CFL Week 4 News and Notes

CFL Week 4 News and Notes

Thursday, July 17

HAMILTON (1 - 2) at CALGARY (2 - 1) - 7/17/2008, 9:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
HAMILTON is 3-1 against the spread versus CALGARY over the last 3 seasons
CALGARY is 2-2 straight up against HAMILTON over the last 3 seasons
4 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons


Friday, July 18

WINNIPEG (0 - 3) at BRITISH COLUMBIA (1 - 2) - 7/18/2008, 10:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
BRITISH COLUMBIA is 32-52 ATS (-25.2 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
BRITISH COLUMBIA is 4-1 against the spread versus WINNIPEG over the last 3 seasons
BRITISH COLUMBIA is 4-1 straight up against WINNIPEG over the last 3 seasons
4 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons


Saturday, July 19

MONTREAL (2 - 1) at SASKATCHEWAN (3 - 0) - 7/19/2008, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SASKATCHEWAN is 119-90 ATS (+20.0 Units) in all games since 1996.
SASKATCHEWAN is 119-90 ATS (+20.0 Units) in all lined games since 1996.
SASKATCHEWAN is 34-16 ATS (+16.4 Units) in July games since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
SASKATCHEWAN is 2-1 against the spread versus MONTREAL over the last 3 seasons
SASKATCHEWAN is 3-1 straight up against MONTREAL over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons


Sunday, July 20

EDMONTON (2 - 1) at TORONTO (1 - 2) - 7/20/2008, 4:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
EDMONTON is 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
TORONTO is 5-17 ATS (-13.7 Units) in home games in July games since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
TORONTO is 3-2 against the spread versus EDMONTON over the last 3 seasons
TORONTO is 4-1 straight up against EDMONTON over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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Re: CFL Week 4 News and Notes

Week 4 CFL games


Thursday, July 17

Hamilton (1-2) @ Calgary (2-1)-- TiCats ran ball for 504 yards in last two games, as they try to keep porous defense off field- the Roughriders averaged over 10 yards/pass attempt in 33-28 win at Hamilton last week. Calgary allowed 18-19 points in their two wins, 34 in a loss in Edmonton. TiCats yielded 33 points in each loss, held Toronto to 13 in its upset win at Rogers Centre.


Friday, July 18

Winnipeg (1-2) @ BCLions (1-2)-- Lions picked off four passes, averaged just under 10 yards/pass attempt as they got first win 42-24 in Winnipeg last week, handing Bombers their third loss in row. Bombers allowed 23-38-42 pts so far, with seven INTs, and 964 yards allowed the last two weeks. Lions ran ball for 169 yards last week, after just 65-56 yards in first two games.


Saturday, July 19

Montreal (2-1) @ Saskatchewan (3-0)-- Alouettes only ran ball six times for 25 yards last week, after 28-24 rush attempts in first two games- they still haven't picked off pass this year. Durant has sparked Rider offense that scored 34-26-33 points- in last week's win, they had 345 passing yards on 33 attempts. TiCats had 193 rushing yards last week; Als figure to try the same.


Sunday, July 20

Edmonton (2-1) @ Toronto (1-2)-- Eskimos scored 81 points in winning last two games; they scored 47 points vs Argos in last week's game, despite -3 turnover ratio. Toronto allowed 474 yds on ground last two weeks, giving up 32-47 points in losses- in first two games, they were outgained by 131-242 yards, gave up 47 points last week in game they had +3 turnover margin in.

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Trend Sheet Week 4

Thursday, July 17

9:00 PM HAMILTON vs. CALGARY
Hamilton is 12-6 ATS in its last 18 games on the road
Hamilton is 1-10 SU in its last 11 games on the road
Calgary is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
Calgary is 3-8 SU in its last 11 games


Friday, July 18

10:00 PM WINNIPEG vs. BRITISH COLUMBIA
Winnipeg is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games
Winnipeg is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games on the road
British Columbia is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Winnipeg
British Columbia is 1-7 ATS in its last 8 games


Saturday, July 19

7:00 PM MONTREAL vs. SASKATCHEWAN
Montreal is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games
Montreal is 4-8 SU in its last 12 games
Saskatchewan is 2-4-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Montreal
Saskatchewan is 5-18 SU in its last 23 games when playing Montreal


Sunday, July 20

4:00 PM EDMONTON vs. TORONTO
Edmonton is 8-2 ATS in its last 10 games when playing on the road against Toronto
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Edmonton's last 7 games when playing on the road against Toronto
Toronto is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games at home
Toronto is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games at home

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CFL Week 4 preview and predictions
By CHARLES-ANDRÉ MARCHAND

Hamilton Tiger-Cats (1-2) at Calgary Stampeders (2-1)  (Calgary -9)

The Calgary Stampeders posted their second win of the season last week, beating the Alouettes in Montreal 23-19. Henry Burris had another great night, throwing for 302 yards, completing 28 of 37 pass attempts with one touchdown.

Once again, Ken Rambo was one of Burris’ favourite targets, with seven catches for 51 yards and one touchdown. The Tiger-Cats came close to upsetting the Saskatchewan Roughriders but came short in a 33-28 loss on a last-second TD.

Jesse Lumsden is the ignition key for Hamilton’s offence and he carried the ball 18 times last week for 120 yards rushing. But Lumsden, suffering a knee injury, won’t play against the Stampeders, which should make the Tiger-Cats quite one-dimensional.

Denny Creehan, who used to be Calgary’s defensive coordinator and now holds the same job with Hamilton, may be able to give his new team some insight into the Stamps. However, he doesn’t have the talent to take advantage of it like he used to with the likes of John Grace, Brian Clark and Scott Coe - all key players on Calgary’s defense.

The Stampeders, who won eight of their last 10 home games against the Tiger-Cats should win this one with relative ease.

Pick: Calgary -9

                                                                       
Winnipeg Blue Bombers (0-3) at B.C. Lions (1-2)   (B.C. -8½)

Both teams have proven a disappointment for their respective fans since the start of the 2008 season.

Last week, the Lions crushed the Blue Bombers 42-24 in Winnipeg and QB Jarious Jackson finally rose for the occasion, completing 19 of 24 passes for 340 yards and five touchdowns. Geroy Simon added two touchdowns and gained 192 yards receiving.

In Vancouver, the Blue Bombers will be facing the Lions without center Dominic Picard, who still nurses an injury to the ankle, DL Jon Oosterhuis and left guard Matt Sheridan.  Valuable WR Milt Stegall is also once again doubtful to play because of a knee injury.

In last week’s loss, Kevin Glenn only completed nine of the 17 passes he attempted for 86 yards. He was intercepted twice. Ryan Dinwiddie was more efficient with 20 passes completed out of 33 attempts with 227 yards and one touchdown.

Rob Murphy, CFL’s two-time top offensive lineman will return to the Lions lineup as will right guard Sherko Haji-Rasouli. Expect another explosive night for Jarious Jackson . The Lions should have no trouble prolonging Winnipeg’s agony as they may very well end up 0-4 when the final whistle is blown.

Pick: B.C. -8½


Montreal Alouettes (2-1) at Saskatchewan Roughriders (3-0) (Saskatchewan -5½)

Marc Trestman’s new playbook can be dazzling offensively but the Stampeders showed last week it can also be neutralized.

The defending champ Riders may not be as powerful as they where last year when led by QB Kerry Joseph, but on the defensive side of the game they are still quite dominant. Montreal will have difficulty moving the chains and putting points on the scoreboard.

Without Marcus Crandell, the Roughriders have seen Darian Durant take over with lots of poise as he completed 23 of 33 pass attempts for 347 yards and one touchdown against Hamilton last week. Wes Cates carried the ball 15 times for 88 yards and two touchdowns.

Against Calgary, the Alouettes relied heavily on Anthony Calvillo’s arm. The veteran QB completed 21 passes with 341 yards and touchdown in their loss to Calgary. If the Alouettes can’t get Avon Cobourne to run more often with the ball, it could be a very long night for Montreal. Expect the Roughriders to remain undefeated.

Pick: Saskatchewan -5½


Edmonton Eskimos (2-1) at Toronto Argonauts (1-2) (Toronto -3½)

Against all odds, Edmonton won against Toronto last week 47-28, easily covering the 2½-point underdog spread. With a combined 75 points, the game also went way over the posted total.

Ricky Ray completed 16 of 23 pass attempts for 213 yards and one touchdown while A.J. Harris ran for two touchdowns in that stunning win. Kerry Joseph was intercepted three times for Toronto and completed only 23 of the 40 passes he attempted for 227 yards and two touchdowns.

Joseph should be the starter once again but the decision to split duties between him and incumbent Michael Bishop was ill-fated. The Argonauts could once again fall to the Eskimos this weekend if only because Danny Maciocia keeps showing he is a much better coach than Toronto’s Rich Stubler. Even if the Argonauts manage to pull this one, they probably won’t cover the spread.

Pick: Edmonton +3½

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