-12.5 Units) against the money line against division opponents this season.
RUSCH is 13-27 (-16.8 Units) against the money line in home games in day games since 1997. (Team's Record)
RUSCH is 42-61 (-27.2 Units) against the money line in home games in games played on a grass field since 1997. (Team's Record)
RUSCH is 22-36 (-20.0 Units) against the money line in home games after a win since 1997. (Team's Record)
RUSCH is 42-61 (-27.2 Units) against the money line in home games since 1997. (Team's Record)

Head-to-Head Series History
LA DODGERS is 7-4 (+2.4 Units) against COLORADO this season
7 of 11 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+2.7 Units)

HIROKI KURODA vs. COLORADO since 1997
KURODA is 0-0 when starting against COLORADO with an ERA of 7.50 and a WHIP of 1.833.
His team's record is 1-0 (+1.0 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 0-1. (-1.3 units)

GLENDON RUSCH vs. LA DODGERS since 1997
RUSCH is 0-5 when starting against LA DODGERS with an ERA of 14.72 and a WHIP of 2.672.
His team's record is 0-5 (-5.2 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 1-4. (-3.7 units)

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ATLANTA (47 - 53) at FLORIDA (53 - 47) - 7:10 PM
TIM HUDSON (R) vs. RICKY NOLASCO (R)
Top Trends for this game.
ATLANTA is 47-53 (-15.6 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
ATLANTA is 5-12 (-8.7 Units) against the money line on the road with a money line of -100 to -125 this season.
ATLANTA is 16-33 (-19.2 Units) against the money line in road games this season.
ATLANTA is 18-22 (-10.4 Units) against the money line against division opponents this season.
ATLANTA is 46-51 (-14.7 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
ATLANTA is 30-38 (-14.9 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
ATLANTA is 13-23 (-10.3 Units) against the money line in road games against right-handed starters this season.
HUDSON is 2-9 (-9.1 Units) against the money line in road games this season. (Team's Record)
HUDSON is 2-8 (-7.9 Units) against the money line in road games in games played on a grass field this season. (Team's Record)
FLORIDA is 32-27 (+8.0 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
FLORIDA is 53-47 (+15.1 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
FLORIDA is 29-22 (+9.1 Units) against the money line in home games this season.
FLORIDA is 22-16 (+11.2 Units) against the money line against division opponents this season.
FLORIDA is 52-45 (+15.7 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
FLORIDA is 39-37 (+8.4 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
FLORIDA is 40-32 (+14.2 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
NOLASCO is 12-6 (+9.9 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season. (Team's Record)
NOLASCO is 13-6 (+11.3 Units) against the money line in all games this season. (Team's Record)
ATLANTA is 95-55 (+26.0 Units) against the money line in road games in July games since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
FLORIDA is 5-6 (+0.2 Units) against ATLANTA this season
5 of 10 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=-0.1 Units, Under=-0.9 Units)

TIM HUDSON vs. FLORIDA since 1997
HUDSON is 6-2 when starting against FLORIDA with an ERA of 2.84 and a WHIP of 1.237.
His team's record is 9-3 (+3.9 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 4-7. (-4.0 units)

RICKY NOLASCO vs. ATLANTA since 1997
NOLASCO is 1-3 when starting against ATLANTA with an ERA of 4.91 and a WHIP of 1.636.
His team's record is 1-5 (-4.0 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 3-3. (-0.3 units)

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PHILADELPHIA (54 - 46) at NY METS (53 - 47) - 7:10 PM
BRETT MYERS (R) vs. JOHN MAINE (R)
Top Trends for this game.
MYERS is 4-13 (-13.3 Units) against the money line in all games this season. (Team's Record)
MYERS is 1-8 (-9.2 Units) against the money line in road games this season. (Team's Record)
MYERS is 8-16 (-15.8 Units) against the money line against division opponents over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
MYERS is 4-13 (-13.3 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season. (Team's Record)
MYERS is 3-10 (-9.3 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
PHILADELPHIA is 22-13 (+8.7 Units) against the money line in road games in night games this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 33-22 (+11.9 Units) against the money line in road games against division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
NY METS are 69-59 (-22.7 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 2 seasons.
NY METS are 28-33 (-25.9 Units) against the money line at home when the total is 9 to 9.5 over the last 2 seasons.
NY METS are 53-54 (-24.3 Units) against the money line against division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
NY METS are 69-59 (-22.7 Units) against the money line in home games in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
NY METS are 93-85 (-18.6 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons.
NY METS are 34-37 (-10.1 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
NY METS is 7-4 (+1.7 Units) against PHILADELPHIA this season
6 of 11 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+0.1 Units)

BRETT MYERS vs. NY METS since 1997
MYERS is 7-6 when starting against NY METS with an ERA of 5.49 and a WHIP of 1.400.
His team's record is 10-8 (+0.4 units) in these starts. The OVER is 13-5. (+7.3 units)

JOHN MAINE vs. PHILADELPHIA since 1997
MAINE is 4-0 when starting against PHILADELPHIA with an ERA of 2.36 and a WHIP of 1.107.
His team's record is 7-1 (+6.3 units) in these starts. The OVER is 4-3. (+0.8 units)

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MILWAUKEE (57 - 43) at ST LOUIS (57 - 45) - 8:15 PM
CC SABATHIA (L) vs. BRADEN LOOPER (R)
Top Trends for this game.
MILWAUKEE is 36-60 (-21.7 Units) against the money line in road games after a win over the last 3 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 85-129 (-38.2 Units) against the money line in road games over the last 3 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 61-97 (-30.7 Units) against the money line in road games against right-handed starters over the last 3 seasons.
ST LOUIS is 27-17 (+10.9 Units) against the money line after a loss this season.
ST LOUIS is 57-45 (+12.2 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
ST LOUIS is 24-15 (+10.9 Units) against the money line when playing on Wednesday over the last 2 seasons.
ST LOUIS is 57-45 (+12.2 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
MILWAUKEE is 57-43 (+9.4 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
MILWAUKEE is 56-41 (+10.6 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
MILWAUKEE is 7-4 (+2.7 Units) against ST LOUIS this season
7 of 10 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+3.7 Units)

CC SABATHIA vs. ST LOUIS since 1997
No recent starts.

BRADEN LOOPER vs. MILWAUKEE since 1997
LOOPER is 2-3 when starting against MILWAUKEE with an ERA of 6.33 and a WHIP of 1.704.
His team's record is 2-3 (-1.0 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 2-3. (-1.4 units)

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CHICAGO CUBS (58 - 42) at ARIZONA (50 - 50) - 9:40 PM
TED LILLY (L) vs. DOUG DAVIS (L)
Top Trends for this game.
CHICAGO CUBS are 918-984 (-188.1 Units) against the money line in all games since 1997.
CHICAGO CUBS are 266-312 (-86.7 Units) against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 since 1997.
CHICAGO CUBS are 23-34 (-15.9 Units) against the money line on the road with a money line of -100 to -125 over the last 2 seasons.
CHICAGO CUBS are 21-30 (-10.7 Units) against the money line in road games this season.
CHICAGO CUBS are 135-196 (-63.3 Units) against the money line on the road when the total is 9 to 9.5 since 1997.
CHICAGO CUBS are 19-26 (-9.3 Units) against the money line in road games in games played on a grass field this season.
CHICAGO CUBS are 14-22 (-9.9 Units) against the money line in road games in night games this season.
CHICAGO CUBS are 14-25 (-15.9 Units) against the money line in road games against left-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
ARIZONA is 143-123 (+11.4 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
DAVIS is 19-7 (+12.2 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
DAVIS is 14-4 (+9.9 Units) against the money line at home when the total is 9 to 9.5 over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
DAVIS is 19-7 (+12.2 Units) against the money line in home games in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
DAVIS is 15-7 (+9.2 Units) against the money line after a win over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
DAVIS is 16-9 (+10.1 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
DAVIS is 14-4 (+13.2 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
DAVIS is 46-37 (+12.3 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
ARIZONA is 50-50 (-9.4 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
ARIZONA is 22-27 (-9.9 Units) against the money line after a win this season.
ARIZONA is 16-27 (-13.8 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
CHICAGO CUBS is 3-2 (+0.6 Units) against ARIZONA this season
3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+1.0 Units)

TED LILLY vs. ARIZONA since 1997
LILLY is 1-3 when starting against ARIZONA with an ERA of 4.30 and a WHIP of 1.217.
His team's record is 1-3 (-2.5 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 2-2. (-0.3 units)

DOUG DAVIS vs. CHICAGO CUBS since 1997
DAVIS is 8-5 when starting against CHICAGO CUBS with an ERA of 3.57 and a WHIP of 1.246.
His team's record is 8-6 (+2.4 units) in these starts. The OVER is 6-8. (-2.4 units)

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WASHINGTON (38 - 62) at SAN FRANCISCO (41 - 58) - 10:15 PM
COLLIN BALESTER (R) vs. KEVIN CORREIA (R)
Top Trends for this game.
WASHINGTON is 38-62 (-15.0 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
WASHINGTON is 21-60 (-28.5 Units) against the money line when the total is 8 to 8.5 over the last 2 seasons.
SAN FRANCISCO is 642-528 (+87.4 Units) against the money line in night games since 1997.
WASHINGTON is 55-55 (+15.2 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
SAN FRANCISCO is 112-149 (-32.4 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
SAN FRANCISCO is 18-31 (-13.9 Units) against the money line in home games this season.
SAN FRANCISCO is 18-31 (-13.9 Units) against the money line in home games in games played on a grass field this season.
SAN FRANCISCO is 41-52 (-17.4 Units) against the money line in home games against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
SAN FRANCISCO is 5-0 (+5.1 Units) against WASHINGTON this season
3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+1.0 Units)

COLLIN BALESTER vs. SAN FRANCISCO since 1997
No recent starts.

KEVIN CORREIA vs. WASHINGTON since 1997
CORREIA is 1-0 when starting against WASHINGTON with an ERA of 3.00 and a WHIP of 1.000.
His team's record is 1-0 (+1.2 units) in these starts. The OVER is 0-1. (-1.2 units)

mvbski
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Re: MLB TRENDS JULY 23

OAKLAND (52 - 48) at TAMPA BAY (58 - 41) - 12:40 PM
GREG SMITH (L) vs. JAMES SHIELDS (R)
Top Trends for this game.
OAKLAND is 16-29 (-16.6 Units) against the money line in July games over the last 2 seasons.
TAMPA BAY is 57-40 (+25.8 Units) against the money line in home games after a loss over the last 3 seasons.
TAMPA BAY is 32-20 (+10.9 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
TAMPA BAY is 58-41 (+12.7 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
TAMPA BAY is 15-1 (+13.3 Units) against the money line as a home favorite of -150 to -175 this season.
TAMPA BAY is 39-16 (+18.4 Units) against the money line in home games this season.
TAMPA BAY is 37-22 (+16.7 Units) against the money line in home games in day games over the last 3 seasons.
TAMPA BAY is 39-17 (+17.1 Units) against the money line in games played in a dome this season.
TAMPA BAY is 41-18 (+18.4 Units) against the money line in games played on artificial turf this season.
SHIELDS is 11-0 (+11.0 Units) against the money line as a home favorite of -150 to -175 over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
SHIELDS is 26-12 (+13.9 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
SHIELDS is 25-12 (+12.9 Units) against the money line in home games in games played in a dome over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
SHIELDS is 25-12 (+12.9 Units) against the money line in home games in games played on artificial turf over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
SHIELDS is 12-1 (+11.3 Units) against the money line in home games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)

Head-to-Head Series History
TAMPA BAY is 3-2 (+0.6 Units) against OAKLAND this season
3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+0.8 Units)

GREG SMITH vs. TAMPA BAY since 1997
SMITH is 0-1 when starting against TAMPA BAY with an ERA of 2.57 and a WHIP of 1.286.
His team's record is 0-1 (-1.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 0-1. (-1.1 units)

JAMES SHIELDS vs. OAKLAND since 1997
SHIELDS is 2-1 when starting against OAKLAND with an ERA of 4.55 and a WHIP of 1.265.
His team's record is 3-1 (+2.3 units) in these starts. The OVER is 3-1. (+1.9 units)

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MINNESOTA (55 - 45) at NY YANKEES (55 - 45) - 1:05 PM
GLEN PERKINS (L) vs. MIKE MUSSINA (R)
Top Trends for this game.
MINNESOTA is 18-33 (-16.9 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
NY YANKEES are 45-18 (+19.9 Units) against the money line when playing on Wednesday over the last 3 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 25-20 (+6.9 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
MINNESOTA is 55-45 (+15.1 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
MINNESOTA is 41-31 (+14.1 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
NY YANKEES are 150-116 (-21.2 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
NY YANKEES are 132-100 (-18.3 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
NY YANKEES is 4-2 (+1.3 Units) against MINNESOTA this season
4 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+3.2 Units)

GLEN PERKINS vs. NY YANKEES since 1997
PERKINS is 0-1 when starting against NY YANKEES with an ERA of 11.25 and a WHIP of 3.000.
His team's record is 0-1 (-1.1 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 0-1. (-1.1 units)

MIKE MUSSINA vs. MINNESOTA since 1997
MUSSINA is 10-7 when starting against MINNESOTA with an ERA of 3.53 and a WHIP of 1.244.
His team's record is 13-8 (+1.0 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 8-9. (-1.9 units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

TEXAS (52 - 49) at CHI WHITE SOX (56 - 43) - 2:05 PM
KEVIN MILLWOOD (R) vs. CLAYTON RICHARD (L)
Top Trends for this game.
CHI WHITE SOX are 56-43 (+9.7 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
CHI WHITE SOX are 34-16 (+12.8 Units) against the money line in home games this season.
CHI WHITE SOX are 53-33 (+16.7 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
CHI WHITE SOX are 747-636 (+75.7 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters since 1997.
CHI WHITE SOX are 36-20 (+14.2 Units) against the money line after a win this season.
TEXAS is 30-19 (+16.3 Units) against the money line after a loss this season.
TEXAS is 29-26 (+8.5 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
TEXAS is 30-25 (+15.0 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
TEXAS is 52-49 (+12.8 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
TEXAS is 46-43 (+11.0 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
TEXAS is 3-2 (+1.3 Units) against CHI WHITE SOX this season
3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+0.9 Units)

KEVIN MILLWOOD vs. CHI WHITE SOX since 1997
MILLWOOD is 1-4 when starting against CHI WHITE SOX with an ERA of 2.81 and a WHIP of 1.247.
His team's record is 2-6 (-5.3 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 6-2. (+3.8 units)

CLAYTON RICHARD vs. TEXAS since 1997
No recent starts.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

DETROIT (51 - 49) at KANSAS CITY (45 - 56) - 2:10 PM
ARMANDO GALARRAGA (R) vs. ZACK GREINKE (R)
Top Trends for this game.
DETROIT is 25-29 (-10.0 Units) against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 this season.
DETROIT is 8-17 (-10.2 Units) against the money line on the road when the total is 9 to 9.5 this season.
DETROIT is 16-24 (-15.5 Units) against the money line against division opponents this season.
DETROIT is 31-42 (-18.1 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
KANSAS CITY is 102-141 (+19.4 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.
KANSAS CITY is 39-40 (+11.8 Units) against the money line in day games over the last 2 seasons.
KANSAS CITY is 41-73 (-20.9 Units) against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 over the last 2 seasons.
KANSAS CITY is 19-40 (-21.3 Units) against the money line at home when the total is 9 to 9.5 over the last 2 seasons.
KANSAS CITY is 27-42 (-11.6 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
KANSAS CITY is 20-35 (-11.4 Units) against the money line after a loss this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
KANSAS CITY is 6-2 (+6.5 Units) against DETROIT this season
5 of 8 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+1.7 Units)

ARMANDO GALARRAGA vs. KANSAS CITY since 1997
No recent starts.

ZACK GREINKE vs. DETROIT since 1997
GREINKE is 6-3 when starting against DETROIT with an ERA of 3.39 and a WHIP of 1.311.
His team's record is 8-4 (+7.2 units) in these starts. The OVER is 6-6. (-0.6 units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

CLEVELAND (44 - 55) at LA ANGELS (61 - 39) - 3:35 PM
AARON LAFFEY (L) vs. JOHN LACKEY (R)
Top Trends for this game.
CLEVELAND is 22-32 (-16.6 Units) against the money line after a loss this season.
CLEVELAND is 3-13 (-10.0 Units) against the money line in road games when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
CLEVELAND is 44-55 (-22.5 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
CLEVELAND is 18-33 (-15.5 Units) against the money line in road games this season.
CLEVELAND is 11-18 (-10.9 Units) against the money line in day games this season.
CLEVELAND is 43-50 (-18.0 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
CLEVELAND is 34-40 (-13.5 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
LA ANGELS are 61-39 (+14.5 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
LA ANGELS are 19-6 (+13.2 Units) against the money line in day games this season.
LA ANGELS are 56-34 (+14.7 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
LA ANGELS are 17-6 (+10.5 Units) against the money line against left-handed starters this season.
LACKEY is 31-13 (+12.0 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
LA ANGELS are 8-13 (-10.2 Units) against the money line in home games when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
LA ANGELS are 83-83 (-50.0 Units) against the money line as a home favorite of -150 to -175 since 1997.
LACKEY is 8-14 (-14.5 Units) against the money line as a home favorite of -150 to -175 since 1997. (Team's Record)

Head-to-Head Series History
LA ANGELS is 3-2 (-0.0 Units) against CLEVELAND this season
3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+0.7 Units)

AARON LAFFEY vs. LA ANGELS since 1997
LAFFEY is 1-0 when starting against LA ANGELS with an ERA of 1.80 and a WHIP of 1.600.
His team's record is 1-0 (+1.3 units) in these starts. The OVER is 0-1. (-1.1 units)

JOHN LACKEY vs. CLEVELAND since 1997
LACKEY is 3-5 when starting against CLEVELAND with an ERA of 2.85 and a WHIP of 1.342.
His team's record is 5-5 (-1.2 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 6-3. (+2.4 units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

BOSTON (59 - 43) at SEATTLE (38 - 62) - 4:40 PM
CLAY BUCHHOLZ (R) vs. FELIX HERNANDEZ (R)
Top Trends for this game.
BOSTON is 30-36 (-17.4 Units) against the money line when playing on Wednesday over the last 3 seasons.
BOSTON is 16-28 (-15.1 Units) against the money line in road games against right-handed starters this season.
BOSTON is 22-31 (-11.9 Units) against the money line in road games this season.
BUCHHOLZ is 2-8 (-8.4 Units) against the money line in all games this season. (Team's Record)
BUCHHOLZ is 0-7 (-8.5 Units) against the money line in road games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
SEATTLE is 26-10 (+12.4 Units) against the money line as a home favorite of -125 to -150 over the last 2 seasons.
BOSTON is 58-31 (+19.3 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
BOSTON is 33-12 (+18.5 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
SEATTLE is 34-60 (-28.4 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
SEATTLE is 28-43 (-15.9 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
SEATTLE is 24-37 (-13.2 Units) against the money line after a loss this season.
SEATTLE is 38-62 (-25.4 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
SEATTLE is 20-31 (-16.5 Units) against the money line in home games this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
BOSTON is 5-3 (+0.8 Units) against SEATTLE this season
7 of 8 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+6.0 Units)

CLAY BUCHHOLZ vs. SEATTLE since 1997
No recent starts.

FELIX HERNANDEZ vs. BOSTON since 1997
HERNANDEZ is 3-1 when starting against BOSTON with an ERA of 3.06 and a WHIP of 1.217.
His team's record is 4-1 (+3.8 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-4. (-3.2 units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

TORONTO (49 - 51) at BALTIMORE (48 - 51) - 7:05 PM
A.J. BURNETT (R) vs. JEREMY GUTHRIE (R)
Top Trends for this game.
TORONTO is 49-51 (-9.4 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
TORONTO is 3-12 (-10.5 Units) against the money line on the road with a money line of -100 to -125 this season.
TORONTO is 16-29 (-14.9 Units) against the money line on the road when the total is 8 to 8.5 over the last 2 seasons.
TORONTO is 29-39 (-16.4 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
TORONTO is 62-69 (-16.9 Units) against the money line after a win over the last 2 seasons.
TORONTO is 19-24 (-10.8 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
BURNETT is 39-66 (-28.6 Units) against the money line in road games since 1997. (Team's Record)
BURNETT is 3-13 (-12.3 Units) against the money line in road games in July games since 1997. (Team's Record)
BURNETT is 30-52 (-22.9 Units) against the money line in road games in games played on a grass field since 1997. (Team's Record)
BURNETT is 13-32 (-20.8 Units) against the money line in road games after a win since 1997. (Team's Record)
BALTIMORE is 20-6 (+13.3 Units) against the money line at home with a money line of -100 to -125 over the last 2 seasons.
BALTIMORE is 28-19 (+9.2 Units) against the money line in home games this season.
BALTIMORE is 43-41 (+6.6 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
BALTIMORE is 39-29 (+15.7 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
BALTIMORE is 38-35 (+9.3 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
BALTIMORE is 211-265 (-84.1 Units) against the money line in home games after a loss since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
TORONTO is 6-4 (+0.7 Units) against BALTIMORE this season
9 of 10 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+8.1 Units)

A.J. BURNETT vs. BALTIMORE since 1997
BURNETT is 6-1 when starting against BALTIMORE with an ERA of 5.26 and a WHIP of 1.358.
His team's record is 6-2 (+3.5 units) in these starts. The OVER is 6-2. (+4.1 units)

JEREMY GUTHRIE vs. TORONTO since 1997
GUTHRIE is 1-0 when starting against TORONTO with an ERA of 2.65 and a WHIP of 0.882.
His team's record is 2-3 (-1.1 units) in these starts. The OVER is 4-1. (+3.0 units)

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Re: MLB TRENDS JULY 23

National League

San Diego at Cincinnati, 12:35 ET
Greg Maddux (R) vs. Bronson Arroyo (R)
Maddux: SD 14-4 Over as a road underdog of +125 or less
Arroyo: 3-0 TSR, 3.22 ERA L3 starts

Pittsburgh at Houston, 2:05 ET
Ian Snell (R) vs. Brian Moehler (R)
Snell: Pit 12-4 Over Away off a win
Moehler: Hou 27-46 after allowing 8+ runs

LA Dodgers at Colorado, 3:05 ET
Hiroki Kuroda (R) vs. Glendon Rusch (L)
Kuroda: Dodgers 10-18 after scoring 1 run or less
Rusch: Col 13-0 Over after scoring 9+ runs BB games

Atlanta at Florida, 7:10 ET
Tim Hudson (R) vs. Ricky Nolasco (R)
Hudson: 2-9 TSR in road games
Nolasco: 11-5 TSR as an underdog

Philadelphia at NY Mets, 7:10 ET
Brett Myers (R) vs. John Maine (R)
Myers: 1-8 TSR in road games
Maine: 7-1 TSR vs. Philadelphia

Milwaukee at St. Louis, 8:15 ET
CC Sabathia (L) vs. Braden Looper (R)
Sabathia: Mil 2-11 off BB road division wins
Looper: StL 11-0 playing with quadruple revenge

Chicago Cubs at Arizona, 9:40 ET
Ted Lilly (L) vs. Doug Davis (L)
Lilly: Cubs 1-8 at Arizona
Davis: 19-7 TSR at home

Washington at San Francisco, 10:15 ET
Collen Balestar (R) vs. Kevin Correia (R)
Balestar: Wash 26-73 when the total is 7 to 8.5
Correia: SF 5-0 vs. Washington

American League

Oakland at Tampa Bay, 12:40 ET
Greg Smith (L) vs. James Shields (R)
Smith: OAK 16-29 in July
Shields: TB 17-1 as a home favorite of -150 to -200

Minnesota at NY Yankees, 1:05 ET
Glen Perkins (L) vs. Mike Mussina (R)
Perkins: Min 33-28 as an underdog of +100 to +150
Mussina: 7-12 TSR as a favorite of -125 to -175

Texas at Chicago White Sox, 2:05 ET
Kevin Millwood (R) vs. Clayton Richard (L)
Millwood: TEX 23-7 OVER against AL Central
Richard: CHW 7-0 OVER at Home on Wednesday

Detroit at Kansas City, 2:10 ET
Armando Galarraga (R) vs. Zach Greinke (R)
Galarraga: SEA 14-4 UNDER AWAY when playing on Wednesday
Greinke: 20-6 UNDER at home when the total is 9 to 9.5

Cleveland at LA Angels, 3:35 ET
Aaron Laffey (L) vs. John Lackey (R)
Laffey: CLE 2-9 after a one run team loss
Lackey: 21-7 TSR when the total is 7 to 8.5

Boston at Seattle, 4:05 ET
Clay Buchholz (R) vs. Felix Hernandez (R)
Buchholz: BOS 51-31 when the total is 8.5 to 10
Hernandez: SEA 23-45 when the total is 8.5 to 10

Toronto at Baltimore, 7:05 ET
AJ Burnett (R) vs. Jeremy Guthrie (R)
Burnett: 3-13 TSR AWAY when the total is 7 to 8.5
Guthrie: BAL 20-6 at home with a money line of -100 to -125

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Re: MLB TRENDS JULY 23

Tips and Trends

Boston Red Sox at Seattle Mariners [NESN | 4:40 PM ET]

Red Sox: Clay Buchholz is currently on a three-game slide and hasn't recorded a win since May 2. In his last four outings, Buchholz has been lit up for 31 hits and an alarming 24 runs in just 18 innings. Buchholz has been a disaster away from home, going 0-4 with an 8.49 ERA in six road starts this season. As expected, the OVER has been a wise play with Buchholz on the mound. The OVER is 8-2 in his last 10 starts, including cashing in five straight.

Red Sox are 4-10 in their last 14 road games.
Red Sox are 5-11 in the last 16 meetings at Seattle.

Key Injuries - SS Julio Lugo (.268; quad) is on the 15-day DL.

PROJECTED SCORE: 3

Mariners (-140, O/U 8.5): Felix Hernandez has been on the mark in his last seven starts, allowing three runs or less six times over that stretch. During that seven-game span, the Mariners are 6-1. King Felix has also had his fair share of success against the Red Sox over his career, going 3-1 with a solid 3.06 ERA in five career starts versus Boston. In his last 10 starts Hernandez has given up a total of 21 runs, while striking out 60 batters.

Mariners are 3-10 in their last 13 games overall.
The UNDER is 7-1 in the last 8 meetings.

Key Injuries - NONE

PROJECTED SCORE: 5



Toronto Blue Jays at Baltimore Orioles [7:05 PM ET]

Blue Jays: A.J. Burnett is 1-1 in his last two starts but he's pitched remarkable both times out. In a 4-1 victory against the Yankees and a tough 2-1 loss to the Rays, Burnett allowed just three runs, while striking 14 in 15.1 innings of work. Burnett has a stellar 6-1 career record against Toronto but his ERA is an unimpressive 5.26. Burnett was lit up his last time out against the Birds, giving up seven runs over five innings. Burnett's last two starts against the Orioles have gone way OVER the total.

Blue Jays are 5-14 in their last 19 road games.
The OVER is 14-2 in the last 16 meetings.

Key Injuries - OF Vernon Wells (.287; leg) is on the 15-day DL.

PROJECTED SCORE: 5 (OVER - Total Play of the Day)

Orioles (-120, O/U 8): Jeremy Guthrie hasn't recorded a loss since June 12. In six starts since, Guthrie has allowed just 16 runs in 40.1 innings of work. Guthrie is only 1-0 in five career starts versus Toronto but he does possess a stellar 2.65 ERA. In his outing against the Jays on July 10, Guthrie took a no-decision but pitched well, giving up only two runs over seven innings. Games with Guthrie on the mound tend to be high scoring. The OVER is 7-3 in his last 10 starts.

Orioles are 4-10 in their last 14 games overall.
The OVER is 21-7-1 in Baltimore's last 29 games overall.

Key Injuries - 2B Alex Cintron (.275; hamstring) is on the 15-day DL.

PROJECTED SCORE: 6



Philadelphia Phillies at New York Mets [ESPN | 7:10 PM ET]

Phillies: Phillies fans close your eyes because Brett Myers is taking the mound tonight. Myers is 1-7 with two no-decisions in his last 10 and Philly is just 1-9 over that span. Myers has been blasted in his last four starts, giving up a whopping 20 runs in 21 innings of work. Myers has been painfully bad on the road this season going winless (0-8) with an 8.18 ERA in nine starts. The OVER is 4-2 in Myers' last six starts.

Phillies are 10-2 in their last 12 games as an underdog.
Phillies are 8-2 in the last 10 meetings at New York.

Key Injuries - NONE

PROJECTED SCORE: 3

Mets (-140, O/U 9): John Maine is winless in his last four outings, losing twice and receiving two no-decisions. Over those four games, Maine has allowed 16 runs in just 19 innings pitched. On the bright side, Maine is a perfect 4-0 with a 2.36 ERA in his career against the Phillies and he's 4-1 at Shea Stadium this season. In Maine's last 10 starts, the OVER is 7-3.

Mets are 11-3 in their last 14 games overall.
The UNDER is 8-2 in New York's last 10 home games.

Key Injuries - Closer Billy Wagner (24 saves; shoulder) is questionable.

PROJECTED SCORE: 6 (Side Play of the Day)



Milwaukee Brewers at St. Louis Cardinals [8:15 PM ET]

Brewers (-140, O/U 8.5): C.C. Sabathia has been an absolute beast for the Brewers since coming over from Cleveland. Sabathia has won all three of his starts, pitched two complete games, struck out 24 and allowed just six runs. For a Brewers team with a questionable bullpen, Sabathia is just what the doctor ordered. As good as he's pitched for the Brew Crew, ironically two of the three games he's started have gone OVER the total.

Brewers are 6-0 in their last 6 games overall.
The OVER is 8-3 in Milwaukee's last 11 games overall.

Key Injuries - NONE

PROJECTED SCORE: 5

Cardinals: Braden Looper hasn't pitched well in his last two starts, allowing 10 runs in nine innings on the mound. He hasn't been great at home, going just 4-4 with a 4.95 ERA in 11 starts. Looper has a losing record versus the Brewers (4-5) and was hit hard the last time he took the mound against them, giving up seven hits and four runs in just six innings. After cashing two easy UNDERs, Looper's last outing went well OVER the posted total.

Cardinals are 11-5 in their last 16 Wednesday games.
Cardinals are 1-6 in the last 7 meetings.

Key Injuries - OF Brian Barton (.246; hand) is on the 15-day DL.

PROJECTED SCORE: 4

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Re: MLB TRENDS JULY 23

Around the Horn ATS Style
By Ron Raymond

Here’s some notable numbers to consider today when making your baseball selections. The Mets are 8-2 SU in their last 10 games and the UNDER is 7-3-0 in those games. The UNDER is 15-6-0 for the Rockies when Jimenez toes the rubber and the O/U is a even .500 for the Rockies vs. Left handed pitchers this season at 14-14-0. The Nats will counter with Bergmann today and the Nats are 2-11 SU in his starts this season and the OVER is 21-14-0 when Washington faces a southpaw.

Seems the early money has created some line movement today, the following games have seen the total jump from half to a full point on the total in some of today’s games.

Phillies- Mets: 8.5 TO 7.5

Dodgers – Rockies: 9.5 to 10.5

Cubs – Dbacks: 9.0 – 9.5

Nationals – Giants: 9.5 to 8.5

Blue Jays – Orioles: 9.5 to 9.0

Red Sox – Mariners: 9.0 – 8.5


Today’s Baseball Pick

Boston – Seattle: UNDER 8.5 -115

Keys to selection: Daisuke Matsuzaka gets the nod today for the Bo Sox and the Red Sox have only allowed 1.67 runs against in his last 3 starts. Plus, the Red Sox bats have been silent of late, as they are only averaging 2.8 runs per game in their last 5 starts.

Here’s a 66% winning baseball system backing up our UNDER call in the Boston vs. Seattle game tonight at Safeco Field. Whenever you have a Home Underdog and the total is between 8.5 to 9.0 during the month of July, before a non division game and they are coming off a lost vs. Left handed pitcher; The UNDER is 31-16-1 for the Home Dog in this role this season since 1997.

Plus, this total opened at 9.0 and the early money has been coming in on the UNDER. Let’s back the system and early money on this game and go with the UNDER 8.5 -110 in the Red Sox vs. Mariners game this evening.


Baseball Streakers

Who’s Hot: Milwaukee 5 SU Wins, NY Yankees 4 SU Wins, and Cleveland 3 SU Wins.

Who’s Not: Oakland 6 SU Losses, Chicago White Sox 3 SU Losses, Seattle 3 SU Losses, and San Francisco 3 SU Losses.

O/U Streaks: Oakland 6 Under, Kansas City 4 Over, Toronto 3 Over, Washington 3 Over, San Francisco 3 Over, Boston 3 Under, Los Angeles Angels 3 Under.


Today’s Stats and Trends

Atlanta vs. Florida: When ATLANTA team played as a Road team Total is 10.0 During the 2008 season; The Braves are 1-7 SU in this spot this season.

Philadelphia vs. New York Mets: When PHILADELPHIA team played as a 140 to 160 road Underdog - Vs NL Conference - During the month of July; The OVER is 10-3-1 for the Phillies in this spot.


San Diego vs. Cincinnati: When CINCINNATI team played as a 100 to 120 Home Underdog - Vs Conference Opponent - After a non division game - Coming off a Loss vs. NL WEST opponent - Coming off a Home loss; The Reds are 7-3 SU in this role.


Pittsburgh vs. Houston: When PITTSBURGH team Played as road team as a Underdog - 2nd game of a series - During the 2008 season; The OVER is 12-3-0 for the Pirates in this spot this year.


Milwaukee vs. St.Louis: When ST LOUIS team played as a Home team - Playing on Tuesday - During a night game - Coming off 1 under - Coming off a Home loss; The UNDER is 9-2-1 for the Cardinals in this spot.


Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Colorado: When COLORADO team Played as Home team as a Favorite - Vs. Right handed pitchers - Total is between 9.5 to 10.0 - Coming off a 1 game loss - Coming off a Home loss; The Rockies are 8-2 SU in this role.


Chicago Cubs vs. Arizona: When ARIZONA team played as a Home team - Coming off vs. National League opponent - Vs. Right handed pitchers - Coming off 1 under - Coming off a 1 game win; The Dbacks are 20-9 SU in this spot.


Washington vs. San Francisco: When SAN FRANCISCO team Played as home team as a Favorite - Last 3 years - Total is 8.5; The UNDER is 35-16-0 for the Giants at home L3Y.


Minnesota vs. New York Yankees: When NY YANKEES team played as a -120 to -140 home Favorite - Last 5 years - During the month of July; The Yankees are 7-3 SU in this spot L5Y.


Toronto vs. Baltimore: When TORONTO team Played as road team as a Favorite - Total is between 9.5 to 10.0 - Playing on Tuesday; The UNDER is 11-2-2 for the Blue Jays.


Oakland vs. Tampa Bay: When TAMPA BAY team Played as Home team as a Favorite - Coming off vs. American League opponent - 2nd game of a series - Coming off a Home win as a Favorite - Coming off a 1 game win; The Rays are 13-5 SU in this spot.


Texas vs. Chicago White Sox: When TEXAS team played as a Road team 2nd game of a series During the month of July Vs. Left handed pitchers; The Rangers are 1-10 SU in this role since ’97.


Detroit vs. Kansas City: When KANSAS CITY team played as a Home team - Before a division game - Vs. Left handed pitchers - Coming off a Home loss as a Favorite - Coming off lost vs. Right handed pitcher; The OVER is 12-4-0 for the Royals in this position since ’97.


Cleveland vs. Los Angeles Angels: When LOS ANGELES ANGELS team played as a -180 to -200 home Favorite - Vs Conference Opponent - 2nd game of a series; The Angels are 10-2 SU in this role.


Boston vs. Seattle: When BOSTON team Played as Road team as a Favorite - After a conference game - Before a conference game - Coming off a Road win - Coming off a 4 run win; The Red Sox are 9-3 SU in this role.

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