WNBA News and Notes July 14
WNBA News and Notes July 14
WNBA Basketball Trend Report
SAN ANTONIO (15 - 6) at LOS ANGELES (12 - 8)
Top Trends for this game.
SAN ANTONIO is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) when playing with 2 days rest this season.
Head-to-Head Series History
LOS ANGELES is 4-4 against the spread versus SAN ANTONIO over the last 3 seasons
SAN ANTONIO is 5-3 straight up against LOS ANGELES over the last 3 seasons
6 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
Re: WNBA News and Notes July 14
Lady luck: WNBA hot and not bets
By ALEX SMART
I thought I would have a look at how WNBA teams and how the league as a whole has been performing from a bettors perspective so far this season.
WNBA away favorites are 19-15 against the spread (ATS) for a 56 percent conversion rate. Home favorites are a positive 56-49-2 ATS . Favorites on the whole have held the advantage to this point in the season, with a 75-64-2 record for a 54 percent winning mark.
Totals players will be interested to learn that just under 56 percent of all games played in regulation time stayed below the number. All 12 overtime games went over the number.
At the time of this writing, most teams in the WNBA have played 20 games and of the 14 teams that make up the East and West Conferences, just six squads are above the .500 mark.
Leading the East are the veteran-laden Detroit Shock with a 14-7 SU record. Motown, despite of its positive straight up numbers, have not been as dominant against the spread registering a 11-10 ATS mark. The Shock's best efforts this season have come in the role of favorites as is evident by a 12-2 SU (85.7 percent) record, that has seen them convert on nine of those tilts ATS, with the average margin of victory ringing in at seven points per game. However, Detroit's conditioning and motivational level must be questioned, as they are 0-3 ATS on no rest.
At 13-7 SU the Connecticut Sun behind their up-and-coming star Lindsay Whalen, sit just percentage points behind the Shock. Their woes have been confined to conference play where their record against the number is a disappointing 3-7-1 ATS. Playing against Western Conference foes has been a different story as they have produced a positive 6-3 ATS record. Connecticut has also played a more conservative style of basketball versus non-conference opposition which has produced lower scoring battles and in turn has seen them remain on the low side of the number in six of their nine games against the West.
From the remainder of the Eastern Conference:
The Indiana Fever are 10-9 ATS on the season and 2-7 ATS playing on one day rest. They are also 3-6 over/under on the road, with 57.1 percent of their overall games staying on the low side of the number.
The New York Liberty (10-9 ATS ) have failed to put together solid performances back-to back, resulting in a 2-7 ATS mark off a SU win and 7-1 ATS off a SU loss. The Liberty have played an up tempo style of hoops away from the bright lights of New York with eight of their 10 road game playing over the linesmakers' number. On the year the Liberty have gone over in 12 of their 19 games.
Both Washington (7-12 ATS) and Chicago (5-13 ATS) have played flat on extended rest resulting in a 1-5 SU and ATS mark and 1-6 SU and 2-5 ATS respectively playing with more than three days rest.
The Atlanta Dream (9-11 ATS) have had a baptism of fire in their first year. Having started out at 0-17, Atlanta has managed to put two wins in the first column. Having scored at just a tick under 75 points a game overall, it's a little surprising to see the majority of their games playing over the number (13-7 O/U), including seven of nine on the road.
The Western Conference is in the throws of a three-horse race at present. Leading the way are the San Antonio Silver Stars with their 15-6 SU record boosted by their home form, 10-1 SU (90.9 percent) and 8-3 ATS (72.7 percent).
The Seattle Storm (12-9 ATS) are certainly playing with some gusto at present, both straight up and against the number in their last five. This recent streak is off a mini-slump where the Storm won just three of nine games having started out winning five of their first six games. From a wagering perspective, Seattle is a strong 11-1 SU and 9-3 ATS at home. From a totals view, the Storm are 5-15 O/U overall and 3-9 O/U at home. One of those marks may not continue at its present rate given that Seattle has been favorites in all 12 of its home games. It's difficult to continue playing under the number and covering the spread at the same time. Something has to give in the near future.
At 12-8 SU and 10-10 ATS the Los Angeles Sparks have yet to really click and the most pertinent stats see little in the way of positives or negatives. So this is one team that the books have pegged just about right at present.
Of the remaining four teams from the Western Conference:
The run-and-gun Phoenix Mercury ( 9-11 ATS) are both 2-8 SU and ATS as an underdog and 2-6 O/U off an ATS win. The Mercury are have played under in 11 of their 20 tilts this season.
The Minnesota Lynx (10-10 ATS) behind super star Siemone Augustus are 7-2 O/U against conference foes and 7-2 ATS as an underdog.
Houston Comets (9-12 ATS) are 10-5 ATS as an underdog and a perfect 4-0 ATS as a home dog.
The Sacramento Monarchs (10-11 ATS/SU ) have won when they were expected to do so on their home court. Winners of six of their 10 home games, the Monarchs are 5-1 SU and ATS in the role of home favorites. Against Eastern Conference opponents, Sacramento have played a more up-tempo game which has resulted in a 8-2 O/U mark.
Re: WNBA News and Notes July 14
Monday WNBA Research
San Antonio vs. Sparks
The WNBA is taking some time to showcase 2 of their more popular public teams on a day where there is no baseball whatsoever as the wnba will be on showcase for the nation. The Silver Stars have played great basketball of late as they are 15-6 but just 4-5 on the road, but have won 7 in a row and 8 of their last 10, of course, those 2 losses were back to back losses to the Comets at home and on the road, let's face it, the Comets own the Silver Stars as they have beaten them 3 times this year. Remember, the last time these 2 met up, it was in San Antonio and the Silver Stars won by a bucket despite a valiant come back by Sparks who outscored San Antonio 25-17 in the 4th, but to no avail, the Sparks started the season off hot so they were actually favored in that ballgame by -1 as the Sstars won outright at home as a 1 point dog. Over 64% are favoring the Silver STars but that doesn't necessarily mean anything given that over 70% favored Chicago yesterday and they drilled Atlanta with revenge. Having said that, over 74% favored the Sun on the road at Washington yesterday and the Mystics drilled them at home for a public burial as the game went into the Mystic's type of offense as it dipped under. The Atlanta game by the way went into the Sky's type of ballgame at home and dipped under as well. Thus, the Sparks here have revenge against the Stars who come off a win against Atlanta at home, but failed to cover, they did cover at Chicago and Washington in their last 2 ballgames on the road, the Sparks come off a pathetic performance at Seattle where they were embarassed 52-70, and lost at Sacramento 69-87, consequently, losing by 20 points in both of their last 2 road ballgames. They did win at home and cover against Houston (in OT though by 1 point as a 7 point fav as they won by 8), and did win against Phoenix at home, of course, they lost to Minny, New York and Washington Outright at home before that as 8, 9.5 and 12 point chalks. I wouldn't be surprised to see the Silver Stars win this game outright as they are playing better basketball right now and the public favors the Sparks over 60%, having said that, the Sparks have revenge, come off back to back burials of more than 18 points on the road, but they do struggle a bit on defense, so I wouldn't be surprised to see renewed scoring at home by them, but also give up some points which allows both teams to put up their fair share of points today.
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