FRIDAY SERVICE PLAYS

Re: FRIDAY SERVICE PLAYS

BOB HARVEY

Washington Nationals vs. Atlanta Braves  UNDER 8.5

Dont let the Braves fool you. This is a team that struggles to score runs. Despite boasting All-Stars Chipper Jones and Brian McCann, Atlanta scored a major league-worst 52 runs from June 23-July 12. The Braves went 6-11 over that stretch, but did win their final contest before the break 12-3, routing San Diego on Sunday behind a homer and three RBIs from McCann. The catcher, who walked and got hit by a pitch in addition to going 3-for-3, has reached base in eight straight plate appearances. Washington, meanwhile, has scored 350 runs, tied with San Diego for the fewest in the major leagues entering the break. However, the Nationals have managed to outplay the Braves in their meetings. Atlanta has lost five of its eight games versus Washington this season, and has scored a total of five runs en route to losing the last three meetings. The Braves are in danger of losing four straight in a single season to Washington for the first time since 1992, when the Nationals franchise was based in Montreal. Supporting my argument for an UNDER play tonight are the season stats for both teams in terms of totals. Atlanta is 31-61-3 to the low side this season, including 19-27-2 at home. Washington is 42-52-2 to the UNDER overall and 21-24-1 on the road. Jair Jurrjens, who is 3-1 with a 1.30 ERA in his last five starts, gets the ball for Atlanta. Washington counters with its winningest pitcher. Tim Redding has given up two runs or fewer in four of his last six outings. He had failed to record a decision in nine straight outings prior to last Friday, when he allowed seven hits in six innings in a 10-0 whitewash of Houston. Finally Washington, which has the majors' worst record, lost 5-0 to Houston on Sunday. The Nationals, who have been shut out a major league-high 12 times, have lost 10 of their last 13 games.

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Re: FRIDAY SERVICE PLAYS

JOHN FINA

Selection: Philadelphia/Florida Under 9

Today we expect a low-scoring game as the Philadelphia Phillies do battle with the Florida Marlins. One reason why we expect a high-scoring game is because both these teams will be sending to the mound solid starting pitchers. This says it all... The Philadelphia Phillies Starting Pitcher (Jamie Moyer) has a 3.26 ERA in his last 3 starts, while Florida Marlins Starting Pitcher (Ricky Nolasco) has a 2.14 ERA in his last 3 starts. As you can see, both these teams will be sending to the mound solid starting pitchers. The Under is a Perfect 3-0 in the last 3 meetings between these teams, we expect to see another low-scoring game tonight!

Take the Philadelphia Phillies/Florida Marlins Under 9

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BRIAN MARSHALL

Kansas City Royals vs. Chicago White Sox
Plays On: Chicago White Sox -145

The Kansas City Royals will be lead by starting pitcher Zack Greinke. Zack Greinke has been struggling as of late. In fact, Zack Greinke has a 4.00 ERA in his last 3 starts. We see Zack Greinke having another bad game today.

The Chicago White Sox will be lead by starting pitcher Mark Buehrle. Mark Buehrle has been pitching great as of late. In fact, Mark Buehrle has a 1.80 ERA in his last 3 starts. We see Mark Buehrle pitching another great game today.

The Chicago White Sox have proven they can beat the Kansas City Royals. In fact, the Chicago White Sox are 42-14 in their last 56 meetings against the Kansas City Royals (when playing in Chicago).

Take the Chicago White Sox

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Scott Delaney

One thing I dont enjoy doing is going against the Professor, but Ill be damned if he isn't having what appears to be the swan song season of his career. According to every report Ive read, the veteran right-hander says he would rather lose while pitching as well as he is, rather than not pitching at all. Yet even with his well-pitched performances, his record doesn't show how well he has performed this season. Maddux has a 3-8 record in 20 starts and hasn't tasted victory in his last 12 outings. In seven of his last 10 starts, he's allowed two runs or less, but still to no avail.

Now he has to go into Busch, where the Cardinals are fighting to stay afloat with the Brewers and Cubs. And so Id rather take Braden Looper here, and bank on the fact he'll get some run support, but more importantly, he'll be in stride against a lethargic Padres lineup that is hitting just .246 on the season and came into this series mired in an 8-23 skid on the road.

2♦ CARDINALS

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SPORTS KINGZ

YANKEES -170

CUBS -125

ANGELS -150

ST. LOUIS -135

MILWAUKEE -130

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JEFF BENTON

I've definitely been signing the praises of Marlins right-hander Ricky Nolasco lately:Nolasco has won five straight decisions, and Florida is 7-0 in his last seven starts, and I backed him in the last two against the Padres (3-1 Marlins win) and Dodgers (5-3 Marlins win), both on the road. However, as impressive as Nolasco has been of late, I cannot ignore this incredible fact: Since being traded from Seattle to Philadelphia in the middle of the 2006 season, Jamie Moyer has faced Florida nine times and he's 9-0 with a 3.03 ERA!

That includes a pair of victories this year, the more dominant one coming in Florida on June 12 when the ancient lefty held the powerful Marlins lineup to two hits and a walk in eight innings, winning 3-0. Of course, such a dominating outing isn't all that surprising when you consider how poorly the Marlins hit against left-handed pitchers we're talking .226 overall and a paltry .190 at home.

The Phillies are one of the few teams in baseball with a winning road record, including a three-game sweep of Atlanta (another N.L. East rival) the last time they went on the highway. Throw in the fact that Philadelphia is 22-6 in Moyer's last 28 starts against division foes and 8-1 in its last nine as an underdog, and I'll side with the visitor.

3♦ PHILADELPHIA PHILLIES

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VEGAS EXPERTS

Texas Rangers at Minnesota Twins

Although Texas' starter Kevin Milwood was on the hill when the Rangers beat the Twins, 6-5, earlier this year, he was not credited with the win and in fact we find the veteran hurler at 0-5 all-time vs. Minnesota. This is a great price for a Twins team that went into the break as winners of 19 of their last 25 games, including a 13-1 mark here at the Metrdome. Take the better team tonight.

Play on: Minnesota

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Alex Smart

San Diego Padres @ St. Louis Cardinals Under 8.5

This is a repeat of last nights successful under selection. Two different pitchers and a different day, but Im predicting we get the same positive results.

The light hitting San Diego Padres visit the St.Louis Cardinals in pitcher friendly Busch Stadium this Friday night in game two of this series. Last night both teams took part in a low scoring 4-3 tilt.

The San Diego Padres will send capable veteran Greg Maddux (3-8, 3.90 ERA) to the hill . The 42 year former Cy Young award winner, and other than a few blips on his chart, has consistently pitched well this year, and has allowed 2 ERs or less in 8 of his L/12 starts. His team, however, has given the hurler very little support in most of his starts, as is evident by backing him with an average of just 3.23 RPG this season, which is the fourth-worst mark in major league baseball.

Meanwhile , his pitching opponent Braden Looper (9-7, 4.25) has also seen his fair of hard luck , despite of pitching well this season. In his last two starts before the all star break, the right hander, allowed just six runs in 13 innings, but was backed with just one total run during that frustrating span.

With two capable pitchers on the hill, and two less than explosive offenses facing them tonight, another slow scoring contest looks to be on the agenda.

Final notes & Key Trends: Under is 11-1-1 in Padres last 13 games vs. a right-handed starter. Under is 10-2 in Padres last 11 games with the total set at 7-8.5 . Under is 11-4-1 in the last 15 meetings in this series, including four straight here in St.Louis. Under is 6-0 in Padres last 6 road games.

Play Under

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JB's COMPUTER PICKS

Detroit Tigers -105

Chicago White Sox -160

St. Louis Cardinals -140

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PlusLineSports Daily Baseball Pick

SD Padres vs. St Louis Cards

St Louis Cards -1.5 +170

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Re: FRIDAY SERVICE PLAYS

Scott Spreitzer

My AL East Blowout GOW is a play on the Rays with Shields over Burnett. Home Sweet Home! That's the mantra as far as the Rays are concerned. Tampa Bay started the month of July by winning five of their first six games...all at home. They dropped their final game of the homestand and went on to lose six straight away from home heading into the all-star break. But they're back under the dome tonight where they're 36-14 overall, and 22-6 in night games against righthanders. Tonight, they'll face A.J. Burnett, who has been pounded for 14 earned runs and 24 base runners in his last two starts, spanning 12 innings of work. In fact, the Jays have dropped each of Burnett's last four road outings. James Shields takes the bump for the Rays. Tampa is 6-1 in his home night starts where he sports a 2.25 ERA. They're 9-1 in his 10 home starts overall, and Shields owns a 2.13 ERA, .090 WHIP, and .208 BAA! That makes Shields a perfect "slump-buster" going against a team that doesn't normally win away from home with tonight's scheduled pitcher on the hill. Look for Tampa to snap their skid with a big win on Friday night. The Rays are my AL East Blowout GOW.


Scott Spreitzer's 25* MLB GRAND SLAM WIPEOUT! *11-2, 85% w/ 25* Plays!
I'm laying the price with the Twins on Friday night. It doesn't get much better than this, at least on paper. Kevin Millwood has gone 0-5 in nine starts against the Twinkies in his career. He's been roughed up for a 5.86 ERA, 1.80 WHIP, and .333 BAA along the way! Tonight, the veteran righty faces a Twins' batting order that's averaging 5.8 runs per game in 23 home night outings against righthanded hurlers. Millwood's recent performances also don't inspire a lot of confidence in the Texas dugout. He's allowed 16 earned runs and 44 base runners (36 hits) in just 20 1/3 innings. That's a four-game ERA of 7.09 with a horrible, 2.17 WHIP, while averaging just five IP per start. That's bad news for Texas' 29th ranked bullpen! The Twins will send southpaw Glen Perkins to the bump. The Rangers have been at their offensive-worst in tonight's situation. They're 2-8 in 10 road night games against lefties, scoring just 3.1 runs per game. Perkins has to be itching to get back on the bump. His Twins are 5-1 in his last six outings, where he sports a 3.69 ERA & 1.33 WHIP. We don't get a lot of hitting AND pitching mismatches, including bullpens each week, but this is surely one of them! Look for the Twins to rock the Rangers on Friday, my 25* Grand Slam.

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FLORIDA BOOKY BUSTERS   

Tampa Bay -1.5


TRACE ADAMS

Phillies


JAKE TIMLIN

Marlins

NEVADA SHARPSHOOTER

PHILLIES +105


YOU WIN NOW 

Washington +155


DONALD TRAN

New York Mets -115

Jennifer Barry

Pirates +115


Chad Jordan

NY Mets/Cincinnati Over 9


The Super Scout 

Seattle Mariners -120


Maddux Sports

Milwaukee -135


lasvegassportsadvisors

Chi White Sox -1.5   


JIM'S HOT PICKS   

Arizona -1.5


Global Sports Picks

SOX/ANGELS UNDER 8


Mighty Quinn

Phillies


SOUTHSIDE SPORTS

LA ANGELS


ARMVIN SPORTS 

DIAMONDBACKS


Insider Sports Report

Philadelphia/Florida UNDER 8.5 


JOE WIZ 

CUBS
TIGERS


CAPPERS ACCESS

Cubs
W. Sox


MIKE WYNN

Milwaukee -130


RAZOR SHARP

DETROIT/BALTIMORE UNDER


PLATINUM PLAYS

PHILLIES + 105


TOTALS 4 U

TEXAS/MINNESOTA OVER 9


ARTHUR RALPH

MILWAUKEE


HUDDLE UP

LA Dodgers


DARK HORSE

Arizona -110


BIG TIME SPORTS

TIGERS / ORIOLES OVER 9


VEGAS STEAMLINE

CLEVELAND/SEATTLE UNDER


#1 SPORTS

BLUE JAYS + 125


THE  SCOUT

St Louis -130


Jeff Saad

Mets/Reds Over


Bob Donahue

Yankees


Paul Leiner

10* Cubs -115

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Re: FRIDAY SERVICE PLAYS

LT Profits

Toronto Blue Jays @ Tampa Bay Rays Under 8.0 

A.J. Burnett of the Toronto Blue Jays is pitching on normal rest after allowing just one run and six hits in 8.1 innings vs. the New York Yankees on Sunday, while James Shields has been at his best this year with extra rest like he has here. Thus, runs should be hard to come by tonight.

Sure, Burnett has been frustratingly erratic throughout his career, as he has some of the best stuff in the majors when he is on yet he cannot seem to be able to get out of his own way. However, he is very capable of going through some unhittable streaks, and that start on Sunday is certainly a step in the right direction.

Remember also that Burnett tossed a gem the last time he pitched in Tampa Bay, allowing one run and three hits with eight strikeouts in eight innings. As improved as the Rays are this season, they still have many young free-swingers in their lineup that Burnett can again take advantage of.

Now Shields has had a full week of rest since getting bombed for five earned runs and 10 hits in six innings by the Cleveland Indians last Friday. However, Shields has posted Quality Starts each of the last three times he has had at least five days of rest, posing a 2.66 ERA and a remarkable 0.89 WHIP over those starts with 22 strikeouts in 20.1 innings.

Finally, the Under is 16-5 in the last 21 head-to-head meetings between these clubs including 8-1 in the last nine meetings in Tampa, and we look for those streaks to get extended tonight.

Pick: Blue Jays, Rays Under 8 


Washington Nationals @ Atlanta Braves Under 8.5 

Tim Hudson has been his usual self for the Atlanta Braves while Tim Redding could be considered the ace of the Washington Nationals staff right now, and with both offenses erratic as of late, the Under should be the way to go here.

Hudson may be just 9-7, but he has pitched better than that with a 3.13 ERA and 1.17 WHIP in 129.1 innings, and he has been at his best pitching at home. Hudson is 7-1 with a 2.13 ERA in nine home starts, and he has been an absolute beast against the Nationals, allowing two earned runs or less in each of his last 10 starts against them, including allowing three earned runs in three starts covering 21.2 innings vs. Washington this year.

Redding has incredibly managed to go 7-3 while pitching for a team that is 24 games under .500 (36-60), and the Nationals as a team are an amazing 15-5 in all games that he has started. He has a decent 3.85 ERA for the season and an excellent 2.65 ERA in his last three starts, and he has allowed three runs or less in each of his last three starts vs. Atlanta.

The Braves have played the most Unders in baseball this year at 61-31-3, and that should continue here.

Pick: Nationals, Braves Under 8.5

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BEN BURNS

Toronto Blue Jays @ Tampa Bay Rays
PICK: Tampa Bay Rays

The Rays were the best team in the American League for much of the first half. A 7-game losing streak, prior to the break, saw them fall out of first place though. They desperately want to start the second half on a winning note and this evening's pitching matchup offers them a solid chance to do so.

A.J. Burnett showed that he is still capable of dominating in his last start. Pitching on three day's rest, he limited the Yankees to one run through 8 1/3 innings, recording eight K's to just one walk. Burnett hasn't been consistent though. In his previous start, he allowed seven runs in 5 1/3 innings vs. Baltimore. Burnett was also roughed up in his most recent road start, allowing 12 hits and eight runs (six earned) in a 8-2 loss at LA. Including that start, Burnett is 3-5 with a 4.34 ERA and 1.326 WHIP on the road.

James Shields has also struggled on the road, most recently losing 5-0 at Cleveland. However, he's been downright dominant here in Florida. In 10 home starts, he's gone 5-1 with an outstanding 2.13 ERA and 0.903 WHIP. He averaged greater than seven innings per start in those games and the Rays were 9-1.

The Jays are 0-4 the last four times that Burnett started against the Rays. In his two most recent starts in this series, Burnett allowed 12 runs in 11 1/3 innings. Conversely, the Rays are a perfect 4-0 when Shields has started against the Jays. During that stretch, Shields was 3-0 with an excellent 2.70 ERA and 0.937 WHIP. For the season, the Jays are 20-28 on the road, while the Rays are 36-14 at home. Consider a play on TAMPA

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Rocky Atkinson

Texas @ Minnesota
Play On: 3* Minnesota -125

Minnesota is 38-26 at night this year.  Minnesota is 11-4 when playing on Friday this year.  Texas is scoring only 4.6 runs per game against left handed starters this season.  Minnesota bullpen has a SUPER 1.99 ERA at home this year.  Perkins is 6-2 overall this year and 2-0 with a 3.15 ERA his last 3 starts.  Millwood is 0-5 with a 5.86 ERA overall vs Minnesota since 1997.  Perkins is 1-0 with a 2.84 ERA overall vs Texas since 1997.  We'll play Minnesota for 3 units tonight! 

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Re: FRIDAY SERVICE PLAYS

Black Magic Sports

1 Unit on L.A. Dodgers -115

I’m not about to bet against the Dodgers tonight with the way Hiroki Kuroda has been throwing the ball as of late.  Instead, I’ll ride L.A. to a victory as my free play today.  Kuroda is 2-0 with a miniscule 1.19 ERA through his last three starts.  He has recently pitched a pair of Complete Games for the Dodgers and another could be in store tonight.  The Dodgers are 19-7 against the money line after 2 straight games where they committed no errors this season.  The Dodgers are 53-24 against the money line when playing against a marginal losing team (Win Pct. 46% to 49%) over the last 3 seasons.  The Dodgers are 15-7 against the money line in road games vs. an NL team with an on base percentage .325 or worse this season.  Cash in with L.A. as the favorite.

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Tony Karpinski

Detroit Tigers vs. Baltimore Orioles 
Play: Baltimore Orioles 

We do not like the way the Detroit Tigers finished up before the break folks. There was a time where the Tigers had finally got it going. They came all the way back to become .500 and above. You have to remember the Tigers started out atrocious but as we said they played good ball for a long time. The Tigers had a very important home series to close out the break. They had a four game set against the Twins. This wasn’t just any four game series folks. This was a series against a rival that they are chasing. They needed this series. At worst they needed a home split and get out of there. Detroit lost the series in tough fashion. The Tigers lost the first three games all by one run. The Baltimore Orioles are a very good home baseball team folks. The Orioles are 25-17 in their building and are rested and ready to go. Look for the Baltimore to win game 2 of this series. Play on Baltimore 

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Stevie Y

Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Colorado Rockies
Play: Over     

Just look how bad Ian Snell has been boys, 3-8 with a 6.18 ERA, a 1.91 WHIP , oppoising teams also have a .334 batting average against. He is 6th in the NL in walks with 55. & away from PNC field this year he is a 1-5 with an ERA of 8.14 and a batting average against of .352.In his last 3 outings he has allowed 17 hits and 10 walks in 12.2 innings, for an ERA of 6.75 and a WHIP of 2.213. Pitt Pirates crank out the OVER on a 31-12 spot, grab the over tonight in Denver boys

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Re: FRIDAY SERVICE PLAYS

Info Plays

3* on Rangers/Twins OVER 9.5

This is a very low total for two teams that will get the bats going tonight. Kevin Millwood and Glen Perkins are two below average starters that will get lit up Friday. Minnesota is 11-1 OVER vs. a starting pitcher whose gives up 7 or more hits/start this season. The Twins are 13-3 OVER vs. AL teams allowing 5.2 or more runs/game on the season this season. Texas is 21-4 OVER against AL Central opponents this season. Minnesota is 10-3 OVER against AL West opponents this season. These teams get the bats going when they face each other. Bet the OVER 9.5 runs.

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Re: FRIDAY SERVICE PLAYS

Jason Lowry

Chicago Cubs vs. Houston Astros
Play: Chicago Cubs

We like the Cubs to get going right away after the all-star break as they should easily take care of business against the Astros. The Cubs are 19-5 against the money line after 4 or more consecutive home games this season, and 31-17 against the money line vs. excellent fielding teams - averaging <=0.5 errors/game this season. Take the Cubs in this one!

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