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TUESDAY SERVICE PLAYS
Re: TUESDAY SERVICE PLAYS
ATL (-114) vs FLA MLB 3* BEST BET of the WEEK
BAL (-114) vs TOR 2* ML WAGER
ARI (-108) vs CHC 2* ML WAGER
STL / MIL Over 9 1* TOTAL
NYM / PHI Under 8 1* TOTAL
KAN (+118) vs DET 1* ML WAGER
WNBA "HEAVY HITTER" (1*) TEASER PLAY of the DAY
DETROIT pk & INDIANA +5.5 (1*) Teaser
Re: TUESDAY SERVICE PLAYS
Scott Spreitzer's 25* MLB DIAMOND DOMINATOR! *13-2, 87% w/ 25* Plays!
I'm playing the Rockies on Tuesday night. Colorado may have taken one on the chin last night, thanks to a horrible first inning, but they didn't do any harm to their run-scoring ability in home games against southpaws. The Rockies are 11-2 in home night starts against lefthanders, scoring 7.51 runs per game. So, it would be no shocker to see Colorado pile up a bunch of runs and hits once again, this time against lefty Clayton Kershaw. The 20-year old from Dallas has been horrible in night outings. In four lifetime evening starts (all this season) Kershaw has been smacked for a 5.95 ERA, 1.73 WHIP, and .280 BAA! In fact, in his eight Major League starts, overall, Kershaw owns a 1.63 WHIP and .271 BAA. Those kind of numbers spell doom against Colorado at Coors. Run outbursts are not the norm for the Dodgers. After punishing the Rockies last night, Los Angeles will return to season-long form against Jimenez. The Dodgers went into last night's contest scoring just 3.7 runs per game against righties, away from home. Jimenez has had no trouble at all with L.A. in home starts. Looking at his overall numbers, you wouldn't be too thrilled. But in home-only starts against Los Angeles, Jimenez owns a 3.38 ERA & 1.28 WHIP. He's been virtually unhittable in his last five home starts overall, allowing just seven earned runs and 33 base runners in 33 1/3 IP, for a 1.89 ERA and 0.99 WHIP...at Coors, no less. In fact, in 10 home starts this season, the righty owns a 2.80 ERA, 1.15 WHIP, and .212 BAA! Hard to believe those numbers are real, pitching in Denver. It's no wonder the Rockies have won five of his last six home starts...make it six of seven after Tuesday. Colorado is my 25* release.
Re: TUESDAY SERVICE PLAYS
Lenny Del Genio's #1 Underdog of the Week **BIG PLAY**
Play on Philadelphia at 7:10 ET. The Mets seem to really have the Phillies� number this year, having taken 7 of the first 10 meetings, but we love this price and this matchup for the visitors. On the road, against lefties, in night games is a situation that Philly has thrived in all season long (+$1110), going 19-7 with 6.2 runs scored/game. The Mets have lost money this season vs. righties and will be facing a pitcher they are fairly unfamiliar with. This is Joe Blanton�s debut for the Phillies and the club couldn�t have picked a better team for him to go up against. In two career starts vs. New York, Blanton has not yielded a single run in 15 IP! While Santana has steadily begun to turn things around, the fact remains that his TSR is a pretty poor 3-8 when favored in this price range (-125 to -175). This dog will have some bite. Philadelphia is our #1 Underdog of the Week.
Lenny Del Genio's 15* Pitching Mismatch GOW *12-7 Run*
Play on San Diego at 7:10 ET. Sometimes some pitchers just own some teams. On Sunday, we should have had a win with Brandon Webb and Arizona as Webb was riding a seven-game win streak vs. LA, but a ninth inning collapse by the D�backs bullpen broke our hearts. Yesterday, we saw Randy Johnson move to 13-0 lifetime (14-0 TSR) vs. the Cubs with a 2-0 win. Tonight, we find that San Diego�s Jake Peavy has a perfect 8-0 TSR vs. Cincinnati. The Padres should have some confidence here as they rallied for a 6-4 win Monday night to put an end to a six-game losing streak. Peavy is coming off a bad outing where he allowed 4 HR for just the second time in his career, but prior to that he�d thrown 15 innings of scoreless baseball. The Reds� Johnny Cueto has been wildly inconsistent all season long and in his last outing he gave up six runs, which is two more than Peavy has allowed in his last three. San Diego is our 15* Pitching Mismatch Game of the Week.
Re: TUESDAY SERVICE PLAYS
My 5* MLB Game of the Day is the Arizona Diamondbacks over the Chicago Cubs.
2nd game of a 3 game set here with Jason Marquis taking the hill for the Cubs and Yusmerio Petit for the Diamondbacks. Petit normally a reliever will be spot starting here to replace Owings. Petit has been a very solid reliever for the Diamondbacks and when given the chance has pitched well in the starting role. First week of July he pitched 6 strong innings against a dangerous Brewers ball club only allowing 2 hits and 1 run. He has limited experience against the Cubs but solid numbers posting a 3.27 ERA and 0.91 WHIP in 11 innings of experience against Chicago. He should be helped by a Cubs ball club that has been dismal hitting the ball on the road and terrible on the road in general this season. Both of these squads have astounding home/away dichotomies as the Cubs are 21-29 away from home and only hit .254 away from Wrigley. They are only scoring 4.02 runs per game away both numbers significantly less than at home. Take away the 9 run game at Houston and this is a ball club that has only scored 3 runs total in 3 of their last 4 ball games since the all star break. On the other side the Diamondbacks are at home where they have been much more comfortable this season. They have the worst home/road dichotomy of any team in major league baseball and at home they hit a solid .274 as a team including scoring 5.26 runs per game. Cubs send Marquis to the hill and while he has been serviceable this season he is only 6-5 overall on the year with a 4.44 ERA and a high WHIP of 1.43. Diamondbacks overall on the year are 8 games above .500 at home and with all of their struggles this season still have been very solid club at their home ball park. Cubbies meanwhile have had all kinds of road troubles and I expect that to continue tonight. It is noteworthy that the Cubs are 1-8 their last 9 ball games priced as an underdog. I currently have this line at -110. My 5* MLB Game of the Day is the Arizona Diamondbacks. As always, Good Luck, Let’s make some money.
Teddy June’s MLB Total of the Day
My 5* MLB Total of the Day is the Cleveland Indians/L.A. Angels Over the posted total. 2nd game of a 3 game set here with Matt Ginter making the start for the Indians and Jered Weaver for the Angels. Ginter is a journeyman starter/reliever who was last seen in the big leagues in 2005 with the Tigers. He has made one start this year a solid effort against the recently quiet bats of the Tampa Rays but I don’t expect his success to last very long. Ginter owns a career 5.33 ERA including a 1.47 WHIP and has particularly struggled against the Angels. In 21.2 innings of work he has allowed 36 hits, 21 ER, 9 BB and an 8.72 ERA with a 2.08 WHIP. That also includes Angels hitters batting an outstanding .371 against him. Angels bats began to come alive before the All Star break and have shown glimpses of breaking out since then. Angels in their last 10 ball games against right-handed pitching are hitting a strong .280 and scoring 5.82 runs per game. On the other side the Indians have suddenly woken up from their spiraling losing season and have reeled off 7 of 8 wins. They have done it with their bats particularly against right-handers where they are hitting .288 their last 10 ball games and scoring a strong 7.08 runs per game against. Weaver is taking the hill for the Angels and while he is a solid young talent he has been inconsistent this season. His biggest problems have come in night games where he is 4-8 on the season and posting a 4.43 ERA, that ERA is a little less than 2 points higher than his day starts. In his 91.1 innings of work in night games he has allowed 91 hits and has been far from good. Combine that with his woeful career numbers against the Indians and I don’t expect a good outing from him tonight. In 4 career starts he has pitched 23 innings and allowed 25 hits, 13 ER, 8 BB, 5.09 ERA and 1.43 WHIP. Both teams have shown previous success against each starter and both teams have been red hot swinging with the bat versus right-handers lately. I expect some early runs in this one giving us a nice over pace allowing for it to cash in the mid innings. I currently have this line at 9 with plus juice. My 5* MLB Total of the Day is the Cleveland Indians/L.A. Angels Over the posted total.
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