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SATURDAY SERVICE PLAYS

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Computer Crushers Guaranteed Selections

5000 UNIT BASEBALL CRUSHER WINNER
NY Yankees w/Mussina -130

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Dr Baseball Guaranteed Selections

GRAND SLAM BASEBALL WINNER
Tampa Bay w/Sonnanstine -135

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Rocketman

Washington @ Cincinnati
Play On: 1* Washington +130

Cincinnati is scoring only 4.1 runs per game against right handed starterst this year. Tim Redding is 6-3 overall this year including 3-0 on the road this season. Fogg is 1-2 with a 9.85 ERA overall this year, 1-2 with a 13.82 ERA in all starts this year, 0-1 with a 14.73 ERA at home and a 13.94 ERA his last 3 starts. We'll recommend a small play on Washington tonight!

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Brian Gabrielle

Coke Zero 400: Saturday Night at Daytona

Last Week: It might've been a double-win, except rain came to NewHampshire and washed out Denny Hamlin's attempt to give us the straight-up win. But we did take our head-to-head bet, breaking our slide, when ClintBowyer was able to barely stay in front of Kasey Kahne, despite bringing out the caution that would wind up ending the race. It had been a bad June to that point, so we'll take it. For the week, we won 0.17 units on 1.5 units wagered, a return of 11.3%; for the season, we've profited 3.37 units on 24.5 units wagered, a return of 13.8%, and we've given you winning weeks in 13 of 17 events. (Note that if you'd eschewed the relatively conservative betting pattern we outline below, and simply bet one unit per wager we recommend, last week you'd have lost 2.33 units; for the season, that would leave you with a profit of 4.41 units on 67 units wagered, a return of 6.6%. But there's clearly a bit more week-to-week risk associated with that strategy.)

Take Kyle Busch (+500), 1/6th unit. Saturday night's race is at Daytona, under the lights, and on plate tracks this season no team has had consistently good cars more frequently than Gibbs. Busch won at Talladega earlier this season, and led 86 laps in the Daytona 500 before fading a bit at the end. He didn't perform as well as I thought he'd do last week at Loudon, but I have hopes that he'll be near the front on Saturday night, and thus avoid the Big One and be in contention at the end.

Take Tony Stewart (+400), 1/6th unit. Smoke's season has been terribly snake-bitten at this point, including a race he completely dominated last week at Loudon but wound up losing on bad pit strategy (and that pesky rainstorm). He's rumored to be leaving Gibbs at the end of this year, potentially for an ownership stake at Haas CNC, but he almost certainly has one more great summer run in him for Gibbs. Stewart led on the last lap in the Daytona 500 back in February, but got passed by the Penske cars and finished third.

Take Jimmie Johnson (+1000), 1/6th unit. Repeat after me: qualifying doesn't matter at a plate track. J.J. rolls off 30th on Saturday night, and so long as he's lucky enough to escape wrecking while he's back there, I'm assuming he'll come straight to the front. He has great drafting partners in Dale Earnhardt Jr. (+500) and Jeff Gordon (+1000), and he feels like Daytona owes him something. Since winning the 500 back in '06, Johnson has gotten wrecked three times in four races here. He's too good for that to keep happening, so his is the Hendrick car (and the sweet odds) I'll watch.

In this week's head-to-head match-up, take Johnson over Denny Hamlin (-115), 1 unit. I just got through saying Gibbs has been best on the plate tracks this year, behind that powerful Toyota engine, so why take J.J. in a dead-even match-up against Hamlin? For me it comes down to consistency; while I know Johnson has been wrecked out of a bunch of theseplate races lately, he's generally known as a steady driver who doesn'tmake mistakes. Not so Hamlin, who's been wrecked by his own teammate at this track, who leads races and blows tires, and who's been known to get a little hotheaded in his time. Each of these guys will have great drafting partners available, and I'm not going to be surprised to see either of them win the race outright. But given his profile of steadiness, I'd rather cast my lot with Johnson.

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Root

Chairman - W.Sox
Millionaire - Angels
Insiders Circle - Yankees
Perfect Play - Arizona

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LEE KOSTROSKI

Chicago Cubs @ St Louis Cardinals
PICK: St Louis Cardinals

St. Louis is hitting .319 in the last ten games against left-handed pitching and St. Louis is 25-19 at home on the season. The Cubs were winners on the road against a team with a winning record yesterday for just the third time this season and it will be difficult to win a second straight game in a tough venue. The Cubs are also hitting just .254 on the road this season and Chicago is seven games below .500 away from home.

Everyone keeps waiting for Kyle Lohse to revert to his old form and inconsistency but he is a near-lock for the All-Star team having put together a remarkable first half of the season. St. Louis is 8-1 in his last nine starts and he has allowed three or fewer runs in eight of those starts. At home he owns a remarkable 2.77 ERA and a 1.00 WHIP.

Ted Lilly has put together decent numbers for the Cardinals but he still walks a great deal of batters and he has a 4.56 ERA on the season with suspect numbers in road games. The Cubs have also required significant innings from the bullpen in recent games and this will be a tough situation facing an eighth consecutive road game. The Cardinals are 13-3 in the last 16 Saturday games and this looks like another good spot for the Cardinals.

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Jeff Scott Early Plays

2 Units Cubs / Stl Over

1 Unit Bos / Nyy Under

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NSA

20* Minnesota -135
10* Detroit -135
10* Boston +120
10* Angels -125
10* White Sox -125
10* Tampa Bay -145

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VEGAS RUNNER

ATL -1.5 (+125) vs HOU  1* RL WAGER


NASCAR for SATURDAY

TONY STEWART +500  2*


BOXING on SHOWTIME for SATURDAY

RICARDO TORRES +230  1*

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Ben Burns

5* NY Yankees

4* Baltimore Orioles

4* Astros/Braves over 9.5

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LT Profits

2* Indians/Twins under 8

2* Dodgers/Giants over 8.5

2* Toronto Blue Jays

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Mr East


Game: Detroit Tigers @ Seattle Mariners
Pick: Detroit Tigers -136 4 units

Armando Galarraga has been the Tigers most consistent pitcher all season, and they have now emerged victorious in 11 of his 14 starts, which includes 4-0 on the road vs teams with a losing record. The Tigers are finally playing the kind of baseball most expected at the beginning of the season, and have been 19-7 over their last 26 games. Seattle has gotten nothing going all year. R.A. Dickey has been converted to a starter, with not much luck, as the M's have been just 1-4 in his 5 starts. We like the Tigers to keep playing well, and come away with the win here.

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Teddy Covers

5* Minnesota Twins

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Alex Smart

2* Atlanta Braves

2* Colorado Rockies

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Aj Apollo

3* KC Royals

3* Cleveland Indians

3* Seattle Mariners

3* Toronto Blue Jays

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BRANDON LANG

15 Dime - Yankees

5 Dime - Cards

5 Dime - Brewers

5 Dime - Rays

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Fairway Jay

4* A's/White Sox Over 8.5

3* Washington Nationals

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Bob Akmens

7* Milwaukee Brewers

4* LA Dodgers

4* Detroit Tigers

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3Daily Winners 

Kansas City Royals vs. Tampa Bay Rays
Play: Tampa Bay Rays   

Tampa Bay is 8-0 against the money line in home games vs. a starting pitcher whose throws more than 6.5 innings per start this season. 

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VEGAS RUNNER

SDP (-114) vs ARI  3* MLB BEST BET of the DAY

MIN (-131) vs CLE  2* ML WAGER

TOR (+115) vs ANA  1* ML WAGER

CWS / OAK Over 8.5  2* TOTAL

ATL -1.5 (+125) vs HOU  2* RL WAGER  **UPGRADED**


NASCAR for SATURDAY

TONY STEWART +500 2*
You can find this anywhere from a low of +400, to a high of +600, so I used the average for grading...Stewart let us down 2 weeks ago, but Gibbs Toyota's showed they have surpassed even Chevy in the plate races...And this time of the year, you can expect to see "Smoke" get his win for Gibbs and there is no better place to do it than where he has shown to be able to get the win...so rather than split up the 2*s, lets go ahead and back Stewart to get his 1st win tonight at Daytona


BOXING on SHOWTIME for SATURDAY

RICARDO TORRES +230 1*
Torres beat Holt the first time they met in Columbia, knocking him out in the 10th, while behind on 2 of the score-cards...Since then, Holt has been crying about how that fight went down and the press and public has eaten it up which is why he is installed at the favorite...Torres was willing to make this fight happen in Holt's country even though he didn't have to and history has shown that it is extremely hard for a fighter who got knocked-out to come back and win the re-match...Bottom line, too much value to pass up on Torres who dropped Cotto and if he is able to put the pressure on Holt, he should be able to do it again, and not let Holt try to win by decision which is what he will be looking to do by boxing...Look for Torres to cut-off the ring now that he knows what's coming

AFL PLAYOFFS for SATURDAY

PHILADELPHIA -9.5 1*


WNBA for SATURDAY

OVER 157.5 CHI/ATL 1*

OVER 177 NY/PHO 1*

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