TUESDAY SERVICE PLAYS

TUESDAY SERVICE PLAYS

STU FINER

Toronto Blue Jays at Baltimore Orioles

The Orioles are a better home team than most people think.  This is a team that just doesn’t get enough credit.  We know they play in an ultra tough division.  That is even more of a reason to be impressed.  The Orioles would be leading an NL West right now at this point in the season.  Being a few games under .500 is an accomplishment in the AL East.  It is by far the toughest division in all of a baseball.

The Blue Jays send Shaun Marcum to the hill tonight.  This will be Shaun’s first start in over a month.  Marcum has been on the disabled list since June 19.  It will not be an easy transition back to the rotation here tonight.  Shaun has always been a guy to have a high pitch count.  Word out of Toronto is they are looking for just five innings max for Shaun.  That translates to pitching four innings and say a prayer.  The Baltimore Orioles will be able to win the second game of this series behind their south-paw.

Baltimore Orioles (+)

Minnesota Twins at New York Yankees

We like the Twins to take this one here in the Bronx.  The Twins have played such strong baseball for such a long time.  This isn’t a team that has played well for a week or so.  This is a team that has played so good for 30 plus games.

You have to take out Kevin Slowey’s last start.  This guy has been so good for the Twins.  He hasn’t lost since June 8, 2008 against the Chicago White Sox.  In fact Kevin is 4-0 in his last five starts.  In three of those starts he allowed two runs or fewer in each of them.  Kevin has big time stuff.  He has allowed just 80 hits in 82 innings.  What is most impressive is no doubt his control.  Kevin has walked just 13 batters in 82.1 innings.

The Yankees are a very patient baseball team.  They feast on pitchers that don’t throw strikes.  Kevin will get the job done on the road.

Minnesota Twins (+)

Oakland Athletics at Tampa Bay Rays

Andy Sonnanstine has been so good for the Rays this season.  Andy has pitched well this season for the Rays.  Actually he has pitched better than well this season.  Andy has already compiled ten wins on the season.  Andy has earned his victories.  Even better than his ten wins this season, has been the record for the Tampa Bay Rays in his starts.

Andy is 10-4 on the season.  The Tampa Bay Rays are 14-5 in his nineteen starts.  14-5 is nothing to just brush to the side.  Winning at almost a 75% clip is something you have to look at it.  Andy has been pitching just as well as of late too.  Sure his last start wasn’t good but previous five starts were.  We are not going to let one poor start sway us.  Andy has lost just one game since he end of May.  What else can you expect from this guy?

Tampa Bay Rays (-)

Detroit Tigers at Kansas City Royals

Once again we just can’t ignore the line for this game.  We are not a fan of just going off of reputation.  We don’t allow big names to get us on or off certain games.  There is no doubt that the Tigers have more talent on paper than the Royals.  No one can tell you other-wise.  Even big Royal fans know the Tigers are better on paper.  The game isn’t played on paper folks.  The game is played on the diamond where there are many other factors.

Tonight the Royals face an aging pitcher in Kenny Rogers.  Kenny has just been average this season.  On the road Kenny has been getting hit hard.  It is tough for any pitcher to throw on the road, especially an older veteran who is all about routine.

Kenny Rogers is just 4-4 on the road this season with an ERA at almost 5.00 (4.86 to be exact).  Look for the Royals to win the second game of this series.

Kansas City Royals (-)

Texas Rangers at Chicago White Sox

We like the White Sox t get the job done at home tonight against the Rangers.  The Rangers are a team that depends just on offense.  If any of you out there pay attention, you know that hitting comes and goes during the course of a season.  It especially comes and goes for the Texas Rangers.

When they talk about the effect of the “Dog Days” of summer, they are really taking about the Texas Rangers.  Playing thirty or forty games in 110 degree weather does not help a team stay locked in.  Sure this game is on the road but their offense has already begun to slow down.

The Rangers are just an average team on the road.  The White Sox on the other hand are more than fifteen games over the .500 mark.  Look for them behind Jose Contreras to get the job done.

Chicago White Sox (-)

Cleveland Indians at LA Angels

The Angels are just a team that finds ways to win ball games.  When you look at their team on paper you may not think they are that strong.  You will say they have an average line-up, an average rotation and a solid bull-pen.  They have the “x” factors though.  They win tight ball games, they have a hall of fame player in the middle of their line-up and they have this season’s best closer in Rodriguez.  Can you believe this guy already has 40 saves?

The Angels also have something that goes un-noticed.  They have fantastic defense.  Just take a look at their out-field.  They have gold glove Tori Hunter patrolling it and two corner men with big time throwing arms.

The Indians are a dead baseball team folks.  They are fifteen games under the .500 mark away from Ohio.  They are still without their two best hitters and have thrown in the white flag for the 2008 season.

LA Angels (-)

Boston Red Sox at Seattle Mariners

The Red Sox are too good of a team to keep up their losing ways on the road.  We are not going to tell you that they are all of a sudden going to be a good road team, but come on we aren’t asking for that much.  It shouldn’t be that difficult to beat the Seattle Mariners even in Seattle.

Daisuke Matsuzaka has been the Red Sox best pitcher this season.  Here is a guy that has lost just one game all season.  Yes his 10-1 mark is as real as it gets.  Even more impressive than his ten wins is the team’s record.  So many times people worry about just the starting pitcher’s record.  That can lead to many mistakes.  The Red Sox though are 13-3 in Dice K’s sixteen starts.

Dice pitched back to back two hitters in his last two road starts.  Yes four hits in his last two road starts which included just one run.  Look for the Sox to smack the Mariners here in Seattle.

Boston Red Sox (-)


National League    

Atlanta Braves at Florida Marlins

Look for the Braves to start getting on a little hot streak here in this second half of baseball.  The Braves are too talented to continue their losing ways.  In this division they still have more than a shot.  In fact we feel they have as much talent as anyone in the division.  They have Tim Hudson and Jorge Campillo at the top of their rotation.  The Braves also have a ton of talent in their line-up.

This is a team that can send out all-stars and hall of fame players at their every day positions.  Chipper Jones who is still hitting over .370 bats in the three hole.  Mark Teixeira bats clean-up and we all know how good this guy is in the second half of the season.  Last year he hit over .330 with massive power numbers in the summer months.  They also have a very under-rated Brian McCann who catches for them.  He was the only other all-star for the Atlanta Braves.

Bottom line this team can pound the ball.  Their pitching always picks it up when it matters.  Look for the Braves to beat up Mark Hendrickson, he started off well but has cooled down dramatically.

Atlanta Braves (+)

Philadelphia Phillies at New York Mets

This line is just too good to ass up for the Phillies.  These two teams are so equal.  They have been batting for more than just the 2008 season.  We understand the pitching match-up is an advantage for the New York Mets but  this number is just too high.

Johan Santana was no doubt the Mets biggest acquisition of the off-season.  You have to face facts though, this guy hasn’t lived up to his contract or his reputation.  Johan is just 8-7 on the season.

Santana is coming off his worst start of the season, allowing five runs and six hits in just four innings on Thursday.  This guy had the audacity to blame the “Piano Man” for some of his struggles.  Yes Johan Santana couldn’t get in to Shea Stadium because of two Billy Joel concerts.  Yes, Johan Santana couldn’t find a place to pitch.  That is what he was saying. 

Johan just doesn’t have the make-up for New York.  He has lost or pitched badly in every big game so far this season.  Expect more of the same tonight.

Philadelphia Phillies (+)

San Diego Padres at Cincinnati Reds

Nice pitching match-up here in Cincinnati.  Unlike last nights game we look for these pitchers to hold down both offenses early tonight.  In fact we expect this game to be pretty low scoring all the way through.

Jake has been the only pitcher worth trusting for the Padres during this 2008 campaign.  Sure he is only 7-6 but his team is almost twenty games under .500 so that is more than respectable.

Jake has pitched 101.2 innings this season and has allowed just 87 hits.  Overall Jake has an ERA of 2.66.  Jake actually pitched great in his last start if it wasn’t for a few long-balls.  Tonight he will make sure to get the ball down and keep the Reds off the score-board.

San Diego Padres (-)

Milwaukee Brewers at St. Louis Cardinals

The Cardinals continue to defy their critics.  The Cardinals just go out there and do their job and win ball games.  This team was able to stay afloat even without the games best player.  When they did that people should have known they are not pretenders, they are contenders.

Albert is back and boy has he been good.  This guy just puts up big season after big season.  This season Albert (in just 86 games) has hit eighteen home runs to go along with his .359 batting average.  How about his on base % this season?  Albert is over .470 this season.  See this season unlike last he has some protection.  Troy Glaus and Rick Ankiel have done a great job of hitting behind Albert.  Make no mistake about it, Albert is still the game’s best player.

St. Louis Cardinals (-)

Los Angels Dodgers at Colorado Rockies

Frankly we were surprised to see the line so high in this game.  That is not going to be enough to get us off the game though.  We have really loved the way the Rockies have played since the all-star break.  We aren’t saying they are all the way back, but in this NL West we know that anything is possible.

Ubaldo Jimenez has really been locked in on the last month.  The Rockies send their young stud to the bump tonight and they should be more than confident in him.  Ubaldo has won three of his last four starts.  In fact Ubaldo hasn’t allowed more than four runs in over ten starts.  Yes May was the last time Jimenez had a truly bad start, that start came on the road as well.

Jimenez has been great at home all season and we don’t expect anything different here tonight.  The Dodgers are still a soft hitting club.

Colorado Rockies (-)

Chicago Cubs at Arizona Diamondbacks

Important game for these two teams tonight.  We don’t exactly have the same pitching match-up as last night but that is okay.  Don’t let last night’s game sway you too much.  It isn’t quite clear what these two teams will be for the 2008 season.  One thing is for sure though, they both will want to play home playoff series.

In the topsy turvey 2008 baseball season the Chicago Cubs are the best of the junior circuit.  That is no thanks to their road record though.  Sure we have to give credit to them, they are the best home team in baseball.  They are even a better home team than the Boston Red Sox.  What does that mean though?  Does that help them on the road?  Well if it does it hasn’t happened yet.  They are fresh off losing a road series to the Astros and will now have to work awfully hard to win their division.  They have two capable teams chasing them down (Milwaukee Brewers and St. Louis Cardinals).

The Diamondbacks have a lot of the same issues as the Cubs.  The difference for them tonight is the fact they are in their building.  Micah Owings has shown flashes of brilliance this season.  He will be able to beat a very weak road Chicago Cubs team.  Game two belongs to the Diamondbacks.

Arizona Diamondbacks (-)


Washington Nationals at San Francisco Giants

We like the Giants to get the job done at home here tonight.  Remember even though it doesn’t look like it some team has to actually win the game tonight.  The Nationals had their best offense out-put this season.  Even their manager doesn’t believe in them though.  He was quoted as saying that “two games don’t dictate a season.”

Barry Zito has actually pitched better as of late.  No he isn’t going to win another CY Young but he is capable of shutting down a bad Nationals team.  Before the break Barry went 2-1 with an ERA of just 3.42.

The Giants just traded Ray Durham and have now made the full fledge commitment to their youth movement.  This team will be scrappy the rest of the season.  Zito was able to beat the Giants the last time he pitched against the Nationals.  In fact the Giants have taken all four games against the Nationals this season.  Only one game was even close.  Take the Giants at home.

San Francisco Giants (-)

mvbski
useravatar
Offline
43759 Posts
Administrator has disabled public posting

Re: TUESDAY SERVICE PLAYS

SPORTS ADVISORS

NATIONAL LEAGUE

Philadelphia (53-46) at N.Y. Mets (53-46)

Two of the top three teams in the N.L. East kick off a three-game set at Shea Stadium in New York when the Phillies send newly acquired Joe Blanton (5-12, 4.96 ERA) to the hill opposite Mets’ southpaw Johan Santana (8-7, 3.10).

Philadelphia lost two of three in Florida in a three-game weekend set, but they’ve won five of their last eight overall. The Mets had a 10-game winning streak snapped on Friday and split a four-game series in Cincinnati, including a 7-5 extra-inning victory on Sunday.

New York has dominated the rivalry this season, winning seven of the last nine. The success comes on the heels of a nine-game losing streak to Philadelphia dating back to last season. At Shea, the Phillies are 7-2 in their last nine visits.

Blanton is making his first start for the Phillies after a tough 20 outings with the A’s. Oakland was just 2-6 in his last eight starts and he gave up four or more earned runs in five of those outings. He’s made two career starts against the Mets and dominated them both times, allowing no runs and eight hits in 15 innings of work.

Santana is a mediocre 4-3 at home this season but has posted an impressive 2.64 ERA in front of the home fans. On Thursday, Santana gave up five runs on six hits in four innings in Cincinnati but his offense bailed him out with a 10-8 victory. In his last start at Shea he blanked the Giants on three hits for five innings as the Mets scored a 5-0 win. In two starts against the Phillies this season, Santana has given up five runs on 10 hits in 15 innings as the two teams split the games. In three career starts, he’s 1-0 with a 2.75 against Philadelphia in 19 2/3 innings of work.

The Mets are 7-2 when Santana opens a series but just 2-5 in his last seven as a favorite and winless in his last four against a team with a winning record. New York is on further runs of 47-21 following an off day, 8-2 in its last 10 against right-handed starters and unbeaten in its last seven at Shea.

The Phillies are on runs of 38-15 in series openers and 9-2 their last 11 as underdogs.

For Philadelphia, the under is on runs of 11-5 in their last 16 against the N.L. East and 19-7 in their last 26 against winning teams. The under is also 10-2-1 in the Mets’ last 13 as a favorite, 8-1 for them at home and 5-0 in their last five against right-handed starters. In this rivalry, the under is 8-3 in the last 11 matchups at Shea.

ATS ADVANTAGE: UNDER


Milwaukee (56-43) at St. Louis (57-44)

The Brewers hope to continue their recent success against the Cardinals when they send Jeff Suppan (5-6, 4.71) to the mound at Busch Stadium to take on St. Louis’ Kyle Lohse (12-2, 3.35).

Milwaukee has won five of its last six meetings with the Cardinals, including Monday’s 6-3, 10-inning victory. The Brewers are a perfect 4-0 since the All-Star break and have won five straight overall. Monday’s win also snapped a five-game winning streak for St. Louis and pulled Milwaukee into a second-place tie with the Cardinals in the N.L. Central race.

Suppan has gotten knocked around lately, going 1-1 in his last three starts with a 9.64 ERA. On July 6 against the Pirates he gave up six runs in three innings but his offense came through and scored an 11-6 victory. The Brewers have won two of his last three starts even though he’s allowed four runs or more in each outing. For his career, Suppan is 6-2 with a 3.12 ERA in 10 starts against the Cardinals and back on May 11 he held them to one run on six hits in seven innings of a 5-3 victory.

Lohse has been brilliant this season at home, going 6-1 with a 2.73 ERA and on Thursday he held the Padres to two runs on seven hits in seven innings of a 4-3 win. The Cardinals are 11-1 in his last 12 starts, but they have lost both his outings against Milwaukee this season with Lohse giving up a combined six runs in 11 innings. He is 3-3 with a 5.50 ERA in 10 career outings against the Brewers.

Milwaukee has gone 17-5 in Suppan’s last 22 starts against N.L. Central rivals but it is just 1-8 in his last nine on the road against a team with a winning record. The Brewers are on runs of 12-3 against teams with a winning record, 14-4 against the N.L. Central and 21-7 on Tuesdays, but they are just 23-48 in their last 71 as a road ‘dog.

St. Louis is a perfect 6-0 in Lohse’s last six in front of the home fans and 15-8 in its last 23 at home against winning teams.

The over is 8-2 in Milwaukee’s last 10 overall and 4-1 in its last five with Suppan on the hill. Meanwhile the under is 7-3-2 in Lohse’s last 12 home starts, but the over is 7-2 in the Cardinals’ last nine as a home favorite and 8-3-1 in their last 12 against a right-handed starter.

In this rivalry, the under is 6-3-1 in the 10 meetings this season.

ATS ADVANTAGE: ST. LOUIS


AMERICAN LEAGUE

Minnesota (55-44) at N.Y. Yankees (54-45)

The Yankees shoot for their ninth straight win at Yankee Stadium when they send Darrell Rasner (5-7, 4.97) to the mound to face the Twins’ Kevin Slowey (6-6, 4.26) in the middle game of this three-game set.

New York pounded Minnesota 12-4 on Monday, improving to 23-8 at home against the Twins and 38-15 overall in this series. New York is lingering in third place in the A.L. East, 4 ½ games behind the Rays while the Twins are a half-game behind the White Sox in the race for the A.L. Central.

Minnesota has won six straight with Slowey on the mound but his offense saved him on July 10 when he gave up six runs on nine hits in just 3 2/3 innings of a 7-6 win over the Tigers. Minnesota is 4-1 in his last five on the road and in three of those starts he held the opposition to one or zero runs. His lone start against the Yankees came last season when he gave up five runs in 3 2/3 innings of a 7-6 loss in the Bronx.

New York has lost seven of Rasner’s last nine starts, but he was able to win his last one on July 12 when he gave up four runs (three earned) in five innings of a 9-4 win in Toronto. He’s made two career starts against the Twins, including June 1 when he gave up four runs in 5 1/3 innings of a 5-1 loss in Minnesota.

Minnesota is on slides of 0-5 when Slowey faces an A.L. East foe and 4-11 on the road against teams with a winning record, but it has won 21 of 29 overall and 16 of 23 against right-handed pitching. The Yankees are on runs of 5-2 when Rasner starts at home and 7-0 when they’re favored at home.

The over is on runs of 8-2-1 when Slowey pitches against a team with a winning record, 11-3 for the Twins on the road against a winning team and 16-5 in the second game of a series. For New York, the over is 5-1 with Rasner on the hill, but the under is 21-7-1 in the Yankees last 29 at home and 20-7-1 in their last 28 overall.

In this series, the under is 24-10-2 in the last 26 in the Bronx but the over is 5-1 in the last six overall.

ATS ADVANTAGE: N.Y. YANKEES and OVER

mvbski
useravatar
Offline
43759 Posts
Administrator has disabled public posting

Re: TUESDAY SERVICE PLAYS

DUNKEL

San Diego at Cincinnati   
The Padres will look to make it two straight over Cincinnati behind starter Jake Peavey (5-0, 2.08 ERA in eight career starts vs. Cincy) and take advantage of the Reds' 3-6 record at home when the total is listed between 8 and 8 1/2.  San Diego is the pick (-115) according to Dunkel, which has the Padres favored by 1.  Dunkel Pick: San Diego (-115).   Here are all of today's games.

TUESDAY, JULY 22

Game 901-902: Atlanta at Florida
Dunkel Ratings: Atlanta (Morton) 15.547; Florida (VandenHurk) 13.989
Dunkel Line: Atlanta by 1 1/2; 11
Vegas Line: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 903-904: Philadelphia at NY Mets
Dunkel Ratings: Philadelphia (Blanton) 14.137; NY Mets (Santana) 16.495
Dunkel Line: NY Mets by 2 1/2; 8 1/2
Vegas Line: NY Mets (-175); 8
Dunkel Pick: NY Mets (-175); Over

Game 905-906: San Diego at Cincinnati
Dunkel Ratings: San Diego (Peavy) 15.775; Cincinnati (Cueto) 14.782
Dunkel Line: San Diego by 1; 8
Vegas Line: San Diego (-115); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: San Diego (-115); Under

Game 907-908: Pittsburgh at Houston
Dunkel Ratings: Pittsburgh (Maholm) 14.730; Houston (Cassel) 13.090
Dunkel Line: Pittsburgh by 1 1/2; 10 1/2
Vegas Line: Pittsburgh (-105); 10
Dunkel Pick: Pittsburgh (-105); Over

Game 909-910; Milwaukee at St. Louis
Dunkel Ratings: Milwaukee (Suppan) 14.917; St. Louis (Lohse) 16.498
Dunkel Line: St. Louis by 1 1/2; 8 1/2
Vegas Line: St. Louis (-135); 9
Dunkel Pick: St. Louis (-135); Under

Game 911-912: LA Dodgers at Colorado
Dunkel Ratings: LA Dodgers (Kershaw) 15.905; Colorado (Jimenez) 16.019
Dunkel Line: Colorado by 1/2; 10 1/2
Vegas Line: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 913-914: Chicago Cubs at Arizona
Dunkel Ratings: Cubs (Marquis) 15.937; Arizona (Petit) 14.813
Dunkel Line: Chicago Cubs by 1; 10
Vegas Line: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 915-916: Washington at San Francisco
Dunkel Ratings: Washington (Bergmann) 14.275; San Francisco (Zito) 15.033
Dunkel Line: San Francisco by 1; 8
Vegas Line: San Francisco (-115); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: San Francisco (-115); Under

Game 917-918: Minnesota at NY Yankees
Dunkel Ratings: Minnesota (Slowey) 16.456; NY Yankees (Rasner) 15.471
Dunkel Line: Minnesota by 1; 10
Vegas Line: NY Yankees (-115); 9 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Minnesota (+105); Over

Game 919-920: Toronto at Baltimore
Dunkel Ratings: Toronto (Marcum) 15.422; Baltimore (Olson) 14.628
Dunkel Line: Toronto by 1; 9
Vegas Line: Toronto (-115); 9 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Toronto (-115); Under

Game 921-922: Oakland at Tampa Bay
Dunkel Ratings: Oakland (Braden) 14.114; Tampa Bay (Sonnanstine) 15.531
Dunkel Line: Tampa Bay by 1 1/2; 9 1/2
Vegas Line: Tampa Bay (-160); 9
Dunkel Pick: Tampa Bay (-160); Over

Game 923-924: Texas at Chicago White Sox
Dunkel Ratings: Texas (Mendoza) 14.461; White Sox (Buehrle) 15.166
Dunkel Line: Chicago White Sox by 1; 11 1/2
Vegas Line: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 925-926: Detroit at Kansas City
Dunkel Ratings: Detroit (Rogers) 15.640; Kansas City (Davies) 16.390
Dunkel Line: Kansas City by 1; 9 1/2
Vegas Line: Detroit (-120); 10
Dunkel Pick: Kansas City (+110); Under

Game 927-928: Cleveland at LA Angels
Dunkel Ratings: Cleveland (Ginter) 17.677; LA Angels (Weaver) 15.948
Dunkel Line: Cleveland by 1 1/2; 9 1/2
Vegas Line: LA Angels (-190); 9
Dunkel Pick: Cleveland (+180); Over

Game 929-930: Boston at Seattle
Dunkel Ratings: Boston (Matsuzaka) 14.667; Seattle (Dickey) 15.661
Dunkel Line: Seattle by 1; 8 1/2
Vegas Line: Boston (-155); 9
Dunkel Pick: Seattle (+145); Under

mvbski
useravatar
Offline
43759 Posts
Administrator has disabled public posting

Re: TUESDAY SERVICE PLAYS

Alex Smart

San Diego Padres -110

The San Diego Padres(38-62) will send the ace of their staff Jake Peavy ( 7-6, 2.66 ERA) out to face the Cincinnati Reds(48-52) this Tuesday night. Last years Cy Young award winner, is off, one of the most frustrating and humbling efforts , of his career, allowing 4 home runs in a 4-3 loss to the St.Louis Cardinals. Prior to that outing he went 15 straight innings without allowing a run. Now with redemption on his mind, you can bet the star hurler will primed to perform. against a Reds team that he has dominated in his career as is evident by his 5-0 record along with a stingy 2.08 ERA in 8 starts, all of which his team has won. He is also 3-0 in 4 starts here in Great American Ballpark.

The struggling Padres almost always seem to play above average ball, when Peavy is on the hill, and nothing changes today , as they do a rare tee off job, on rookie pitcher Johnny Cueto (7-9,4.92 ERA). The Reds right hander is off back to back lackluster efforts, where he allowed 10 ERs in 12 innings of work.

Final notes & Key Trends: Peavy has seen his team win 23 of his L/32 road starts against a below .500 team.

Play on the Padres

mvbski
useravatar
Offline
43759 Posts
Administrator has disabled public posting

Re: TUESDAY SERVICE PLAYS

Vernon Croy

Detroit Tigers vs. Kansas City Royals
Play: Detroit Tigers     

The Tigers are 8-2 on the road this season when the posted total is 10 to 10.5 and Detroit is hitting .287 as a team in night games this season while averaging 5.5 rpg. Kyle Davies (3-1, 4.59 ERA) has struggled over his last 3 starts with an ERA of 7.02 allowing 23 hits and 4 homeruns over just 16.7 innings and I look for the Tigers bats to remain hot tonight after putting up 19 runs last night. Davies team is just 2-4 when Davies has pitched at home this season and they have lost 3 of his last 4 starts. The Tigers are 7-3 this season when Kenny Rogers (7-6, 4.62 ERA) has started in a night game and I look for him to have a solid outing tonight. Take Detroit as my MLB Free play for Tuesday night and make sure you get on my MLB Smash of the Night which will be released before 12:00 p.m EST.

mvbski
useravatar
Offline
43759 Posts
Administrator has disabled public posting

Re: TUESDAY SERVICE PLAYS

Marc Lawrence

Play On: Toronto w/Marcum vs Olson

The Blue Jays battle the Orioles in Toronto Tuesday night when Shaun Marcum takes on Garrett Olson in the 2nd of this 4-game series. A quick check of current from finds both pitchers on opposite ends of the ladder with Marcum owning a 2.32 ERA in his last five starts as opposed to Olson's 8.23 ERA in his last seven efforts. With Olson having trouble finding the plate of late (10 walks and 9 strikeouts his last three starts), look for Marcum to improve to 8-4 in his last 12 road starts here tonight.

mvbski
useravatar
Offline
43759 Posts
Administrator has disabled public posting

Re: TUESDAY SERVICE PLAYS

James Patrick Sports

Indians vs. Angels

The Angels are lethal on Tuesday as they have won 19 and lost just 7. The Red Hot Angels have won 7 straight and the Tribe is 0-4 in Tuesday action and 9-27 on the road this season. Our Tuesday selection in Major League Baseball is Los Angeles Angels of Anaheim.

mvbski
useravatar
Offline
43759 Posts
Administrator has disabled public posting

Re: TUESDAY SERVICE PLAYS

Brad Diamond Sports

Play on: San Diego over Cincinnati

Jake Peavy was defeated by the home run ball again against St. Louis last week. However, this time around look for a solid reversal of form in Griffey country. Since the Reds are strangely 0-6 on Tuesday’s, while the Padres a perfect 100%(8-0) with Peavy versus Cincinnati, I’ll back the visitor here.

mvbski
useravatar
Offline
43759 Posts
Administrator has disabled public posting

Re: TUESDAY SERVICE PLAYS

Jimmy The Moose

San Diego Padres at Cincinnati Reds
Prediction: San Diego Padres

There haven't been many positive stats for the Padres this season. Even their ace Peavy, 7-6, isn't having his nest season. The Padres 10-4 in Peavy's last 14 starts as a road favorite. San Diego is 23-9 in his last 32 road starts vs. a team with a losing record. The Reds have lost 5 of Cueto's last 7 starts. The Reds are 0-4 in his last 4 starts vs. NL West opponent's. The Padres are 4-0 in Peavy's last 4 starts in Cincinnati. San Diego has won his last 8 starts vs. the Reds. The Padres are 5-1 in their last 6 trips to Cincinnati. Play on the San Diego Padres -.

mvbski
useravatar
Offline
43759 Posts
Administrator has disabled public posting

Re: TUESDAY SERVICE PLAYS

Scott Ferrall

ANGELS -200 over Cleveland--the Angels won't let this crappy team puch them around

Oakland +150 over Tampa--It just looks too easy to bet on Sonnanstine

Baltimore -105 over Toronto--Olson over Marcum at Camden

MINNESOTA +105 over New York--Slowey can win this one because Rasner loses every time out now

ARIZONA -110 over Chi Cubs--Marquis stumbles against Owings, who's been struggling himself of late.  The D'Backs have to get something going or their season will start collapsing

San Fran -120 over Washington--I've got to take 4-12 Zito over 1-6 Bergmann.  The Giants have sucked ass lately (1-9 going in to Mon ngt) but it's got to end sometime--how about here !

mvbski
useravatar
Offline
43759 Posts
Administrator has disabled public posting

Re: TUESDAY SERVICE PLAYS

JB's COMPUTER PICKS

New York Yankees -130

Tampa Bay Rays -160

St. Louis Cardinals -140 * * *

BEST BET ***

mvbski
useravatar
Offline
43759 Posts
Administrator has disabled public posting

Re: TUESDAY SERVICE PLAYS

Dave Cokin

PIT Pirates and HOU Astros
Take PIT Pirates

How desperate are the Astros for pitching help? They're evidently in trade talks with the Padres to obtain Randy Wolf. Yeah, there's the Astros ticket back to contention. Let's face it, if you're an Astros fan, life sucks right now. They're not very good, and Ed Wade might be the most clueless GM in the game now that Bill Bavasi is out of work. As far as tonight goes, Paul Maholm has only won once on the road all season, but he's pitched better than that. I think he'll get some decent support tonight against Houston's Jack Cassel, and I'm siding with the Bucs to pick up a second straight win.

mvbski
useravatar
Offline
43759 Posts
Administrator has disabled public posting

Re: TUESDAY SERVICE PLAYS

Jim Feist

DET Tigers and KC Royals
Take Over

Neither of today's starters has been dazzling this year. Stretches where they have performed ok and then stretches of bad. Kenny Rogers won his last start at Baltimore, despite allowing 11 hits and four earned runs in six innings of work. He's walked more batters on the season than he's struck out, which is never a good sign. On the road, Rogers is 4-4 with a 4.86 era. Moreover, in his two starts this year against the Royals, he's allowed 16 hits and nine earned runs in just 10 innings of work. Kyle Davies hasn't faired much better for the Royals. The Royals are just 2-4 in games at home where Davies starts. And, while Davies has a better strike out to walk ratio than Rogers, it isn't by much (20 walks to 25 strikeouts). We don't expect either pitcher to last that long here and therefore we'll go with the OVER tonight.

mvbski
useravatar
Offline
43759 Posts
Administrator has disabled public posting

Re: TUESDAY SERVICE PLAYS

SAPKOWSKI 

Best Bet
Tampa Bay Rays

Premium
New York Mets

Free Picks
Minnesota Twins
St Louis Cardinals

mvbski
useravatar
Offline
43759 Posts
Administrator has disabled public posting

Re: TUESDAY SERVICE PLAYS

Bob Harvey

Milwaukee Brewers vs. St Louis Cardinals      
Play: St Louis Cardinals   

Two streaking teams will send veteran pitchers to the hill as the Brewers and Cardinals continue their series in St. Louis. The Cards will go with Kyle Lohse who has emerged, not only as Tony Larussa’s stopper but also has emerged as one of the top “earners” in the game. Lohse is 12-2, with an ERA of 3.35. St. Louis has garnered 11 wins in Lohse’s last 12 starts. In addition Lohse has allowed just four runs over his past four starts while going seven innings in all of those games. Suppan meanwhile will be activated from the disabled list in time to make the start for the Brewers. “Soup” is 5-6 with a 4.71 ERA but is 4-0 with a 1.48 ERA in four starts against his former team. He limited St. Louis to one run in seven innings of his lone start against them this year, a 5-3 victory May 11 at Miller Park. If Suppan and the Brew Crew are to make it two straight over the Redbirds, they’ll have to find a way to slow down Albert Pujols who is 10-26 lifetime against Suppan. Troy Glaus will also have to be held in check. Glaus is on a tear. He’s 21-for-40 (.525) with five homers and 12 RBIs during a 10-game hitting streak AND 12-for-36 with three homers against Suppan.

mvbski
useravatar
Offline
43759 Posts
Administrator has disabled public posting

Re: TUESDAY SERVICE PLAYS

Carlo Campanella

Oakland Athletics at Tampa Bay Rays

Once again Tampa Bay is in their BEST role this MLB season as we find them at an INCREDIBLE 16-1 as Home Favorites between -150 and -200 this season! They start Andy Sonnanstine on the mound to host Oakland on Tuesday. Sonnanstine wins this pitching match-up hands down, as he faces Dallas Braden, who's in a slump, allowing 11 Hits and 7 Earned Runs in his last two outings.

Play on: Tampa Bay

mvbski
useravatar
Offline
43759 Posts
Administrator has disabled public posting

Re: TUESDAY SERVICE PLAYS

Vegas Experts

San Diego Padres at Cincinnati Reds

San Diego has really been struggling lately, but they snapped a six-game losing skid last night in the series opener and some pitchers just own some teams. The pitcher in question here would be Padres ace Jake Peavy and the team, Cincinnati, as Peavy owns a perfect 8-0 TSR lifetime vs. the Reds. After BB outings of scoreless ball, Peavy had an "off night" his last time out, but we look for him to rebound here.

Play on: San Diego

mvbski
useravatar
Offline
43759 Posts
Administrator has disabled public posting

Re: TUESDAY SERVICE PLAYS

Chris Jordan

Minnesota at N.Y. YANKEES -130 

We’re banking on the Bombers to win for the fifth straight time. As I explained to you yesterday, this team is getting it done by whichever way the wind blows.

Three nights back it was an extra-inning effort. Two nights ago it was Andy Pettitte and his mound mystique. Last night it was a three-inning attack that eventually spilled over to a blowout win of the Twins.

Tonight, I expect a little of both, as Darrel Rasner might shock some folks with a dominating performance. Winning breeds great play, and I think the current hot streak could very well lead to him pitching a solid game for the Bombers tonight. He'll get the run support, as the team is hitting the ball well for the most part.

Everything is clicking in the Boogie Down, as the countdown continues to the closing of the House That Ruth Built. And as long as this team is winning like it is, there's no reason to believe it can't keep things going.

Lay the value chalk with the Yanks, as they get the best of Minnesota.

3♦ YANKEES

mvbski
useravatar
Offline
43759 Posts
Administrator has disabled public posting

Re: TUESDAY SERVICE PLAYS

Bobby Maxwell

Minnesota at N.Y. YANKEES -120 

New York has won eight straight at Yankee Stadium and we're banking on them making it nine in a row when they host the Twins tonight. The Yankees pounded Minnesota 12-4 on Monday and should have no problem doing it again with the way this lineup is knocking the ball around the yard right now.

New York has slapped Minnesota around a lot lately, going 23-8 in the Bronx against the Twins and 38-15 overall. Darrell Rasner (5-7, 4.97 ERA) is on the mound tonight for the Yankees and they are 5-2 in his last seven at home and 7-0 when they're home favorites.

The Twins are 0-5 the last five outings for Kevin Slowey (6-6, 4.26) against A.L. East teams. His lone outing against New York came last seaosn when he allowed five runs in 3.2 innings of a 7-6 loss to the Bronx Bombers. These guys are also just 4-11 on the road against teams with a winning record.

New York is getting the job done at the plate lately and we'll watch them come in big tonight. Play the Yankees.

4♦ N.Y. YANKEES

mvbski
useravatar
Offline
43759 Posts
Administrator has disabled public posting

Re: TUESDAY SERVICE PLAYS

ANDRE GOMES

PHOENIX MERCURY at HOUSTON COMETS

One of the tasks of handicapping is to find the value in the lines offered by the oddmakers, wait for the movement of the public money and if the movement is opposite to the line we think it has value, that's great as we have an even higher opportunity. Obviously that we still need to wait for the game to be played, but that's not part of my competence. I think this game will be one of these cases. The team of Phoenix comes to Houston to play the Comets in a really important game for both teams, as both are 11-12 right now and they are trying to reach the playoffs.

These two teams have faced each other at Phoenix, with the Mercury winning, which means if they win again, they will get the upperhand over Houston, in a case of a tie in the record of these two teams at the end of the regular season. The totals line is currently at 177,5 points having started at 176, but a movement took it higher. It's important to say that this movement was originated by two factors: the team of Phoenix has been on-fire offensively in their last matches. They come from 4 overs in a row, where they scoring average is 98.3 ppg and the whole game with an unbelievable 192.7 ppg! Besides that these two teams have faced each other earlier this month and the game ended with a result of 99-94 (193 points).

These are the main motives why the line has went to 177,5 points, however consistence is something there isn't in this league and teams sooner or later start missing, as today's game won't be played in the same way as the previous match between these two teams was played. Phoenix has two faces this season, one on home games and the other one on away games. At home the team is 8-3 Over, but on the road they are 8-4 Under! This fact shows how the team can't play on the road at the high pace they play at home. This is more evident after a win, as they are 7-3 Under in the following game.

Houston comes from a very important win over the Sparks, where a very powerful defense was capable of stop Parker, allowing the Sparks to score just 65 points in the regular time. In this game, Houston is a small favorite and they are 4-0 Under in this type of conditions this season. In the game played at Phoenix, it's important to say that the game ended 99-94, with Houston shooting 52.8% FG and 8-16 3pts and still losing the game. This was clearly a warning sign for the Comets that if they play again today at a very high pace, they will most likely losing again against the Comets. Houston is 11-3 Under in home games revenging a same season loss versus opponent over the last 2 seasons and Phoenix confirms the inconsistence of the WNBA teams, as they are 8-2 Under in road games after scoring 80 points or more this season.

I expect this game to have a lot of points, but not enough to pass the 177,5 mark. In my predictions I expect a winning team to score 85-90 points, while the losing team staying in the low 80's. Take the under in here.

PLAY 1* UNIT ON UNDER 177.5 POINTS

mvbski
useravatar
Offline
43759 Posts
Administrator has disabled public posting

Board Info

Board Stats:
 
Total Topics:
44307
Total Polls:
2
Total Posts:
275175
Average Posts Per Hour:
3.5
User Info:
 
Total Users:
3458
Newest User:
Johnny Galloway
Members Online:
0
Guests Online:
2162

Online: 
There are no members online

Forum Legend:

 Topic
 New
 Locked
 Sticky
 Active
 New/Locked
 Sticky/Locked

Privacy Policy | Terms of Service | Contact Us | Advertising | 888-99-SPREAD

THIS IS NOT A GAMBLING SITE – If you think you have a gambling problem click here.

Disclaimer: This site is for informational and entertainment purposes only. Individual users are responsible for the laws regarding accessing gambling information from their jurisdictions. Many countries around the world prohibit gambling, please check the laws in your location. Any use of this information that may violate any federal, state, local or international law is strictly prohibited.

Copyright: The information contained on TheSpread.com website is protected by international copyright and may not be reproduced, or redistributed in any way without expressed written consent.

About: TheSpread.com is the largest sports betting news site in the United States. We provide point spread news, odds, statistics and information to over 199 countries around the world each year. Our coverage includes all North American College and Professional Sports as well as entertainment, political and proposition wagering news.

©1999-2013 TheSpread.com